Organisation for Economic Co-Operation and Development

经济合作与发展组织
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:危机应对的有效性可能会受到各种结构,文化,和社会系统中的功能方面。这项研究使用配置方法来确定导致经合组织国家COVID-19高病死率(CFR)的社会政治条件组合。
    方法:对38个OECD国家的样本进行了模糊集定性比较分析(QCA)。需要解释的结果是高COVID-19CFR。五个潜在的因果条件是民主水平,状态容量,对政府的信任,人均卫生支出,以及人口的中位年龄。采用了全面的QCA健壮性测试协议,其中包括灵敏度范围,适合的鲁棒性,和面向案例的稳健性测试。
    结果:没有发现高或低水平COVID-19CFR所必需的存在和否定形式的因果条件。在经合组织国家,两种不同的社会政治条件组合通常足以导致COVID-19的高CFR发生。国家能力低下和对政府的信任度低下是这两种方法的一部分。整个解决方案公式涵盖了84%的结果。一些国家被认为是相互矛盾的案例。对他们的COVID-19CFR的解释需要更深入的案例研究。
    结论:从治理的角度来看,政府在有效执行政策方面的弱点,公民对他们的政府缺乏信心,结合其他结构条件,成为有效应对COVID-19的障碍。这些发现可以支持这样一种观点,即COVID-19结果的社会决定因素的影响是相互联系和加强的。
    BACKGROUND: The effectiveness of crisis response can be influenced by various structural, cultural, and functional aspects within a social system. This study uses a configurational approach to identify combinations of sociopolitical conditions that lead to a high case fatality rate (CFR) of COVID-19 in OECD countries.
    METHODS: A Fuzzy set qualitative comparative analysis (QCA) is conducted on a sample of 38 OECD countries. The outcome to be explained is high COVID-19 CFR. The five potentially causal conditions are level of democracy, state capacity, trust in government, health expenditure per capita, and the median age of population. A comprehensive QCA robustness test protocol is applied, which includes sensitivity ranges, fit-oriented robustness, and case-oriented robustness tests.
    RESULTS: None of the causal conditions in both the presence and negation form were found to be necessary for high or low levels of COVID-19 CFR. Two different combinations of sociopolitical conditions were usually sufficient for the occurrence of a high CFR of COVID-19 in OECD countries. Low state capacity and low trust in government are part of both recipes. The entire solution formula covers 84 percent of the outcome.  Some countries have been identified as contradictory cases. The explanations for their COVID-19 CFR require more in-depth case studies.
    CONCLUSIONS: From a governance perspective, the weakness of government in effectively implementing policies, and the citizens\' lack of confidence in their government, combined with other structural conditions, serve as barriers to mounting an effective response to COVID-19. These findings can support the idea that the effects of social determinants of COVID-19 outcomes are interconnected and reinforcing.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    微生物毒性测试在各种科学和技术领域中起着重要作用,包括环境中化合物的风险评估。有大量的标准化测试可用,已由ISO(国际标准化组织)和OECD(经济合作与发展组织)标准化,并在全球范围内接受和应用。本综述的重点是提供有关微生物毒性试验的资料,用于阐明其他实验室测试中的效果,如生物降解测试,并用于预测环境中自然和技术水性隔室的影响。描述了各种标准化测试以及未标准化的方法,并讨论了它们的优缺点。此外,介绍了此类测试的敏感性和实用性,包括与其他生态毒理学测试的简短比较。此外,还证明了微生物毒性测试对生物降解测试的深远影响。描述了由微生物毒性测试组成的接种物(PPI)的生理潜力的新概念,其结果表示为接种物的化学抗性潜力(CRP)和生物降解适应潜力(BAP),这可能有助于表征用于生物降解测试的接种物。关键要点:•ISO和OECD标准化的微生物毒性测试在灵敏度和适用性方面存在很大差异。•标准化的微生物毒性测试与生物降解性测试相结合,为表征生物降解测试的接种物开辟了一条新途径。标准化的微生物毒性测试和生态毒性测试可以形成一个非常有效的工具箱,用于表征化学品的毒性作用。
