Generalizability

泛化
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    近年来,用于分析文本数据的自然语言处理(NLP)技术取得了快速而巨大的进步。这项研究努力通过检查NLP应用在1990年至2021年的咨询和心理治疗中的使用情况来提供最新的审查。这次范围审查的目的是确定趋势,进步,这些应用的挑战和局限性。在这篇综述中的41篇论文中,确定了4个主要研究目的:(1)开发自动编码;(2)预测结果;(3)监测咨询会议;(4)调查语言模式。我们的研究结果表明,利用先进机器学习方法的论文数量呈上升趋势,特别是神经网络。不幸的是,只有三分之一的文章解决了偏见和普遍性问题。我们的发现提供了及时的系统更新,阐明与偏见有关的担忧,NLP在咨询和心理治疗中应用的普遍性和有效性。
    Recent years have witnessed some rapid and tremendous progress in natural language processing (NLP) techniques that are used to analyse text data. This study endeavours to offer an up-to-date review of NLP applications by examining their use in counselling and psychotherapy from 1990 to 2021. The purpose of this scoping review is to identify trends, advancements, challenges and limitations of these applications. Among the 41 papers included in this review, 4 primary study purposes were identified: (1) developing automated coding; (2) predicting outcomes; (3) monitoring counselling sessions; and (4) investigating language patterns. Our findings showed a growing trend in the number of papers utilizing advanced machine learning methods, particularly neural networks. Unfortunately, only a third of the articles addressed the issues of bias and generalizability. Our findings provided a timely systematic update, shedding light on concerns related to bias, generalizability and validity in the context of NLP applications in counselling and psychotherapy.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:胸部X射线(CXR)是全球最常用的影像学检查之一。由于它的广泛使用,越来越需要自动化和通用的方法来准确诊断这些图像。由于成像协议的变化,传统的胸部X射线分析方法通常难以在不同的数据集上进行概括。患者人口统计学,和重叠的解剖结构的存在。因此,对于能够在不同患者人群和影像学设置中一致识别异常的高级诊断工具存在显著需求.我们提出了一种可以提供胸部X射线诊断的方法。
    方法:我们的方法利用注意力引导分解器网络(ADSC)从胸部X射线图像中提取疾病图。ADSC采用一个编码器和多个解码器,整合了一种新颖的自我一致性损失,以确保其模块之间的功能一致。注意力引导编码器捕获异常的显著特征,虽然三个不同的解码器生成一个正常的合成图像,一张疾病地图,和重建的输入图像,分别。鉴别器区分真实和合成的正常胸部X光,增强生成的图像的质量。疾病图与原始胸部X射线图像一起被馈送到DenseNet-121分类器,该分类器被修改用于输入X射线的多类别分类。
    结果:在多个公开可用数据集上的实验结果证明了我们方法的有效性。对于多类分类,与现有方法相比,我们对某些异常的AUROC评分提高了3%.对于二元分类(正常与异常),我们的方法超越了各种数据集的现有方法。就概括性而言,我们在一个数据集上训练我们的模型,并在多个数据集上测试它。计算不同测试数据集的AUROC评分的标准偏差以测量数据集之间的性能变化性。我们的模型在来自不同来源的数据集上表现出卓越的概括。
    结论:我们的模型对胸部X线的可推广诊断显示了有希望的结果。从结果中可以明显看出,在我们的方法中使用注意力机制和自我一致性丧失的影响。在未来,我们计划采用可解释的人工智能技术,为模型决策提供解释。此外,我们的目标是设计数据增强技术,以减少我们模型中的类不平衡。
    BACKGROUND: Chest X-ray (CXR) is one of the most commonly performed imaging tests worldwide. Due to its wide usage, there is a growing need for automated and generalizable methods to accurately diagnose these images. Traditional methods for chest X-ray analysis often struggle with generalization across diverse datasets due to variations in imaging protocols, patient demographics, and the presence of overlapping anatomical structures. Therefore, there is a significant demand for advanced diagnostic tools that can consistently identify abnormalities across different patient populations and imaging settings. We propose a method that can provide a generalizable diagnosis of chest X-ray.
