Agricultural carbon emissions

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    农业是碳排放的重要来源,对环境有重大影响。数字经济在通过创新的数字解决方案减少这些排放方面发挥着至关重要的作用。作为一个领先的农业国家,中国面临着减少农业碳排放(ACE)的巨大压力。本文旨在深入研究农村数字经济增长与ACE之间的关系。为了实现这一点,我们利用2011-2020年中国各省的广泛面板数据集,分析了数字经济发展对ACE的动态和空间效应。本研究的主要发现如下:(1)数字经济的快速扩张显著降低了ACE。(2)数字经济发展对降低ACE的影响空间不同,从东部到西部有明显的进展。(3)数字经济通过三个具体渠道帮助降低ACE:促进技术创新,加强规模效益管理,并提供农业财政激励措施。基于这些发现,这项研究提出了改善数字基础设施的政策建议,促进数字经济区域均衡发展,优化农业科技管理。这些政策见解旨在改变农业并实现减少ACE的目标,从而促进更广泛的环境可持续性。
    Agriculture is a significant source of carbon emissions, which have a substantial environmental impact. The digital economy plays a vital role in mitigating these emissions through innovative digital solutions. As a leading agricultural nation, China faces substantial pressure to reduce its agricultural carbon emissions(ACE). This paper aims to thoroughly examine the relationship between the growth of the rural digital economy and ACE. To achieve this, we utilize an extensive panel dataset covering China\'s provinces from 2011 to 2020, analyzing the dynamic and spatial effects of digital economy development on ACE. The key findings of this research are as follows: (1) The rapid expansion of the digital economy significantly reduces ACE. (2) The impact of digital economic development on lowering ACE varies spatially, with a clear progression from eastern to western regions. (3) The digital economy helps reduce ACE through three specific channels: fostering technological innovation, enhancing scale efficiency management, and providing agricultural financial incentives. Based on these findings, this study proposes policy recommendations to improve digital infrastructure, promote balanced regional development in the digital economy, and optimize the management of agricultural science and technology. These policy insights aim to transform agriculture and achieve the goal of reducing ACE, thereby contributing to broader environmental sustainability.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    缺水,土地污染,全球变暖是可持续或绿色农业发展面临的严峻挑战和危机,需要使用高效和环境友好的管理战略来解决。本文提出了一个适用于农业绿色全要素生产率(AGTFP)评估的综合框架,结合水-能源-食品(WEF)关系下的微观和中观视角,从内部核心因素和周边环境影响两方面产生科学合理的绿色低碳农业战略,以提高绿色农业生产的可持续性。以涟水灌区(LID)三个分区为对象,通过偏最小二乘回归(PLSR)探索内部核心因素,通过偏最小二乘结构方程模型(PLS-SEM)探索外部影响路径。结果表明,与三个子区域相比,LID中的AGTFP最小(0.818),并且处于波动状态。同时,AGTFP是在考虑不良产出的情况下计算的,更接近有形生产力。资源禀赋和技术设施将促进农业生产,理想的产出将刺激绿色生产,和不良产出会抑制绿色生产。外部影响途径被证明是主要环境->次要环境->经济方面->社会方面->AGTFP。本研究中提出的创新观点可以促进更可取的决策,并避免对人类自然系统造成意外后果。
    Water scarcity, land pollution, and global warming are serious challenges and crises facing the development of sustainable or green agriculture and need to be addressed using efficient and environmentally friendly management strategies. This paper proposed an integrated framework appropriate for agricultural green total factor productivity (AGTFP) assessment coupled with microscopic and mesoscopic perspectives under water-energy-food (WEF) nexus, which generated scientific and reasonable strategies for green and low-carbon agriculture from internal core factors and peripheral environmental impacts to improve green agricultural production sustainability. Taking the Lianshui irrigation district (LID) with three sub-areas as the object, internal core factors were explored by partial least squares regression (PLSR) and the external impact path through partial least squares structural equation modeling (PLS-SEM). Results indicated that AGTFP in LID was the smallest (0.818) compared to the three sub-areas and was in a fluctuating state. Meanwhile, AGTFP which was calculated considering undesirable outputs, was closer to tangible productivity. Resource endowments and technical facilities will promote agricultural production, desirable outputs will stimulate green production, and undesirable outputs can inhibit green production. The external influence pathway was shown to be primary environment - > secondary environment - > economic aspects - > social aspects - > AGTFP. The innovative perspectives presented in this study can facilitate preferable decisions and avoid unintended consequences for human-natural systems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    农村数字经济的快速发展增强了对利用数字工具促进低碳和可持续农业实践的需求。引起广泛的学术和官僚关注。了解农村数字经济如何影响农业碳排放对于释放减排潜力至关重要。促进农村地区向可持续能源使用的过渡,培育绿色农业发展。在这项研究中,我们采用熵方法,空间Durbin模型,和面板阈值模型,以评估2010年至2022年农村数字经济对中国各省农业碳排放的影响。此外,我们深入研究农村数字经济促进农业减碳的机制,特别是在“农业社会化服务”方面。我们的发现揭示了几个关键的见解。首先,农村数字经济对降低农业碳排放强度贡献显著。其次,农村数字经济与农业碳排放之间存在非线性关系。随着农村数字经济的发展呈现出边际递减趋势,有明显的门槛效应。第三,通过农村数字经济加强农业社会化服务可以抑制农业碳排放。最后,农村数字经济的碳减排效应在经济较发达地区更为显著,经济发展水平适中的地区,和技术投资低的地区;实施化肥“零增长”政策加强了这种减碳效果。本研究揭示了农业碳排放的机理和影响,为向低碳和可持续农业发展过渡提供定量证据和理论支持。
