Forest fire

森林火灾
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    发芽是植物生命周期中必不可少的现象,以及各种外部和内部因素的影响。火和产生的烟雾是许多植物种子萌发的重要环境刺激剂,比如雪草和佛罗里达的塞鲁里亚.如果没有火和烟,这些植物根本不会发芽。植物物种萌发的这种现象自古以来就存在于生态系统中。已经进行了各种研究以研究种子对烟雾及其提取物的反应,以通过燃烧各种植物材料并使通过水产生的烟雾起泡来刺激发芽。植物来源的烟雾和烟雾水的应用是众所周知的促进发芽,打破休眠,并检查非生物胁迫。这明显表明,植物来源的烟雾含有一些生物活性代谢物,负责种子萌发的生理代谢,并参与提高种子活力。本评论涉及古代使用烟雾和烟雾提取物进行种子引发,其制备的成本有效的方法,karrikins与植物感知有关的作用方式,以及它对各种作物的显著影响,包括它检查生物和非生物胁迫的能力。
    Germination is an essential phenomenon in the life cycle of plants, and a variety of external and internal factors influence it. Fire and the produced smoke have been vital environmental stimulants for the germination of seeds in many plant species, like Leucospermum cordifolium and Serruria florida. These plants do not germinate at all if fire and smoke are not present. This phenomenon of germination in plant species has existed in the ecosystem since ancient times. Various studies to study the response of seeds to smoke and its extracts have been undertaken for stimulation of germination by burning various plant materials and bubbling the smoke produced through water. The application of plant-derived smoke and smoke water is well known for promoting germination, breaking dormancy, and checking abiotic stress. This significantly indicates that plant-derived smoke contains some bioactive metabolites responsible for the physiological metabolism of seed germination and is involved in enhancing seed vigor. The present review deals with the ancient use of smoke and smoke extracts for seed priming, the cost-efficient method of its preparation, the mode of action of karrikins relating to its perception by plants, and its significant effects on various crops, including its ability to check biotic and abiotic stresses.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    森林火灾对环境和社会经济构成重大威胁,特别是在印度中部等地区,森林生态系统对生物多样性和当地生计至关重要。了解森林火灾动态和确定火灾危险区域对于有效缓解至关重要。本研究使用Mann-Kendall和Sen对MODIS(中分辨率成像光谱辐射计)火点数据的坡度测试,探讨了22年来印度中部地区Khandwa和NorthBetul森林分区森林火灾的时空动态。我们发现两个部门的森林火灾都没有显着增加。Khandwa显示出每年不显著的斜坡上升超过三个事件,而北贝图尔透露,每年增加大约一个事件。缺乏统计意义表明,森林火灾事件的上升趋势可能是随机波动而不是一致模式造成的。空间自相关分析显示,两个地区的火灾事故都存在明显的聚类。Khandwa证实了中度聚类(Moran'sI=0.043),而北贝图尔表现出稳健的聚类(Moran\sI=0.096)。核密度估计进一步确定了两个部门的高风险集群,需要分区有针对性的火灾管理策略。火灾风险区划采用层次分析法(AHP),结合10个环境和社会经济因素。AHP模型,使用MODIS火灾数据进行验证,显示出可靠的准确性。结果揭示了高风险到非常高风险类别中的许多部门。大约,Khandwa地区的45%和NorthBetul地区的近50%属于高火灾危险区域。Khandwa的高风险地区主要位于北部和东南部,而北贝图尔位于西北部和东北部地区。已确定的火灾易发地区表明迫切需要针对当地或特定地区的防火和减灾策略。因此,这项研究的结果为森林火灾风险管理提供了有价值的见解,并有助于更有针对性的研究和方法学发展。
    Forest fires pose significant environmental and socioeconomic threats, particularly in regions such as Central India, where forest ecosystems are vital for biodiversity and local livelihoods. Understanding forest fire dynamics and identifying fire risk zones are crucial for effective mitigation. The current study explores the spatiotemporal dynamics of forest fires in the Khandwa and North Betul forest divisions in the Central Indian region over 22 years using Mann-Kendall and Sen\'s slope tests on MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) fire point data. We found a nonsignificant increase in forest fires in both divisions. Khandwa showed a nonsignificant slope rise of more than three events per year, while North Betul revealed an increase of around one event per year. The lack of statistical significance suggests that upward trends of forest fire events may result from random fluctuations