Driving factor

驱动因素
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    日本独特的人口轨迹,以人口减少和老龄化为标志,再加上持续的城市化,为使建筑环境容量与资源效率保持一致提出了不同的挑战。本研究旨在调查日本三大大都市区建筑材料库存(MS)的历史演变和项目未来情景及其空间分布。通过全面的物料流和库存分析,对2009-2020年建筑材料的历史积累进行了量化,揭示了混凝土的主导地位和整体库存的增加。探讨了各种驱动因素对建筑领域变化的贡献,将人口动态确定为主要影响。利用共享的社会经济途径情景(SSP),这项研究在五个不同的SSP下预测了到2050年的建筑建筑面积和MS。结果表明,所有场景的总体减少,然而,随着高密度城市核心的持续集中。预计最高和最低的MS情景之间的巨大差距突出了通过可持续实践进行材料保护和减排的机会。人口稠密地区的可持续城市发展需要在基础设施提供和环境保护之间取得平衡,而在人口稀少的地区,重点转移到有效管理和利用空置财产和材料,以应对人口大幅下降的影响。通过提供对日本人口结构变化的建筑面积和MS影响的见解,这项研究强调了可持续城市规划和资源管理战略的必要性,以应对人口变化带来的挑战,最终有助于实现可持续发展和环境保护目标。
    Japan\'s unique demographic trajectory, marked by population decline and aging, coupled with continued urbanization, presents distinct challenges for aligning built environment capacity with resource efficiency. This study aims to investigate the historical evolution and project future scenarios of building material stock (MS) and their spatial distribution across Japan\'s three major metropolitan areas. Through a comprehensive material flow and stock analysis, the historical accumulation of building materials from 2009 to 2020 was quantified, revealing a dominance of concrete and an increasing overall stock. The contributions of various driving factors to changes in construction areas were explored, identifying population dynamics as the predominant influence. Leveraging shared socioeconomic pathway scenarios (SSPs), this research forecasted building floor area and MS until 2050 under five distinct SSPs. The results indicated an overall reduction across all scenarios, yet with a continued concentration in high-density urban cores. The substantial gap between the highest and lowest projected MS scenarios highlighted opportunities for material conservation and emission reductions through sustainable practices. Sustainable urban development in densely populated regions necessitates a balance between infrastructure provision and environmental conservation, while in sparsely populated areas, the focus shifts to the efficient management and utilization of vacant properties and materials to cope with the impacts of significant population declines. By offering insights into the building floor area and MS implications of Japan\'s demographic changes, this study underscores the necessity of sustainable urban planning and resource management strategies to navigate the challenges posed by demographic shifts, ultimately contributing to sustainable development and environmental conservation goals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    氮(N)沉积是氮循环的重要过程,因此对于评估氮预算很重要。然而,园艺温室内氮素沉积的特征和数量仍然未知,阻碍了对土壤中氮素循环的深刻理解,蔬菜和气氛。这里,我们测量了干氮和湿氮的沉积,并在温室蔬菜种植实验的基础上解开了氨(NH3)和氮氧化物(NOX)气体沉积的相对百分比。结果发现每年的氮沉积,在不同的化学/有机氮肥管理下,N·ha-1为7.2-17.5kg,由干沉积的77.0%-85.5%和湿沉积的14.5-23%组成。在不同的N管理下,NH3和NOX排放中N的沉积比例在37.5-83.0%之间。NH3排放是干氮沉积的主要驱动因素,土壤水分是湿氮沉降的主要驱动因素。控释肥料与有机肥料相结合可产生最低的N沉积(10.2kgN·ha-1)以及NH3和NOX排放量(12.5kgN·ha-1),可以推荐作为温室种植的缓解策略。研究了干、湿N沉积特征及其影响因素,以及归因于NH3和NOX排放的N沉积比例,这提供了对N沉积和Nr气体从温室扩散到大气的初步了解。
