CTP, Child–Turcotte–Pugh score

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经证实:在一项近期具有里程碑意义的研究中,氨水平预测了住院情况,但未考虑门脉高压和全身炎症严重程度。我们调查了(i)静脉氨水平(结果队列)对肝脏相关结果的预后价值,同时考虑了这些因素,以及(ii)其与关键疾病驱动机制(生物标志物队列)的相关性。
    UNASSIGNED:(i)结局队列包括549名临床稳定的门诊患者,有晚期慢性肝病的证据。(ii)部分重叠的生物标志物队列包括193个个体,招募自前瞻性维也纳肝硬化研究(VICIS:NCT03267615)。
    未经评估:(i)在结果队列中,氨在临床阶段以及肝静脉压力梯度和终末期肝病器官共享模型联合网络(2016年)分层增加,并且与糖尿病独立相关。氨与肝脏相关的死亡有关,即使经过多变量校正(校正后的风险比[aHR]:1.05[95%CI:1.00-1.10];p=0.044)。最近提出的截止值(≥1.4×正常上限)是肝功能失代偿的独立预测指标(aHR:2.08[95%CI:1.35-3.22];p<0.001),非选择性肝脏相关住院(aHR:1.86[95%CI:1.17-2.95];p=0.008),和-在失代偿期晚期慢性肝病患者中-慢性急性肝衰竭(aHR:1.71[95%CI:1.05-2.80];p=0.031)。(ii)除了肝静脉压力梯度,在生物标志物队列中,静脉氨与内皮功能障碍和肝纤维化/基质重塑的标志物相关.
    未经证实:静脉氨可预测肝脏失代偿,非选择性肝脏相关住院,慢性急性肝衰竭,和肝脏相关的死亡,独立于已建立的预后指标,包括C反应蛋白和肝静脉压力梯度。尽管静脉氨与几个关键的疾病驱动机制有关,其预后价值不能通过相关的肝功能障碍来解释,全身性炎症,或门脉高压的严重程度,提示直接毒性。
    UNASSIGNED:最近一项具有里程碑意义的研究将氨水平(一种简单的血液检查)与临床稳定肝硬化患者的住院/死亡联系起来。我们的研究将静脉氨的预后价值扩展到其他重要的肝脏相关并发症。尽管静脉氨与几个关键的疾病驱动机制有关,他们不能完全解释其预后价值。这支持直接氨毒性和降氨药物作为疾病改善治疗的概念。
    UNASSIGNED: Ammonia levels predicted hospitalisation in a recent landmark study not accounting for portal hypertension and systemic inflammation severity. We investigated (i) the prognostic value of venous ammonia levels (outcome cohort) for liver-related outcomes while accounting for these factors and (ii) its correlation with key disease-driving mechanisms (biomarker cohort).
    UNASSIGNED: (i) The outcome cohort included 549 clinically stable outpatients with evidence of advanced chronic liver disease. (ii) The partly overlapping biomarker cohort comprised 193 individuals, recruited from the prospective Vienna Cirrhosis Study (VICIS: NCT03267615).
    UNASSIGNED: (i) In the outcome cohort, ammonia increased across clinical stages as well as hepatic venous pressure gradient and United Network for Organ Sharing model for end-stage liver disease (2016) strata and were independently linked with diabetes. Ammonia was associated with liver-related death, even after multivariable adjustment (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]: 1.05 [95% CI: 1.00-1.10]; p = 0.044). The recently proposed cut-off (≥1.4 × upper limit of normal) was independently predictive of hepatic decompensation (aHR: 2.08 [95% CI: 1.35-3.22]; p <0.001), non-elective liver-related hospitalisation (aHR: 1.86 [95% CI: 1.17-2.95]; p = 0.008), and - in those with decompensated advanced chronic liver disease - acute-on-chronic liver failure (aHR: 1.71 [95% CI: 1.05-2.80]; p = 0.031). (ii) Besides hepatic venous pressure gradient, venous ammonia was correlated with markers of endothelial dysfunction and liver fibrogenesis/matrix remodelling in the biomarker cohort.