rather than consistent patterns. Spatial autocorrelation analysis revealed significant clustering of fire incidents in both regions. Khandwa confirmed moderate clustering (Moran\'s I = 0.043), whereas North Betul showed robust clustering (Moran\'s I = 0.096). Kernel density estimation further identified high-risk clusters in both divisions, necessitating zonal-wise targeted fire management strategies. Fire risk zonation was developed using the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), combining 10 environmental and socioeconomic factors. The AHP model, validated using MODIS fire data, showed reliable accuracy. The results revealed many of both divisions in the high- to very high-risk categories. Approximately, 45% of the area of the Khandwa and nearly 50% of the area of North Betul fall under high to very high fire risk zones. Khandwa\'s high-risk areas mainly lie in the northern and southeastern parts, while North Betul lies in the northwestern and north-eastern regions. The identified fire-prone areas indicate the pressing need for local or region-specific fire prevention and mitigation strategies. Thus, the findings of this study provide valuable insights into forest fire risk management and contribute to more focused research and methodological developments.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    森林生态系统面临越来越多的野火威胁,要求及时和精确的检测方法,以确保有效的消防控制。然而,森林火灾数据的实时可访问性和及时性要求提高。我们的研究通过引入基于无人机(UAV)的森林火灾数据库(UAV-FFDB)来解决这一挑战,以双重组成为特征。首先,它包含一组1653高分辨率RGB原始图像,这些图像是利用标准S500四轴飞行器框架与RaspiCamV2相机精心捕获的。其次,数据库包含增强的数据,最终共有15560张图像,从而增强数据集的多样性和全面性。这些图像是在阿达纳阿达纳·阿尔帕斯兰·蒂尔克什科学技术大学附近的森林区域内捕获的,土耳其。数据集中的每个原始图像的尺寸从353×314到640×480,而增强的数据范围从398x358到640×480,导致原始数据子集的总数据集大小为692MB。相比之下,增强的数据子集占了相当大的规模,总计6.76GB。原始图像是在无人机监视任务期间获得的,相机精确地成-180度的角度与地面水平。这些图像是从海拔5-15米之间交替拍摄的,以使视野多样化并建立更具包容性的数据库。在监视行动中,无人机平均速度为2米/秒。在此之后,使用高级注释平台对数据集进行了细致的注释,Makesense.ai,能够准确划分火灾边界。这一资源为研究人员提供了必要的数据基础设施,以开发早期火灾探测和持续监测的创新方法,加强保护生态系统和人类生命的努力,同时促进可持续森林管理做法。此外,UAV-FFDB数据集作为先进的基于人工智能的方法的进步和完善的基础基石,旨在自动化火灾分类,认可,检测,和分割任务具有无与伦比的精度和效率。
    Forest ecosystems face increasing wildfire threats, demanding prompt and precise detection methods to ensure efficient fire control. However, real-time forest fire data accessibility and timeliness require improvement. Our study addresses the challenge through the introduction of the Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) based forest fire database (UAVs-FFDB), characterized by a dual composition. Firstly, it encompasses a collection of 1653 high-resolution RGB raw images meticulously captured utilizing a standard S500 quadcopter frame in conjunction with a RaspiCamV2 camera. Secondly, the database incorporates augmented data, culminating in a total of 15560 images, thereby enhancing the diversity and comprehensiveness of the dataset. These images were captured within a forested area adjacent to Adana Alparslan Türkeş Science and Technology University in Adana, Turkey. Each raw image in the dataset spans dimensions from 353 × 314 to 640 × 480, while augmented data ranges from 398 × 358 to 640 × 480, resulting in a total dataset size of 692 MB for the raw data subset. In contrast, the augmented data subset accounts for a considerably larger size, totaling 6.76 GB. The raw images are obtained during a UAV surveillance mission, with the camera precisely angled a -180-degree to be horizontal to the ground. The images are taken from