    Nitrogen (N) deposition is a vital process of N cycling and is consequently important for the evaluation of N budgets. However, the character and quantity of N deposition inside the horticultural greenhouse remain unknown, impeding a deep understanding of N cycling among soil, vegetable and atmosphere. Here, we measured the dry and wet N deposition, and disentangled the relative percentages of ammonia (NH3) and nitrogen oxides (NOX) gases deposition based on the greenhouse vegetable cultivation experiment. Results found the annual N deposition, was 7.2-17.5 kg N·ha-1 under different chemical/organic N fertilizer managements, consisting of 77.0%-85.5% by dry deposition and 14.5-23% by wet deposition. The proportions of N deposition from NH3 and NOX emissions ranged within 37.5-83.0% under different N managements. The NH3 emission was the dominant driving factor of dry N deposition, while soil moisture was the dominant driving factor of wet N deposition. Controlled-release fertilizer combined with organic fertilizer resulted in the lowest N deposition (10.2 kg N·ha-1) and NH3 and NOX emissions (12.5 kg N·ha-1), which could be recommended as the mitigation strategy in greenhouse cultivation. This study investigated the dry and wet N deposition characteristics and their influencing factors, as well as the proportion of N deposition attributed to NH3 and NOX emissions, which provides preliminary understanding of N deposition and the reactive N gas diffusion from greenhouse into the atmosphere.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    评价《大气污染防治行动计划》实施以来甘肃省PM2.5相关健康效应的时空变化趋势及驱动因素,采用最新的全球暴露死亡率模型(GEMM)估算了甘肃省2013-2020年PM2.5的健康负担。采用因子分解法进一步量化PM2.5污染导致死亡长期变化的主要原因。结果显示,2013-2020年,甘肃省人口加权PM2.5浓度下降34.57%,PM2.5年平均浓度超过35μg·m-3的地区暴露人群比例从72.89%显著下降至11.61%。此外,甘肃省的归因死亡人数从2013年的12826例(95CI:7840-17408)下降到2020年的9814例(95CI:6407-13036),下降了23.48%。中风导致的死亡,慢性阻塞性肺疾病,肺癌,下呼吸道感染下降,而缺血性心脏病死亡增加了12.11%。值得注意的是,60岁及以上的个体占所有年龄相关死亡的80%以上.甘肃省中东部地区因PM2.5死亡人数明显高于河西地区,大多数地区呈下降趋势。总人口的贡献,年龄结构,基线死亡率,而PM2.5浓度对PM2.5相关死亡的变化为-1.26%,16.16%,-9.84%,和-28.55%,分别。总的来说,人口老龄化和PM2.5浓度下降是导致PM2.5相关死亡增加和减少的主要因素,分别。甘肃省积极的清洁空气政策降低了PM2.5污染造成的健康负担,但是随着人口老龄化的趋势,未来需要大幅降低PM2.5浓度,以避免更多的归因死亡.
    To evaluate the spatiotemporal trends and drivers of PM2.5-related health effects in Gansu Province since the implementation of the Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan, the latest global exposure mortality model (GEMM) was adopted to estimate the health burden attributable to PM2.5 in Gansu Province from 2013 to 2020. The factor decomposition method was used to further quantify the main causes of the long-term changes in deaths attributable to PM2.5 pollution. The results showed that from 2013 to 2020, the population-weighted PM2.5 concentration in Gansu Province decreased by 34.57%, and the proportion of people exposed to areas with an annual average PM2.5 concentration exceeding 35 μg·m-3 decreased significantly from 72.89% to 11.61%. Moreover, the number of attributable deaths in Gansu Province declined from 12 826 (95%CI: 7 840-17 408) in 2 013 to 9 814 (95%CI: 6 407-13 036) in 2020, indicating a decrease of 23.48%. Attributable deaths from stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, lung cancer, and lower respiratory infection declined, whereas deaths from ischemic heart disease increased by 12.11%. Notably, individuals aged 60 years and older accounted for more than 80% of all age-related deaths. The number of deaths attributable to PM2.5 in central and eastern Gansu Province was significantly higher than that in the Hexi region, and most regions showed a downward trend. The contribution of the total population, age structure, baseline mortality rate, and PM2.5 concentration to the change in PM2.5-related deaths was -1.26%, 16.16%, -9.84%, and -28.55%, respectively. Overall, population aging and a decrease in PM2.5 concentration were the main factors contributing to the increase and decrease in PM2.5-related deaths, respectively. The active clean air policies in Gansu Province have reduced the health burden caused by PM2.5 pollution, but with the trend of population aging, a significant reduction in PM2.5 concentration will be needed in the future to avoid more attributable deaths.