severity score

严重性得分
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)是一种广泛存在的呼吸道病原体,与RSV相关的急性下呼吸道感染是2岁以下儿童呼吸道住院的最常见原因。在过去的二十年里,已经提出了许多严重程度评分来量化儿童RSV的疾病严重程度,但对于临床上最有用的评分尚无总体共识.
    方法:我们对2000年1月以来发表的同行评审期刊的英文出版物进行了系统评价,评估RSV和/或细支气管炎患儿(≤24个月)严重程度评分的有效性。并确定了最有希望的分数。对于包含的文章,(I)提取了有效性数据,(ii)使用多变量预测模型的透明报告评估个人预后或诊断清单的报告质量,和(iii)使用预测模型研究偏差风险评估工具评估质量。为了指导有效性数据的评估,采用了标准化的截止日期,并且对确定分数所需内容的明确定义得到了充分验证。
    结果:我们的搜索确定了8,541个结果,其中1779个被排除为重复。经过标题和摘要筛选,6,670个参考文献被排除在外。在全文筛选和滚雪球后,32篇文章,包括31分,包括在内。最常评估的评分是改良的Tal评分和Wang细支气管炎严重程度评分;根据我们的定义,没有发现任何评分得到充分验证。所有纳入研究的报告和/或设计均较差。最好的验证分数是BROSJOD分数,并确定了许多其他有希望的分数。
    结论:没有发现分数得到充分验证。需要进一步的工作来验证现有的分数,理想情况下,在更大的数据集中。
    BACKGROUND: Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) is a widespread respiratory pathogen, and RSV-related acute lower respiratory tract infections are the most common cause of respiratory hospitalization in children <2 years of age. Over the last 2 decades, a number of severity scores have been proposed to quantify disease severity for RSV in children, yet there remains no overall consensus on the most clinically useful score.
    METHODS: We conducted a systematic review of English-language publications in peer-reviewed journals published since January 2000 assessing the validity of severity scores for children (≤24 months of age) with RSV and/or bronchiolitis, and identified the most promising scores. For included articles, (1) validity data were extracted, (2) quality of reporting was assessed using the Transparent Reporting of a multivariable prediction model for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis checklist (TRIPOD), and (3) quality was assessed using the Prediction Model Risk Of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST). To guide the assessment of the validity data, standardized cutoffs were employed, and an explicit definition of what we required to determine a score was sufficiently validated.
    RESULTS: Our searches identified 8541 results, of which 1779 were excluded as duplicates. After title and abstract screening, 6670 references were excluded. Following full-text screening and snowballing, 32 articles, including 31 scores, were included. The most frequently assessed scores were the modified Tal score and the Wang Bronchiolitis Severity Score; none of the scores were found to be sufficiently validated according to our definition. The reporting and/or design of all the included studies was poor. The best validated score was the Bronchiolitis Score of Sant Joan de Déu, and a number of other promising scores were identified.
    CONCLUSIONS: No scores were found to be sufficiently validated. Further work is warranted to validate the existing scores, ideally in much larger datasets.
