Biopharmaceutical

生物制药
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    联邦医疗保险和医疗补助服务中心强制进行药品价格谈判的《降低通货膨胀法》条款被批评为对药品创新的威胁。本研究基于大型制药公司和小型生物技术公司对临床试验和资本可用性的不同贡献,对《降低通货膨胀法案》对药品批准的潜在影响进行了建模。
    这项研究检查了研发费用,收入,以及公共生物制药公司的新投资(出售普通股和优先股),并赞助ClinicalTrials.gov.财务数据被纳入一个模型,该模型从报告的特定阶段成本和过渡率估计每个阶段的药物数量和批准,由不同规模的公司按比例赞助试验,基于公司规模的研发支出预计减少,以及大公司可以在临床阶段之间分配研发支出减少的三种情况:(1)研发按比例减少各个阶段;(2)研发在第2-3阶段不成比例地减少;(3)研发在第1-2阶段不成比例地减少。
    对1378家上市生物制药公司(2000-2018年)的财务数据进行了检查。研究和开发费用与79家市值≥70亿美元的大公司的收入相关,收入减少10%,研究和开发费用减少8.4%。对于1299家市值<70亿美元的小公司,研究和开发与新的投资有关,但不是收入。在2013-2018年的ClinicalTrials.gov中,较小的公司赞助了第一阶段的55.2%,第二阶段的55.6%和第三阶段的49.8%。在大公司和小公司之间分配临床试验并根据研发资源确定试验数量的临床开发模式中,进入开发的400种药物获得了47.3项批准(11.83%的批准率)。收入减少10%,反映了2000-2018年观察到的变化的上限,(1)在第1-3阶段的比例减少产生了45.1批准(减少了4.61%);(2)第2-3阶段的比例减少了42.8批准(减少了9.55%);(3)第1-2阶段的比例减少了46.9批准(减少了0.95%)。
    这项工作表明,《降低通货膨胀法》的药品价格谈判条款可能对药品批准的数量几乎没有影响。虽然大型制药公司可能会减少研发支出,小公司的持续研究和开发以及大公司对研究和开发资源的战略分配可能会减轻《降低通货膨胀法》的任何负面影响。
    UNASSIGNED: Provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act mandating drug price negotiation by the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services have been criticized as a threat to pharmaceutical innovation. This study models potential impacts of the Inflation Reduction Act on drug approvals based on the differential contributions of large pharmaceutical companies and smaller biotechnology firms to clinical trials and the availability of capital.
    UNASSIGNED: This study examined research and development expense, revenue, and new investment (sale of common and preferred stock) by public biopharmaceutical companies and sponsorship of phased clinical trials in ClinicalTrials.gov. Financial data were incorporated in a model that estimates the number of drugs in each phase and approvals from reported phase-specific costs and transition rates, proportional sponsorship of trials by companies of different size, projected reductions in research and development spending based on company size, and three scenarios by which large companies may allocate reductions in research and development spending among clinical phases: (1) research and development proportionally reduced across phases; (2) research and development disproportionally reduced in phases 2-3; and (3) research and development disproportionately reduced in phases 1-2.
    UNASSIGNED: Financial data were examined for 1378 public biopharmaceutical companies (2000-2018). Research and development expense was associated with revenue for 79 large companies with market capitalization ≥$7 billion with a 10% reduction in revenue reducing research and development expense by 8.4%. For 1299 smaller companies with market capitalization <$7 billion, research and development was associated with new investment, but not revenue. Smaller companies sponsored 55.2% of phase 1, 55.6% of phase 2, and 49.8% of phase 3 trials in ClinicalTrials.gov 2013-2018. In a model of clinical development that apportions clinical trials between large and smaller companies and determines the number of trials based on research and development resources, 400 drugs entering development produced 47.3 approvals (11.83% rate). A 10% reduction in revenue, reflecting the upper boundary of observed changes 2000-2018, with (1) proportional reduction across phases 1-3 produced 45.1 approvals (4.61% reduction); (2) disproportional reduction of phases 2-3 produced 42.8 approvals (9.55% reduction); and (3) disproportional reduction of phases 1-2 produced 46.9 approvals (0.95% reduction).
