Decision trees

决策树
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    安静的眼睛(QE),在关键动作开始之前对目标的视觉固定,与改进的性能相关联。虽然量化宽松是可训练的,目前还不清楚量化宽松政策能否直接预测业绩,这对培训干预有影响。这项研究使用决策树分类方法从视觉运动控制变量中预测了篮球投篮结果(成功或失败)。十二名篮球运动员戴着移动眼动眼镜,在六个球场上完成了200次射击。训练和测试数据集用于对八个预测因子进行建模(拍摄位置,手臂伸展时间,以及绝对和相对量化宽松的开始,偏移,和持续时间)通过标准和条件推理决策树和随机森林。平均而言,这些树木预测了超过66%的制造和超过50%的失误。主要预测因子,相对量化宽松持续时间,指示持续时间超过18.4%(范围:14.5%-22.0%)的成功率。将QE持续时间延长至18%以上的培训可能会提高投篮成功率。
    Quiet eye (QE), the visual fixation on a target before initiation of a critical action, is associated with improved performance. While QE is trainable, it is unclear whether QE can directly predict performance, which has implications for training interventions. This study predicted basketball shot outcome (make or miss) from visuomotor control variables using a decision tree classification approach. Twelve basketball athletes completed 200 shots from six on-court locations while wearing mobile eye-tracking glasses. Training and testing data sets were used for modeling eight predictors (shot location, arm extension time, and absolute and relative QE onset, offset, and duration) via standard and conditional inference decision trees and random forests. On average, the trees predicted over 66% of makes and over 50% of misses. The main predictor, relative QE duration, indicated success for durations over 18.4% (range: 14.5%-22.0%). Training to prolong QE duration beyond 18% may enhance shot success.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:这项研究旨在确定机器学习是否可以识别与肌肉减少症风险增加相关的长期疾病(LTC)的特定组合,从而解决一个重要的证据差距-具有多个LTC(MLTC)的人增加了肌肉减少症的风险,但尚未确定这是否由LTC的特定组合驱动。
    方法:使用决策树来确定与肌肉减少症风险增加相关的LTC组合。根据男性的最大握力<32kg和女性的最大握力<19kg,将参与者分类为有肌肉减少症的风险。用逻辑回归对确定的组合进行三角测量。
    方法:英国生物银行。
    方法:UKBiobank参与者在基线时患有MLTC(两个或更多LTC)。
    结果:在140001名MLTC参与者中(55.3%的女性,中位年龄61岁),21.0%有肌肉减少症的风险。决策树确定了几种与肌肉减少症风险增加相关的LTC组合。这些包括药物/酒精滥用和骨关节炎,以及男性的结缔组织疾病和骨质疏松症,这表明相互作用的相对超额风险为3.91(95%CI1.71至7.51)和2.27(95%CI0.02至5.91),分别,在年龄调整模型中。
    结论:了解与肌肉减少症风险增加相关的LTC组合可以帮助识别针对性干预措施的个体。招募参与者进行肌肉减少症研究,并有助于了解肌肉减少症的病因。
    OBJECTIVE: This study aims to determine whether machine learning can identify specific combinations of long-term conditions (LTC) associated with increased sarcopenia risk and hence address an important evidence gap-people with multiple LTC (MLTC) have increased risk of sarcopenia but it has not yet been established whether this is driven by specific combinations of LTC.
    METHODS: Decision trees were used to identify combinations of LTC associated with increased sarcopenia risk. Participants were classified as being at risk of sarcopenia based on maximum grip strength of <32 kg for men and <19 kg for women. The combinations identified were triangulated with logistic regression.
    METHODS: UK Biobank.
    METHODS: UK Biobank participants with MLTC (two or more LTC) at baseline.
    RESULTS: Of 140 001 participants with MLTC (55.3% women, median age 61 years), 21.0% were at risk of sarcopenia. Decision trees identified several LTC combinations associated with an increased risk of sarcopenia. These included drug/alcohol misuse and osteoarthritis, and connective tissue disease and osteoporosis in men, which showed the relative excess risk of interaction of 3.91 (95% CI 1.71 to 7.51) and 2.27 (95% CI 0.02 to 5.91), respectively, in age-adjusted models.
