Depression prediction

抑郁症预测
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在当代社会,抑郁症已成为一种突出的精神障碍,表现出指数增长,并对过早死亡产生重大影响。尽管许多研究应用机器学习方法来预测抑郁症的迹象。然而,只有有限数量的研究将严重性级别作为多类变量考虑在内.此外,在实际社区中,保持所有类之间数据分布的平等很少发生。所以,多个变量不可避免的类不平衡被认为是该领域的重大挑战。此外,这项研究强调了在多班级背景下解决班级不平衡问题的重要性。我们在数据预处理阶段引入了一种新的特征组划分(FGP)方法,该方法有效地将特征的维度降至最低。这项研究利用了合成过采样技术,特别是合成少数过采样技术(SMOTE)和自适应合成(ADASYN),类平衡。本研究中使用的数据集是通过管理烧伤抑郁症清单(BDC)从大学生那里收集的。对于方法上的修改,我们实现了异构集成学习堆叠,均匀合奏装袋,和五种不同的监督机器学习算法。通过评估训练的准确性,缓解了过拟合的问题,验证,和测试数据集。为了证明预测模型的有效性,平衡精度,灵敏度,特异性,精度,并使用f1分数指数。总的来说,综合分析证明了传统抑郁症筛查(CDS)和FGP方法之间的区别。总之,结果表明,采用SMOTE方法的FGP堆叠分类器具有最高的平衡精度,率92.81%。经验证据表明,FGP方法,当与SMOTE结合时,能够在预测抑郁症的严重程度方面产生更好的表现。最重要的是,优化所有分类器的FGP方法的训练时间是本研究的一项重大成就。
    In contemporary society, depression has emerged as a prominent mental disorder that exhibits exponential growth and exerts a substantial influence on premature mortality. Although numerous research applied machine learning methods to forecast signs of depression. Nevertheless, only a limited number of research have taken into account the severity level as a multiclass variable. Besides, maintaining the equality of data distribution among all the classes rarely happens in practical communities. So, the inevitable class imbalance for multiple variables is considered a substantial challenge in this domain. Furthermore, this research emphasizes the significance of addressing class imbalance issues in the context of multiple classes. We introduced a new approach Feature group partitioning (FGP) in the data preprocessing phase which effectively reduces the dimensionality of features to a minimum. This study utilized synthetic oversampling techniques, specifically Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique (SMOTE) and Adaptive Synthetic (ADASYN), for class balancing. The dataset used in this research was collected from university students by administering the Burn Depression Checklist (BDC). For methodological modifications, we implemented heterogeneous ensemble learning stacking, homogeneous ensemble bagging, and five distinct supervised machine learning algorithms. The issue of overfitting was mitigated by evaluating the accuracy of the training, validation, and testing datasets. To justify the effectiveness of the prediction models, balanced accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, precision, and f1-score indices are used. Overall, comprehensive analysis demonstrates the discrimination between the Conventional Depression Screening (CDS) and FGP approach. In summary, the results show that the stacking classifier for FGP with SMOTE approach yields the highest balanced accuracy, with a rate of 92.81%. The empirical evidence has demonstrated that the FGP approach, when combined with the SMOTE, able to produce better performance in predicting the severity of depression. Most importantly the optimization of the training time of the FGP approach for all of the classifiers is a significant achievement of this research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    COVID-19大流行加剧了心理健康挑战,尤其是大学生的抑郁症。及早发现有风险的学生至关重要,但仍然具有挑战性,特别是在发展中国家。利用数据驱动的预测模型提出了解决这一紧迫需求的可行解决方案。
