Demographic shift

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    随着人口老龄化,全球人口格局正在经历巨大的变化,在医疗保健进步和出生率下降的推动下。这一转变强调了年轻一代有必要做好准备,为老龄化社会做出有效的贡献。本手稿全面回顾了为年轻一代提供必要知识的策略,技能,和同情来支持人口老龄化。本研究通过对现有文献和创新教育计划的广泛分析,确定了促进代际团结和理解的关键挑战和机遇。检讨强调早期教育的重要性,社区参与,以及弥合代际鸿沟的政策干预。此外,它探讨了技术和数字媒体在促进年轻人认识和同情方面的作用。主要研究结果表明,将与衰老相关的内容纳入教育课程,促进志愿服务,实施支持性政策可以显着增强年轻一代支持老龄化社会的意愿。手稿最后提出了对教育工作者未来研究和实际步骤的建议,政策制定者,和社区领导人促进一个更具包容性和年龄友好的环境。通过今天为年轻一代做准备,我们可以为明天建立一个更具凝聚力和支持性的社会。
    The global demographic landscape is experiencing a monumental shift as populations age, driven by advances in healthcare and declining birth rates. This transition underscores the need to prepare the younger generation to navigate and contribute effectively to an aging society. This manuscript comprehensively reviews strategies to equip younger generations with the requisite knowledge, skills, and empathy to support an aging population. This study identifies critical challenges and opportunities in fostering intergenerational solidarity and understanding through an extensive analysis of existing literature and innovative educational programs. The review highlights the importance of early education, community engagement, and policy interventions in bridging the generational divide. Additionally, it explores the role of technology and digital media in facilitating awareness and empathy among young people. Key findings suggest that incorporating aging-related content into educational curricula, promoting volunteerism, and implementing supportive policies can significantly enhance the younger generation\'s readiness to support an aging society. The manuscript concludes with recommendations for future research and practical steps for educators, policymakers, and community leaders to foster a more inclusive and age-friendly environment. By preparing the younger generation today, we can build a more cohesive and supportive society for tomorrow.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • DOI:
    文章类型: Journal Article
    社会理解和解释衰老的方式一直在变化,主要是随着预期寿命基准的增加和全球动态的转变。与许多其他国家一样,乌干达正在经历这种人口转变。60岁及以上的人,他们仅占乌干达人口的2.7%,正在逐渐成为一个值得关注的细分市场。预期寿命的激增,在过去的十年里从50年增加到63年,表明医疗保健的重大转变,生活方式,和社会结构。鉴于这一背景,迫切需要更深入地研究这个年龄段的人的看法和经验,尤其是在乌干达中部。这一领域反映了国家趋势。
    这项研究采用了严格的方法学方法。通过故意抽样选择60岁及以上的个人,旨在引出丰富多样的叙事。这些参与者参加了在Wakiso区举行的七个深入的焦点小组讨论(FGD)。为了确保表达的准确性,所有的讨论首先都是在卢甘达转录的,当地方言,在仔细翻译成英语之前。
    参与者的年龄范围从62岁到90岁。人口统计数据显示,大多数女性参与者(54%),值得注意的统计数据是,超过一半(51%)缺乏稳定的收入来源。细致的主题分析揭示了三个主题。首先,衰老的旅程包括身体,心理,和社会变革,比如流动性下降,健康状况恶化,越来越多的社会孤立。第二,衰老的光明的一面体现在无形的东西,如积累的智慧和深刻的生活成就感。第三个主题呼应了衰老的更严酷的现实,突出维护独立的斗争,迫在眉睫的金融挑战,以及社会排斥的刺痛。
    UNASSIGNED: The way societies comprehend and interpret aging has been in constant flux, mainly as life expectancy benchmarks increase and worldwide dynamics transform. Similar to many other nations, Uganda is experiencing this demographic shift. People aged 60 and above, who form a mere 2.7% of Uganda\'s population, are gradually emerging as a segment worth attention. This surge in life expectancy, which has increased from 50 to 63 years over the last decade, indicates a significant transformation in healthcare, lifestyles, and societal structures. Given this backdrop, there is a pressing need to delve deeper into the perceptions and experiences of this age cohort, especially in Central Uganda. This area mirrors the national trends.
