Environmental risk score

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究旨在开发一种环境风险评分(ERS)的多种污染物(MP)引起的肾脏损害(KD)附近的韩国居民废弃的金属矿或冶炼厂,并通过职业化学暴露史(OCE)评估ERS和KD之间的关联。接触MP,由九种金属组成,四种多环芳烃,和四种挥发性有机化合物,被测量为尿代谢物。研究参与者通过组学标记(FROM)研究从法医研究中招募(n=256)。β-2-微球蛋白(β2-MG),N-乙酰-β-D-氨基葡萄糖苷酶(NAG),和估计的肾小球滤过率(eGFR)被用作KD的生物标志物。选择贝叶斯核机回归(BKMR)作为弹性网络中预测效应大小的性能和稳定性最好的ERS模型,自适应弹性网,加权分位数和回归,BKMR,贝叶斯加法回归树,和超级学习者模型。估计变量重要性以评估代谢物对KD的影响。在调整了几个混杂因素后,当与OCE的历史进行分层时,OCE组KD的风险高于非OCE组;非OCE和OCE组ERS的比值比(OR;95%CI)分别为2.97(2.19,4.02)和6.43(2.85,14.5)β2-MG,NAG的1.37(1.01,1.86)和4.16(1.85,9.39),eGFR为4.57(3.37,6.19)和6.44(2.85,14.5),分别。我们发现,OCE的ERS分层历史最适合评估MP和KD之间的关联,OCE组的风险高于非OCE组。
    This study aimed to develop an environmental risk score (ERS) of multiple pollutants (MP) causing kidney damage (KD) in Korean residents near abandoned metal mines or smelters and evaluate the association between ERS and KD by a history of occupational chemical exposure (OCE). Exposure to MP, consisting of nine metals, four polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, and four volatile organic compounds, was measured as urinary metabolites. The study participants were recruited from the Forensic Research via Omics Markers (FROM) study (n = 256). Beta-2-microglobulin (β2-MG), N-acetyl-β-D-glucosaminidase (NAG), and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were used as biomarkers of KD. Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) was selected as the optimal ERS model with the best performance and stability of the predicted effect size among the elastic net, adaptive elastic net, weighted quantile sum regression, BKMR, Bayesian additive regression tree, and super learner model. Variable importance was estimated to evaluate the effects of metabolites on KD. When stratified with the history of OCE after adjusting for several confounding factors, the risks for KD were higher in the OCE group than those in the non-OCE group; the odds ratio (OR; 95% CI) for ERS in non-OCE and OCE groups were 2.97 (2.19, 4.02) and 6.43 (2.85, 14.5) for β2-MG, 1.37 (1.01, 1.86) and 4.16 (1.85, 9.39) for NAG, and 4.57 (3.37, 6.19) and 6.44 (2.85, 14.5) for eGFR, respectively. We found that the ERS stratified history of OCE was the most suitable for evaluating the association between MP and KD, and the risks were higher in the OCE group than those in the non-OCE group.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: First-episode psychotic disorders comprise a heterogeneous phenotype with a complex etiology involving numerous common small-effect genetic variations and a wide range of environmental exposures. We examined whether a family of schizophrenia spectrum disorder (FH-Sz) interacts with an environmental risk score (ERS-Sz) regarding the outcome of patients with non-affective first episode psychosis (NAFEP).
    METHODS: We included 288 patients with NAFEP who were evaluated after discharge from an intensive 2-year program. We evaluated three outcome measures: symptomatic remission, psychosocial functioning, and personal recovery. We analyzed the main and joint associations of a FH-Sz and the ERS-Sz on the outcomes by using the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) approach.
    RESULTS: A FH-Sz showed a significant association with poor symptomatic remission and psychosocial functioning outcomes, although there was no significant interaction between a FH-Sz and the ERS-Sz on these outcomes. The ERS-Sz did not show a significant association with poor symptomatic remission and psychosocial functioning outcomes, even though the magnitude of the interaction between ERS-Sz and FH-Sz with the later outcome was moderate (RERI = 6.89, 95% confidence interval -16.03 to 29.81). There was no association between a FH-Sz and the ERS-Sz and personal recovery.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our results provide further empirical support regarding the contribution of FH-Sz to poor symptomatic remission and poor psychosocial functioning outcomes in patients with NAFEP.
