Decision support techniques

决策支持技术
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:本研究试图比较几种预测模型对年轻患者(30-50岁)阻塞性冠状动脉疾病(OCAD)的预测效果,以期为预测早发冠状动脉疾病(PCAD)提供一种新的评估工具。
    方法:共纳入532名30-50岁的住院患者。所有患者均接受了冠状动脉CT血管造影(CCTA)检查,怀疑有冠心病的症状。冠状动脉钙积分(CACS)结合传统危险因素和试前概率模型是本研究中比较的预测模型。PTP模型选自升级的Diamond-Forrester模型(UDFM)和Duke临床评分(DCS)。
    结果:纳入研究的所有患者年龄均为30-50岁。其中,女性占24.4%,355例(66.7%)患者的CACS为0。43例患者(8.1%)诊断为OCAD。CACS结合传统危险因素预测OCAD受试者工作特征曲线下面积(ROC)(AUC=0.794,p<0.001)大于PTP模型(AUCUDFM=0.6977,p<0.001;AUCDCS=0.6214,p<0.001)。通过计算净重新分类指数(NRI)和综合判别指数(IDI),与PTP模型相比,使用CACS结合传统危险因素预测OCAD风险的能力有所提高(NRI&IDI>0,p<0.05)。
    结论:CACS联合传统危险因素对年轻患者OCAD的预测价值优于PTP模型。
    OBJECTIVE: This study attempts to compare the predictive effects of several prediction models on obstructive coronary artery disease (OCAD) in young patients (30-50 years old), with a view to providing a new evaluation tool for the prediction of premature coronary artery disease (PCAD).
    METHODS: A total of 532 hospitalized patients aged 30-50 were included in the study.All of them underwent coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA) for suspected symptoms of coronary heart disease.Coronary artery calcium score (CACS) combined with traditional risk factors and pre-test probability models are the prediction models to be compared in this study.The PTP model was selected from the upgraded Diamond-Forrester model (UDFM) and the Duke clinical score (DCS).
    RESULTS: All patients included in the study were aged 30-50 years. Among them, women accounted for 24.4%, and 355 patients (66.7%) had a CACS of 0. OCAD was diagnosed in 43 patients (8.1%). The CACS combined with traditional risk factors to predict the OCAD area under the curve of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) (AUC = 0.794,p < 0.001) was greater than the PTP models (AUCUDFM=0.6977,p < 0.001;AUCDCS=0.6214,p < 0.001). By calculating the net reclassification index (NRI) and the integrated discrimination index (IDI), the ability to predict the risk of OCAD using the CACS combined with traditional risk factors was improved compared with the PTP models (NRI&IDI > 0,p < 0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: The predictive value of CACS combined with traditional risk factors for OCAD in young patients is better than the PTP models.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    猪巴氏杆菌病是由多杀性巴氏杆菌引起的一种传染病(P.multocida),严重危害生猪养殖业的健康发展。早期发现动物中的疾病传播是人类的重要预警。因此,预测疾病的危险区域对于公共卫生当局采取疾病预防措施和控制策略至关重要。在这项研究中,我们建立了基于多准则决策分析(MCDA)的预测模型,并评估了中国大陆猪巴氏杆菌病的风险区域.通过使用主成分分析,确定了7个空间危险因素的权重。使用模糊隶属函数对所有风险因素进行标准化,和权重线性组合用于创建风险图。通过计算风险因素的绝对变化率的平均值,分析了风险图的敏感性,以及计算不确定性图。结果表明,预测猪巴氏杆菌病的危险区域位于中国大陆中南部,包括四川,重庆,广东,和广西。不确定图的最大标准差小于0.01,ROC结果表明,预测模型具有中等预测性能,曲线下面积(AUC)值为0.80(95%CI0.75-0.84)。基于上述过程,将MCDA与WebGIS技术相结合,构建了猪巴氏杆菌病风险区域预测系统。风险因素数据与开发的模型直接相关,通过每月更新为疾病预防和控制提供决策支持。
    Porcine pasteurellosis is an infectious disease caused by Pasteurella multocida (P. multocida), which seriously endangers the healthy development of pig breeding industry. Early detection of disease transmission in animals is a crucial early warning for humans. Therefore, predicting risk areas for disease is essential for public health authorities to adopt preventive measures and control strategies against diseases. In this study, we developed a predictive model based on multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) and assessed risk areas for porcine