Causality assessment

因果关系评估
  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    血管性水肿是一种非凹陷性水肿,涉及面部的皮下和粘膜下层,嘴唇,脖子,口腔,喉部,和直觉。当它涉及喉组织时,它可能会危及生命。血管紧张素转换酶抑制剂(ACE抑制剂)等药物可引发血管水肿,阿片类药物,和非甾体抗炎药(NSAIDs)。曲马多是一种阿片类镇痛药,也可能引起血管性水肿,但迄今为止,曲马多诱发血管性水肿的发生率在文献中非常罕见.据推测,曲马多可能在潜在疾病如系统性红斑狼疮(SLE)或伴随药物如NSAID的存在下引起致命的血管性水肿。我们描述了SLE患者在服用曲马多后经历了致命的血管性水肿的情况。
    Angioedema is a non-pitting edema that involves the subcutaneous and submucosal layers of the face, lips, neck, oral cavity, larynx, and gut. It may become life-threatening when it involves tissues of the larynx. Angioedema can be triggered by exposure to drugs such as angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors (ACE inhibitors), opioid drugs, and nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs). Tramadol is an opioid analgesic medication that may also induce angioedema, but the incidence of tramadol-induced angioedema is very rare in literature to date. It has been postulated that tramadol may cause fatal angioedema in the presence of underlying diseases such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) or concomitant drugs such as NSAIDs. We describe the case of a patient with SLE who experienced fatal angioedema following tramadol intake.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    毒性表皮坏死松解症(TEN)是一种严重且潜在致命的药物不良反应。该病例报告介绍了一名19岁的肺结核男性,正在接受抗结核治疗,并发展为TEN。患者有多种合并症,包括1型糖尿病和多系统萎缩。ChatGPT与常规方法一起用于评估因果关系。虽然传统的评分系统估计死亡率为58.3%(SCORTEN)和12.3%(ABCD-10),ChatGPT的得分不同。使用WHO-乌普萨拉监测中心(UMC)和Naranjo的量表进行的因果关系评估表明,利福平和异烟肼是可能的病原体。然而,ChatGPT提供了模棱两可的结果。该研究强调了AI在药物警戒中的潜力,但由于观察到的差异而强调谨慎。提倡将人工智能(AI)与临床判断协同使用,以提高药物不良反应的诊断准确性和治疗决策。该案例强调了将AI整合到药物安全系统中的重要性,同时承认其在确保最佳患者护理方面的局限性。
    Toxic epidermal necrolysis (TEN) is a severe and potentially fatal adverse drug reaction. This case report presents a 19-year-old male with pulmonary tuberculosis undergoing anti-tubercular therapy who developed TEN. The patient had multiple comorbidities including type 1 diabetes mellitus and multisystem atrophy. ChatGPT was utilized alongside conventional methods to assess causality. While conventional scoring systems estimated mortality at 58.3% (SCORTEN) and 12.3% (ABCD-10), ChatGPT yielded divergent scores. Causality assessment using WHO-Uppsala Monitoring Centre (UMC) and Naranjo\'s scale indicated rifampicin and isoniazid as probable causative agents. However, ChatGPT provided ambiguous results. The study underscores the potential of AI in pharmacovigilance but emphasizes caution due to discrepancies observed. Collaborative utilization of artificial intelligence (AI) with clinical judgment is advocated to enhance diagnostic accuracy and treatment decisions in adverse drug reactions. This case highlights the importance of integrating AI into drug safety systems while acknowledging its limitations to ensure optimal patient care.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    印度的药物警戒计划(PvPI),在它成立之后,已经可靠地获得了在群众中揭露问题的力量,医疗保健专业人员,制药行业,和医院的临床工作人员。药物不良反应是指暴露于药物后发生的非预期事件,生物制品,或医疗设备,它们可能导致发病率和死亡率。至关重要的是在上市后阶段监测药物的安全性,以发现长期和罕见的ADR,以及在临床试验中通常不包括的特殊人群和合并症患者的ADR。药物警戒的明确目标是整理和分析数据。评估ADR与药物之间的因果关系对于减少ADR的发生和降低药物相关ADR的风险是必要的。ADR可能导致发病率增加,增加住院时间,增加了治疗费用,导致患者安全受损。因果关系评估是评估特定治疗是观察到的不良事件的原因的可能性,并且建立药物与药物反应之间的因果关系对于防止进一步复发是必要的。许多可用于建立药物与不良事件之间因果关系的方法已大致分为临床判断或全球内省。算法,和概率方法。其中包括瑞典方法,世界卫生组织-乌普萨拉监测中心(世卫组织-UMC)量表,Naranjo的算法,克莱默算法,琼斯算法,Karch算法,Bégaud算法,药物不良反应咨询委员会指南,贝叶斯不良反应诊断仪,等等。尽管有各种方法可用,没有一种因果关系评估工具被普遍接受为黄金标准。Naranjo的算法和WHO-UMC量表是,然而,最常用的。同样,用于ADR的可预防性和严重程度评估,最常用的是舒莫克和桑顿秤和哈特维格和西格尔秤。因此,我们回顾了可用来评估因果关系的不同工具和方法,可预防性,和ADR的严重程度。
