The previous research showcased a partial least squares (PLS) regression model accurately predicting cell death percentages using in-line capacitance spectra. The current study advances the model accuracy through adaptive modeling employing a data fusion approach. This strategy enhances prediction performance by incorporating variables from the Cole-Cole model, conductivity and its derivatives over time, and Mahalanobis distance into the predictor matrix (X-matrix). Firstly, the Cole-Cole model, a mechanistic model with parameters linked to early cell death onset, was integrated to enhance prediction performance. Secondly, the inclusion of conductivity and its derivatives over time in the X-matrix mitigated prediction fluctuations resulting from abrupt conductivity changes during process operations. Thirdly, Mahalanobis distance, depicting spectral changes relative to a reference spectrum from a previous time point, improved model adaptability to independent test sets, thereby enhancing performance. The final data fusion model substantially decreased root-mean squared error of prediction (RMSEP) by around 50%, which is a significant boost in prediction accuracy compared to the prior PLS model. Robustness against reference spectrum selection was confirmed by consistent performance across various time points. In conclusion, this study illustrates that the data fusion strategy substantially enhances the model accuracy compared to the previous model relying solely on capacitance spectra.

Introduction: Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is characterized by articular cartilage degeneration. It has been widely accepted that the mechanical joint environment plays a significant role in the onset and progression of this disease. In silico models have been used to study the interplay between mechanical loading and cartilage degeneration, hereby relying mainly on two key mechanoregulatory factors indicative of collagen degradation and proteoglycans depletion. These factors are the strain in collagen fibril direction (SFD) and maximum shear strain (MSS) respectively. Methods: In this study, a multi-scale in silico modeling approach was used based on a synergy between musculoskeletal and finite element modeling to evaluate the SFD and MSS. These strains were evaluated during gait based on subject-specific gait analysis data collected at baseline (before a 2-year follow-up) for a healthy and progressive early-stage KOA subject with similar demographics. Results: The results show that both SFD and MSS factors allowed distinguishing between a healthy subject and a KOA subject, showing progression at 2 years follow-up, at the instance of peak contact force as well as during the stance phase of the gait cycle. At the peak of the stance phase, the SFD were found to be more elevated in the KOA patient with the median being 0.82% higher in the lateral and 0.4% higher in the medial compartment of the tibial cartilage compared to the healthy subject. Similarly, for the MSS, the median strains were found to be 3.6% higher in the lateral and 0.7% higher in the medial tibial compartment of the KOA patient compared to the healthy subject. Based on these intersubject SFD and MSS differences, we were additionally able to identify that the tibial compartment of the KOA subject at risk of progression. Conclusion/discussion: We confirmed the mechanoregulatory factors as potential biomarkers to discriminate patients at risk of disease progression. Future studies should evaluate the sensitivity of the mechanoregulatory factors calculated based on this multi-scale modeling workflow in larger patient and control cohorts.

Intensified and continuous processes require fast and robust methods and technologies to monitor product titer for faster analytical turnaround time, process monitoring, and process control. The current titer measurements are mostly offline chromatography-based methods which may take hours or even days to get the results back from the analytical labs. Thus, offline methods will not meet the requirement of real time titer measurements for continuous production and capture processes. FTIR and chemometric based multivariate modeling are promising tools for real time titer monitoring in clarified bulk (CB) harvests and perfusate lines. However, empirical models are known to be vulnerable to unseen variability, specifically a FTIR chemometric titer model trained on a given biological molecule and process conditions often fails to provide accurate predictions of titer in another molecule under different process conditions. In this study, we developed an adaptive modeling strategy: the model was initially built using a calibration set of available perfusate and CB samples and then updated by augmenting spiking samples of the new molecules to the calibration set to make the model robust against perfusate or CB harvest of the new molecule. This strategy substantially improved the model performance and significantly reduced the modeling effort for new molecules.