    Rapid advancement of the rural digital economy has intensified the demand for leveraging digital tools to foster low-carbon and sustainable agricultural practices, garnering widespread academic and bureaucratic attention. Understanding how the rural digital economy influences agricultural carbon emissions is crucial for unlocking emission reduction potential, facilitating a transition towards sustainable energy usage in rural areas, and nurturing green agricultural development. In this study, we employ the entropy method, a spatial Durbin model, and a panel threshold model to assess the impact of the rural digital economy on agricultural carbon emissions across each province in China from 2010 to 2022. Additionally, we delve into the mechanism through which the rural digital economy facilitates agricultural carbon reduction, particularly in terms of \"agricultural socialized services\". Our findings reveal several key insights. Firstly, the rural digital economy contributes significantly to reducing agricultural carbon emission intensity. Secondly, there is a non-linear relationship between the rural digital economy and agricultural carbon emissions. With the development of rural digital economy showing a marginal decreasing trend, there is an obvious threshold effect. Thirdly, enhancing agricultural socialized services through the rural digital economy can curb agricultural carbon emissions. Lastly, the carbon reduction effect of the rural digital economy is more significant in more economically developed areas, areas with moderate levels of economic development, and areas with low technological investment; implementation of a \"zero growth\" policy for fertilizers strengthens this carbon reduction effect. This study sheds light on the mechanisms and effects of agricultural carbon emissions, offering quantitative evidence and theoretical support for the transition towards low-carbon and sustainable agricultural development.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鉴于农业既是碳源又是碳汇,碳峰值和碳中性的可持续性目标对我国绿色低碳农业发展提出了很高的要求,迫切需要探索可持续农业发展的现实道路。在上述“双碳”目标下,本研究围绕如何提高我国农业生态效率(AEE)这一关键问题,构建了能够反映碳约束和农业经济协调发展的创新AEE指标体系。资源利用和生态环境。基于超有效松弛的实测数据包络分析(SBM-DEA)方法,它考虑了不良的输出,应用于2001-2020年中国30个省市的AEE重新测量,并结合核密度估计分析了其时空演变。采用Tobit回归模型对各地区的影响因素进行探讨。结果表明,AEE的重新测量,考虑到“双碳”要求,明显优于传统的AEE。从2001年到2020年,中国总体呈现V型波动曲线AEE,小幅下降和几次年际波动,并表现出巨大的上升潜力。中国AEE在分布的不同阶段表现出空间上的区域发展不平衡和明显的多极分化。在中国的AEE中观察到省际差异,低水平绿色低碳农业发展的恶性循环难以打破。城市化对国家和东部AEE有显着的积极影响,但对中部AEE有显着的负面影响。农业碳补偿率对全国和三个地区的AEE都有显著影响。因此,“双碳”目标的引入有效地推动了AEE的发展。农业产业结构抑制了全国和西部地区AEE的提高。农业经济发展阻碍了全国AEE的改善,但促进了中部地区的发展。中国表现出环境库兹涅茨曲线。希望,本研究可为绿色低碳农业发展提供数据支持和理论参考,有助于实现“双碳”目标。
    Given that agriculture is both a carbon source and sink, the sustainability goals of carbon peaking and neutrality place high demands on the green and low-carbon agricultural development in China, and the exploration of a realistic path for a sustainable agricultural development is urgently needed. Under the above \'dual carbon\' target, this study focused on the key issue of how to improve China\'s agricultural eco-efficiency (AEE) and constructed an innovative AEE indicator system that can reflect carbon constraint and coordinated agricultural economic development, resource use and ecological environment. The super-efficient slack-based measured Data Envelopment Analysis (SBM-DEA) method, which considers undesirable outputs, was applied to re-measure the AEE of 30 provinces and cities in China from 2001 to 2020, and its spatial and temporal evolution was analysed in conjunction with kernel density estimation. The Tobit regression model was used to explore various influencing factors by region. The results show that the AEE re-measurements, which take into account the \'dual