Epidemiologic Methods

流行病学方法
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    样本量的计算是研究设计的重要组成部分,因为它影响到研究的可靠性和可行性。在这篇文章中,我们看看不同类型研究的样本量计算原则。
    Calculation of sample size is an essential part of research study design since it affects the reliability and feasibility of the research study. In this article, we look at the principles of sample size calculation for different types of research studies.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在循证医学框架中,最高水平的证据来自双重掩蔽的定量合成,高品质,随机分配的对照试验。随机分配的对照试验的荟萃分析表明,筛查乳房X线照相术可以减少乳腺癌的死亡。在美国,每个主要的指南制定组织都建议对平均风险的女性进行乳房X光检查;然而,关于年龄和频率存在争议。精心控制的观察研究和统计建模研究可以解决证据差距,并为基于证据的,当代筛选实践。随着乳腺影像学放射科医生开发和评估现有和新的筛查测试和技术,他们需要了解决策者和卫生服务研究人员使用的关键方法学考虑因素和科学标准,以支持传播和实施循证筛查测试。Wilson和Jungner原则以及美国预防服务工作组一般分析框架提供了对筛查测试有效性的结构化评估。这两个框架中的关键考虑因素包括公共卫生意义,疾病的自然史,成本效益,以及筛选试验和治疗的特点。使用分析框架对筛查测试进行严格评估可以最大程度地提高筛查测试的收益,同时减少潜在的危害。本文的目的是回顾用于评估筛查研究的关键方法学考虑因素和分析框架,并制定基于证据的建议。
    In evidence-based medicine frameworks, the highest level of evidence is derived from quantitative synthesis of double-masked, high-quality, randomly assigned controlled trials. Meta-analyses of randomly assigned controlled trials have demonstrated that screening mammography reduces breast cancer deaths. In the United States, every major guideline-producing organization has recommended screening mammography in average-risk women; however, there are controversies about age and frequency. Carefully controlled observational research studies and statistical modeling studies can address evidence gaps and inform evidence-based, contemporary screening practices. As breast imaging radiologists develop and evaluate existing and new screening tests and technologies, they will need to understand the key methodological considerations and scientific criteria used by policy makers and health service researchers to support dissemination and implementation of evidence-based screening tests. The Wilson and Jungner principles and the U.S. Preventive Services Task Force general analytic framework provide structured evaluations of the effectiveness of screening tests. Key considerations in both frameworks include public health significance, natural history of disease, cost-effectiveness, and characteristics of screening tests and treatments. Rigorous evaluation of screening tests using analytic frameworks can maximize the benefits of screening tests while reducing potential harms. The purpose of this article is to review key methodological considerations and analytic frameworks used to evaluate screening studies and develop evidence-based recommendations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们使用2006年至2016年的数据,在FDASentinel系统的7个集成递送系统中进行了回顾性公共卫生监测。我们通过临床和基于索赔的定义确定了小儿高血压患者,并比较了人口统计学,基线配置文件和随访时间配置文件。在3,757,803名3至17岁的儿科患者中,我们确定了781,722名儿童和551,246名青少年在36个月内进行了至少3次血压测量.其中,70,315名儿童(9%)和47,928名青少年(8.7%)符合高血压的临床定义,22,465名(2.8%)儿童和60,952名(11%)青少年符合高血压的临床定义,非高血压血压。在370万患者中,我们确定了3,246名儿童和7,293名青少年有任何高血压索赔(索赔定义).在符合我们临床定义的人群中,高血压声称的证据很差;2.2%和7.3%的临床高血压儿童和青少年有相应的高血压声称。与临床患者相比,基于索赔的高血压患者的基线资料表明疾病严重程度更高。基于索赔的患者在随访期间显示出较高的全因死亡率。基于索赔的数据源中的小儿高血压未被捕获,但可能作为疾病严重程度更大的标志。在为未来的儿科高血压工作选择现实世界的数据源时,研究人员应该了解编码实践。
    We conducted retrospective public health surveillance using data from 2006 to 2016 in seven integrated delivery systems from FDA\'s Sentinel System. We identified pediatric hypertensive patients by clinical and claims-based definitions and compared demographics, baseline profiles and follow-up time profiles. Among 3,757,803 pediatric patients aged 3 to 17 years, we identified 781,722 children and 551,246 teens with at least three blood pressure measures over 36-months. Of these, 70,315 children (9%) and 47,928 teens (8.7%) met the clinical definition for hypertension