Cultivated potato, Solanum tuberosum L., is considered an autotetraploid with 12 chromosomes with four homologous phases. However, recent evidence found that, due to frequent large phase deletions in the genome, gene ploidy is not constant across the genome. The elite cultivar \"Otava\" was found to have an average gene copy number of 3.2 across all loci. Breeding programs for elite potato cultivars rely increasingly on genomic prediction tools for selection breeding and elucidation of quantitative trait loci underpinning trait genetic variance. These are typically based on anonymous single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers, which are usually called from, for example, SNP array or sequencing data using a tetraploid model. In this study, we analyzed the impact of using whole genome markers genotyped as either tetraploid or observed allele frequencies from genotype-by-sequencing data on single-trait additive genomic best linear unbiased prediction (GBLUP) genomic prediction (GP) models and single-marker regression genome-wide association studies of potato to evaluate the implications of capturing varying ploidy on the statistical models employed in genomic breeding. A panel of 762 offspring of a diallel cross of 18 parents of elite breeding material was used for modeling. These were genotyped by sequencing and phenotyped for five key performance traits: chipping quality, length/width ratio, senescence, dry matter content, and yield. We also estimated the read coverage required to confidently discriminate between a heterozygous triploid and tetraploid state from simulated data. It was found that using a tetraploid model neither impaired nor improved genomic predictions compared to using the observed allele frequencies that account for true marker ploidy. In genome-wide associations studies (GWAS), very minor variations of both signal amplitude and number of SNPs supporting both minor and major quantitative trait loci (QTLs) were observed between the two data sets. However, all major QTLs were reproducible using both data sets.

UNASSIGNED: Predicting the performance (yield or other integrative traits) of cultivated plants is complex because it involves not only estimating the genetic value of the candidates to selection, the interactions between the genotype and the environment (GxE) but also the epistatic interactions between genomic regions for a given trait, and the interactions between the traits contributing to the integrative trait. Classical Genomic Prediction (GP) models mostly account for additive effects and are not suitable to estimate non-additive effects such as epistasis. Therefore, the use of machine learning and deep learning methods has been previously proposed to model those non-linear effects.
UNASSIGNED: In this study, we propose a type of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) called Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and compare it to two classical GP regression methods for their ability to predict an integrative trait of sorghum: aboveground fresh weight accumulation. We also suggest that the use of a crop growth model (CGM) can enhance predictions of integrative traits by decomposing them into more heritable intermediate traits.
UNASSIGNED: The results show that CNN outperformed both LASSO and Bayes C methods in accuracy, suggesting that CNN are better suited to predict integrative traits. Furthermore, the predictive ability of the combined CGM-GP approach surpassed that of GP without the CGM integration, irrespective of the regression method used.
UNASSIGNED: These results are consistent with recent works aiming to develop Genome-to-Phenotype models and advocate for the use of non-linear prediction methods, and the use of combined CGM-GP to enhance the prediction of crop performances.

Striga hermonthica (Del.) Benth., a parasitic weed, causes substantial yield losses in maize production in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). Breeding for Striga resistance in maize is constrained by limited genetic diversity for Striga resistance within the elite germplasm and phenotyping capacity under artificial Striga infestation. Genomics-enabled approaches have the potential to accelerate identification of Striga resistant lines for hybrid development. The objectives of this study were to evaluate the accuracy of genomic selection for traits associated with Striga resistance and grain yield (GY) and to predict genetic values of tested and untested doubled haploid (DH) maize lines. We genotyped 606 DH lines with 8,439 rAmpSeq markers. A training set of 116 DH lines crossed to two testers was phenotyped under artificial Striga infestation at three locations in Kenya. Heritability for Striga resistance parameters ranged from 0.38‒0.65 while that for GY was 0.54. The prediction accuracies for Striga resistance-associated traits across locations, as determined by cross validation (CV) were 0.24 to 0.53 for CV0 and from 0.20 to 0.37 for CV2. For GY, the prediction accuracies were 0.59 and 0.56 for CV0 and CV2, respectively. The results revealed 300 DH lines with desirable genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs) for reduced number of emerged Striga plants (STR) at 8, 10, and 12 weeks after planting. The GEBVs of DH lines for Striga resistance associated traits in the training and testing sets were similar in magnitude. These results highlight the potential application of genomic selection in breeding for Striga resistance in maize. The integration of genomic-assisted strategies and DH technology for line development coupled with forward breeding for major adaptive traits will enhance genetic gains in breeding for Striga resistance in maize.

