Ecosystems

生态系统
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    洪水等极端天气事件,丛林大火,旋风,和干旱,预计澳大利亚东部将增加。了解这些事件如何影响组合,人类的可持续福祉,动物,和生态系统-即“一个健康”-将使跨学科的发展和最终更有效的干预措施成为可能。进行了范围审查,以使用OneHealth镜头探索与澳大利亚东部极端天气事件影响相关的研究,特别确定所研究的极端天气事件的类型,在一个健康的背景下进行的研究,和差距,以改善“一个健康”的实施情况。审查遵循JBI指南(基于PRISMA)。合格的研究经过同行评审,在英语中,自2007年以来发表,其中主要研究调查了澳大利亚东部极端天气事件对至少两个生态系统的影响,人类健康,动物健康。使用结构化搜索词,搜索了六个数据库。删除重复项之后,由两名审阅者筛选了870条记录。11条记录符合数据提取和图表的条件。研究的极端天气事件的范围相对有限,随着洪水和丛林大火环境的研究占主导地位,但对旋风的研究相对较少。主要的健康主题不仅包括极端天气事件对身体健康(人畜共患和媒介传播疾病)的影响,还包括在疏散行为和干旱中人畜纽带的背景下调查社会福祉和心理健康。研究差距包括对更广泛的极端天气事件和健康主题的研究,以及更全面的方法来纳入极端天气事件对OneHealth所有三个领域的影响。有限的研究重点不可避免地转化为有限的政策建议,规划和响应来管理极端天气事件的紧急情况。考虑到这些事件发生频率的预期增加,迫切需要进行更全面的初步研究,以更好地确定策略并促进“一个健康”促进的实施,以改善极端天气事件紧急情况的结果。
    Extreme weather events such as floods, bushfires, cyclones, and drought, are projected to increase in eastern Australia. Understanding how these events influence the combined, sustainable well-being of humans, animals, and ecosystems - that is One Health - will enable development of transdisciplinary and ultimately more effective interventions. A scoping review was conducted to explore the research associated with the effects of extreme weather events in eastern Australia using a One Health lens, specifically identifying the type of extreme weather events studied, the research conducted in the context of One Health, and gaps to inform improved One Health implementation. The review followed JBI guidelines (based on PRISMA). Eligible research was peer-reviewed, in English, and published since 2007, in which primary research studies investigated the impact of extreme weather events in eastern Australia on at least two of ecosystems, human health, and animal health. Using structured search terms, six databases were searched. Following removal of duplicates, 870 records were screened by two reviewers. Eleven records were eligible for data extraction and charting. The scope of extreme weather events studied was relatively limited, with studies in flood and bushfire settings predominating, but relatively little research on cyclones. Major health themes included more than the impact of extreme weather events on physical health (zoonotic and vector-borne diseases) through investigation of social well-being and mental health in the context of the human-animal bond in evacuation behaviors and drought. Research gaps include studies across a broader range of extreme weather events and health topics, as well as a more comprehensive approach to including the impacts of extreme weather events on all three domains of One Health. The limited research focus inevitably translates to limited recommendations for policy, planning and response to manage extreme weather event emergencies. Given the expected increase in frequency of these events, there is a critical need for more comprehensive primary research to better identify strategies and facilitate implementation of One Health promotion for improved outcomes in extreme weather event emergencies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着人们对保护生态系统功能和服务的日益关注,政府制定了公共政策,组织通过其网站免费提供了大量数字数据。另一方面,通过遥感源获取数据以及通过地理信息系统(GIS)和统计工具进行处理的进展,允许前所未有的能力来有效地管理生态系统。然而,这方面的现实世界仍然自相矛盾。原因可能是多种多样的,但是一个强有力的候选人与利益方之间的有限参与有关,这阻碍了所有这些资产的行动。该研究的目的是证明通过将现有的环境政策与环境大数据以及低成本的GIS和数据处理工具相结合,可以显着改善生态系统服务的管理。以位于米纳斯吉拉斯州(巴西)的上RiodasVelhas水文盆地为例,这项研究展示了基于环境变量多样性的主成分分析如何将子流域组装成城市,农业,采矿和异质概况,将生态系统服务的管理指导到最合适的官方制定的保护计划。GIS工具的使用,另一方面,允许将每个计划的实施范围缩小到特定的子盆地。针对许多保护计划,讨论了将优惠管理计划优化分配到优先区域的方法。一个典型的例子是所谓的保护使用潜力(CUP),专门用于保护含水层补给(提供服务)和控制水蚀(调节服务),以及根据土壤能力分配用途(支持服务)。在所有情况下,计划实施准备效率的提高和资源的节约被认为是值得注意的。