carbon\' requirement, are significantly better than the traditional AEE. From 2001 to 2020, China had an overall V-shaped fluctuation curve AEE, with a small decline and several inter-annual fluctuations, and exhibited a large potential to rise. China\'s AEE showed a spatially uneven regional development at different stages of distribution and evident multi-polar differentiation. Inter-provincial differences were observed in China\'s AEE, and the vicious circle of low-level green and low-carbon agricultural development was difficult to break. Urbanisation had a significant positive effect on national and eastern AEE but a significant negative effect on central AEE. The agricultural carbon offset rate had a significant effect on AEE nationally and in the three regions. Thus, the introduction of \'dual carbon\' target effectively drove the development of AEE. Agricultural industry structure inhibited the improvement of AEE nationally and in the western region. Agricultural economic development hindered the national AEE improvement but promoted that of the central region, where China showed an environment Kuznets curve. Hopefully, this study can provide data support and theoretical reference for the green and low-carbon agricultural development and help achieve the \'dual carbon\' target.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    鉴于农业活动的巨大碳足迹,减少农业碳排放(ACE)对实现中国的碳峰值和碳中和目标具有重要意义。但它可能会影响农业粮食安全和经济发展。因此,了解ACE的多年趋势和影响因素,对科学的碳减排措施具有重要意义。并阐明ACE过程是否影响粮食安全和经济发展。本研究分析了浙江省2001-2020年不同农业碳源(ACS)引起的总ACE和ACE的变化趋势。然后基于对数平均Divisia指数(LMDI)模型揭示了ACE的主要影响因素,并剖析了ACE与粮食安全和经济发展的关系。结果表明,总ACE从2001年的6.10Mt波动到2020年的3.93Mt,该过程包括2001-2003年和2005-2020年的下降和2003-2005年的上升。ACE的减少,从2001年到2014年,主要是由于水稻种植面积下降,贡献了90.38%;2014年至2020年,是由化肥使用量的减少、柴油,农药,贡献了83.9%。作为司机,农业经济发展效应和总人口规模效应驱动了4.25和1.54Mt的ACE,分别。作为抑制剂,种植结构效应,技术开发效果,种群结构效应抑制了ACE的3.12、2.11和2.74Mt,分别。随着ACE的减少,农业经济持续增长,但是粮食安全形势悲观,表明ACE减排与经济发展取得了协同作用,但与粮食安全无关。
    Given the huge carbon footprint of agricultural activities, reduction in agricultural carbon emission (ACE) is important to achieve China\'s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals, but it may affect agricultural food security and economic development. Therefore, it is important for scientific carbon reduction measures to understand the multi-year trends and the influencing factors of ACE, and clarify whether the process of ACE affects food security and economic development. This study analyzed the trends of total ACE and ACE caused by different agricultural carbon sources (ACS) from 2001 to 2020 in Zhejiang Province, then we revealed the main influencing factors of ACE based on the logarithmic mean Divisia index (LMDI) model and dissected the relationship between ACE and food security and economic development. Results show that the total ACE fluctuated from 6.10 Mt in 2001 to 3.93 Mt in 2020, and the process included a decrease in 2001-2003 and 2005-2020 and an increase in 2003-2005. The decrease in ACE, from 2001 to 2014, was mainly due to the decline in rice acreage, which contributed 90.38%; from 2014 to 2020, it was by the reduction in the use of fertilizer, diesel, and pesticide, which contributed 83.9%. As drivers, agricultural economic development effect and total population size effect drove 4.25 and 1.54 Mt of ACE, respectively. As inhibitors, planting structure effect, technology development effect, and population structure effect inhibited 3.12, 2.11, and 2.74 Mt of ACE, respectively. With the reduction of ACE, the agricultural economy continued to grow, but the food security situation was pessimistic, indicating that ACE reduction has achieved synergy with economic development, but not with food security.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    控制农业碳排放有助于实现碳排放峰值和碳中和。然而,作为耕地的保护管理实践,免耕管理对农业碳排放的影响有待进一步探讨。本文的主要目的是评估NTM对农业碳排放的直接效应和空间溢出效应,揭示了NTM对农业碳排放的调控机理及NTM的联合应用。结果表明,NTM降低了农业碳排放,这在中西部地区意义重大,连同初级谷物,玉米,和水稻产区,以及淮河北部地区。此外,空间溢出分析表明,NTM的实施增加了邻近地区的农业碳排放,但是金融支持和跨区域服务会对空间农业碳排放与NTM之间的关系产生负面影响。本文还发现,秸秆还田技术与NTM相结合可降低农业碳排放。构建跨区域协调机制,激励机制,创新保护性耕作模式对于促进NTM和实现农业碳减排至关重要。