altitudes alternating between 5 - 15 meters to diversify the field of vision and to build a more inclusive database. During the surveillance operation, the UAV speed is 2 m/s on average. Following this, the dataset underwent meticulous annotation using the advanced annotation platform, Makesense.ai, enabling accurate demarcation of fire boundaries. This resource equips researchers with the necessary data infrastructure to develop innovative methodologies for early fire detection and continuous monitoring, enhancing efforts to protect ecosystems and human lives while promoting sustainable forest management practices. Additionally, the UAVs-FFDB dataset serves as a foundational cornerstone for the advancement and refinement of state-of-the-art AI-based methodologies, aiming to automate fire classification, recognition, detection, and segmentation tasks with unparalleled precision and efficacy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    泰国的森林火灾是一个反复出现的严峻挑战,造成广泛的破坏,并在全国最具破坏性的自然灾害中名列前茅。大多数检测方法都是劳动密集型的,缺乏早期检测的速度,或导致高昂的基础设施成本。缓解此问题的基本方法包括建立基于合并各种可用数据源和优化算法的有效森林火灾预警系统。这项研究试图开发一个二进制机器学习分类器,基于泰国2019年1月至2022年10月的森林火灾事件,使用从卫星资源获得的数据。包括谷歌地球引擎。我们使用四种气体变量,包括一氧化碳,二氧化硫,二氧化氮,和臭氧。这项研究探索了一系列分类模型,包含线性分类器,梯度提升分类器,和人工神经网络。XGBoost模型是各种分类评估指标中表现最好的选项。该模型提供99.6%的准确度和0.939的ROC-AUC评分。这些发现强调了集成气体测量传感器设备和地理空间数据的综合森林火灾预警系统的必要性。反馈机制也是必要的,以使模型在部署后重新训练,从而减少对地理空间属性的依赖。此外,鉴于基于决策树的算法始终如一地产生优异的结果,未来的森林火灾预测机器学习研究应该优先考虑这些方法。
    Forest fires in Thailand are a recurring and formidable challenge, inflicting widespread damage and ranking among the nation\'s most devastating natural disasters. Most detection methods are labor-intensive, lack speed for early detection, or result in high infrastructure costs. An essential approach to mitigating this issue involves establishing an efficient forest fire warning system based on amalgamating diverse available data sources and optimized algorithms. This research endeavors to develop a binary machine-learning classifier based on Thailand\'s forest fire occurrences from January 2019 to October 2022 using data acquired from satellite resources, including the Google Earth engine. We use four gas variables including carbon monoxide, sulfur dioxide, nitrogen dioxide, and ozone. The study explores a range of classification models, encompassing linear classifiers, gradient-boosting classifiers, and artificial neural networks. The XGBoost model is the top-performing option across various classification evaluation metrics. The model provides the accuracy of 99.6 % and ROC-AUC score of 0.939. These findings underscore the necessity for a comprehensive forest fire warning system that integrates gas measurement sensor devices and geospatial data. A feedback mechanism is also imperative to enable model retraining post-deployment, thereby diminishing reliance on geospatial attributes. Moreover, given that decision-tree-based algorithms consistently yield superior results, future research in machine learning for forest fire prediction should prioritize these approaches.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    从2023年5月初到2023年8月底,北半球经历了重大的野火活动,其中最广泛的火灾发生在加拿大。加拿大的森林大火摧毁了超过1560万公顷的森林。这些野火使整个地区和世界其他地区的空气质量恶化。到2023年6月底,烟雾到达了南欧。为了更好地了解这种远离发源地的森林火灾的后果,气溶胶光学,在此事件期间,使用可见红外成像辐射计套件(VIIRS)的数据分析了南欧的微物理和辐射特性,对流层监测仪(TROPOMI),和气溶胶机器人网络(AERONET)。TROPOMI气溶胶指数(AI)和一氧化碳(CO)产品证实烟雾直接来自这些森林火灾。来自西班牙南部ElArenosillo站点的AERONET数据显示,6月27日的最大气溶胶光学深度(AOD)值达到2.36。埃指数(AE)数据,气溶胶体积分布(VSD),单散射反照率(SSA),精细模式分数(FMF),体积颗粒浓度,有效半径(REff),吸收AOD(AAOD),消光AE(EAE)和吸收AE(AAE)表明,在ElArenosillo站点上方的大气中,具有含碳气溶胶贡献的细模式颗粒占主导地位。大气顶部(DARFTOA)和底部(DARFBOA)的直接气溶胶辐射强迫(DARF)分别为-103.1和-198.93Wm-2。发现大气气溶胶辐射强迫(DARFATM)为95.83Wm-2,加热速率为2.69Kday-1,这表明大气变暖。