    METHODS: Our method utilizes an attention-guided decomposer network (ADSC) to extract disease maps from chest X-ray images. The ADSC employs one encoder and multiple decoders, incorporating a novel self-consistency loss to ensure consistent functionality across its modules. The attention-guided encoder captures salient features of abnormalities, while three distinct decoders generate a normal synthesized image, a disease map, and a reconstructed input image, respectively. A discriminator differentiates the real and the synthesized normal chest X-rays, enhancing the quality of generated images. The disease map along with the original chest X-ray image are fed to a DenseNet-121 classifier modified for multi-class classification of the input X-ray.
    RESULTS: Experimental results on multiple publicly available datasets demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach. For multi-class classification, we achieve up to a 3% improvement in AUROC score for certain abnormalities compared to the existing methods. For binary classification (normal versus abnormal), our method surpasses existing approaches across various datasets. In terms of generalizability, we train our model on one dataset and tested it on multiple datasets. The standard deviation of AUROC scores for different test datasets is calculated to measure the variability of performance across datasets. Our model exhibits superior generalization across datasets from diverse sources.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our model shows promising results for the generalizable diagnosis of chest X-rays. The impacts of using the attention mechanism and the self-consistency loss in our method are evident from the results. In the future, we plan to incorporate Explainable AI techniques to provide explanations for model decisions. Additionally, we aim to design data augmentation techniques to reduce class imbalance in our model.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    典型的实证研究包括选择样本,一个研究设计,和分析路径。研究中此类选择的差异导致结果的异质性,从而引入了额外的不确定性层,限制发表的科学发现的普遍性。我们提供了一个研究社会科学中异质性的框架,并将异质性划分为人口,设计,和分析异质性。我们的框架表明,在考虑到异质性之后,被检验的假设对于平均人口是正确的概率,设计,和分析路径可能远低于统计上显著的个别研究的名义错误率所暗示的。我们从70个多实验室复制研究中估计了每种类型的异质性,采用不同实验设计的研究的11项前瞻性荟萃分析,和5项多重分析研究。在我们的数据中,种群异质性往往相对较小,而设计和分析的异质性很大。我们的结果应该是,然而,由于研究数量有限,异质性估计存在很大的不确定性,因此应谨慎解释。我们讨论了在不同方法的背景下解析和解释异质性的几种方法。
    A typical empirical study involves choosing a sample, a research design, and an analysis path. Variation in such choices across studies leads to heterogeneity in results that introduce an additional layer of uncertainty, limiting the generalizability of published scientific findings. We provide a framework for studying heterogeneity in the social sciences and divide heterogeneity into population, design, and analytical heterogeneity. Our framework suggests that after accounting for heterogeneity, the probability that the tested hypothesis is true for the average population, design, and analysis path can be much lower than implied by nominal error rates of statistically significant individual studies. We estimate each type\'s heterogeneity from 70 multilab replication studies, 11 prospective meta-analyses of studies employing different experimental designs, and 5 multianalyst studies. In our data, population heterogeneity tends to be relatively small, whereas design and analytical heterogeneity are large. Our results should, however, be interpreted cautiously due to the limited number of studies and the large uncertainty in the heterogeneity estimates. We discuss several ways to parse and account for heterogeneity in the context of different methodologies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    揭示anoikis抗性在CRC中的作用对于CRC的诊断和治疗具有重要意义。本研究整合了CRC失巢凋亡相关关键基因(CRC-AKGs),建立了一种新的模型,以提高CRC预后评估的效率和准确性。
    通过差异表达和单变量Cox分析筛选出CRC-ARGs。通过LASSO机器学习算法获得CRC-AKGs,构建LASSO风险评分,结合临床预测因子构建列线图临床预测模型。并行,这项工作开发了一个基于网络的动态列线图,以促进我们模型的推广和实际应用。
    我们确定了10个CRC-AKGs,并计算了与风险相关的预后风险评分。多因素COX回归分析表明,风险评分,TNM阶段,年龄和年龄是与CRC预后显著相关的独立危险因素(p<0.05)。建立预后模型以令人满意的准确性(3年AUC=0.815)预测CRC个体的结果。网络交互式列线图(https://yuexiazhang.shinyapps.io/anosikisCRC/)显示出我们模型的强泛化性。并行,在目前的工作中发现了肿瘤微环境与风险评分之间的实质性相关性.
