Complex adaptive systems

复杂自适应系统
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    世界正在努力应对新兴市场,紧急,大规模问题,比如气候变化,污染,生物多样性丧失,和流行病,这需要立即采取协调行动。顺从性和社会规范等社会过程可以帮助维持行为(例如团体合作)或推动快速的社会变革(例如快速的屋顶太阳能吸收),即使没有全面的政策措施。虽然个体异质性在这些过程中的作用得到了很好的研究,关于个人偏好的表达和反墨守成规者的角色的工作有限,特别是在动态环境中。我们将反墨守成规者引入了博弈论集体决策框架,该框架包括一个复杂的代理网络,该代理网络对两个替代方案具有异质偏好。我们研究反墨守成规者的存在如何改变人口表达不断变化的个人偏好的能力。我们发现反墨守成规者促进偏好的表达,即使它们偏离了现行的规范,打破“沉默的螺旋”,即个人在相信别人不赞成时不会按照自己的喜好行事。处于中心位置的反墨守成规者将人口表达其偏好所需的反墨守成规者数量减少了五倍。在动态环境中,以前不受欢迎的选择成为首选,反墨守成规者催化社会倾斜,减少“文化滞后”,“甚至超出了坚定的少数群体的作用-也就是说,对特定事业有承诺的个人。这项研究强调了异议声音在塑造集体行为中的作用,包括它们在新技术变得有利时促进采用的潜力,并通过促进观点表达来丰富民主。
    The world is grappling with emerging, urgent, large-scale problems, such as climate change, pollution, biodiversity loss, and pandemics, which demand immediate and coordinated action. Social processes like conformity and social norms can either help maintain behaviors (e.g. cooperation in groups) or drive rapid societal change (e.g. rapid rooftop solar uptake), even without comprehensive policy measures. While the role of individual heterogeneity in such processes is well studied, there is limited work on the expression of individuals\' preferences and the role of anticonformists-individuals who value acting differently from others-especially in dynamic environments. We introduce anticonformists into a game-theoretical collective decision-making framework that includes a complex network of agents with heterogeneous preferences about two alternative options. We study how anticonformists\' presence changes the population\'s ability to express evolving personal preferences. We find that anticonformists facilitate the expression of preferences, even when they diverge from prevailing norms, breaking the \"spiral of silence\" whereby individuals do not act on their preferences when they believe others disapprove. Centrally placed anticonformists reduce by five-fold the number of anticonformists needed for a population to express its preferences. In dynamic environments where a previously unpopular choice becomes preferred, anticonformists catalyze social tipping and reduce the \"cultural lag,\" even beyond the role of committed minorities-that is, individuals with a commitment to a specific cause. This research highlights the role of dissenting voices in shaping collective behavior, including their potential to catalyze the adoption of new technologies as they become favorable and to enrich democracy by facilitating the expression of views.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:不健康的商品行业(UCI)从事政治实践以影响公共卫生政策,这对保护和促进公众健康构成了障碍。这种影响表现出复杂系统的特征。因此,系统思考似乎是研究这种现象的有用镜头,潜在加深我们对UCI影响力如何通过其潜在的政治相互联系的理解,经济和社会结构。因此,这项研究开发了一个定性系统图,以描绘UCI影响公共卫生政策的复杂途径以及它们如何与基础结构相互联系。
    方法:在线参与式系统制图研讨会于2021年11月至2022年2月期间举办。作为研讨会的起点,根据最近的研究开发了初步的系统图。与代表学术界的52个地理上不同的利益攸关方举行了23次在线讲习班,公民社会(CS),公职,全球治理组织(CGO)。对NVivo中的研讨会数据和参与者的反馈的分析得出了最终的系统图。
    结果:初步系统图包括六个相互依存主题的40个元素。最终的系统地图由五个相互依存的主题的64个元素组成,代表UCI影响卫生政策制定的关键途径:(1)直接接触公共部门决策者;(2)对政策决定造成混乱和怀疑;(3)公司对商业利润和增长的优先考虑;(4)行业利用法律和争端解决程序;(5)行业利用政策制定,规范,规则,和过程。
    结论:UCI对公共卫生政策的影响非常复杂,涉及相互关联的实践,并且不能简化到系统内的单个点。相反,UCI影响的途径来自不同的国家和全球政治之间的复杂互动,经济和社会结构。这些途径为UCI影响公共卫生政策提供了许多途径,这对制定能够有效应对这种影响的单一干预措施或有限的干预措施提出了挑战。使用参与式方法,我们使相互联系变得透明,这有助于确定未来工作中的干预措施。
    BACKGROUND: Unhealthy commodity industries (UCIs) engage in political practices to influence public health policy, which poses barriers to protecting and promoting public health. Such influence exhibits characteristics of a complex system. Systems thinking would therefore appear to be a useful lens through which to study this phenomenon, potentially deepening our understanding of how UCI influence are interconnected with one another through their underlying political, economic and social structures. As such this study developed a qualitative systems map to depict the complex pathways through which UCIs influence public health policy and how they are interconnected with underlying structures.