    Microbial toxicity tests play an important role in various scientific and technical fields including the risk assessment of chemical compounds in the environment. There is a large battery of normalized tests available that have been standardized by ISO (International Organization for Standardization) and OECD (Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development) and which are worldwide accepted and applied. The focus of this review is to provide information on microbial toxicity tests, which are used to elucidate effects in other laboratory tests such as biodegradation tests, and for the prediction of effects in natural and technical aqueous compartments in the environment. The various standardized tests as well as not normalized methods are described and their advantages and disadvantages are discussed. In addition, the sensitivity and usefulness of such tests including a short comparison with other ecotoxicological tests is presented. Moreover, the far-reaching influence of microbial toxicity tests on biodegradation tests is also demonstrated. A new concept of the physiological potential of an inoculum (PPI) consisting of microbial toxicity tests whose results are expressed as a chemical resistance potential (CRP) and the biodegradation adaptation potential (BAP) of an inoculum is described that may be helpful to characterize inocula used for biodegradation tests. KEY POINTS: • Microbial toxicity tests standardized by ISO and OECD have large differences in sensitivity and applicability. • Standardized microbial toxicity tests in combination with biodegradability tests open a new way to characterize inocula for biodegradation tests. • Standardized microbial toxicity tests together with ecotoxicity tests can form a very effective toolbox for the characterization of toxic effects of chemicals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究旨在筛选空气清新剂等消费品中发现的化学物质的吸入毒性,香水,和使用机器学习模型提交给K-REACH的防雾剂。我们根据OECD测试指南403(急性吸入)手动整理了吸入毒性数据,412(亚急性吸入),OECDeChemPortal数据库中的1709种化学品为413种(亚慢性吸入)。机器学习模型使用十种算法进行训练,以及四个分子指纹(MACCS,摩根,Topo,RDKit)和分子描述符,在测试数据集中,F1得分从51%到91%不等。利用高性能模型,我们对化学品进行了虚拟筛选,最初将它们应用于通常在职业环境中使用的数据丰富的化学品,以确定预测不确定性。结果显示灵敏度高(75%)但特异性低(23%),这表明我们的模型有助于对化学物质进行保守筛选。随后,我们将这些模型应用于消费品化学品,确定79为高度关注。大多数优先化学品缺乏与吸入毒性相关的全球统一制度分类,尽管它们被预测用于许多消费品。这项研究强调了关于消费品化学品吸入风险的潜在监管盲点,同时也表明了人工智能(AI)模型在筛选层面帮助优先考虑化学品的潜力。
    This study aimed to screen the inhalation toxicity of chemicals found in consumer products such as air fresheners, fragrances, and anti-fogging agents submitted to K-REACH using machine learning models. We manually curated inhalation toxicity data based on OECD test guideline 403 (Acute inhalation), 412 (Sub-acute inhalation), and 413 (Sub-chronic inhalation) for 1709 chemicals from the OECD eChemPortal database. Machine learning models were trained using ten algorithms, along with four molecular fingerprints (MACCS, Morgan, Topo, RDKit) and molecular descriptors, achieving F1 scores ranging from 51 % to 91 % in test dataset. Leveraging the high-performing models, we conducted a virtual screening of chemicals, initially applying them to data-rich chemicals generally used in occupational settings to determine the prediction uncertainty. Results showed high sensitivity (75 %) but low specificity (23 %), suggesting that our models can contribute to conservative screening of chemicals. Subsequently, we applied the models to consumer product chemicals, identifying 79 as of high concern. Most of the prioritized chemicals lacked GHS classifications related to inhalation toxicity, even though they were predicted to be used in many consumer products. This study highlights a potential regulatory blind spot concerning the inhalation risk of consumer product chemicals while also indicating the potential of artificial intelligence (AI) models to aid in prioritizing chemicals at the screening level.