    CONCLUSIONS: Knowledge of LTC combinations associated with increased sarcopenia risk could aid the identification of individuals for targeted interventions, recruitment of participants to sarcopenia studies and contribute to the understanding of the aetiology of sarcopenia.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:术前和术中诊断工具影响原发性甲状旁腺功能亢进(PHPT)的外科治疗,因此,对于PHPT的两个常见原因,它们的分类表现差异很大:孤立性腺瘤和多腺体疾病。尚未就使用此类诊断工具对所有PHPT患者进行最佳围手术期管理达成共识。
    方法:构建了一个决策树模型,以3%的折现率评估和比较21年的临床结局以及术前成像方式和术中甲状旁腺激素(ioPTH)监测标准的成本效益。通过进行单向敏感性分析和概率不确定性分析,评估了模型的稳健性。
    方法:美国医疗保健系统。
    方法:一个由5000名散发性患者组成的假设人群,有症状或无症状的PHPT。
    方法:甲状旁腺切除术的术前和术中诊断方法。
    方法:成本,质量调整寿命年(QALYs),净货币收益(NMBs)和临床结果。
    结果:在基本案例分析中,四维(4D)CT是最便宜的策略,分别为10276美元和15.333美元的QALY。超声和99mTc-Sestamibi单光子发射CT/CT都是主要策略,而18F-氟胆碱正电子发射断层扫描具有成本效益,考虑到愿意支付95958美元的门槛,NMB为416美元。与不使用ioPTH监测相比,采用维也纳标准的ioPTH监测将每1000名患者的再手术率从10.50降至0.58。由于双侧颈部探查率从257.45增加到347.45/1000患者,这不划算。
    结论:4D-CT是单发甲状旁腺腺瘤和多腺体疾病术前定位的最具成本效益的方法。使用ioPTH监测并不具有成本效益,但是为了尽量减少临床并发症,迈阿密标准应适用于疑似孤立性腺瘤,维也纳标准适用于多腺体疾病。
    OBJECTIVE: Preoperative and intraoperative diagnostic tools influence the surgical management of primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT), whereby their performance of classification varies considerably for the two common causes of PHPT: solitary adenomas and multiglandular disease. A consensus on the use of such diagnostic tools for optimal perioperative management of all PHPT patients has not been reached.
    METHODS: A decision tree model was constructed to estimate and compare the clinical outcomes and the cost-effectiveness of preoperative imaging modalities and intraoperative parathyroid hormone (ioPTH) monitoring criteria in a 21-year time horizon with a 3% discount rate. The robustness of the model was assessed by conducting a one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic uncertainty analysis.
    METHODS: The US healthcare system.
    METHODS: A hypothetical population consisting of 5000 patients with sporadic, symptomatic or asymptomatic PHPT.
    METHODS: Preoperative and intraoperative diagnostic modalities for parathyroidectomy.
    METHODS: Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), net monetary benefits (NMBs) and clinical outcomes.
    RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, four-dimensional (4D) CT was the least expensive strategy with US$10 276 and 15.333 QALYs. Ultrasound and 99mTc-Sestamibi single-photon-emission CT/CT were both dominated strategies while 18F-fluorocholine positron emission tomography was cost-effective with an NMB of US$416 considering a willingness to pay a threshold of US$95 958. The application of ioPTH monitoring with the Vienna criterion decreased the rate of reoperations from 10.50 to 0.58 per 1000 patients compared to not using ioPTH monitoring. Due to an increased rate of bilateral neck explorations from 257.45 to 347.45 per 1000 patients, it was not cost-effective.