    METHODS: Online participatory systems mapping workshops were conducted between November 2021 and February 2022. As a starting point for the workshops, a preliminary systems map was developed based on recent research. Twenty-three online workshops were conducted with 52 geographically diverse stakeholders representing academia, civil society (CS), public office, and global governance organisations (CGO). Analysis of workshop data in NVivo and feedback from participants resulted in a final systems map.
    RESULTS: The preliminary systems map consisted of 40 elements across six interdependent themes. The final systems map consisted of 64 elements across five interdependent themes, representing key pathways through which UCIs impact health policy-making: (1) direct access to public sector decision-makers; (2) creation of confusion and doubt about policy decisions; (3) corporate prioritisation of commercial profits and growth; (4) industry leveraging the legal and dispute settlement processes; and (5) industry leveraging policy-making, norms, rules, and processes.
    CONCLUSIONS: UCI influence on public health policy is highly complex, involves interlinked practices, and is not reducible to a single point within the system. Instead, pathways to UCI influence emerge from the complex interactions between disparate national and global political, economic and social structures. These pathways provide numerous avenues for UCIs to influence public health policy, which poses challenges to formulating a singular intervention or limited set of interventions capable of effectively countering such influence. Using participatory methods, we made transparent the interconnections that could help identify interventions in future work.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在这篇文章中,我们认为,具有裂变聚变(FF)动力学的社会系统在复杂自适应系统(CAS)框架内具有最佳特征。我们讨论了不同的内生和外生因素如何在时间上驱动规模相关的网络属性,空间和社会领域。重要的是,这种观点将动力学本身视为研究对象,而不是迄今为止在行为生态学中主导思维的静态“社会群体”的各种定义的概念。CAS方法使我们能够在不符合更传统的社会性概念的分类单元中询问FF动力学,并鼓励我们提出有关社会系统稳定和变化来源的新型问题,将常规变化与会导致系统级重组的变化区分开来。本文是主题问题的一部分,“互联互动:通过空间和社会互动丰富食物网研究”。
    In this article, we argue that social systems with fission-fusion (FF) dynamics are best characterized within a complex adaptive systems (CAS) framework. We discuss how different endogenous and exogenous factors drive scale-dependent network properties across temporal, spatial and social domains. Importantly, this view treats the dynamics themselves as objects of study, rather than variously defined notions of static \'social groups\' that have hitherto dominated thinking in behavioural ecology. CAS approaches allow us to interrogate FF dynamics in taxa that do not conform to more traditional conceptualizations of sociality and encourage us to pose new types of questions regarding the sources of stability and change in social systems, distinguishing regular variations from those that would lead to system-level reorganization. This article is part of the theme issue \'Connected interactions: enriching food web research by spatial and social interactions\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当患者护理在许多独立组织之间分配时,测量和优化卫生系统具有挑战性。例如,患者接受初级保健提供者的护理,门诊专科诊所,医院,私人提供者和,在某些情况下,家庭成员。这些孤岛是通过不同的资金来源(或缺乏资金)来维持的,这激励了孤立的服务交付。正在出现一种向优先考虑患者结果和将患者保持在护理中心的转变。然而,关于病人需求的竞争哲学,如何定义健康以及如何生产和资助健康正在为提供健康服务创造和形成孤岛。医疗保健和健康成果是通过由不同的卫生专业人员团队共同开展的一系列活动来产生的。卫生专业人员不断从每个患者的互动中学习;然而,筒仓是信息交流的障碍,协作证据生成和卫生系统改进。本文介绍了医疗保健的系统视图,并提供了系统镜头来应对卫生系统中的当前挑战。本文的第一部分提供了加拿大医疗保健现状和挑战的背景。第二部分提出了持续卫生系统表现不佳的潜在原因。本文最后提出了解决这些挑战的系统观点。