A soft sensor concept is typically developed and calibrated for individual bioprocesses in a time-consuming manual procedure. Following that, the prediction performance of these soft sensors degrades over time, due to changes in raw materials, biological variability, and modified process strategies. Through automatic adaptation and recalibration, adaptive soft sensor concepts have the potential to generalize soft sensor principles and make them applicable across bioprocesses. In this study, a new generalized adaptation algorithm for soft sensors is developed to provide phase-dependent recalibration of soft sensors based on multiway principal component analysis, a similarity analysis, and robust, generalist phase detection in multiphase bioprocesses. This generalist soft sensor concept was evaluated in two multiphase bioprocesses with various target values, media, and microorganisms. Consequently, the soft sensor concept was tested for biomass prediction in a Pichia pastoris process, and biomass and protein prediction in a Bacillus subtilis process, where the process characteristics (cultivation media and cultivation strategy) were varied. High prediction performance was demonstrated for P. pastoris processes (relative error = 6.9%) as well as B. subtilis processes in two different media during batch and fed-batch phases (relative errors in optimized high-performance medium: biomass prediction = 12.2%, protein prediction = 7.2%; relative errors in standard medium: biomass prediction = 12.8%, protein prediction = 8.8%).

Current experimental approaches cannot elucidate the effect of maladaptive changes on the main cartilage constituents during the degeneration process in osteoarthritis (OA). In silico approaches, however, allow creating \'virtual knock-out\' cases to elucidate these effects in a constituent-specific manner. We used such an approach to study the main mechanisms of cartilage degeneration in different mechanical loadings associated with the following OA etiologies: (1) physiological loading of degenerated cartilage, (2) injurious loading of healthy intact cartilage and (3) physiological loading of cartilage with a focal defect.
We used the recently developed Cartilage Adaptive REorientation Degeneration (CARED) framework to simulate cartilage degeneration associated with primary and secondary OA (OA cases (1)-(3)). CARED incorporates numerical description of tissue-level cartilage degeneration mechanisms in OA, namely, collagen degradation, collagen reorientation, fixed charged density loss and tissue hydration increase following mechanical loading. We created \'virtual knock-out\' scenarios by deactivating these degenerative processes one at a time in each of the three OA cases.
In the injurious loading of intact and physiological loading of degenerated cartilage, collagen degradation drives degenerative changes through fixed charge density loss and tissue hydration rise. In contrast, the two later mechanisms were more prominent in the focal defect cartilage model.
The virtual knock-out models reveal that injurious loading to intact cartilage and physiological loading to degenerated cartilage induce initial degenerative changes in the collagen network, whereas, in the presence of a focal cartilage defect, mechanical loading initially causes proteoglycans (PG) depletion, before changes in the collagen fibril network occur.

The accuracy and precision of soft sensors depend strongly on the reliability of underlying model inputs. These inputs (particularly readings of hardware sensors) are frequently subject to faults. This study aims to develop an adaptive soft sensor capable of reliable and robust biomass concentration predictions in the presence of faulty model inputs for a Pichia pastoris bioprocess. Hence, three soft sensor submodels were developed based on three independent model inputs (base addition, CO2 production, and mid-infrared spectrum). An ensemble-based algorithm combined the submodels to form an ensemble model, that is, an adaptive soft sensor, to achieve fault-tolerant prediction. The algorithm\'s basic steps are as follows: the initial determination of submodel reliability is followed by selecting appropriate submodels to generate a reliable prediction via variance-based weighting of the submodels. The adaptive soft sensor demonstrated high robustness and accuracy in biomass prediction in the presence of multiple simulated sensor faults (RMSE = 0.43 g L-1) and multiple real sensor faults (RMSE = 0.70 g L-1).

