背景:心脏代谢疾病(CMD)之间的时间关系最近被概念化为心脏代谢连续体(CMC),源于基因-环境相互作用的心血管事件序列,不健康的生活方式的影响,和代谢疾病,如糖尿病,和高血压。虽然已经研究了连接代谢和心血管疾病的生理途径,关于CMC性别差异和人群差异的研究仍未描述。
方法:我们提出了一种机器学习方法来对CMC进行建模,并调查了两个不同队列中的性别和人口差异:英国生物银行(17,700名参与者)和巴西成人健康纵向研究(ELSA-Brasil)(7162名参与者)。我们考虑以下CMD:高血压(Hyp),糖尿病(DM),心脏病(HD:心绞痛,心肌梗塞,或心力衰竭),和中风(STK)。为了识别CMC模式,使用k-means对疾病发生时间的个体轨迹进行聚类.基于临床,社会人口统计学,和生活方式的特点,我们构建了多类随机森林分类器,并使用SHAP方法来评估特征重要性。
结果:在性别和队列中确定了五种CMC模式:早期Hyp,FirstDM,FirstHD,健康,和LateHyp,根据约95%的患病率和疾病发生时间命名,78%,75%,88%和99%的人,分别。在英国生物银行内,更多的女性被归入健康群体,更多的男性被归入健康群体。在EarlyHyp和LateHyp集群中,单纯性高血压在女性中发生较早.吸烟习惯和教育对男女都有很高的重要性和明确的方向性。对于ELSA-Brasil,更多的男性被归类为健康人群,更多的女性被归类为FirstDM。其次是高血压的女性糖尿病发生时间较低。教育和种族对妇女具有高度重要性和明确的方向性,而对于男人来说,这些特征是吸烟,酒精,咖啡消费。
结论:在英国和巴西队列中,CMC存在明显的性别差异。特别是,在巴西,发病率和疾病发作时间的劣势更为明显,反对女人。结果表明,需要加强公共卫生政策,以预防和控制CMD的时间过程,强调女性。
BACKGROUND: The temporal relationships across cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) were recently conceptualized as the cardiometabolic continuum (CMC), sequence of cardiovascular events that stem from gene-environmental interactions, unhealthy lifestyle influences, and metabolic diseases such as diabetes, and hypertension. While the physiological pathways linking metabolic and cardiovascular diseases have been investigated, the study of the sex and population differences in the CMC have still not been described.
METHODS: We present a machine learning approach to model the CMC and investigate sex and population differences in two distinct cohorts: the UK Biobank (17,700 participants) and the Brazilian Longitudinal Study of Adult Health (ELSA-Brasil) (7162 participants). We consider the following CMDs: hypertension (Hyp), diabetes (DM), heart diseases (HD: angina, myocardial infarction, or heart failure), and stroke (STK). For the identification of the CMC patterns, individual trajectories with the time of disease occurrence were clustered using k-means. Based on clinical, sociodemographic, and lifestyle characteristics, we built multiclass random forest classifiers and used the SHAP methodology to evaluate feature importance.
RESULTS: Five CMC patterns were identified across both sexes and cohorts: EarlyHyp, FirstDM, FirstHD, Healthy, and LateHyp, named according to prevalence and disease occurrence time that depicted around 95%, 78%, 75%, 88% and 99% of individuals, respectively. Within the UK Biobank, more women were classified in the Healthy cluster and more men in all others. In the EarlyHyp and LateHyp clusters, isolated hypertension occurred earlier among women. Smoking habits and education had high importance and clear directionality for both sexes. For ELSA-Brasil, more men were classified in the Healthy cluster and more women in the FirstDM. The diabetes occurrence time when followed by hypertension was lower among women. Education and ethnicity had high importance and clear directionality for women, while for men these features were smoking, alcohol, and coffee consumption.
CONCLUSIONS: There are clear sex differences in the CMC that varied across the UK and Brazilian cohorts. In particular, disadvantages regarding incidence and the time to onset of diseases were more pronounced in Brazil, against woman. The results show the need to strengthen public health policies to prevent and control the time course of CMD, with an emphasis on women.