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  • 文章类型: Preprint
    肌萎缩侧索硬化症(ALS)的发病机制涉及遗传和环境因素。这项研究调查了血浆和尿液中金属测量值之间的关联,ALS风险和生存,和曝光源。
    来自密歇根州的有和没有ALS的参与者提供了血浆和尿液样品,用于通过电感耦合等离子体质谱法进行金属测量。使用风险和生存模型计算每种金属的赔率和风险比。创建环境风险评分(ERS)以评估暴露混合物与ALS风险与生存和暴露源之间的关联。ALS(ALS-PGS)和金属(金属-PGS)多基因风险评分是从独立的全基因组关联研究和相关文献选择的SNP构建的。
    分析了来自454名ALS和294名对照参与者的血浆和尿液样本。单个金属的水平升高,包括铜,硒,还有锌,与ALS风险和生存率显著相关。代表与ALS风险密切相关的金属混合物的ERS(血浆,OR=2.95,CI=2.38-3.62,p<0.001;尿液,OR=3.10,CI=2.43-3.97,p<0.001)和较差的ALS生存率(血浆,HR=1.42,CI=1.24-1.63,p<0.001;尿液,HR=1.52,CI=1.31-1.76,p<0.001)。ALS-PGS或金属-PGS的添加并没有改变具有ALS风险和存活的金属的重要性。与升高的ERS相关的具有高金属暴露潜力的职业。此外,与测量的血浆和尿液金属相关的职业性和非职业性金属暴露。
    血浆和尿液中的金属与ALS风险增加和生存率降低有关,独立于遗传风险,并与职业性和非职业性金属暴露相关。这些数据强调了金属暴露在ALS风险和进展中的重要性。
    UNASSIGNED: The pathogenesis of amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) involves both genetic and environmental factors. This study investigates associations between metal measures in plasma and urine, ALS risk and survival, and exposure sources.
    UNASSIGNED: Participants with and without ALS from Michigan provided plasma and urine samples for metal measurement via inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Odds and hazard ratios for each metal were computed using risk and survival models. Environmental risk scores (ERS) were created to evaluate the association between exposure mixtures and ALS risk and survival and exposure source. ALS (ALS-PGS) and metal (metal-PGS) polygenic risk scores were constructed from an independent genome-wide association study and relevant literature-selected SNPs.
    UNASSIGNED: Plasma and urine samples from 454 ALS and 294 control participants were analyzed. Elevated levels of individual metals, including copper, selenium, and zinc, significantly associated with ALS risk and survival. ERS representing metal mixtures strongly associated with ALS risk (plasma, OR=2.95, CI=2.38-3.62, p<0.001; urine, OR=3.10, CI=2.43-3.97, p<0.001) and poorer ALS survival (plasma, HR=1.42, CI=1.24-1.63, p<0.001; urine, HR=1.52, CI=1.31-1.76, p<0.001). Addition of the ALS-PGS or metal-PGS did not alter the significance of metals with ALS risk and survival. Occupations with high potential of metal exposure associated with elevated ERS. Additionally, occupational and non-occupational metal exposures associated with measured plasma and urine metals.
    UNASSIGNED: Metals in plasma and urine associated with increased ALS risk and reduced survival, independent of genetic risk, and correlated with occupational and non-occupational metal exposures. These data underscore the significance of metal exposure in ALS risk and progression.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:没有单一的环境因素是精神障碍的必要或充分原因;需要多因素和综合诊断方法来了解环境对整个生命过程中精神障碍发展的影响。
    方法:使用来自新南威尔士州儿童发展研究的71932名儿童的链接多机构管理数据,使用逻辑回归,我们研究了16个环境危险因素之间的关系在生命早期(产前期间至<6岁)和后来诊断的精神障碍记录在卫生服务数据(从6岁至13岁),既可以单独进行,也可以汇总为环境风险评分(ERS)。
    结果:ERS以剂量反应的方式与所有类型的精神障碍诊断相关,这样2.8%的儿童没有接触任何环境因素(ERS=0),与18.3%的ERS为8或更多的儿童表明暴露于8个或更多的环境因素(ERS8)相比,被诊断出患有任何类型的精神障碍,直到13-14岁。测量的16个环境因素中有13个(包括产前因素,邻里特征和更近端的创伤或忽视经历)与至少一种精神障碍呈正相关。
    结论:在生命早期暴露于累积的环境危险因素与儿童时期出现任何类型的精神障碍的卫生服务的可能性增加有关。在许多情况下,通过适当的公共政策设置,这些因素是可以预防的或能够缓解的。
    No single environmental factor is a necessary or sufficient cause of mental disorder; multifactorial and transdiagnostic approaches are needed to understand the impact of the environment on the development of mental disorders across the life course.
    Using linked multi-agency administrative data for 71 932 children from the New South Wales Child Developmental Study, using logistic regression, we examined associations between 16 environmental risk factors in early life (prenatal period to <6 years of age) and later diagnoses of mental disorder recorded in health service data (from age 6 to 13 years), both individually and summed as an environmental risk score (ERS).