    UNASSIGNED: Venous ammonia predicts hepatic decompensation, non-elective liver-related hospitalisation, acute-on-chronic liver failure, and liver-related death, independently of established prognostic indicators including C-reactive protein and hepatic venous pressure gradient. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, its prognostic value is not explained by associated hepatic dysfunction, systemic inflammation, or portal hypertension severity, suggesting direct toxicity.
    UNASSIGNED: A recent landmark study linked ammonia levels (a simple blood test) with hospitalisation/death in individuals with clinically stable cirrhosis. Our study extends the prognostic value of venous ammonia to other important liver-related complications. Although venous ammonia is linked with several key disease-driving mechanisms, they do not fully explain its prognostic value. This supports the concept of direct ammonia toxicity and ammonia-lowering drugs as disease-modifying treatment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经评估:本研究计划评估肱三头肌皮褶厚度(TSFT),中臂肌围(MAMC)和生物电阻抗分析(BIA),用于使用双能X射线吸收法(DEXA)(参考)评估身体成分,并预测脂肪量(FM)和无脂肪量(FFM)肝硬化患者。
    未经评估:使用DEXA和BIA评估FM和FFM。皮肤褶皱卡尺用于测量TSFT,并计算了MAMC。Bland-Altman图用于确定一致性和线性回归分析,以获得预测FM和FFM的方程。
    未经证实:肝硬化患者(n=302,241名男性,年龄43.7±12.0岁)。Bland-Altman图显示,BIA和DEXA在估算FM和FFM方面非常吻合。大多数患者在协议范围内:FM(98%)和FFM(96.4%)。BIA与DEXA:FM(r=0.73,P≤0.001)和FFM(r=0.86,P≤0.001)呈正相关。DEXA(FM和FFM)与TSFT(r=0.69,P≤0.01)和MAMC(r=0.61,P≤0.01)呈正相关。BIA在发育集中的FM和FFM的观察值与预测值之间的平均差分别为0.01和0.05;而在验证集中,分别为-0.13和0.86。TSFT和MAMC在发育集中的观察值和预测值之间的平均差异为0.43和0.07;然而,在验证集中,分别为0.16和0.48。
    UNASSIGNED:人体测量法(TSFT和MAMC)和BIA简单易用,可替代DEXA用于肝硬化患者的常规临床设置中的FM和FFM评估。
    UNASSIGNED: This study was planned to evaluate triceps skinfold thickness (TSFT), mid-arm muscle circumference (MAMC) and bioelectrical impedance analysis (BIA) for assessing body composition using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DEXA) (reference) and to predict fat mass (FM) and fat-free mass (FFM) in patients with cirrhosis.
    UNASSIGNED: FM and FFM were assessed by using DEXA and BIA. Skin-fold calliper was used for measuring TSFT, and MAMC was calculated. Bland-Altman plot was used to determine agreement and linear regression analysis for obtaining equations to predict FM and FFM.
    UNASSIGNED: Patients with cirrhosis (n = 302, 241 male, age 43.7 ± 12.0 years) were included. Bland-Altman plot showed very good agreement between BIA and DEXA for the estimation of FM and FFM. Majority of patients were within the limit of agreement: FM (98%) and FFM (96.4%). BIA shows a positive correlation with DEXA:FM (r = 0.73, P ≤ 0.001) and FFM (r = 0.86, P ≤ 0.001). DEXA (FM and FFM) shows a positive correlation with TSFT (r = 0.69, P ≤ 0.01) and MAMC (r = 0.61, P ≤ 0.01). The mean difference between the observed and predicted value of FM and FFM by BIA in the developmental set was 0.01 and 0.05, respectively; whereas in the validation set, it was -0.13 and 0.86, respectively. The mean difference between the observed and predicted value of TSFT and MAMC in the developmental set was 0.43 and 0.07; whereas, in the validation set, it was 0.16 and 0.48, respectively.