BACKGROUND: Structural genomic variants (SVs) are prevalent in plant genomes and have played an important role in evolution and domestication, as they constitute a significant source of genomic and phenotypic variability. Nevertheless, most methods in quantitative genetics focusing on crop improvement, such as genomic prediction, consider only Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs). Deep Learning (DL) is a promising strategy for genomic prediction, but its performance using SVs and SNPs as genetic markers remains unknown.
RESULTS: We used rice to investigate whether combining SVs and SNPs can result in better trait prediction over SNPs alone and examine the potential advantage of Deep Learning (DL) networks over Bayesian Linear models. Specifically, the performances of BayesC (considering additive effects) and a Bayesian Reproducible Kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) regression (considering both additive and non-additive effects) were compared to those of two different DL architectures, the Multilayer Perceptron, and the Convolution Neural Network, to explore their prediction ability by using various marker input strategies. We found that exploiting structural and nucleotide variation slightly improved prediction ability on complex traits in 87% of the cases. DL models outperformed Bayesian models in 75% of the studied cases, considering the four traits and the two validation strategies used. Finally, DL systematically improved prediction ability of binary traits against the Bayesian models.
CONCLUSIONS: Our study reveals that the use of structural genomic variants can improve trait prediction in rice, independently of the methodology used. Also, our results suggest that Deep Learning (DL) networks can perform better than Bayesian models in the prediction of binary traits, and in quantitative traits when the training and target sets are not closely related. This highlights the potential of DL to enhance crop improvement in specific scenarios and the importance to consider SVs in addition to SNPs in genomic selection.

Blueberry (Vaccinium spp.) is among the most-consumed soft fruit and has been recognized as an important source of health-promoting compounds. Highly perishable and susceptible to rapid spoilage due to fruit softening and decay during postharvest storage, modern breeding programs are looking to maximize quality and extend the market life of fresh blueberries. However, it is uncertain how genetically controlled postharvest quality traits are in blueberries. This study aimed to investigate the prediction ability and genetic basis of the main fruit quality traits affected during blueberry postharvest to create breeding strategies for developing cultivars with an extended shelf life. To achieve this goal, we carried out target genotyping in a breeding population of 588 individuals and evaluated for several fruit quality traits after one day, one week, three weeks, and seven weeks of postharvest storage at 1 °C. Using longitudinal genome-based methods, we estimated genetic parameters and predicted unobserved phenotypes. Our results showed large diversity, moderate heritability, and consistent predictive accuracies along the postharvest storage for most of the traits. Regarding fruit quality, firmness showed the largest variation during postharvest storage, with a surprising number of genotypes maintaining or increasing their firmness even after seven weeks of cold storage. Our results suggest that we can effectively improve blueberry postharvest quality through breeding and use genomic prediction to maximize the genetic gains in the long term. We also emphasize the potential of using longitudinal genomic prediction models to predict fruit quality at extended postharvest periods by integrating known phenotypic data from harvest.

Switchgrass is a potential crop for bioenergy or carbon capture schemes, but further yield improvements through selective breeding are needed to encourage commercialization. To identify promising switchgrass germplasm for future breeding efforts, we conducted multi-site and multi-trait genomic prediction with a diversity panel of 630 genotypes from 4 switchgrass subpopulations (Gulf, Midwest, Coastal, and Texas), which were measured for spaced plant biomass yield across 10 sites. Our study focused on the use of genomic prediction to share information among traits and environments. Specifically, we evaluated the predictive ability of cross-validation (CV) schemes using only genetic data and the training set, (cross validation 1: CV1), a subset of the sites (cross validation 2: CV2), and/or with two yield surrogates (flowering time and fall plant height). We found that genotype-by-environment interactions were largely due to the north-south distribution of sites. The genetic correlations between yield surrogates and biomass yield were generally positive (mean height r=0.85; mean flowering time r=0.45) and did not vary due to subpopulation or growing region (North, Middle, South). Genomic prediction models had cross-validation predictive abilities of -0.02 for individuals using only genetic data (CV1) but 0.55, 0.69, 0.76, 0.81, and 0.84 for individuals with biomass performance data from one, two, three, four and five sites included in the training data (CV2), respectively. To simulate a resource-limited breeding program, we determined the predictive ability of models provided with: one site observation of flowering time (0.39), one site observation of flowering time and fall height (0.51), one site observation of fall height (0.52), one site observation of biomass (0.55), and five site observations of biomass yield (0.84). The ability to share information at a regional scale is very encouraging but further research is required to accurately translate spaced plant biomass to commercial-scale sward biomass performance.

