BRICS-plus

BRICS - Plus
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    金砖四国(巴西,俄罗斯,印度,中国,南非,和其他30个国家)是一个由35个国家组成的集团,新兴经济体占世界人口的一半以上。我们通过使用联合点回归和年龄-时期-队列模型,从1990年到2019年,探索了金砖四国可改变危险因素导致的心血管疾病(CVD)死亡率的流行病学趋势及其与经期和出生队列效应和社会人口统计学指数(SDI)的关系。在1990年至2019年期间,所有年龄段的CVD死亡人数增加了85.2%(610万至1130万)。由于饮食风险和吸烟导致的心血管疾病年龄标准化死亡率在金砖四国显著下降。除了一些例外。然而,五分之四的金砖四国观察到与高体重指数(BMI)相关的CVD死亡的显着增加趋势,特别是,年轻人(25-49岁)。早期出生队列和年龄大于50岁的个体显示出更高的CVD死亡率风险。中国-东盟自由贸易区和南方共同市场地区都以其成功的社会人口转变而脱颖而出,在研究期间,CVD死亡率显着降低。新加坡和巴西在降低心血管疾病死亡率方面取得了重大进展,其他“金砖四国”国家应效仿其做法,将公共卫生政策和举措付诸实践。
    BRICS-Plus countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and 30 other countries) is a group of 35 countries with emerging economies making up more than half of the world\'s population. We explored epidemiological trends of cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality attributable to modifiable risk factors and its association with period and birth cohort effects and sociodemographic index (SDI) across BRICS-Plus countries by using joinpoint regression and age-period-cohort modeling from 1990 to 2019. Between 1990 and 2019, the all-ages CVD deaths increased by 85.2% (6.1 million to 11.3 million) across BRICS-Plus countries. The CVD age-standardized mortality rate attributable to dietary risks and smoking significantly decreased across BRICS-Plus countries, with some exceptions. However, four-fifths of BRICS-Plus countries observed a remarkable increasing trend of high body mass-index (BMI)-related CVD deaths, in particular, among younger adults (25-49 years). Early birth cohorts and individuals aged greater than 50 years showed a higher risk of CVD mortality. Both the China-ASEAN FTA and Mercosur regions stand out for their successful sociodemographic transition, with a significant reduction in CVD mortality over the study period. Singapore and Brazil achieved great progress in CVD mortality reduction and the other BRICS-Plus countries should follow their lead in adopting public health policies and initiatives into practice.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:过去四十年的大量研究表明,乳腺癌筛查(BCS)可显著降低乳腺癌(BC)死亡率。然而,在金砖国家,BCS和BC病死率和致残率之间的关联未知.本研究探讨了不同BCS方法与年龄标准化死亡率的关系。病死率,和残疾调整寿命年(DALYs)率,以及其他生物和社会人口统计学风险变量,从国家和经济的角度来看,跨越金砖国家。
    方法:在这项生态研究中,应用混合效应多级回归模型,通过结合2019年全球疾病负担研究关于女性年龄标准化BC死亡率的数据,分析了特定国家的数据集,发病率,和DALYs比率以及有关国家/地区BCS可用性的信息(没有此类计划或仅试点计划)和BCS类型(仅自我乳房检查(SBE)和/或临床乳房检查(CBE)[SBE/CBE]与具有乳房X线摄影筛查可用性的SBE/CBE[MM和/或SBE/CBE]与具有先前数字乳房X线摄影和/超声检查的SBE/CBE/CBE
    结果:与金砖国家的自我/临床乳房检查(SBE/CBE)相比,更复杂的BCS计划可用性是死亡率降低的最显著预测因素[MM和/或SBE/CBE:-2.64,p<0.001;DMM/US和/或既往检验:-1.40,p<0.001].在金砖国家,CVD的存在,高BMI,二手烟,和积极吸烟都导致BC死亡率和DALY率增加。金砖国家的高收入和中等收入地区的年龄标准化BC死亡率显着降低,病死率,在实施全国BC筛查计划时,DALYs比率高于低收入地区。
    结论:在金砖国家,乳腺X线照相术(数字或传统)和BCS的可用性与乳腺癌负担有关,区域差异。根据先前因果研究的高质量证据,这些发现进一步支持了国家层面乳腺X线摄影筛查BCS的预防作用.干预BCS相关危险因素可进一步降低与BC相关的疾病负担。
    Numerous studies over the past four decades have revealed that breast cancer screening (BCS) significantly reduces breast cancer (BC) mortality. However, in BRICS-plus countries, the association between BCS and BC case fatality and disability are unknown. This study examines the association of different BCS approaches with age-standardized mortality, case-fatality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates, as well as with other biological and sociodemographic risk variables, across BRICS-plus from a national and economic perspective.