    UNASSIGNED: This work suggests that the drug price negotiation provisions of the Inflation Reduction Act could have little or no impact on the number of drug approvals. While large pharmaceutical companies may reduce research and development spending, continued research and development by smaller companies and strategic allocation of research and development resources by large companies may mitigate any negative effects of the Inflation Reduction Act.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    脯氨酸向4-反式-羟脯氨酸(Hyp)的羟化是由脯氨酸-4羟化酶(P4Hs)介导的。在植物中,Hyps发生在富含羟脯氨酸的糖蛋白(HRGP)中,并且经常是O-糖基化的。虽然两种修改都很重要,例如,为了细胞壁的稳定性,它们在植物制造的药物中是不受欢迎的。prolyl-羟基化的序列基序被提出,但不包括来自苔藓的数据,比如Physcomitrella.我们通过系统发育重建鉴定了六个苔藓P4Hs。我们对来自多个质谱数据集的24种分泌蛋白中的73种Hyps的分析显示,脯氨酸接近其他脯氨酸,丙氨酸,丝氨酸,苏氨酸和缬氨酸优先羟基化。大约95%的Hyps是通过组合的既定方法可预测的。在我们的数据中,AOV是最常见的模式。443AlphaFold模型和MS数据与3000脯氨酸的组合发现Hyps主要在无序区域的蛋白质表面上。苔藓产生的人促红细胞生成素(EPO)在两个Hyps上显示出阿拉伯糖链的O-糖基化。这种修饰在p4h1敲除(KO)Physcomitrella突变体中显著减少。具有不同p4h突变体的定量蛋白质组学揭示了蛋白质数量的特定变化,和改良的脯氨酸-羟基化模式,表明PhyscomitrellaP4Hs的微分功能。定量RT-PCR揭示了单个p4hKOs对其他5个p4h基因表达的差异效应,暗示了对突变的部分补偿。PhyscomitrellaP4H1及其靶EPO肽的AlphaFold-Multimer模型与衣藻P4H1的晶体结构重叠,表明该酶的活性中心有重要的氨基酸,并揭示了P4H1与其他PhyscomitrellaP4Hs之间的差异。
    Hydroxylation of prolines to 4-trans-hydroxyproline (Hyp) is mediated by prolyl-4 hydroxylases (P4Hs). In plants, Hyps occur in Hydroxyproline-rich glycoproteins (HRGPs), and are frequently O-glycosylated. While both modifications are important, e.g. for cell wall stability, they are undesired in plant-made pharmaceuticals. Sequence motifs for prolyl-hydroxylation were proposed but did not include data from mosses, such as Physcomitrella. We identified six moss P4Hs by phylogenetic reconstruction. Our analysis of 73 Hyps in 24 secretory proteins from multiple mass spectrometry datasets revealed that prolines near other prolines, alanine, serine, threonine and valine were preferentially hydroxylated. About 95 % of Hyps were predictable with combined established methods. In our data, AOV was the most frequent pattern. A combination of 443 AlphaFold models and MS data with 3000 prolines found Hyps mainly on protein surfaces in disordered regions. Moss-produced human erythropoietin (EPO) exhibited O-glycosylation with arabinose chains on two Hyps. This modification was significantly reduced in a p4h1 knock-out (KO) Physcomitrella mutant. Quantitative proteomics with different p4h mutants revealed specific changes in protein amounts, and a modified prolyl-hydroxylation pattern, suggesting a differential function of the Physcomitrella P4Hs. Quantitative RT-PCR revealed a differential effect of single p4h KOs on the expression of the other five p4h genes, suggesting a partial compensation of the mutation. AlphaFold-Multimer models for Physcomitrella P4H1 and its target EPO peptide superposed with the crystal structure of Chlamydomonas P4H1 suggested significant amino acids in the active centre of the enzyme and revealed differences between P4H1 and the other Physcomitrella P4Hs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    天冬酰胺是一种对蛋白质生物合成和功能至关重要的非必需氨基酸,因此细胞维持和生长。此外,这种氨基酸在调节几种代谢途径中具有重要作用,例如三羧酸循环和尿素循环。与正常细胞相比,肿瘤细胞通常对天冬酰胺有更高的需求,使其成为令人信服的治疗目标。在这篇评论文章中,我们研究了天冬酰胺生物利用度的不同方面在实体器官引起的恶性肿瘤中的复杂作用。我们全面研究天冬酰胺合成酶在癌症中的表达和调节,包括对肿瘤生长和转移的影响。此外,我们探索通过L-天冬酰胺酶去除天冬酰胺作为侵袭性实体瘤的潜在治疗方法,接近酶和组合疗法的不同配方。总之,在这里,我们深入研究内源性和外源性天冬酰胺在实体癌中的可用性的研究,分析治疗意义和未来挑战。