    Measuring and optimizing a health system is challenging when patient care is split between many independent organizations. For example, patients receive care from their primary care provider, outpatient specialist clinics, hospitals, private providers and, in some instances, family members. These silos are maintained through different funding sources (or lack of funding) which incentivize siloed service delivery. A shift towards prioritizing patient outcomes and keeping the patient at the centre of care is emerging. However, competing philosophies on patient needs, how health is defined and how health is produced and funded is creating and engraining silos in the delivery of health services. Healthcare and health outcomes are produced through a series of activities conducted by diverse teams of health professionals working in concert. Health professionals are continually learning from each patient interaction; however, silos are barriers to information exchange, collaborative evidence generation and health system improvement. This paper presents a systems view of healthcare and provides a systems lens to approach current challenges in health systems. The first part of the paper provides a background on the current state and challenges to healthcare in Canada. The second part presents potential reasons for continued health system underperformance. The paper concludes with a system perspective for addressing these challenges.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:有效的指导是医学教育的重要组成部分,对所有利益相关者都有好处。近年来,导师的概念化已经超越了传统的二元经验导师-新手导师关系,包括小组和同伴指导。现有的导师理论不承认导师的个性化,不断发展,目标驱动,和特定于环境的性质。论证了传统因果观念的局限性,这篇综述的目的是系统地搜索文献,以确定指导是否可以被视为一个复杂的适应系统(CAS)。
    方法:使用Krishna的系统循证方法进行了系统的范围审查,以研究医学生和居民在普通内科和相关亚专业中的指导和CAS的陈述2000年1月1日至12月31日在PubMed上发表的文章,Embase,PsycINFO,ERIC,谷歌学者,和Scopus数据库。纳入的文章进行了主题和内容分析,确定并组合主题以创建域,这是讨论的框架。
    结果:审查了5,704份摘要,对134篇全文进行了评估,共纳入216篇文章。这些领域描述了指导关系和指导方法如何体现CAS的特征,并且指导通常表现为实践社区(CoP)。指导的类似CAS的功能通过CoP显示,有明显的界限,螺旋指导轨迹,以及纵向指导支持和评估过程。
    结论:认识到作为CAS的指导需要重新思考设计,支持,评估,以及对导师的监督和导师的作用。需要进一步的研究,以更好地评估指导过程,并为导师提供最佳的培训和支持。
    BACKGROUND: Effective mentorship is an important component of medical education with benefits to all stakeholders. In recent years, conceptualization of mentorship has gone beyond the traditional dyadic experienced mentor-novice mentee relationship to include group and peer mentoring. Existing theories of mentorship do not recognize mentoring\'s personalized, evolving, goal-driven, and context-specific nature. Evidencing the limitations of traditional cause-and-effect concepts, the purpose of this review was to systematically search the literature to determine if mentoring can be viewed as a complex adaptive system (CAS).
    METHODS: A systematic scoping review using Krishna\'s Systematic Evidence-Based Approach was employed to study medical student and resident accounts of mentoring and CAS in general internal medicine and related subspecialties in articles published between 1 January 2000 and 31 December 2023 in PubMed, Embase, PsycINFO, ERIC, Google Scholar, and Scopus databases. The included articles underwent thematic and content analysis, with the themes identified and combined to create domains, which framed the discussion.
    RESULTS: Of 5,704 abstracts reviewed, 134 full-text articles were evaluated, and 216 articles were included. The domains described how mentoring relationships and mentoring approaches embody characteristics of CAS and that mentorship often behaves as a community of practice (CoP). Mentoring\'s CAS-like features are displayed through CoPs, with distinct boundaries, a spiral mentoring trajectory, and longitudinal mentoring support and assessment processes.