and 22,465 (2.8%) children and 60,952 (11%) of teens met the clinical definition for elevated, non-hypertensive blood pressure. Of the 3.7M patients, we identified 3,246 children and 7,293 teens with any claim for hypertension (claims definition). Evidence of hypertension claims among those meeting our clinical definition was poor; 2.2% and 7.3% of clinically hypertensive children and teens had corresponding claims for hypertension. Baseline profiles for claims-based hypertensive patients suggest greater severity of disease compared to clinical patients. Claims-based patients showed higher rates of all-cause mortality during follow-up. Pediatric hypertension in claims-based data sources is under-captured but may serve as a marker for greater disease severity. Investigators should understand coding practices when selecting real-world data sources for future pediatric hypertension work.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    深度学习是人工智能和机器学习的一个子领域,主要基于神经网络,通常与注意力算法相结合,用于检测和识别文本中的对象。音频,images,和视频。Serghiou和Rough(AmJEpidemiol。0000;000(00):0000-0000)为流行病学家提供了深度学习模型的入门。这些模型为流行病学家提供了大量机会,通过增加研究的地理范围来扩大和扩大他们在数据收集和分析方面的研究,包括更多的研究课题,并处理大型或高维数据。对于流行病学家来说,实施深度学习方法的工具并不像标准统计软件中的传统回归方法那样简单或普遍。但是与深度学习专家进行跨学科合作的机会令人兴奋,正如流行病学家对统计学家所做的那样,医疗保健提供者,城市规划者,和其他专业人士。尽管这些方法新颖,评估偏倚的流行病学原则,研究设计,在实施深度学习方法或评估使用它们的研究结果时,解释和其他方法仍然适用。
    Deep learning is a subfield of artificial intelligence and machine learning based mostly on neural networks and often combined with attention algorithms that has been used to detect and identify objects in text, audio, images, and video. Serghiou and Rough (Am J Epidemiol. 0000;000(00):0000-0000) present a primer for epidemiologists on deep learning models. These models provide substantial opportunities for epidemiologists to expand and amplify their research in both data collection and analyses by increasing the geographic reach of studies, including more research subjects, and working with large or high dimensional data. The tools for implementing deep learning methods are not quite yet as straightforward or ubiquitous for epidemiologists as traditional regression methods found in standard statistical software, but there are exciting opportunities for interdisciplinary collaboration with deep learning experts, just as epidemiologists have with statisticians, healthcare providers, urban planners, and other professionals. Despite the novelty of these methods, epidemiological principles of assessing bias, study design, interpretation and others still apply when implementing deep learning methods or assessing the findings of studies that have used them.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文提出了因果循环图(CLD)作为研究复杂公共卫生问题的工具,例如健康不平等。这些问题通常涉及反馈回路-复杂系统的特征未完全集成到主流流行病学中。CLD是可视化系统变量之间连接的概念模型。它们通常是通过文献综述或与利益相关者团体的参与式方法开发的。这些图通常揭示跨尺度变量之间的反馈循环(例如,生物,心理和社会),促进跨学科见解。我们通过涉及睡眠问题和抑郁症状之间的反馈循环的案例示例来说明它们的使用。我们概述了在流行病学中开发CLDs的典型逐步过程。这些步骤定义了一个特定的问题,确定所涉及的关键系统变量,映射这些变量并分析CLD,以找到新的见解和可能的干预目标。在整个过程中,我们建议在不同的证据来源之间进行三角测量,包括领域知识,科学文献和经验数据。还可以通过揭示知识差距来评估CLD,以指导政策变化和未来研究。最后,随着新证据的出现,CLD可以迭代地完善。我们主张更广泛地使用复杂的系统工具,像CLD一样,更好地理解和解决复杂的公共卫生问题。
    This paper presents causal loop diagrams (CLDs) as tools for studying complex public health problems like health inequality. These problems often involve feedback loops-a characteristic of complex systems not fully integrated into mainstream epidemiology. CLDs are conceptual models that visualize connections between system variables. They are commonly developed through literature reviews or participatory methods with stakeholder groups. These diagrams often uncover feedback loops among variables across scales (e.g. biological, psychological and social), facilitating cross-disciplinary insights. We