Clinical Decision Rules

临床决策规则
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    区分破裂和未破裂的急性阑尾炎提出了重大挑战。本研究旨在验证RAMA-WeRA风险评分在预测急诊阑尾炎(RA)破裂中的准确性。
    这项研究是从2022年2月1日至2023年1月20日在泰国的六家医院进行的多中心诊断准确性研究。资格标准包括年龄>15岁的怀疑急性阑尾炎的个人,向ED介绍,并在阑尾切除术或术中由外科医生诊断后有可用的病理报告。我们评估了RAMA-WeRA风险评分的筛查表现特征,在检测破裂的阑尾炎(RA)病例中。
    860名患者符合研究标准。168例(19.38%)患者患有RA,692例(80.62%)患者患有非RA。RAMA-WeRA风险评分的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AuROC)为75.11%(95%CI:71.10,79.11)。RAMA-WeRA风险评分>6分(高风险组)在检测破裂病例中显示出正似然比(LR)为3.22。>6分界点评分的敏感性和特异性分别为43.8%(95CI:36.2,51.6)和86.4%(95CI:83.6,88.9),分别。
    RAMA-WeRA风险评分可预测急诊科疑似急性阑尾炎患者的破裂,对高危病例的总准确率为75%。
    UNASSIGNED: Distinguishing between ruptured and non-ruptured acute appendicitis presents a significant challenge. This study aimed to validate the accuracy of RAMA-WeRA Risk Score in predicting ruptured appendicitis (RA) in emergency department.
    UNASSIGNED: This study was a multicenter diagnostic accuracy study conducted across six hospitals in Thailand from February 1, 2022, to January 20, 2023. The eligibility criteria included individuals aged >15 years suspected of acute appendicitis, presenting to the ED, and having an available pathology report following appendectomy or intraoperative diagnosis by the surgeon. We assessed the screening performance characteristics of RAMA-WeRA Risk Score, in detecting the ruptured appendicitis (RA) cases.
    UNASSIGNED: 860 patients met the study criteria. 168 (19.38%) had RA and 692 (80.62%) patients had non-RA. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AuROC) of RAMA-WeRA Risk Score was 75.11% (95% CI: 71.10, 79.11). The RAMA-WeRA Risk Score > 6 points (high-risk group) demonstrated a positive likelihood ratio (LR) of 3.22 in detecting the ruptured cases. The sensitivity and specificity of score in > 6 cutoff point was 43.8% (95%CI: 36.2, 51.6) and 86.4% (95%CI: 83.6, 88.9), respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: The RAMA-WeRA Risk Score can predict rupture in patients presenting with suspected acute appendicitis in the emergency department with total accuracy of 75% for high-risk cases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    终止复苏(TOR)规则可能有助于指导院前决定停止复苏,对患者预后和卫生资源使用有潜在影响。具有高灵敏度风险的规则增加了非幸存者的不当运输,而没有优异特异性的规则有错过幸存者的风险。需要进一步检查TOR规则在估计院外心脏骤停(OHCA)生存率方面的性能。
    确定TOR规则是否可以准确识别无法在OHCA中幸存的患者。
    对于本系统综述和荟萃分析,MEDLINE,Embase,CINAHL,科克伦图书馆,从数据库开始到2024年1月11日,搜索了WebofScience数据库。语言没有限制,出版日期,或研究的时间范围。
    两位评审员独立筛选记录,首先是标题和摘要,然后是全文。随机临床试验,病例对照研究,队列研究,横断面研究,回顾性分析,并包括建模研究。回顾了系统评价和荟萃分析,以确定主要研究。预测死亡以外结果的研究,住院研究,动物研究,非同行评审的研究被排除.
    数据由一名审阅者提取,并由一秒钟检查。两名评审员使用修订后的诊断准确性研究质量评估工具评估偏倚风险。Cochrane筛查和诊断测试方法在进行双变量随机效应荟萃分析时,遵循小组建议。本综述遵循了诊断测试准确性研究系统评价和荟萃分析(PRISMA-DTA)声明的首选报告项目,并在国际前瞻性系统评价登记册(CRD42019131010)注册。
    产生了具有95%CIs的敏感性和特异性表以及双变量汇总接受者工作特征(SROC)曲线。计算了不同患病率水平下的影响估计。这些估计用于评估不同患病率水平下使用TOR规则的实际含义。
    本综述包括1993年至2023年间发表的43项非随机研究,涉及29项TOR规则,涉及1125587例病例。15项研究报告了20项TOR规则的推导。33项研究报告了17项TOR规则的外部数据验证。七个TOR规则有数据来促进荟萃分析。确定了一项临床研究。复苏规则的普遍终止具有最佳性能,合并敏感性为0.62(95%CI,0.54-0.71),合并特异性为0.88(95%CI,0.82-0.94),诊断比值比为20.45(95%CI,13.15-31.83)。
    在这篇评论中,没有充分的证据支持在临床实践中广泛实施TOR规则.这些发现表明,采用TOR规则可能会导致错过幸存者并增加资源利用率。
    UNASSIGNED: Termination of resuscitation (TOR) rules may help guide prehospital decisions to stop resuscitation, with potential effects on patient outcomes and health resource use. Rules with high sensitivity risk increasing inappropriate transport of nonsurvivors, while rules without excellent specificity risk missed survivors. Further examination of the performance of TOR rules in estimating survival of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is needed.