    The ERS was associated with all types of mental disorder diagnoses in a dose-response fashion, such that 2.8% of children with no exposure to any of the environmental factors (ERS = 0), compared to 18.3% of children with an ERS of 8 or more indicating exposure to 8 or more environmental factors (ERS ⩾ 8), had been diagnosed with any type of mental disorder up to age 13-14 years. Thirteen of the 16 environmental factors measured (including prenatal factors, neighbourhood characteristics and more proximal experiences of trauma or neglect) were positively associated with at least one category of mental disorder.
    Exposure to cumulative environmental risk factors in early life is associated with an increased likelihood of presenting to health services in childhood for any kind of mental disorder. In many instances, these factors are preventable or capable of mitigation by appropriate public policy settings.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    金属的累积暴露会影响心脏传导,多金属暴露对儿童心率的影响尚不清楚。为了评估中国学龄前儿童的金属混合物累积暴露量与心率之间的关系,通过高分辨率电感耦合等离子体质谱法测定尿中24种金属。在休息5分钟或更长时间后测量血压时记录心率。作为一种根据重金属混合物下的心率计算环境风险评分(ERS)的方法,具有299个预测因子的自适应弹性网(AENET),这些预测因子是由主要的e夫因子组合形成的,平方项,和重金属的成对相互作用,总数分别为23、23、253。为了进一步评估ERS和心率之间的关联,采用复杂的调查设计进行回归分析。在心率相关金属混合物下的ERS的构造由AENET根据11个主要的e夫ts(锡,砷,锌,铁,钛,钒,镍,锰,钴,铜和铬)和2平方项(钨和铷)。研究人群中ERS的变化与心率之间存在高度相关性(β=1.030,95%CI:1239中0.730-1.330;β=1.085,95%CI:1061中0.777-1.393)。还指出了ERS与较高心率的显着关联(Ps<0.05)。我们的研究阐明了中国学龄前儿童中重金属混合物的累积暴露与心率的关系。进一步的研究必须在纵向研究中证实这些发现。
    The cumulative exposure to metals affects cardiac conduction, and the effect of polymetallic exposure on heart rate in children is unknown. To evaluate the relationship between cumulative exposure to metal mixtures and heart rate among Chinese preschoolers, the determination of urinary 24 metals was processed by high-resolution inductively coupled plasma-mass spectrometry. Heart rate was recorded when measuring blood pressure after resting 5 min or longer. As a method to compute the Environmental risk score (ERS) according to heart rate under heavy metal mixtures, adaptive elastic net (AENET) with 299 predictors which were formed by the combination of main effects, squared terms, and pairwise interactions of heavy metals with a total number of 23, 23, 253 respectively. To further assess the associations between ERS and heart rate, regression analyses were performed with complex survey designs. The construction of ERS under heart rate-related metal mixtures was returned by AENET in according to 11 main effects (tin, arsenic, zinc, iron, titanium, vanadium, nickel, manganese, cobalt, copper and chromium) and 2 squared terms (tungsten and rubidium). A high correlation was monitored between the alteration of ERS in the study population and heart rate (β = 1.030, 95% CI: 0.730 - 1.330 in 1239; β = 1.085, 95% CI: 0.777 - 1.393 in 1061). Significant associations of ERS with higher heart rates were also pointed out (Ps < 0.05). Our study elucidates the association of the cumulative exposure of heavy metals as mixtures and heart rate among Chinese preschoolers. Further research is obliged to corroborate these findings in longitudinal studies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定预防多发性硬化症(MS)的有效方法依赖于在试验人群中测试预防策略。然而,因为MS的发病率低,证明预防措施有益处需要非常大的试验人群或疾病发病率较高的丰富人群.可以使用包含遗传和环境数据的风险评分,原则上,确定高风险个体参加预防性试验。在这里,我们讨论开发预测评分以识别MS高风险个体的概念。我们讨论了使用真实队列这样做的经验努力,以及一些挑战-理论和实践-限制了这项工作。我们认为,这样的分数可以为预防性试验设计提供风险分层的手段,但不太可能构成预测个体MS的临床有用方法。
    Determining effective means of preventing Multiple Sclerosis (MS) relies on testing preventive strategies in trial populations. However, because of the low incidence of MS, demonstrating that a preventive measure has benefit requires either very large trial populations or an enriched population with a higher disease incidence. Risk scores which incorporate genetic and environmental data could be used, in principle, to identify high-risk individuals for enrolment in preventive trials. Here we discuss the concepts of developing predictive scores for identifying individuals at high risk of MS. We discuss the empirical efforts to do so using real cohorts, and some of the challenges-both theoretical and practical-limiting this work. We argue that such scores could offer a means of risk stratification for preventive trial design, but are unlikely to ever constitute a clinically-helpful approach to predicting MS for an individual.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Gene-environment (GxE) interactions have been related to psychosis spectrum disorders, involving multiple common genetic variants in multiple genes with very small effect sizes, and several environmental factors that constitute a dense network of exposures named the exposome. Here, we aimed to analyze GxE in a cohort of 310 first-episode psychotic (FEP) and 236 healthy controls, by using aggregate scores estimated in large populations such as the polygenic risk score for schizophrenia and (PRS-SCZ) and the Maudsley environmental risk score (ERS). In contrast to previous findings, in our study, the PRS-SCZ did not discriminate cases from controls, but the ERS score explained a similar percentage of the variance as in other studies using similar approaches. Our study supports a positive additive interaction, indicating synergy between genetic susceptibility to schizophrenia (PRS-SCZ dichotomized according to the highest quartile distribution of the control population) and the exposome (ERS > 75% of the controls). This additive interaction showed genetic and environmental dose dependence. Our study shows that the use of aggregate scores derived from large and powered studies instead of statistics derived from specific sample characteristics is a powerful tool for the study of the effects of GxE on the risk of psychotic spectrum disorders. In conclusion, by using a genetic risk score and an ERS we have provided further evidence for the role of GxE in psychosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    早产是一个重要的公共卫生问题,邻苯二甲酸盐的暴露已被证明与早产的几率增加有关。即使分娩时胎龄的适度减少也可能会给新生儿带来病态后果,并且使用这些额外信息分析数据可能是有用的。在目前的分析中,我们将分娩时的胎龄作为我们感兴趣的结局,并检查与多种邻苯二甲酸酯的相关性.