    From the beginning of May 2023 to the end of August 2023, the Northern Hemisphere experienced significant wildfire activity with the most widespread fires occurring in Canada. Forest fires in Canada destroyed more than 15.6 million hectares of forests. These wildfires worsened air quality across the region and other parts of the world. The smoke reached southern Europe by the end of June 2023. To better understand the consequences of such forest fires far from the site of origin, aerosol optical, microphysical and radiative properties were analyzed during this event for southern Europe using data from the Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI), and Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET). TROPOMI aerosol index (AI) and the carbon monoxide (CO) product confirm that the smoke originated directly from these forest fires. AERONET data from the El Arenosillo site in southern Spain showed maximum aerosol optical depth (AOD) values on June 27 reached 2.36. Data on Angstrom Exponent (AE), aerosol volume size distribution (VSD), single scattering albedo (SSA), fine mode fraction (FMF), volume particle concentration, effective radius (REff), absorption AOD (AAOD), extinction AE (EAE) and absorption AE (AAE) showed that fine-mode particles with carbonaceous aerosols contribution predominated in the atmosphere above the El Arenosillo site. Direct aerosol radiative forcing (DARF) at the top (DARFTOA) and bottom of atmosphere (DARFBOA) were -103.1 and -198.93 Wm-2, respectively. The atmospheric aerosol radiative forcing (DARFATM) was found to be 95.83 Wm-2 and with a heating rate 2.69 K day-1, which indicates the resulting warming of the atmosphere.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究调查了在森林火灾场景中使用边缘计算对无人机(UAV)的动态部署。我们考虑了森林火灾的动态变化特征以及相应的不同资源需求。基于此,本文通过考虑无人机数量和位置的动态变化,对两时间尺度的无人机动态部署方案进行了建模。在缓慢的时间尺度中,我们使用门循环单元(GRU)来预测未来用户的数量,并根据资源需求确定无人机的数量。相应地更换具有低能量的UAV。在快速的时间尺度中,设计了一种基于深度强化学习的无人机位置部署算法,通过实时调整无人机位置来实现计算任务的低延迟处理,以满足地面设备的计算需求。仿真结果表明,该方案具有较好的预测精度。UAV的数量和位置可以适应资源需求变化并减少任务执行延迟。
    This study investigates the dynamic deployment of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) using edge computing in a forest fire scenario. We consider the dynamically changing characteristics of forest fires and the corresponding varying resource requirements. Based on this, this paper models a two-timescale UAV dynamic deployment scheme by considering the dynamic changes in the number and position of UAVs. In the slow timescale, we use a gate recurrent unit (GRU) to predict the number of future users and determine the number of UAVs based on the resource requirements. UAVs with low energy are replaced accordingly. In the fast timescale, a deep-reinforcement-learning-based UAV position deployment algorithm is designed to enable the low-latency processing of computational tasks by adjusting the UAV positions in real time to meet the ground devices\' computational demands. The simulation results demonstrate that the proposed scheme achieves better prediction accuracy. The number and position of UAVs can be adapted to resource demand changes and reduce task execution delays.