    UNASSIGNED: To determine whether TOR rules can accurately identify patients who will not survive an OHCA.
    UNASSIGNED: For this systematic review and meta-analysis, the MEDLINE, Embase, CINAHL, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science databases were searched from database inception up to January 11, 2024. There were no restrictions on language, publication date, or time frame of the study.
    UNASSIGNED: Two reviewers independently screened records, first by title and abstract and then by full text. Randomized clinical trials, case-control studies, cohort studies, cross-sectional studies, retrospective analyses, and modeling studies were included. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses were reviewed to identify primary studies. Studies predicting outcomes other than death, in-hospital studies, animal studies, and non-peer-reviewed studies were excluded.
    UNASSIGNED: Data were extracted by one reviewer and checked by a second. Two reviewers assessed risk of bias using the Revised Quality Assessment Tool for Diagnostic Accuracy Studies. Cochrane Screening and Diagnostic Tests Methods Group recommendations were followed when conducting a bivariate random-effects meta-analysis. This review followed the Preferred Reporting Items for a Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies (PRISMA-DTA) statement and is registered with the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42019131010).
    UNASSIGNED: Sensitivity and specificity tables with 95% CIs and bivariate summary receiver operating characteristic (SROC) curves were produced. Estimates of effects at different prevalence levels were calculated. These estimates were used to evaluate the practical implications of TOR rule use at different prevalence levels.
    UNASSIGNED: This review included 43 nonrandomized studies published between 1993 and 2023, addressing 29 TOR rules and involving 1 125 587 cases. Fifteen studies reported the derivation of 20 TOR rules. Thirty-three studies reported external data validations of 17 TOR rules. Seven TOR rules had data to facilitate meta-analysis. One clinical study was identified. The universal termination of resuscitation rule had the best performance, with pooled sensitivity of 0.62 (95% CI, 0.54-0.71), pooled specificity of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.82-0.94), and a diagnostic odds ratio of 20.45 (95% CI, 13.15-31.83).
    UNASSIGNED: In this review, there was insufficient robust evidence to support widespread implementation of TOR rules in clinical practice. These findings suggest that adoption of TOR rules may lead to missed survivors and increased resource utilization.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    左心室辅助装置(LVAD)的植入是选择的终末期心力衰竭患者的关键治疗选择。然而,大出血(MB)并发症是一个重要的问题。
    我们评估了LVAD接受者MB的当前风险评分预测准确性。
    我们进行了观察,荷兰LVAD接受者(HeartWare或HeartMate-3,2010年11月至2022年12月)的单中心研究。主要结果是LVAD后的第一个MB(根据国际血栓形成和止血协会[ISTH]和机构间注册机构机械辅助循环支持[INTERMACS],和INTERMACS结合颅内出血[INTERMACS+]标准)。MB之前的死亡率被认为是竞争性事件。辨别(C统计量)和校准被评估为高血压,肾/肝功能异常,Stroke,出血史或倾向,INR,老年人,药物/酒精伴随评分,肝脏或肾脏疾病,乙醇滥用,恶性肿瘤,年龄较大,血小板计数或功能减少,再出血,高血压,贫血,遗传因素,过度跌倒风险和中风评分,心房颤动评分中的抗凝和危险因素,门诊出血风险指数,静脉血栓栓塞评分,心房颤动评分,和犹他州出血风险评分(UBRS)。
    纳入了104名患者(中位年龄,64岁;女性,20.2%;心术,90.4%;HeartMate-3,9.6%)。根据ISTH和INTERMACS标准,累积MB发生率为75.7%(95%CI65.5%-85.9%),根据INTERMACS标准,累积MB发生率为67.0%(95%CI56.0%-78.0%),中位无事件随访时间为1916天(范围,59-4521)。所有分数在预期的预测时间范围内的辨别能力都很差。根据ISTH和INTERMACS+标准,接收操作者特征曲线下的累积面积范围为0.49(95%CI0.35-0.63,静脉血栓栓塞-BLEED)至0.56(95%CI0.47-0.65,UBRS),以及0.48(95%CI0.40-0.56,心房颤动中的抗凝和危险因素)至0.56(95%CI0.47-0.65)。所有模型显示校准不良,大大低估了MB风险。
    目前的出血风险评分对LVAD受者的预测准确性不足。需要准确的风险评分来识别可能受益于患者定制的抗血栓治疗的MB高风险的LVAD患者。
    UNASSIGNED: Implantation of a left ventricular assist device (LVAD) is a crucial therapeutic option for selected end-stage heart failure patients. However, major bleeding (MB) complications postimplantation are a significant concern.