    1)开发和比较机器学习(ML)模型,以预测大流行期间阿根廷学生的抑郁症。2)使用适当的指标评估分类和回归模型的性能。3)识别驱动抑郁预测的关键特征。
    纵向数据集(N=1492名大学生)在阿根廷COVID-19隔离期间捕获了T1和T2测量值。ML模型,包括线性逻辑回归分类器/岭回归(LogReg/RR),随机森林分类器/回归器,和支持向量机/回归器(SVM/SVR),被雇用。评估的特征包括抑郁和焦虑评分(T1时),精神障碍/自杀行为史,检疫子期信息,性别,和年龄。对于分类,模型对测试数据的性能使用精度召回曲线下的面积(AUPRC)进行评估,接收机工作特性曲线下的面积,平衡精度,F1得分,和Brier损失。对于回归,R-平方(R2),平均绝对误差,并评估均方误差。进行单变量分析以评估每个单独特征相对于目标变量的预测强度。使用分类器的平均AUPRC得分和回归变量的R2得分比较多变量与单变量模型的性能。
    SVM和LogReg可实现最高性能(例如,AUPRC:0.76,95%CI:0.69,0.81)和SVR和RR模型(例如,SVR和RR的R2:0.56,95%CI:分别为0.45,0.64和0.45,0.63)。单变量模型,特别是使用抑郁(AUPRC:0.72,95%CI:0.64,0.79)或焦虑评分(AUPRC:0.71,95%CI:0.64,0.78)的LogReg和SVM,以及使用抑郁评分(R2:0.48,95%CI:0.39,0.57)的RR表现出接近多变量模型的性能水平,其中包括所有功能。
    这些发现强调了先前存在的抑郁和焦虑状况在预测隔离期间抑郁方面的相关性,强调他们的合并症。ML模型,特别是SVM/SVR和LogReg/RR,在及时发现有风险的学生方面表现出潜力。然而,在临床实施之前还需要进一步的研究.
    UNASSIGNED: The COVID-19 pandemic has exacerbated mental health challenges, particularly depression among college students. Detecting at-risk students early is crucial but remains challenging, particularly in developing countries. Utilizing data-driven predictive models presents a viable solution to address this pressing need.
    UNASSIGNED: 1) To develop and compare machine learning (ML) models for predicting depression in Argentinean students during the pandemic. 2) To assess the performance of classification and regression models using appropriate metrics. 3) To identify key features driving depression prediction.
    UNASSIGNED: A longitudinal dataset (N = 1492 college students) captured T1 and T2 measurements during the Argentinean COVID-19 quarantine. ML models, including linear logistic regression classifiers/ridge regression (LogReg/RR), random forest classifiers/regressors, and support vector machines/regressors (SVM/SVR), are employed. Assessed features encompass depression and anxiety scores (at T1), mental disorder/suicidal behavior history, quarantine sub-period information, sex, and age. For classification, models\' performance on test data is evaluated using Area Under the Precision-Recall Curve (AUPRC), Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve, Balanced Accuracy, F1 score, and Brier loss. For regression, R-squared (R2), Mean Absolute Error, and Mean Squared Error are assessed. Univariate analyses are conducted to assess the predictive strength of each individual feature with respect to the target variable. The performance of multi- vs univariate models is compared using the mean AUPRC score for classifiers and the R2 score for regressors.
    UNASSIGNED: The highest performance is achieved by SVM and LogReg (e.g., AUPRC: 0.76, 95% CI: 0.69, 0.81) and SVR and RR models (e.g., R2 for SVR and RR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.45, 0.64 and 0.45, 0.63, respectively). Univariate models, particularly LogReg and SVM using depression (AUPRC: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.64, 0.79) or anxiety scores (AUPRC: 0.71, 95% CI: 0.64, 0.78) and RR using depression scores (R2: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.39, 0.57) exhibit performance levels close to those of the multivariate models, which include all features.
