Family Planning Policy

计划生育政策
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在过去的几十年中,由于计划生育政策的实施,中国经历了重大的社会经济转型。这些社会变化导致女性对发展心脏代谢疾病(CMD)的易感性增加。不幸的是,调查中国计划生育政策与CMD发病率之间相关性的研究仍然很少。
    方法:来自1,226名女性的数据,30岁或以上,活产≥1,收集了2018年1月至2021年12月期间进行的常规体检,按1例、2例和≥3例活产数量分组.采用二元逻辑回归模型来检查活产数量与CMD之间的关联。此外,我们进行了亚组分析,以阐明CMD实施计划生育政策的影响.
    结果:活产≥3的妇女往往年龄较大,有更高的重力,中心性肥胖的比例更高,一般肥胖,高血压,血脂异常(均P<0.05)。在三组中(活产=1,=2和≥3),肥胖的比值比(OR)与95%CI分别为:1.00,3.32(2.36-4.69),和5.73(3.79-8.68);对于血脂异常分别为:1.00,1.75(1.29-2.39),和2.02(1.38-2.94);CMD为:1.00、1.91(1.44-2.54),和2.15(1.46-3.15),(均P<0.05)。此外,根据中国生育政策的不同时期,亚组分析(其中年龄分为≤45岁,45-65岁和≥65岁)发现,每增加一次活产会增加年轻一代肥胖和CMD的患病率风险,而高血压和血脂异常则发生在老一辈。
    结论:在中国西南地区妇女中,较高的活产与CMD的患病率呈正相关。此外,独生子女政策实施后分娩往往具有较高的CMD发展风险。
    BACKGROUND: China has undergone a significant socioeconomic transformation over the past few decades due to the implementation of family planning policies. These societal changes have resulted in an increased susceptibility among females to developing cardiometabolic diseases (CMD). Unfortunately, studies investigating the correlation between family planning policies in China and the incidence of CMD remain scarce.
    METHODS: Data from 1,226 females, aged 30 years or older with ≥ 1 live birth, undergoing routine physical examinations between January 2018 and December 2021 were collected, and they were grouped by number of live births 1, 2, and ≥ 3. A binary logistic regression model was employed to examine the association between the number of live births with CMD. Furthermore, the subgroup analysis was performed to elucidate the impact of the implementation of family planning policies with CMD.
    RESULTS: Women with live births ≥ 3 tended to be older, had higher gravidities, a greater proportion of central obesity, general obesity, hypertension, and dyslipidemia (all P < 0.05). Across the three groups (live birth = 1, =2 and ≥ 3), the odds ratio (OR) with 95% CI for obesity were: 1.00, 3.32 (2.36-4.69), and 5.73 (3.79-8.68); for dyslipidemia were: 1.00, 1.75 (1.29-2.39), and 2.02 (1.38-2.94); and for CMD were: 1.00, 1.91 (1.44-2.54), and 2.15 (1.46-3.15), respectively (all P < 0.05). In addition, based on the different periods of the childbearing policy in China, a subgroup analysis (where age was divided into ≤ 45, 45-65, and ≥ 65 years old) found that each additional live birth increased the prevalence risk of obesity and CMD in the younger generations, while hypertension and dyslipidemia in the elder generation.