    UNASSIGNED: We evaluated current risk scores\' predictive accuracy for MB in LVAD recipients.
    UNASSIGNED: We conducted an observational, single-center study of LVAD recipients (HeartWare or HeartMate-3, November 2010-December 2022) in the Netherlands. The primary outcome was the first post-LVAD MB (according to the International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis [ISTH] and Interagency Registry for Mechanically Assisted Circulatory Support [INTERMACS], and INTERMACS combined with intracranial bleeding [INTERMACS+] criteria). Mortality prior to MB was considered a competing event. Discrimination (C-statistic) and calibration were evaluated for the Hypertension, Abnormal Renal/Liver Function, Stroke, Bleeding History or Predisposition, Labile INR, Elderly, Drugs/Alcohol Concomitantly score, Hepatic or Renal Disease, Ethanol Abuse, Malignancy, Older Age, Reduced Platelet Count or Function, Re-Bleeding, Hypertension, Anemia, Genetic Factors, Excessive Fall Risk and Stroke score, Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation score, Outpatient Bleeding Risk Index, venous thromboembolism score, atrial fibrillation score, and Utah Bleeding Risk Score (UBRS).
    UNASSIGNED: One hundred four patients were included (median age, 64 years; female, 20.2%; HeartWare, 90.4%; HeartMate-3, 9.6%). The cumulative MB incidence was 75.7% (95% CI 65.5%-85.9%) by ISTH and INTERMACS+ criteria and 67.0% (95% CI 56.0%-78.0%) per INTERMACS criteria over a median event-free follow-up time of 1916 days (range, 59-4521). All scores had poor discriminative ability on their intended prediction timeframe. Cumulative area under the receiving operator characteristic curve ranged from 0.49 (95% CI 0.35-0.63, venous thromboembolism-BLEED) to 0.56 (95% CI 0.47-0.65, UBRS) according to ISTH and INTERMACS+ criteria and from 0.48 (95% CI 0.40-0.56, Anticoagulation and Risk Factors in Atrial Fibrillation) to 0.56 (95% CI 0.47-0.65, UBRS) per INTERMACS criteria. All models showed poor calibration, largely underestimating MB risk.
    UNASSIGNED: Current bleeding risk scores exhibit inadequate predictive accuracy for LVAD recipients. There is a need for an accurate risk score to identify LVAD patients at high risk of MB who may benefit from patient-tailored antithrombotic therapy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    对没有明显呼吸窘迫的急性低氧性呼吸衰竭患者进行插管的决定是重症医师面临的最困难的临床决定之一。保守的方法使患者暴露于低氧血症的危险,而宽松的方法使他们面临插入气管导管和有创机械通气的危险。为了协助强化专家做出这一决定,研究人员使用了各种外周血氧饱和度或动脉血氧饱和度的阈值,氧分压,氧分压与吸入氧分比,和动脉血氧含量。在这篇综述中,我们将讨论这些氧合指数中的每一个如何提供有关动脉血中运输的氧气量(对流氧气输送)或将氧气从毛细血管驱动到细胞的压力梯度(扩散性氧气输送)的不准确信息。我们对临界点的了解使插管低氧血症患者的决定变得更加复杂,在该临界点以下,个体患者的整体和脑氧供应变得依赖于输送。因此,插管需要对氧合指数有细致的了解。在这次审查中,我们还将根据临床观察和生理原理讨论我们的插管方法.具体来说,我们考虑在低氧血症患者时插管,既没有明显的呼吸窘迫也没有休克,认知受损,提示突发脑缺氧。当决定插管时,我们还考虑了其他因素,包括对心脏功能的估计,外周灌注,动脉血氧含量及其决定因素。这是不可能的,然而,选择一个氧合断点,低于该断点,机械通气的好处绝对大于其危害。想象一下,关于在单个患者中建立机械通气的决策可以被浓缩为在每个节点处具有绝对数字的算法是徒劳的。总之,算法不能代替临床评估领域熟练的医生的存在,他对病理生理学原理有深刻的理解。
    The decision to intubate a patient with acute hypoxemic respiratory failure who is not in apparent respiratory distress is one of the most difficult clinical decisions faced by intensivists. A conservative approach exposes patients to the dangers of hypoxemia, while a liberal approach exposes them to the dangers of inserting an endotracheal tube and invasive mechanical ventilation. To assist intensivists in this decision, investigators have used various thresholds of peripheral or arterial oxygen saturation, partial pressure of oxygen, partial pressure of oxygen-to-fraction of inspired oxygen ratio, and arterial oxygen content. In this review we will discuss how each of these oxygenation indices provides inaccurate information about the volume of oxygen transported in the arterial blood (convective oxygen delivery) or the pressure gradient driving oxygen from the capillaries to the cells (diffusive oxygen