    Controlling agricultural carbon emissions contributes to achieving peak carbon emissions and carbon neutrality. However, as a conservation management practice of farmland, the impact of No-tillage management (NTM) on agricultural carbon emissions needs to be further discussed. The main purpose of this paper is to assess the direct effect and spatial spillover effect of NTM on agricultural carbon emissions, revealing the regulating mechanism of NTM on agricultural carbon emissions and the combined application of NTM. Results indicate that NTM reduces agricultural carbon emissions, which is significant in the central and western regions, along with the primary grain, corn, and rice production areas, as well as the northern regions of the Huai River. Furthermore, the spatial spillover analysis reveals that the implementation of NTM increases agricultural carbon emissions in neighboring regions, but financial support and cross-regional services can negatively regulate the relationship between NTM and space agricultural carbon emissions. This paper also finds that combining straw-returning technology and NTM reduces agricultural carbon emissions. Building a cross-regional coordination mechanism, an incentive mechanism, and innovating the conservation tillage model is essential for promoting the NTM and achieving agricultural carbon reduction.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    我国的农业补贴制度加大了对能源、化工等农业生产要素的投入,这导致了农业碳排放量的增加。基于2013年上海财经大学千村调查数据,采用普通和两阶段最小二乘法(OLS和2SLS)系统考察了农业补贴对我国农业碳排放的影响及作用机制。结果表明,我国现行农业补贴制度对农业碳排放具有一定的促进作用。四种类型的农业补贴,即,粮食直接补贴,良种补贴,农资综合补贴,和农机购置补贴,对农业碳排放的影响按升序排列。农业补贴直接和间接增加了农业碳排放。研究结果表明,应构建新型的农业补贴制度,其中主要包括对农民外出务工和土地流转的补贴,粮食直接补贴,和良种补贴。其中,按种植面积实行粮食直接补贴,按农田面积实行良种补贴,减少农业碳排放。
    China\'s agricultural subsidy system has increased the investment on the agricultural production factors such as energy and chemistry, which caused an increase of agricultural carbon emissions. Based on the Thousand-Village Survey data from Shanghai University of Finance and Economics in 2013, the focal paper uses ordinary and two-stage least squares (OLS and 2SLS) to systematically investigate the impact and mechanism of agricultural subsidies on agricultural carbon emissions in China. Results show that China\'s current agricultural subsidy system has a promoting effect on agricultural carbon emissions. Four types of agricultural subsidies, namely, direct grain subsidies, subsidies for improved varieties, comprehensive subsidies for agricultural materials, and agricultural machinery purchase subsidies, impact the agricultural carbon emissions in ascending order. The agricultural subsidies increase the agricultural carbon emissions directly and indirectly. The findings indicate that a new type of agricultural subsidy system should be constructed, which mainly includes subsidies for farmers\' out-migrating for work and land transfer, direct subsidies for grain, and subsidies for improved seed varieties. Among them, the direct grain subsidies should be implemented on the size of planting area and subsidies for improved seed varieties on the size of farmland to reduce the agricultural carbon emissions.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    以30个省(不包括香港,澳门,以及台湾地区和西藏)2010-2019年省级为研究对象,本文分析了我国农业现代化的现状、特点及碳排放应对措施。农业现代化分解为生产现代化,管理现代化,和生态现代化。本研究利用空间Dobbin模型论证了农业现代化对碳排放的影响,分析了农业现代化对东部地区碳排放的影响。三个西部地区的直接效应和空间溢出效应都有不同程度的差异。结果表明,农业碳排放具有空间依赖性。农业现代化和周边省市交通运输的发展将对该地区农业碳排放产生影响。因此,在乡村振兴和低碳农业的大背景下,本文进一步分析了农业现代化对东部地区碳排放空间分布的影响,中央,和西部地区。提出了建议,以期更好地发挥农业现代化进程的作用。
    Taking the data of 30 provinces (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan regions and Tibet) at the provincial level from 2010 to 2019 as the research object, this paper analyzes the current situation and characteristics of China\'s agricultural modernization and response to carbon emissions. Agricultural modernization is decomposed into production modernization, management modernization, and ecological modernization. This study uses the spatial Dobbin model to demonstrate the impact of agricultural modernization on carbon emissions and analyzes the impact of agricultural modernization on carbon emissions in the East. The direct effect and spatial spillover effect of the three western regions are to different degrees. The results show that agricultural carbon emissions are spatially dependent. The development of agricultural modernization and transportation of neighboring provinces and cities will have an impact on agricultural carbon emissions in this region. Therefore, under the background of rural revitalization and low-carbon agriculture, this paper further analyzes the impact of agricultural modernization on the spatial distribution of carbon emissions in the eastern, central, and western regions. Recommendations are proposed with a view to giving better play to the process of agricultural modernization.