    这项研究揭示了anoikis在CRC中的潜在作用,并基于临床和测序数据为大肠癌的临床决策提供了新的见解。此外,交互式工具为研究人员提供了一个用户友好的界面,以输入相关临床变量,并根据我们建立的模型获得个性化的风险预测或预后评估.
    UNASSIGNED: Revealing the role of anoikis resistance plays in CRC is significant for CRC diagnosis and treatment. This study integrated the CRC anoikis-related key genes (CRC-AKGs) and established a novel model for improving the efficiency and accuracy of the prognostic evaluation of CRC.
    UNASSIGNED: CRC-ARGs were screened out by performing differential expression and univariate Cox analysis. CRC-AKGs were obtained through the LASSO machine learning algorithm and the LASSO Risk-Score was constructed to build a nomogram clinical prediction model combined with the clinical predictors. In parallel, this work developed a web-based dynamic nomogram to facilitate the generalization and practical application of our model.
    UNASSIGNED: We identified 10 CRC-AKGs and a risk-related prognostic Risk-Score was calculated. Multivariate COX regression analysis indicated that the Risk-Score, TNM stage, and age were independent risk factors that significantly associated with the CRC prognosis(p < 0.05). A prognostic model was built to predict the outcome with satisfied accuracy (3-year AUC = 0.815) for CRC individuals. The web interactive nomogram (https://yuexiaozhang.shinyapps.io/anoikisCRC/) showed strong generalizability of our model. In parallel, a substantial correlation between tumor microenvironment and Risk-Score was discovered in the present work.
    UNASSIGNED: This study reveals the potential role of anoikis in CRC and sets new insights into clinical decision-making in colorectal cancer based on both clinical and sequencing data. Also, the interactive tool provides researchers with a user-friendly interface to input relevant clinical variables and obtain personalized risk predictions or prognostic assessments based on our established model.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症是一种对心理治疗或药物有反应的可治疗的疾病;每种疾病的疗效已在数百项对照试验中确立。尽管如此,尽管存在有效的治疗方法,但近年来抑郁症的患病率仍在增加,这种现象被称为治疗-患病率悖论.我们考虑这个悖论的几种可能的解释,这包括对抑郁症本质的误解,已建立的治疗方法的功效膨胀,缺乏有效的治疗方法。我们发现这些可能的解释中的每一个都得到了支持,尤其是很大一部分人群无法获得按预期实施的有效治疗的观点。最后,我们描述了使用非专业治疗师和数字技术来克服这种缺乏机会并覆盖历史上服务不足的人群并同时保证所提供干预措施的质量的潜力。
    Depression is an eminently treatable disorder that responds to psychotherapy or medications; the efficacy of each has been established in hundreds of controlled trials. Nonetheless, the prevalence of depression has increased in recent years despite the existence of efficacious treatments-a phenomenon known as the treatment-prevalence paradox. We consider several possible explanations for this paradox, which range from a misunderstanding of the very nature of depression, inflated efficacy of the established treatments, and a lack of access to efficacious delivery of treatments. We find support for each of these possible explanations but especially the notion that large segments of the population lack access to efficacious treatments that are implemented as intended. We conclude by describing the potential of using lay therapists and digital technologies to overcome this lack of access and to reach historically underserved populations and simultaneously guarantee the quality of the interventions delivered.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:设计心力衰竭(HF)临床试验的传统方法历来依赖于专业知识和过去的实践。然而,不断发展的医疗保健景观,以新型数据科学应用的出现和数据可用性的增加为标志,提供了一个令人信服的机会,在试验设计中过渡到数据驱动的范式。这项研究旨在通过利用自然语言处理来分析试验资格标准来评估临床试验和注册之间差异的范围和决定因素。这些发现有助于建立一个强大的设计框架,以指导未来的HF试验。
