OBJECTIVE: We aimed to study the etiologies and clinical profile and to describe the factors associated with mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) patients at our center.
METHODS: Patients meeting the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) definition of ACLF were included. We studied etiologies and clinical profile and analyzed the factors associated with mortality in patients with ACLF. We also analyzed the mortality rates based on the number of organ failures and the grade of ACLF.
RESULTS: 114 patients were included. Alcohol (82, 71.9%), drugs (22, 19.3%), and viral hepatitis (17, 14.9%) were the commonest precipitating factors of ACLF. The commonest cause of chronic disease was alcohol (83, 72.8%). Fifty-three (46.5%), 60 (52.6%), 44 (38.6%), 32 (28.1%), and 24 (21.1%) experienced renal, coagulation, cerebral, respiratory, and circulation failures, respectively. Overall, the in-hospital mortality rate stood at 54 (48.6%), with a median stay of eight days. Advanced hepatic encephalopathy and ventilator support independently predicted mortality. The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score outperformed all other prognostic scores in predicting mortality in ACLF.
CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol was the most common precipitating factor for ACLF. The in-hospital mortality rate was 48.6%. Advanced hepatic encephalopathy and ventilator support independently predicted mortality. The SOFA score is a more accurate predictor of mortality in ACLF when compared to other prognostic scores.

OBJECTIVE: The role of histamine in advanced chronic liver disease (ACLD) is poorly understood. We investigated plasma histamine levels across ACLD stages and their prognostic value.
METHODS: We included patients with evidence of ACLD, defined by portal hypertension (hepatic venous pressure gradient [HVPG] ≥6 mmHg) and/or a liver stiffness measurement by transient elastography ≥10 kPa, who underwent HVPG measurement between 2017 and 2020. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and/or liver-related death were defined as composite endpoint.
RESULTS: Of 251 patients, 82.5% had clinically significant portal hypertension (median HVPG: 17 mmHg [interquartile range (IQR) 12-21]) and 135 patients (53.8%) were decompensated at baseline. Median plasma histamine was 8.5 nmol/L (IQR: 6.4-11.5), 37.1% of patients showed elevated values (>9.9 nmol/L). Histamine levels did not differ significantly across Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) stages nor strata of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) or HVPG. Histamine levels correlated with markers of circulatory dysfunction (i.e. sodium, renin and aldosterone). During a median follow-up of 29.2 months, 68 patients developed ACLF or liver-related death. In univariate as well as in multivariate analysis (adjusting for age, sex, HVPG as well as either MELD, clinical stage, and serum albumin or CTP and serum sodium), elevated histamine levels remained associated with the composite endpoint. CTP-based multivariate model adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio (asHR): 1.010 (95% CI: 1.004-1.021), p < .001; MELD-based multivariate model asHR: 1.030 (95% CI: 1.017-1.040), p < .001.
CONCLUSIONS: High levels of histamine were linked to circulatory dysfunction in ACLD patients and independently associated with increased risks of ACLF or liver-related death. Further mechanistic studies on the link between histamine signalling and development of hyperdynamic circulation and ACLF are warranted.

UNASSIGNED: Type 1 hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) is a rapid deterioration in kidney function in patients with cirrhosis. Data on efficacy of vasoconstrictors for type 1 HRS have shown mixed results.
UNASSIGNED: Literature searched for randomized controlled trials comparing pharmacological therapy for HRS vs placebo or another drug for HRS. Primary outcome was HRS reversal (serum creatinine <1.5mg/dL on 2 readings), and secondary outcomes were liver transplant (LT) free survival and serious adverse events (SAE).
UNASSIGNED: Sixteen studies on 1244 patients (mean age 50.3 yrs., 67.5% males, serum creatinine of 3.07 mg/dL, serum sodium 127.2 mEq/liter, and Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) score of 30.9, and Child-Pugh score 11) with type 1 HRS treated with vasoconstrictors vs placebo or another drug were analyzed. All the patients received intravenous albumin infusion. (A) terlipressin vs placebo: Odds of HRS reversal were 3.3 folds with terlipressin without difference on LT-free patient survival. Terlipressin was associated with higher odds of SAE. (B) Nor-epinephrine (NE) vs terlipressin: No difference on HRS reversal, LT-free survival, and SAE. (C) Terlipressin or NE vs midodrine and octreotide: 91% lower odds of HRS reversal with midodrine and octreotide. There were no differences on SAE (10 of 64 vs 10 of 58, P = .812). Non-responders vs responders had higher mean MELD score (29 vs 27.8), P = .014 and serum creatinine (3.5 vs 3.1), P = .027.
UNASSIGNED: Terlipressin and NE are similar and superior to midodrine octreotide combination for HRS reversal. No therapy improves LT-free patient survival. Response to treatment is better with lower baseline serum creatinine and MELD score. The risk of adverse effects is similar with terlipressin and NE. Studies are needed as basis to identify candidates with best response to treatment with excellent safety profile.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome of liver failure due to an acute hepatic insult leading to liver failure with or without extra-hepatic organ failure in a patient of chronic liver disease (CLD) with or without cirrhosis presenting for the first time. The definition is still with controversy; hence, homogeneity and clarity of the case is an unmet need. There is a paradigm shift noted as far as the etiology of CLD is concerned with rise in metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) and ethanol as the dominant cause even in developing countries. MAFLD is the change in nomenclature from NAFLD to justify the metabolic derangement in these group of patients. The shift from an exclusion-based criteria to one that has evolved to a diagnosis that requires positive criteria has profound significance. Clearly there is a difference in terms of its prevalence, disease progression, and liver-related events, as well as management of metabolic risk factors and MAFLD itself which requires further understanding. In tandem with the global rise in MAFLD, the incidence of MAFLD-ACLF is increasing. Excessive alcohol consumption causes metabolic and toxic injury to the liver resulting in nearly similar pathway of fatty liver, hepatitis, and cirrhosis. The interaction of MAFLD as an additional underlying chronic liver injury in ACLF patients is complex due to the presence of metabolic risk factors that are unique to MAFLD. There is lack of clarity on how MAFLD affects the clinical course of ACLF due to scarcity of this specific data. This narrative review aims to understand the unique effects, consequences, and management of MAFLD as the chronic liver injury component in ACLF.

