In the West, National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) is commonly applied to predict the severity of illness using only bedside variables unlike the extensive Pneumonia Severity Index (PSI). The objective of this study was to compare these scores as mortality predictors in patients admitted with community acquired pneumonia (CAP). This cross-sectional study was conducted in Jinnah Postgraduate Medical Centre, Karachi, Pakistan, for six months in 2020 on 116 patients presenting with CAP. Cases of aspiration pneumonia, hospital acquired pneumonia, pulmonary tuberculosis, pulmonary embolism, and pulmonary oedema were excluded. In-hospital mortality was taken as the outcome of this study. The mean age of the participants was 46.9±20.5 years. The in-hospital mortalities were 45(38.8%). NEWS2 was 97.8% sensitive but only 15.5% specific in predicting the outcome, whereas PSI was less sensitive (68.9%) but more specific (50.7%), which showed that in comparison with PSI, NEWS2 is a more sensitive mortality predicting score among hospitalised CAP patients.

UNASSIGNED: The COVID-19 pandemic posed a worldwide challenge, leading to radical changes in surgical services. The primary objective of the study was to assess the impact of COVID-19 on elective and emergency surgeries in a Brazilian metropolitan area. The secondary objective was to compare the postoperative hospital mortality before and during the pandemic.
UNASSIGNED: Time-series cohort study including data of all patients admitted for elective or emergency surgery at the hospitals in the Public Health System of Federal District, Brazil, between March 2018 and February 2022, using data extracted from the Hospital Information System of Brazilian Ministry of Health (SIH/DATASUS) on September 30, 2022. A causal impact analysis was used to evaluate the impact of COVID-19 on elective and emergency surgeries and hospital mortality.
UNASSIGNED: There were 174,473 surgeries during the study period. There was a reduction in overall (absolute effect per week: -227.5; 95% CI: -307.0 to -149.0), elective (absolute effect per week: -170.9; 95% CI: -232.8 to -112.0), and emergency (absolute effect per week: -57.7; 95% CI: -87.5 to -27.7) surgeries during the COVID-19 period. Comparing the surgeries performed before and after the COVID-19 onset, there was an increase in emergency surgeries (53.0% vs 68.8%, P < 0.001) and no significant hospital length of stay (P = 0.112). The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on postoperative hospital mortality was not statistically significant (absolute effect per week: 2.1, 95% CI: -0.01 to 4.2).
UNASSIGNED: Our study showed a reduction in elective and emergency surgeries during the COVID-19 pandemic, possibly due to disruptions in surgical services. These findings highlight that it is crucial to implement effective strategies to prevent the accumulation of surgical waiting lists in times of crisis and improve outcomes for surgical patients.