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  • 文章类型: Multicenter Study
    背景:对于如何最好地量化患有呼吸道合胞病毒(RSV)和/或细支气管炎的婴儿的疾病严重程度尚无共识;这种缺乏充分验证的评分使临床护理的提供复杂化,治疗和疫苗试验的评估。ReSVinet评分似乎是最有前途的评分之一;但是,将其纳入常规临床护理太耗时了。我们的目标是开发和外部验证这个分数的简化版本。
    方法:数据来自一家跨国公司(荷兰,西班牙和英国)RSV婴儿的多中心病例对照观察性研究,通过进行网格搜索来开发ReSVinet的简化版本,以确定同等加权参数的最佳组合,以最大程度地提高一系列结果(住院,重症监护室入院,通风要求)。随后,通过对卢旺达和哥伦比亚三级医院呼吸道感染婴儿的数据进行二次分析,外部验证了一系列二级护理结果的评分的判别有效性。
    结果:使用开发数据集确定了三个候选简化分数;在开发数据集中,它们在区分一系列结果方面非常出色(接受者-操作者特征曲线下面积[AUROC]>0.9)。尽管参数较少,但它们的表现与原始ReSVinet评分无统计学差异。在外部验证数据集中,在一系列结局中,简化评分为中等-优秀(AUROC0.7-1).在所有结果中,除了在预测进入高依赖性单位的单个数据集中,他们的表现至少与原始的ReSVinet得分一样好。
    结论:开发了三个有希望的候选简化分数;然而,在更大的数据集中进行进一步的外部验证工作,理想情况下,从资源有限的设置需要进行任何建议之前,关于他们的使用。
    BACKGROUND: There is no consensus on how to best quantify disease severity in infants with respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and/or bronchiolitis; this lack of a sufficiently validated score complicates the provision of clinical care and, the evaluation of trials of therapeutics and vaccines. The ReSVinet score appears to be one of the most promising; however, it is too time consuming to be incorporated into routine clinical care. We aimed to develop and externally validate simplified versions of this score.
    METHODS: Data from a multinational (the Netherlands, Spain, and United Kingdom) multicenter case-control study of infants with RSV were used to develop simplified versions of the ReSVinet score by conducting a grid search to determine the best combination of equally weighted parameters to maximize for the discriminative ability (measured by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC]) across a range of outcomes (hospitalization, intensive care unit admission, ventilation requirement). Subsequently discriminative validity of the score for a range of secondary care outcomes was externally validated by secondary analysis of datasets from Rwanda and Colombia.
    RESULTS: Three candidate simplified scores were identified using the development dataset; they were excellent (AUROC >0.9) at discriminating for a range of outcomes, and their performance was not significantly different from the original ReSVinet score despite having fewer parameters. In the external validation datasets, the simplified scores were moderate to excellent (AUROC, 0.7-1) across a range of outcomes. In all outcomes, except in a single dataset for predicting admission to the high-dependency unit, they performed at least as well as the original ReSVinet score.
    CONCLUSIONS: The candidate simplified scores developed require further external validation in larger datasets, ideally from resource-limited settings before any recommendation regarding their use.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:尽管在西方国家不推荐甲硝唑治疗艰难梭菌感染(CDI),在2020年台湾成年人中,仍建议将其用于非重度CDI的治疗.在一项前瞻性临床研究中,对甲硝唑治疗CDI的临床作用进行了研究。
    方法:本研究于2015年1月至2016年12月在台湾三家医院进行。甲硝唑治疗失败(MTF)定义为治疗6天后持续腹泻,药物调整(转向口服万古霉素),或治疗五天后死亡。
    结果:总体而言,包括325例接受甲硝唑治疗CDI的患者。总MTF率为48.6%(158例)。外周血白细胞计数>15,000个细胞/mL(奇数比[OR]1.81;P=0.04)和充血性心力衰竭(OR3.26;P=0.02)与MTF独立相关。白细胞计数≤15,000细胞/mL且无充血性心力衰竭患者的MTF率,白细胞计数>15,000细胞/mL,无充血性心力衰竭,白细胞计数≤15,000细胞/mL和充血性心力衰竭,白细胞计数>15,000细胞/mL,充血性心力衰竭占44.2%,51.8%,73.3%,和66.7%,分别。值得注意的是,经历过MTF的患者的CDI复发率高于甲硝唑治疗成功的患者(13.9%vs.6.0%,P=0.02)。
    结论:对于患有CDI的台湾成年人,甲硝唑治疗的失败率接近50%,这表明重新评估甲硝唑治疗的治疗作用,尤其是白细胞增多或潜在的充血性心力衰竭患者。
    OBJECTIVE: Although metronidazole is not recommended to treat Clostridioides difficile infection (CDI) in Western countries, it was still to be recommended for the treatment of non-severe CDI among Taiwanese adults in 2020. This controversy in the clinical role of metronidazole therapy for CDI was examined in a prospective clinical study.