    UNASSIGNED: These findings highlight the relevance of pre-existing depression and anxiety conditions in predicting depression during quarantine, underscoring their comorbidity. ML models, particularly SVM/SVR and LogReg/RR, demonstrate potential in the timely detection of at-risk students. However, further studies are needed before clinical implementation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症已成为全球普遍关注的心理健康问题。传统抑郁症诊断方法的准确性因多种因素而面临挑战,使初级识别成为一项复杂的任务。因此,当务之急是开发一种符合抑郁症识别的客观性和有效性标准的方法。目前的研究强调了抑郁症患者和没有抑郁症患者之间大脑活动的显着差异。脑电图(EEG),作为一种生物反射和容易获得的信号,被广泛用于诊断抑郁症。本文介绍了一种创新的抑郁症预测策略,该策略融合了时频复杂度和电极空间拓扑结构,以帮助抑郁症诊断。最初,提取EEG信号的时频复杂度和时间特征以生成图卷积网络的节点特征。随后,利用信道相关性,使用并计算了大脑网络邻接矩阵。最后的抑郁分类是通过训练和验证具有图节点特征的图卷积网络和基于通道相关性的脑网络邻接矩阵来实现的。所提出的策略已使用两个公开可用的EEG数据集进行了验证,MODMA和PRED+CT,达到98.30和96.51%的显著准确率,分别。这些结果肯定了我们提出的策略在使用EEG信号预测抑郁症方面的可靠性和实用性。此外,研究结果证实了EEG时频复杂性特征作为抑郁症预测有价值的生物标志物的有效性.
    Depression has become the prevailing global mental health concern. The accuracy of traditional depression diagnosis methods faces challenges due to diverse factors, making primary identification a complex task. Thus, the imperative lies in developing a method that fulfills objectivity and effectiveness criteria for depression identification. Current research underscores notable disparities in brain activity between individuals with depression and those without. The Electroencephalogram (EEG), as a biologically reflective and easily accessible signal, is widely used to diagnose depression. This article introduces an innovative depression prediction strategy that merges time-frequency complexity and electrode spatial topology to aid in depression diagnosis. Initially, time-frequency complexity and temporal features of the EEG signal are extracted to generate node features for a graph convolutional network. Subsequently, leveraging channel correlation, the brain network adjacency matrix is employed and calculated. The final depression classification is achieved by training and validating a graph convolutional network with graph node features and a brain network adjacency matrix based on channel correlation. The proposed strategy has been validated using two publicly available EEG datasets, MODMA and PRED+CT, achieving notable accuracy rates of 98.30 and 96.51%, respectively. These outcomes affirm the reliability and utility of our proposed strategy in predicting depression using EEG signals. Additionally, the findings substantiate the effectiveness of EEG time-frequency complexity characteristics as valuable biomarkers for depression prediction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于冠状病毒大流行的影响,现代生物圈中的大多数人都与抑郁症作斗争,这对心理健康产生了不利影响,没有任何警告。即使大多数人仍然受到保护,如果有人感到有点昏昏欲睡,检查电晕后的病毒症状至关重要。为了识别人体内存在的冠状病毒后症状和攻击,建议的方法包括在内。当有害病毒在人体内传播时,诊断后的症状更加危险,如果他们在早期阶段没有得到认可,风险将会增加。此外,如果病后症状严重且未经治疗,它可能会损害一个人的心理健康。为了防止某人屈服于抑郁症,音频预测技术用于识别所有症状和潜在危险迹象。不同的合唱字符用于组合机器学习算法来确定每个人的精神状态。针对检测音频属性输出的单独设备进行了设计考虑,以评估所建议技术的有效性;与以前的方法相比,性能指标要好得多大约67%。
    The majority of people in the modern biosphere struggle with depression as a result of the coronavirus pandemic\'s impact, which has adversely impacted mental health without warning. Even though the majority of individuals are still protected, it is crucial to check for post-corona virus symptoms if someone is feeling a little lethargic. In order to identify the post-coronavirus symptoms and attacks that are present in the human body, the recommended approach is included. When a harmful virus spreads inside a human body, the post-diagnosis symptoms are considerably more dangerous, and if they are not recognised at an early stage, the risks will be increased. Additionally, if the post-symptoms are severe and go untreated, it might harm one\'s mental health. In order to prevent someone from succumbing to depression, the technology of audio prediction is employed to recognise all the symptoms and potentially dangerous signs. Different choral characters are used to combine machine-learning algorithms to determine each person\'s mental state. Design considerations are made for a separate device that detects audio attribute outputs in order to evaluate the effectiveness of the suggested technique; compared to the previous method, the performance metric is substantially better by roughly 67%.