    UNASSIGNED: Anthropometry (TSFT and MAMC) and BIA are simple and easy to use and can be a substitute of DEXA for FM and FFM assessment in routine clinical settings in patients with cirrhosis.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    射频消融(RFA)是小型无法手术的肝细胞癌(HCC)的标准治疗方法。关于RFA作为来自印度的HCC的一线治疗的中期和长期结果的研究是有限的。
    我们评估了2009年7月至2016年4月在我们研究所接受RFA作为主要治疗方式的连续HCC患者。中位随访期为26个月,范围1-84个月。我们评估了RFA后的肿瘤反应,无病生存率(DFS),总生存期(OS),和局部肿瘤进展(LTP)。还分析了预后因素。
    147名患者(男性:女性=121:26;平均年龄,59.2年),对228个病灶进行209次RFA治疗(平均大小为21.5±8.3mm,范围10-50毫米)。一次成功率为94.2%。估计1年、3年和5年的累积生存率为90.2%,63.8%,和60.2%,分别。LTP在1年、3年和5年的累积发病率为13.1%,19.7%,20.1%,分别。无LTP生存期的平均估计值为53.6个月(95%置信区间:0.49-0.58),<3cm病变为58.2个月,>3cm病变为20.4个月(P<0.01)。血管周围与非血管周围病变(P=0.71)和表面与实质病变(P=0.66)之间的LTP率没有显着差异。平均DFS为30.3个月(95%CI:25.6-35.0)。对于操作系统,年龄和Child-Turcotte-PughB级是重要因素,而对于LTP,肿瘤大小>3cm是显著的。较高的基线甲胎蛋白水平和LTP是DFS的不良预测因子。每个RFA疗程的并发症率为7/209(3.3%)。
    RFA是<3cm肝癌一线治疗的一种安全有效的治疗方法。
    UNASSIGNED: Radiofrequency ablation (RFA) is a standard treatment for small inoperable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Studies on mid- and long-term outcome of RFA as first-line therapy for HCC from India are limited.
    UNASSIGNED: We evaluated consecutive HCC patients who underwent RFA as primary treatment modality at our institute between July 2009 and April 2016. The median follow-up period was 26 months, range 1-84 months. We evaluated post-RFA tumor response, disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), and local tumor progression (LTP). Prognostic factors were also analyzed.
    UNASSIGNED: In 147 patients (male:female = 121:26; mean age, 59.2 years), 209 RFA sessions were done for 228 lesions (mean size of 21.5 ± 8.3 mm, range 10-50 mm). Primary success rate was 94.2%. The estimated cumulative proportion survival at 1, 3, and 5 years was 90.2%, 63.8%, and 60.2%, respectively. The cumulative incidence of LTP estimated at 1, 3, and 5 years was 13.1%, 19.7%, and 20.1%, respectively. The mean estimate of LTP-free survival was 53.6 months (95% confidence interval: 0.49-0.58) which is 58.2 months in <3 cm lesions and 20.4 months in >3 cm lesions (P < 0.01). There was no significant difference in LTP rates between lesions in perivascular versus nonperivascular location (P = 0.71) and surface versus parenchymal lesions (P = 0.66). The mean DFS was 30.3 months (95% CI: 25.6-35.0). For OS, age and Child-Turcotte-Pugh class B were significant factors while for LTP, tumor size >3 cm was significant. Higher baseline alpha-fetoprotein level and LTP were poor predictors for DFS. Complication rate per RFA session was 7/209 (3.3%).