    METHODS: The study was conducted from January 2015 to December 2016 in three hospitals in Taiwan. Metronidazole treatment failure (MTF) was defined as the persistence of diarrhea after six days of treatment, medication modification (shifting to oral vancomycin), or death after five days of therapy.
    RESULTS: Overall, 325 patients receiving metronidazole for CDI were included. The overall MTF rate was 48.6% (158 patients). Leukocyte counts of >15,000 cells/mL in peripheral blood (odd ratio [OR] 1.81; P = 0.04) and congestive heart failure (OR 3.26; P = 0.02) were independently associated with MTF. The MTF rate for patients with leukocyte counts of ≤15,000 cells/mL and no congestive heart failure, leukocyte counts of >15,000 cells/mL and no congestive heart failure, leukocyte counts of ≤15,000 cells/mL and congestive heart failure, and leukocyte counts of >15,000 cells/mL and congestive heart failure were 44.2%, 51.8%, 73.3%, and 66.7%, respectively. Of note, patients who experienced MTF had a higher recurrence rate of CDI than those with metronidazole treatment success (13.9% vs. 6.0%, P = 0.02).
    CONCLUSIONS: For Taiwanese adults with CDI, the failure rate of metronidazole therapy approached 50%, which suggests the reappraisal of the therapeutic role of metronidazole therapy, especially for patients with leukocytosis or underlying congestive heart failure.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    为了验证血管严重程度评分作为人工智能(AI)软件作为早产儿视网膜病变(ROP)的医疗设备(SaMD)的适当输出,通过与国际早产儿视网膜病变分类指定的分期和附加疾病的顺序疾病严重程度标签进行比较,第三版(ICROP3)委员会。
    基于AI的ROP血管严重度评分的验证研究。
    ICROP3委员会共有34位ROP专家。
    两个单独的30张眼底照片的数据集,每个数据集用于阶段(0-5)和+疾病(+,preplus,两者都没有)由ICROP3委员会成员使用开源平台进行标记。平均这些结果为每个图像产生正(1-9)和阶段(1-3)的连续标签。专家们还被要求根据加病的相对严重程度相互比较每个图像。每张图像还标记了ROP深度学习系统中成像和信息学的血管严重程度评分,将其与每个分级者的诊断标签进行相关性比较,以及检眼镜的诊断阶段。
    在每对分级者分类标签之间计算阶段和+疾病的加权κ和皮尔逊相关系数(CC)。Elo算法还用于将每个专家的成对比较转换成从最不严重到最严重的有序图像集。
    所有加疾病图像比较的观察者间对的平均加权κ和CC分别为0.67和0.88。在所有专家中,发现血管严重度评分与平均疾病分类(CC=0.90,P<0.001)和检眼镜诊断分期(通过方差分析P<0.001)高度相关。
    ROP血管严重程度评分与国际早产儿视网膜病分类委员会成员的加病和分期标签密切相关,具有显著的渐变体变异性。为ROPSaMD的经过验证的评分系统建立共识可以促进这些技术的全球创新和监管授权。
    To validate a vascular severity score as an appropriate output for artificial intelligence (AI) Software as a Medical Device (SaMD) for retinopathy of prematurity (ROP) through comparison with ordinal disease severity labels for stage and plus disease assigned by the International Classification of Retinopathy of Prematurity, Third Edition (ICROP3), committee.
    Validation study of an AI-based ROP vascular severity score.
    A total of 34 ROP experts from the ICROP3 committee.