OBJECTIVE: The use of scoring systems contributes to the faster identification of septic patients, especially those at a high risk of a fatal outcome. The best scoring system does not exist, so the search for the optimal one is always current. The aim of this study is to estimate the prognostic value of the six scoring systems in predicting 24-hour mortality among septic patients presented at the emergency department.
METHODS: An observational retrospective study was conducted in the Emergency Triage Room (ETR) of the Emergency Center (EC) at the University Clinical Center of Serbia (UCCS) in Belgrade. Consecutive septic patients, according to the Sepsis-3 definition, with or without shock, presented to the ETR and then hospitalized in Intensive Care Units were included in the study. Mortality data within 24 h and on the 28th day were extracted from the Hospital information system or the National mortality database. Scoring systems including sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA), quick sequential organ failure assessment (qSOFA), systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS), National early warning score (NEWS), sepsis patient evaluation in the emergency department (SPEED), and mortality in emergency department sepsis (MEDS) were analyzed for all patients utilizing the available data. The primary outcome of this study was death within 24 hours of triage. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine the most effective scoring system. Lactate was then added to this system to enhance its predictive accuracy.
RESULTS: Nineteen out of 120 patients included in the study (15.8%) experienced death within 24 hours of triage. The twenty-eight-day mortality rate was 55%. SOFA score demonstrated the highest predictive value for 24-hour mortality but was only moderately predictive overall, with an area under the receiver operating curve (AUC) of 0.755 (95% CI 0.625-0.885). SPEED, MEDS, and NEVS exhibited modest discriminatory power [0.673 (95% CI 0.543-0.803), 0.665 (95% CI 0.536-0.794), 0.630 (95% CI 0.528-0.724)], while SIRS and qSOFA remained insignificant in predicting 24-hour mortality. The predictive value of the SOFA score was increased by the addition of lactate (AUC 0.865, 95% CI 0.736-0.995; p=0.0081). All scores demonstrated better and satisfactory predictive power for 28-day mortality.
CONCLUSIONS: SOFA, with the addition of lactate, is a complex but reliable tool for the early stratification of septic patients who are presenting at an emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Use of noninvasive ventilation in patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) is debated. The COVID-19 pandemic posed challenges due to high patient volumes and worldwide resource strain.
OBJECTIVE: To determine associations between use of noninvasive ventilation in adult patients with moderate to severe ARDS due to SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia, progression to intubation, and hospital mortality.
METHODS: This retrospective cohort study included patients in an institutional COVID-19 registry. Adult patients were included if they were admitted for COVID-19 between March 1, 2020, and March 31, 2022, and developed moderate to severe ARDS. Primary outcomes were progression to intubation and hospital mortality in patients who received noninvasive ventilation or mechanical ventilation. A secondary outcome was successful treatment with noninvasive ventilation without intubation.
RESULTS: Of 823 patients who met inclusion criteria, 454 (55.2%) did not receive noninvasive ventilation and 369 (44.8%) received noninvasive ventilation. Patients receiving noninvasive ventilation were more likely to require mechanical ventilation than were patients not receiving noninvasive ventilation. Among patients requiring endotracheal intubation, those receiving noninvasive ventilation had a higher likelihood of mortality. Patients receiving noninvasive ventilation had lower severity-adjusted odds of survival to discharge without intubation than did patients not receiving noninvasive ventilation.
CONCLUSIONS: Patients with moderate to severe ARDS due to SARS-CoV-2 pneumonia treated with noninvasive ventilation had increased likelihood of progression to endotracheal intubation and hospital mortality.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to assess the mortality and prognosis of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) initially admitted to Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care in comparison with patients initially admitted to Cardiac Centre (CC).
BACKGROUND: Global acute coronary syndrome (ACS) registries often omit patients with OHCA initially admitted to anaesthesiology and intensive care units. This exclusion may lead to underestimated mortality rates in patients following acute MI worldwide.
METHODS: A retrospective analysis was conducted in patients admitted in 2014 to the (Department of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care) at a single center, J.A. Reiman Teaching Hospital in Presov, Slovakia. Survival rates were evaluated in-hospital, at 30 days, and annually over a five-year period. Patients with STEMI and NSTEMI were analyzed separately, particularly during the early in-hospital phase.
RESULTS: In the OHCA group, 52% of STEMI patients experienced in-hospital mortality, whereas the CC group reported only 3% mortality. The total hospital mortality for STEMI patients was 6.69%. Among NSTEMI patients in the OHCA group, in-hospital mortality reached 50%, compared to 4.33% in the CC group. The total center mortality for all NSTEMI patients was 6.09%.
CONCLUSIONS: Although the short-term prognosis for MI patients with OHCA is unfavorable, with a 30-day mortality rate of 54.9%, for those who survive the initial 30 days following cardiac arrest and are successfully discharged from the hospital, the long-term prognosis aligns with MI patients without OHCA. In light of these findings, the inclusion of all patients with MI (from both OHCA and CC groups) in global ACS registries could significantly raise in-hospital and 30-day mortality rates (Tab. 3, Fig. 4, Ref. 21).