UNASSIGNED: Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a critical condition associated with unfavorable survival rates. Recent studies have indicated that the platelet-to-monocyte ratio (PMR) is considered an effective prognostic marker in several diseases. However, there has been no study to evaluate the prognostic value of PMR in HBV-ACLF patients. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate the association between PMR and 28-day survival in these patients.
UNASSIGNED: In this retrospective study, data, including clinical and laboratory parameters, were collected for 184 HBV-ACLF patients. Disease severity was assessed using the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. Logistic regression analyses were conducted to identify predictors influencing 28-day survival. Receiver-operating characteristic curve (ROC) analyses were performed to assess the predictive abilities of the identified predictors.
UNASSIGNED: During the 28-day follow-up period, 56 (30.4%) HBV-ACLF patients died. PMR was significantly lower in non-survivors than in survivors (P <0.001). Logistic regression demonstrated that PMR (Odds ratio, 0.983; 95% Confidence interval, 0.976-0.990; P=0.001) and MELD score (Odds ratio, 1.317; 95% Confidence interval, 1.200-1.446; P <0.001) were independent risk factors for mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. The area under ROC curve for PMR was 0.760 (sensitivity=0.840, specificity=0.620, P=0.001) at a cut-off value of 140.6, and the area under ROC curve for MELD score was 0.819 (sensitivity=0.700, specificity=0.860, P=0.001) at a cut-off value of 23.1. PMR and MELD score exhibited similar predictive performances (Z=1.229; P=0.219). Furthermore, the combined use of PMR and MELD score further increased the area under the ROC curve to 0.858, which more accurate prognosis prediction than use of either factor alone (both P< 0.05).
UNASSIGNED: The PMR could serve as a reliable tool for predicting mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. Additionally, combining the PMR with the MELD score could improve prognostic accuracy for predicting 28-day mortality in these patients. However, further and larger studies are needed to confirm our findings.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has come a long way as a clinical concept within the hepatology and liver transplant communities. Though the term was proposed in 1995, the first recognition of the entity along with a consensus definition emerged in 2009. Subsequently, the entity has sparked great interest, inspired several consensus conferences, and inspired national societies to form professional ACLF affinity groups (eg, special interest group). Multicenter consortia have been established all over the world to study this condition, including the North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease, Chronic Liver Failure consortium, Asian Pacific Association for the Study of Liver Diseases ACLF Research Consortium, Chronic Liver disease Evolution And Registry for Events and Decompensation, and the LiverHope Consortium. Collectively, these consortia have enrolled tens of thousands of patients with or at risk for ACLF across dozens of countries and characterized in detail the predictors, pathogenesis, and progression of patients with ACLF. Perhaps most importantly, they have produced essential data characterizing the excess morbidity and mortality that patients with ACLF face, making a compelling case for the urgent need for therapeutic strategies for this condition.

Early prognostic assessment of patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is important for guiding clinical management and reducing mortality. The aim of this study was to dynamically monitor the clinical characteristics of HBV-ACLF patients, thereby allowing the construction of a novel prognostic scoring model to predict the outcome of HBV-ACLF patients. Clinical data was prospectively collected for 518 patients with HBV-ACLF and randomly divided into training and validation sets. We constructed day-1, day-2, and day-(1 + 3) prognostic score models based on dynamic time points. The prognostic risk score constructed for day-3 was found to have the best predictive ability. The factors included in this scoring system, referred to as DSM-ACLF-D3, were age, hepatic encephalopathy, alkaline phosphatase, total bilirubin, triglycerides, very low-density lipoprotein, blood glucose, neutrophil count, fibrin, and INR. ROC analysis revealed the area under the curve predicted by DSM-ACLF-D3 for 28-day and 90-day mortality (0.901 and 0.889, respectively) was significantly better than those of five other scoring systems: COSSH-ACLF IIs (0.882 and 0.836), COSSH-ACLFs (0.863 and 0.832), CLIF-C ACLF (0.838 and 0.766), MELD (0.782 and 0.762) and MELD-Na (0.756 and 0.731). Dynamic monitoring of the changes in clinical factors can therefore significantly improve the accuracy of scoring models. Evaluation of the probability density function and risk stratification by DSM-ACLF-D3 also resulted in the best predictive values for mortality. The novel DSM-ACLF-D3 prognostic scoring model based on dynamic data can improve early warning, prediction and clinical management of HBV-ACLF patients.

