Interruption of transmission

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:经过数十年的吡喹酮大规模给药(MDA),几个国家接近消除血吸虫病。在大部分未感染的人群中继续使用MDA似乎不再合理。需要采取替代干预措施来维持增益或加速传输中断。我们报告结果,优势,以及奔巴血吸虫低流行地区新型测试-治疗-追踪-测试-治疗(5T)干预措施的缺点,坦桑尼亚。
    方法:在2021年和2022年进行了基于学校和家庭的调查,以监测血链球菌和微血尿的患病率,并评估干预措施的影响。2021年,在15个低流行地区实施了5T干预措施,包括:(i)对小学和伊斯兰学校的学童进行微血尿测试,以代替血吸虫,(ii)治疗积极的儿童,(iii)将他们追踪到他们经常光顾的家庭和水体,(iv)在家庭和水体中测试个人,和(V)治疗阳性个体。此外,试验和治疗干预措施在研究区域的22个医疗机构实施.
    结果:在以学校为基础的15个低患病率实施单位的调查中,2021年和2022年分别为0.5%(7/1560)和0.4%(6/1645)。在以家庭为基础的调查中,在2021年和2022年,分别有0.5%(14/2975)和0.7%(19/2920)的参与者感染了S。微血尿患病率,不包括跟踪结果,在以学校为基础的调查中,2021年为1.4%(21/1560),2022年为1.5%(24/1645)。在以家庭为基础的调查中,2021年为3.3%(98/2975),2022年为5.4%(159/2920)。在5T干预期间,在小学和伊斯兰学校的儿童中,微血尿患病率分别为3.8%(140/3700)和5.8%(34/594),分别,家庭成员占17.1%(44/258),水体中的人占16.7%(10/60)。在卫生设施中,19.8%(70/354)的患者检测微血尿阳性。
    结论:有针对性的5T干预措施维持了极低的血吸虫流行率,并且被证明可以直接和可行地识别和治疗少数血吸虫感染的个体。未来的研究将显示5T干预措施是否可以长期维持收益并加快消除。
    背景:ISRCTN,ISCRCTN91431493。2020年2月11日注册,https://www。isrctn.com/ISRCTN91431493.
    BACKGROUND: After decades of praziquantel mass drug administration (MDA), several countries approach schistosomiasis elimination. Continuing MDA in largely uninfected populations no longer seems justified. Alternative interventions to maintain the gains or accelerate interruption of transmission are needed. We report results, strengths, and shortcomings of novel test-treat-track-test-treat (5T) interventions in low Schistosoma haematobium prevalence areas on Pemba, Tanzania.
    METHODS: School- and household-based surveys were conducted in 2021 and 2022 to monitor the S. haematobium and microhematuria prevalence and assess the impact of interventions. In 2021, 5T interventions were implemented in 15 low-prevalence areas and included: (i) testing schoolchildren in primary and Islamic schools for microhematuria as a proxy for S. haematobium, (ii) treating positive children, (iii) tracking them to their households and to water bodies they frequented, (iv) testing individuals at households and water bodies, and (v) treating positive individuals. Additionally, test-and-treat interventions were implemented in the 22 health facilities of the study area.
    RESULTS: The S. haematobium prevalence in the school-based survey in 15 low-prevalence implementation units was 0.5% (7/1560) in 2021 and 0.4% (6/1645) in 2022. In the household-based survey, 0.5% (14/2975) and 0.7% (19/2920) of participants were infected with S. haematobium in 2021 and 2022, respectively. The microhematuria prevalence, excluding trace results, in the school-based survey was 1.4% (21/1560) in 2021 and 1.5% (24/1645) in 2022. In the household-based survey, it was 3.3% (98/2975) in 2021 and 5.4% (159/2920) in 2022. During the 5T interventions, the microhaematuria prevalence was 3.8% (140/3700) and 5.8% (34/594) in children in primary and Islamic schools, respectively, 17.1% (44/258) in household members, and 16.7% (10/60) in people at water bodies. In health facilities, 19.8% (70/354) of patients tested microhematuria-positive.
    CONCLUSIONS: The targeted 5T interventions maintained the very low S. haematobium prevalence and proved straightforward and feasible to identify and treat many of the few S. haematobium-infected individuals. Future research will show whether 5T interventions can maintain gains in the longer-term and expedite elimination.
    BACKGROUND: ISRCTN, ISCRCTN91431493. Registered 11 February 2020, https://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN91431493 .