    结果:确定了截至2021年底在ClinicalTrials.gov上注册的HF介入III期试验。自然语言处理用于提取和构建定量分析的合格标准。射血分数降低的HF(HFrEF)的最常见标准用于评估ASIAN-HF(N=4868)和BIOSTAT-CHF注册(N=2545)中注册患者的比例。在针对HF的375个III期试验中,确定了163项HFrEF试验。在这些试验中,最常遇到的纳入标准是纽约心脏协会(NYHA)功能等级(69%),HF恶化(23%),和利钠肽(18%),而最常见的基于合并症的排除标准是急性冠脉综合征(64%),肾脏疾病(55%),和心脏瓣膜病(47%)。平均而言,20%的注册患者符合HFrEF试验的条件。亚洲人[中位资格0.20,四分位距(IQR)0.08-0.43]和欧洲注册人群(中位资格0.17,IQR0.06-0.39)之间的资格分布没有差异(P=0.18)。随着时间的推移,HFrEF试验变得更加严格,患者资格从1985-2005年的0.40下降至2016-2022年的0.19(P=0.03).当考虑到试验中的频率时,最严格的资格标准是既往心肌梗死,NYHA类,年龄,和以前的HF住院。
    结论:基于14项试验标准,只有五分之一的注册患者符合III期HFrEF试验的条件.亚洲和欧洲患者队列的总体合格率没有差异。
    OBJECTIVE: Traditional approaches to designing clinical trials for heart failure (HF) have historically relied on expertise and past practices. However, the evolving landscape of healthcare, marked by the advent of novel data science applications and increased data availability, offers a compelling opportunity to transition towards a data-driven paradigm in trial design. This research aims to evaluate the scope and determinants of disparities between clinical trials and registries by leveraging natural language processing for the analysis of trial eligibility criteria. The findings contribute to the establishment of a robust design framework for guiding future HF trials.
    RESULTS: Interventional phase III trials registered for HF on ClinicalTrials.gov as of the end of 2021 were identified. Natural language processing was used to extract and structure the eligibility criteria for quantitative analysis. The most common criteria for HF with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) were applied to estimate patient eligibility as a proportion of registry patients in the ASIAN-HF (N = 4868) and BIOSTAT-CHF registries (N = 2545). Of the 375 phase III trials for HF, 163 HFrEF trials were identified. In these trials, the most frequently encountered inclusion criteria were New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class (69%), worsening HF (23%), and natriuretic peptides (18%), whereas the most frequent comorbidity-based exclusion criteria were acute coronary syndrome (64%), renal disease (55%), and valvular heart disease (47%). On average, 20% of registry patients were eligible for HFrEF trials. Eligibility distributions did not differ (P = 0.18) between Asian [median eligibility 0.20, interquartile range (IQR) 0.08-0.43] and European registry populations (median 0.17, IQR 0.06-0.39). With time, HFrEF trials became more restrictive, where patient eligibility declined from 0.40 in 1985-2005 to 0.19 in 2016-2022 (P = 0.03). When frequency among trials is taken into consideration, the eligibility criteria that were most restrictive were prior myocardial infarction, NYHA class, age, and prior HF hospitalization.
    CONCLUSIONS: Based on 14 trial criteria, only one-fifth of registry patients were eligible for phase III HFrEF trials. Overall eligibility rates did not differ between the Asian and European patient cohorts.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    将社会经济地位(SES)作为自变量进行测量具有挑战性,尤其是在流行病学和社会研究中。这个问题在国家一级的大规模研究中更为关键。本研究旨在广泛评估伊朗SES问卷的有效性和可靠性。
    这种心理测量学,对3000户家庭进行了横断面研究,通过随机整群抽样从东阿塞拜疆省和德黑兰的不同地区选出,伊朗。此外,来自大不里士医科大学的250名学生被选为采访员,从伊朗40个地区收集数据。使用探索性和验证性因素分析以及Cronbachα评估SES问卷的结构效度和内部一致性。数据分析采用SPSS和AMOS。
    完整的伊朗版本的SES问卷由5个因素组成。Cronbach的α值计算为0.79、0.94、0.66、0.69和0.48,经济能力的自我评估,房子和家具,财富,和卫生支出,分别。此外,验证性因素分析结果表明数据与5因素模型(比较拟合指数=0.96;拟合优度指数=0.95;增量拟合指数=0.96;近似均方根误差=0.05)的相容性。
    根据结果,该工具的确证的有效性和可靠性表明,伊朗版本的SES问卷可以广泛使用相同的结构,并且可以适用于更广泛人群的SES测量.