    UNASSIGNED: RFA is a safe and effective curative modality for first-line treatment of HCC < 3 cm.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:研究肝或肝外损伤引起的慢性急性肝衰竭(ACLF)的预后和死亡率预测因素的差异。
    方法:前瞻性纳入肝硬化急性失代偿期患者,并从入院后随访90天。ACLF的定义基于慢性肝衰竭(CLIF)急性对慢性肝衰竭肝硬化(CANONIC研究)标准。由于急性病毒性肝炎A和E,急性恶化,乙型肝炎耀斑,酒精性肝炎,自身免疫性肝炎发作,或药物诱导的肝损伤被归类为肝ACLF和由于细菌感染,上消化道出血或手术作为肝外ACLF。同时有肝和肝外损伤的患者被纳入联合损伤组。
    结果:在179例急性代偿失调患者中,122患有ACLF(肝损伤47和肝外损伤51)。酒精(64.8%)是肝硬化最常见的病因,而感染(36%)是最常见的急性损害,其次是酒精性肝炎(24.6%)。肝外ACLF患者有既往失代偿史的比例高于肝ACLF患者(62.7%vs.27.7%,P<0.001)。在28天和90天时,肝和肝外ACLF组的死亡率没有差异(53.2%vs.56.9%,P=0.715和85%vs.74.5%,分别为P=0.193)。肝外ACLF组28天死亡率的受试者-工作曲线下面积(AUROC)为0.788、0.724、0.718、0.634和0.726,而肝ACLF组为0.786、0.625、0.802、0.761和0.648,用于慢性肝功能衰竭-序贯器官衰竭评估(CLIF-SOFA),终末期肝病模型(MELD),综合MELD评分(IMELD),急性生理和慢性健康评估评分(APACHE-II),和Child-Turcotte-Pugh得分,分别。
    结论:肝和肝外ACLF组在28和90天的死亡率没有差异。iMELD和CLIF-SOFA具有最高的AUROC来预测肝和肝外ACLF组的28天死亡率,分别。
    BACKGROUND: To study the differences in outcome and predictors of mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) precipitated by hepatic or extrahepatic insults.
    METHODS: Consecutive patients of cirrhosis with acute decompensation were prospectively included and followed up for 90 days from admission. ACLF was defined based on chronic liver failure (CLIF) acute-on-chronic liver failure in cirrhosis (CANONIC study) criteria. Acute worsening due to acute viral hepatitis A and E, hepatitis B flare, alcoholic hepatitis, autoimmune hepatitis flare, or drug-induced liver injury were categorized as hepatic ACLF and that due to bacterial infection, upper gastrointestinal bleed or surgery as extrahepatic ACLF. Patients with both hepatic and extrahepatic insults were included in combined insult group.
    RESULTS: Of 179 patients of acute decompensation, 122 had ACLF (hepatic insults 47 and extrahepatic insults 51). Alcohol (64.8%) was the most common etiology of cirrhosis while infection (36%) was the most common acute insult followed by alcoholic hepatitis (24.6%). Higher proportion of extrahepatic ACLF patients had history of prior decompensation than hepatic ACLF patients (62.7% vs. 27.7%, P < 0.001). There was no difference in mortality among hepatic and extrahepatic ACLF groups at 28 and 90 days (53.2% vs. 56.9%, P = 0.715 and 85% vs. 74.5%, P = 0.193, respectively). Area under receiver-operating curve (AUROC) for 28-day mortality in extrahepatic ACLF group was 0.788, 0.724, 0.718, 0.634, and 0.726 and in hepatic-ACLF group was 0.786, 0.625, 0.802, 0.761, and 0.648 for chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA), model for end stage liver disease (MELD), integrated MELD score (iMELD), acute physiology and chronic health evaluation score (APACHE-II), and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score scores, respectively.
