Bayesian optimization

贝叶斯优化
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    集中式太阳能(CSP)是为数不多的可持续能源技术之一,可提供昼夜能量存储。超临界二氧化碳(sCO2)布雷顿循环的最新发展使CSP成为具有潜在成本竞争力的能源。然而,由于CSP工厂在沙漠地区效率最高,那里有高的太阳辐照度和低的土地成本,精心设计的干式冷却系统对于使CSP实用至关重要。在这项工作中,我们提出了一个机器学习系统,以优化sCO2Brayton循环CSP工厂的干式冷却系统的工厂设计和配置。为此,我们开发了基于物理的空气冷却换热器的冷却性能模拟。模拟器能够构建满足各种功率循环要求的干式冷却系统(例如,10-100MW)适用于任何地面空气温度。使用这个模拟器,我们利用高维贝叶斯优化的最新结果来优化干式冷却器设计,以最大程度地减少给定位置的寿命成本,与最近提出的设计相比,这一成本降低了67%。我们的模拟和优化框架可以提高经济上可行的可持续能源发电系统的开发速度。
    Concentrated solar power (CSP) is one of the few sustainable energy technologies that offers day-to-night energy storage. Recent development of the supercritical carbon dioxide (sCO2) Brayton cycle has made CSP a potentially cost-competitive energy source. However, as CSP plants are most efficient in desert regions, where there is high solar irradiance and low land cost, careful design of a dry cooling system is crucial to make CSP practical. In this work, we present a machine learning system to optimize the factory design and configuration of a dry cooling system for an sCO2 Brayton cycle CSP plant. For this, we develop a physics-based simulation of the cooling properties of an air-cooled heat exchanger. The simulator is able to construct a dry cooling system satisfying a wide variety of power cycle requirements (e.g., 10-100 MW) for any surface air temperature. Using this simulator, we leverage recent results in high-dimensional Bayesian optimization to optimize dry cooler designs that minimize lifetime cost for a given location, reducing this cost by 67% compared to recently proposed designs. Our simulation and optimization framework can increase the development pace of economically-viable sustainable energy generation systems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本文提出了一种基于模型的优化方法,用于挤压过程中汽车密封件的生产。高产量,再加上质量约束和过程固有的不确定性,鼓励搜索最小化不合格的操作条件。主要的不确定性来自工艺的可变性和原材料本身。所提出的方法,基于贝叶斯优化,考虑这些因素,并获得一组强大的过程参数。由于执行详细模拟的高计算成本和复杂性,使用降阶模型来解决优化问题。该提案已在虚拟环境中进行了评估,其中已被证实能够最小化过程不确定性的影响。特别是,它将显著提高产品的质量,而不会产生额外的成本,与通过确定性优化算法获得的解决方案相比,实现了50%的尺寸公差。
    This paper proposes a model-based optimization method for the production of automotive seals in an extrusion process. The high production throughput, coupled with quality constraints and the inherent uncertainty of the process, encourages the search for operating conditions that minimize nonconformities. The main uncertainties arise from the process variability and from the raw material itself. The proposed method, which is based on Bayesian optimization, takes these factors into account and obtains a robust set of process parameters. Due to the high computational cost and complexity of performing detailed simulations, a reduced order model is used to address the optimization. The proposal has been evaluated in a virtual environment, where it has been verified that it is able to minimize the impact of process uncertainties. In particular, it would significantly improve the quality of the product without incurring additional costs, achieving a 50% tighter dimensional tolerance compared to a solution obtained by a deterministic optimization algorithm.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我们提出了一种全空间逆材料设计(FSIMD)方法,该方法完全自动化了材料设计的目标物理性质,而无需提供原子组成。化学计量学,和晶体结构提前。这里,我们使用密度泛函理论参考数据来训练通用机器学习势(UPot)和迁移学习来训练通用体积模量模型(UBmod)。UPot和UBmod都能够覆盖由42个元素中的任何元素组成的材料系统。与优化算法和增强采样接口,FSIMD方法用于找到具有最大内聚能和最大体积模量的材料,分别。发现NaCl型ZrC是具有最大内聚能的材料。对于体积模量,钻石被认定具有最大的价值。FSIMD方法也适用于设计具有其他多目标属性的材料,其精度主要受数量限制,可靠性,以及训练数据的多样性。FSIMD方法为实际应用中具有其他功能特性的逆材料设计提供了新的途径。