    Two separate datasets of 30 fundus photographs each for stage (0-5) and plus disease (plus, preplus, neither) were labeled by members of the ICROP3 committee using an open-source platform. Averaging these results produced a continuous label for plus (1-9) and stage (1-3) for each image. Experts were also asked to compare each image to each other in terms of relative severity for plus disease. Each image was also labeled with a vascular severity score from the Imaging and Informatics in ROP deep learning system, which was compared with each grader\'s diagnostic labels for correlation, as well as the ophthalmoscopic diagnosis of stage.
    Weighted kappa and Pearson correlation coefficients (CCs) were calculated between each pair of grader classification labels for stage and plus disease. The Elo algorithm was also used to convert pairwise comparisons for each expert into an ordered set of images from least to most severe.
    The mean weighted kappa and CC for all interobserver pairs for plus disease image comparison were 0.67 and 0.88, respectively. The vascular severity score was found to be highly correlated with both the average plus disease classification (CC = 0.90, P < 0.001) and the ophthalmoscopic diagnosis of stage (P < 0.001 by analysis of variance) among all experts.
    The ROP vascular severity score correlates well with the International Classification of Retinopathy of Prematurity committee member\'s labels for plus disease and stage, which had significant intergrader variability. Generation of a consensus for a validated scoring system for ROP SaMD can facilitate global innovation and regulatory authorization of these technologies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to develop and validate a model for mortality risk stratification of intensive care unit (ICU) patients with acute kidney injury (AKI) using the machine learning technique.
    UNASSIGNED: Eligible data were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC-III) database. Calibration, discrimination, and risk classification for mortality prediction were evaluated using conventional scoring systems and the new algorithm. A 10-fold cross-validation was performed. The predictive models were externally validated using the eICU database and also patients treated at the Second People\'s Hospital of Shenzhen between January 2015 to October 2018.
    UNASSIGNED: For the new model, the areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) for mortality during hospitalization and at 28 and 90 days after discharge were 0.91, 0.87, and 0.87, respectively, which were higher than for the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II) and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA). For external validation, the AUROC was 0.82 for in-hospital mortality, higher than SOFA, SAPS II, and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) IV in the eICU database, but for the 28- and 90-day mortality, the new model had AUROCs (0.79 and 0.80, respectively) similar to that of SAPS II in the SZ2 database. The reclassification indexes were superior for the new model compared with the conventional scoring systems.
    UNASSIGNED: The new risk stratification model shows high performance in predicting mortality in ICU patients with AKI.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has become a pandemic. Few studies have explored the role of chest computed tomography (CT) features and severity scores for prognostic prediction. In this study, we aimed to investigate the role of chest CT severity score and imaging features in the prediction of the prognosis of COVID-19 patients.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 134 patients (62 recovered and 72 deceased patients) with confirmed COVID-19 were enrolled. The clinical, laboratory, and chest CT (316 scans) data were retrospectively reviewed. Demographics, symptoms, comorbidities, and temporal changes of laboratory results, CT features, and severity scores were compared between recovered and deceased groups using the Mann-Whitney U test and logistic regression to identify the risk factors for poor prognosis.
    UNASSIGNED: Median age was 48 and 58 years for recovered and deceased patients, respectively. More patients had at least one comorbidity in the deceased group than the recovered group (60% vs. 29%). Leukocytes, neutrophil, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), prothrombin, D-dimer, serum ferritin, interleukin (IL)-2, and IL-6 were significantly elevated in the deceased group than the recovered group at different stages. The total CT score at the peak stage was significantly greater in the deceased group than the recovered group (20 vs. 11 points). The optimal cutoff value of the total CT scores was 16.5 points, achieving 69.4% sensitivity and 82.2% specificity for the prognostic prediction. The crazy-paving pattern and consolidation were more common in the deceased patients than those in the recovered patients. Linear opacities significantly increased with the disease course in the recovered patients. Sex, age, neutrophil, IL-2, IL-6, and total CT scores were independent risk factors for the prognosis with odds ratios of 3.8 to 8.7.