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症是最常见的心理健康疾病之一。最大的障碍在于对疾病的有效和早期检测。自我报告问卷是医学专家用来阐述诊断的工具。这些问卷是通过分析不同的抑郁症状设计的。然而,社会污名等因素对传统方法的成功产生负面影响。本文提出了一种自动估计社交媒体用户抑郁程度的新方法。在这方面,我们在CLEF会议上提出了“衡量2020年eRisk抑郁迹象的严重程度”的任务。我们旨在探索神经语言模型,以根据要捕获的症状来利用受试者著作的不同方面。我们设计了两种不同的方法,基于对公开评论它们的意愿的症状敏感性。第一个利用用户基于其出版物的通用语言。第二个从出版物中寻求更直接的证据,这些出版物特别提到了症状问题。两种方法都自动估计贝克抑郁量表(BDI-II)总分。为了评估我们的建议,我们使用基准Reddit数据来估计抑郁症的严重程度。我们的发现表明,基于神经语言模型的方法是估计抑郁量表的可行替代方法,即使有少量的训练数据可用。
    Depression is one of the most common mental health illnesses. The biggest obstacle lies in an efficient and early detection of the disorder. Self-report questionnaires are the instruments used by medical experts to elaborate a diagnosis. These questionnaires were designed by analyzing different depressive symptoms. However, factors such as social stigmas negatively affect the success of traditional methods. This paper presents a novel approach for automatically estimating the degree of depression in social media users. In this regard, we addressed the task Measuring the Severity of the Signs of Depression of eRisk 2020, an initiative in the CLEF Conference. We aimed to explore neural language models to exploit different aspects of the subject\'s writings depending on the symptom to capture. We devised two distinct methods based on the symptoms\' sensitivity in terms of willingness on commenting about them publicly. The first exploits users\' general language based on their publications. The second seeks more direct evidence from publications that specifically mention the symptoms concerns. Both methods automatically estimate the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI-II) total score. For evaluating our proposals, we used benchmark Reddit data for depression severity estimation. Our findings showed that approaches based on neural language models are a feasible alternative for estimating depression rating scales, even when small amounts of training data are available.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在COVID-19大流行的影响下,世界各地患有抑郁症的患者人数正在上升。早期诊断抑郁症很重要,以便尽快治疗。自我回应问卷,它被用来诊断医院的抑郁症,是不切实际的,因为它需要积极的患者参与。因此,有一个自动预测抑郁症并推荐治疗的系统是至关重要的。在本文中,我们提出了一个基于智能手机的抑郁症预测系统。此外,我们提出了基于多模态传感器数据的抑郁特征来预测抑郁情绪。多模态抑郁特征是根据《精神障碍诊断和统计手册》(DSM-5)中定义的抑郁症状设计的。拟议的系统包括从智能手机收集数据的“心理健康保护者”应用程序和处理大量数据的基于大数据的云平台。我们招募了106名精神病患者,并使用所提出的系统从他们的智能手机收集智能手机传感器数据和自我报告问卷。最后,我们评估了该系统对抑郁症的预测性能。作为测试数据集,106名参与者中的27名被随机选择。拟议的系统显示16名抑郁症患者的f1评分为76.92%,特别是,15名患者,93.75%,成功预测。与以往的研究不同,该方法仅使用智能手机,具有很高的适应性,并且具有基于诊断来评估预测精度的区别。
    With the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of patients suffering from depression is rising around the world. It is important to diagnose depression early so that it may be treated as soon as possible. The self-response questionnaire, which has been used to diagnose depression in hospitals, is impractical since it requires active patient engagement. Therefore, it is vital to have a system that predicts depression automatically and recommends treatment. In this paper, we propose a smartphone-based depression prediction system. In addition, we propose depressive features based on multimodal sensor data for predicting depressive mood. The multimodal depressive features were designed based on depression symptoms defined in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (DSM-5). The proposed system comprises a \"Mental Health Protector\" application that collects data from smartphones and a big data-based cloud platform that processes large amounts of data. We recruited 106 mental patients and collected smartphone sensor data and self-reported questionnaires from their smartphones using the proposed system. Finally, we evaluated the performance of the proposed system\'s prediction of depression. As the test dataset, 27 out of 106 participants were selected randomly. The proposed system showed 76.92% on an f1-score for 16 patients with depression disease, and in particular, 15 patients, 93.75%, were successfully predicted. Unlike previous studies, the proposed method has high adaptability in that it uses only smartphones and has a distinction of evaluating prediction accuracy based on the diagnosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症已逐渐成为世界上最常见的精神障碍。