    CONCLUSIONS: 4D-CT is the most cost-effective modality for the preoperative localisation of solitary parathyroid adenomas and multiglandular disease. The use of ioPTH monitoring is not cost-effective, but to minimise clinical complications, the Miami criterion should be applied for suspected solitary adenomas and the Vienna criterion for multiglandular disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    人类DNA中的异常甲基化模式具有发现新的诊断和疾病进展生物标志物的巨大潜力。在本文中,我们使用机器学习算法来识别有希望的甲基化位点,以诊断癌组织,并根据这些位点的甲基化值对患者进行分类。我们使用了来自癌变和正常组织样本的全基因组DNA甲基化模式,从基因组数据共享联盟获得,并在三种类型的泌尿系统癌症上试验了我们的方法。决策树用于鉴定对诊断最有用的甲基化位点。然后使用所识别的位置来训练神经网络以将样品分类为癌性或非癌性。使用这种两步方法,我们发现了三种癌症类型中每种癌症的强指示性生物标志物组。这些方法可能会转化为其他癌症,并通过使用非侵入性液体方法如血液而不是活检组织来改善。
    Aberrant methylation patterns in human DNA have great potential for the discovery of novel diagnostic and disease progression biomarkers. In this paper we used machine learning algorithms to identify promising methylation sites for diagnosing cancerous tissue and to classify patients based on methylation values at these sites. We used genome-wide DNA methylation patterns from both cancerous and normal tissue samples, obtained from the Genomic Data Commons consortium and trialled our methods on three types of urological cancer. A decision tree was used to identify the methylation sites most useful for diagnosis. The identified locations were then used to train a neural network to classify samples as either cancerous or non-cancerous. Using this two-step approach we found strong indicative biomarker panels for each of the three cancer types. These methods could likely be translated to other cancers and improved by using non-invasive liquid methods such as blood instead of biopsy tissue.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们在这里介绍合奏优化器(EnOpt),一种机器学习工具,可提高集成虚拟筛查(VS)的准确性和可解释性。EnsembleVS是预测蛋白质/小分子(配体)结合的既定方法。不像传统的VS,专注于单一蛋白质构象,集合VS通过预测与多种蛋白质构象的结合来更好地解释蛋白质的灵活性。因此,每种化合物与得分谱(每个蛋白质构象一个得分)而不是单个得分相关联。为了有效地对分子进行排序和优先排序,以便进一步评估(包括实验测试),研究人员必须选择要考虑的蛋白质构象,以及如何最好地将每种化合物的得分谱映射到单个值,特定于系统的决策。EnOpt使用机器学习来应对这些挑战。我们执行基准测试VS来表明,对于许多系统,EnOpt排名比传统的整体VS方法更有效地将活性化合物与非活性或诱饵分子区分开。为了鼓励广泛采用,我们根据MIT许可证的条款免费发布EnOpt。
    We here introduce Ensemble Optimizer (EnOpt), a machine-learning tool to improve the accuracy and interpretability of ensemble virtual screening (VS). Ensemble VS is an established method for predicting protein/small-molecule (ligand) binding. Unlike traditional VS, which focuses on a single protein conformation, ensemble VS better accounts for protein flexibility by predicting binding to multiple protein conformations. Each compound is thus associated with a spectrum of scores (one score per protein conformation) rather than a single score. To effectively rank and prioritize the molecules for further evaluation (including experimental testing), researchers must select which protein conformations to consider and how best to map each compound\'s spectrum of scores to a single value, decisions that are system-specific. EnOpt uses machine learning to address these challenges. We perform benchmark VS to show that for many systems, EnOpt ranking distinguishes active compounds from inactive or decoy molecules more effectively than traditional ensemble VS methods. To encourage broad adoption, we release EnOpt free of charge under the terms of the MIT license.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:腭沟代表一种相对罕见的发育根异常,通常在上颌切牙的腭面上发现。虽然它的起源是有争议的,它的存在容易导致严重的牙周缺陷。