    In this ecological study applying mixed-effect multilevel regression models, a country-specific dataset was analyzed by combining data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 on female age-standardized BC mortality, incidence, and DALYs rates with information on national/regional BCS availability (against no such program or only a pilot program) and BCS type (only self-breast examination (SBE) and/or clinical breast examination (CBE) [SBE/CBE] versus SBE/CBE with mammographic screening availability [MM and/or SBE/CBE] versus SBE/CBE/mammographic with digital mammography and/or ultrasound (US) [DMM/US and/or previous tests] in BRICS-plus countries.
    Compared to self/clinical breast examinations (SBE/CBE) across BRICS-plus, more complex BCS program availability was the most significant predictor of decreased mortality [MM and/or SBE/CBE: - 2.64, p < 0.001; DMM/US and/or previous tests: - 1.40, p < 0.001]. In the BRICS-plus, CVD presence, high BMI, second-hand smoke, and active smoking all contributed to an increase in BC mortality and DALY rate. High-income and middle-income regions in BRICS-plus had significantly lower age-standardized BC mortality, case-fatality, and DALYs rates than low-income regions when nationwide BC screening programs were implemented.
    The availability of mammography (digital or traditional) and BCS is associated with breast cancer burden in BRICS-plus countries, with regional variations. In light of high-quality evidence from previous causal studies, these findings further support the preventive role of mammography screening for BCS at the national level. Intervening on BCS related risk factors may further reduce the disease burden associated with BC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: Breast cancer (BC) is a major health concern in the BRICS-plus, a group of developing nations consisting of Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and 30 other Asian countries, with nearly half of the world\'s population. This study aims to identify potential risk factors contributing to the burden of BC by assessing its epidemiological and socio-demographic changes.
    UNASSIGNED: Data on BC outcomes were obtained from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Survey. The age-period-cohort (APC) modeling technique was used to evaluate the nonlinear impacts of age, cohort, and period on BC outcomes and reported risk attributable mortality and disability adjusted life years (DALYs) rate changes between 1990 and 2019.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, there were 0.90 million female BC cases and 0.35 million deaths in the BRICS-plus region, with China and India having the largest proportion of incident cases and deaths, followed by Pakistan. Lesotho experienced the highest annualized rates of change (AROC: 2.61%; 95%UI: 1.99-2.99) in the past three decades. Birth cohorts\' impact on BC varies greatly between the BRICS-plus nations, with Pakistan suffering the largest risk increase in the most recent cohort. High body mass index (BMI), high fasting plasma glucose (FPG), and a diet high in red meat contributed to the highest death and DALYs rates in most BRICS-plus nations in 2019, and there was a strong negative link between SDI and death and DALYs rate.