    CONCLUSIONS: Recognizing mentorship as a CAS demands the rethinking of the design, support, assessment, and oversight of mentorship and the role of mentors. Further study is required to better assess the mentoring process and to provide optimal training and support to mentors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在社会技术系统的背景下,传统的工程方法不足,呼吁从根本上改变观点。一种不同的方法鼓励将社会技术系统视为复杂的生物实体,而不是通过简单的镜头。这增强了我们对它们动态的理解。然而,这些系统旨在促进人类活动,目标不仅是理解它们是如何运作的,而且是指导它们的功能。目前,我们缺乏适当的术语。因此,我们介绍两个主要概念,简单和恭维,从自然如何隐藏简单的复杂机制中汲取灵感,友好的用户界面。
    In the context of socio-technical systems, traditional engineering approaches are inadequate, calling for a fundamental change in perspective. A different approach encourages viewing socio-technical systems as complex living entities rather than through a simplistic lens, which enhances our understanding of their dynamics. However, these systems are designed to facilitate human activities, and the goal is not only to comprehend how they operate but also to guide their function. Currently, we lack the appropriate terminology. Hence, we introduce two principal concepts, simplexity and complixity, drawing inspiration from how nature conceals intricate mechanisms beneath straightforward, user-friendly interfaces.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:气质和性格在焦虑抑郁谱个体的风险评估和治疗中是有用的,但在韩国研究不足。
    目的:该研究旨在确定临床疾病患者和普通人群中与焦虑和/或抑郁相关的气质和性格特征。
    方法:使用贝克抑郁量表(BDI)评估了1384名18岁以上的韩国成年人(58%为女性)的代表性样本,状态特质焦虑量表(STAI),和气质和性格清单(TCI)。多变量分析,包括结构方程建模和复杂系统分析,评估人格如何影响焦虑和/或抑郁的风险和弹性。
    结果:焦虑和/或抑郁的三组在气质和性格上有很强的区别:(i)在AD(n=58)中,危害规避和奖励依赖高于DD,自指向性高于AD+DD;(Ii)DD(n=90),坚持不懈,自我导向和合作高于AD+DD;(iii)AD+DD(n=101),避免伤害最高,坚持和自我指导最低(即,他们的复原力最低)。结构方程模型证实了这些风险关系,具有强烈的性格发展,从而减少了极端性情的情绪高反应性的不利影响。
    结论:自我报告仅在一个时间点进行测量,需要附带的实验数据来支持因果解释。
    结论:气质和性格的相互作用通过调节积极和消极的情感来强烈预测焦虑和/或抑郁的风险和韧性。性格调节极端性情对情感的不利影响。
    BACKGROUND: Temperament and character are useful in risk assessment and therapy of individuals in the anxiety-depression spectrum but understudied in South Korea.
    OBJECTIVE: The study aimed to identify the temperament and character features associated with anxiety and/or depression in individuals with clinical disorders and in the general population.
    METHODS: A representative sample of 1384 Korean adults over 18 years old (58 % female) were assessed with the Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), State-Trait Anxiety Inventory (STAI), and Temperament and Character Inventory (TCI). Multivariate analyses, including structural equation modeling and complex systems analysis, evaluated how personality influenced risk and resilience for anxiety and/or depression.
    RESULTS: The three groups with anxiety and/or depression were strongly distinguished by temperament and character: (i) In AD (n = 58), Harm Avoidance and Reward Dependence were higher than in DD, and Self-directedness was higher than in AD+DD; (ii) In DD (n = 90), Persistence, Self-Directedness and Cooperativeness were higher than in AD+DD; and (iii) In AD+DD (n = 101), Harm Avoidance was highest and Persistence and Self-directedness were lowest (i.e., they were lowest in Resilience). Structural equation models confirmed these risk relations with strong character development reducing the adverse effects of emotional hyperreactivity from extreme temperaments.
    CONCLUSIONS: Self-reports were measured only at one point in time, requiring collateral experimental data to support causal interpretation.