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在当今世界,气候变化的巨大影响继续增加,从化石燃料转向可再生能源对于实现各国在巴黎气候协定和COP27会议上承诺的二氧化碳减排目标至关重要。本研究分析了宏观经济因素的影响,包括经济增长,投资,失业,经合组织国家向可再生能源的过渡。从1996年到2020年,使用先进的计量经济学方法对变量之间的长期关系进行了实证分析。为此,面板数据分析,第二代面板单位根测试,横截面依赖性测试,并应用面板协整检验。经济上,从长远来看,根据小组CCCEMG和AMG估计器,虽然经济增长促进了可再生能源的转型,投资在统计上不会促进对可再生能源转型的影响。可再生能源转型随着失业而增加。此外,考虑的变量在可再生能源转型中的作用因国家而异。在所获得结果的框架内,事实证明,在确定可再生能源转型政策之前,有必要在经济中做必要的基础工作,以增加经济增长和投资,减少失业。
    In today\'s world, where the dramatic effects of climate change continue to increase, it is critical to turn from fossil fuels to renewable energy sources to achieve the CO2 emission reduction targets that countries have committed at the Paris Climate Agreement and COP 27 conference. This study analyzes the effects of macroeconomic factors, including economic growth, investments, and unemployment, on the transition to renewable energy in OECD countries. From 1996 to 2020, long-run relationships between variables were examined using advanced econometric methodologies for empirical analysis. For this purpose, panel data analysis, second-generation panel unit root tests, cross-sectional dependence tests, and panel cointegration tests were applied. Economically, in the long run, according to panel CCEMG and AMG estimator, while economic growth enhances the renewable energy transitions, investment does not statistically promote an impact on the renewable energy transitions. Renewable energy transition increases with unemployment. Moreover, the role of the considered variables in the renewable energy transition varies among country-specific. Within the framework of the results obtained, it has been proven that before determining policies for renewable energy transformation, it is necessary to do the necessary groundwork in the economy to increase economic growth and investments and reduce unemployment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究调查了经合组织国家的健康主导增长假说(HLGH),研究卫生支出如何影响经济增长以及不同卫生筹资系统在这种关系中的作用。
    利用2000年至2019年对38个经合组织国家的综合分析,采用了先进的计量经济学方法。两种第二代面板数据估计器(动态CCEMG,CS-ARDL,AMG)和第一代型号(带PMG的面板ARDL,FMOLS,DOLS)用于检验假设。
    研究结果证实了卫生支出对经济增长的积极影响,支持HLGH。在不同的卫生筹资系统中,卫生支出刺激经济增长的能力存在显着差异,包括俾斯麦号,贝弗里奇,私人健康保险,和过渡中的系统模型。
    这项研究通过提供对卫生支出与经济增长之间关系的详尽分析,丰富了正在进行的学术对话。它为决策者提供了有关如何优化卫生投资以促进经济发展的宝贵见解,考虑到不同卫生筹资框架的不同影响。
    UNASSIGNED: This study investigates the Health-Led Growth Hypothesis (HLGH) within OECD countries, examining how health expenditures influence economic growth and the role of different health financing systems in this relationship.
    UNASSIGNED: Utilizing a comprehensive analysis spanning 2000 to 2019 across 38 OECD countries, advanced econometric methodologies were employed. Both second-generation panel data estimators (Dynamic CCEMG, CS-ARDL, AMG) and first-generation models (Panel ARDL with PMG, FMOLS, DOLS) were utilized to test the hypothesis.
    UNASSIGNED: The findings confirm the positive impact of health expenditures on economic growth, supporting the HLGH. Significant disparities were observed in the ability of health expenditures to stimulate economic growth across different health financing systems, including the Bismarck, Beveridge, Private Health Insurance, and System in Transition models.