pasteurellosis in the Chinese mainland. By using principal component analysis, the weights of seven spatial risk factors were determined. Fuzzy membership function was used to standardize all risk factors, and weight linear combination was used to create a risk map. The sensitivity of the risk map was analyzed by calculating the mean of absolute change rates of risk factors, as well as calculating an uncertainty map. The results showed that risk areas for porcine pasteurellosis were predicted to be locate in the south-central of the Chinese mainland, including Sichuan, Chongqing, Guangdong, and Guangxi. The maximum standard deviation of the uncertain map was less than 0.01and the ROC results showed that the prediction model has moderate predictive performance with the area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.80 (95% CI 0.75-0.84). Based on the above process, MCDA was combined with WebGIS technology to construct a system for predicting risk areas of porcine pasteurellosis. Risk factor data was directly linked to the developed model, providing decision support for disease prevention and control through monthly updates.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:当患者获得以中心和家庭为基础的选择菜单时,共享决策(SDM)有可能支持肺康复(PR)决策。本研究旨在评估三组分PRSDM干预对慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)和PR医疗保健专业人员的可行性和可接受性。
    方法:参与者从2021年12月至2022年9月招募。医疗保健专业人员参加了决策指导培训,并在咨询过程中使用了咨询提示。个人在PR转诊时接受了患者决策援助(PtDA)。结果包括招聘能力,数据完整性,干预保真度,和可接受性。问卷调查评估PR前后患者的激活和决策冲突。使用观察者OPTION-5评估咨询。进行了可选的访谈/焦点小组。
    结果:13%的个体[n=31,32%为女性,平均(SD)年龄71.19(7.50),中位(IQR)MRC呼吸困难3.50(1.75)]和100%的医疗保健专业人员(n=9,78%女性)被招募.28人(90.32%)完成了所有问卷。所有咨询中都存在SDM[标准化评分为平均值(SD)=36.97(21.40)]。采访了六名医疗保健专业人员和五名个人。所有人都感觉到使用PtDA将医疗保健专业人员的中心公关偏见降至最低,增强个人对健康的自我意识,促使人们考虑如何改进它,增加对决策的参与。
    结论:结果表明研究过程和SDM干预是可行和可接受的,并且当整合到PR途径中时可以保真度地提供。
    OBJECTIVE: Shared Decision Making (SDM) has potential to support Pulmonary Rehabilitation (PR) decision-making when patients are offered a menu of centre- and home-based options. This study sought to evaluate the feasibility and acceptability of a three-component PR SDM intervention for individuals with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) and PR healthcare professionals.
    METHODS: Participants were recruited from Dec 2021-Sep 2022. Healthcare professionals attended decision coaching training and used the consultation prompt during consultations. Individuals received the Patient Decision Aid (PtDA) at PR referral. Outcomes included recruitment capability, data completeness, intervention fidelity, and acceptability. Questionnaires assessed patient activation and decisional conflict pre and post-PR. Consultations were assessed using Observer OPTION-5. Optional interviews/focus groups were conducted.
    RESULTS: 13% of individuals [n = 31, 32% female, mean (SD) age 71.19 (7.50), median (IQR) MRC dyspnoea 3.50 (1.75)] and 100 % of healthcare professionals (n = 9, 78% female) were recruited. 28 (90.32%) of individuals completed all questionnaires. SDM was present in all consultations [standardised scores were mean (SD) = 36.97 (21.40)]. Six healthcare professionals and five individuals were interviewed. All felt consultations using the PtDA minimised healthcare professionals\' bias of centre-based PR, increased individuals\' self-awareness of their health, prompted consideration of how to improve it, and increased involvement in decision-making.