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    山区森林在保护人民和基础设施免受自然灾害方面发挥着至关重要的作用。然而,森林目前正在经历越来越多的自然干扰(包括风,树皮甲虫的爆发和森林大火)可能会危害其将来提供这种生态系统服务的能力。这里,我们通过整合危害的风险成分,将风险映射到整个欧洲阿尔卑斯山的森林保护服务(在这种情况下,扰动发生的概率),暴露(保护人民或基础设施的森林比例),和脆弱性(森林在受到干扰后失去保护结构的概率)。我们将1986年至2020年的基于卫星的森林干扰数据与星载激光雷达(GEDI)的关键森林结构特征(覆盖率和高度)数据相结合,并使用集成模型根据地形和气候预测因子预测扰动概率和扰动后森林结构。风和树皮甲虫是阿尔卑斯山的主要自然干扰因子,年平均发生概率为0.05%,而森林火灾的可能性较小(年平均概率<0.01%),除了西南阿尔卑斯山.在一场骚乱之后,超过40%的森林保持着保护结构,强调残留的活树或枯树的重要作用。风和树皮甲虫扰动后的30年内,61%的森林可能会维持或恢复其保护性结构。火灾的脆弱性更高,火灾后30年,51%的森林仍然缺乏足够的保护结构。火灾脆弱性在干燥的地点尤其明显,也有很高的火灾隐患。将危害和脆弱性与防护林的暴露相结合,我们确定了186个高山城市,由于风和树皮甲虫,防护林的风险很高,和117具有高火灾风险。绘制生态系统服务的干扰风险图可以帮助确定在加剧的干扰制度下增加准备和管理森林以降低敏感性的优先领域。
    Mountain forests play an essential role in protecting people and infrastructure from natural hazards. However, forests are currently experiencing an increasing rate of natural disturbances (including windthrows, bark beetle outbreaks and forest fires) that may jeopardize their capacity to provide this ecosystem service in the future. Here, we mapped the risk to forests\' protective service across the European Alps by integrating the risk components of hazard (in this case, the probability of a disturbance occurring), exposure (the proportion of forests that protect people or infrastructure), and vulnerability (the probability that the forests lose their protective structure after a disturbance). We combined satellite-based data on forest disturbances from 1986 to 2020 with data on key forest structural characteristics (cover and height) from spaceborne lidar (GEDI), and used ensemble models to predict disturbance probabilities and post-disturbance forest structure based on topographic and climatic predictors. Wind and bark beetles are dominant natural disturbance agents in the Alps, with a mean annual probability of occurrence of 0.05%, while forest fires were less likely (mean annual probability <0.01%), except in the south-western Alps. After a disturbance, over 40% of forests maintained their protective structure, highlighting the important role of residual living or dead trees. Within 30 years after wind and bark beetle disturbance, 61% of forests were likely to either maintain or recover their protective structure. Vulnerability to fires was higher, with 51% of forest still lacking sufficient protective structure 30 years after fire. Fire vulnerability was especially pronounced at dry sites, which also had a high fire hazard. Combining hazard and vulnerability with the exposure of protective forests we identified 186 Alpine municipalities with a high risk to protective forests due to wind and bark beetles, and 117 with a high fire risk. Mapping the disturbance risk to ecosystem services can help identify priority areas for increasing preparedness and managing forests towards lower susceptibility under an intensifying disturbance regime.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化放大了森林火灾的频率和强度。森林火灾排放的大量PM1可以经历逐渐的大气扩散和远距离迁移,从而从源头上影响空气质量。然而,森林火灾排放的PM的化学成分和物理性质及其在大气传输过程中的变化仍不确定。在这项研究中,有机碳(OC)的演化,元素碳(EC),水溶性离子,在实验室研究了光氧化前后西南地区典型森林植被燃烧产生的烟气颗粒相中的水溶性金属。选择5天和9天的两个老化期。与新鲜排放相比,老化9天后,OC和TC质量浓度趋于降低。OP,预计PM1中的OC2和OC3将是新鲜烟雾的潜在指标,而OC3和OC4可以作为识别西南地区典型森林植被燃烧老化碳源的合适标记。K在新鲜PM1中表现出最高的水溶性离子,而NO3-成为老化PM1中最丰富的水溶性离子。NH4NO3是西南地区典型森林植被燃烧排放的主要次生无机气溶胶。值得注意的是,5天的老化期不足以完全形成二次无机气溶胶NH4NO3和(NH4)2SO4。老化后,西南地区典型森林植被燃烧PM1中水溶性金属Ni的质量浓度降低,而所有其他水溶性金属的平均质量浓度都有不同程度的增加。这些发现为研究森林火灾气溶胶的大气演变提供了有价值的数据支持和理论指导。以及有助于制定和管理大气环境安全和人类健康的政策。