    UNASSIGNED: This study adopted a rigorous methodological approach. Individuals aged 60 years and above were selected through purposive sampling, which aimed to draw out rich and diverse narratives. These participants participated in seven in-depth Focus Group Discussions (FGDs) held in Wakiso District. To ensure accuracy in representation, all discussions were first transcribed in Luganda, the local dialect, before careful translation to English.
    UNASSIGNED: The participants presented a broad age spectrum from 62 to 90 years. The demographic data revealed a majority of female participants (54%), and a noteworthy statistic was that over half (51%) lacked a steady income source. Meticulous thematic analysis uncovered three themes. First, the journey of ageing encompasses physical, psychological, and social shifts, such as diminishing mobility, deteriorating health, and mounting social isolation. Second, the brighter side of ageing manifests in intangibles such as accumulated wisdom and a profound sense of life\'s accomplishments. The third theme echoed the harsher realities of aging, highlighting struggles with maintaining independence, looming financial challenges, and the sting of social exclusion.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:胰腺癌(PC)是一种致死性恶性肿瘤,其发病率和死亡率显著上升。这项研究旨在描述地理的影响,社会经济发展(基于人类发展指数[HDI]),性别,以及全球PC负担的时间趋势的人口变化。
    方法:与发病率有关的数据(2020-2040),PC死亡率,从GLOBOCAN2020中提取了基于大陆和HDI地区的人口变化。
    结果:PC与较高的社会经济地位相关。亚洲承担了大部分负担,由中国领导。除中等人类发展指数和低人类发展指数国家外,高龄(≥65岁)是所有社会经济区域的大部分负担。其中年轻人口(<65岁)贡献更多。在某些国家,女性造成了更高的负担。2040年的未来趋势显示,PC的发病率和死亡率增加>60%,并伴有相关的人口变化。
    结论:未来几十年,无论地理位置如何,PC的全球负担预计将大幅上升。社会经济发展,年龄,和性别。对这些数据的深入了解可以帮助制定战略和公共卫生政策,专门针对面临风险的国家和人口。
    BACKGROUND: Pancreatic cancer (PC) is a lethal malignancy with a significantly rising rate of incidence and mortality. This study aims to describe the influence of geography, socioeconomic development (based on the Human Development Index [HDI]), gender, and demographic shift on the temporal trends in the global burden of PC.
    METHODS: Data (2020-2040) relating to the incidence, mortality of PC, and demographic shifts based on continents and HDI areas were extracted from GLOBOCAN 2020.
    RESULTS: PC was associated with a higher socioeconomic status. Asia contributed to the majority of the burden, led by China. Advanced age (≥65 years) contributed to the majority of the burden in all socioeconomic regions except in Medium HDI and Low HDI countries, where the younger population (<65 years) contributed more. Females contributed to a higher burden in certain countries. Future trends for 2040 showed a >60% increase in the incidence and mortality of PC with an associated demographic shift.
    CONCLUSIONS: The global burden of PC is expected to rise significantly over the next few decades regardless of geography, socioeconomic development, age, and gender. Advance knowledge of this data can help to formulate strategies and public health policies to specifically target countries and populations at risk.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:人口老龄化导致癌症病例和死亡人数增加,并对全球医疗保健系统产生深远的影响。我们估计了全球和区域层面老龄化人群癌症病例和死亡的趋势。
    方法:使用2019年全球疾病负担研究的数据,我们分析了与人口老龄化相关的癌症病例和死亡的变化。1990-2019年人口增长和流行病学因素的分解分析。此外,我们估计了65岁及以上人口占总病例和死亡人数的比例,并使用皮尔逊相关系数研究了比例与社会人口统计学指数(SDI)之间的关系。
    结果:从1990年到2019年,所有癌症合并病例的总死亡人数增加了128.9%,总死亡人数增加了74.8%;老年人的百分比从48.6%增加到56.4%,死亡人数从52.0%增加到61.9%。人口老龄化导致了全球癌症发病率的最大增长。病例占56.5%,死亡占63.3%。然而,癌症病例的流行病学因素变化为5.2%,癌症死亡为-33.4%.老年人的总病例和死亡比例与该国的社会经济发展呈正相关。
    结论:我们的研究结果表明,癌症病例和死亡增加的主要原因已经从综合流行病学因素转变为人口统计学转变。为了应对老龄化人群中癌症发病率的快速增长,全球卫生重点应该集中在满足日益增长的癌症诊断需求上,为老年人提供治疗和护理服务。
    population ageing contributes to increased cancer cases and deaths and has profound implications for global healthcare systems. We estimated the trends of cancer cases and deaths in ageing populations at global and regional levels.