    With the growing concerns about the protection of ecosystem functions and services, governments have developed public policies and organizations have produced an awesome volume of digital data freely available through their websites. On the other hand, advances in data acquisition through remote sensed sources and processing through geographic information systems (GIS) and statistical tools, allowed an unprecedent capacity to manage ecosystems efficiently. However, the real-world scenario in that regard remains paradoxically challenging. The reasons can be many and diverse, but a strong candidate relates with the limited engagement among the interest parties that hampers bringing all these assets into action. The aim of the study is to demonstrate that management of ecosystem services can be significantly improved by integrating existing environmental policies with environmental big data and low-cost GIS and data processing tools. Using the Upper Rio das Velhas hydrographic basin located in the state of Minas Gerais (Brazil) as example, the study demonstrated how Principal Components Analysis based on a diversity of environmental variables assembled sub-basins into urban, agriculture, mining and heterogeneous profiles, directing management of ecosystem services to the most appropriate officially established conservation plans. The use of GIS tools, on the other hand, allowed narrowing the implementation of each plan to specific sub-basins. This optimized allocation of preferential management plans to priority areas was discussed for a number of conservation plans. A paradigmatic example was the so-called Conservation Use Potential (CUP) devoted to the protection of aquifer recharge (provision service) and control of water erosion (regulation service), as well as to the allocation of uses as function of soil capability (support service). In all cases, the efficiency gains in readiness for plans\' implementation and economy of resources were prognosed as noteworthy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    发展中国家疾病和稀缺资源的双重负担凸显了改变健康问题和转化研究概念的必要性。与传统的遗传学范式相反,2005年提出的补充基因组的exposome范式是一个创新的理论。它涉及一种整体方法来理解人类生活和健康中环境之间相互作用的复杂性。本文概述了一个可扩展的暴露研究框架,整合各种数据源,进行全面的公共卫生监测和政策支持。智利基于暴露系统的生态系统(CHiESS)项目提出了一个基于生态和一个健康方法的概念模型,并开发了用于曝光研究的技术动态平台,利用国家机构常规收集的现有行政数据,在临床记录中,和生物库。CHiESS考虑了暴露组操作的多水平暴露,包括生态系统,社区,人口,和个人水平。CHiESS将包括四个连续的发展阶段,以成为一个信息平台:(1)环境数据集成和协调系统,(2)临床和组学数据整合,(3)高级分析算法的开发,(4)可视化界面开发和有针对性的基于人群的队列招募。CHiESS平台旨在整合和协调可用的二级管理数据,并提供外部暴露的完整地理空间映射。此外,它旨在分析生态系统的环境压力源与人类分子过程之间的复杂相互作用及其对人类健康的影响。此外,通过识别基于曝光的热点,CHiESS允许有针对性和有效地招募基于人群的队列,以进行转化研究和影响评估。利用人工智能(AI)等先进技术,物联网(IoT)和区块链,该框架增强了数据安全性,实时监控,和预测分析。CHiESS模型可适应国际使用,促进全球卫生合作,支持可持续发展目标。
    The double burden of diseases and scarce resources in developing countries highlight the need to change the conceptualization of health problems and translational research. Contrary to the traditional paradigm focused on genetics, the exposome paradigm proposed in 2005 that complements the genome is an innovative theory. It involves a holistic approach to understanding the complexity of the interactions between the human being’s environment throughout their life and health. This paper outlines a scalable framework for exposome research, integrating diverse data sources for comprehensive public health surveillance and policy support. The Chilean exposome-based system for ecosystems (CHiESS) project proposes a conceptual model based on the ecological and One Health approaches, and the development of a technological dynamic platform for exposome research, which leverages available administrative data routinely collected by national agencies, in clinical records, and by biobanks. CHiESS considers a multilevel exposure for exposome operationalization, including the ecosystem, community, population, and individual levels. CHiESS will include four consecutive stages for development into an informatic platform: (1) environmental data integration and harmonization system, (2) clinical and omics data integration, (3) advanced analytical algorithm development, and (4) visualization