    目的:本研究旨在对文献进行系统的综述,重点关注因存在腭沟引起的牙周病的各种诊断技术和治疗方式。根据现有的证据和知识,该研究还提供了一个全面的决策树,指导临床医生在具有挑战性的决策过程中面对腭沟。
    方法:在Medline和Cochrane数据库上进行了文献检索,他还进行了筛选和选择过程,寻找有关与腭沟相关的牙周病的诊断和管理(所有治疗方法)的英文书面文章。基于这些文献,一个全面的决策树,包括标准化的腭沟评估和量身定制的治疗方法,是提议的。此外,描述了一个临床案例,以证明开发的决策树的实际应用。
    结果:最初确定的共451篇文章,34人被选中,描述40例患者,其中40例牙周病变与腭沟相关。案例报告说明了一个深刻的,大,牙齿#22腭侧的周围骨内缺损与浅层相关,一名18岁男性患者的中度长腭沟。重新评估后,单皮瓣手术被认为是必要的,结合再生程序。治疗后2年,牙齿#22是健康的,在功能和审美的位置。决策过程,根据局部和全身患者的情况,应允许早期和精确的诊断,以防止进一步的并发症,并采取适当的治疗。
    结论:腭沟相对罕见;然而,它们通常与严重的牙周缺陷有关。身份证明,诊断,提示,对相关病变进行量身定制的处理对于减轻与腭沟相关的潜在牙周和牙髓并发症至关重要。
    背景:[https://www.crd.约克。AC.英国/普华永道/],标识符[CCRD42022363194]。
    BACKGROUND: Palatal groove represents a relatively uncommon developmental root anomaly, usually found on the palatal aspect of maxillary incisors. While its origin is controversial, its presence predisposes to severe periodontal defects.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to provide a systematic review of the literature focusing on the varied diagnostic techniques and treatment modalities for periodontal lesions arising from the presence of palatal groove. Based on the existing evidence and knowledge, the study also provides a comprehensive decisional tree, guiding clinicians in the challenging decision-making process face to a palatal groove.
    METHODS: The literature search was conducted on Medline and Cochrane databases by two independent reviewers, who also performed the screening and selection process, looking for English written articles reporting on diagnosis and management (all treatment approaches) of periodontal lesion(s) associated with a palatal groove. Based on this literature, a comprehensive decisional tree, including a standardized palatal groove evaluation and tailored treatment approaches, is proposed. Moreover, a clinical case is described to demonstrate the practical application of the developed decisional tree.
    RESULTS: Over a total of 451 articles initially identified, 34 were selected, describing 40 patients with 40 periodontal lesions associated with palatal grooves. The case report illustrates a deep, large, circumferential intra-bony defect on the palatal side of the tooth #22 associated with a shallow, moderately long palatal groove in an 18-year-old male patient. Following reevaluation, a single flap surgery was deemed necessary, combined with a regenerative procedure. At 2 years post-treatment, the tooth #22 is healthy, in a functional and esthetic position. The decision-making process, based on local and systemic patient\'s conditions, should allow an early and precise diagnosis to prevent further complications and undertake an adequate treatment.
    CONCLUSIONS: Palatal grooves are relatively rare; however, they are frequently associated with severe periodontal defects. The identification, diagnosis, prompt, and tailored management of the associated lesion is essential to mitigate potential periodontal and endodontic complications related to the presence of palatal groove.
    BACKGROUND: [ https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/ ], identifier [C CRD42022363194].