    CONCLUSIONS: Higher live births are positively associated with the prevalence of CMD among women in Southwest China. Moreover, giving birth after the implementation of the one-child policy tends to have a higher risk of developing CMD.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自2016年以来,中国逐步放宽计划生育政策以刺激出生率。本文通过分析中国家庭面板研究的睡眠模式数据,考察了中国2016年普遍二胎政策(UTCP)对行为健康的影响。午睡是一个综合指标,表示健康结果,工作质量,和个人福祉。它在一定程度上揭示了工作条件和环境。UTCP可能会导致社会对怀孕可能性的期望提高,工作场所内社会期望的变化可能会使工作环境变得不那么公平,对女性来说压力更大。利用差异模型,本文探讨了工作年龄人群中的午睡行为对政策转变的反应。我们的分析揭示了针对政策的性别差异,具体来说,女性午睡的可能性明显减少,以及白天小睡和日常睡眠的持续时间。相反,这种影响在男性中并不显著。这些结果表明,政策后果超出了直接受分娩或考虑为人父母的影响。因此,虽然促进生育仍然是政府的目标,鼓励决策者考虑女性人口面临的来自社会和工作场所环境因素的更广泛挑战。
    Since 2016, China has progressively relaxed family planning policies to stimulate birth rates. This paper examines the behavioral health repercussions of China\'s 2016 universal two-child policy (UTCP) by analyzing sleep pattern data from China Family Panel Studies. Napping is a composite indicator that denotes health outcomes, job quality, and personal well-being. It reveals work conditions and environments to some extent. UTCP may lead to heightened social expectations regarding pregnancy likelihood, and changes in social expectations within the workplace may make work environments less equitable and more stressful for females. Leveraging a difference-in-difference model, this paper explores how napping behaviors among the working-age cohort have responded to the policy shifts. Our analysis reveals a gender discrepancy in response to the policy, specifically, females exhibit a discernible reduction in the likelihood of napping, as well as in the duration of both daytime naps and daily sleep. Conversely, such effects are not significant among males. These results suggest policy consequences extend beyond individuals directly impacted by childbirth or contemplating parenthood. Hence, while promoting fertility is still the government\'s goal, policymakers are encouraged to consider the broader challenges the female population faces from social and workplace environment factors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:中国的计划生育政策经历了独生子女政策阶段,部分二胎政策,和普遍的二胎政策。然而,这些政策变化对妇女和儿童获得妇幼保健(MCH)服务的空间可及性的影响仍然不确定。这项研究旨在评估在二胎政策背景下对MCH服务的空间可达性的时空趋势和地理差异。
    方法:本研究在南宁市进行,中国,从2013年到2019年。交通网络上的数据,妇幼保健机构,每年的新生儿数量,收集了南宁市每年的孕妇人数。采用高斯两步浮动集水区(Ga2SFCA)方法来测量县对MCH服务的空间可达性,乡镇,和村庄层面。使用Joinpoint回归分析分析了空间可达性的时间趋势。使用地理信息系统(GIS)制图技术确定了空间可达性的地理差异。
    结果:总体而言,2013年至2019年,县级妇幼保健服务的空间可达性呈上升趋势,镇,和村庄层面,年平均百分比变化(AAPC)分别为5.04、4.73和5.39。具体来说,在父母双方独生子女的部分二胎政策期间,空间可达性经历了轻微的下降趋势(即,2013-2014),在父母一方独生子女的部分二胎政策期间略有上升趋势(即,2014-2016)和普遍二胎政策的早期阶段(即,2016-2018),以及普遍二胎政策后期的大幅上升趋势(即,2018-2019年)。从中心城区到周边农村,妇幼保健服务的空间可达性逐渐下降。空间可达性低的地区主要位于偏远的农村地区。
    结论:随着二胎政策的逐步开放,妇女和儿童获得妇幼保健服务的空间可及性总体上有所改善。然而,在二胎政策的整个阶段,显著的地理差异一直存在。应考虑采取综合措施,提高妇幼保健服务对妇女和儿童的公平性。
    BACKGROUND: China\'s family planning policies have experienced stages of one-child policy, partial two-child policy, and universal two-child policy. However, the impact of these policy shifts on the spatial accessibility to maternal and child health (MCH) services for women and children remains uncertain. This study aimed to evaluate the spatiotemporal trends and geographic disparities in spatial accessibility to MCH services in the context of two-child polices.