    The pharmacovigilance program of India (PvPI), after its inception, has been reliably acquiring force in bringing issues to light among the masses, healthcare professionals, the pharma industry, and clinical staff at hospitals. Adverse drug reactions are unintended events that occur after exposure to a drug, biological product, or medical device, and they may result in morbidity and mortality. It is critical to monitor the safety of drugs during the post-marketing phase to find long-term and rare ADRs, as well as ADRs in special populations and patients with co-morbidities that are not usually included during clinical trials. The definitive objective of pharmacovigilance is to collate data and analyze it. Assessing the causality between ADRs and drugs is necessary to decrease the occurrence of ADRs and to reduce the risk of drug-related ADRs. ADRs may lead to increased morbidity, increased hospital stays, and increased cost of treatment, resulting in compromised patient safety. Causality assessment is the evaluation of the likelihood that a particular treatment is the cause of an observed adverse event and establishing a causal association between a drug and a drug reaction is necessary to prevent further recurrences. Numerous methods available for establishing a causal association between the drug and adverse events have been broadly classified into clinical judgment or global introspection, algorithms, and probabilistic methods. These include the Swedish method, World Health Organization-Uppsala Monitoring Centre (WHO-UMC) scale, Naranjo\'s algorithm, Kramer algorithm, Jones algorithm, Karch algorithm, Bégaud algorithm, Adverse Drug Reactions Advisory Committee guidelines, Bayesian Adverse Reaction Diagnostic Instrument, and so on. Despite various methods available, none of the causality assessment tools have been universally accepted as the gold standard. Naranjo\'s algorithm and WHO-UMC scales are, however, the most commonly used. Similarly, for preventability and severity assessment of ADRs, the Schumock and Thornton scale and Hartwig and Siegel\'s scale are most commonly used. Hence, we reviewed different tools and methods available to assess the causality, preventability, and severity of ADRs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定药物不良反应(ADR)的因果关系对于管理和预防未来发生至关重要。WHO-Uppsala监测中心(UMC)系统是印度药物警戒计划下推荐的,而Naranjo的算法通常被临床医生使用,但是他们的协议仍然是调查的主题。本研究旨在比较这两个量表在ADR因果关系评估中的评估者之间的一致性。在这项横断面研究中,两组药物警戒专家共收到399份匿名个案安全报告,收集超过六个月。评估者对彼此的评估视而不见,并将WHO-UMC系统和Naranjo算法独立地应用于每个案例。然后利用科恩的卡帕评估评分者之间的协议。还对可疑的不良反应进行了综合分析,包括年龄、性别,给药途径,专长,器官系统受影响,最常见的药物类别和个别药物,ADR的结果。对399例可疑不良反应的分析显示,患者的平均年龄为36.8±18.0岁,女性更经常受到影响,最高比例的报告来自精神科住院患者,看到抗精神病药物,涉及中枢神经系统,口服给药,91%解决。关于WHO-UMC系统的因果关系评估,53.3%是“确定”,而Naranjo的算法将96.74%的ADR归类为“可能”。Cohen的kappa显示了WHO-UMC和Naranjo因果关系评估系统之间的“最小”协议(0.22)。两种常用的ADR因果关系评估系统之间缺乏共识,因此有必要对影响分歧的特定因素进行进一步调查,以提高因果关系评估的准确性。
    Determining the causality of Adverse Drug Reactions (ADRs) is essential for management and prevention of future occurrences. The WHO-Uppsala Monitoring Centre (UMC) system is recommended under the Pharmacovigilance Program of India whereas Naranjo\'s algorithm is commonly utilized by clinicians, but their agreement remains a subject of investigation. This study aims to compare the inter-rater agreement between these two scales for causality assessment of ADRs. In this cross-sectional study, two groups of pharmacovigilance experts were given a set of total 399 anonymized individual case safety reports, collected over six months. The raters were blinded to each other\'s assessments and applied the WHO-UMC system and Naranjo algorithm to each case independently. Inter-rater agreement was then evaluated utilizing Cohen\'s kappa. The suspected ADRs were also comprehensively analysed on parameters like age, sex, route of administration, speciality, organ system affected, most common drug categories and individual drugs, outcome of ADRs. Analysis of 399 suspected ADRs revealed that mean age of patients was 36.8 ± 18.0 years, females were more frequently affected, highest proportion of reports were from psychiatry inpatients, seen with antipsychotic drugs, involved the central nervous system, with oral administration, and 91% resolved. On causality assessment by the WHO-UMC system, 53.3% were \"Certain\" whereas Naranjo\'s algorithm categorized 96.74% of ADRs as \"Probable\". Cohen\'s kappa showed a \"Minimal\" agreement (0.22) between WHO-UMC and Naranjo system of causality assessment. The considerable lack of agreement between the two commonly employed systems of causality assessment of ADRs warrants further investigation into specific factors influencing the disagreement to improve the accuracy of causality assessments.