    UNASSIGNED: Measuring socioeconomic status (SES) as an independent variable is challenging, especially in epidemiological and social studies. This issue is more critical in large-scale studies on the national level. The present study aimed to extensively evaluate the validity and reliability of the Iranian SES questionnaire.
    UNASSIGNED: This psychometric, cross-sectional study was conducted on 3000 households, selected via random cluster sampling from various areas in East Azerbaijan province and Tehran, Iran. Moreover, 250 students from Tabriz University of Medical Sciences were selected as interviewers to collect data from 40 districts in Iran. The construct validity and internal consistency of the SES questionnaire were assessed using exploratory and confirmatory factor analyses and the Cronbach\'s alpha. Data analysis was performed in SPSS and AMOS.
    UNASSIGNED: The complete Iranian version of the SES questionnaire consists of 5 factors. The Cronbach\'s alpha was calculated to be 0.79, 0.94, 0.66, 0.69, and 0.48 for the occupation, self-evaluation of economic capacity, house and furniture, wealth, and health expenditure, respectively. In addition, the confirmatory factor analysis results indicated the data\'s compatibility with the 5-factor model (comparative fit index = 0.96; goodness of fit index = 0.95; incremental fit index = 0.96; root mean square error of approximation = 0.05).
    UNASSIGNED: According to the results, the confirmed validity and reliability of the tool indicated that the Iranian version of the SES questionnaire could be utilized with the same structure on an extensive level and could be applicable for measuring the SES in a broader range of populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    文献显示,美国亚裔美国人的年龄标准化痴呆发病率不同,夏威夷原住民,和太平洋岛民(AANHPI),但由于缺乏AANHPI纵向概率样本,因此不存在对人群代表性痴呆发病率的估计.我们使用加利福尼亚州健康访谈调查比较了AANHPIKaiserPermanente北加州成员(KPNC队列)与AANHPI60+的目标人群之间的协调特征。我们使用稳定的选择权重倒数几率(sIOSW)来估计目标人群中种族特定的粗和年龄标准化的痴呆发病率以及90岁时的累积风险。KPNC队列和目标人群之间的差异因种族而异。sIOSW消除了较大种族群体的大多数差异;较小的群体仍然存在一些差异。使用sIOSW估计的粗痴呆发病率(与未加权)在中国相似,菲律宾人,太平洋岛民和越南人,日语更高,韩国人,南亚人。南亚人的未加权和加权年龄标准化发病率不同。所有组的未加权和加权累积风险相似。我们估计了AANHPI种族中第一个具有人口代表性的痴呆发病率和累积风险。我们遇到了一些估计问题,加权估计不精确,突出挑战,使用权重将推论扩展到目标人群。
    Literature shows heterogeneous age-standardized dementia incidence rates across US Asian American, Native Hawaiian, and Pacific Islanders (AANHPI), but no estimates of population-representative dementia incidence exist due to lack of AANHPI longitudinal probability samples. We compared harmonized characteristics between AANHPI Kaiser Permanente Northern California members (KPNC cohort) and the target population of AANHPI 60+ with private or Medicare insurance using the California Health Interview Survey. We used stabilized inverse odds of selection weights (sIOSW) to estimate ethnicity-specific crude and age-standardized dementia incidence rates and cumulative risk by age 90 in the target population. Differences between the KPNC cohort and target population varied by ethnicity. sIOSW eliminated most differences in larger ethnic groups; some differences remained in smaller groups. Estimated crude dementia incidence rates using sIOSW (versus unweighted) were similar in Chinese, Filipinos, Pacific Islanders and Vietnamese, and higher in Japanese, Koreans, and South Asians. Unweighted and weighted age-standardized incidence rates differed for South Asians. Unweighted and weighted cumulative risk were similar for all groups. We estimated the first population-representative dementia incidence rates and cumulative risk in AANHPI ethnic groups. We encountered some estimation problems and weighted estimates were imprecise, highlighting challenges using weighting to extend inferences to target populations.