由于排放增加造成的气候变化对环境和社会经济的重大影响,已成为北非国家的紧迫问题。有必要对这一主题进行广泛的研究,以提高全球对相关危险的认识。本研究调查了经济增长的动态影响,军费开支,全球化,可再生能源,制造,旅游,资本形成,以及1995年至2021年北非国家二氧化碳排放量的劳动力。ARDL模型的长期结果表明,全球化,可再生能源和资本形成对二氧化碳排放有负面影响,而经济增长,制造,和旅游业表现出积极的影响。成对格兰杰因果关系证据表明,经济增长是单向因果关系,全球化,军费开支,制造,旅游,和资本形成对二氧化碳排放的影响。这些发现为政策制定者提供了关键的见解,以形成基于证据的干预措施,以促进可再生能源投资和全球化。加强资本形成和高技能劳动力,并实施法规以减轻经济增长对环境的影响,军费开支,制造,和旅游业。该指南将有助于该地区向更环保的经济体系过渡。
Climate change resulting from increasing emissions has become a pressing concern in North African countries due to its significant environmental and socio-economic impacts. There is a need for extensive research on this topic to raise global awareness of the associated dangers. This study investigates the dynamic impact of economic growth, military expenditure, globalization, renewable energy, manufacturing, tourism, capital formation, and labor on CO2 emissions in North African countries from 1995 to 2021. The long-term results of the ARDL model reveal that globalization, renewable energy and capital formation have a negative impact on CO2 emissions, whereas economic growth, manufacturing, and tourism exhibit a positive impact. Pairwise Granger causality evidence indicates unidirectional causality from economic growth, globalization, military expenditure, manufacturing, tourism, and capital formation to CO2 emissions. These findings provide policymakers with critical insights to shape evidence-based interventions that promote renewable energy investments and globalization, enhance capital formation and high-skilled labor, and implement regulations to mitigate the environmental impacts of economic growth, military expenditure, manufacturing, and tourism. This guidance will help the region transition to a more environmentally friendly economic system.