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    有机磷酸酯(OPEs)越来越被认为是普遍存在的环境污染物,主要来自其在阻燃剂和增塑剂中的广泛应用。尽管他们广泛存在,水生生态系统中OPE生物积累的复杂性仍然知之甚少,特别是影响其分布的环境决定因素和整个水生食物链的生物积累动态。在这里,我们表明水温对OPE在鄱阳湖水环境中的分散起着至关重要的作用。我们量化了各种基质中的OPE浓度,发现水中0.198至912.622ngL-1的水平,沉积物中每克干重(dw)0.013-493.36ng,浮游生物每克湿重(ww)0.026-41.92ng,底栖无脊椎动物每gdw0.13-2100.72ng,和0.31-3956.49ng/gdw的野生鱼,突出了明显的生物积累梯度。值得注意的是,肠道是OPE吸收的主要部位,显示所检查的七个组织中最高的浓度。在各种OPEs中,磷酸三(氯乙基)酯以其在水生食物网中的显着生物积累潜力而著称,这表明需要加强审查。底栖无脊椎动物中OPE积累的倾向明显高于野生鱼类,表明水生生物群内的脆弱性不同。本研究为作为新兴污染物的OPEs的风险评估奠定了基础,并强调了优先考虑生物累积效应的必要性。特别是在底栖无脊椎动物中,为未来的环境保护战略提供信息。
    Organophosphate esters (OPEs) are increasingly recognized as pervasive environmental contaminants, primarily from their extensive application in flame retardants and plasticizers. Despite their widespread presence, the intricacies of OPE bioaccumulation within aquatic ecosystems remain poorly understood, particularly the environmental determinants influencing their distribution and the bioaccumulation dynamics across aquatic food chains. Here we show that water temperature plays a crucial role in modulating the dispersion of OPE in the aquatic environment of Poyang Lake. We quantified OPE concentrations across various matrices, uncovering levels ranging from 0.198 to 912.622 ng L-1 in water, 0.013-493.36 ng per g dry weight (dw) in sediment, 0.026-41.92 ng per g wet weight (ww) in plankton, 0.13-2100.72 ng per g dw in benthic invertebrates, and 0.31-3956.49 ng per g dw in wild fish, highlighting a pronounced bioaccumulation gradient. Notably, the intestines emerged as the principal site for OPE absorption, displaying the highest concentrations among the seven tissues examined. Among the various OPEs, tris(chloroethyl) phosphate was distinguished by its significant bioaccumulation potential within the aquatic food web, suggesting a need for heightened scrutiny. The propensity for OPE accumulation was markedly higher in benthic invertebrates than wild fish, indicating a differential vulnerability within aquatic biota. This study lays a foundational basis for the risk assessment of OPEs as emerging contaminants and underscores the imperative to prioritize the examination of bioaccumulation effects, particularly in benthic invertebrates, to inform future environmental safeguarding strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    土壤真菌参与了有机物的分解,它们改变土壤结构和理化性质,并驱动陆地生态系统的物质循环和能量流动。真菌群落组装过程在不同土壤层中存在差异,并显着影响土壤微生物群落功能和植物生长。放牧是全球恢复退化草地的最常用措施之一。然而,不同类型草地放牧期间土壤真菌群落特征的变化尚不清楚。这里,我们调查了9年放牧对土壤性质的影响,真菌群落组成,和三种草地类型的多样性(温带沙漠,温带草原,和山地草甸)。结果表明:(1)在0-5cm土层中,放牧排斥显著增加了SWC的差异,SOC,KN,和N:P在三种草地类型中,而最终的pH值,BD,TP,C:N,C:P值与排除前的结果一致。在5-10厘米的土壤层中,放牧使温带沙漠中的总磷(TP)显着增加了34.1%,同时显着降低了9.8%的堆积密度(BD)和47.1%的氮磷比(N:P)。(2)不同草地类型土壤真菌群落组成存在差异,例如,在三种草地类型中,肾小球和粘菌之间存在显着差异。(3)在放牧排斥和草地类型的双重影响下,土壤真菌α多样性没有显著变化,但真菌β多样性存在显著差异。(4)草地类型是影响真菌群落多样性变化的最重要因子,植被覆盖和土壤凯氏定氮是影响真菌多样性的主要因子。我们的研究为更好地理解和管理不同的草原提供了长远的视角,以及为未来研究草土微生物相互作用提供更好的科学依据。
