Economic output

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在加纳,疟疾仍然是门诊就诊的头号原因,使其成为一个重大的公共卫生问题。因此,由于疟疾的发病率和死亡率,可能会导致严重的生产力损失,这可能会在宏观层面对经济产出产生负面影响。尽管如此,加纳缺乏疟疾对宏观经济产出影响的经验证据。因此,本研究旨在使用1990年至2019年期间的数据进行时间序列设计,为加纳疟疾流行对宏观经济产出的影响提供最重要的经验证据。国内生产总值(GDP),作为宏观经济产出的代表,是因变量,而疟疾的患病率(总体而言,只有男性和女性)是主要的自变量。普通最小二乘(OLS)回归用作基线估计技术,而工具变量两阶段最小二乘(IV2SLS)回归由于其处理内生性的能力而用作稳健性检查估计器。IV2SLS回归结果表明,疟疾总体流行率的百分比增加与1%显着水平的宏观经济产出下降1.16%有关。我们还发现,男性疟疾对宏观经济产出的影响相对于女性略高。OLS回归的结果与IV2SLS回归估计没有质量差异。因此需要加强质量案件管理等工作,幼虫源管理,大规模分发长效杀虫剂处理过的蚊帐,社会行为改变,监测(流行病学和昆虫学),妊娠期疟疾的间歇性预防性治疗,在其他研究中,这对消除疟疾很重要。
    In Ghana, malaria remains the number 1 reason for outpatient department visits, making it a major public health problem. Thus, there could be significant lost productivity days as a result of malaria morbidity and mortality, which could negatively affect economic output at the macrolevel. Nonetheless, there is a dearth of empirical evidence of the effect of malaria on macroeconomic output in Ghana. This study therefore aims to provide the foremost empirical evidence regarding the effect of malaria prevalence on macroeconomic output in Ghana using a time series design with data spanning the period 1990 to 2019. Gross Domestic Product (GDP), serving as a proxy for macroeconomic output, is the dependent variable, while the prevalence of malaria (overall, among only males and among only females) serves as the main independent variable. The Ordinary Least Square (OLS) regression is used as the baseline estimation technique and the Instrumental Variable Two-Stage Least Square (IV2SLS) regression is employed as the robustness check estimator due to its ability to deal with endogeneity. The IV2SLS regression results show that a percentage increase in the overall prevalence of malaria is associated with a 1.16% decrease in macroeconomic output at 1% significance level. We also find that the effect of malaria in males on macroeconomic output is slightly higher relative to females. The findings from the OLS regression are not qualitatively different from the IV2SLS regression estimates. There is therefore the need to strengthen efforts such as quality case management, larval source management, mass distribution of long-lasting insecticide-treated bed nets, social behavior change, surveillance (both epidemiological and entomological), intermittent preventive treatment of malaria in pregnancy, research among others, which are important toward eliminating malaria.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管油菜在镉(Cd)污染的农田的植物修复中经常被用作替代种植作物,在这方面筛选优秀油菜品种的方法还不够。在这里,我们开发了一种结合Cd积累的筛选方法,分布,和移除,经济产出,对Cd污染农田的适应性,和微量元素的变化。采用基于10个农艺性状的Cd适应性指数(Cd-AI)测定品种对Cd污染农田的适应性。此外,为了简化适应性评估,产量,生物量,选择具有高权重的豆荚数构造Cd污染农田适应性的判别函数(正确分类为94.20%)。在为期两年的现场审判中,我们评估了225个油菜品种,其中我们确定了两个有希望的低Cd积累和两个Cd修复品种。对于低Cd积累品种(HuYou17和DeXingYou558),我们获得的谷物生物积累因子(BAF)值分别为0.07和0.08,BAF土壤秸秆值<1,经济产出分别为25,054元和32,292元hm-2。同样,Cd修复品种(ZaoZa8和YuYou61)的特征是BAFF土茎值分别为4.65和3.61,BAFF土粒值分别为0.16和0.16,Cd去除量分别为69.02和58.25ghm-2,经济产出分别为31,189和24,962元hm-2。与对照品种相比,我们检测到低Cd积累品种中多种微量元素的摄入量较低(3-43%),而Cd修复品种的特征是镁和锌的积累增加了15.40%和8.30%,分别。我们的发现增加了用于评估油菜品种的评估指标,并从品种筛选和推广应用的角度提供了有价值的见解。确定的有效品种具有在不中断年度农业生产的前提下安全生产和农地整治的应用潜力,并为Cd污染的农业用地的利用提供了一种经济上可持续的方法。
    Although oilseed rape is frequently used as an alternative planting crop in the phytoremediation of cadmium (Cd)-contaminated agricultural land, methods for screening excellent oilseed rape varieties in this regard are inadequate. Herein, we developed a screening method that incorporates Cd accumulation, distribution, and removal, economic output, adaptability to Cd-contaminated agricultural land, and trace element variation. A Cd-adaptability index (Cd-AI) based on 10 agronomic traits was used to measure the adaptability of varieties to Cd-contaminated agricultural land. Moreover, to simplify the evaluation of adaptability, yield, biomass, and pod number with high weightings were selected to construct a discriminant function for Cd-contaminated agricultural land adaptability (correctly classified 94.20%). In a 2 year field trial, we evaluated 225 oilseed rape varieties, among which we identified two promising low-Cd-accumulating and two Cd-remediating varieties. For the low-Cd-accumulating varieties (HuYou17 and DeXingYou558), we obtained grain bioaccumulation factor (BAF) values of 0.07 and 0.08, BAFsoil-stalk values of <1, and economic outputs of RMB 25,054 and 32,292 yuan hm-2, respectively. Similarly, the Cd-remediating varieties (ZaoZa8 and YuYou61) were characterized by BAFsoil-stalk values of 4.65 and 3.61, BAFsoil-grain values of 0.16 and 0.16, Cd removals of 69.02 and 58.25 g hm-2, and economic outputs of RMB 31,189 and 24,962 yuan hm-2, respectively. Compared with the control variety, we detected lower uptakes of multiple trace elements (3-43%) in the low-Cd-accumulating varieties, whereas the Cd-remediating varieties were characterized by 15.40% and 8.30% increases in the accumulation of magnesium and zinc, respectively. Our findings augment the evaluation indices used for evaluating oilseed rape varieties and provide valuable insights from the perspectives of varietal screening and promotional application. The effective varieties identified have application potential for safe production and the remediation of agricultural land without interrupting annual agricultural production, and provide an economically sustainable approach for the utilization of Cd-contaminated agricultural land.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The study aims to examine the energy-GDP-exports nexus employing structural break models after testing for co-integration in the form of total/aggregate annual time series data of South Asia region. The novelty of the study rests in dividing the aggregate energy into fossil fuel- and non-fossil fuel-based energy consumptions with structural break at 2008 considering the global financial crisis into the aggregate production function framework with labor, capital stock, and exports, ceteris paribus. The findings corroborate that in all the three models estimated with aggregate energy, fossil fuel-based energy, and non-fossil fuel-based energy consumptions respectively, there is evidence of long-run linkages among the selected variables. The analyses of long run elasticities estimated demonstrate that labor and capital have positive and significant impact on the real economic output before the break date in all the three models. It is however intriguing that aggregate energy use remains positive before and after the break date while fossil fuel-based energy becomes insignificant after 2008. Likely, non-fossil fuel-based energy corroborates insignificant impact on real economic output after 2008. These findings have important bearings for the energy conservation options in the region of South Asia especially for changing/reducing the fossil fuel share with the non-fossil fuels, ceteris paribus.
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