    CONCLUSIONS: Results indicate the study processes and SDM intervention is feasible and acceptable and can be delivered with fidelity when integrated into the PR pathway.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:塔式起重机通常用于建筑项目,尽管对所涉及的劳动力构成重大危害。
    方法:为了解决这些安全问题,已经开发了基于知识的安全风险评估决策支持系统(KBDSS-SRA)。通过在各种建设工作中的使用,说明了该系统彻底评估相关风险的能力。
    结果:该系统实现了以下目标:(1)编制塔式起重机操作特有的基本风险因素,(2)识别危害工人福祉的关键安全风险,(3)审查和评估已识别的安全风险,(4)使劳动密集型和容易出错的安全风险评估过程自动化。KBDSS-SRA协助安全管理人员制定有依据的决策,并实施有效措施,以提高塔式起重机操作的安全性。
    结论:这是由先进的计算机化工具促进的,该工具强调了安全风险的最重要意义,并提出了未来缓解风险的策略。
    BACKGROUND: Tower cranes are commonly employed in construction projects, despite presenting significant hazards to the workforce involved.
    METHODS: To address these safety concerns, a Knowledge-Based Decision-Support System for Safety Risk Assessment (KBDSS-SRA) has been developed. The system\'s capacity to thoroughly evaluate associated risks is illustrated through its utilization in various construction endeavors.
    RESULTS: The system accomplishes the following goals: (1) compiles essential risk factors specific to tower crane operations, (2) identifies critical safety risks that jeopardize worker well-being, (3) examines and assesses the identified safety risks, and (4) automates the labor-intensive and error-prone processes of safety risk assessment. The KBDSS-SRA assists safety management personnel in formulating well-grounded decisions and implementing effective measures to enhance the safety of tower crane operations.
    CONCLUSIONS: This is facilitated by an advanced computerized tool that underscores the paramount significance of safety risks and suggests strategies for their future mitigation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:术前和术中诊断工具影响原发性甲状旁腺功能亢进(PHPT)的外科治疗,因此,对于PHPT的两个常见原因,它们的分类表现差异很大:孤立性腺瘤和多腺体疾病。尚未就使用此类诊断工具对所有PHPT患者进行最佳围手术期管理达成共识。
    方法:构建了一个决策树模型,以3%的折现率评估和比较21年的临床结局以及术前成像方式和术中甲状旁腺激素(ioPTH)监测标准的成本效益。通过进行单向敏感性分析和概率不确定性分析,评估了模型的稳健性。
    方法:美国医疗保健系统。
    方法:一个由5000名散发性患者组成的假设人群,有症状或无症状的PHPT。
    方法:甲状旁腺切除术的术前和术中诊断方法。
    方法:成本,质量调整寿命年(QALYs),净货币收益(NMBs)和临床结果。
    结果:在基本案例分析中,四维(4D)CT是最便宜的策略,分别为10276美元和15.333美元的QALY。超声和99mTc-Sestamibi单光子发射CT/CT都是主要策略,而18F-氟胆碱正电子发射断层扫描具有成本效益,考虑到愿意支付95958美元的门槛,NMB为416美元。与不使用ioPTH监测相比,采用维也纳标准的ioPTH监测将每1000名患者的再手术率从10.50降至0.58。由于双侧颈部探查率从257.45增加到347.45/1000患者,这不划算。
    结论:4D-CT是单发甲状旁腺腺瘤和多腺体疾病术前定位的最具成本效益的方法。使用ioPTH监测并不具有成本效益,但是为了尽量减少临床并发症,迈阿密标准应适用于疑似孤立性腺瘤,维也纳标准适用于多腺体疾病。
    OBJECTIVE: Preoperative and intraoperative diagnostic tools influence the surgical management of primary hyperparathyroidism (PHPT), whereby their performance of classification varies considerably for the two common causes of PHPT: solitary adenomas and multiglandular disease. A consensus on the use of such diagnostic tools for optimal perioperative management of all PHPT patients has not been reached.
    METHODS: A decision tree model was constructed to estimate and compare the clinical outcomes and the cost-effectiveness of preoperative imaging modalities and intraoperative parathyroid hormone (ioPTH) monitoring criteria in a 21-year time horizon with a 3% discount rate. The robustness of the model was assessed by conducting a one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic uncertainty analysis.
    METHODS: The US healthcare system.
    METHODS: A hypothetical population consisting of 5000 patients with sporadic, symptomatic or asymptomatic PHPT.