    UNASSIGNED: This study enriches the ongoing academic dialog by providing an exhaustive analysis of the relationship between health expenditures and economic growth. It offers valuable insights for policymakers on how to optimize health investments to enhance economic development, considering the varying effects of different health financing frameworks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在不同的法规下,对用于化学安全性评估的动物测试的限制和禁令越来越多,导致越来越多地使用替代方法。阅读是用于此目的的主要方法之一,这依赖于从其他已经测试(源)类似化学品的数据中识别数据不足或未经测试(目标)化学品的毒理学危害。这要求首先将目标物质分配给一组或一类“类似”化学品。“相似性”可能仅在结构特征方面,或与基于机械和/或毒理学方面的某些规则相结合。在这方面,OECDQSAR工具箱是一个主要的计算机模拟平台,广泛用于得出一系列(生态)毒理学终点的毒性预测.工具箱允许用户通过包含不同结构警报的计算“分析器”来识别一组类似的化学物质(类似物),或与特定毒理学终点相关的结构警报和物理化学和/或毒物动力学规则的组合。这项研究的总体目标是评估OECDQSAR工具箱中提供的计算机分析器的性能,以确定在许多高质量的诱变性数据库中用于类别形成的化学类似物的可靠性,致癌性,和皮肤致敏。该研究还旨在确定分析器性能存在任何限制的原因,并提出提高其整体准确性的方法。结果表明,虽然一些结构性警报在可接受的范围内符合目的,其他人需要改进或考虑他们可能被排除在分析器之外。这种改进对于可靠地使用分析器进行读取和分组/分类以进行分类是必不可少的,化学品的标签和风险评估。
    Growing restrictions and bans on animal testing for chemical safety assessment under different regulations have led to an increasing use of alternative methods. Read-across is one of the major approaches used for this purpose, which relies on the identification of toxicological hazards of a data-poor or untested (target) chemical from data on other already-tested (source) similar chemicals. This requires the target substance to be first assigned to a group or category of \'similar\' chemicals. The \'similarity\' may be in terms of structural features alone, or in combination with certain rules that are based on mechanistic and/or toxicological aspects. In this regard, the OECD QSAR toolbox-a major free-access in silico platform-is widely used to derive toxicity predictions for a range of (eco) toxicological endpoints. The Toolbox allows the user to identify a set of similar chemicals (analogues) by computational \'profilers\' that incorporate different structural alerts, or a combination of structural alerts and physicochemical and/or toxicokinetic rules relevant to a specific toxicological endpoint. The overall aim of this study was to assess the performance of the in silico profilers provided in the OECD QSAR Toolbox for reliability for identifying chemical analogues for category formation in a number of high-quality databases on mutagenicity, carcinogenicity, and skin sensitisation. The study also aimed to identify the reasons for any limitations in the performance of the profilers, and propose ways to improve their overall accuracy. The results showed that whilst some structural alerts are fit-for-purpose as such within the acceptable limits, others need refinement or a consideration for their possible exclusion from the profiler. Such refinements are imperative for a reliable use of the profilers in read-across and grouping/categorisation for classification, labelling and risk assessment of chemicals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    医疗保健专业人员在临床实践中拥有与患者的第一手经验以及医疗保健系统的动态,这在设计中很有价值,实施,数据分析和传播研究结果。初级保健专业人员特别重要,因为他们提供第一次接触,可访问,协调,全面和持续的以人为本的护理。然而,深入审查卫生专业人员参与卫生系统研究和规划活动的情况——专业人员是如何参与的,以及这在不同国家的背景下是如何变化的——是有限的,特别是在国际倡议中。有必要查明参与活动规划中的差距,以便为设计和成功实施未来国际努力提供信息,以提高卫生系统对患者和专业人员不断变化的需求的反应能力。这项研究的目的是探讨初级保健专业人员如何参与由经济合作与发展组织(OECD)领导的国际卫生政策研究的设计和实施计划。OECD的国际PaRIS调查衡量并传播有关在初级保健中管理的慢性病患者的患者报告结果和经验措施(PROM和PREM)的信息。2023年1月至6月间对17项书面国家实施计划(国家路线图)进行了文献分析。两名审阅者独立进行了筛选和数据抽象,并通过讨论解决了分歧。我们报告了预定的目标初级保健专业人员,研究阶段,参与渠道,参与程度,和参与的目的。所有17个国家的目标都是让初级保健专业人员参与国际PaRIS调查的执行计划。虽然初级保健专业人员的组织,尤其是家庭医生,是最常见的目标群体,在研究的不同阶段,参与活动的时间和参与水平都存在差异,从共同发展(一半的国家与初级保健专业人员共同开发了调查)到与谁进行一次性协商。国际指导促进了初级保健专业人员的参与。国际和国家两级的持续合作努力可以促进与初级保健组织和个人专业人员的参与文化,并增强初级保健专业人员的有意义的参与。