delivery). The decision to intubate hypoxemic patients is further complicated by our nescience of the critical point below which global and cerebral oxygen supply become delivery-dependent in the individual patient. Accordingly, intubation requires a nuanced understanding of oxygenation indexes. In this review, we will also discuss our approach to intubation based on clinical observations and physiologic principles. Specifically, we consider intubation when hypoxemic patients, who are neither in apparent respiratory distress nor in shock, become cognitively impaired suggesting emergent cerebral hypoxia. When deciding to intubate, we also consider additional factors including estimates of cardiac function, peripheral perfusion, arterial oxygen content and its determinants. It is not possible, however, to pick an oxygenation breakpoint below which the benefits of mechanical ventilation decidedly outweigh its hazards. It is futile to imagine that decision making about instituting mechanical ventilation in an individual patient can be condensed into an algorithm with absolute numbers at each nodal point. In sum, an algorithm cannot replace the presence of a physician well skilled in the art of clinical evaluation who has a deep understanding of pathophysiologic principles.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:创伤性脑损伤(TBI)是院前环境中的常见表现。目前,护理人员通常不会使用工具来识别可能留在现场或被送往当地医院而不是主要创伤中心的低风险患者。制定了加拿大CT头目规则(CHR),以指导医院CT成像的使用。尚未在院前环境中进行评估。我们的目标是通过评估对患者和护理人员实施CCHR的可行性和可接受性来解决这一差距,以及对其使用进行全面临床试验的可行性。
    方法:我们将招募患有轻度TBI后被救护车送往急诊科(ED)的成年患者。护理人员将前瞻性地收集CCHR的数据。所有患者将被送往急诊室,在延期同意的情况下,治疗临床医生将重新评估CCHR,对护理人员的解释视而不见。主要临床结果将是神经外科重要的TBI。可行性结果包括招聘和流失率。我们将使用渥太华决策规则工具评估CHR对护理人员的可接受性。CHR的观察者间可靠性将在护理人员和ED中的治疗临床医生之间进行评估。参与的护理人员和患者将被邀请参加半结构化访谈,以探索试验过程和促进者的可接受性以及在实践中使用CHR的障碍。数据将按主题进行分析。我们预计在6个月内招募约100名患者。
    背景:本研究获得了健康研究机构和研究伦理委员会的批准(REC参考:22/NW/0358)。结果将发表在同行评审的期刊上,在会议上提出,并将被纳入博士论文。
    背景:ISRCTN92566288。
    BACKGROUND: Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a common presentation in the prehospital environment. At present, paramedics do not routinely use tools to identify low-risk patients who could be left at scene or taken to a local hospital rather than a major trauma centre. The Canadian CT Head Rule (CCHR) was developed to guide the use of CT imaging in hospital. It has not been evaluated in the prehospital setting. We aim to address this gap by evaluating the feasibility and acceptability of implementing the CCHR to patients and paramedics, and the feasibility of conducting a full-scale clinical trial of its use.
    METHODS: We will recruit adult patients who are being transported to an emergency department (ED) by ambulance after suffering a mild TBI. Paramedics will prospectively collect data for the CCHR. All patients will be transported to the ED, where deferred consent will be taken and the treating clinician will reassess the CCHR, blinded to paramedic interpretation. The primary clinical outcome will be neurosurgically significant TBI. Feasibility outcomes include recruitment and attrition rates. We will assess acceptability of the CCHR to paramedics using the Ottawa Acceptability of Decision Rules Instrument. Interobserver reliability of the CCHR will be assessed between paramedics and the treating clinician in the ED. Participating paramedics and patients will be invited to participate in semistructured interviews to explore the acceptability of trial processes and facilitators and barriers to the use of the CCHR in practice. Data will be analysed thematically. We anticipate recruiting approximately 100 patients over 6 months.
    BACKGROUND: This study was approved by the Health Research Authority and the Research Ethics Committee (REC reference: 22/NW/0358). The results will be published in a peer-reviewed journal, presented at conferences and will be incorporated into a doctoral thesis.