    Soil fungi are involved in the decomposition of organic matter, and they alter soil structure and physicochemical properties and drive the material cycle and energy flow in terrestrial ecosystems. Fungal community assembly processes were dissimilar in different soil layers and significantly affected soil microbial community function and plant growth. Grazing exclusion is one of the most common measures used to restore degraded grasslands worldwide. However, changes in soil fungal community characteristics during grazing exclusion in different types of grasslands are unknown. Here, we investigated the effects of a 9-year grazing exclusion on soil properties, fungal community composition, and diversity in three grassland types (temperate desert, temperate steppe, and mountain meadow). The results showed that (1) in the 0-5 cm soil layer, grazing exclusion significantly increased the differences in SWC, SOC, KN, and N:P among the three grassland types, while the final pH, BD, TP, C:N, and C:P values were consistent with the results before exclusion. In the 5-10 cm soil layer, grazing exclusion significantly increased total phosphorus (TP) in temperate deserts by 34.1%, while significantly decreasing bulk density (BD) by 9.8% and the nitrogen: phosphorus ratio (N:P) by 47.1%. (2) The soil fungal community composition differed among the grassland types, For example, significant differences were found among the three grassland types for the Glomeromycota and Mucoromycota. (3) Under the influence of both grazing exclusion and grassland type, there was no significant change in soil fungal alpha diversity, but there were significant differences in fungal beta diversity. (4) Grassland type was the most important factor influencing changes in fungal community diversity, and vegetation cover and soil kjeldahl nitrogen were the main factors influencing fungal diversity. Our research provides a long-term perspective for better understanding and managing different grasslands, as well as a better scientific basis for future research on grass-soil-microbe interactions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    有毒金属对沉积物的污染对河流生态系统和人类健康都构成了重大威胁。在这项研究中,地理积累指数(Igeo),生物毒性评价方法,利用潜在生态风险指数(RI)对污染水平进行分析,生物毒性风险,小清河表层沉积物中有毒金属的潜在生态风险。为了识别有毒金属来源,采用Spearman相关和主成分分析与多元线性回归分析(PCA-MLR)。此外,冗余分析(RDA)用于研究影响沉积物中有毒金属积累的潜在驱动因素。结果表明,所研究的五种金属(Cr,Pb,As,Hg,和Cd)在1996-2020年期间表现出持续波动。中游被发现比上游和下游污染更严重。在研究领域,汞被确定为污染程度高的主要污染物,存在生物毒性风险和潜在生态风险。确定了两个时期的污染源:A(1996-2010)和B(2011-2020),工业,农业,交通,自然来源是主要的贡献者。A期间,工业来源占比最高(40.8%),其次是农业来源(36.6%),和地质自然来源(22.6%)。B期间,农业来源占比最高(42%),其次是工业和交通来源(32.4%),和地质自然来源(25.6%)。流域内有毒金属的分布受水体pH值的显著影响,沉积物有机质,人口密度,人均GDP。研究结果为济南小清河沉积物中有毒金属污染的防治和水资源管理提供了基础数据。此外,它为分析流域的相关生态和环境问题提供了参考。
    The contamination of sediments by toxic metals poses a significant threat to both river ecosystems and human health. In this study, the geo-accumulation index (Igeo), biotoxicity evaluation method, and potential ecological risk index (RI) were employed to analyze the contamination level, biotoxicity risk, and potential ecological risk of toxic metals in surface sediments of the Xiaoqing River. To identify toxic metal sources, Spearman correlation and principal component analysis with multiple linear regression analysis (PCA-MLR) were employed. Additionally, redundancy analysis (RDA) was utilized to investigate potential driving factors affecting toxic metal accumulation in sediments. The results revealed that the levels of the