其诊断的准确性可能受多种因素的影响,而主要诊断似乎很难定义。找到一种通过满足客观和有效条件来识别抑郁症的方法是一个紧迫的问题。在本文中,提出了一种基于时空特征的抑郁症预测策略,有望用于抑郁症的辅助诊断。首先,通过滤波器对脑电图(EEG)信号进行去噪,得到三个对应频率范围的功率谱,Theta,阿尔法和贝塔。使用正交投影,电极的空间位置被映射到脑力谱,从而获得具有空间信息的三个大脑图。然后,将这三个脑图叠加在具有频域和空间特征的新脑图上。卷积神经网络(CNN)和门控递归单元(GRU)用于提取序列特征。所提出的策略已通过公共EEG数据集进行了验证,用私人数据集实现89.63%的准确率和88.56%的准确率。网络的复杂性较低,只有六层。结果表明,我们的战略是可信的,使用脑电信号预测抑郁症不太复杂和有用。
    Depression has gradually become the most common mental disorder in the world. The accuracy of its diagnosis may be affected by many factors, while the primary diagnosis seems to be difficult to define. Finding a way to identify depression by satisfying both objective and effective conditions is an urgent issue. In this paper, a strategy for predicting depression based on spatiotemporal features is proposed, and is expected to be used in the auxiliary diagnosis of depression. Firstly, electroencephalogram (EEG) signals were denoised through the filter to obtain the power spectra of the three corresponding frequency ranges, Theta, Alpha and Beta. Using orthogonal projection, the spatial positions of the electrodes were mapped to the brainpower spectrum, thereby obtaining three brain maps with spatial information. Then, the three brain maps were superimposed on a new brain map with frequency domain and spatial characteristics. A Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) were applied to extract the sequential feature. The proposed strategy was validated with a public EEG dataset, achieving an accuracy of 89.63% and an accuracy of 88.56% with the private dataset. The network had less complexity with only six layers. The results show that our strategy is credible, less complex and useful in predicting depression using EEG signals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    最近的研究表明,使用智能手机收集的地理位置特征可以成为抑郁症的强大预测指标。虽然位置信息可以通过GPS方便地收集,典型的数据集因各种因素而遭受大量数据缺失的困扰(例如,电话动力动态,GPS的局限性)。一种常见的方法是在数据分析之前删除具有显著缺失数据的时间段。在本文中,我们开发了一种融合从两个来源收集的位置数据的方法:GPS和WiFi关联记录,在智能手机上,并使用从79名大学生中收集的数据集评估其表现。我们的评估表明,我们的数据融合方法导致更完整的数据。此外,从更完整的数据中提取的特征与自我报告抑郁得分有更强的相关性,并导致抑郁预测,F1得分高得多(与数据融合前的0.5相比,高达0.76)。当包括额外的数据源时,我们进一步研究了scenerio,即,从WiFi网络基础设施收集的数据。我们的研究结果表明,虽然额外的数据源导致更完整的数据,结果F1得分与仅使用位置数据时的得分相似(即,GPS和WiFi关联记录)来自手机。
    Recent studies have demonstrated that geographic location features collected using smartphones can be a powerful predictor for depression. While location information can be conveniently gathered by GPS, typical datasets suffer from significant periods of missing data due to various factors (e.g., phone power dynamics, limitations of GPS). A common approach is to remove the time periods with significant missing data before data analysis. In this paper, we develop an approach that fuses location data collected from two sources: GPS and WiFi association records, on smartphones, and evaluate its performance using a dataset collected from 79 college students. Our evaluation demonstrates that our data fusion approach leads to significantly more complete data. In addition, the features extracted from the more complete data present stronger correlation with self-report depression scores, and lead to depression prediction with much higher F 1 scores (up to 0.76 compared to 0.5 before data fusion). We further investigate the scenerio when including an additional data source, i.e., the data collected from a WiFi network infrastructure. Our results show that, while the additional data source leads to even more complete data, the resultant F 1 scores are similar to those when only using the location data (i.e., GPS and WiFi association records) from the phones.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Developing machine learning based depression prediction method with information from long-term recordings is important and challenging to clinical diagnosis of depression.