BACKGROUND: Patient heterogeneity poses significant challenges for managing individuals and designing clinical trials, especially in complex diseases. Existing classifications rely on outcome-predicting scores, potentially overlooking crucial elements contributing to heterogeneity without necessarily impacting prognosis.
METHODS: To address patient heterogeneity, we developed ClustALL, a computational pipeline that simultaneously faces diverse clinical data challenges like mixed types, missing values, and collinearity. ClustALL enables the unsupervised identification of patient stratifications while filtering for stratifications that are robust against minor variations in the population (population-based) and against limited adjustments in the algorithm\'s parameters (parameter-based).
RESULTS: Applied to a European cohort of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (n = 766), ClustALL identified five robust stratifications, using only data at hospital admission. All stratifications included markers of impaired liver function and number of organ dysfunction or failure, and most included precipitating events. When focusing on one of these stratifications, patients were categorized into three clusters characterized by typical clinical features; notably, the 3-cluster stratification showed a prognostic value. Re-assessment of patient stratification during follow-up delineated patients\' outcomes, with further improvement of the prognostic value of the stratification. We validated these findings in an independent prospective multicentre cohort of patients from Latin America (n = 580).
CONCLUSIONS: By applying ClustALL to patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis, we identified three patient clusters. Following these clusters over time offers insights that could guide future clinical trial design. ClustALL is a novel and robust stratification method capable of addressing the multiple challenges of patient stratification in most complex diseases.

Frailty and sarcopenia are well-recognized factors related to worse outcomes in patients with cirrhosis, including liver transplant (LT) candidates. Implications of pre-LT functional and muscle deterioration also affect post-LT outcomes. Patients with cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) have a lower survival rate, both before and after LT. There is a need to better identify those patients with ACLF who would benefit from LT. This review aims to present the available data about frailty and sarcopenia in patients with ACLF in the LT setting. An exhaustive review of the published literature was conducted. Data regarding frailty and sarcopenia in LT candidates with ACLF are scarce and heterogeneous. Studies evaluating frailty and sarcopenia in critically ill patients outside the liver literature are also presented in this review to enrich the knowledge of this field in expansion. Frailty and sarcopenia seem to contribute to worse outcomes in LT candidates with ACLF, both before and after LT. Sarcopenia evaluation may be the most prudent approach for those very sick patients. Skeletal muscle index assessed by computed tomography is recommended to evaluate sarcopenia. The role of muscle ultrasound and bioelectrical impedance analysis is to be determined. Frailty and sarcopenia are crucial factors to consider on a case-by-case basis in LT candidates with ACLF to improve patient outcomes.

UNASSIGNED: The gradual clinical worsening of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) leads to a high 28-day mortality rate. There are several prognostication scores for predicting early mortality in ACLF. Serum phosphate, which is the main component of adenosine tri-phosphate (ATP) synthesis, is utilized for liver synthetic functions, leading to subnormal or decreased serum phosphate levels. Hence more than normal levels of serum phosphate can be used as a marker of decreased liver cell reserve. Hence, we aimed to compare serum phosphate levels with available prognostic scores to assess mortality among ACLF patients.
UNASSIGNED: 100 consecutive ACLF patients according to the Asia Pacific Association for Study of the Liver (APASL) definition were studied. The baseline blood workups and determination of viral bio-markers, serum phosphate, and lactate levels on days 1, 3, and 7 were carried out and prospectively followed up, and the baseline serum phosphate levels were compared with the usual scores to predict the 28-day mortality.
UNASSIGNED: CLIF-SOFA (accuracy 76-91%) followed by CLIF-C score (accuracy 73-84%) and AARC score (accuracy 70-85%) had the statistically significantly highest accuracy as compared with CTP, MELD, and MELD-Na on all three days. Serum phosphate values (accuracy 69-86%) on all three days were not better than the CLIF-SOFA score but better than all other prognostic scores on days 3 and 7.
UNASSIGNED: The high serum phosphate levels on day 3 with a value of more than 6.4 mg/dl showed almost comparable accuracy with CLIF-SOFA for screening short-term mortality. Hence serum phosphate measurement can be used as a simple bedside laboratory investigation to predict mortality in ACLF patients and early interventions in low-resource settings.