Injurious mechanical loading of articular cartilage and associated lesions compromise the mechanical and structural integrity of joints and contribute to the onset and progression of cartilage degeneration leading to osteoarthritis (OA). Despite extensive in vitro and in vivo research, it remains unclear how the changes in cartilage composition and structure that occur during cartilage degeneration after injury, interact. Recently, in silico techniques provide a unique integrated platform to investigate the causal mechanisms by which the local mechanical environment of injured cartilage drives cartilage degeneration. Here, we introduce a novel integrated Cartilage Adaptive REorientation Degeneration (CARED) algorithm to predict the interaction between degenerative variations in main cartilage constituents, namely collagen fibril disorganization and degradation, proteoglycan (PG) loss, and change in water content. The algorithm iteratively interacts with a finite element (FE) model of a cartilage explant, with and without variable depth to full-thickness defects. In these FE models, intact and injured explants were subjected to normal (2 MPa unconfined compression in 0.1 s) and injurious mechanical loading (4 MPa unconfined compression in 0.1 s). Depending on the mechanical response of the FE model, the collagen fibril orientation and density, PG and water content were iteratively updated. In the CARED model, fixed charge density (FCD) loss and increased water content were related to decrease in PG content. Our model predictions were consistent with earlier experimental studies. In the intact explant model, minimal degenerative changes were observed under normal loading, while the injurious loading caused a reorientation of collagen fibrils toward the direction perpendicular to the surface, intense collagen degradation at the surface, and intense PG loss in the superficial and middle zones. In the injured explant models, normal loading induced intense collagen degradation, collagen reorientation, and PG depletion both on the surface and around the lesion. Our results confirm that the cartilage lesion depth is a crucial parameter affecting tissue degeneration, even under physiological loading conditions. The results suggest that potential fibril reorientation might prevent or slow down fibril degradation under conditions in which the tissue mechanical homeostasis is perturbed like the presence of defects or injurious loading.

Increasing evidence suggests that counterfactual reasoning is involved in false belief reasoning. Because existing work is correlational, we developed a manipulation that revealed a signature of counterfactual reasoning in participants\' answers to false belief questions. In two experiments, we tested 3- to 14-year-olds and found high positive correlations (r = .56 and r = .73) between counterfactual and false belief questions. Children were very likely to respond to both questions with the same answer, also committing the same type of error. We discuss different theories and their ability to account for each aspect of our findings and conclude that reasoning about others\' beliefs and actions requires similar cognitive processes as using counterfactual suppositions. Our findings question the explanatory power of the traditional frameworks, theory theory and simulation theory, in favor of views that explicitly provide for a relationship between false belief reasoning and counterfactual reasoning.

In this paper, we use an adaptive modeling framework to model and study how nutritional status (measured by the protein to carbohydrate ratio) may regulate population dynamics and foraging task allocation of social insect colonies. Mathematical analysis of our model shows that both investment to brood rearing and brood nutrition are important for colony survival and dynamics. When division of labour and/or nutrition are in an intermediate value range, the model undergoes a backward bifurcation and creates multiple attractors due to bistability. This bistability implies that there is a threshold population size required for colony survival. When the investment in brood is large enough or nutritional requirements are less strict, the colony tends to survive, otherwise the colony faces collapse. Our model suggests that the needs of colony survival are shaped by the brood survival probability, which requires good nutritional status. As a consequence, better nutritional status can lead to a better survival rate of larvae and thus a larger worker population.

BACKGROUND: Advanced methods of signal analysis of the preictal and ictal activity dynamics characterizing absence epilepsy in humans with absences and in genetic animal models have revealed new and unknown electroencephalographic characteristics, that has led to new insights and theories.
METHODS: Taking into account that some network associations can be considered as nonlinear, an adaptive nonlinear Granger causality approach was developed and applied to analyze cortico-cortical, cortico-thalamic and intrathalamic network interactions from local field potentials (LFPs). The outcomes of adaptive nonlinear models, constructed based on the properties of electroencephalographic signal and on statistical criteria to optimize the number of coefficients in the models, were compared with the outcomes of linear Granger causality.
RESULTS: The nonlinear adaptive method showed statistically significant preictal changes in Granger causality in almost all pairs of channels, as well as ictal changes in cortico-cortical, cortico-thalamic and intrathalamic networks. Current results suggest rearrangement of interactions in the thalamo-cortical network accompanied the transition from preictal to ictal phase.
CONCLUSIONS: The linear method revealed no preictal and less ictal changes in causality.
CONCLUSIONS: Achieved results suggest that this proposed adaptive nonlinear method is more sensitive than the linear one to dynamics of network properties. Since changes in coupling were found before the seizure-related increase of LFP signal amplitude and also based on some additional tests it seems likely that they were not spurious and could not result from signal to noise ratio change.