five investigated metals (Cr, Pb, As, Hg, and Cd) showed constant fluctuations during the period 1996-2020. The midstream was found to be more polluted than the upstream and downstream. In the research area, Hg was identified as the primary contaminant with high levels of contamination, posing a biotoxicity risk and potential ecological risk. Pollution sources were identified for two periods: A (1996-2010) and B (2011-2020), with industrial, agricultural, traffic, and natural sources being the main contributors. During period A, industrial sources accounted for the highest proportion (40.8%), followed by agricultural sources (36.6%), and geological natural sources (22.6%). During period B, agricultural sources accounted for the highest proportion (42%), followed by industrial and traffic sources (32.4%), and geological natural sources (25.6%). The distribution of toxic metals in the basin was significantly influenced by water pH, sediment organic matter, population density, and per capita GDP. The study results provide fundamental data for preventing pollution and managing water resources contaminated with toxic metals in the sediments of the Xiaoqing River in Jinan. Additionally, it serves as a reference for analyzing related ecological and environmental issues in the basin.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    从2013年到2019年,一系列空气污染治理行动显著降低了中国的PM2.5污染。控制操作包括活动级别的更改,结构调整(SA)政策,能源和材料节约(EMS)政策,和多个源的管道末端(EOP)控制,这在以前的研究中没有得到系统的研究。这里,我们整合了一个排放清单,化学输运模型,健康影响评估模型,和情景分析,量化一系列主要排放源的每个控制行动对2013年至2019年中国PM2.5浓度变化和相关死亡率的贡献。假设所有来源的PM2.5毒性相同,我们估计PM2.5相关死亡率从2.52下降(95%置信区间,2.13-2.88)至1.94(1.62-2.24)万死亡。人为减排和基线发病率下降显著有助于健康益处,但是人口老龄化部分抵消了它们的影响。在主要来源中,对发电厂和工业锅炉的控制是PM2.5相关死亡率降低最高的原因(约80%),其次是工业过程(40%),住宅燃烧(~40%),和交通(~30%)。然而,考虑到发电厂PM2.5潜在的相对较高的风险,通过控制它们避免的不利影响可能是目前估计的2.4倍。我们的发电厂敏感性分析表明,未来对特定来源的PM2.5健康影响的估计应纳入单个来源的PM2.5影响系数的变化。至于控制动作,虽然大多数来源的活动水平都有所增加,SA政策大大减少了住宅燃烧和工业锅炉的排放,在除住宅燃烧外的大多数来源中,EOP控制对健康益处的贡献占主导地位。考虑到2019年源头和控制行动的减排潜力,我们的结果表明,未来应优先考虑在住宅燃烧中推广清洁能源,并在钢铁行业实施更严格的EOP控制。
    From 2013 to 2019, a series of air pollution control actions significantly reduced PM2.5 pollution in China. Control actions included changes in activity levels, structural adjustment (SA) policy, energy and material saving (EMS) policy, and end-of-pipe (EOP) control in several sources, which have not been systematically studied in previous studies. Here, we integrate an emission inventory, a chemical transport model, a health impact assessment model, and a scenario analysis to quantify the contribution of each control action across a range of major emission sources to the changes in PM2.5 concentrations and associated mortality in China from 2013 to 2019. Assuming equal toxicity of PM2.5 from all the sources, we estimate that PM2.5-related mortality decreased from 2.52 (95 % confidence interval, 2.13-2.88) to 1.94 (1.62-2.24) million deaths. Anthropogenic emission reductions and declining baseline incidence rates significantly contributed to health benefits, but population aging partially offset their impact. Among the major sources, controls on power plants and industrial boilers were responsible for the highest reduction in PM2.5-related mortality (∼80 %), followed by industrial processes (∼40 %), residential combustion (∼40 %), and transportation (∼30 %). However, considering the potentially higher relative risks of power plant PM2.5, the adverse effects