    We present a full space inverse materials design (FSIMD) approach that fully automates the materials design for target physical properties without the need to provide the atomic composition, chemical stoichiometry, and crystal structure in advance. Here, we used density functional theory reference data to train a universal machine learning potential (UPot) and transfer learning to train a universal bulk modulus model (UBmod). Both UPot and UBmod were able to cover materials systems composed of any element among 42 elements. Interfaced with optimization algorithm and enhanced sampling, the FSIMD approach is applied to find the materials with the largest cohesive energy and the largest bulk modulus, respectively. NaCl-type ZrC was found to be the material with the largest cohesive energy. For bulk modulus, diamond was identified to have the largest value. The FSIMD approach is also applied to design materials with other multi-objective properties with accuracy limited principally by the amount, reliability, and diversity of the training data. The FSIMD approach provides a new way for inverse materials design with other functional properties for practical applications.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    局部共振超材料(LRM)最近出现在寻找轻质噪声和振动解决方案中。这些材料具有产生阻带的能力,这是由相同谐振器的亚波长添加到主体结构中引起的,并导致强烈的振动衰减。然而,它们的制造不可避免地引入可变性,使得所制造的系统通常显著偏离原始的设计。这会降低衰减性能,但也可能扩大衰减带。这项工作的重点是谐振器特性公差范围内的可变性对超材料梁中振动衰减的影响。经过定性的预研究,两种非侵入式不确定性传播方法被用来找到三个性能指标的上限和下限,通过评估不确定性参数定义为区间变量的确定性超材料模型。使用全局搜索方法,并将其与基于机器学习(ML)的不确定性传播方法进行比较,从而大大减少了所需的模拟数量。发现谐振器刚度和质量的变化具有最高的影响。谐振器位置的变化仅对较不深的亚波长设计具有相当的影响。在宽带优化中利用了变化的谐振器特性的展宽潜力,并评估了优化的超材料的鲁棒性。本文是“弹性和声学超材料科学的当前发展(第2部分)”主题的一部分。
    Locally resonant metamaterials (LRMs) have recently emerged in the search for lightweight noise and vibration solutions. These materials have the ability to create stop bands, which arise from the sub-wavelength addition of identical resonators to a host structure and result in strong vibration attenuation. However, their manufacturing inevitably introduces variability such that the system as-manufactured often deviates significantly from the original as-designed. This can reduce attenuation performance, but may also broaden the attenuation band. This work focuses on the impact of variability within tolerance ranges in resonator properties on the vibration attenuation in metamaterial beams. Following a qualitative pre-study, two non-intrusive uncertainty propagation approaches are applied to find the upper and lower bounds of three performance metrics, by evaluating deterministic metamaterial models with uncertain parameters defined as interval variables. A global search approach is used and compared with a machine learning (ML)-based uncertainty propagation approach which significantly reduces the required number of simulations. Variability in resonator stiffnesses and masses is found to have the highest impact. Variability in the resonator positions only has a comparable impact for less deep sub-wavelength designs. The broadening potential of varying resonator properties is exploited in broadband optimization and the robustness of the optimized metamaterial is assessed.This article is part of the theme issue \'Current developments in elastic and acoustic metamaterials science (Part 2)\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在本文中,我们提出了一种基于贝叶斯优化(BO)的策略,该策略使用高斯过程(GP)通过追踪器使用单目相机和单光束LIDAR在近距离操作中对已知但非合作的空间物体进行特征检测。具体来说,所提出的空间对象追逐者-居民评估特征跟踪(SOCRAFT)算法的目的是确定相机方向角,使得当追逐者在围绕目标的预定义轨道中移动时检测到相机范围内的最大数量的特征。对于追逐对象空间激励,奖励从具有两个分量的组合模型分配给追逐者状态:特征检测得分和正弦奖励。为了计算正弦奖励,需要估计的特征位置,由高斯过程模型预测。另一个高斯过程模型提供了奖励分布,然后由贝叶斯优化使用来确定相机方向角。在2D和3D域中进行模拟。结果表明,SOCRAFT通常可以在有限的相机范围和视场内检测到最大数量的特征。