    We developed a novel two-stage feature selection algorithm conducted on the high-dimensional (over thirty thousand) features constructed by a context-aware analysis on the data set of DAIC-WOZ, including audio, video, and semantic features. The prediction performance was compared with seven reference models. The preferred topics and feature categories related to the retained features were also analyzed respectively.
    Parsimonious subsets (tens of features) were selected by the proposed method in each case of prediction. We obtained the best performance in depression classification with F1-score as 0.96 (0.67), Precision as 1.00 (0.63), and Recall as 0.92 (0.71) on the development set (test set). We also achieved promising results in depression severity estimation with RMSE as 4.43 (5.11) and MAE as 3.22 (3.98), having a marginal difference with the best reference model (random forest with \'Selected-Text\' features). Five most important topics related to depression were revealed. The audio features were predominant to the other feature categories in depression classification while the contributions of the three feature categories to severity estimation were almost equal.
    More depression samples in the database we used should be further included. The second stage of feature selection is relatively time-consuming.
    This pipeline of depression recognition as well as the preferred topics and feature categories are expected to be useful in supporting the diagnosis of psychological distress conditions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症是一个严重的心理健康问题。最近,研究人员提出了新的方法,使用智能手机上被动收集的传感数据进行自动抑郁症筛查。虽然这些研究探索了几种类型的传感数据(例如,location,活动,对话),他们都没有利用智能手机的互联网流量,这可以收集很少的能源消耗和数据是不敏感的电话硬件。在本文中,我们探索使用智能手机上互联网流量的粗粒度元数据进行抑郁症筛查。我们开发识别互联网使用会话的技术(即,用户在线的时间段),并根据使用情况从Internet流量元数据中提取一组新的特征。我们的结果表明,互联网使用特征可以反映抑郁和非抑郁参与者之间的不同行为特征,证实了心理科学的发现,它们依赖于调查或问卷,而不是我们研究中的真实互联网流量。此外,我们开发了基于机器学习的预测模型,使用这些特征来预测抑郁症。我们的评估表明,互联网使用特征可以用于有效的抑郁症预测,导致F1得分高达0.80。
    Depression is a serious mental health problem. Recently, researchers have proposed novel approaches that use sensing data collected passively on smartphones for automatic depression screening. While these studies have explored several types of sensing data (e.g., location, activity, conversation), none of them has leveraged Internet traffic of smartphones, which can be collected with little energy consumption and the data is insensitive to phone hardware. In this paper, we explore using coarse-grained meta-data of Internet traffic on smartphones for depression screening. We develop techniques to identify Internet usage sessions (i.e., time periods when a user is online) and extract a novel set of features based on usage sessions from the Internet traffic meta-data. Our results demonstrate that Internet usage features can reflect the different behavioral characteristics between depressed and non-depressed participants, confirming findings in psychological sciences, which have relied on surveys or questionnaires instead of real Internet traffic as in our study. Furthermore, we develop machine learning based prediction models that use these features to predict depression. Our evaluation shows that Internet usage features can be used for effective depression prediction, leading to F 1 score as high as 0.80.
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