    Asparagine is a non-essential amino acid crucial for protein biosynthesis and function, and therefore cell maintenance and growth. Furthermore, this amino acid has an important role in regulating several metabolic pathways, such as tricarboxylic acid cycle and the urea cycle. When compared to normal cells, tumor cells typically present a higher demand for asparagine, making it a compelling target for therapy. In this review article, we investigate different facets of asparagine bioavailability intricate role in malignant tumors raised from solid organs. We take a comprehensive look at asparagine synthetase expression and regulation in cancer, including the impact on tumor growth and metastasis. Moreover, we explore asparagine depletion through L-asparaginase as a potential therapeutic method for aggressive solid tumors, approaching different formulations of the enzyme and combinatory therapies. In summary, here we delve into studies about endogenous and exogenous asparagine availability in solid cancers, analyzing therapeutic implications and future challenges.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    微藻是具有成本效益的重组蛋白生产的有前途的生产平台。我们最近已经确定,红藻紫菜卟啉提供了优越的转基因表达特性,由于转化载体作为核中的多拷贝质粒的附加型维持。这里,我们已经探索了卟啉合成复杂药物蛋白的潜力。测试针对丙型肝炎病毒(HCV)的候选亚单位疫苗的表达构建体,我们表明,可溶性HCVE2糖蛋白可以在转基因藻类培养物中高水平产生。抗原通过N-糖基化进行忠实的翻译后修饰,并被构象选择性抗体识别,表明它在红藻细胞的内质网中具有适当的抗原构象。我们还报告了与卟啉中糖基化蛋白质连接的N-聚糖部分结构的实验测定。最后,我们证明了在红藻中产生的HCV抗原的免疫原性,当通过注射纯蛋白质或通过饲喂藻类生物质给药时。
    Microalgae are promising production platforms for the cost-effective production of recombinant proteins. We have recently established that the red alga Porphyridium purpureum provides superior transgene expression properties, due to the episomal maintenance of transformation vectors as multicopy plasmids in the nucleus. Here, we have explored the potential of Porphyridium to synthesize complex pharmaceutical proteins to high levels. Testing expression constructs for a candidate subunit vaccine against the hepatitis C virus (HCV), we show that the soluble HCV E2 glycoprotein can be produced in transgenic algal cultures to high levels. The antigen undergoes faithful posttranslational modification by N-glycosylation and is recognized by conformationally selective antibodies, suggesting that it adopts a proper antigenic conformation in the endoplasmic reticulum of red algal cells. We also report the experimental determination of the structure of the N-glycan moiety that is attached to glycosylated proteins in Porphyridium. Finally, we demonstrate the immunogenicity of the HCV antigen produced in red algae when administered by injection as pure protein or by feeding of algal biomass.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    减小尺寸,当其他添加剂存在时,显示出作为改善具有差溶解度的BCSII类药物的溶出度和溶解度的方法的潜力。在这次调查中,该过程涉及将萘普生与烟酰胺研磨,目的是改善溶解度和溶解速率。
    萘普生与尿素共研磨,二甲基脲,和烟酰胺使用行星式球磨机持续90分钟,维持赋形剂的1:1摩尔比(筛选研究)。共同研磨的组合,萘普生在其纯研磨形式,使用X射线粉末衍射(XRPD)对物理混合物进行分析,扫描电子显微镜(SEM),和溶解度评估。选择溶解度最高的混合物(萘普生-烟酰胺)进行进一步研究,涉及在共研磨90和480分钟后测试固有溶解速率(IDR)和傅立叶变换红外光谱(FTIR)。
    共同研磨的组合,表示为S-3b,由烟酰胺与萘普生的最大比例为1:3组成,经过480分钟的研磨,显示溶解度显着增加45倍,固有溶出速率(IDR)增加9倍。共研磨样品的XRPD分析显示没有非晶化,而SEM图像描绘了萘普生与烟酰胺的聚集体。FTIR结果否定了组分之间的任何化学相互作用的存在。具有最高溶解度和IDR的共研磨样品用于制造片剂,然后对标准属性进行综合评价。结果显示改善的可压缩性和溶解性质。
    UNASSIGNED: Reducing the dimensions, when other additives are present, shows potential as a method to improve the dissolution and solubility of biopharmaceutical classification system class II drugs that have poor solubility. In this investigation, the process involved grinding naproxen with nicotinamide with the aim of improving solubility and the rate of dissolution.