    In this paper, we propose a Bayesian Optimization (BO)-based strategy using the Gaussian Process (GP) for feature detection of a known but non-cooperative space object by a chaser with a monocular camera and a single-beam LIDAR in a close-proximity operation. Specifically, the objective of the proposed Space Object Chaser-Resident Assessment Feature Tracking (SOCRAFT) algorithm is to determine the camera directional angles so that the maximum number of features within the camera range is detected while the chaser moves in a predefined orbit around the target. For the chaser-object spatial incentive, rewards are assigned to the chaser states from a combined model with two components: feature detection score and sinusoidal reward. To calculate the sinusoidal reward, estimated feature locations are required, which are predicted by Gaussian Process models. Another Gaussian Process model provides the reward distribution, which is then used by the Bayesian Optimization to determine the camera directional angles. Simulations are conducted in both 2D and 3D domains. The results demonstrate that SOCRAFT can generally detect the maximum number of features within the limited camera range and field of view.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    胶质母细胞瘤,成人中普遍存在的侵袭性脑肿瘤,其微观结构和血管模式表现出异质性。划分其子区域可以促进区域靶向疗法的发展。然而,由于聚类算法的波动,当前用于此任务的无监督学习技术面临可靠性方面的挑战,特别是在处理来自不同患者队列的数据时。此外,稳定的聚类结果不能保证临床意义。为了确定这些亚区域的临床相关性,我们将使用从中提取的放射学特征进行生存预测。在此之后,在结果稳定性和临床相关性之间取得平衡是一个重大挑战,超参数调整所需的大量时间进一步加剧了这种情况。在这项研究中,我们介绍了一个多目标贝叶斯优化(MOBO)框架,它利用特征增强的自动编码器(FAE)和定制的损失来评估聚类算法的可重复性及其结果的临床相关性。具体来说,我们将这些过程的全部嵌入到MOBO框架中,两者都使用不同的高斯过程(GP)进行建模。所提出的MOBO框架可以通过采用定制的稳定性和临床意义损失来自动平衡两个标准之间的权衡。我们的方法有效地优化了所有超参数,包括FAE架构和集群参数,在几步之内。这不仅加速了该过程,而且一致地产生稳健的MRI子区域描绘,并且提供具有强的统计验证的存活预测。
    Glioblastoma, an aggressive brain tumor prevalent in adults, exhibits heterogeneity in its microstructures and vascular patterns. The delineation of its subregions could facilitate the development of region-targeted therapies. However, current unsupervised learning techniques for this task face challenges in reliability due to fluctuations of clustering algorithms, particularly when processing data from diverse patient cohorts. Furthermore, stable clustering results do not guarantee clinical meaningfulness. To establish the clinical relevance of these subregions, we will perform survival predictions using radiomic features extracted from them. Following this, achieving a balance between outcome stability and clinical relevance presents a significant challenge, further exacerbated by the extensive time required for hyper-parameter tuning. In this study, we introduce a multi-objective Bayesian optimization (MOBO) framework, which leverages a Feature-enhanced Auto-Encoder (FAE) and customized losses to assess both the reproducibility of clustering algorithms and the clinical relevance of their outcomes. Specifically, we embed the entirety of these processes within the MOBO framework, modeling both using distinct Gaussian Processes (GPs). The proposed MOBO framework can automatically balance the trade-off between the two criteria by employing bespoke stability and clinical significance losses. Our approach efficiently optimizes all hyper-parameters, including the FAE architecture and clustering parameters, within a few steps. This not only accelerates the process but also consistently yields robust MRI subregion delineations and provides survival predictions with strong statistical validation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    总的来说,设计安全合理的巷道支护方案是确保矿山开采安全和效率的关键前提。然而,传统的矿巷经验支持系统在评估支护方法的合理性方面面临挑战,这可能会损害巷道的安全性和可靠性。为了解决这个问题,将安全系数纳入巷道支护研究,建立了符合安全系数的巷道支护安全评价方法。根据中国中部特定铁矿巷道的数据,采用CRITIC方法对样本数据进行预处理。更进一步,利用贝叶斯算法优化CatBoost模型的超参数,然后提出了基于BO-CatBoost模型的预测模型,用于评估平原喷射混凝土支护的巷道安全系数。此外,性能指标,例如均方根误差(RMSE),平均绝对误差(MAE),相关系数(R2),方差占(VAF),和a-20指数,确定检查每个提出的模型的预测性能。与其他型号相比,BO-CatBoost模型证明了RMSE和MAE最低的安全系数的最优预测输出项,最大的R2和VAF,和适当的a-20指标值为0.5688、0.4074、0.9553、95.25%、和0.9167在测试集中,分别。因此,BO-CatBoost模型被证明是最合适的机器学习方法,可以更准确地预测安全系数,这将为优化巷道支护设计和巷道安全评价提供一种新的方法。