    UNASSIGNED: The study found that the burden of BC varies significantly between BRICS-plus regions. Thus, BRICS-plus nations should prioritise BC prevention, raise public awareness, and implement screening efficiency measures to reduce the burden of BC in the future, as well as strengthen public health policies and initiatives for important populations based on their characteristics and adaptability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    未经评估:巴西,俄罗斯,印度,中国,南非,和其他30个亚洲国家组成了金砖国家,一组发展中国家,占世界人口的一半左右,对全球疾病负担做出了重要贡献。这项研究旨在分析1990年至2019年金砖四国女性乳腺癌(BC)的流行病学负担,并研究其与年龄的关系。period,出生队列和国家/地区社会人口统计学指数(SDI)。
    未经评估:BC死亡率和发病率估计值来自2019年全球疾病负担研究。我们使用年龄期队列(APC)模型估计了1990年至2019年之间BC结局的队列和时期效应。基于自然样条函数的APC模型Poisson与log(Y)的最大似然(ML)用于估计速率比(RR)。我们使用年化变化率(AROC)来量化过去30年在金砖四国的变化,并将其与全球进行比较。
    UNASSIGNED:2019年,全球约有198万女性BC病例(年龄标准化率为45.86[95%UI:41.91,49.76])和69万死亡(年龄标准化率为15.88[95%UI:14.66,17.07])。其中,45.4%的事件病例和51.3%的死亡病例归因于金砖四国。中国(41.1%的病例和26.5%的死亡)和印度(16.1%的病例和23.1%的死亡)在2019年金砖国家中的事故病例和死亡比例最高。巴基斯坦以5.6%的病例和8.8%的死亡人数排名第三。在过去的三十年里,从1990年到2019年,金砖四国最大的AROC出现在莱索托(2.61%;95%UI:1.99-2.99)。出生队列对不列颠哥伦比亚省的影响在金砖国家之间差异很大。总的来说,所有金砖国家的病死率风险趋于下降,特别是在南亚区域合作联盟(SAARC)和中国-东盟自由贸易区(中国-东盟自由贸易区)国家,在最近的队列中,风险下降在中国和马尔代夫最低。此外,在1990年和2019年的金砖四国中,SDI与病死率之间存在显著负相关(r1990=-0.91,p<0.001;r2019=-0.89,p<0.001),欧亚经济联盟(EEU)国家病死率最高.
    UNASSIGNED:不列颠哥伦比亚省的负担在金砖四国的不同地区之间差异很大。尽管金砖国家监管不列颠哥伦比亚省的努力取得了成功,总体改善落后于高收入亚太国家。每个金砖国家都应加强针对不同优先群体的具体公共卫生方法和政策,根据金砖四国和其他高负担国家的说法。
    UNASSIGNED: Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, and 30 other Asian nations make up the BRICS-Plus, a group of developing countries that account for about half of the world\'s population and contribute significantly to the global illness burden. This study aimed to analyzed the epidemiological burden of female breast cancer (BC) across the BRICS-Plus from 1990 to 2019 and studied the associations with age, period, birth cohort and countries\' sociodemographic index (SDI).
    UNASSIGNED: The BC mortality and incidence estimates came from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease Study. We estimated cohort and period effects in BC outcomes between 1990 and 2019 using age-period-cohort (APC) modeling. The maximum likelihood (ML) of the APC-model Poisson with log (Y) based on the natural-spline function was used to estimate the rate ratio (RR). We used annualized rate of change (AROC) to quantify change over the previous 30 years in BC across BRICS-Plus and compare it to the global.
    UNASSIGNED: In 2019, there were about 1.98 million female BC cases (age-standardized rate of 45.86 [95% UI: 41.91, 49.76]) and 0.69 million deaths (age-standardized rate of 15.88 [95% UI: 14.66, 17.07]) around the globe. Among them, 45.4% of incident cases and 51.3% of deaths were attributed to the BRICS-Plus. China (41.1% cases and 26.5% deaths) and India (16.1% cases and 23.1% deaths) had the largest proportion of incident cases and deaths among the BRICS-Plus nations in 2019. Pakistan came in third with 5.6% cases and 8.8% deaths. Over the past three decades, from 1990 to 2019, the BRICS-Plus region\'s greatest AROC was seen in Lesotho (2.61%; 95%UI: 1.99-2.99). The birth cohort impacts on BC vary significantly among the BRICS-Plus nations. Overall, the risk of case-fatality rate tended to decline in all BRICS-Plus nations, notably in South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC) and China-ASEAN Free Trade Area (China-ASEAN FTA) countries, and the drop in risk in the most recent cohort was lowest in China and the Maldives. Additionally, there was a substantial negative link between SDI and case fatality rate (r1990= -0.91, p<0.001; r2019= -0.89, p<0.001) in the BRICS-Plus in both 1990 and 2019, with the Eurasian Economic Union (EEU) nations having the highest case fatality rate.
    UNASSIGNED: The BC burden varies remarkably between different BRICS-Plus regions. Although the BRICS\' efforts to regulate BC succeeded, the overall improvements lagged behind those in high-income Asia-Pacific nations. Every BRICS-Plus country should strengthen specific public health approaches and policies directed at different priority groups, according to BRIC-Plus and other high-burden nations.
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