interface development and targeted population-based cohort recruitment. The CHiESS platform aims to integrate and harmonize available secondary administrative data and provide a complete geospatial mapping of the external exposome. Additionally, it aims to analyze complex interactions between environmental stressors of the ecosystem and molecular processes of the human being and their effect on human health. Moreover, by identifying exposome-based hotspots, CHiESS allows the targeted and efficient recruitment of population-based cohorts for translational research and impact evaluation. Utilizing advanced technologies such as Artificial Intelligence (AI), Internet of Things (IoT), and blockchain, this framework enhances data security, real-time monitoring, and predictive analytics. The CHiESS model is adaptable for international use, promoting global health collaboration and supporting sustainable development goals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抗生素抗性基因(ARGs)已成为全球变化生物学中至关重要的响应变量。考虑到这些基因对环境和人类健康的威胁越来越大。然而,我们建议升高的ARGs水平也应该被认为是全球变化的一个因素,不仅仅是一个回应。我们提供的证据表明,升高的ARGs水平是一个全球变化因素,由于这种现象与人类活动有关,发生在全球范围内,并影响生物群。我们解释了为什么ARGs可以被认为是全球变化因素,而不是含有它们的生物体;我们强调了ARGs和抗生素存在之间的区别,这并不一定相关,因为ARGs水平升高是由多种因素引起的。重要的是,将视角转向提高ARGs水平作为全球变化的一个因素,开辟了新的研究途径,ARGs可以作为实验性治疗。这包括询问升高的ARG水平如何与其他全球变化因素相互作用,或者ARG如何影响生态系统过程,生物多样性或营养关系。全球变化生物学将从这个新框架中受益,因为它可以更全面地捕捉人类对这个星球的影响的真实程度。
    Antibiotic resistance genes (ARGs) have moved into focus as a critically important response variable in global change biology, given the increasing environmental and human health threat posed by these genes. However, we propose that elevated levels of ARGs should also be considered a factor of global change, not just a response. We provide evidence that elevated levels of ARGs are a global change factor, since this phenomenon is linked to human activity, occurs globally, and affects biota. We explain why ARGs could be considered the global change factor, rather than the organisms containing them; and we highlight the difference between ARGs and the presence of antibiotics, which are not necessarily linked since elevated levels of ARGs are caused by multiple factors. Importantly, shifting the perspective to elevated levels of ARGs as a factor of global change opens new avenues of research, where ARGs can be the experimental treatment. This includes asking questions about how elevated ARG levels interact with other global change factors, or how ARGs influence ecosystem processes, biodiversity or trophic relationships. Global change biology stands to profit from this new framing in terms of capturing more completely the real extent of human impacts on this planet.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    恢复基于生物多样性的复原力和生态系统多功能性需要更准确地预测动物生物多样性对环境变化的反应。生态模型对这种理解做出了重大贡献,特别是当它们编码产生新兴模式的生物机制和过程时(种群,社区,生态系统特性和动力学)。这里,建立了“机械”和“基于过程的”生态模型之间的区别,以回顾现有的方法。基于机制和过程的生态模型在理解结构方面取得了关键进展,动物生物多样性的功能和动态,但通常被设计为考虑特定水平的生物组织和时空尺度。跨尺度生态模型,预测在相互作用的空间尺度上出现的共同发生的生物多样性模式,时间和生物组织,是预测生态学的关键下一步。前进的道路是首先利用现有模型来系统地评估规模明确机制和流程在替代规模下预测紧急模式的能力。这样的模型相互比较将揭示从精细到宽尺度的过程转变的机制,克服特定于方法的模型现实主义或可处理性的障碍,并确定需要开发新的基本原则的差距。围绕模型复杂性和不确定性的关键挑战需要解决,虽然来自大数据的机会可以简化多种规模明确的生物多样性模式的整合,还需要进行雄心勃勃的跨尺度实地研究。至关重要的是,克服跨尺度的生态建模挑战将把不同的生态领域与改善证据基础的共同目标结合起来,以在新的环境变化下保护生物多样性和生态系统。