avoided by their control could be ∼2.4 times the current estimation. Our power plant sensitivity analyses indicate that future estimates of source-specific PM2.5 health effects should incorporate variations in individual source PM2.5 effect coefficients when available. As for the control actions, while activity levels increased for most sources, SA policy significantly reduced the emissions in residential combustion and industrial boilers, and EOP control dominated the contribution in health benefits in most sources except residential combustion. Considering the emission reduction potential by source and control actions in 2019, our results suggest that promoting clean energy in residential combustion and enforcing more stringent EOP control in the iron and steel industry should be prioritized in the future.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    了解城市增长和时空土地利用变化的驱动因素对于合理土地利用和城市可持续发展至关重要。根据土地利用数据,解释变量的GIS数据,专家的知识和实地观察,该研究使用二元逻辑回归模型(BLRM)来分析巴希尔达尔市城市快速增长的因素,埃塞俄比亚,使用IDRISISelva软件中的LOGISTIREG模块。从1984年到2019年,使用了9个因素来反映邻近性和物理因素对城市增长的影响。该模型有助于量化和识别城市增长的因素,其中包括地形(斜坡,海拔和纵横比)和可及性(Dis。到主干道,Dis.到国际机场,Dis.到CBD,Dis.到现有的建成区,Dis.林地和Dis。到水体)。此外,基于LRM结果创建城市增长概率图,这表明,最大的城市增长将发生在主要道路沿线和巴希尔达尔国际机场附近的现有建成区周围。相对工作特性(ROC)值为0.85,0.90和0.93,PCP值为96.72%,98.46%和98.51%表明城市增长概率图有效,BLRM具有预测城市增长的理想能力。所以,这项研究强调了巴希尔达尔的城市增长与其驱动因素之间的关系,为更好的土地利用管理和资源分配提供决策框架。
    Understanding the drivers of urban growth and spatiotemporal land use change is important for rational land use and sustainable urban development. Based on the land use data, GIS data of explanatory variables, experts\' knowledge and field observation, the study used a binary logistic regression model (BLRM) to analyze factors that drive rapid urban growth in Bahir Dar city, Ethiopia, using the LOGISTICREG module in IDRISI Selva software. Nine factors were used to reflect the influence of proximity and physical factors on urban growth from 1984 to 2019. This model helped in quantifying and identifying the factors of urban growth, which includes topography (slope, elevation and aspect) and accessibility (Dis. to the main road, Dis. to international airport, Dis. to CBD, Dis. to existing built-up area, Dis. to forest land and Dis. to water body). Furthermore, urban growth probability maps were created based on LRM results, revealing that the biggest urban growth would occur around existing built-up areas along the main roads and near Bahir Dar international airport. The Relative Operating Characteristic (ROC) values of 0.85, 0.90 and 0.93 and PCP values of 96.72 %, 98.46 % and 98.51 % indicate the urban growth probability maps are valid and BLRM had an ideal ability to predict urban growth. So, the study highlighted the relation between urban growth and its drivers in Bahir Dar, giving a decision making framework for better land use management and resource allocation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定影响能源消耗和CO2排放的关键因素对于制定有效的节能减排政策是必要的。以前的研究主要集中在分解国家能源消耗和二氧化碳排放的变化,区域,或部门级别,而站点级分解的观点被忽视了。为了缩小研究的差距,讨论了能源和碳密集型钢铁场地的场地级分解。在这项工作中,采用对数平均Divisia指数(LMDI)方法对钢铁站点的能耗和CO2排放量的变化进行了分解。结果表明,生产规模显著促进了能源消耗和CO2排放的增加,累计贡献229.63和255.36%,分别。能源回收和信贷排放是减少现场级能源消耗和二氧化碳排放的两个关键因素,对能源消耗和二氧化碳排放量变化的累计贡献为-158.30%和-160.45%,分别。能量的减少,通量,每吨钢的含碳材料消耗促进了直接减排,购买电力的节约大大有助于间接减排。此外,场产品和副产品促进信贷排放量的增加,并最终抑制钢铁场二氧化碳排放总量的增加。