    BACKGROUND: ISRCTN92566288.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:儿童颈椎损伤并不常见,但具有潜在的破坏性;创伤后不分青红皂白的颈部成像使儿童不必要地暴露于电离辐射。这项研究的目的是得出并验证儿科临床预测规则,该规则可以纳入算法中,以指导急诊科儿童对颈椎损伤的影像学筛查。
    方法:在这项前瞻性观察队列研究中,我们在美国儿科急诊应用研究网络(PECARN)附属医院的18个专门儿童急诊科筛查了0-17岁已知或疑似钝性创伤的儿童.通过满足以下标准之一,受伤儿童有资格参加推导或验证队列:由急诊医疗服务从受伤现场转移到急诊科;由创伤小组评估;并在到达PECARN附属急诊科之前或之前进行颈部成像,以关注颈椎损伤。排除了仅出现穿透性创伤的儿童。在查看登记的儿童颈部成像结果之前,主治急诊科临床医生完成了临床检查,并在电子问卷中前瞻性记录了颈椎损伤的危险因素.在急诊室就诊后21-28天内,通过影像学报告和监护人的电话随访确定颈椎损伤,儿童神经外科医生证实了颈椎损伤。通过具有稳健误差估计的双变量Poisson回归确定与颈椎损伤高风险(>10%)相关的因素。通过分类和回归树(CART)分析确定与不可忽略风险相关的因素.在颈椎损伤预测规则中组合变量。感兴趣的主要结果是初始创伤后28天内的颈椎损伤,需要住院观察或手术干预。为推导和验证队列计算规则绩效度量。在研究人群中应用了一种临床护理算法,用于确定哪些危险因素需要对钝性外伤后的颈椎损伤进行影像学检查,以评估对减少儿科急诊科CT和X射线使用的潜在影响。这项研究在ClinicalTrials.gov注册,NCT05049330。
    结果:九个急诊科参加了派生队列,9人参加了验证队列.总的来说,22430名出现已知或疑似钝性创伤的儿童被纳入(派生队列中的11857名儿童;验证队列中的10573名儿童)。占总人口的433(1·9%)已确认颈椎损伤。以下因素与颈椎损伤的高风险相关:精神状态改变(格拉斯哥昏迷量表[GCS]评分3-8分或警报上反应迟钝,言语,疼痛,意识无反应量表[AVPU]);异常气道,呼吸,或循环发现;和局灶性神经功能缺损,包括感觉异常,麻木,或弱点。在出现至少一种风险因素的衍生队列中,928人中,118人(12·7%)患有颈椎损伤(风险比8·9[95%CI7·1-11·2])。通过CART分析,以下因素与不可忽视的颈椎损伤风险相关:颈部疼痛;精神状态改变(GCS评分为9-14;AVPU的言语或疼痛;或其他精神状态改变的迹象);严重的头部受伤;严重的躯干受伤;和中线颈部压痛。高风险和CART衍生因素组合并应用于验证队列,敏感性为94·3%(95%CI90·7-97·9),60·4%(59·4-61·3)特异性,和99·9%(99·8-100·0)的阴性预测值。如果将该算法应用于所有参与者以指导成像的使用,我们估计,在不增加接受X线平片检查的儿童数量的情况下,在22430名儿童中,接受CT检查的儿童数量可能从3856名(17·2%)减少到1549名(6·9%).
    结论:纳入临床算法,颈椎损伤预测规则显示出很强的潜力,可以帮助临床医生确定哪些钝性外伤后到达急诊科的儿童应该接受X线颈部成像检查以发现潜在的颈椎损伤。临床算法的实施可以减少急诊科不必要的射线照相测试的使用,并消除高风险的辐射暴露。未来的工作应该在更一般的环境中验证预测规则和护理算法,例如社区急诊科。
    背景:EuniceKennedyShriver国家儿童健康与人类发展研究所以及美国妇幼保健局卫生与人类服务部卫生资源与服务管理局在紧急医疗服务儿童计划下。
    BACKGROUND: Cervical spine injuries in children are uncommon but potentially devastating; however, indiscriminate neck imaging after trauma unnecessarily exposes children to ionising radiation. The aim of this study was to derive and validate a paediatric clinical prediction rule that can be incorporated into an algorithm to guide radiographic screening for cervical spine injury among children in the emergency department.