    Restoring biodiversity-based resilience and ecosystem multi-functionality needs to be informed by more accurate predictions of animal biodiversity responses to environmental change. Ecological models make a substantial contribution to this understanding, especially when they encode the biological mechanisms and processes that give rise to emergent patterns (population, community, ecosystem properties and dynamics). Here, a distinction between \'mechanistic\' and \'process-based\' ecological models is established to review existing approaches. Mechanistic and process-based ecological models have made key advances to understanding the structure, function and dynamics of animal biodiversity, but are typically designed to account for specific levels of biological organisation and spatiotemporal scales. Cross-scale ecological models, which predict emergent co-occurring biodiversity patterns at interacting scales of space, time and biological organisation, is a critical next step in predictive ecology. A way forward is to first capitalise on existing models to systematically evaluate the ability of scale-explicit mechanisms and processes to predict emergent patterns at alternative scales. Such model intercomparisons will reveal mechanism to process transitions across fine to broad scales, overcome approach-specific barriers to model realism or tractability and identify gaps which necessitate the development of new fundamental principles. Key challenges surrounding model complexity and uncertainty would need to be addressed, and while opportunities from big data can streamline the integration of multiple scale-explicit biodiversity patterns, ambitious cross-scale field studies are also needed. Crucially, overcoming cross-scale ecological modelling challenges would unite disparate fields of ecology with the common goal of improving the evidence-base to safeguard biodiversity and ecosystems under novel environmental change.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    微塑料在全球范围内构成重大挑战。在加纳,这些微小的污染物渗透到不同的生态系统,如沿海地区,河流,湖泊,和森林,对国家的经济和社会福祉至关重要。这篇综述探讨了当前的研究知识深度和对微塑料不断升级的关注,确定研究和理解方面的重大差距。研究结果强调了对不同环境隔室中微塑料污染的程度和分布的了解有限,主要关注沿海环境。此外,由于基础设施等限制,在加纳的背景下,微塑料的检测和量化技术面临着一些复杂性和局限性,资源,和专业知识。尽管有一些研究努力,尤其是沿着海岸线,加纳各个地区和生态系统仍然明显缺乏关注。研究重点的这种不平衡阻碍了该国对微塑料的理解和有效缓解。因此,这需要实施系统的政策框架,强调回收和再循环的重要性,这是通过更有针对性的研究和公众参与来应对加纳微塑料挑战的有效策略。这项审查是对加纳微塑料研究和污染研究和政策制定战略方法的呼吁。
    Microplastics pose significant challenges on a global scale. In Ghana, these tiny pollutants infiltrate diverse ecosystems such as coastal areas, rivers, lakes, and forests, vital to the nation\'s economy and social well-being. This review examines the current depth of knowledge in research and the escalating concern of microplastics, identifying significant gaps in research and understanding. The findings highlight the limited understanding of the extent and distribution of microplastic pollution across different environmental compartments, primarily focusing on coastal environments. Additionally, detection and quantification techniques for microplastics face several complexities and limitations in the Ghanaian context due to constraints such as infrastructure, resources, and expertise. Despite some research efforts, particularly along the coastline, there is still a distinct lack of attention in various regions and ecosystems within Ghana. This imbalance in research focus hinders the understanding and effective mitigation of microplastics in the country. This therefore necessitates the implementation of systematic policy frameworks, emphasizing the importance of recycling and upcycling as effective strategies to address the challenges of microplastics in Ghana with more targeted research and public engagement. This review serves as a call to action for a strategic approach to research and policy-making on microplastic research and pollution in Ghana.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    美国(US)的许多传染病预测模型都是通过将数据划分为以人类活动为中心的地缘政治区域而不是由自然生态系统定义的区域来构建的;尽管对于数据收集和干预很有用,这有可能掩盖环境与疾病之间的生物学关系。我们通过分析汇总到地缘政治和生态区域的气候与西尼罗河病毒(WNV)病例数据之间的相关性来探索这一概念。我们比较了最小值,最大值,和年平均温度;降水;2005年至2019年的年度WNV神经侵袭性疾病(WNND)病例数据,分为(a)国家海洋和大气管理局(NOAA)定义的气候区域和(b)环境保护署(EPA)定义的I级生态区域。我们发现,NOAA气候区和EPA生态区的气候与WNND之间的相关性通常在方向和大小上都是矛盾的,EPA生态区更经常支持先前建立的生物学假设和媒介传播疾病传播的环境动态。使用生态区域来检查气候与疾病病例之间的关系可以增强各种尺度的预测能力,促使大规模分析从地缘政治框架到更具生态意义的区域的概念转变。