    METHODS: This study was conducted in Nanning prefecture, China, from 2013 to 2019. Data on the transportation networks, MCH institutes, the annual number of newborns, and the annual number of pregnant women in Nanning prefecture were collected. Gaussian two-step floating catchment area (Ga2SFCA) method was employed to measure the spatial accessibility to MCH services at county, township, and village levels. Temporal trends in spatial accessibility were analyzed using Joinpoint regression analysis. Geographic disparities in spatial accessibility were identified using geographic information system (GIS) mapping techniques.
    RESULTS: Overall, the spatial accessibility to MCH services showed an upward trend from 2013 to 2019 at county, town, and village levels, with the average annual percent change (AAPC) being 5.04, 4.73, and 5.39, respectively. Specifically, the spatial accessibility experienced a slight downward trend during the period of partial two-child policy for both parents only children (i.e., 2013-2014), a slight upward trend during the period of partial two-child policy for either parent only child (i.e., 2014-2016) and the early stages of universal two-child policy (i.e., 2016-2018), and a large upward trend in the later stages of universal two-child policy (i.e., 2018-2019). Spatial accessibility to MCH services gradually decreased from central urban areas to surrounding rural areas. Regions with low spatial accessibility were predominantly located in remote rural areas.
    CONCLUSIONS: With the gradual opening of the two-child policies, the spatial accessibility to MCH services for women and children has generally improved. However, significant geographic disparities have persisted throughout the stages of the two-child policies. Comprehensive measures should be considered to improve equity in MCH services for women and children.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    基于2012-2020年中国家庭面板研究(CFPS)数据,通过差异差异(DID)模型估计了“普遍二孩”(UTC)政策对中国女性就业收入的影响。我们的结果表明,UTC政策导致女性就业收入平均下降20.86%。此外,我们揭示了UTC政策对女性收入影响的中介效应,并发现UTC政策通过减少工作时间和小时工资导致女性收入减少。此外,我们发现,UTC政策对女性就业收入的负面影响在35岁以下和没有学士学位的女性中更大。
    Based on China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) data from 2012 to 2020, we estimate the effect of the \"Universal Two-Child\" (UTC) policy on women\'s employment income in China by the Difference-in-Difference (DID) model. Our results show that the UTC policy leads to an average decrease of 20.86% in women\'s employment income. Moreover, we reveal the mediation effect in the impact of the UTC policy on women\'s income and find that the UTC policy leads to a decrease in women\'s income by reducing their working hours and hourly wages. Furthermore, we find that the negative impacts of the UTC policy on women\'s employment income are greater among women under 35 years old and those without a bachelor\'s degree.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:根据第七次全国人口普查,中国的生育率低于1.5,标志着一个具有潜在风险的重大国家问题。为了应对这种低出生率,中国政府放宽了计划生育政策,出台了扶持措施。
    目的:生育政策的变化引起了中国人民的广泛关注。本文旨在以微博为窗口,研究公众对三胎抚养政策的反应。目标是对当前观点提供更平衡的评估,使政策制定者能够制定更好的生育率信息,特别是在预期公众对有争议的政策反应不佳的时候。
    方法:本研究使用爬虫从新浪微博收集数据。通过对微博有关三胎政策的意见挖掘,从关注内容和情感倾向两个角度分析了微博用户对三胎政策的在线观点。使用中断的时间序列,它检查了在线对政策的看法的变化,将政策文档与微博的时间节点进行匹配。
    结果:公众对与改善生育保险有关的政策表现出极大的兴趣,并提供了短期的积极反馈,出生奖励,和住房补贴。相比之下,对延长产假等政策一直有负面反应,这尤其引起了妇女对未来就业和婚姻权利保护的担忧。在社交媒体上,公众对三胎生育政策的关注主要集中在保护妇女权利上,特别是分娩后的合法权利,以及与身心健康有关的问题。育儿支持和经济压力也是热门话题,涉及多子女家庭的日常开支,托儿服务,住房压力。然而,这项研究还表明,不育或单身女性表达了强烈的生育愿望,但是由于个人医疗保险制度的局限性,这个愿望没有得到充分满足。
    我们的研究表明,使用近乎实时的社交媒体数据,快速灵活地评估公众对中国各种三胎支持政策的反应的可行性。这些信息可以帮助决策者预测公众对未来大流行三胎政策的反应,并确保有足够的资源用于解决面对科学知情但有争议的负面情绪和分歧程度的增加,限制。
    BACKGROUND: According to the Seventh National Census, China\'s fertility rate is less than 1.5, marking a significant national issue with potential risks. To counter this low birth rate, the Chinese government has relaxed family planning policies and introduced supportive measures.