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为实现我国农业“双碳”目标和农村经济高质量发展,研究农业碳排放的区域差异和空间溢出效应至关重要。本文利用2005-2020年中国31个省份的面板数据,对农业碳排放的时空演变特征、比较和分析区域差异,并研究了空间相关性和空间溢出效应。研究发现:(1)研究期内农业碳排放总量呈现先上升后下降的趋势,农业碳排放总量的空间分布被描述为中东部高,西部低。东部农业碳排放差距正在逐步缩小,并最终在西部和东北部达到各自的稳态水平。(2)ACE具有很强的省际空间联系,这对相邻省份的趋同产生了有益的连锁效应。(3)农业产业结构,城市化水平,农业劳动力的规模,农业机械投入强度直接影响本省的ACE,间接影响相邻省份的ACE,除了ACE上的经济发展水平系数可以忽略不计。因此,提出了相关的政策建议,以作为降低ACE的指南。
    In order to realize \"double carbon\" target in agriculture and high-quality development of the rural economy in China, it is crucial to study the regional differences and spatial spillover effects of agricultural carbon emissions (ACE). This paper measures ACE using panel data of 31 Chinese provinces from 2005 to 2020, examines the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics,the convergence of agricultural carbon emissions, compares and analyzes regional differences, and investigates the spatial correlation and spatial spillover effects. The study found that: (1) Total agricultural carbon emissions over the research period exhibit a rising and then reducing trend, the spatial distribution of total agricultural carbon emissions is described as high in east-central and low in west. The gap of agricultural carbon emissions is gradually declining in the east, and will eventually reach their respective steady-state levels in the west and northeast. (2) There is a strong spatial interprovincial link of ACE, which has a beneficial knock-on effect on the convergence of adjacent provinces. (3) Agricultural industrial structure, urbanization level, the size of the agricultural labor force, and the intensity of the agricultural machinery input all directly affect ACE in this province and indirectly affect ACE in adjacent provinces, with the exception of the negligible coefficient of economic development level on ACE. Hence, pertinent policy suggestions are put out to serve as a guide for reducing ACE.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的主要目的是调查1990-2019年期间可再生能源消费和农业经济增长对非洲农业碳排放的影响。本文采用了面板完全修改的普通最小二乘(PFMOLS)和动态普通最小二乘(PDOLS)估计技术。实证结果表明,农业增长促进了农业碳排放。更确切地说,结果显示,对非洲农业碳排放有很强的积极和统计意义。另一方面,二次计算结果表明,非洲农业增长与农业碳排放之间存在负因果关系。有趣的是,发现可再生能源消费对农业碳排放有负面影响。关于格兰杰因果关系,结果表明,农业增长与农业碳排放之间存在单向因果关系。基于这些发现,我们建议各国促进和鼓励使用可再生能源来遏制农业碳排放。有必要采取有可能限制碳排放的农业做法。
    The major aim of this study was to investigate the impact of renewable energy consumption and agricultural economic growth on agricultural carbon emissions in Africa for the period 1990-2019. This paper employed panel fully modified ordinary least square (PFMOLS) and dynamic ordinary least square (PDOLS) estimation techniques. The empirical results showed that agriculture growth promote agricultural carbon emissions. More precisely, the results revealed a strong positive and statistical significant impact on agricultural carbon emissions in Africa. On the other hand, the results on quadratic show a negative causal association between agriculture growth and agricultural carbon emissions in Africa. Interestingly, renewable energy consumption was found to have a negative impact on agricultural carbon emissions. On Granger causality, the result shows that there is a unidirectional causality between agriculture growth and agricultural carbon emissions. Based on these findings, we recommend that countries should promote and encourage the use of renewable energy to curb agricultural carbon emissions. There is a need to adopt agricultural practices that have the potential to limit carbon emissions.
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