    Many infectious disease forecasting models in the United States (US) are built with data partitioned into geopolitical regions centered on human activity as opposed to regions defined by natural ecosystems; although useful for data collection and intervention, this has the potential to mask biological relationships between the environment and disease. We explored this concept by analyzing the correlations between climate and West Nile virus (WNV) case data aggregated to geopolitical and ecological regions. We compared correlations between minimum, maximum, and mean annual temperature; precipitation; and annual WNV neuroinvasive disease (WNND) case data from 2005 to 2019 when partitioned into (a) climate regions defined by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and (b) Level I ecoregions defined by the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). We found that correlations between climate and WNND in NOAA climate regions and EPA ecoregions were often contradictory in both direction and magnitude, with EPA ecoregions more often supporting previously established biological hypotheses and environmental dynamics underlying vector-borne disease transmission. Using ecological regions to examine the relationships between climate and disease cases can enhance the predictive power of forecasts at various scales, motivating a conceptual shift in large-scale analyses from geopolitical frameworks to more ecologically meaningful regions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    蓝细菌,作为水生生态系统的重要组成部分,由于各种人为和自然因素驱动的酸化,面临越来越多的挑战。了解蓝藻如何适应和应对酸化对于预测其生态动态和对生态系统健康的潜在影响至关重要。这篇综合综述综合了有关蓝藻对酸化胁迫的适应机制和响应的最新知识。细节,首先简要总结了蓝藻的生态作用,其次是酸化对水生生态系统和蓝藻的影响。然后回顾侧重于生理,生物化学,以及蓝藻应对酸化胁迫的分子策略,强调关键的适应机制及其生态影响。最后,总结了提高蓝藻耐酸性的策略和未来的发展方向。利用组学数据和机器学习技术建立蓝藻酸调节网络,可以预测酸化对蓝藻的影响,并推断其对生态系统的更广泛影响。此外,通过创新技术获得蓝细菌的耐酸底盘细胞有助于促进酸性化学品的环保生产。通过综合经验证据和理论框架,这篇综述旨在阐明蓝藻和酸化应激源之间复杂的相互作用,为未来的研究方向和生态系统管理策略提供见解。
    Cyanobacteria, as vital components of aquatic ecosystems, face increasing challenges due to acidification driven by various anthropogenic and natural factors. Understanding how cyanobacteria adapt and respond to acidification is crucial for predicting their ecological dynamics and potential impacts on ecosystem health. This comprehensive review synthesizes current knowledge on the acclimation mechanisms and responses of cyanobacteria to acidification stress. Detailly, ecological roles of cyanobacteria were firstly briefly concluded, followed by the effects of acidification on aquatic ecosystems and cyanobacteria. Then the review focuses on the physiological, biochemical, and molecular strategies employed by cyanobacteria to cope with acidification stress, highlighting key adaptive mechanisms and their ecological implications. Finally, a summary of strategies to enhance acid resistance in cyanobacteria and future directions was discussed. Utilizing omics data and machine learning technology to build a cyanobacterial acid regulatory network allows for predicting the impact of acidification on cyanobacteria and inferring its broader effects on ecosystems. Additionally, acquiring acid-tolerant chassis cells of cyanobacteria through innovative techniques facilitates the advancement of environmentally friendly production of acidic chemicals. By synthesizing empirical evidence and theoretical frameworks, this review aims to elucidate the complex interplay between cyanobacteria and acidification stressors, providing insights for future research directions and ecosystem management strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在偏远的亚洲水塔(AWT)地区,由剩余塑料和工业废物碎片产生的微塑料已经到达,地球的第三极和几条淡水河的发源地。AWT生态系统中微塑料的积累有可能改变气候条件,导致全球变暖和破坏生物多样性的结构动力学。本文对不同生态系统中微塑料的定量评估进行了全面的批判性讨论(即河流,湖泊,沉积物和雪或冰川)的AWT。已经举例说明了微塑料的水动力命运和运输及其对AWT的水文形态和生物多样性的生态影响。此外,关键挑战,确定了缓解微塑料相关问题的观点和研究方向。在调查期间,彩色聚乙烯和聚氨酯纤维是在AWT的大多数地区发现的主要微塑料。这些生物积累的MPs改变了根际群落结构,并恶化了植物的固氮过程。气候变化的意义,国会议员的污染正在增加温室气体的排放(NH3增加34%,CH4增加9%),促成全球变暖。考虑到议员污染的严重性,这项综述研究可以启发研究MP的影响,并开发具有可行的监管策略的监测工具和可持续修复技术的途径,以保持AWT区域的自然意义。