    OBJECTIVE: Changes in birth policy have attracted considerable attention from the people of China. This article aims to study the public\'s response to the three-child support policy using Weibo as a window. The goal is to provide a more balanced evaluation of current perspectives, enabling policymakers to formulate better fertility information, particularly when anticipating a poor public response to controversial policies.
    METHODS: This research uses a crawler to gather data from Sina Weibo. Through opinion mining of Weibo posts on the three-child policy, Weibo users\' online opinions on the three-child policy are analyzed from two perspectives: their attention content and sentiment tendency. Using an interrupted time series, it examines changes in online views on the policy, matching policy documents to the time nodes of Weibo posts.
    RESULTS: The public has shown great interest in and provided short-term positive feedback on policies related to improving maternity insurance, birth rewards, and housing subsidies. In contrast, there has been a continuous negative response to policies such as extending maternity leave, which has particularly sparked concerns among women regarding future employment and marital rights protection. On social media, the public\'s attention to the three-child birth policy has focused mainly on the protection of women\'s rights, especially legal rights after childbirth, and issues related to physical and mental health. Child-rearing support and economic pressure are also hot topics, involving the daily expenses of multichild families, childcare services, and housing pressure. However, this study also revealed that infertile or single women express a strong desire to have children, but due to limitations in the personal medical insurance system, this desire has not been fully satisfied.
    UNASSIGNED: Our study demonstrates the feasibility of a rapid and flexible method for evaluating the public response to various three-child supportive policies in China using near real-time social media data. This information can help policy makers anticipate public responses to future pandemic three-child policies and ensure that adequate resources are dedicated to addressing increases in negative sentiment and levels of disagreement in the face of scientifically informed but controversial, restrictions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国实施二胎政策后,高危妊娠的患病率增加,但这一政策变化对妊娠多重高危因素(MHFP)的负担和特征的影响尚未得到充分探讨.我们假设MHFP的概况可能在二胎政策实施后发生了变化,旨在估计患病率,互相关,以及MHFP引入前后的结果。
    我们获得了淮安实施全面二胎政策之前(2015年)和之后(2020/2021年)的孕妇人口数据。然后,我们在基于五色管理框架的分析中纳入了33个风险因素,并将MHFP定义为具有两个或多个这些因素的个体。我们还估计了每个单因素及其共存的患病率的变化。最后,我们进行了网络分析以评估这些因素之间的相互关系,并使用logistic回归模型来评估MHFP相关的妊娠结局.
    我们观察到实施全面二胎政策后MHFP的患病率有所增加(2015年为25.8%,2020/2021年为38.4%,P<0.01)。慢性病(例如妊娠期糖尿病,异常体重指数)在纳入因素中增幅最大,而心血管疾病和高血压疾病是网络结构的中心因素。从2015年到2020/2021年,高龄孕妇与异常妊娠史和子宫瘢痕的相关性显着增加。MHFP与多胎妊娠结局相关,包括早产(调整比值比(AOR)=2.57;95%置信区间(CI)=2.39-2.75),低出生体重(AOR=2.77;95%CI=2.54-3.02),低Apgar评分(aOR=1.41;95%CI=1.19-1.67),围产期死亡(aOR=1.75;95%CI=1.44-2.12),和新生儿死亡(aOR=1.76;95%CI=1.42-2.18)。此外,越来越多的MHFP和某些组合与更高的妊娠结局几率相关.例如,早产的aOR从1个危险因素的1.67(95%CI=1.52-1.87)增加到≥4个危险因素的8.03(95%CI=6.99-9.22).