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  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    在现代实践中,病毒性腮腺炎不太可能是由于腮腺炎。病例和监测研究在腮腺炎阴性病毒性腮腺炎中发现了许多其他病毒,但是由于它们与病毒性腮腺炎的联系较弱,很难确定因果关系。此病例报告是独特的,因为一对家族性对伴随着副流感病毒感染的不同表现。这些情况允许副流感病毒与母亲的臀部的强关联被替代为副流感病毒与儿子的病毒性腮腺炎的通常弱关联。这有力地推断副流感病毒引起了患者的病毒性腮腺炎,并提供了迄今为止除腮腺炎以外的病毒引起病毒性腮腺炎的最佳证据。
    In modern practice viral parotitis is unlikely to be due to mumps. Case and surveillance studies have detected a host of other viruses in mumps-negative viral parotitis, but because of their weak association with viral parotitis, it has been difficult to establish causality. This case report is unique because a familial pair presented in tandem with different manifestations of an infection with the parainfluenza virus. These circumstances allowed the strong association of the parainfluenza virus with the mother\'s croup to be substituted for the normally weak association of the parainfluenza virus with the son\'s viral parotitis. This strongly inferred that the parainfluenza virus caused the patient\'s viral parotitis and provides the best evidence to date of a virus other than mumps causing viral parotitis.
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  • 文章类型: Observational Study
    背景:2021年,美国疾病控制和预防中心报告了在美国使用mRNACOVID-19疫苗后,心肌炎和心包炎的病例增加。我们的研究旨在评估阿普里亚(意大利南部)心肌炎的发病率以及COVID-19mRNA疫苗与心肌炎风险之间的因果关系。
    方法:使用Apulian地区出院表格档案来定义Apulia的心肌炎病例,考虑2017年至2022年的数据。通过从区域免疫数据库收集的数据评估患者的总体疫苗接种状态。SARS-CoV-2感染的病史是从意大利卫生研究所平台提取的。
    结果:自2017年以来,Apulian受试者中记录了5,687例心肌炎;总体发病率呈下降趋势,在0-40岁的受试者中略有增加。从2021年到2022年,施用了2,930,276剂COVID-19mRNA疫苗;据报道,894名(0.03%)的普利亚居民在第二剂mRNA疫苗后诊断为心肌炎,发病率为17.9×1,000,000人-月。多变量分析,根据年龄调整,性别,潜在的医疗状况,和COVID-19的诊断表明,即使在年轻受试者中,mRNA疫苗也是心肌炎的保护因素(aOR=0.4;95CI=0.3-0.5)。
    结论:暴露与结果之间的时间关联并不等同于因果关系。我们的研究强调了如何在该主题的研究中优先考虑考虑心肌炎(主要是COVID-19)的其他潜在原因和因果关系评估的方法。
    OBJECTIVE: In 2021, the US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention reported increased cases of myocarditis and pericarditis in the United States after mRNA COVID-19 vaccines. Our study aims to estimate the incidence of myocarditis in Apulia (Southern Italy) and the cause-effect relationship between COVID-19 mRNA vaccines and the risk of myocarditis.
    METHODS: The Apulian regional archive of hospital discharge forms was used to define the cases of myocarditis in Apulia, considering data from 2017 to 2022. The overall vaccination status of patients was assessed via data collected from the Regional Immunization Database. The history of SARS-CoV-2 infection was extracted from the Italian Institute of Health platform.