    女性在怀孕早期被招募,波士顿布莱根妇女医院的纵向出生队列,马萨诸塞州。在妊娠期间最多四个时间点收集尿样用于测量尿邻苯二甲酸酯代谢物。分娩时记录分娩结局.从这个人口中,我们选择了所有130例早产(<37周)以及352个随机对照。我们使用前三次访问中暴露浓度的几何平均值以及使用暴露的重复测量进行了分析。使用两种不同的事件发生时间模型来检查九种尿邻苯二甲酸酯代谢物浓度与分娩时间之间的关联。还考虑了两种不同的方法来构建总结性邻苯二甲酸酯风险评分。
    使用Cox比例风险模型的单污染物分析显示,平均对数转化邻苯二甲酸单-2-乙基-5-羧基戊基酯(MECPP)浓度变化的风险比(HR)为1.21(95%置信区间(CI):1.09,1.33)。使用加速故障时间模型,我们观察到胎龄减少1.19%(95%CI:0.26,2.11%),这与平均对数转化MECPP的IQR变化相关.我们接下来检查了与环境风险评分(ERS)的关联。与第一个四分位数相比,ERS的第四个四分位数与1.44(95%CI:1.19,1.75)的HR和2.55%(95%CI:0.76,4.30%)的交货时间(天)的减少显着相关。
    平均而言,具有较高的尿代谢物浓度的个体邻苯二甲酸盐的孕妇具有较短的分娩时间。与单个污染物相比,观察到的关联强度随风险评分而放大。
    Preterm birth is a significant public health concern and exposure to phthalates has been shown to be associated with an increased odds of preterm birth. Even modest reductions in gestational age at delivery could entail morbid consequences for the neonate and analyzing data with this additional information may be useful. In the present analysis, we consider gestational age at delivery as our outcome of interest and examine associations with multiple phthalates.
    Women were recruited early in pregnancy as part of a prospective, longitudinal birth cohort at the Brigham and Women\'s Hospital in Boston, Massachusetts. Urine samples were collected at up to four time points during gestation for urinary phthalate metabolite measurement, and birth outcomes were recorded at delivery. From this population, we selected all 130 cases of preterm birth (< 37 weeks of gestation) as well as 352 random controls. We conducted analysis with both geometric average of the exposure concentrations across the first three visits as well as using repeated measures of the exposure. Two different time to event models were used to examine associations between nine urinary phthalate metabolite concentrations and time to delivery. Two different approaches to constructing a summative phthalate risk score were also considered.
    The single-pollutant analysis using a Cox proportional hazards model showed the strongest association with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.21 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.09, 1.33) per interquartile range (IQR) change in average log-transformed mono-2-ethyl-5-carboxypentyl phthalate (MECPP) concentration. Using the accelerated failure time model, we observed a 1.19% (95% CI: 0.26, 2.11%) decrease in gestational age in association with an IQR change in average log-transformed MECPP. We next examined associations with an environmental risk score (ERS). The fourth quartile of ERS was significantly associated with a HR of 1.44 (95% CI: 1.19, 1.75) and a reduction of 2.55% (95% CI: 0.76, 4.30%) in time to delivery (in days) compared to the first quartile.
    On average, pregnant women with higher urinary metabolite concentrations of individual phthalates have shorter time to delivery. The strength of the observed associations are amplified with the risk scores when compared to individual pollutants.
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