    using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, we analysed the change in cancer cases and deaths associated with population ageing, population growth and epidemiological factors from 1990 to 2019 using decomposition analysis. Additionally, we estimated the proportions of people aged 65 years and over accounting for total cases and deaths, and investigated relationships between the proportions and the Sociodemographic Index (SDI) using the Pearson correlation coefficient.
    from 1990 to 2019, there was an increase of 128.9% for total cases and 74.8% for total deaths in all cancers combined; the percentages of older people increased from 48.6% to 56.4% for cases and from 52.0% to 61.9% for deaths. Population ageing contributed to the largest increase in global cancer occurrence, with 56.5% for cases and 63.3% for deaths. However, the changes attributed to epidemiological factors was 5.2% for cancer cases and -33.4% for cancer deaths. The proportions of total cases and deaths of older adults were positively correlated with socioeconomic development of the country.
    our findings revealed that the main contributor to increased cancer cases and deaths has changed from comprehensive epidemiological factors to demographic shifts. To respond to the rapidly growing occurrence of cancer in ageing populations, the global health priority should focus on meeting the rising demand for cancer diagnosis, treatment and care services for older people.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尽管在污水处理厂(WWTP)进行了数十年的微污染物(MP)监测,我们对驱动MP生物转化的时变代谢过程缺乏基本理解。为了解决这个知识差距,我们连续14天从污水处理厂的常规活性污泥(CAS)工艺的进水和出水中收集了24小时的复合样品。我们使用液相色谱和高分辨率质谱来(i)量化CAS过程的流入物和流出物中的184MP;(ii)表征MP去除和生物转化速率常数的时间动力学;和(iii)发现与随时间变化的MP生物转化速率常数相关的生物转化。我们在至少一个样品中测量了120MPs,在每个样品中测量了66MPs。在整个采样活动中,有24名MP表现出随时间变化的去除。我们使用层次聚类分析来揭示生物转化速率常数的四个时间趋势,并发现具有特定结构特征的MP共同位于四个集群中。我们筛选了我们的HRMS采集,以寻找与24名MP中的结构特征相关的特定生物转化的证据。我们的分析表明,酒精氧化,在仲或叔脂族碳上的单羟基化,vic-未取代的环的二羟基化,在未取代的环上的单羟基化是生物转化,在每日时间尺度上表现出可变性。
    Despite decades of micropollutant (MP) monitoring at wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs), we lack a fundamental understanding of the time-varying metabolic processes driving MP biotransformations. To address this knowledge gap, we collected 24-h composite samples from the influent and effluent of the conventional activated sludge (CAS) process at a WWTP over 14 consecutive days. We used liquid chromatography and high-resolution mass spectrometry to (i) quantify 184 MPs in the influent and effluent of the CAS process; (ii) characterize temporal dynamics of MP removal and biotransformation rate constants; and (iii) discover biotransformations linked to temporally variable MP biotransformation rate constants. We measured 120 MPs in at least one sample and 66 MPs in every sample. There were 24 MPs exhibiting temporally variable removal throughout the sampling campaign. We used hierarchical clustering analysis to reveal four temporal trends in biotransformation rate constants and found MPs with specific structural features co-located in the four clusters. We screened our HRMS acquisitions for evidence of specific biotransformations linked to structural features among the 24 MPs. Our analyses reveal that alcohol oxidations, monohydroxylations at secondary or tertiary aliphatic carbons, dihydroxylations of vic-unsubstituted rings, and monohydroxylations at unsubstituted rings are biotransformations that exhibit variability on daily timescales.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    美国的预期人口统计信息仅限于国家一级的分析和国家以下各级的总人口分析。美国近40%的人口是沿海地区的居民,了解沿海县的预期人口变化对于长期规划目的很重要。在这份研究报告中,我们使用远程,县级人口预测基于简化的队列成分方法,以按年龄讨论人口变化,性别,从2020年到本世纪末,沿海县的种族和民族,我们将这些变化与内陆县进行比较。目前,沿海县在种族和民族(更多样化)和性别(更多女性)方面与内陆县在统计上有显著差异,但在年龄方面没有差异,然而,到2025年,我们预计沿海县将大大超过内陆县。我们注意到本世纪剩余时间内沿海县人口预测结果的几个重要轨迹:(1)非西班牙裔白人人口预计将减少,数字和占人口的百分比;(2)65岁以上的人口预计会增加,无论是在数字上还是在人口中所占的百分比;(3)在整个世纪中,男女比例保持不变,为1.03。这些趋势共同表明,未来的美国海岸线可能会在种族和种族上越来越多样化,并且比今天明显更古老。