illustrate their use through a case example involving the feedback loop between sleep problems and depressive symptoms. We outline a typical step-by-step process for developing CLDs in epidemiology. These steps are defining a specific problem, identifying the key system variables involved, mapping these variables and analysing the CLD to find new insights and possible intervention targets. Throughout this process, we suggest triangulating between diverse sources of evidence, including domain knowledge, scientific literature and empirical data. CLDs can also be evaluated to guide policy changes and future research by revealing knowledge gaps. Finally, CLDs may be iteratively refined as new evidence emerges. We advocate for more widespread use of complex systems tools, like CLDs, in epidemiology to better understand and address complex public health problems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    高血压是成人医学中常见的“沉默杀手”,但儿童和青少年血压升高的流行病学估计受到诊断不足和相关管理或账单代码利用率低的挑战.在Horgan等人的文章(AmJEpidemialol2024)中,通过直接评估住院和门诊就诊的电子健康记录中的血压测量值("临床队列")与诊断代码("基于索赔的队列")进行比较,确定患有高血压和血压升高的儿童和青少年.研究人群包括美国食品和药物管理局哨兵系统中提供的375万儿科医疗就诊。尽管该研究采用了一种相对新颖的方法来查询EHR中的可用临床数据,以更好地了解小儿高血压的患病率,并引起了对儿童和青少年高血压发生率高于以前使用索赔代码的关注,患病率估计值的效用可能受到EHR数据固有的错误分类偏差的限制.然而,这些数据引起了人们的重要关注,即仅通过ICD-9-CM/ICD-10-CM编码中继,以量化儿科高血压的流行病学,并突出了解决儿童血压升高的机会,这可以改善长期心血管健康.
    Hypertension is a common \"silent killer\" in adult medicine, but epidemiologic estimates of elevated blood pressure in children and adolescents are challenged by under-diagnosis and resultant low utilization of relevant administrative or billing codes. In the article by Horgan et al (Am J Epidemiol 2024), children and adolescents with hypertension and elevated blood pressure were identified using direct assessment of blood pressure measurements available in the electronic health record from both inpatient and outpatient visits (\"clinical cohort\") in comparison to diagnosis codes (\"claims-based cohort\"). The study population included 3.75 million pediatric healthcare visits available in the US Food and Drug Administration\'s Sentinel System. While the study applied a relatively novel methodology to interrogate available clinical data within the EHR to better understand the prevalence of pediatric hypertension and raised concern for a higher occurrence of hypertension among children and adolescents than previously realized using claims codes, the utility of the prevalence estimates may be limited by the potential for misclassification bias inherent in EHR data. However, these data raise important concerns about relaying solely on ICD-9-CM/ICD-10-CM codes to quantify the epidemiology of pediatric hypertension and highlight opportunities to address elevated blood pressure in children that could improve long-term cardiovascular health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    电子病历(EMR)对于快速汇编信息以确定疾病特征(例如,症状)和风险因素(例如,潜在的合并症,药物)与疾病相关的结果。为了评估EMR数据的准确性,评估了EMR摘要和患者访谈之间的一致性。症状,病史,从EMR和患者访谈中收集的COVID-19患者的药物使用情况进行了总体比较(EMR和访谈中的答案相同),报告同意(EMR和采访中任何一个报告是的人都有肯定的回答),和Kappa统计。总的来说,患者在访谈中报告的症状多于在EMR摘要中报告的症状。总体一致性很高(20/23症状≥50%),但只有主观发热和呼吸困难报告的一致性≥50%.症状的Kappa统计通常较低。报告的医疗状况与所有状况类别(10/10)的总体一致性≥50%,一半(5/10)的报告一致性≥50%。与EMR摘要相比,访谈中报告的非处方药更多,导致报告的一致性较低(28%)。观察到症状不一致,病史,以及EMR抽象和患者访谈之间的药物使用情况。利用EMR描述临床特征和确定危险因素的调查应考虑不完整数据的可能性,特别是症状和药物。