    Healthcare professionals have first-hand experience with patients in clinical practice and the dynamics in the healthcare system, which can be of great value in the design, implementation, data analysis and dissemination of research study results. Primary care professionals are particularly important as they provide first contact, accessible, coordinated, comprehensive and continuous people-focused care. However, in-depth examination of the engagement of health professionals in health system research and planning activities-how professionals are engaged and how this varies across national contexts- is limited, particularly in international initiatives. There is a need to identify gaps in the planning of engagement activities to inform the design and successful implementation of future international efforts to improve the responsiveness of health systems to the changing needs of patients and professionals. The aim of this study was to explore how primary care professionals were engaged in the design and implementation plans of an international health policy study led by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The OECD\'s international PaRIS survey measures and disseminates information on patient-reported outcome and experience measures (PROMs and PREMs) of people living with chronic conditions who are managed in primary care. A documentary analysis of 17 written national implementation plans (country roadmaps) was conducted between January and June 2023. Two reviewers independently performed the screening and data abstraction and resolved disagreements by discussion. We reported the intended target primary care professionals, phase of the study, channel of engagement, level of engagement, and purpose of engagement. All 17 countries aimed to engage primary care professionals in the execution plans for the international PaRIS survey. While organisations of primary care professionals, particularly of family doctors, were the most commonly targeted group, variation was found in the timing of engagement activities during the different phases of the study and in the level of engagement, ranging from co-development (half of the countries co-developed the survey together with primary care professionals) to one-off consultations with whom. International guidance facilitated the participation of primary care professionals. Continuous collaborative efforts at the international and national levels can foster a culture of engagement with primary care organisations and individual professionals and enhance meaningful engagement of primary care professionals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    经合组织已经批准了两种类似的方法来测试化学品的光毒性效力。第一种方法,OECD432基于暴露于光后材料对小鼠3T3(克隆A31)细胞系(成纤维细胞)的细胞毒性特性。第二种方法,OECD498基于相同的特性,但使用重建的人表皮-EpiDerm(分层角质形成细胞)。本研究的目的是使用统计检验(特异性,灵敏度,负预测值,正预测值和准确性)和非统计特征(例如价格和实验持续时间,材料量,并发症的水平,细胞类型,辐照剂量)。两种测试均根据相关指南使用相同的11种对照物质进行。在光毒性和非光毒性分类中,OECD432的性能值均较高。OECD432的准确度为90.9%,OECD498为72.7%。OECD432也更短,更便宜。另一方面,OECD498没有那么复杂,用人类角质层细胞,更好地反映真实的皮肤。该方法也可用于难溶于水的油性物质。然而,这两种方法对于测试材料的光毒性都很重要,并且可以单独使用或在分层策略中使用。
    The OECD has approved two similar methods for testing the phototoxic potency of chemicals. The first method, OECD 432, is based on the cytotoxicity properties of materials to the mouse 3T3 (clone A31) cell line (fibroblasts) after exposure to light. The second method, OECD 498, is based on the same properties but using reconstructed human epidermis - EpiDerm (stratified keratinocytes). The aim of this study was to compare these two methods using statistical tests (specificity, sensitivity, negative predictive value, positive predictive value and accuracy) and non-statistical characteristics (e.g. price and experimental duration, amount of material, level of complications, cell type, irradiation dose). Both tests were performed according to