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    斯里兰卡已成功应对了控制淋巴丝虫病(LF)和土壤传播的蠕虫病(STH)作为公共卫生问题的挑战。对抗这两种情况的主要公共卫生策略是预防性化疗。从2002年至2006年,消除LF的国家方案在流行地区使用二乙基卡巴嗪和阿苯达唑的组合实施了五轮年度大规模化疗。整体微丝虫病率从2001年的0.21%下降到大规模化疗前,到2016年的0.06%,世界卫生组织宣布消除LF作为公共卫生问题。目前,斯里兰卡正处于验证后监测阶段。实现STH的控制更加困难。大规模驱虫计划已经实施了近一个世纪,国家层面的调查显示,患病率从2003年的6.9%下降到2017年的1%.然而,这些感染都没有完全消除。情况分析表明,两者在高风险社区之间继续传播。本文探讨了LF和STH在剩余口袋中持续传播的原因,以及实现长期控制所需的措施,或者甚至在斯里兰卡中断传输。本文是主题为“抗击被忽视的热带病的挑战和机遇:《伦敦NTDs宣言》十年”的一部分。
    Sri Lanka has successfully met the challenge of controlling both lymphatic filariasis (LF) and soil-transmitted helminthiases (STH) as public health problems. The primary public health strategy for combatting both conditions has been preventive chemotherapy. The national programme for the elimination of LF implemented five annual rounds of mass chemotherapy in the endemic districts from 2002 to 2006 using a combination of diethylcarbamazine and albendazole. The overall microfilaria rate declined from 0.21% in 2001 before the mass chemotherapy, to 0.06% in 2016, at declaration of elimination of LF as a public health problem by the World Health Organization. Currently Sri Lanka is in the phase of post-validation surveillance. Achieving control of STH has been more difficult. Mass deworming programmes have been implemented for nearly a century, and national-level surveys reported prevalence rates declining from 6.9% in 2003 to 1% in 2017. However, neither of these infections has been completely eliminated. A situation analysis indicates continued transmission of both among high-risk communities. This paper explores the reasons for persistence of transmission of both LF and STH in residual pockets and the measures that are required to achieve long-term control, or perhaps even interrupt transmission in Sri Lanka. This article is part of the theme issue \'Challenges and opportunities in the fight against neglected tropical diseases: a decade from the London Declaration on NTDs\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    几个国家已经接近消灭麻风病,但是麻风病病例仍然处于低水平。由于时间长,从感染到检测的高度可变的延迟,观察到的病例与传播之间的关系是不确定的。世界卫生组织的新技术指南为各国实现消除污染提供了一条途径。我们使用一个简单的概率模型来模拟传播下降时检测到的案例的随机动态,并通过新的公共卫生里程碑评估进展。在传输暂停的模拟中,本地儿童的5年零发病率,再加上所有年龄段的3年零发病率是一个有缺陷的指标,表明传播已经停止(54%正确分类)。再过10年的偶发病例与传播中断的可能性很高(99%)。如果,然而,传播继续以极低的水平进行,从潜伏期分布的尾部可能会将病例误认为是历史病例,尽管不可能误导地实现所有三个里程碑(在持续的15年低水平传播期间,概率低于1%)。这些结果证明了阶段性进展的可行性和挑战,逐步实现传输中断,允许评估方案状况。本文是主题为“抗击被忽视的热带病的挑战和机遇:《伦敦NTDs宣言》十年”的一部分。
    Several countries have come close to eliminating leprosy, but leprosy cases continue to be detected at low levels. Due to the long, highly variable delay from infection to detection, the relationship between observed cases and transmission is uncertain. The World Health Organization\'s new technical guidance provides a path for countries to reach elimination. We use a simple probabilistic model to simulate the stochastic dynamics of detected cases as transmission declines, and evaluate progress through the new public health milestones. In simulations where transmission is halted, 5 years of zero incidence in autochthonous children, combined with 3 years of zero incidence in all ages is a flawed indicator that transmission has halted (54% correctly classified). A further 10 years of only occasional sporadic cases is associated with a high probability of having interrupted transmission (99%). If, however, transmission continues at extremely low levels, it is possible that cases could be misidentified as historic cases from the tail of the incubation period distribution, although misleadingly achieving all three milestones is unlikely (less than 1% probability across a 15-year period of ongoing low-level transmission). These results demonstrate the feasibility and challenges of a phased progression of milestones towards interruption of transmission, allowing assessment of programme status. This article is part of the theme issue \'Challenges and opportunities in the fight against neglected tropical diseases: a decade from the London Declaration on NTDs\'.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    BACKGROUND: Global elimination of schistosomiasis as a public health problem is set as target in the new World Health Organization\'s Neglected Tropical Diseases Roadmap for 2030. Due to a long history of interventions, the Zanzibar islands of Tanzania have reached this goal since 2017. However, challenges occur on the last mile towards interruption of transmission. Our study will investigate new tools and strategies for breaking schistosomiasis transmission.