    UNASSIGNED: Naproxen was subjected to co-milling with urea, dimethylurea, and nicotinamide using a planetary ball mill for a duration of 90 min, maintaining a 1:1 molar ratio for the excipients (screening studies). The co-milled combinations, naproxen in its pure milled form, and a physical mixture were subjected to analysis using X-ray powder diffraction (XRPD), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), and solubility assessment. The mixture displaying the highest solubility (naproxen-nicotinamide) was chosen for further investigation, involving testing for intrinsic dissolution rate (IDR) and Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR) after co-milling for both 90 and 480 min.
    UNASSIGNED: The co-milled combination, denoted as S-3b and consisting of the most substantial ratio of nicotinamide to naproxen at 1:3, subjected to 480 min of milling, exhibited a remarkable 45-fold increase in solubility and a 9-fold increase in IDR. XRPD analysis of the co-milled samples demonstrated no amorphization, while SEM images portrayed the aggregates of naproxen with nicotinamide. FTIR outcomes negate the presence of any chemical interactions between the components. The co-milled sample exhibiting the highest solubility and IDR was used to create a tablet, which was then subjected to comprehensive evaluation for standard attributes. The results revealed improved compressibility and dissolution properties.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在开发含有胸腺醌(TQM)的自胶束固体分散体(SMSD),从Nigellasativa种子中获得的植物营养素,旨在提高其生物制药和肾保护功能。TQM在聚合物溶液中的表观溶解度用于选择可用于制备SMSD系统的合适的两亲聚合物。根据表观溶解度,选择Soluplus®作为合适的载体,并与TQM混合,通过溶剂蒸发和冷冻干燥技术制备了具有不同TQM负载量(5-15%)的SMSD-TQM,分别,并对配方进行了优化。优化的SMSD-TQM在粒度分布方面进行了评估,形态学,释放特性,药代动力学行为,急性肾损伤大鼠模型的肾保护作用。SMSD-TQM在60分钟内显着改善了TQM在水中的溶解特性(97.8%)。大鼠口服SMSD-TQM表现出比结晶TQM高4.9倍的全身暴露。在顺铂诱导的(6mg/kg,i.p.)急性肾损伤大鼠模型,根据肾脏生物标志物和组织学异常的结果,口服SMSD-TQM(10mg/kg)改善了TQM的肾保护作用。这些发现表明SMSD-TQM可能通过克服生物制药限制而有效地增强TQM的肾保护作用。
    The present study was designed to develop a self-micellizing solid dispersion (SMSD) containing Thymoquinone (TQM), a phytonutrient obtained from Nigella sativa seeds, aiming to improve its biopharmaceutical and nephroprotective functions. The apparent solubility of TQM in polymer solutions was used to choose an appropriate amphiphilic polymer that could be used to make an SMSD system. Based on the apparent solubility, Soluplus® was selected as an appropriate carrier, and mixing with TQM, SMSD-TQM with different loadings of TQM (5-15%) was made by solvent evaporation and freeze-drying techniques, respectively, and the formulations were optimized. The optimized SMSD-TQM was evaluated in terms of particle size distribution, morphology, release characteristics, pharmacokinetic behavior, and nephroprotective effects in a rat model of acute kidney injury. SMSD-TQM significantly improved the dissolution characteristics (97.8%) of TQM in water within 60 min. Oral administration of SMSD-TQM in rats exhibited a 4.9-fold higher systemic exposure than crystalline TQM. In a cisplatin-induced (6 mg/kg, i.p.) acute kidney-damaged rat model, oral SMSD-TQM (10 mg/kg) improved the nephroprotective effects of TQM based on the results of kidney biomarkers and histological abnormalities. These findings suggest that SMSD-TQM might be efficacious in enhancing the nephroprotective effect of TQM by overcoming biopharmaceutical limitations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    乳酸脱氢酶(LDH)和β-半乳糖苷酶(β-gal)的稳定性,通过冻干以各种重量比掺入精氨酸/普鲁兰(A/P)混合物中,已确定。评估了各种A/P混合物的物理化学特性。随着A/P比率的降低,干燥制剂的玻璃化转变温度增加。此外,在A/P重量比为4/6或更低的情况下,防止了在高相对湿度(RH)暴露下的精氨酸结晶。当在0%RH/60°C下储存4周时,精氨酸作为稳定剂优于普鲁兰。在43%RH/30℃下储存4周,LDH的酶活性在A/P重量比为2/8时最佳保留,而β-gal活性在A/P重量比为8/2和2/8时相对较好地保留。LDH似乎在橡胶态更容易降解。在玻璃状态下,β-gal比LDH降解更快。固态核磁共振波谱显示(标记)精氨酸在两种蛋白质样品中经历了不同的相互作用,反映了精氨酸侧链氮原子的长程相关性的调制(Nε,Nη)。总之,在A/P基质中的LDH稳定需要玻璃化。LDH和β-gal之间的进一步稳定差异可能取决于与精氨酸的相互作用。