    RESULTS: Since 2017, 5687 cases of myocarditis have been recorded in Apulian subjects; the overall incidence described a decreasing trend, with a slight increase in 0-40 years-old subjects. From 2021 to 2022, 2,930,276 doses of COVID-19 mRNA vaccines were administered; a diagnosis of myocarditis after the second dose of the mRNA vaccine was reported for 894 (0.03%) of Apulian inhabitants, with an incidence rate of 17.9 × 1,000,000 persons-month. The multivariate analysis, adjusted for age, sex, underlying medical conditions, and diagnosis of COVID-19, showed that mRNA vaccination is a protective factor for myocarditis even in younger subjects (aOR = 0.4; 95% CI = 0.3-0.5).
    CONCLUSIONS: A temporal association between an exposure and an outcome is not equivalent to a causal association. Our study underlines how an approach that considers the other potential causes of myocarditis (primarily COVID-19) and a causality assessment must be prioritized in the study of the topic.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目标:2019年,国际工作组(IWG)专注于药物警戒的新发展,已建立。该小组由英国的药物安全研究小组协调,IWG的使命是推进药物警戒方法,促进药物和疫苗的安全有效使用,从而进一步保护患者。不断开发新的疗法来缓解医疗状况,但是随着技术的进步,需要开发创新的药物警戒方法,以有效监测这些产品的使用和安全性。随着上市前临床试验的时间表缩短,支持监管批准的现实世界证据的应用增加,产品可以在比以前更短的时间内用于现实世界的临床实践。因此,需要有效的方法来监测药物和实时收集安全数据,这对公共卫生至关重要。
    方法:IWG旨在推进检测中使用的现有方法,监测,和分析药物警戒中的安全性数据,并传达最佳实践建议,以支持医疗保健决策。IWG将确定需要审查当前流程或方法学研究的领域,并将通过同行评审的出版物传达IWG的产出,reports,并在相关会议和科学会议上介绍研究结果。
    结果:IWG目前正在审查药物警戒的两个领域:病例级因果关系评估以及数据源的优势和局限性。IWG通过制作两个范围审查来推进这些领域,这些审查将很容易被监管机构访问,工业,学术界,和感兴趣的人或组织。
    结论:范围审查符合IWG的使命,即推进药物警戒方法学,促进药物和疫苗的安全有效使用。本文详细介绍了IWG的目标,并概述了IWG活动的状况。
    OBJECTIVE: In 2019, the International Working Group (IWG), focusing on New Developments in Pharmacovigilance, was established. This group is coordinated by the Drug Safety Research Unit in the United Kingdom, and the mission of the IWG is to progress pharmacovigilance methodologies and promote the safe and effective use of medicines and vaccines, thereby further protecting patients. Novel therapeutics are continuously being developed to alleviate medical conditions, but with advancing technologies, innovative pharmacovigilance methodologies need to be developed to effectively monitor the use and safety of these products. With reduced timelines proposed for premarketing clinical trials and increased application of real-world evidence supporting regulatory approvals, products may be used in real-world clinical practice in shorter timeframes than before. Therefore, the need for effective methods of monitoring medicines and collecting safety data in real-time is of paramount importance to public health.
    METHODS: The IWG aims to advance existing methodologies used in the detection, monitoring, and analysis of safety data in pharmacovigilance and to communicate best practice proposals to support decision making in health care. The IWG will identify areas requiring review of current processes or methodologic research and will communicate the output of the IWG through peer-reviewed publications, reports, and presentation of findings at relevant conferences and scientific meetings.
    RESULTS: The IWG is currently reviewing two areas in pharmacovigilance; case-level causality assessment and the strengths and limitations of data sources. The IWG is advancing these areas by producing two scoping reviews which will be easily accessible to regulatory agencies, industry, academia, and interested persons or organizations.
