Ground-level O3

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    以高时空分辨率准确绘制地面臭氧浓度图(每日,1公里)对于评估人体暴露和进行公共卫生评估至关重要。这需要确定和理解一个与地面臭氧变化密切相关并可提供时空高分辨率数据的代理。本研究介绍了一种高分辨率臭氧建模方法,该方法利用XGBoost算法,以卫星衍生的地表温度(LST)作为主要预测指标。以2019年的中国为中心,我们的模型实现了0.91的交叉验证R2和13.51μg/m3的均方根误差(RMSE)。我们提供详细的地图,突出城市地区的地面臭氧浓度,发现以前未解决的空间变化,以及时间序列与臭氧动力学的既定理解相一致。我们对机器学习模型的本地解释强调了LST对时空臭氧变化的重大贡献。超越其他气象,污染物,以及其影响的地理预测因子。验证结果表明,随着空间分辨率变得更粗糙,模型性能降低,R2从1公里模型的0.91下降到25公里模型的0.85。这项研究产生的方法和数据集为地面臭氧变化和绘图提供了新的见解,并且可以大大有助于与这一关键环境挑战相关的暴露评估和流行病学研究。
    Accurately mapping ground-level ozone concentrations at high spatiotemporal resolution (daily, 1 km) is essential for evaluating human exposure and conducting public health assessments. This requires identifying and understanding a proxy that is well-correlated with ground-level ozone variation and available with spatiotemporal high-resolution data. This study introduces a high-resolution ozone modeling method utilizing the XGBoost algorithm with satellite-derived land surface temperature (LST) as the primary predictor. Focusing on China in 2019, our model achieved a cross-validation R2 of 0.91 and a root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 13.51 μg/m3. We provide detailed maps highlighting ground-level ozone concentrations in urban areas, uncovering spatial variations previously unresolved, along with time series aligning with established understandings of ozone dynamics. Our local interpretation of the machine learning model underscores the significant contribution of LST to spatiotemporal ozone variations, surpassing other meteorological, pollutant, and geographical predictors in its influence. Validation results indicate that model performance decreases as spatial resolution becomes coarser, with R2 decreasing from 0.91 for the 1 km model to 0.85 for the 25 km model. The methodology and data sets generated by this study offer new insights into ground-level ozone variability and mapping and can significantly aid in exposure assessment and epidemiological research related to this critical environmental challenge.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    湄公河下游地区(LMD)占越南大米出口的90%;然而,LMD的空气质量因地面臭氧(O3)污染而显着降低。这项研究旨在量化受LMD中地面O3浓度影响的水稻种植季节的相对产量和经济价值损失。这项研究的结果可以作为广泛评估的基础,在接下来的几年和支持环境管理者提出控制措施O3前体排放(NOx和VOCs)从人造部门,以及为LMD的水稻种植建立保护性解决方案。M7和AOT40的两个地面O3暴露指标反映了地面O3污染的影响,结合暴露-相对产量关系模型(或地表O3-作物模型),用于评估水稻产量减少造成的作物生产损失(CPL)和经济成本损失(ECL)。对于地面O3暴露的M7度量,平均值为14.746ppbV,水平范围从13.959ppbV到15.502ppbV,受影响的面积为1309.39千公顷。AOT40暴露度量达到11.490ppbV的平均值,范围为0.000-31.665ppbV。最高暴露水平为17.503-31.653ppbV,占地747.01千公顷。超过LMD的三种水稻作物的总CPL为9593.52吨(占该地区水稻总产量的0.039%),相应的EPL总额为624.05亿越南盾(相当于2761.01万美元)。该结果被认为是一项基线研究,可作为随后几年进行广泛评估的基础,并支持环境管理人员提出控制人造部门O3前体排放(NOx和VOC)的措施,并建立保护性解决方案在LMD的水稻种植中不久。
    The Lower Mekong Delta region (LMD) accounts for 90% of Vietnam\'s rice exports; however, the air quality in the LMD is remarkably reduced by ground-level ozone (O3) pollution. This study aimed to quantify the relative yield and economic value losses in rice-growing crop seasons affected by ground-level O3 concentrations across the LMD. The results of this study can serve as a basis for extensive assessments for the following years and support environmental managers to propose control measures of O3 precursor emissions (NOx and VOCs) from man-made sectors, as well as build protective solutions for rice farming in LMD. Two ground-level O3 exposure metrics of M7 and AOT40 reflecting ground-level O3 pollution impacts, combined with the model of exposure-relative yield relationship (or surface O3-crop models), were used to assess losses of crop production (CPL) and economic cost losses (ECL) caused by rice crop yield reductions. For the M7 metric of ground-level O3 exposure, the average value was 14.746 ppbV, with levels ranging from 13.959 ppbV to 15.502 ppbV, and the affected area was spread across 1309.39 thousand hectares. The AOT40 exposure metric reached an average value of 11.490 ppbV, with a range of 0.000-31.665 ppbV. The highest exposure level was 17.503-31.653 ppbV, covering an area of 747.01 thousand hectares. The total CPL of the three rice crops over the LMD was 9593.52 tonnes (accounting for 0.039% of the total value of rice production in the region), with a total corresponding EPL of 62.405 billion VND (equivalent to 2761.01 thousand USD). The results are considered a baseline study to serve as a basis for extensive assessments for the following years and support for the environmental managers to propose control measures of O3 precursor emissions (NOx and VOCs) from man-made sectors as well as build protective solutions in rice farming in LMD shortly.
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