气候因素的影响(温度,湿度,湿度降水,和霜冻日)对人口的变化,损坏,和豹蛾的侵扰区,ZeuzerapyrinaL.,在2006-2018年期间在伊朗的四个地区进行了研究,包括萨曼,阿拉克,Najaf-abad,还有Baft.对于趋势分析,Mann-Kendall检验是对气候和害虫种群的时间序列数据进行的。根据结果,年平均值(肯德尔的统计数据,T=0.64和0.48),年最小值(T=0.60和0.42),和1月的平均值(分别为T=0.64和0.61)温度在Saman和Najaf-abad显示出增加的趋势。此外,阿拉克的年平均最低温度和1月温度(分别为T=0.41和0.45)和巴夫特的年平均最高温度(T=0.79)呈上升趋势。霜冻天数/年(肯德尔的统计数据,T=-0.63,-0.53,-0.32和-0.37)和年平均相对湿度(分别为T=-0.43,-0.63,-0.64和-0.42)在萨曼,阿拉克,木筏,和纳杰夫-巴德站。趋势分析表明,捕获的蛾的平均数量显着增加(T=0.59,0.76和0.90),受感染的树枝/树的百分比(T=0.66,0.58和0.90),Saman的活动孔/树的数量(T=0.79、0.55和0.68)和受感染区域(分别为T=0.99、0.73和0.98),阿拉克和纳杰夫-巴德站。根据逐步回归,一月份的平均气温,秋天,和冬季是增加Z.Pyrina伤害和种群的最有效变量,而相对湿度和霜冻天数对减少它起了主要作用。
The effect of climate factors (temperature, humidity, precipitation, and frost days) on the population changes, damage, and infestation area of the leopard moth, Zeuzera pyrina L., was studied during 2006-2018 in four parts of Iran including Saman, Arak, Najaf-abad, and Baft. For trend analysis, the Mann-Kendall test was run on time series data of both climate and pest population. According to the results, the annual mean (Kendall\'s statistics, T = 0.64 and 0.48), annual minimum (T = 0.60 and 0.42), and January mean (T = 0.64 and 0.61, respectively) temperatures showed increasing trends in Saman and Najaf-abad. Moreover, the annual mean minimum and January temperatures (T = 0.41 and 0.45, respectively) in Arak and the annual mean maximum temperature (T = 0.79) in Baft showed increasing trends. The number of frost days/year (Kendall\'s statistics, T = -0.63, -0.53, -0.32 and -0.37) and annual mean relative humidity (T = -0.43, -0.63, -0.64 and -0.42, respectively) showed decreasing trends in Saman, Arak, Baft, and Najaf-abad stations. Trend analysis indicated significant increases in the mean number of moths caught (T = 0.59, 0.76 and 0.90), the percentage of infested branches/tree (T = 0.66, 0.58, and 0.90), the number of active holes/tree (T = 0.79, 0.55, and 0.68) and the infested areas (T = 0.99, 0.73, and 0.98, respectively) in Saman, Arak and Najaf-abad stations. According to stepwise regression, the mean temperatures of January, autumn, and winter were the most effective variables for increasing Z. pyrina damage and population, while relative humidity and the number of frost days played the major role in reducing it.