recidivism risk

  • 文章类型: Case Reports
    额颞叶痴呆(FTD)影响大脑的额叶和颞叶,导致人格改变,语言障碍,和行为障碍,包括冲动和抑制。由于FTD的不断发展,在法医评估中评估责任和累犯风险具有挑战性。尽管文献有限,我们介绍了一个45岁的男性,没有法律或病史,由于与额颞叶痴呆(bvFTD)的行为变异相关的行为变化而实施犯罪行为。初步评估发现他不负责任,具有不可评估的累犯风险。随后的评估显示,基于临床演变,累犯风险较低。我们将考虑现有文献和瑞士法学来讨论这些发现。
    Frontotemporal dementia (FTD) affects the frontal and temporal lobes of the brain, leading to personality changes, language impairments, and behavioral disturbances, including impulsivity and disinhibition. Assessing responsibility and recidivism risk in forensic evaluations is challenging due to the evolving nature of FTD. Despite limited literature, we present a case of a 45-year-old man with no prior legal or medical history, who committed criminal acts due to behavioral changes linked to the behavioral variant of frontotemporal dementia (bvFTD). Initial assessment found him irresponsible, with a non-evaluable risk of recidivism. Subsequent evaluation showed a low recidivism risk based on clinical evolution. We discuss these findings considering existing literature and Swiss jurisprudence.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    使用降低睾酮的药物(TLM)治疗性犯罪的人是一种相对侵入性的干预措施,这经常发生在强制环境中。因此,功效的问题,还有谁应该被治疗的问题,什么时候,多长时间,非常重要。
    将接受TLM治疗的高危个体(+TLM;n=54)与仅在同一法医门诊接受心理治疗的高危个体(-TLM;n=79)进行了比较。
    群体差异表明+TLM的初始风险较高(例如,较高的风险评估,以前的定罪)。尽管风险增加,在平均风险时间为六年后,+TLM复发的频率明显低于-TLM(27.8%vs.51.9%)。暴力也有这样的影响(1.9%vs.15.2%),但不适用于性(5.6%与10.1%)和严重累犯(5.6%vs.10.1%),这可以部分解释为案件数量少。在治疗过程中,TLM被证明是一个积极过程的重要变量,而较高的风险评估得分表明病程相当负面。总的来说,n=19个人停止了他们的TLM治疗,其中31.6%是重复的。
    结果支持TLM的功效,特别是在高风险罪犯群体中。
    UNASSIGNED: Treatment of individuals who have committed sexual offences with Testosterone-Lowering Medication (TLM) is a comparatively intrusive kind of intervention, which regularly takes place in coercive contexts. Thus, the question of efficacy, but also the question of who should be treated, when and for how long, are of great importance.
    UNASSIGNED: Recidivism rates of TLM-treated high-risk individuals (+TLM; n = 54) were compared with high-risk individuals treated with psychotherapy only in the same forensic outpatient clinic (-TLM; n = 79).
    UNASSIGNED: Group differences suggested a higher initial risk of + TLM (e.g. higher ris-assessment, previous convictions). Despite the increased risk, after an average time at risk of six years, +TLM recidivated significantly less often and significantly later than - TLM (27.8% vs. 51.9%). Such an effect was also found for violent (1.9% vs. 15.2%), but not for sexual (5.6% vs. 10.1%) and serious recidivism (5.6% vs. 10.1%), which could be explained partly by the small number of cases. In the course of treatment, TLM proved to be a significant variable for a positive process, whereas a high risk-assessment score indicated a rather negative course. In total, n = 19 individuals had stopped their TLM treatment, of these 31.6% recidivated.