    CONCLUSIONS: Interactions of temperament and character are strongly predictive of risk and resilience to anxiety and/or depression by regulating both positive and negative affect. Character mediates the adverse effects of extreme temperaments on affect.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    NHS在不断发展,随之而来的是,必须重新构想和定义传统的领导和管理概念。为了成为有效的领导者,然而,我们必须首先更深入地了解我们领导的背景,并认识到如何导航系统的复杂性。本文探讨了复杂自适应系统的特点,以及我们如何通过NHS的经验来理解这些系统的模式。然后分析过去和现在的领导方法,并考虑未来的领导者如何在明天的NHS中发挥作用。最后,本文确定了潜在的障碍和挑战,领导者必须克服,因为他们适应和调整他们的领导方法,以满足一个充满活力的卫生服务的需求。
    The NHS is continuously evolving and with it, traditional notions of leadership and management must be reimagined and redefined. In order to be effective leaders, however, we must first gain a deeper understanding of the context in which we lead and recognise how to navigate the system\'s intricacies. This article explores the characteristics of Complex Adaptive Systems and how we can understand the patterns of these systems through our experiences leading in the NHS. It then analyses leadership approaches both past and present and considers how future leaders can be effective in tomorrow\'s NHS. Finally, this article identifies potential barriers and challenges that leaders must overcome as they adapt and tailor their leadership approach to meet the needs of a dynamic health service.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    数据和指标估计被认为对于记录孕产妇和新生儿健康方面的持续挑战以及跟踪实现全球目标的进展至关重要。然而,标准化的优先次序,可比的定量数据可能会妨碍收集当地相关信息,并在资源匮乏的环境中造成压倒性的负担,对提供护理质量产生负面影响。越来越多的定性研究旨在提供对孕产妇和新生儿健康数据生成和使用背后的复杂过程和人类经验的基于地点的理解。我们进行了定性系统评价,探讨了在低收入和中低收入国家,在国家以下和国家层面如何看待和体验收集和报告孕产妇和新生儿健康指标数据的国家或国际要求。我们系统地搜索了六个电子数据库,以获取2000年1月至2023年3月之间发表的定性和混合方法研究。在四名审稿人筛选了4084条记录后,47份出版物被列入审查。从复杂适应系统(CAS)理论的角度对数据进行主题分析和综合。我们的调查结果表明,孕产妇和新生儿健康数据和指标并不固定,中立实体,而是复杂过程的结果。它们的收集和吸收受到众多系统硬件元素(人力资源、工具的相关性和充分性,基础设施,和互操作性)和软件元素(激励系统,监督和反馈,权力和社会关系,和问责制)。当这些组件对齐并足够支撑时,数据和指标可以通过性能评估获得积极的系统适应性,优先次序,学习,和宣传。然而,系统组件之间的缺点和破碎的循环可能会导致不可预见的紧急行为,如责备,恐惧,和数据操纵。这篇综述强调了优先考虑当地相关性和可行性的测量方法的重要性,需要采用参与性方法来定义特定环境的衡量目标和策略。
    Data and indicator estimates are considered vital to document persisting challenges in maternal and newborn health and track progress towards global goals. However, prioritization of standardised, comparable quantitative data can preclude the collection of locally relevant information and pose overwhelming burdens in low-resource settings, with negative effects on the provision of quality of care. A growing body of qualitative studies aims to provide a place-based understanding of the complex processes and human experiences behind the generation and use of maternal and neonatal health data. We conducted a qualitative systematic review exploring how national or international requirements to collect and report data on maternal and neonatal health indicators are perceived and experienced at the sub-national and country level in low-income and lower-middle income countries. We systematically searched six electronic databases for qualitative and mixed-methods studies published between January 2000 and March 2023. Following screening of 4084 records by four reviewers, 47 publications were included in the review. Data were analysed thematically and synthesised from a Complex Adaptive Systems (CAS) theoretical perspective. Our findings show maternal and neonatal health data and indicators are not fixed, neutral entities, but rather outcomes of complex processes. Their collection and uptake is influenced by a multitude of system hardware elements (human resources, relevancy and adequacy of tools, infrastructure, and interoperability) and software elements (incentive systems, supervision and feedback, power and social relations, and accountability). When these components are aligned and sufficiently supportive, data and indicators can be used for positive system adaptivity through performance evaluation, prioritization, learning, and advocacy. Yet shortcomings and broken loops between system components can lead to unforeseen emergent behaviors such as blame, fear, and data manipulation. This review highlights the importance of measurement approaches that prioritize local relevance and feasibility, necessitating participatory approaches to define context-specific measurement objectives and strategies.
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