    METHODS: Preoperative and intraoperative diagnostic modalities for parathyroidectomy.
    METHODS: Costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), net monetary benefits (NMBs) and clinical outcomes.
    RESULTS: In the base-case analysis, four-dimensional (4D) CT was the least expensive strategy with US$10 276 and 15.333 QALYs. Ultrasound and 99mTc-Sestamibi single-photon-emission CT/CT were both dominated strategies while 18F-fluorocholine positron emission tomography was cost-effective with an NMB of US$416 considering a willingness to pay a threshold of US$95 958. The application of ioPTH monitoring with the Vienna criterion decreased the rate of reoperations from 10.50 to 0.58 per 1000 patients compared to not using ioPTH monitoring. Due to an increased rate of bilateral neck explorations from 257.45 to 347.45 per 1000 patients, it was not cost-effective.
    CONCLUSIONS: 4D-CT is the most cost-effective modality for the preoperative localisation of solitary parathyroid adenomas and multiglandular disease. The use of ioPTH monitoring is not cost-effective, but to minimise clinical complications, the Miami criterion should be applied for suspected solitary adenomas and the Vienna criterion for multiglandular disease.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:憩室疾病是一种常见的胃肠道诊断,每年就诊超过270万。美国结肠和直肠外科医生协会的国家指南指出,“在无并发症的急性憩室炎恢复后,推荐选择性乙状结肠切除术的决定应该是个体化的。\"然而,缺乏个性化这一决定的工具。
    目的:本研究旨在开发在线教育决策辅助(DA),以促进外科医生和患者就复发性左侧憩室炎的治疗方案进行有效沟通。
    方法:我们使用了改进的设计sprint方法来创建原型DA。我们聘请了一个多学科团队,并根据《渥太华个人决策指南》改编了元素。然后,我们通过对内容和可用性测试进行混合方法评估来迭代地完善原型,涉及对患者和外科医生的认知访谈。这些发现为DA的细化提供了依据。进一步的测试包括临床可行性审查。
    结果:在为期4天的现场快速设计冲刺中,包括患者,外科医生,和健康传播专家,我们开发了憩室炎DA的原型,包括一个交互式网站和3个独立部分的讲义。第一部分包含有关憩室炎和治疗方案的教育。第二部分阐明了两种临床治疗方案(医疗管理与结肠切除术)的潜在风险和益处。第三部分邀请患者参加价值澄清练习。在浏览DA之后,病人打印了一份他们带到诊所预约的概要,作为共同决策的指南。
    结论:设计冲刺方法,强调利益相关者的共同设计,并辅之以广泛的用户测试,是一种有效的策略,为面临关键治疗决策的复发性憩室炎患者创建DA。
    BACKGROUND: Diverticular disease is a common gastrointestinal diagnosis with over 2.7 million clinic visits yearly. National guidelines from the American Society of Colon and Rectal Surgeons state that \"the decision to recommend elective sigmoid colectomy after recovery from uncomplicated acute diverticulitis should be individualized.\" However, tools to individualize this decision are lacking.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to develop an online educational decision aid (DA) to facilitate effective surgeon and patient communication about treatment options for recurrent left-sided diverticulitis.
    METHODS: We used a modified design sprint methodology to create a prototype DA. We engaged a multidisciplinary team and adapted elements from the Ottawa Personal Decision Guide. We then iteratively refined the prototype by conducting a mixed methods assessment of content and usability testing, involving cognitive interviews with patients and surgeons. The findings informed the refinement of the DA. Further testing included an in-clinic feasibility review.
    RESULTS: Over a 4-day in-person rapid design sprint, including patients, surgeons, and health communication experts, we developed a prototype of a diverticulitis DA, comprising an interactive website and handout with 3 discrete sections. The first section contains education about diverticulitis and treatment options. The second section clarifies the potential risks and benefits of both clinical treatment options (medical management vs colectomy). The third section invites patients to participate in a value clarification exercise. After navigating the DA, the patient prints a synopsis that they bring to their clinic appointment, which serves as a guide for shared decision-making.