the relevant guidelines using the same 11 control substances. Higher performance values were observed for OECD 432 in both phototoxic and non-phototoxic classifications. The accuracy of OECD 432 was 90.9%, while that of OECD 498 was 72.7%. OECD 432 was also shorter and less expensive. On the other hand, OECD 498 was less complicated, and used human cells with stratum corneum, which better reflects real skin. This method can also be used with oily substances that are poorly soluble in water. However, both methods are important for testing the phototoxic properties of materials, and can be used alone or in a tiered strategy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    绿色增长对于解决环境问题和实现可持续发展目标具有重要意义。然而,现有文献尚未研究绿色增长如何影响环境退化和环境可持续性变量。鉴于这种差距,这项研究旨在分析绿色增长和制度质量对二氧化碳排放的影响,通过构建三个不同的模型,研究了经合组织国家的生态足迹和逆负荷能力因子。分析结果表明,(i)从长远来看,绿色生长对CO2,生态足迹和反向负荷能力因子具有显着的缓解和区分作用。绿色增长增加了1%,减少了CO2,生态足迹和反向负载能力因子0.563%,证明了这一点。0.373%和0.198%,分别。(i)绿色增长对CO2和反向负荷容量因子的长期影响为负,且具有统计学意义;(ii)绿色增长对CO2和反向负荷容量因子的短期影响为负,且具有统计学意义;(iii)制度质量对恶化的长期影响为正,且显著;(iv)人口对恶化和可持续性的影响为显著且混合。研究结果表明,经合组织国家的决策者在制定可持续发展目标时,应审查绿色能源政策,因为环境可持续性比减少污染更具挑战性。
    Green growth is of great importance in terms of solving environmental problems and achieving sustainable development goals. However, the existing literature has not investigated how green growth affects environmental degradation and environmental sustainability variables. In light of this gap, this study aims to analyse the impact of green growth and institutional quality on CO2 emissions, ecological footprint and inverse load capacity factor in OECD countries by constructing three different models. The results of the analysis indicate that (i) green growth exerts a significant mitigating and differentiating effect on CO2, ecological footprint and inverted load capacity factor in the long run. This is evidenced by a 1% increase in green growth reducing CO2, ecological footprint and inverted load capacity factor by 0.563%, 0.373% and 0.198%, respectively. (i) The impact of green growth on CO2 and inverted load capacity factor in the long run is negative and statistically significant; (ii) the impact of green growth on CO2 and inverted load capacity factor in the short run is negative and statistically significant; (iii) the impact of institutional quality on deterioration is positive and significant in the long run; (iv) the impact of population on deterioration and sustainability is significant and mixed. The findings indicate that decision-makers in OECD countries should review green energy policies when setting the sustainable development goals, as environmental sustainability is more challenging than reducing pollution.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在当前知识经济时代,国家研究系统的能力是国家竞争力和社会经济发展的关键驱动力。本文比较了经合组织国家和其他八个相关经济体的科学地位。我们使用研究绩效的文献计量指标,首先在个人层面应用。这种方法避免了文献和实践中现存的总体水平分析的扭曲,这忽略了不同研究领域的不同出版强度。我们发现研究绩效与国家经济竞争力之间存在很强的相关性,研究绩效与研究支出倾向之间存在中等但显着的相关性。
    In the current knowledge-based economy, the abilities of the national research system are a key driver of the country\'s competitiveness and socio-economic development. This paper compares the scientific standing of the OECD countries and eight other relevant economies. We use a bibliometric indicator of research performance, applied first at the individual level. This approach avoids the distortions of the aggregate-level analyses extant in literature and practice, which overlook the different publication intensities across research fields. We find a strong correlation between research performance and the economic competitiveness of nations and a moderate but significant correlation between research performance and the propensity to spend on research.
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