    METHODS: The study is designed as an intervention study, documented through repeated cross-sectional surveys (2020-2024). The primary endpoint will be the sensitivity of a surveillance-response approach to detect and react to outbreaks of urogenital schistosomiasis over three years of implementation. The surveys and multi-disciplinary interventions will be implemented in 20 communities in the north of Pemba island. In low-prevalence areas, surveillance-response will consist of active, passive and reactive case detection, treatment of positive individuals, and focal snail control. In hotspot areas, mass drug administration, snail control and behaviour change interventions will be implemented. Parasitological cross-sectional surveys in 20 communities and their main primary schools will serve to adapt the intervention approach annually and to monitor the performance of the surveillance-response approach and impact of interventions. Schistosoma haematobium infections will be diagnosed using reagent strips and urine filtration microscopy, and by exploring novel point-of-care diagnostic tests.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study will shed light on the field applicability and performance of novel adaptive intervention strategies, and standard and new diagnostic tools for schistosomiasis elimination. The evidence and experiences generated by micro-mapping of S. haematobium infections at community level, micro-targeting of new adaptive intervention approaches, and application of novel diagnostic tools can guide future strategic plans for schistosomiasis elimination in Zanzibar and inform other countries aiming for interruption of transmission. Trial registration ISRCTN, ISCRCTN91431493. Registered 11 February 2020, https://www.isrctn.com/ISRCTN91431493.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:国际组织倡导消除狗介导的狂犬病,但是在解释监测数据以管理淘汰计划方面只有有限的指导。随着拉丁美洲的区域计划接近消除狗介导的狂犬病,我们的目标是开发一种工具来评估该计划的绩效,并制定针对当地的狂犬病控制计划管理指南,以克服剩余的障碍。
    方法:我们开发并验证了一种强大的算法,以对地方各级行政单位内的狂犬病消除进展进行分类,我们将其应用于巴西和墨西哥的监测数据。该方法结合了易于理解的标准,包括病例检测时间序列的Logistic回归分析,评估狂犬病病毒变种,以及入侵风险。对算法进行鲁棒性测试,我们进一步利用在不同病例检测水平下二次采样的模拟数据来评估算法的性能和对监测质量的敏感性.
    结果:我们的工具显示了墨西哥和巴西明显的流行病学转变:大多数州在消除疾病方面进展迅速,但是由于入侵和控制失误,一些人倒退了。2015年,以狗为媒介的狂犬病继续在最贫穷的州传播,焦点仅保留在墨西哥32个州中的1个州,巴西27人中的2人,对更广泛的地区构成入侵风险。无论大多数监测质量水平如何,分类工具在确定流行病学状况方面都是强大的。在地方性环境中,监测需要检测不到所有循环病例的2.5%,以导致错误分类,而在入侵成为主要病例来源的情况下,正确分类的阈值检测水平不应低于5%。
    结论:我们的工具为如何有效地实现消除目标提供指导,并根据当地流行病学情况制定策略。同时揭示狂犬病动态的见解。运动后评估流行州的狗疫苗接种覆盖率,和加强监督,以核实和维持受入侵威胁的国家的自由,被确定为优先事项,以促进消除冲突的进展。我们的发现表明,基因组监测在区分循环变异和查明侵入源的残局期间应该变得越来越有价值。
    BACKGROUND: International organizations advocate for the elimination of dog-mediated rabies, but there is only limited guidance on interpreting surveillance data for managing elimination programmes. With the regional programme in Latin America approaching elimination of dog-mediated rabies, we aimed to develop a tool to evaluate the programme\'s performance and generate locally-tailored rabies control programme management guidance to overcome remaining obstacles.
    METHODS: We developed and validated a robust algorithm to classify progress towards rabies elimination within sub-national administrative units, which we applied to surveillance data from Brazil and Mexico. The method combines criteria that are easy to understand, including logistic regression analysis of case detection time series, assessment of rabies virus variants, and of incursion risk. Subjecting the algorithm to robustness testing, we further employed simulated data sub-sampled at differing levels of case detection to assess the algorithm\'s performance and sensitivity to surveillance quality.
    RESULTS: Our tool demonstrated clear epidemiological transitions in Mexico and Brazil: most states progressed rapidly towards elimination, but a few regressed due to incursions and control lapses. In 2015, dog-mediated rabies continued to circulate in the poorest states, with foci remaining in only 1 of 32 states in Mexico, and 2 of 27 in Brazil, posing incursion risks to the wider region. The classification tool was robust in determining epidemiological status irrespective of most levels of surveillance quality. In endemic settings, surveillance would need to detect less than 2.5% of all circulating cases to result in misclassification, whereas in settings where incursions become the main source of cases the threshold detection level for correct classification should not be less than 5%.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our tool provides guidance on how to progress effectively towards elimination targets and tailor strategies to local epidemiological situations, while revealing insights into rabies dynamics. Post-campaign assessments of dog vaccination coverage in endemic states, and enhanced surveillance to verify and maintain freedom in states threatened by incursions were identified as priorities to catalyze progress towards elimination. Our finding suggests genomic surveillance should become increasingly valuable during the endgame for discriminating circulating variants and pinpointing sources of incursions.
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