    METHODS: In this prospective observational cohort study, we screened children aged 0-17 years presenting with known or suspected blunt trauma at 18 specialised children\'s emergency departments in hospitals in the USA affiliated with the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN). Injured children were eligible for enrolment into derivation or validation cohorts by fulfilling one of the following criteria: transported from the scene of injury to the emergency department by emergency medical services; evaluated by a trauma team; and undergone neck imaging for concern for cervical spine injury either at or before arriving at the PECARN-affiliated emergency department. Children presenting with solely penetrating trauma were excluded. Before viewing an enrolled child\'s neck imaging results, the attending emergency department clinician completed a clinical examination and prospectively documented cervical spine injury risk factors in an electronic questionnaire. Cervical spine injuries were determined by imaging reports and telephone follow-up with guardians within 21-28 days of the emergency room encounter, and cervical spine injury was confirmed by a paediatric neurosurgeon. Factors associated with a high risk of cervical spine injury (>10%) were identified by bivariable Poisson regression with robust error estimates, and factors associated with non-negligible risk were identified by classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. Variables were combined in the cervical spine injury prediction rule. The primary outcome of interest was cervical spine injury within 28 days of initial trauma warranting inpatient observation or surgical intervention. Rule performance measures were calculated for both derivation and validation cohorts. A clinical care algorithm for determining which risk factors warrant radiographic screening for cervical spine injury after blunt trauma was applied to the study population to estimate the potential effect on reducing CT and x-ray use in the paediatric emergency department. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT05049330.
    RESULTS: Nine emergency departments participated in the derivation cohort, and nine participated in the validation cohort. In total, 22 430 children presenting with known or suspected blunt trauma were enrolled (11 857 children in the derivation cohort; 10 573 in the validation cohort). 433 (1·9%) of the total population had confirmed cervical spine injuries. The following factors were associated with a high risk of cervical spine injury: altered mental status (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] score of 3-8 or unresponsive on the Alert, Verbal, Pain, Unresponsive scale [AVPU] of consciousness); abnormal airway, breathing, or circulation findings; and focal neurological deficits including paresthesia, numbness, or weakness. Of 928 in the derivation cohort presenting with at least one of these risk factors, 118 (12·7%) had cervical spine injury (risk ratio 8·9 [95% CI 7·1-11·2]). The following factors were associated with non-negligible risk of cervical spine injury by CART analysis: neck pain; altered mental status (GCS score of 9-14; verbal or pain on the AVPU; or other signs of altered mental status); substantial head injury; substantial torso injury; and midline neck tenderness. The high-risk and CART-derived factors combined and applied to the validation cohort performed with 94·3% (95% CI 90·7-97·9) sensitivity, 60·4% (59·4-61·3) specificity, and 99·9% (99·8-100·0) negative predictive value. Had the algorithm been applied to all participants to guide the use of imaging, we estimated the number of children having CT might have decreased from 3856 (17·2%) to 1549 (6·9%) of 22 430 children without increasing the number of children getting plain x-rays.
    CONCLUSIONS: Incorporated into a clinical algorithm, the cervical spine injury prediction rule showed strong potential for aiding clinicians in determining which children arriving in the emergency department after blunt trauma should undergo radiographic neck imaging for potential cervical spine injury. Implementation of the clinical algorithm could decrease use of unnecessary radiographic testing in the emergency department and eliminate high-risk radiation exposure. Future work should validate the prediction rule and care algorithm in more general settings such as community emergency departments.
    BACKGROUND: The Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institute of Child Health and Human Development and the Health Resources and Services Administration of the US Department of Health and Human Services in the Maternal and Child Health Bureau under the Emergency Medical Services for Children programme.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:建立并验证急性进入ICU的恶性血液病患者1年死亡率的预测模型。
    方法:回顾性队列研究。
    方法:2002年至2015年间,荷兰有五所大学医院。
    方法:共1097例恶性血液病患者急性进入ICU至少24小时。
    方法:无。
    结果:我们从22个潜在预测因子中创建了一个13变量模型。主要预测因素包括活动性疾病,年龄,以前的造血干细胞移植,机械通气,最低血小板计数,急性肾损伤,最大心率,和恶性肿瘤的类型。引导程序减少了过拟合,提高了模型的泛化性。这包括估计初始模型中的乐观情绪,并相应地缩小最终模型中的回归系数。我们使用中心内部-外部交叉验证评估了性能,并将其与急性生理学和慢性健康评估II模型进行了比较。此外,我们通过决策曲线分析评估了临床有用性.研究中观察到的1年总死亡率为62%(95%CI,59-65)。我们的13变量预测模型在跨中心的内部-外部验证中表现出可接受的校准和辨别(C统计量0.70;95%CI,0.63-0.77),优于急性生理学和慢性健康评估II模型(C统计量0.61;95%CI,0.57-0.65)。决策曲线分析表明在60-100%预测的1年死亡率的临床相关阈值概率范围内的总体净获益。
    结论:我们新开发的13变量预测模型比急性生理学和慢性健康评估II模型更准确地预测了ICU收治的恶性血液病患者的1年死亡率。该模型可能有助于就ICU护理的延续和临终考虑做出共同的决策。
    OBJECTIVE: To develop and validate a prediction model for 1-year mortality in patients with a hematologic malignancy acutely admitted to the ICU.