BACKGROUND: Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been considered a prognostic biomarker of mortality and other major cardiac events. This study investigates NLR\'s efficacy in predicting in-hospital and long-term outcomes in patients with ST-segment elevated myocardial infarction (STEMI) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).
METHODS: Electronic databases (PUBMED, Cochrane CENTRAL, ERIC, Embase, Ovid, and Google Scholar) were searched till June 2022 to identify studies having STEMI patients who underwent PCI. Risk ratios and mean differences (MDs), along with their corresponding 95% confidence intervals (Cis) and standard deviations (SDs), were pooled using a random-effect model. This meta-analysis has been registered on Prospero (ID: CRD42022344072).
RESULTS: A total of 35 studies with 28,756 patients were included. Pooled estimates revealed an increased incidence of primary outcomes; in-hospital all-cause mortality (RR = 3.52; 95% CI = 2.93-4.24), long-term all-cause mortality (HR = 1.07; 95% CI = 1.00-1.14), (RR = 3.32; 95% CI = 2.57-4.30); in-hospital cardiovascular mortality (RR = 2.66; 95% CI = 2.04-3.48), long-term cardiovascular mortality (RR = 6.67; 95% CI = 4.06-10.95); in-hospital major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (RR = 1.31; 95% CI = 1.17-1.46), long-term MACE (RR = 2.92; 95% CI = 2.16-3.94); length of hospital stay (WMD = 0.60 days; 95% CI = 0.40-0.79) in patients with high NLR compared to those with a low NLR.
CONCLUSIONS: NLR might be a valuable tool for prognostication (in-hospital) and stratification of patients with STEMI who underwent PCI.

Few studies have examined the risk factors associated with the type of acute respiratory failure (ARF) in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This study evaluated the clinical characteristics and prognosis of patients hospitalized for acute exacerbation of COPD based on the type of ARF. The medical charts of hospitalized patients with acute exacerbation of COPD between 2016 and 2021 were retrospectively reviewed. We classified ARF into 2 types: type 1 ARF with PaO2 < 60 mm Hg in room air or a ratio of arterial partial pressure to fractional inspired oxygen < 300, and type 2 ARF with PaCO2 > 45 mm Hg and arterial pH < 7.35. A total of 435 patients were enrolled in study, including 170 participants without ARF, 165 with type 1 ARF, and 100 with type 2 ARF. Compared with the non-ARF group, the frequency of high-flow nasal cannula, noninvasive ventilation, intensive care unit admissions, and in-hospital deaths was higher in the ARF group compared with the non-ARF group. The ARF group had higher 1-year mortality group (hazard ratio [HR], 2.809; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.099-7.180; P = .031) and readmission within 1-year rates (HR, 1.561; 95% CI, 1.061-2.295; P = .024) than the non-ARF group. The type 1 ARF group had a higher risk of 1-year mortality (HR, 3.022; 95% CI, 1.041-8.774; P = .042) and hospital readmission within 1-year (HR, 2.053; 95% CI, 1.230-3.428; P = .006) compared with the non-ARF group. There was no difference in mortality and readmission rates between the type 1 and type 2 ARF groups. In conclusion, patients with type 1 ARF rather than type 2 ARF had higher mortality and readmission rates than those without ARF. The prognoses of patients with type 1 and type 2 ARF were similar.

Elevated red blood cell distribution width (RDW) can be associated with disease severity. However, studies on RDW for the prognosis of elderly patients with non-traumatic coma (NTC) are lacking. This study aims to examine the relationship between RDW and outcomes in elderly patients with NTC. This observational cohort study included elderly patients (aged ≥ 65 years) with NTC between January 2022 and December 2022. We measured RDW upon patient arrival at the emergency department (ED). We conducted a multivariable analysis using logistic regression of relevant covariates to predict in-hospital mortality. Survival curves based on 30-day mortality were designed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality, and the secondary outcome was 30-day mortality. A total of 689 patients were included in the study, and in-hospital mortality was 29.6% (n = 204). Our results found that the RDWs of non-survivors were significantly greater than those of survivors (14.6% vs 13.6%). Multivariable analysis showed that RDWs at ED arrival were independently associated with in-hospital mortality (odds ratio, 1.126; 95% confidence interval, 1.047-1.212; P < .001). The Kaplan-Meier curve indicated that the survival probability of patients with a low RDW was greater than those with a high RDW. Having a high RDW at ED arrival was associated with in-hospital mortality in elderly patients with NTC.