    UNASSIGNED: Sex (male), older age (>60 years), elevated neutrophil, IL-2, IL-6 level, and total CT scores (≥16) were independent risk factors for poor prognosis in patients with COVID-19. Temporal changes of chest CT features and severity scores could be valuable for early identification of severe cases and eventually reducing the mortality rate of COVID-19.
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  • 文章类型: Evaluation Study
    Bronchiectasis is a multidimensional lung disease characterized by bronchial dilation, chronic inflammation, and infection. The FACED (Forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1), Age, Chronic colonization, Extension, and Dyspnea) score and Bronchiectasis Severity Index (BSI) are used to stratify disease risk and guide clinical practice. This meta-analysis aimed to quantify the accuracy of these two systems for predicting bronchiectasis outcomes.
    PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews were searched for relevant studies. Quality of included studies was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 (QUADAS-2) criteria. Pooled summary estimates, including sensitivity, specificity, positive likelihood ratio (PLR), negative likelihood ratio (NLR), and diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) were calculated. Summary receiver operating characteristic curves were constructed, and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to evaluate prognostic performance.
    We analyzed 17 unique cohorts (6525 participants) from ten studies. FACED scores with a cut-off value ≥ 5 predicted all-cause mortality better than BSI with a cut-off value ≥ 9, based on pooled sensitivity (0.34 vs 0.7), specificity (0.94 vs 0.66), PLR (4.76 vs 2.05), NLR (0.74 vs 0.48), DOR (6.67 vs 5.01), and AUC (0.87 vs 0.75). Both FACED scores with a cut-off value ≥ 5 (AUC = 0.82) and BSI scores with a cut-off value ≥ 5 or 9 (both AUC = 0.80) help to predict hospitalization.
    At a cut-off value ≥ 5, FACED scores can reliably predict all-cause mortality and hospitalization, while BSI scores can reliably predict hospitalization with a cut-off of ≥5 or ≥9. Further studies are essential to validate the prognostic performance of these two scores.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    UNASSIGNED: The incidence and severity of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI) have markedly increased over the past decade. However, there is very limited epidemiological data on CDI in China so far, specifically no data in Shandong Province. The aim of this study was to evaluate diagnostic algorithm for CDI and to gain data on molecular epidemiology of CDI in the Shandong Province of China.
    UNASSIGNED: Nonrepetitive unformed fecal specimens (n=504) were investigated by the glutamate dehydrogenase (GDH), C. difficile toxin A&B (CDAB) tests and toxigenic culture. Furthermore, 85 isolates were characterized by toxin gene detection, multilocus sequence typing, ribotyping and antimicrobial susceptibility testing.
    UNASSIGNED: The algorithm of combining GDH and CDAB tests could define diagnosis of 54.2% CDI cases and excluded 90% of non-CDI. Further adding the toxigenic culture to the algorithm enhanced the detection sensitivity to 100%. Toxigenic strains comprised 84.7% of isolates, including A+B+CDT- (71.8%, 61/85), A-B+CDT- (11.8%, 10/85) and A+B+CDT+ (1.2%, 1/85) isolates. RT046/ST35 (13.9%, 10/72), RT014/ST2 (12.5%, 9/72) and RT017/ST37 (12.5%, 9/72) were the more common genotypes among toxigenic C. difficile strains. The clinical severity score of A-B+CDT- toxin genes genotype (3.50±0.85) was significantly higher than the A+B+CDT- type (2.59±0.93) (P<0.05). RT046/ST35 isolates were highly prevalent and had high clinical severity scores (3.80±0.92). Variations in resistance from different sequence types (STs) were observed. Toxigenic strains showed higher resistance rates to erythromycin, clindamycin and ciprofloxacin compared to nontoxigenic strains (P<0.05).
    UNASSIGNED: The epidemiology of C. difficile in Shandong Province differed from other regions in China. Comprehensive optimized diagnosis strategy and continuous surveillance should be established and applied in order to curb the spread of toxigenic C. difficile strains, especially for hospitalized patients.
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