    Electronic medical records (EMR) are important for rapidly compiling information to determine disease characteristics (e.g., symptoms) and risk factors (e.g., underlying comorbidities, medications) for disease-related outcomes. To assess EMR data accuracy, agreement between EMR abstractions and patient interviews was evaluated. Symptoms, medical history, and medication usage among COVID-19 patients collected from EMR and patient interviews were compared using overall agreement (same answer in EMR and interview), reported agreement (yes answer in both EMR and interview among those who reported yes in either), and Kappa statistics. Overall, patients reported more symptoms in interviews than in EMR abstractions. Overall agreement was high (≥50% for 20/23 symptoms), but only subjective fever and dyspnea had reported agreement of ≥50%. Kappa statistics for symptoms were generally low. Reported medical conditions had greater agreement with all condition categories (10/10) having ≥50% overall agreement and half (5/10) having ≥50% reported agreement. More non-prescription medications were reported in interviews than in EMR abstractions leading to low reported agreement (28%). Discordance was observed for symptoms, medical history, and medication usage between EMR abstractions and patient interviews. Investigations utilizing EMR to describe clinical characteristics and identify risk factors should consider the potential for incomplete data, particularly for symptoms and medications.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:澳大利亚对医疗保健相关感染(HAIs)的监测是不同的,资源密集型,不可持续,提供的信息有限。传统的HAI监测是时间密集的,临床医生之间的协议水平已被证明是可变的。目的是比较两种方法,半自动算法,和编码数据,针对传统的手术部位感染(SSI)监测方法。
    方法:这项回顾性多中心队列研究包括在2家大城市医院接受2年以上髋关节(HPRO)或膝关节(KPRO)关节置换和冠状动脉旁路移植术(CBGB)手术的所有患者。常规SSI数据是通过感染预防小组获得的,以前开发的算法应用于所有患者记录,并在ICD-10-AM数据中搜索被归类为SSI的患者.
    结果:总体而言,1447、1416和1026名接受HPRO的患者,分别包括KPRO和CBGB。最高Se值由算法生成:HPROD/O0.87(95CI:0.66-0.96),CBGB0.86(95CI:0.64-0.96)和HPRO所有SSI0.77(95CI:0.57-89),硒最低的是CodeCBGBD/O0.03(95CI:0.00-0.21)。算法产生的最高PPV值:HPROD/O0.97(95CI:0.77-0.99),CBGBD/O0.97(95CI:0.76-0.99)和代码HPROD/O0.9(95CI:0.66-0.99)。算法和编码数据都大大减少了审查所需的医疗记录的数量。
    结论:应用算法加强SSI监测在识别需要感染预防小组审查以确定是否存在SSI的患者记录方面具有很高的准确性。不应单独使用编码数据来识别SSI。
    BACKGROUND: Surveillance of healthcare-associated infections (HAIs) in Australia is disparate, resource intensive, unsustainable, and provides limited information. Traditional HAI surveillance is time intensive and agreement levels between clinicians have been shown to be variable.
    OBJECTIVE: To compare two methods: a semi-automated algorithm, and coding data, against traditional surgical site infection (SSI) surveillance methods.
    METHODS: This retrospective multi-centre cohort study included all patients undergoing a hip (HPRO) or knee (KPRO) prosthesis and coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery during a two-year period at two large metropolitan hospitals. Routine SSI data were obtained via the infection prevention and control (IPC) team, a previously developed algorithm was applied to all patient records, and the ICD-10-AM data were searched for those categorized as having an SSI.
    RESULTS: Overall, 1447, 1416, and 1026 patients who underwent HPRO, KPRO, and CABG, respectively, were included. The highest sensitivity values were generated by the algorithm: HPRO deep or organ-space (D/O) 0.87 (95% confidence interval: 0.66-0.96), CABG 0.86 (0.64-0.96), and HPRO all SSI 0.77 (0.57-89); the lowest sensitivity was Code CABG D/O 0.03 (0.00-0.21). The highest PPV values were generated by the algorithm: HPRO D/O 0.97 (0.77-0.99), CABG D/O 0.97 (0.76-0.99), and the Code HPRO D/O 0.9 (0.66-0.99). Both the algorithm and coding data resulted in a substantial reduction in the number of medical records required to review.
    CONCLUSIONS: The application of algorithms to enhance SSI surveillance demonstrates high accuracy in identifying patient records that require review by IPC teams to determine the presence of an SSI. Coding data alone should not be used to identify SSIs.
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