    Prospective demographic information of the United States is limited to national-level analyses and subnational analyses of the total population. With nearly 40% of the U.S. population being residents of coastal areas, understanding the anticipated demographic changes in coastal counties is important for long-range planning purposes. In this research note, we use long-range, county-level population projections based on a simplified cohort-component method to discuss demographic changes by age, sex, and race and ethnicity for coastal counties between 2020 and the end of the century, and we compare these changes to inland counties. Presently, coastal counties are statistically significantly different from inland counties by race and ethnicity (more diverse) and sex (more women) but not by age, yet by 2025, we expect coastal counties to become significantly older than inland counties. We note several important trajectories of predicted demographic outcomes in coastal counties across the remainder of the century: (1) the non-Hispanic White population is expected to decrease, both numerically and as a percentage of the population; (2) the population older than 65 is projected to increase, both numerically and as a percentage of the population; and (3) the ratio of women to men remains constant over the century at 1.03. These trends combine to suggest that the future U.S. coastline will likely be both increasingly diverse racially and ethnically and significantly older than it is today.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Historical Article
    被许多编年史家描述为不分青红皂白的杀手,黑死病在14世纪降临在伦敦。为了更好地理解人口群体之间的传播模式,模型应同时包括多个人口统计和健康协变量,检查黑死病时很少做的事情,但在这项研究中实施,以确定哪些人口群体具有更高的易感性。还探讨了女性对黑死病的倾向,关注社会不平等是否增加了脆弱性。
    将威康骨骼研究数据库中的三个磨损墓地与黑死病墓地进行了比较,东史密斯菲尔德。Cox比例风险回归估计黑死病死亡的风险比,使用过渡分析死亡年龄作为时间变量,性和虚弱作为协变量。此外,二项逻辑回归产生死亡年龄的比值比,性别,和脆弱。
    Cox模型对被认为虚弱的个体产生了显著的危险比。同样,Logit模型计算出虚弱个体的优势比显著增加,65岁以上的人的赔率降低。
    在黑死病流行之前,伦敦的大压力时期,老年人并没有经历成长,这可以解释感染黑死病的几率降低。Further,尽管女性处理社会不平等,部分导致了中世纪“失踪”女性的人口难题,妇女对黑死病感染的易感性没有增加。妇女失踪的现象可能是由于多种因素的综合作用,包括婴儿和儿童的死亡率和保存。
    Described as an indiscriminate killer by many chroniclers, the Black Death descended on London during the 14th century. To best understand the pattern of transmission among demographic groups, models should include multiple demographic and health covariates concurrently, something rarely done when examining Black Death, but implemented in this study to identify which demographic groups had a higher susceptibility. Female predisposition to the Black Death was also explored, focusing on whether social inequality added to vulnerability.
    Three attritional cemeteries from the Wellcome Osteological Research Database were compared with the Black Death cemetery, East Smithfield. A Cox proportional hazards regression estimated hazards ratios of dying of the Black Death, using transition analysis ages-at-death as the time variable, and sex and frailty as covariates. Additionally, a binomial logistic regression generated odds ratios for age-at-death, sex, and frailty.
