■最近,在接受治疗的亚洲慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)患者队列中开发了几种预测肝细胞癌(HCC)的风险评分,但尚未在非亚洲患者中进行评估。我们评估了我们的PAGE-B和最近亚洲HCC风险评分的可预测性和比较效用在核苷(t)ide类似物(NA)治疗的成人高加索患者CHB,有或没有有据可查的代偿性肝硬化,但以前没有诊断为HCC。
■我们纳入了1,951例接受恩替卡韦/替诺福韦治疗的患者,随访中位数为7.6年。c统计量用于估计PAGE-B的可预测性,HCC-救援,CAMD,mPAGE-B,和AASL评分为肝癌发展在5或10年内。低和高风险组截止值用于估计阴性(NPV)和阳性预测值(PPV),分别。
■HCC在前5年中在103/1,951(5.3%)患者中发展,在5年至10年之间在另外39/1,428(2.7%)患者中发展。3、5-,10年累计HCC率为3.3%,5.9%,9.6%,分别。所有分数都提供了良好的5年和10年HCC预测(c统计量:0.78-0.82)。NPV总是>99%(99.3-100%),而PPV介于13%和24%之间。
■在NA治疗的高加索CHB患者包括代偿性肝硬化,在NA治疗的亚洲患者中开发的HCC风险评分提供良好的5年和10年HCC可预测性,类似于PAGE-B。PAGE-B和mPAGE-B评分在临床实践中更简单,因为他们不需要肝硬化的准确诊断,但在mPAGE-B评分中添加白蛋白似乎对代偿良好的肝病患者没有优势。
■最近在接受治疗的亚洲慢性乙型肝炎(CHB)患者队列中开发了几种预测肝细胞癌(HCC)的风险评分。在高加索患者与CHB口服抗病毒药物治疗,较新的亚洲HCC风险评分提供了良好的5年和10年HCC可预测性,类似于PAGE-B。对于临床实践,PAGE-B和mPAGE-B得分更简单,因为他们不需要肝硬化的准确诊断。
UNASSIGNED: Recently, several risk scores for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were developed in cohorts of treated Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), but they have not been assessed in non-Asian patients. We evaluated the predictability and comparative utility of our PAGE-B and recent Asian HCC risk scores in nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA)-treated adult Caucasian patients with CHB, with or without well-documented compensated cirrhosis but not previous diagnosis of HCC.
UNASSIGNED: We included 1,951 patients treated with entecavir/tenofovir and followed up for a median of 7.6 years. The c-statistic was used to estimate the predictability of PAGE-B, HCC-Rescue, CAMD, mPAGE-B, and AASL score for HCC development within 5 or 10 years. The low- and high-risk group cut-offs were used for estimation of negative (NPV) and positive predictive values (PPV), respectively.
UNASSIGNED: HCC developed in 103/1,951 (5.3%) patients during the first 5 years and in another 39/1,428 (2.7%) patients between years 5 and 10. The 3-, 5-, and 10-year cumulative HCC rates were 3.3%, 5.9%, and 9.6%, respectively. All scores offered good 5- and 10-year HCC prediction (c-statistic: 0.78-0.82). NPVs were always >99% (99.3-100%), whereas PPV ranged between 13% and 24%.
UNASSIGNED: In NA-treated Caucasian patients with CHB including compensated cirrhosis, HCC risk scores developed in NA-treated Asian patients offer good 5- and 10-year HCC predictability, similar to that of PAGE-B. PAGE-B and mPAGE-B scores are simpler in clinical practice, as they do not require an accurate diagnosis of cirrhosis, but the addition of albumin in mPAGE-B score does not seem to offer an advantage in patients with well compensated liver disease.
UNASSIGNED: Several risk scores for prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) were recently developed in cohorts of treated Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). In Caucasian patients with CHB treated with oral antivirals, newer Asian HCC risk scores offer good 5- and 10-year HCC predictability, similar to that of PAGE-B. For clinical practice, PAGE-B and mPAGE-B scores are simpler, as they do not require an accurate diagnosis of cirrhosis.