背景:随着中国人口老龄化的加剧,对养老服务的需求日益突出。同时,互联网技术的快速发展为老年人提供了更多的便利和可能。然而,互联网与养老服务的协调发展仍然面临挑战。本研究旨在测度我国互联网与养老服务的耦合与协调发展水平,并分析其影响因素,为推进养老服务提供参考。
方法:在本文中,运用熵值法和耦合协调度模型测算2012-2021年我国互联网与养老服务的耦合协调发展指数。此外,考虑到两者之间的协调发展受到许多因素的影响,采用Tobit模型分析影响互联网与养老服务融合的主要因素。
结果:(1)互联网与高级护理服务的耦合与协调处于起步阶段,但是两者的耦合和协调正在上升,未来还有很大的发展空间。(2)在时间尺度上,我国互联网与养老服务的耦合协调发展水平经历了"无序衰退-转型协调发展"三个阶段。(3)在影响因素方面,政府管理能力对互联网与养老服务融合发展具有较为积极的影响,财政支持,科技投入和创新水平起着温和的拉动作用,而信息化水平在一定程度上制约着互联网与养老服务的融合水平。
结论:为了促进我国互联网与养老服务的协调发展,有必要全面了解我国互联网与养老服务耦合协调度的现状和发展空间,准确把握我国互联网与养老服务耦合协调发展的动态趋势,推进跨越式发展,并充分考虑影响因素,从而实现政策和资源的优化配置。这些措施将有助于促进中国互联网和养老服务的更协调和可持续发展。
BACKGROUND: With the intensification of China\'s aging population, the demand for elderly care services has become increasingly prominent. At the same time, rapid development of internet technology provides more convenience and possibilities for the elderly. However, the coordinated development between the internet and elderly care services still faces challenges. This study aims to measure the level of coupling and coordinated development between the internet and elderly care services in China, and analyze the influencing factors, in order to provide reference for promoting elderly care services.
METHODS: In this paper, the entropy method and coupling coordination degree model were used to measure the coupling coordination development index of the internet and elderly care services in China from 2012 to 2021. In addition, considering that the coordinated development between the two is affected by many factors, the Tobit model was used to analyze the main factors affecting the integration of the internet and elderly care services.
RESULTS: (1) The coupling and coordination of the Internet and senior care services is in its infancy, but the coupling and coordination of the two is on the rise, and there is still a lot of room for development in the future. (2) In terms of time scale, the coupling coordination development level between the internet and elderly care services in China has gone through three stages of \"disorder recession-transition coordination-coordinated development\". (3) In terms of influencing factors, government management ability has a more positive impact on the development of the integration of the Internet and senior care services, financial support, scientific and technological investment and the level of innovation play a mild pulling role, while the level of informatization to a certain extent restricts the level of integration of the Internet and senior care services.
CONCLUSIONS: In order to promote the coordinated development of China\'s Internet and senior care services, it is necessary to comprehensively understand the current situation and development space of China\'s Internet and senior care services coupling coordination degree, accurately grasp the dynamic trend of China\'s Internet and senior care services coupling and coordinated development, promote the stage of leapfrogging, and fully consider the influencing factors, so as to realize the optimal allocation of policies and resources. These measures will help to promote a more coordinated and sustainable development of the internet and elderly care services in China.