    二胎政策出台后,中国女性经历了更高的多重高危因素负担,尤其是那些高龄产妇,肥胖,和慢性病。应优先考虑针对MHFP妇女慢性病的策略,并且在不断扩大的中国孕产妇保健系统中需要转向以多因素为导向的框架。
    UNASSIGNED: The prevalence of high-risk pregnancy increased after the implementation of two-child policy in China, but the impact of this policy change on the burden and profile of multiple high-risk factors in pregnancy (MHFP) has been insufficiently explored. We hypothesised that the profile of MHFP might have changed after the two-child policy was implemented and aimed to estimate the prevalence, intercorrelation, and outcomes of MHFP before and after its introduction.
    UNASSIGNED: We obtained data on the population of pregnant women before (2015) and after (2020/2021) the implementation of universal two-child policy in Huai\'an. We then included 33 risk factors in our analysis based on the Five-Colour Management framework and defined MHFP as an individual having two or more of these factors. We also estimated the changes of the prevalence of each single factor and their coexistence. Lastly, we performed a network analysis to assess the intercorrelations across these factors and used logistic regression models to evaluate MHFP-related pregnancy outcomes.
    UNASSIGNED: We observed an increase in the prevalence of MHFP after the implementation of the universal two-child policy (25.8% in 2015 vs 38.4% in 2020/2021, P < 0.01). Chronic conditions (e.g. gestational diabetes mellitus, abnormal body mass index) had the largest increase among the included factors, while cardiovascular disease and hypertensive disorders were central factors of the network structures. The correlations of advanced maternal age with abnormal pregnancy histories and scarred uteri increased significantly from 2015 to 2020/2021. MHFP was associated with multiple pregnancy outcomes, including preterm birth (adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 2.57; 95% confidence interval (CI) = 2.39-2.75), low birthweight (aOR = 2.77; 95% CI = 2.54-3.02), low Apgar score (aOR = 1.41; 95% CI = 1.19-1.67), perinatal death (aOR = 1.75; 95% CI = 1.44-2.12), and neonatal death (aOR = 1.76; 95% CI = 1.42-2.18). Moreover, an increasing number and certain combinations of MHFP were associated with higher odds of pregnancy outcomes. For example, the aOR of preterm birth increased from 1.67 (95% CI = 1.52-1.87) for one risk factor to 8.03 (95% CI = 6.99-9.22) for ≥4 risk factors.
    UNASSIGNED: Chinese women experienced a higher burden of multiple high-risk factors after the introduction of the two-child policy, particularly those with advanced maternal age, obesity, and chronic conditions. Strategies targeting chronic conditions for women with MHFP should be prioritised and a shift to a multiple-factor-oriented framework is needed in the expanding Chinese maternal health care system.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:评估患者是否有能力并愿意自我管理和解释EldonCard测试以确定其Rh状态。
    方法:这是檀香山的一项横断面研究,HI,美国有怀孕能力的人年龄在14-50岁之间,他们不知道自己的血型,也从未使用过EldonCard。参与者独立完成EldonCard测试,确定了他们的Rh类型,并回答了关于可行性和可接受性的调查。分别,一名失明的临床医生记录了他们对参与者EldonCard的解释。如果可用,我们从电子健康记录(EHR)中获得了血型.我们测量了参与者之间的Rh类型协议,临床医生和EHR,以及参与者的舒适度和测试的可接受性。
    结果:在330名参与者中,288(87.3%)完成测试。患者和临床医生对Rh状态的EldonCard的解释具有94.0%的一致性。患者解释与EHR有83.5%的一致性,而临床医生和EHR有92.3%的一致性。患者和临床医生对EldonCard解释的敏感性为100%。患者的特异性为83.2%,临床医生为92.2%。两名患者(117名)在EHR中具有Rh阴性血型。绝大多数参与者发现EldonCard测试很容易(94.4%),并且感觉做测试很舒服(93.7%)。受教育程度较低的参与者感到不那么自信(p=0.003),对测试不太满意(p=0.038);然而,他们解释结果的能力与其他人相似(p=0.051).