    Microplastics generated from fragmentation of leftover plastics and industrial waste has reached in the remotely located Asian water tower (AWT) region, the 3rd pole of earth and origin site of several freshwater rivers. The accumulation of microplastics in AWT ecosystem has potential to alter the climatic condition contributing in global warming and disturbing the biodiversity structural dynamics. The present paper provides a comprehensive critical discussion over quantitative assessment of microplastics in different ecosystems (i.e. river, lakes, sediment and snow or glacier) of AWT. The hydrodynamic fate and transport of microplastics and their ecological impact on hydromorphology and biodiversity of AWT has been exemplified. Furthermore, key challenges, perspectives and research directions are identified to mitigate microplastics associated problems. During survey, the coloured polyethylene and polyurethane fibers are the predominant microplastics found in most areas of AWT. These bio-accumulated MPs alter the rhizospheric community structure and deteriorate nitrogen fixation process in plants. Significance in climate change, MPs pollution is enhancing the emissions of greenhouse gases (NH3 by ∼34% and CH4 by ∼9%), contributing in global warming. Considering the seriousness of MPs pollution, this review study can enlighten the pathways to investigate the effect of MPs and to develop monitoring tools and sustainable remediation technologies with feasible regulatory strategies maintaining the natural significance of AWT region.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们对微生物过程的了解-谁负责什么,它们发生的速度,消耗的底物和生产的产品对许多(如果不是大多数)分类群来说是不完美的,但是人们对微型站点过程如何扩展到生态系统乃至全球的了解更少。在自然环境和管理环境中,缩放将基础知识与应用联系起来,还可以对微生物过程的重要性进行全球评估。但很少是直截了当的缩放:更多的时候,原位工艺速率以高度偏斜的方式分布,在多个交互控件的影响下,因此通常很难取样,量化、和预测。迄今为止,许多重要过程的定量模型无法每天捕获,季节性,以及实现有意义的管理成果所需的精度的年度通量。氮循环过程就是一个很好的例子,反硝化就是一个很好的例子.基于机器学习的统计模型可以提高可预测性并确定最佳的环境预测因子,但本身不足以揭示过程级知识差距或预测新环境条件下的结果。混合模型将校准良好的过程模型作为机器学习算法的预测因子,可以在尚未经历的环境条件下提供更好的理解和更可靠的预测。将基于特征的模型纳入此类工作有望进一步改善预测和理解,但是需要更多的发展。
    Our knowledge of microbial processes-who is responsible for what, the rates at which they occur, and the substrates consumed and products produced-is imperfect for many if not most taxa, but even less is known about how microsite processes scale to the ecosystem and thence the globe. In both natural and managed environments, scaling links fundamental knowledge to application and also allows for global assessments of the importance of microbial processes. But rarely is scaling straightforward: More often than not, process rates in situ are distributed in a highly skewed fashion, under the influence of multiple interacting controls, and thus often difficult to sample, quantify, and predict. To date, quantitative models of many important processes fail to capture daily, seasonal, and annual fluxes with the precision needed to effect meaningful management outcomes. Nitrogen cycle processes are a case in point, and denitrification is a prime example. Statistical models based on machine learning can improve predictability and identify the best environmental predictors but are-by themselves-insufficient for revealing process-level knowledge gaps or predicting outcomes under novel environmental conditions. Hybrid models that incorporate well-calibrated process models as predictors for machine learning algorithms can provide both improved understanding and more reliable forecasts under environmental conditions not yet experienced. Incorporating trait-based models into such efforts promises to improve predictions and understanding still further, but much more development is needed.
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