    CONCLUSIONS: There is no difference in mortality among hepatic and extrahepatic ACLF groups at 28 and 90 days. iMELD and CLIF-SOFA have highest AUROC to predict 28-day mortality in hepatic and extrahepatic ACLF groups, respectively.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:传统上,Maddrey判别函数(DF)评分已用于对酒精性肝炎的预后进行分层。最近,终末期肝病模型(MELD)评分已应用于酒精性肝炎,一些研究者认为MELD评分是更好的预后指标.另一种新的预后方法,还建议使用里尔模型来准确识别处于高死亡风险的患者。因此,这项前瞻性研究的目的是比较MELD,DF,Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)评分和Lille模型用于预测印度酒精性肝炎患者的短期死亡率。
    方法:我们计算了DF,CTP,酒精性肝炎住院患者的MELD和Lille评分,并评估评分是否可预测住院死亡率。
    结果:共纳入104例患者,32例(30.7%)患者在住院期间(2-30天)死亡。入院DF评分(OR1.1,P<0.04),CTP(OR2,P<0.05)MELD评分(OR2.2,P<0.005)和第一周MELD评分(OR1.1,P<0.05)与住院死亡率独立相关。入院和第7天MELD评分的受试者工作曲线下面积(AUROC)显着高于CTP评分,并且与DF评分和Lille模型相当(AUC&95%CI:0.97[0.95-1.0],0.99[0.99-1.0],0.91[0.83-0.91]和0.92[0.86-0.98]对于入院时的MELD和第7天,入院DF和里尔模型,分别)。入院时的MELD评分>14和第7天的MELD评分>12在预测短期死亡率方面具有很高的敏感性和特异性(96%,89%和95%,分别为98%)。里尔模型的临界值为0.45,能够识别79%的观察到的死亡,而DF评分≥32的DF能够识别85%。
    结论:MELD评分,作为酒精性肝炎短期死亡率评估的预测模型优于CTP,与DF和Lille模型相当。
    BACKGROUND: Traditionally, Maddrey discriminant function (DF) score has been used for stratifying the prognosis of alcoholic hepatitis. Recently, the Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score has been applied to alcoholic hepatitis and some investigators consider MELD score as a better prognostic indicator. Another new prognostic approach, Lille model has been also suggested to accurately identify patients at high risk of death. Therefore, this prospective study was aimed to compare MELD, DF, Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores and Lille model for predicting the short-term mortality in Indian patients with alcoholic hepatitis.
    METHODS: We calculated the DF, CTP, MELD and Lille scores in patients hospitalized with alcoholic hepatitis & evaluated if the scores predicted in-hospital mortality.
    RESULTS: A total of 104 patients were enrolled and thirty-two (30.7%) patients died during the hospitalization (2-30 days). Admission DF score (OR 1.1, P < 0.04), CTP (OR 2, P < 0.05) MELD score (OR 2.2, P < 0.005) and first week MELD score (OR 1.1, P < 0.05) were independently associated with in-hospital mortality. The area under the receiver-operating curve (AUROC) for the admission and day 7 MELD score was significantly higher than CTP score and was comparable to DF score and Lille model (AUC & 95% CI: 0.97 [0.95-1.0], 0.99 [0.99-1.0], 0.91 [0.83-0.91] and 0.92 [0.86-0.98] for MELD at admission & day 7, admission DF and Lille model, respectively). The MELD score >14 at admission and >12 at day 7 had high sensitivity and specificity in predicting short-term mortality (96%, 89% and 95%, 98% respectively). The cutoff of 0.45 for the Lille model was able to identify 79% of the observed deaths, whereas DF score ≥32 for DF were able to identify 85%.
    CONCLUSIONS: MELD score, as a predictive model for assessment of short-term mortality in alcoholic hepatitis is better than CTP and comparable to DF and Lille model.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    OBJECTIVE: The role of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) among Indian patients with cirrhosis is uncertain. We studied and compared MELD with Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and creatinine-modified-CTP (CrCTP) scores for predicting 1-, 3-, and 6-months mortality.
    METHODS: One-hundred and two patients with cirrhosis were studied. The CrCTP was calculated by adding creatinine score of 0, 2 and 4 with creatinine levels of ≤1.2mg/dL, 1.3-1.8 mg/dL and ≥1.9mg/dL, respectively to CTP score. Survival curves were plotted and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves were used to compare the scores. Predictors of mortality were analyzed using Cox proportional hazards model.
    RESULTS: Scores of CTP, CrCTP, and MELD have excellent diagnostic accuracy for predicting mortality (c-statistics >0.85). The MELD was superior to CTP for predicting 3-months [c-statistic and 95% confidence interval, 0.967 (0.911-0.992) vs 0.884 (0.806-0.939)] and 6-months [0.977 (0.925-0.996) vs 0.908 (0.835-0.956)] mortality (P=0.05), while CrCTP [0.958 (0.899-0.988)] was better than CTP for predicting 3-months mortality (P=0.02). Serum creatinine (hazard ratio 4.43, P<0.0001) is a strong independent predictor of mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: The MELD accurately predicts mortality in cirrhosis and is better than CTP for predicting the short-term and intermediate-term mortality. Adding serum creatinine to CTP though significantly improves its diagnostic accuracy for short-term mortality; however, it remains lower than MELD alone.
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