    In general, the design of a safe and rational laneway support scheme signifies a crucial prerequisite for ensuring the security and efficiency of mining exploitation in mines. Nevertheless, the conventional empirical support system for mining laneways faces challenges in assessing the rationality of support methods, which can compromise the safety and reliability of the laneways. To address this issue, the safety factor was incorporated into research on laneway support, and a safety evaluation method for laneway support in line with the safety factor was established. In light of the data from a specific iron mine laneway in central China, the CRITIC method was employed to preprocess the sample data. Going one step further, a Bayesian algorithm was utilized to optimize the hyperparameters of the CatBoost model, followed by proposing a prediction model based on the BO-CatBoost model for evaluating laneway safety factors of plain shotcrete support. Furthermore, the performance indexes, such as the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), the correlation coefficient (R2), the variance accounts for (VAF), and the a-20 index, were determined to examine the predictive performance of each proposed model. In contrast to the other models, the BO-CatBoost model demonstrated the optimal predictive output item for safety factors with the lowest RMSE and MAE, the largest R2 and VAF, and an appropriate a-20 index value of 0.5688, 0.4074, 0.9553, 95.25%, and 0.9167 in the test set, respectively. Therefore, the BO-CatBoost model was proven to be the most appropriate machine learning method that can more accurately predict the safety factor, which will provide a novel approach for optimizing laneway support design and laneway safety evaluation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    心肌梗塞(MI)是指由于冠状动脉突然阻塞而导致心肌供血不足而对心脏组织造成的损害。这种阻塞通常是脂肪(胆固醇)在动脉中形成斑块(动脉粥样硬化)的积累的结果。随着时间的推移,这些斑块会破裂,导致凝块(血栓)的形成,会阻塞动脉导致心脏病发作.心脏病发作的危险因素包括吸烟,高血压,糖尿病,高胆固醇,代谢综合征,和遗传倾向。MI的早期诊断至关重要。因此,检测和分类MI是必不可少的。本文介绍了一种使用频谱图和贝叶斯优化(MI-CSBO)进行心电图(ECG)的MI分类的新混合方法。首先,使用频谱图方法将来自PTB数据库(PTBDB)的ECG信号从时域转换到频域。然后,将深度残差CNN应用于ECG成像数据的测试和训练数据集。然后获取使用深度残差模型训练的ECG数据集。最后,贝叶斯方法,NCA功能选择,和各种机器学习算法(k-NN,SVM,树,袋装,朴素贝叶斯,合奏)用于得出绩效指标。MI-CSBO方法实现了100%的正确诊断率,如实验结果部分所述。
    Myocardial Infarction (MI) refers to damage to the heart tissue caused by an inadequate blood supply to the heart muscle due to a sudden blockage in the coronary arteries. This blockage is often a result of the accumulation of fat (cholesterol) forming plaques (atherosclerosis) in the arteries. Over time, these plaques can crack, leading to the formation of a clot (thrombus), which can block the artery and cause a heart attack. Risk factors for a heart attack include smoking, hypertension, diabetes, high cholesterol, metabolic syndrome, and genetic predisposition. Early diagnosis of MI is crucial. Thus, detecting and classifying MI is essential. This paper introduces a new hybrid approach for MI Classification using Spectrogram and Bayesian Optimization (MI-CSBO) for Electrocardiogram (ECG). First, ECG signals from the PTB Database (PTBDB) were converted from the time domain to the frequency domain using the spectrogram method. Then, a deep residual CNN was applied to the test and train datasets of ECG imaging data. The ECG dataset trained using the Deep Residual model was then acquired. Finally, the Bayesian approach, NCA feature selection, and various machine learning algorithms (k-NN, SVM, Tree, Bagged, Naïve Bayes, Ensemble) were used to derive performance measures. The MI-CSBO method achieved a 100% correct diagnosis rate, as detailed in the Experimental Results section.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项工作通过利用sigma轮廓建立了数字分子空间及其有效导航的不同范例。要做到这一点,高斯过程(GP)的卓越能力,一种随机机器学习模型,证明了从西格玛谱中关联和预测物理化学性质,优于以前发布的最先进的神经网络。sigma配置文件中编码的化学信息量减轻了机器学习模型的学习负担,允许在小数据集上训练GP,由于其可忽略的计算成本和易于实现,是与梯度搜索或贝叶斯优化(BO)等优化工具相结合的理想模型。梯度搜索用于有效地导航sigma轮廓数字空间,快速收敛到目标理化性质的局部极值。虽然这需要在现有数据集上提供预训练的GP模型,BO的实施消除了这些限制,它可以用有限的迭代次数找到全局极值。这方面的一个显著的例子是BO朝向沸腾温度优化。除了一氧化碳的sigma曲线和沸腾温度(最糟糕的初始猜测)外,不具备化学知识,BO在短短15次迭代中找到可用沸腾温度数据集的全局最大值(超过1,000个分子,包含40多个有机和无机化合物家族)(即,15个属性测量),固井sigma剖面作为分子优化和发现的强大数字化学空间,特别是当最初几乎没有实验数据时。