    UNASSIGNED: The results support the efficacy of TLM, particularly in the group of high-risk offenders.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    历史临床风险管理量表20(HCR-20)是评估暴力风险并协助其管理的结构化工具。法国专业人士不愿使用它,因为只有少数研究显示了法国样本的心理测量特性。这项研究的目的是用法国的暴力被拘留者样本测试HCR-20的心理测量质量。HCR-20和服务水平/案件管理清单(LS/CMI)对128名暴力罪犯进行了管理,平均年龄为(44.16±12.30)岁。我们评估了可靠性,HCR-20的内部一致性和有效性,并进行了探索性因素分析。结果表明,在法国囚犯样本中,HCR-20具有良好的心理测量学素质。由于数据收集位置和参与者的年龄,只有风险域呈现较弱的结果。观察到某些因素之间的相关性。探索性因子分析显示了四个因素解释了44%的方差。这项工作的继续将使法国专业人员能够使用健全的工具来评估累犯的风险。
    The Historical-Clinical-Risk Management Scale 20 (HCR-20) is a structured tool to assess the risk of violence and assist in its management. French professionals are reluctant to use it because only a few studies have shown its psychometric qualities with French samples. The objective of this study is to test the psychometric qualities of the HCR-20 with samples of violent detainees in France. The HCR-20 and Level of Service/Case Management Inventory (LS/CMI) were administered to 128 violent offenders with an average age of (44.16±12.30) years. We evaluated the reliability, internal consistency and validity of the HCR-20 and conducted an exploratory factor analysis. The results show that the HCR-20 has good psychometric qualities with a sample of French prisoners. Only the Risk domain presents weak results due to the data collection locations and the participants\' age. Correlations were observed between certain factors. The exploratory factor analysis shows four factors explaining 44% of the variance. The continuation of this work will enable French professionals to use sound tools to assess the risk of recidivism.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    The VRAG-R is a well-established actuarial risk-assessment instrument, which was originally developed for assessing violent recidivism risk in adult male offenders. Whether or not the VRAG-R can also predict violent recidivism in young offenders is unclear so far. In the emergence of juvenile offending, attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) seems to be of major importance suggesting that it could be relevant for risk assessment as well. Thus, we examined the predictive accuracy of the VRAG-R in a high-risk sample of N = 106 (M = 18.3 years, SD = 1.8) young offenders and assessed the incremental predictive validity of ADHD symptomatology beyond the VRAG-R. Within a mean follow-up time of M = 13 years (SD = 1.2), n = 65 (62.5%) young offenders recidivated with a violent offense. We found large effect sizes for the prediction of violent and general recidivism and re-incarcerations using the VRAG-R sum scores. Current ADHD symptomatology added incremental predictive validity beyond the VRAG-R sum scores concerning the prediction of general recidivism but not of violent recidivism. The results supported the use of the VRAG-R for predicting violent recidivism in young offenders. Because ADHD symptomatology improves the predictive performance of the VRAG-R regarding general recidivism, we argue that addressing ADHD symptoms more intensively in the juvenile justice system is of particular importance concerning a successful long-term risk management in adolescents and young adults.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Research has identified stable and dynamic characteristics in child sexual abusers working with children (CSA-W) that may distinguish them from other child sexual abusers (CSA). However, in previous research CSA-W have usually been included in the group of extra-familial CSA (CSA-E). Two hundred and forty-eight forensic-sexological reports about CSA conducted by the Federal Evaluation Centre for Violent and Sexual Offenders in the Austrian Prison System were evaluated retrospectively. One hundred and nineteen intra-familial CSA (CSA-I), 66 CSA-E, and 38 CSA-W were compared with regard to static risk factors, indicators of psychopathy, and pedophilic sexual interests. CSA-E had the highest risk of recidivism as measured by the Static-99 total score, followed by CSA-W. Furthermore, CSA-E had more previous convictions than CSA-W. Both CSA-E and CSA-I had higher total scores on the Psychopathy Checklist-Revised than CSA-W. CSA-W had the highest prevalence of pedophilia diagnoses according to DSM-IV-TR criteria, as well as the highest rate of pedophilia with an orientation toward male children, and the highest frequency of male victims. CSA-W also had the highest total scores in the Screening Scale for Pedophilic Interests. CSA-W seem to constitute a group with particular risk factors and criminogenic needs, that is, they show more indicators of pedophilic sexual interests but less general antisociality and psychopathy, and would thus seem to be distinguishable from other CSA. Future research should focus in particular on evaluating differences in the grooming strategies used by CSA-W to commit and disclose child sexual abuse, as well as on the resources of this particular offender group.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Estimating the risk for recidivism is important for many areas of the criminal justice system. In the present study, the Youth Actuarial Risk Assessment Tool (Y-ARAT) was developed for juvenile offenders based solely on police records, with the aim to estimate the risk of general recidivism among large groups of juvenile offenders by police officers without clinical expertise. On the basis of the Y-ARAT, juvenile offenders are classified into five risk groups based on (combinations of) 10 variables including different types of incidents in which the juvenile was a suspect, total number of incidents in which the juvenile was a suspect, total number of other incidents, total number of incidents in which co-occupants at the youth\'s address were suspects, gender, and age at first incident. The Y-ARAT was developed on a sample of 2,501 juvenile offenders and validated on another sample of 2,499 juvenile offenders, showing moderate predictive accuracy (area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve = .73), with little variation between the construction and validation sample. The predictive accuracy of the Y-ARAT was considered sufficient to justify its use as a screening instrument for the police.
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