    The Cox model produced a significant hazards ratio for individuals deemed frail. Similarly, the logit model calculated significantly increased odds ratios for frail individuals, and decreased odds for individuals aged 65+.
    The older individuals were not undergoing growth during times of great stress in London pre-dating the Black Death epidemic, which may explain the decreased odds of contracting the Black Death. Further, although women dealt with social inequality, which partially led to the demographic puzzle of the Medieval \"missing\" women, women\'s susceptibility to infection by the Black Death was not increased. The phenomenon of the missing women may be due to a combination of factors, including infant and child mortality and preservation.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: We report on the correlation between the proportion of people who fulfil the recommended amount of aerobic physical activity in the general population and the prevalence of frailty or prefrailty in the population ≥65 years in 11 European countries (Austria, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, France, Germany, Italy, Luxembourg, Slovenia, Spain and Sweden). In a subgroup analysis, it was assessed if people who do aerobic physical activity also do strength training.
    METHODS: Aggregated physical activity data were taken from the European Health Interview Survey with the minimum effective sample size of 90,036 participants. Data on frailty status were taken from the Survey of Health Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE) study (N = 24,590). For the subgroup analysis, data of the Austrian Health Interview Survey (ATHIS) (N = 15,770) were included.
    RESULTS: The results indicate a significant negative correlation between the proportion of people fulfilling the minimal aerobic physical activity recommendations (≥150 min/week) and the proportion of prefrail or frail people (R = -0.745; p = 0.008). The correlation between the optimal aerobic physical activity recommendations (≥300 min/week) and the proportion of prefrail or frail individuals was R = -0.691 (p = 0.019). In both data sets a north-south gradient was seen. Austrian data showed that 52.0% of the participants fulfilled the minimal aerobic physical activity recommendations and conducted strength training, whereas 18.4% did not fulfil the aerobic recommendations but performed strength training (p < 0.001).
    CONCLUSIONS: By taking into account that the number of people ≥65 years will increase in the future these results may be relevant in planning public health interventions for the whole population with the goal of reducing frailty in the elderly.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to describe the influence of geography, socio-economic development, and demographic shift on the trends in global incidence, mortality, and prevalence of liver cancer (LC).
    METHODS: Data (2012-2030) relating to LC and demographic shifts based on WHO regions and HDI areas were extracted from GLOBOCAN 2012 and analyzed to evaluate trends in incidence, mortality, and prevalence.
    RESULTS: The results of our study document a rising global burden of LC with the maximum impact in the WPRO region. We did not observe a definite association between LC and higher socio-economic status with the highest burden in the MHD region. For the MHD region, we noticed age reversal in burden from the younger age group currently to the older age group in the future (2030). Another finding is the high burden and early onset of disease in some low-income countries such as Mongolia, Lao PDR, and Vietnam.
    CONCLUSIONS: The results of our study demonstrate a rising global burden of LC with some significant but uneven trends based on geography, age, and socio-economic status. This information can be used to shape policy and aid strategic targeting of resources to areas with the highest burden.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: The aim of this study is to describe the trends and variations in the global burden of gallbladder cancer (GBC) with an emphasis on geographic variations and female gender.
    METHODS: Data (2012-2030) relating to GBC was extracted from GLOBOCAN 2012 database and analyzed.
    RESULTS: The results of our study document a rising global burden of GBC with geographic and gender variations. The highest burden was noted in the WPRO region (based on WHO regions), Asia (based on continents) and India, Chile, and China (based on countries). The less developed regions of the world account for the majority of the global burden of GBC. The geographic variations are also present within individual countries such as in India and Chile. Females are afflicted at a much higher rate with GBC and this predilection is exaggerated in countries with higher incidence such as India and Chile. In females, people of certain ethnic groups and lower socio-economic standing are at a higher risk.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates a rising global burden of GBC with some specific data on geographic and gender-based variations which can be used to develop strategies at the global as well as the high-risk individual country level.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Sci-hub)

公众号