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肥胖是由体内脂肪积累过多引起的异常和潜在危险状况。世界范围内肥胖的人数正在增加。肥胖是各种疾病的主要原因;因此,努力控制体重至关重要。确定影响肥胖男性试图控制和不控制体重的因素至关重要。这项研究的目的是为韩国男性在30岁和40岁时的体重控制经验创建一个预测模型。我们分析了2022年社区健康调查的数据,包括12,311名超重或肥胖的男性。根据他们的体重控制经验,将男性分为两组:(1)是组(n=9405)和(2)没有组(n=2906)。使用卡方检验和独立t检验来比较组间的一般特征和健康相关特征。采用决策树分析法建立体重控制经验预测模型。进行了分裂样本测试以验证该模型。从这项研究的结果来看,得出了各种预测体重控制经验的模型。从没有设置第一个节点的决策树模型中,那些体重低于平均水平的人,有高中文凭或更少,并且不知道他们的血糖水平没有将体重控制在55.3%的可能性最高。在第一个节点设置为年龄的预测模型中,那些40多岁的人认为自己的体重低于平均水平并且不知道自己的血糖水平,他们不试图控制体重的比例最高,为50.1%。在第一个节点设置为BMI的预测模型中,那些超重,但认为自己的体重低于平均水平,高中文凭或更低的人不努力控制体重的比例最高,为51.5%。迫切需要对没有体重控制经验的人进行肥胖预防和管理教育,特别是那些高风险的人,正如在这项研究中确定的那样。
    Obesity is an abnormal and potentially dangerous condition caused by excess body fat accumulation. The number of people with obesity is increasing worldwide. Obesity is the primary cause of various diseases; therefore, it is crucial to make efforts to control body weight. Identifying the factors that influence men with obesity to attempt to control and not control their weight is essential. The objective of this study was to create a prediction model for weight control experience among Korean men in their 30 s and 40 s. We analyzed data from the 2022 Community Health Survey and included 12,311 men who were overweight or obese. The men were divided into two groups based on their weight control experience: (1) Yes group (n = 9405) and (2) No group (n = 2906). Chi-square and independent t-tests were used to compare general and health-related characteristics between the groups. Decision tree analysis was used to build a prediction model for weight control experience. A split-sample test was conducted to validate the model. From the results of this study, various models predicting weight control experience were derived. From the decision tree model without setting the first node, those who weighed below average, had a high school diploma or less, and did not know their blood sugar levels had the highest probability of not controlling their weight at 55.3%. In the prediction model where the first node was set to age, those in their 40 s who thought their weight was below average and were unaware of their blood sugar levels had the highest rate of not trying to control their weight at 50.1%. In the prediction model where the first node was set to BMI, those who were overweight but thought their weight was below average and had a high school diploma or less had the highest rate of not trying to control their weight at 51.5%. There is an urgent need to provide obesity prevention and management education to those who have no weight control experience, particularly those at high risk, as identified in this study.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中风是危险的,这种威胁生命的疾病主要影响65岁以上的人,但不健康的饮食也有助于年轻时中风的发展。如果中风被及早发现,可以成功治疗,和适当的治疗是可用的。这项研究的目的是开发一种中风预测模型,以提高中风预测的有效性和准确性。使用所提出的机器学习算法可以实现预测某人是否患有中风。在这项研究中,评估了各种机器学习技术,用于在医疗保健中风数据集上预测中风。这里使用的特征选择算法是梯度提升和随机森林,分类器包括决策树分类器,支持向量机(SVM)分类器,逻辑回归分类器,梯度增强分类器,随机森林分类器,K个邻居分类器,和Xtreme梯度增强分类器。在这个过程中,不同的机器学习方法被用来测试不同数据样本的预测方法。从应用的不同方法中获得的结果,以及不同分类模型的比较,随机森林模型的准确率为98%。
    A stroke is a dangerous, life-threatening disease that mostly affects people over 65, but an unhealthy diet is also contributing to the development of strokes at younger ages. Strokes can be treated successfully if they are identified early enough, and suitable therapies are available. The purpose of this study is to develop a stroke prediction model that will improve stroke prediction effectiveness as well as accuracy. Predicting whether someone is suffering from a stroke or not can be accomplished with this proposed machine learning algorithm. In this research, various machine learning techniques are evaluated for predicting stroke on the healthcare stroke dataset. The feature selection algorithms used here are gradient boosting and random forest, and classifiers include the decision tree classifier, Support Vector Machine (SVM) classifier, logistic regression classifier, gradient boosting classifier, random forest classifier, K neighbors classifier, and Xtreme gradient boosting classifier. In this process, different machine-learning approaches are employed to test predictive methods on different data samples. As a result obtained from the different methods applied, and the comparison of different classification models, the random forest model offers an accuracy rate of 98%.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:患有糖尿病肾病(DKD)的老年患者通常不接受最佳药物治疗。当前的临床实践指南(CPG)未纳入个性化护理的概念。考虑证据和个性化护理以改善患者预后的临床决策支持(CDS)算法可以改善老年人的护理。这项研究的目的是设计和验证CDS算法,用于为老年糖尿病患者开具肾素-血管紧张素-醛固酮系统抑制剂(RAASi)。