    METHODS: A retrospective cohort study.
    METHODS: Five university hospitals in the Netherlands between 2002 and 2015.
    METHODS: A total of 1097 consecutive patients with a hematologic malignancy were acutely admitted to the ICU for at least 24 h.
    METHODS: None.
    RESULTS: We created a 13-variable model from 22 potential predictors. Key predictors included active disease, age, previous hematopoietic stem cell transplantation, mechanical ventilation, lowest platelet count, acute kidney injury, maximum heart rate, and type of malignancy. A bootstrap procedure reduced overfitting and improved the model\'s generalizability. This involved estimating the optimism in the initial model and shrinking the regression coefficients accordingly in the final model. We assessed performance using internal-external cross-validation by center and compared it with the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II model. Additionally, we evaluated clinical usefulness through decision curve analysis. The overall 1-year mortality rate observed in the study was 62% (95% CI, 59-65). Our 13-variable prediction model demonstrated acceptable calibration and discrimination at internal-external validation across centers (C-statistic 0.70; 95% CI, 0.63-0.77), outperforming the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II model (C-statistic 0.61; 95% CI, 0.57-0.65). Decision curve analysis indicated overall net benefit within a clinically relevant threshold probability range of 60-100% predicted 1-year mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our newly developed 13-variable prediction model predicts 1-year mortality in hematologic malignancy patients admitted to the ICU more accurately than the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II model. This model may aid in shared decision-making regarding the continuation of ICU care and end-of-life considerations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:提高临床医生对经过验证的成像决策规则的依从性和提高成像适当性的策略仍不清楚。
    目的:为了评估各种实施策略的有效性,以增加临床医生使用五种经过验证的成像决策规则(OttawaAnkleRules,渥太华膝盖规则,加拿大C-脊柱规则,国家紧急X射线照相利用研究和加拿大计算机断层扫描头规则)。
    方法:系统评价。
    方法:纳入标准是实验性的,准实验研究设计,包括随机对照试验(RCT),非随机对照试验,以及在任何护理环境中实施干预措施的单臂试验(即前瞻性观察性研究)。搜索范围涵盖截至2024年3月11日的电子数据库,包括MEDLINE(通过Ovid),CINAHL(通过EBSCO),EMBASE(通过Ovid),科克伦中部,WebofScience,还有Scopus.两名审阅者使用Cochrane有效实践和护理组织(EPOC)偏倚风险工具独立评估了研究偏倚的风险。主要结果是临床医生使用决策规则。次要结果包括影像学使用(指示,非指示和总体)和规则知识。
    结果:我们纳入了22项研究(5-RCT,1个非RCT和16个单臂试验),在六个国家的紧急护理环境中进行(美国,加拿大,英国,澳大利亚,爱尔兰和法国)。一项RCT表明,提醒可能对增加临床医生使用渥太华踝关节规则有效,但也可能增加踝关节X线摄影的使用。结合多种干预策略的两个RCT在踝关节成像和头部CT使用方面显示出混合的结果。其中一项结合了有关渥太华踝关节规则的教育会议和材料,减少了ED医师的踝关节损伤成像,而另一个,通过类似的努力,加上临床实践指南和加拿大CT头部规则的提醒,增加头部损伤的CT成像。为了知识,一项RCT提示,分发指南的短期影响有限,但提高了临床医生对渥太华踝关节规则的长期认识.
    结论:弹出式提醒等干预措施,教育会议,海报可以提高对渥太华脚踝规则的遵守,渥太华膝盖规则,和加拿大CT负责人规则。提醒可能会减少膝盖和脚踝受伤的非指示成像。证据质量的不确定性表明,需要进行良好的RCT来确定实施策略的有效性。
    BACKGROUND: Strategies to enhance clinicians\' adherence to validated imaging decision rules and increase the appropriateness of imaging remain unclear.
    OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the effectiveness of various implementation strategies for increasing clinicians\' use of five validated imaging decision rules (Ottawa Ankle Rules, Ottawa Knee Rule, Canadian C-Spine Rule, National Emergency X-Radiography Utilization Study and Canadian Computed Tomography Head Rule).
    METHODS: Systematic review.