    CONCLUSIONS: Design sprint methodology, emphasizing stakeholder co-design and complemented by extensive user testing, is an effective and efficient strategy to create a DA for patients living with recurrent diverticulitis facing critical treatment decisions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:使用MedtronicMiniMed780G(MM780G)AHCL的1型糖尿病(T1D)患者的多个临床医生可调节参数对血糖的影响。这些包括葡萄糖目标,碳水化合物比率(CR),和活性胰岛素时间(AIT)。基于算法的决策支持建议在潜在的设置调整可以增强临床决策。
    方法:单臂,两阶段探索性研究开发决策支持,以开始和维持AHCL。参与者开始调查MM780G,然后8周阶段1-初始优化工具评估,涉及基于算法的决策支持,每周AIT和CR建议。临床医生根据每个方案的感知安全性批准或拒绝CR和AIT建议。共同设计导致在进一步相同配置的阶段2中评估的优化算法。第2阶段参与者也在“QuickStart”(使用每日胰岛素剂量和体重确定初始AHCL设置的算法衍生工具)之后过渡到商用MM780G。我们评估了疗效,安全,以及使用血糖指标的决策支持的可接受性,以及每个阶段接受的CR和AIT设置的比例。
    结果:53名参与者开始第一阶段(平均年龄24.4;Hba1c为61.5mmol/7.7%)。临床医生接受的CR和AIT比例分别在第1阶段和第2阶段之间增加:CR89.2%与98.6%,p<0.01;AIT95.2%vs.99.3%,p<0.01。在阶段之间,平均葡萄糖百分比时间<3.9mmol(<70mg/dl)减少(2.1%vs.1.4%,p=0.04);平均TIR3.9-10mmol/L(70-180mg/dl)的变化无统计学意义:72.9%±7.8和73.5%±8.6。快速启动导致稳定的TIR,和血糖指标与国际指南的比较。
    结论:共同设计的决策支持工具能够提供安全有效的治疗。它们可以潜在地减轻医疗保健从业人员和患者的糖尿病管理相关决策的负担。
    背景:于2021年3月30日在澳大利亚/新西兰临床试验注册中心(ANZCTR)进行了前瞻性注册,作为研究ACTRN12621000360819。
    BACKGROUND: Multiple clinician adjustable parameters impact upon glycemia in people with type 1 diabetes (T1D) using Medtronic Mini Med 780G (MM780G) AHCL. These include glucose targets, carbohydrate ratios (CR), and active insulin time (AIT). Algorithm-based decision support advising upon potential settings adjustments may enhance clinical decision-making.
    METHODS: Single-arm, two-phase exploratory study developing decision support to commence and sustain AHCL. Participants commenced investigational MM780G, then 8 weeks Phase 1-initial optimization tool evaluation, involving algorithm-based decision support with weekly AIT and CR recommendations. Clinicians approved or rejected CR and AIT recommendations based on perceived safety per protocol. Co-design resulted in a refined algorithm evaluated in a further identically configured Phase 2. Phase 2 participants also transitioned to commercial MM780G following \"Quick Start\" (algorithm-derived tool determining initial AHCL settings using daily insulin dose and weight). We assessed efficacy, safety, and acceptability of decision support using glycemic metrics, and the proportion of accepted CR and AIT settings per phase.
    RESULTS: Fifty three participants commenced Phase 1 (mean age 24.4; Hba1c 61.5mmol/7.7%). The proportion of CR and AIT accepted by clinicians increased between Phases 1 and 2 respectively: CR 89.2% vs. 98.6%, p < 0.01; AIT 95.2% vs. 99.3%, p < 0.01. Between Phases, mean glucose percentage time < 3.9mmol (< 70mg/dl) reduced (2.1% vs. 1.4%, p = 0.04); change in mean TIR 3.9-10mmol/L (70-180mg/dl) was not statistically significant: 72.9% ± 7.8 and 73.5% ± 8.6. Quick start resulted in stable TIR, and glycemic metrics compared to international guidelines.
    CONCLUSIONS: The co-designed decision support tools were able to deliver safe and effective therapy. They can potentially reduce the burden of diabetes management related decision making for both health care practitioners and patients.
    BACKGROUND: Prospectively registered with Australia/New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry(ANZCTR) on 30th March 2021 as study ACTRN12621000360819.
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