    The stability of lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) and β-galactosidase (β-gal), incorporated in arginine/pullulan (A/P) mixtures at various weight ratios by lyophilization, was determined. The physicochemical characteristics of various A/P mixtures were assessed. With decreasing A/P ratios, the glass transition temperature of the formulations increased. Furthermore, arginine crystallization due to high relative humidity (RH) exposure was prevented at an A/P weight ratio of 4/6 or less. When stored at 0 % RH / 60 °C for 4 weeks, arginine was superior to pullulan as stabilizer. During storage at 43 % RH / 30 ℃ for 4 weeks, the enzymatic activity of LDH was best retained at an A/P weight ratio of 2/8, while β-gal activity was relatively well-retained at A/P weight ratios of both 8/2 and 2/8. LDH seemed to be more prone to degradation in the rubbery state. In the glassy state, β-gal degraded faster than LDH. Solid-state nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy showed that (labeled) arginine experienced a different interaction in the two protein samples, reflecting a modulation of long-range correlations of the arginine side chain nitrogen atoms (Nε, Nη). In summary, LDH stabilization in the A/P matrix requires vitrification. Further stabilization difference between LDH and β-gal may be dependent on the interaction with arginine.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    有吸引力的自我相互作用和可逆的自我缔合涉及治疗性蛋白质的许多有问题的解决方案行为,例如不可逆聚集,粘度升高,相分离,和乳光。用静态和动态光散射作为pH(5和6.5)和离子强度(10mM至至少300mM)的函数,通过实验表征两种Fc融合蛋白(单价和二价)和相应的融合配偶体蛋白的蛋白质自身相互作用和可逆寡聚化。融合配偶体蛋白和单价Fc融合蛋白各自在pH6.5下显示净吸引静电自相互作用和在pH5下显示净排斥静电自相互作用。二价Fc融合体的溶液含有较高分子量的物质,其阻止了典型相互作用参数(B22和kD)的定量。所有三种蛋白质在pH6.5下都显示出可逆的自缔合,其中寡聚体随着离子强度的增加而解离。粗颗粒分子模拟用于模拟实验测量的自相互作用,评估二价Fc融合的净自身相互作用,并探测参与有吸引力的静电自相互作用的带电氨基酸之间的特定静电相互作用。来自模拟的Mayer加权成对静电能量表明,两种Fc融合蛋白在pH6.5下的有吸引力的静电自相互作用是由于融合配偶体结构域和Fc结构域之间的交叉结构域相互作用。
    Attractive self-interactions and reversible self-association are implicated in many problematic solution behaviors for therapeutic proteins, such as irreversible aggregation, elevated viscosity, phase separation, and opalescence. Protein self-interactions and reversible oligomerization of two Fc-fusion proteins (monovalent and bivalent) and the corresponding fusion partner protein were characterized experimentally with static and dynamic light scattering as a function of pH (5 and 6.5) and ionic strength (10 mM to at least 300 mM). The fusion partner protein and monovalent Fc-fusion each displayed net attractive electrostatic self-interactions at pH 6.5 and net repulsive electrostatic self-interactions at pH 5. Solutions of the bivalent Fc-fusion contained higher molecular weight species that prevented quantification of typical interaction parameters (B22 and kD). All three of the proteins displayed reversible self-association at pH 6.5, where oligomers dissociated with increased ionic strength. Coarse-grained molecular simulations were used to model the self-interactions measured experimentally, assess net self-interactions for the bivalent Fc-fusion, and probe the specific electrostatic interactions between charged amino acids that were involved in attractive electrostatic self-interactions. Mayer-weighted pairwise electrostatic energies from the simulations suggested that attractive electrostatic self-interactions at pH 6.5 for the two Fc-fusion proteins were due to cross-domain interactions between the fusion partner domain(s) and the Fc domain.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    被迫退化,也称为压力测试,在整个药物开发中用于许多目的,包括根据ICH指南Q5E评估生物制药产品的可比性。这些正式的可比性研究,其结果提交给卫生当局,调查制造工艺变化对质量的潜在影响,安全,和药物的功效。尽管在可比性评估中广泛使用了强制退化,关于此类研究的设计和解释的详细指导很少。BioPhorum开发集团是一个全行业联盟,能够联网和共享生物制药开发的共同实践。BioPhorum开发小组强制降解工作流最近进行了几次小组讨论和基准调查,以了解使用强制降解研究评估基于蛋白质的生物制药的可比性的当前行业方法。结果提供了对强制降解研究设计的见解,分析表征和测试策略,数据评估标准,以及非平台模式的一些考虑和差异(例如,非传统单克隆抗体)。本文介绍了几家不同规模的全球公司的调查答复,并提供了有关使用强制退化来评估可比性的实用性的行业观点和经验。