    CONCLUSIONS: The scoping reviews comply with the IWGs mission to progress pharmacovigilance methodologies and promote the safe and effective use of medicines and vaccines. The present article shares details of the objectives of the IWG and provides an overview on the status of IWG activities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    及时准确的药物不良反应(ADR)评估对于有效的患者管理和医疗保健服务至关重要。Naranjo算法是用于确定药物诱导给定ADR的概率的广泛认可的工具。然而,该过程可能是耗时的,并且容易受到人为错误的影响。本研究介绍了一个基于Python的控制台应用程序(Python软件基金会,威尔明顿,特拉华州,美国)旨在自动化Naranjo算法进行ADR因果关系评估。该应用程序是在Windows11系统上使用Python3.11.4开发的(微软公司,雷德蒙德,华盛顿,美国)并在记事本(微软公司)中编译,一个基本的文本编辑器,在各种设置中突出显示其可访问性和易用性。在Naranjo算法中为每个问题征求用户输入,已验证可接受的条目,随后得分。最终得分将反应归类为可疑,可能,可能,或明确的ADR,促进快速的临床决策。初步验证显示有希望的可靠性和有效性,使其成为研究和临床评估中的宝贵资产。
    The timely and accurate adverse drug reactions (ADR) assessment is vital for effective patient management and healthcare delivery. The Naranjo Algorithm is a widely recognized tool for determining the probability that a drug induces a given ADR. However, the process can be time-consuming and susceptible to human error. This study introduces a Python-based console application (Python Software Foundation, Wilmington, Delaware, United States) designed to automate the Naranjo Algorithm for ADR causality assessment. The application was developed using Python 3.11.4 on a Windows 11 system (Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, Washington, United States) and compiled in Notepad (Microsoft Corporation), a basic text editor, highlighting its accessibility and ease of use in various settings. User input is solicited for each question in the Naranjo Algorithm, validated for acceptable entries, and subsequently scored. The final score categorizes the reaction into Doubtful, Possible, Probable, or Definite ADR, facilitating rapid clinical decision-making. Preliminary validation shows promising reliability and effectiveness, making it a valuable asset in research and clinical settings for assessment.
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  • 文章类型: Editorial
    暂无摘要。
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:药物警戒的核心动机是检测和预防药物不良反应(ADR),改善药物的风险-收益平衡。然而,ADR的因果关系评估仍然是临床医生面临的主要挑战,用于评估ADR的因果关系评估工具均未被普遍接受。
    目的:提供不同因果关系评估工具的最新概述。
    方法:我们在MEDLINE进行了电子搜索,EMBASE,还有Cochrane数据库.每个工具的合格性由三个审阅者筛选。然后仔细检查每个符合条件的工具的领域(报告的特定问题集/领域,用于计算ADR的因果关系的可能性),以发现最全面的工具。最后,我们主观地评估了该工具在加拿大的易用性,印度人,匈牙利人,和巴西的临床背景。
    结果:检索了21个合格的因果关系评估工具。Naranjo的工具和DeBoer的工具是所有工具中最全面的,每个覆盖10个领域。关于临床环境中的“易用性”,我们判断,许多工具由于其复杂性和/或长度而难以在临床应用.Naranjo的工具,琼斯的工具,Danan和Benichou的工具,Hsu和Stoll的工具似乎是最容易在各种临床环境中实施的工具。
    结论:在确定的许多工具中,1981年,Naranjo的量表仍然是最全面、最易于使用的用于进行ADR因果关系评估的量表。即将进行的分析应比较每种ADR工具在临床环境中的性能。
    The core motive of pharmacovigilance is the detection and prevention of adverse drug reactions (ADRs), to improve the risk-benefit balance of the drug. However, the causality assessment of ADRs remains a major challenge among clinicians, and none of the available tools of causality assessment used for assessing ADRs have been universally accepted.
    To provide an up-to-date overview of the different causality assessment tools.
    We conducted electronic searches in MEDLINE, EMBASE, and the Cochrane database. The eligibility of each tool was screened by three reviewers. Each eligible tool was then scrutinized for its domains (the reported specific set of questions/areas used for calculating the likelihood of cause-and-effect relation of an ADR) to discover the most comprehensive tool. Finally, we subjectively assessed the tool\'s ease-of-use in a Canadian, Indian, Hungarian, and Brazilian clinical context.
    Twenty-one eligible causality assessment tools were retrieved. Naranjo\'s tool and De Boer\'s tool appeared the most comprehensive among all the tools, covering 10 domains each. Regarding \"ease-of-use\" in a clinical setting, we judged that many tools were hard to implement in a clinical context because of their complexity and/or lengthiness. Naranjo\'s tool, Jones\'s tool, Danan and Benichou\'s tool, and Hsu and Stoll\'s tool appeared to be the easiest to implement into various clinical contexts.
    Among the many tools identified, 1981 Naranjo\'s scale remains the most comprehensive and easy to use for performing causality assessment of ADRs. Upcoming analysis should compare the performance of each ADR tool in clinical settings.
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