    方法:CDS工具的设计包括以下阶段:(1)从随机临床试验的系统评价和荟萃分析中收集证据,以确定适用于我们的目标人群的治疗数量(NNT)和获益时间(TTB)值。(2)建立一个针对不同处方方案的潜在病例列表(开始,添加或切换到RAASI)。(3)审查相关指南,并提取与DKD处方RAASi相关的所有建议。(4)将NNT和TTB与具体临床病例进行匹配。(5)利用Delphi技术验证CDS算法。
    结果:我们创建了一个CDS算法,该算法涵盖了15种可能的情况,并根据计算的和匹配的NNT和TTB值,并考虑患者的预期寿命和功能能力,我们生成了36个个性化建议和9个一般性建议。在三轮Delphi研究中,专家对该算法进行了验证。
    结论:我们设计了一种基于证据的CDS算法,该算法整合了CPG中经常被忽视的考虑因素。接下来的步骤包括在临床试验中测试CDS算法。
    BACKGROUND: Older patients with diabetic kidney disease (DKD) often do not receive optimal pharmacological treatment. Current clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) do not incorporate the concept of personalised care. Clinical decision support (CDS) algorithms that consider both evidence and personalised care to improve patient outcomes can improve the care of older adults. The aim of this research is to design and validate a CDS algorithm for prescribing renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors (RAASi) for older patients with diabetes.
    METHODS: The design of the CDS tool included the following phases: (1) gathering evidence from systematic reviews and meta-analyses of randomised clinical trials to determine the number needed to treat (NNT) and time-to-benefit (TTB) values applicable to our target population for use in the algorithm. (2) Building a list of potential cases that addressed different prescribing scenarios (starting, adding or switching to RAASi). (3) Reviewing relevant guidelines and extracting all recommendations related to prescribing RAASi for DKD. (4) Matching NNT and TTB with specific clinical cases. (5) Validating the CDS algorithm using Delphi technique.
    RESULTS: We created a CDS algorithm that covered 15 possible scenarios and we generated 36 personalised and nine general recommendations based on the calculated and matched NNT and TTB values and considering the patient\'s life expectancy and functional capacity. The algorithm was validated by experts in three rounds of Delphi study.
    CONCLUSIONS: We designed an evidence-informed CDS algorithm that integrates considerations often overlooked in CPGs. The next steps include testing the CDS algorithm in a clinical trial.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    技术几乎在医疗保健服务的各个方面都发挥着作用。卫生系统必须不断投资于新的和现有的技术和分析平台,以扩大计划,促进创新,并实现互操作性,以满足患者和临床医生的需求和期望,同时保持专注于组织的使命和战略重点。在这个过程中,决策者必须确定如何将技术资源分配给满足临床和管理需求的平台,同时减少频繁更换或重新配置的需要。人工智能及其能力的进步增加了技术投资决策的紧迫性和复杂性。在此过程中,一个重要的考虑因素是何时构建新的技术基础架构,以及何时与现有公司合作并购买技术解决方案。本案例研究探讨了一个主要的学术医学中心的决策方法,包括影响它的因素以及内部开发的两种解决方案的结果。
    Technology plays a role in nearly every aspect of healthcare delivery. Health systems must continually invest in new and existing technology and analytics platforms to scale initiatives, enable innovation, and achieve interoperability to meet the needs and expectations of patients and clinicians while remaining focused on the organization\'s mission and strategic priorities. In this process, decision-makers must determine how to allocate technological resources to platforms that meet clinical and administrative needs while reducing the need for frequent replacement or reconfiguration. Advances in artificial intelligence and its capabilities add urgency and complexity to technology investment decisions. An important consideration during this process is when to build new technology infrastructure and when to partner with existing companies and buy technology solutions. This case study explores a major academic medical center\'s approach to that decision, including the factors that influenced it and the outcomes of two solutions that were developed in-house.
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