    Forced degradation, also known as stress testing, is used throughout pharmaceutical development for many purposes including assessing the comparability of biopharmaceutical products according to ICH Guideline Q5E. These formal comparability studies, the results of which are submitted to health authorities, investigate potential impacts of manufacturing process changes on the quality, safety, and efficacy of the drug. Despite the wide use of forced degradation in comparability assessments, detailed guidance on the design and interpretation of such studies is scarce. The BioPhorum Development Group is an industry-wide consortium enabling networking and sharing of common practices for the development of biopharmaceuticals. The BioPhorum Development Group Forced Degradation Workstream recently conducted several group discussions and a benchmarking survey to understand current industry approaches for the use of forced degradation studies to assess comparability of protein-based biopharmaceuticals. The results provide insight into the design of forced degradation studies, analytical characterization and testing strategies, data evaluation criteria, as well as some considerations and differences for non-platform modalities (e.g., non-traditional mAbs). This article presents survey responses from several global companies of various sizes and provides an industry perspective and experience regarding the practicalities of using forced degradation to assess comparability.
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  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    药物再利用是指发现现有药物的新治疗用途的过程。与传统的药物发现相比,药物再利用的速度很有吸引力,成本,减少失败的风险。然而,现有的药物再利用方法涉及复杂的,计算密集型分析方法,在实践中没有广泛使用。相反,重新利用决策通常是基于有限的经验证据的主观判断。在这篇文章中,我们开发了一种新的贝叶斯网络荟萃分析(NMA)框架,该框架可以预测已批准的治疗在新适应症中的疗效,从而确定用于再利用的候选治疗方法.我们使用两个主要步骤获得预测:首先,我们使用标准NMA模型来估计网络的平均相对效应,该网络包括在两种适应症中研究的治疗,以及仅在一种适应症中研究的一种治疗.然后,我们使用不同策略对相对效应之间的相关性进行建模,这些策略在不同适应症和同一药物类别内的治疗模型方面存在差异.我们使用模拟研究评估每个模型的预测性能,发现最小化候选治疗的后中值均方根误差的模型取决于可用数据的数量,适应症之间的相关性水平,以及治疗效果是否不同,平均而言,按药物类别。我们通过讨论银屑病和银屑病关节炎中的一个说明性例子来得出结论,并发现候选治疗在未来的试验中具有很高的成功概率。
    Drug repurposing refers to the process of discovering new therapeutic uses for existing medicines. Compared to traditional drug discovery, drug repurposing is attractive for its speed, cost, and reduced risk of failure. However, existing approaches for drug repurposing involve complex, computationally-intensive analytical methods that are not widely used in practice. Instead, repurposing decisions are often based on subjective judgments from limited empirical evidence. In this article, we develop a novel Bayesian network meta-analysis (NMA) framework that can predict the efficacy of an approved treatment in a new indication and thereby identify candidate treatments for repurposing. We obtain predictions using two main steps: first, we use standard NMA modeling to estimate average relative effects from a network comprised of treatments studied in both indications in addition to one treatment studied in only one indication. Then, we model the correlation between relative effects using various strategies that differ in how they model treatments across indications and within the same drug class. We evaluate the predictive performance of each model using a simulation study and find that the model minimizing root mean squared error of the posterior median for the candidate treatment depends on the amount of available data, the level of correlation between indications, and whether treatment effects differ, on average, by drug class. We conclude by discussing an illustrative example in psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis and find that the candidate treatment has a high probability of success in a future trial.
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