Genomic prediction has emerged as a pivotal technology for the genetic evaluation of livestock, crops, and for predicting human disease risks. However, classical genomic prediction methods face challenges in incorporating biological prior information such as the genetic regulation mechanisms of traits. This study introduces a novel approach that integrates mRNA transcript information to predict complex trait phenotypes. To evaluate the accuracy of the new method, we utilized a Drosophila population that is widely employed in quantitative genetics researches globally. Results indicate that integrating mRNA transcript data can significantly enhance the genomic prediction accuracy for certain traits, though it does not improve phenotype prediction accuracy for all traits. Compared with GBLUP, the prediction accuracy for olfactory response to dCarvone in male Drosophila increased from 0.256 to 0.274. Similarly, the accuracy for cafe in male Drosophila rose from 0.355 to 0.401. The prediction accuracy for survival_paraquat in male Drosophila is improved from 0.101 to 0.138. In female Drosophila, the accuracy of olfactory response to 1hexanol increased from 0.147 to 0.210. In conclusion, integrating mRNA transcripts can substantially improve genomic prediction accuracy of certain traits by up to 43%, with range of 7% to 43%. Furthermore, for some traits, considering interaction effects along with mRNA transcript integration can lead to even higher prediction accuracy.
基因组预测已成为畜禽、作物遗传评估和人类疾病风险预测的主要技术，但经典的基因组预测方法在性状遗传调控机制等生物学先验信息的整合方面有一定的不足。本研究提出一种将mRNA转录本信息整合应用于复杂性状表型预测的方法。基于国际上广泛应用于数量遗传学研究的果蝇群体，对本研究提出的新方法进行准确性评估。结果显示，整合mRNA转录本，可有效提高部分性状基因组预测准确性，但对部分性状的表型预测准确性没有改善。与GBLUP相比，雄性果蝇D-香芹酮嗅觉反应(dCarvone)准确性由0.256提高到0.274，提高幅度7%。雄性果蝇咖啡因耐受反应(cafe)准确性由0.355提高到0.401，提高幅度13%。雄性果蝇百草枯耐受反应(survival_paraquat)准确性由0.101提高到0.138，提高幅度36%。雌性果蝇1-已醇嗅觉反应(1hexanol)准确性由0.147提高到0.210，提高幅度43%。综上所述，对于部分性状，通过整合mRNA转录本可有效提高基因组预测准确性(提高幅度为7%~43%)。对于部分性状，整合mRNA转录本并考虑互作效应可进一步提高预测准确性。.

Intermediate wheatgrass (IWG) is a perennial grass that produces nutritious grain while offering substantial ecosystem services. Commercial varieties of this crop are mostly synthetic panmictic populations that are developed by intermating a few selected individuals. As development and generation advancement of these synthetic populations is a multi-year process, earlier synthetic generations are tested by the breeders and subsequent generations are released to the growers. A comparison of generations within IWG synthetic cultivars is currently lacking. In this study, we used simulation models and genomic prediction to analyze population differences and trends of genetic variance in four synthetic generations of MN-Clearwater, a commercial cultivar released by the University of Minnesota. Little to no differences were observed among the four generations for population genetic, genetic kinship, and genome-wide marker relationships measured via linkage disequilibrium. A reduction in genetic variance was observed when 7 parents were used to generate synthetic populations while using 20 led to the best possible outcome in determining population variance. Genomic prediction of plant height, free threshing ability, seed mass, and grain yield among the four synthetic generations showed a few significant differences among the generations yet the difference in values were negligible. Based on these observations, we make two major conclusions: 1) The earlier and latter synthetic generations of IWG are mostly similar to each other with minimal differences; and 2) Using 20 genotypes to create synthetic populations is recommended to sustain ample genetic variance and trait expression among all synthetic generations.

UNASSIGNED: In plant breeding, we often aim to improve multiple traits at once. However, without knowing the economic value of each trait, it is hard to decide which traits to focus on. This is where \"desired gain selection indices\" come in handy, which can yield optimal gains in each trait based on the breeder\'s prioritisation of desired improvements when economic weights are not available. However, they lack the ability to maximise the selection response and determine the correlation between the index and net genetic merit.
UNASSIGNED: Here, we report the development of an iterative desired gain selection index method that optimises the sampling of the desired gain values to achieve a targeted or a user-specified selection response for multiple traits. This targeted selection response can be constrained or unconstrained for either a subset or all the studied traits.
UNASSIGNED: We tested the method using genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs) for seven traits in a bread wheat (Triticum aestivum) reference breeding population comprising 3,331 lines and achieved prediction accuracies ranging between 0.29 and 0.47 across the seven traits. The indices were validated using 3,005 double haploid lines that were derived from crosses between parents selected from the reference population. We tested three user-specified response scenarios: a constrained equal weight (INDEX1), a constrained yield dominant weight (INDEX2), and an unconstrained weight (INDEX3). Our method achieved an equivalent response to the user-specified selection response when constraining a set of traits, and this response was much better than the response of the traditional desired gain selection indices method without iteration. Interestingly, when using unconstrained weight, our iterative method maximised the selection response and shifted the average GEBVs of the selection candidates towards the desired direction.
UNASSIGNED: Our results show that the method is an optimal choice not only when economic weights are unavailable, but also when constraining the selection response is an unfavourable option.

In modern breeding practices, genomic prediction (GP) uses high-density single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) markers to predict genomic estimated breeding values (GEBVs) for crucial phenotypes, thereby speeding up selection breeding process and shortening generation intervals. However, due to the characteristic of genotype data typically having far fewer sample numbers than SNPs markers, overfitting commonly arise during model training. To address this, the present study builds upon the Least Squares Twin Support Vector Regression (LSTSVR) model by incorporating a Lasso regularization term named ILSTSVR. Because of the complexity of parameter tuning for different datasets, subtraction average based optimizer (SABO) is further introduced to optimize ILSTSVR, and then obtain the GP model named SABO-ILSTSVR. Experiments conducted on four different crop datasets demonstrate that SABO-ILSTSVR outperforms or is equivalent in efficiency to widely-used genomic prediction methods. Source codes and data are available at: https://github.com/MLBreeding/SABO-ILSTSVR.