Cardiovascular surgery risk prediction models are widely applied in medical practice. However, they have been criticized for their low methodological quality and scarce external validation. An additional limitation added in Latin America is that most of these models have been developed in the United States or Europe, which present marked geographical differences. The objective of this study is to characterize the postoperative clinical events of cardiovascular surgeries with the use of cardiopulmonary bypass pump in a local setting and to evaluate the prediction of postoperative mortality using the EuroSCORE II predictive model.
Cross-sectional study in an urban university hospital in Buenos Aires. Patients ≥21 years of age were included, with a clinical indication for on-pump cardiovascular surgery. Patients with incomplete clinical data regarding EuroSCORE II variables or in-hospital survival, ≥95 years of age, or undergoing heart transplantation were excluded.
195 patients were enrolled. Postoperative mortality estimated by EuroSCORE II presented a clear underestimation of risk (3.0% vs 7.7%). Discrimination (AUC = 0.82; 95% CI 0.74-0.92) and goodness of fit of the model were adequate (χ2 = 7.91; p = 0.4418). The most frequent postoperative complications were postoperative heart failure (35.9%), vasoplegic shock (13.3%), and cardiogenic shock (10.26%).
The EuroSCORE II is an appropriate tool to discriminate between different risk categories in patients undergoing on-pump cardiovascular surgery, although it underestimates the risk.
Los modelos de predicción de riesgo de cirugías cardiovasculares se aplican ampliamente a la práctica médica. Sin embargo, han sido criticados por su baja calidad metodológica y escasa validación externa. En América Latina se agrega la limitación de que la mayoría de estos modelos fueron desarrollados en Estados Unidos o Europa, existiendo diferencias geográficas marcadas.
El objetivo de este estudio es caracterizar los eventos clínicos postoperatorios de cirugías cardiovasculares con uso de bomba de circulación extracorpórea en un escenario local y evaluar la predicción de mortalidad postoperatoria del modelo predictivo EuroSCORE II.
Corte transversal en un hospital universitario urbano de Buenos Aires. Se incluyeron a pacientes ≥21 años de edad, con indicación de cirugía cardiovascular con uso de bomba. Se excluyeron a pacientes con datos clínicos incompletos respecto a las variables del EuroSCORE II o respecto a la sobrevida intrahospitalaria, con ≥95 años de edad o sometidos a trasplante cardíaco.
Se enrolaron 195 pacientes. La mortalidad postoperatoria estimada por el EuroSCORE II presentó una clara subestimación del riesgo (3,0% vs 7,7%). La discriminación (AUC = 0,82; IC95% 0,74-0,92) y la bondad del ajuste del modelo fueron adecuadas (χ2 = 7,91; p = 0,4418). Las complicaciones postoperatorias más frecuentes fueron insuficiencia cardíaca postoperatoria (35,9%), shock vasopléjico (13,3%) y shock cardiogénico (10,26%).
El EuroSCORE II es una herramienta apropiada para discriminar entre diferentes categorías de riesgo en pacientes sometidos a cirugías cardiovasculares con uso de bomba, si bien subestima el riesgo.

This study determined whether compared to conventional mechanical ventilation (MV), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) is associated with decreased hospital mortality or fibrotic changes in patients with COVID-19 acute respiratory distress syndrome. A cohort of 72 patients treated with ECMO and 390 with conventional MV were analyzed (February 2020-December 2021). A target trial was emulated comparing the treatment strategies of initiating ECMO vs no ECMO within 7 days of MV in patients with a PaO2/FiO2 < 80 or a PaCO2 ≥ 60 mmHg. A total of 222 patients met the eligibility criteria for the emulated trial, among whom 42 initiated ECMO. ECMO was associated with a lower risk of hospital mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.36-0.96). The risk was lower in patients who were younger (age < 70 years), had less comorbidities (Charlson comorbidity index < 2), underwent prone positioning before ECMO, and had driving pressures ≥ 15 cmH2O at inclusion. Furthermore, ECMO was associated with a lower risk of fibrotic changes (HR, 0.30; 95% CI 0.11-0.70). However, the finding was limited due to relatively small number of patients and differences in observability between the ECMO and conventional MV groups.