    The frequency and intensity of forest fires are amplified by climate change. Substantial quantities of PM1 emitted from forest fires can undergo gradual atmospheric dispersion and long-range transport, thus impacting air quality far from the source. However, the chemical composition and physical properties of PM emitted from forest fires and its changes during atmospheric transport remain uncertain. In this study, the evolution of organic carbon (OC), elemental carbon (EC), water-soluble ions, and water-soluble metals in the particulate phase of smoke emitted from the typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China before and after photo-oxidation was investigated in the laboratory. Two aging periods of 5 and 9 days were selected. The OC and TC mass concentrations tended to decrease after 9-days aged compared to fresh emissions. OP, OC2, and OC3 in PM1 are expected to be potential indicators of fresh smoke, while OC3 and OC4 may serve as suitable markers for identifying aged carbon sources from the typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China. K+ exhibited the highest abundant water-soluble ion in fresh PM1, whereas NO3- became the most abundant water-soluble ion in aged PM1. NH4NO3 emerged as the primary secondary inorganic aerosol emitted from typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China. Notably, a 5-day aging period proved insufficient for the complete formation of the secondary inorganic aerosols NH4NO3 and (NH4)2SO4. After aging, the mass concentration of the water-soluble metal Ni in PM1 from typical forest vegetation combustion in Southwest China decreased, while the mean mass concentrations of all other water-soluble metals increased in varying degrees. These findings provide valuable data support and theoretical guidance for studying the atmospheric evolution of forest fire aerosols, as well as contribute to policy formulation and management of atmospheric environment safety and human health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化和人为活动影响了全球和区域森林火灾的频率和规模。尽管对森林火灾进行熟练的短期到广泛的预测对于当地社区的有效缓解至关重要,确定森林火灾对不同部门的影响也很重要,包括水资源和可持续发展。由于缺乏必要的数据集,有限的研究调查了发展中国家森林火灾与区域尺度的水文气象变量之间的关联,现在可以使用新托管的火灾危险指数全球再分析(称为火灾指数)来利用。当前的研究对印度八个火灾指数的时空变化进行了全面分析,以及它们与水文气象变量的关联,比如降水,温度,以及印度主要流域(Mahanadi)的水流。还探讨了这些指数在捕获真实火灾事件方面的准确性以及将火灾指数纳入长期水文模拟的潜在好处。结果表明,火灾指数可以准确地产生火灾季节(即,季风后和夏季)在印度。此外,森林火灾与水文气象变量密切相关,通常导致低流量状态。火灾指数还可以捕获实际的火灾事件,保持较高的标量精度。最后,当使用火灾指数作为预测因子对模拟水流进行后处理时,观察到未校准的水文模型模拟有所改善。总的来说,当前的研究对未测量盆地的火灾指数预测和水文模拟具有重要意义。
    Climate change and anthropogenic activities have influenced the frequency and magnitude of forest fires both globally and regionally. While skilful short- to extended-range prediction of forest fires is essential for effective mitigation in local communities, it is also important to identify the implications of forest fires on different sectors, including water resources and sustainable development. Limited studies have investigated the association between forest fires and hydrometeorological variables at the regional scale in developing countries due to the lack of necessary datasets, which can now be leveraged using the newly hosted global reanalysis of fire danger indices (referred to as fire indices). The current study presents a comprehensive analysis of the spatio-temporal variations of eight fire indices across India, as well as their association