    结论:通过EldonCard对患者进行Rh分型是一种有效且可接受的选择,并可用作Rh状态的主要筛查测试。
    OBJECTIVE: To evaluate whether patients are capable and willing to self-administer and interpret an EldonCard test to determine their Rh status.
    METHODS: This was a cross-sectional study in Honolulu, HI, USA of pregnancy-capable people aged 14-50 years who did not know their blood type and had never used an EldonCard. Participants independently completed EldonCard testing, determined their Rh type and answered a survey on feasibility and acceptability. Separately, a blinded clinician recorded their interpretation of the participant\'s EldonCard. When available, we obtained blood type from the electronic health record (EHR). We measured Rh type agreement between participant, clinician and EHR, as well as participant comfort and acceptability of testing.
    RESULTS: Of the 330 total participants, 288 (87.3%) completed testing. Patients and clinicians had 94.0% agreement in their interpretation of the EldonCard for Rh status. Patient interpretation had 83.5% agreement with EHR while clinician and EHR had 92.3% agreement. Sensitivity of EldonCard interpretation by patient and clinician was 100%. Specificity was 83.2% for patients and 92.2% for clinicians. Two patients (of 117) had Rh-negative blood type in the EHR. The vast majority of participants found the EldonCard testing easy (94.4%) and felt comfortable doing the testing (93.7%). Participants with lower education levels felt less confident (p=0.003) and less comfortable with testing (p=0.038); however, their ability to interpret results was similar to others (p=0.051).
    CONCLUSIONS: Patient-performed Rh typing via the EldonCard is an effective and acceptable option for patients, and could be used as a primary screening test for Rh status.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    加强计划生育干预措施的设计对于促进性别平等和改善母婴健康结果至关重要。我们确定,批判性评价,以及五个选定国家的综合政策和战略,这些政策和战略成功地增加了计划生育的覆盖面。
    我们通过范围审查和文档搜索进行了政策分析,重点关注1950年至2023年出版的文件,这些文件审查或评估了旨在提高巴西计划生育覆盖面的政策,厄瓜多尔,埃及,埃塞俄比亚,卢旺达。通过PubMed进行了搜索,Scopus,和WebofScience。政府文件和会议记录也得到了严格的分析。对国家健康调查进行了分析,以估计现代方法(mDFPS)在国家一级和财富方面满足的计划生育需求的时间趋势。还评估了方法组合的变化。研究结果以叙事综合形式呈现。
    我们选择了231项研究,其中确定了196项政策。所有国家都在1960年代开始支持计划生育,已确定的政策数量在厄瓜多尔的21个和埃塞俄比亚的52个之间。大多数政策专门针对妇女,涉及提供避孕药具和提高服务质量。对所执行政策的监测和评价工作没有什么重点。
    在选定的五个国家中,许多行动同时发生,每个人都有自己的活力和热情。我们的调查结果强调,这五个国家通过实施更广泛的多部门政策并考虑到人口的不同需求,成功地增加了计划生育的覆盖面,以及起作用的具体背景因素。成功的政策需要细致入微地考虑这些政策如何与每种文化的框架保持一致,认识到社会文化规范和过去公共政策的影响塑造了计划生育的现状。
    UNASSIGNED: Enhancing the design of family planning interventions is crucial for promoting gender equality and improving maternal and child health outcomes. We identified, critically appraised, and synthesized policies and strategies from five selected countries that successfully increased family planning coverage.