    This work establishes a different paradigm on digital molecular spaces and their efficient navigation by exploiting sigma profiles. To do so, the remarkable capability of Gaussian processes (GPs), a type of stochastic machine learning model, to correlate and predict physicochemical properties from sigma profiles is demonstrated, outperforming state-of-the-art neural networks previously published. The amount of chemical information encoded in sigma profiles eases the learning burden of machine learning models, permitting the training of GPs on small datasets which, due to their negligible computational cost and ease of implementation, are ideal models to be combined with optimization tools such as gradient search or Bayesian optimization (BO). Gradient search is used to efficiently navigate the sigma profile digital space, quickly converging to local extrema of target physicochemical properties. While this requires the availability of pretrained GP models on existing datasets, such limitations are eliminated with the implementation of BO, which can find global extrema with a limited number of iterations. A remarkable example of this is that of BO toward boiling temperature optimization. Holding no knowledge of chemistry except for the sigma profile and boiling temperature of carbon monoxide (the worst possible initial guess), BO finds the global maximum of the available boiling temperature dataset (over 1,000 molecules encompassing more than 40 families of organic and inorganic compounds) in just 15 iterations (i.e., 15 property measurements), cementing sigma profiles as a powerful digital chemical space for molecular optimization and discovery, particularly when little to no experimental data is initially available.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    城市环境,人口密度高,基础设施复杂,容易受到火灾和交通事故等一系列紧急情况的影响。因此,消防站和救护中心的最佳放置和分布对于保护生命和财产至关重要。对成都某些地区应急服务设施分布效率低下的调查表明,这些设施的不平衡分布导致在重大事件期间的响应时间欠佳。为了应对这一挑战,一种两阶段聚类方法,结合X均值和K均值算法,用于确定无人机(UAV)消防站和无人机救护中心的最佳数量和位置。随后使用Gurobi优化平台构建并求解混合整数线性规划(MILP)模型。贝叶斯优化-一种机器学习技术-被用来阐明在优化布局下这些基于无人机的应急服务站的响应速度和服务能力之间的相互作用。结果证实,MILP和机器学习的集成为解决与应急服务设施的选址和分配有关的复杂问题提供了一个强大的框架。所提出的混合算法证明了在城市环境中增强应急准备和响应的巨大潜力。
    Urban environments, characterized by high population density and intricate infrastructures, are susceptible to a range of emergencies such as fires and traffic accidents. Optimal placement and distribution of fire stations and ambulance centers are thus imperative for safeguarding both life and property. An investigation into the distribution inefficiencies of emergency service facilities in selected districts of Chengdu reveals that imbalanced distribution of these facilities results in suboptimal response times during critical incidents. To address this challenge, a two-stage clustering method, incorporating X-means and K-means algorithms, is employed to identify optimal number and locations for Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) fire stations and drone ambulance centers. A Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) model is subsequently constructed and solved using the Gurobi optimization platform. Bayesian optimization-a machine learning technique-is exploited to elucidate the interplay between response speed and service capacity of these UAV-based emergency service stations under an optimized layout. Results affirm that integration of MILP and machine learning provides a robust framework for solving complex problems related to the siting and allocation of emergency service facilities. The proposed hybrid algorithm demonstrates substantial potential for enhancing emergency preparedness and response in urban settings.
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