with hydro-meteorological variables, such as precipitation, temperature, and the streamflow of a major river basin (Mahanadi) in India. The accuracy of these indices in capturing real fire events and the potential benefit of incorporating fire indices into long-term hydrologic simulations are also explored. The results show that fire indices can accurately yield fire seasons (i.e., post-monsoon and summer) in India. Furthermore, forest fires are found to be strongly associated with hydro-meteorological variables, typically resulting in low streamflow regimes. Fire indices can also capture actual fire events, maintaining high scalar accuracy. Finally, an improvement in uncalibrated hydrologic model simulations is observed when simulated streamflow is post-processed using the fire indices as predictors. Overall, the current study has valuable implications for fire indices forecasting and hydrologic simulations in ungauged basins.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近被烧毁的北方森林的地上燃料负荷较低,对随后的野火产生负反馈。尽管有这样的反馈,在极端天气条件下,可以进行短时间的重燃(火灾之间≤20年)。重燃对生态系统恢复有影响,导致持久的植被变化。在这项研究中,我们描述了最近被烧毁的加拿大北方森林中火燃料反馈的强度,以及在最近被烧毁的地区压倒了对火蔓延的抵抗力的天气条件。我们使用了数千次大型北方火灾的每日火灾传播数据集,从遥感的热异常进行插值,我们将ERA5-Land的本地天气与火灾持续时间的每一天相关联。我们将>3公顷火生长的日子归类为蔓延日,并将与火周长≤20岁重叠的燃烧像素定义为短间隔重燃。逻辑回归的结果表明,最近被烧毁的地区的火灾蔓延的几率比长间隔火灾低50%;然而,所有加拿大北方生态区都经历了短暂的重燃(1981-2021年),每年超过100,000公顷。随着火灾天气条件的加剧,对火灾蔓延的抵抗力下降,允许火势在最近被烧毁的地区蔓延。与短间隔火势蔓延日相关的天气比长间隔蔓延时的天气更为极端,但总体差异不大(例如相对湿度降低2.6%)。由于气候变暖和干燥(1981-2021年),在西部北方森林中,有利于短时火蔓延的火灾天气频率显着增加。我们的结果表明,火灾燃料反馈的持续退化,这可能会随着气候变暖和干燥而继续。
    Recently burned boreal forests have lower aboveground fuel loads, generating a negative feedback to subsequent wildfires. Despite this feedback, short-interval reburns (≤20 years between fires) are possible under extreme weather conditions. Reburns have consequences for ecosystem recovery, leading to enduring vegetation change. In this study, we characterize the strength of the fire-fuel feedback in recently burned Canadian boreal forests and the weather conditions that overwhelm resistance to fire spread in recently burned areas. We used a dataset of daily fire spread for thousands of large boreal fires, interpolated from remotely sensed thermal anomalies to which we associated local weather from ERA5-Land for each day of a fire\'s duration. We classified days with >3 ha of fire growth as spread days and defined burned pixels overlapping a fire perimeter ≤20 years old as short-interval reburns. Results of a logistic regression showed that the odds of fire spread in recently burned areas were ~50% lower than in long-interval fires; however, all Canadian boreal ecozones experienced short-interval reburning (1981-2021), with over 100,000 ha reburning annually. As fire weather conditions intensify, the resistance to fire spread declines, allowing fire to spread in recently burned areas. The weather associated with short-interval fire spread days was more extreme than the conditions during long-interval spread, but overall differences were modest (e.g. relative humidity 2.6% lower). The frequency of fire weather conducive to short-interval fire spread has significantly increased in the western boreal forest due to climate warming and drying (1981-2021). Our results suggest an ongoing degradation of fire-fuel feedbacks, which is likely to continue with climatic warming and drying.
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