    UNASSIGNED: We conducted a policy analysis through a scoping review and document search, focusing on documents published from 1950 to 2023 that examined or assessed policies aimed at enhancing family planning coverage in Brazil, Ecuador, Egypt, Ethiopia, and Rwanda. A search was conducted through PubMed, SCOPUS, and Web of Science. Government documents and conference proceedings were also critically analyzed. National health surveys were analyzed to estimate time trends in demand for family planning satisfied by modern methods (mDFPS) at the national level and by wealth. Changes in the method mix were also assessed. The findings of the studies were presented in a narrative synthesis.
    UNASSIGNED: We selected 231 studies, in which 196 policies were identified. All countries started to endorse family planning in the 1960s, with the number of identified policies ranging between 21 in Ecuador and 52 in Ethiopia. Most of the policies exclusively targeted women and were related to supplying contraceptives and enhancing the quality of the services. Little focus was found on monitoring and evaluation of the policies implemented.
    UNASSIGNED: Among the five selected countries, a multitude of actions were happening simultaneously, each with its own vigor and enthusiasm. Our findings highlight that these five countries were successful in increasing family planning coverage by implementing broader multi-sectoral policies and considering the diverse needs of the population, as well as the specific contextual factors at play. Successful policies require a nuanced consideration of how these policies align with each culture\'s framework, recognizing that both sociocultural norms and the impact of past public policies shape the current state of family planning.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文研究了基于激励的生育政策可能降低劳动收入份额的影响机制。首先,利用生产函数分析了实现这种影响机制的具体路径。研究发现,基于激励的生育政策引发了高储蓄,这意味着更多,更便宜,和更容易获得的资本投资于生产。以要素贡献为基础赚取收入的分配制度,为资本带来的收益多于劳动,即,劳动收入份额较低,劳动力和资本之间的收入差距扩大。第二,影响机制包括三个理论假设。它们是,令人鼓舞的生育政策与劳动收入份额负相关;如果研究对象处于封闭经济中,这种关系是有效的;资本集约化是影响劳动收入份额的生育政策的中介变量。最后,为了进一步证实本文的影响机理,运用Hansen门槛面板模型验证了生育政策对劳动收入份额的影响具有门槛效应。这表明,在生育政策改变前后,前者对后者的影响发生了显著变化,确认影响机制的存在。已有文献很少关注激励生育政策对劳动收入差距的影响。以资本集约化为中介变量,本文论证了前者对后者的影响。鉴于此,在鼓励生育政策下,本文提出了提高劳动收入份额以缩小劳动与资本收入差距的具体措施。
    This paper investigates the impact mechanism by which an incentive-based fertility policy may reduce the labor income share. First, the specific paths through which this impact mechanism is realized are analyzed using the production function. It is found that an incentive-based fertility policy triggers high savings, which implies more, cheaper, and more readily available capital to be invested in production. A distribution system that earns income based on factor contributions results in more gains for capital than labor, i.e., a lower share of labor income and a wider income gap between labor and capital. Second, the impact mechanism includes three theoretical hypotheses. They are that an encouraging fertility policy is negatively related to labor income share; this relationship is valid provided that the study subject is in a closed economy; and that capital intensification is a mediator variable of fertility policy affecting labor income share. Finally, to further corroborate the impact mechanism in this paper, a Hansen threshold panel model is applied to verify that the effect of fertility policy on labor income share has a threshold effect. This indicates that the effect of the former on the latter changes significantly before and after the change in fertility policy, confirming the existence of an impact mechanism. The established literature has paid little attention to the impact of incentivised fertility policies on the labour income gap. Using capital intensification as the mediating variable, this paper demonstrates the existence of the former effect on the latter. In view of this, under the encouraged fertility policy, this paper proposes specific measures to enhance the labor income share in order to narrow the income gap between labor and capital.
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