世界目前正处于全球粮食危机之中,这是由一系列相互促进的粮食系统冲击带来和加剧的。这项研究调查了六个亚洲国家(孟加拉国,吉尔吉斯共和国,老挝,巴基斯坦,菲律宾,和斯里兰卡)在COVID-19、地缘政治冲突造成的全球“多重危机”中,和气候变化。对来自全球数据库和世界粮食计划署国家数据的19项指标进行了趋势分析,代表食物系统弹性的四个领域:暴露于冲击;弹性能力以及农业和食物多样性,弹性反应和策略;以及长期弹性结果。分析显示,所有六个国家都经历了“多危机”的影响,导致对汇率的不同影响,斯里兰卡,巴基斯坦,老挝人民民主共和国面临大幅货币贬值。虽然大多数国家在危机期间增加了作物产量,减少了粮食进口,大流行期间政府的经济支持差异很大。弹性结果,包括国家食品价格上涨和面临粮食不安全的人口比例,见证了向上的变化。总的来说,在“多危机”开始时具有较高抵御能力的国家显示出不那么严重的长期抵御能力结果。我们的调查结果强调了每个国家面临的各种挑战和抵御能力,受复杂的经济相互作用的影响,政治,农业,和食品可负担性因素对于确定其食品系统的长期韧性至关重要。未来研究的建议包括关注食物系统的弹性评估,整合气候变化适应措施,并制定早期干预策略。
The world is currently in the midst of a global food crisis brought about and exacerbated by a series of mutually reinforcing shocks to food systems This study investigated the resilience of food systems in six Asian countries (Bangladesh, Kyrgyz Republic, Lao PDR, Pakistan, Philippines, and Sri Lanka) amidst the global \'polycrisis\' caused by COVID-19, geopolitical conflicts, and climate change. Trend analyses were performed for 19 indicators sourced from global databases and World Food Programme national data, representing the four domains of food system resilience: exposure to shocks; resilience capacities and agro- and food diversity, resilience responses and strategies; and long-term resilience outcomes. The analysis revealed that all six countries experienced the effects of the \'polycrisis\', leading to diverse impacts on exchange rates, with Sri Lanka, Pakistan, and Lao PDR facing significant currency depreciation. While most countries increased crop production and decreased food imports during the crisis, government economic support during the pandemic varied widely. Resilience outcomes, including national food price inflation and the proportion of populations facing food insecurity, witnessed upward variations. Overall, countries with higher resilience capacities at the start of the \'polycrisis\' showed less severe long-term resilience outcomes. Our findings highlight the varied challenges and resilience capacities across each country, influenced by a complex interplay of economic, political, agricultural, and food affordability factors crucial for determining long-term resilience in their food systems. Recommendations for future research include focusing on resilience assessment in food systems, integrating climate change adaptation measures, and developing early intervention strategies.