    Identifying the key factors influencing energy consumption and CO2 emissions is necessary for developing effective energy conservation and emission mitigation policies. Previous studies have focused mainly on decomposing changes in energy consumption and CO2 emissions at the national, regional, or sectoral levels, while the perspective of site-level decomposition has been neglected. To narrow this gap in research, a site-level decomposition of energy- and carbon-intensive iron and steel sites is discussed. In this work, the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) method is used to decompose the changes in the energy consumption and CO2 emissions of iron and steel sites. The results show that the production scale significantly contributes to the increase in both energy consumption and CO2 emissions, with cumulative contributions of 229.63 and 255.36%, respectively. Energy recovery and credit emissions are two key factors decreasing site-level energy consumption and CO2 emissions, with cumulative contributions to the changes in energy consumption and CO2 emissions of -158.30 and -160.45%, respectively. A decrease in energy, flux, and carbon-containing material consumption per ton of steel promotes direct emission reduction, and purchased electricity savings greatly contribute to indirect emission reduction. In addition, site products and byproducts promote an increase in credit emissions and ultimately inhibit an increase in the total CO2 emissions of iron and steel sites.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    污染减排与碳减排协同推进是我国生态文明建设的必然要求。现有的研究主要集中在宏观层面的研究,相对缺乏专门针对产业链微观层面的研究。根据非竞争性IO表,本研究采用结构路径分解分析方法分析了PRCM产业链的协同差异及其驱动因素。研究结果表明:(1)CO2、SO2和PM的关键排放产业链呈现高度重叠,占46.67%,46.67%,60.00%,50.00%,2002-2020年为56.67%。PRCM产业链处于较低的协同运行水平,比例仅为13.33%,23.33%,20.00%,和16.67%。PRCM表现出“具有不同路径的相似起源”现象。(2)中国的碳减排政策可以减少污染,而减少污染政策的碳减排效果有限。(3)排放控制效果是PRCM协同作用的主要不同因素,而其他因素对三种排放表现出一致的影响方向。研究结论和相应的政策建议对于相关部门系统规划协同减排路径、制定有针对性的协同减排政策具有重要的理论和实践意义。
    The synergistic enhancement of pollution reduction and carbon mitigation (PRCM) is an inevitable requirement for China\'s ecological civilization construction. Existing studies primarily focus on macro-level research, and there is a relative lack of research specifically addressing the micro-level of industrial chains. Based on non-competitive IO tables, this study employed the structural path decomposition analysis method to analyze the synergistic disparities of the PRCM industry chain and its driving factors. The findings reveal: (1) The crucial emission industrial chains for CO2, SO2, and PM show a high overlap degree, accounting for 46.67 %, 46.67 %, 60.00 %, 50.00 %, and 56.67 % during 2002-2020. The PRCM industrial chains are operating at a low synergistic level, with proportions of only 13.33 %, 23.33 %, 20.00 %, and 16.67 %. PRCM exhibits a \"similar origin with different paths\" phenomenon. (2) China\'s carbon mitigation policies can reduce pollution, whereas pollution reduction policies have limited carbon mitigation effects. (3) The emission control effect is the primary disparate factor in PRCM synergy, while other factors exhibit consistent impact direction to three emissions. The study\'s conclusions and corresponding policy suggestions hold significant theoretical and practical implications for relevant authorities to systematically plan synergistic emission reduction pathways and establish targeted synergistic policies.
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