    METHODS: The inclusion criteria were experimental, quasi-experimental study designs comprising randomised controlled trials (RCTs), non-randomised controlled trials, and single-arm trials (i.e. prospective observational studies) of implementation interventions in any care setting. The search encompassed electronic databases up to March 11, 2024, including MEDLINE (via Ovid), CINAHL (via EBSCO), EMBASE (via Ovid), Cochrane CENTRAL, Web of Science, and Scopus. Two reviewers assessed the risk of bias of studies independently using the Cochrane Effective Practice and Organization of Care Group (EPOC) risk of bias tool. The primary outcome was clinicians\' use of decision rules. Secondary outcomes included imaging use (indicated, non-indicated and overall) and knowledge of the rules.
    RESULTS: We included 22 studies (5-RCTs, 1-non-RCT and 16-single-arm trials), conducted in emergency care settings in six countries (USA, Canada, UK, Australia, Ireland and France). One RCT suggested that reminders may be effective at increasing clinicians\' use of Ottawa Ankle Rules but may also increase the use of ankle radiography. Two RCTs that combined multiple intervention strategies showed mixed results for ankle imaging and head CT use. One combining educational meetings and materials on Ottawa Ankle Rules reduced ankle injury imaging among ED physicians, while another, with similar efforts plus clinical practice guidelines and reminders for the Canadian CT Head Rule, increased CT imaging for head injuries. For knowledge, one RCT suggested that distributing guidelines had a limited short-term impact but improved clinicians\' long-term knowledge of the Ottawa Ankle Rules.
    CONCLUSIONS: Interventions such as pop-up reminders, educational meetings, and posters may improve adherence to the Ottawa Ankle Rules, Ottawa Knee Rule, and Canadian CT Head Rule. Reminders may reduce non-indicated imaging for knee and ankle injuries. The uncertain quality of evidence indicates the need for well-conducted RCTs to establish effectiveness of implementation strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大血管闭塞(LVO)卒中与更差的功能结果和更高的死亡率相关。在本系统综述和荟萃分析中,我们评估了辛辛那提院前卒中量表(CPSS)检测LVO的诊断率.
    我们在包括Medline在内的在线数据库中进行了广泛的系统搜索,Embase,WebofScience,还有Scopus,直到7月31日,2023年。我们还在谷歌和谷歌学者上进行了手动搜索,在检索所有评估CPSS在疑似卒中患者中检测LVO的诊断准确性的研究时,使用引文追踪作为系统搜索的补充.
    本荟萃分析包括14项研究。CPSS显示在≥1的临界点的敏感性为97%(95%CI:87%-99%)和特异性为17%(95%CI:4%-54%)。检测LVO的最佳阈值为≥2,灵敏度为82%(95%CI:74%-88%),特异性为62%(95%CI:48%-74%)。在≥3的最高截止点,CPSS的最低灵敏度为60%(95%CI:51%-69%),最高特异度为81%(95%CI:71%-88%)。敏感性分析显示,无论研究人群如何,结果都是稳健的,纳入出血性中风患者,院前或院内设置,以及LVO的定义。
    非常低的证据表明CPSS,阈值设置为≥2,是识别LVO中风和指导患者进行CSC的有用工具,无论是在院前还是在院内。
    UNASSIGNED: Large vessel occlusion (LVO) strokes are associated with worse functional outcomes and higher mortality rates. In the present systematic review and meta-analysis, we evaluated the diagnostic yield of the Cincinnati Prehospital Stroke Scale (CPSS) in detecting LVO.
    UNASSIGNED: We performed an extensive systematic search among online databases including Medline, Embase, Web of Science, and Scopus, until July 31st, 2023. We also conducted a manual search on Google and Google scholar, along with citation tracking to supplement the systematic search in retrieving all studies that evaluated the diagnostic accuracy of the CPSS in detecting LVO among patients suspected to stroke.
    UNASSIGNED: Fourteen studies were included in the present meta-analysis. CPSS showed the sensitivity of 97% (95% CI: 87%-99%) and the specificity of 17% (95% CI: 4%-54%) at the cut-off point of ≥1. The optimal threshold was determined to be ≥2, with a sensitivity of 82% (95% CI: 74%-88%) and specificity of 62% (95% CI: 48%-74%) in detecting LVO. At the highest cut-off point of ≥3, the CPSS had the lowest sensitivity of 60% (95% CI: 51%-69%) and the highest specificity of 81% (95% CI: 71%-88%). Sensitivity analyses showed the robustness of the results regardless of study population, inclusion of hemorrhagic stroke patients, pre-hospital or in-hospital settings, and the definition of LVO.
    UNASSIGNED: A very low level of evidence demonstrated that CPSS, with a threshold set at ≥2, is a useful tool for identifying LVO stroke and directing patients to CSCs, both in prehospital and in-hospital settings.
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