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    用于医学图像分析的深度学习分类模型通常对来自用于获取训练数据的扫描仪的数据表现良好。然而,当这些模型应用于来自不同供应商的数据时,他们的表现往往会大幅下降。仅在来自特定扫描仪的扫描内发生的工件是这种较差的可泛化性的主要原因。我们旨在使用一种称为基于不确定性的实例排除(UBIX)的新颖方法来增强深度学习分类模型的可靠性。UBIX是可在多实例学习(MIL)设置中采用的推理时间模块。MIL是其中袋子(通常是图像)的实例(通常是作物或切片)有助于袋子级输出的范例。而不是假设所有实例对袋级输出的贡献相等,UBIX使用不确定性估计检测由于本地工件而损坏的实例,在MIL汇集之前减少或完全忽略他们的贡献。在我们的实验中,实例是2D切片,袋子是体积图像,但替代定义也是可能的。虽然UBIX通常适用于不同的分类任务,我们关注光学相干断层扫描中年龄相关性黄斑变性的分期.我们的模型在来自单个扫描仪的数据上进行了训练,并在来自不同供应商的外部数据集上进行了测试。其中包括特定于供应商的工件。UBIX表现出可靠的行为,性能略有下降(二次加权κ(κw)从0.861下降到0.708),当应用于来自不同供应商的包含伪影的图像时;而没有UBIX的最先进的3D神经网络在同一测试集上的性能受到重大损害(κw从0.852到0.084)。我们表明,可以通过OOD检测来识别具有看不见的伪影的实例。UBIX可以减少它们对袋级预测的贡献,在不重新训练新数据的情况下提高可靠性。这可能会增加人工智能模型对其他扫描仪数据的适用性,而不是为其开发的扫描仪。UBIX的源代码,包括训练的模型权重,可通过https://github.com/qurAI-amsterdam/ubix-for-reliable-classification公开。
    Deep learning classification models for medical image analysis often perform well on data from scanners that were used to acquire the training data. However, when these models are applied to data from different vendors, their performance tends to drop substantially. Artifacts that only occur within scans from specific scanners are major causes of this poor generalizability. We aimed to enhance the reliability of deep learning classification models using a novel method called Uncertainty-Based Instance eXclusion (UBIX). UBIX is an inference-time module that can be employed in multiple-instance learning (MIL) settings. MIL is a paradigm in which instances (generally crops or slices) of a bag (generally an image) contribute towards a bag-level output. Instead of assuming equal contribution of all instances to the bag-level output, UBIX detects instances corrupted due to local artifacts on-the-fly using uncertainty estimation, reducing or fully ignoring their contributions before MIL pooling. In our experiments, instances are 2D slices and bags are volumetric images, but alternative definitions are also possible. Although UBIX is generally applicable to diverse classification tasks, we focused on the staging of age-related macular degeneration in optical coherence tomography. Our models were trained on data from a single scanner and tested on external datasets from different vendors, which included vendor-specific artifacts. UBIX showed reliable behavior, with a slight decrease in performance (a decrease of the quadratic weighted kappa (κw) from 0.861 to 0.708), when applied to images from different vendors containing artifacts; while a state-of-the-art 3D neural network without UBIX suffered from a significant detriment of performance (κw from 0.852 to 0.084) on the same test set. We showed that instances with unseen artifacts can be identified with OOD detection. UBIX can reduce their contribution to the bag-level predictions, improving reliability without retraining on new data. This potentially increases the applicability of artificial intelligence models to data from other scanners than the ones for which they were developed. The source code for UBIX, including trained model weights, is publicly available through https://github.com/qurAI-amsterdam/ubix-for-reliable-classification.
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