Urban Population

城市人口
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    收入不平等加剧挑战发展中国家的经济和社会稳定。对中国来说,增长最快的全球数字经济,它可能是促进包容性发展的有效工具,缩小城乡收入差距。它研究了数字金融包容性(DFI)在缩小城乡收入差距中的作用。本研究采用浙江省52个县的面板数据,中国,从2014年到2020年。结果表明,DFI的发展显著降低了城乡收入不平等。DFI的发展有助于优化产业结构,升级农业内部结构,促进农村地区人民的收入增长。在较贫穷的县,这种影响更大。我们的发现为中国为什么存在快速DFI和缩小城乡收入差距提供了见解。此外,我们的结果为如何缩小差距提供了明确的政策含义。最令人信服的建议是,通过DFI促进产业结构优化对于缩小城乡收入差距至关重要。
    Rising income inequality challenges economic and social stability in developing countries. For China, the fastest-growing global digital economy, it could be an effective tool to promote inclusive development, narrowing urban-rural income disparity. It investigates the role of digital financial inclusion (DFI) in narrowing the urban-rural income gap. The study uses panel data from 52 counties in Zhejiang Province, China, from 2014 to 2020. The results show that the development of DFI significantly reduces rural-urban and rural income inequality. The development of DFI helps optimize industrial structure and upgrade the internal structure of agriculture, facilitating income growth for people in rural areas. Such effects are greater in poorer counties. Our findings provide insights into why rapid DFI and the narrowing of the rural-urban income disparity exist in China. Moreover, our results provide clear policy implications on how to reduce the disparity. The most compelling suggestion is that promoting the optimization of industrial structure through DFI is crucial for narrowing the urban-rural income gap.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    进行系统评价和荟萃分析以确定贫血的患病率。缺铁(ID),中国孕妇缺铁性贫血(IDA)。共收集了2010年1月至2020年12月期间发表的722篇关于妊娠期贫血的文章。对包括1,376,204名孕妇在内的57项符合条件的研究进行了系统评价和荟萃分析,以确定贫血的患病率和不同亚组的患病率.结果表明,贫血的患病率,ID,中国孕妇中的IDA为30.7%(95%CI:26.6%,34.7%),45.6%(95%CI:37.0%,54.2%),和17.3%(95%CI:13.9%,20.7%),分别。所有患病率随着妊娠的进展而增加。贫血的患病率有相当大的地区差异,ID,和IDA。一般来说,在该国经济较发达的东部地区,患病率较低,东部地区的ID患病率高于西部地区。农村地区贫血和IDA患病率高于城市地区,但城市地区的ID患病率较高。总之,贫血患病率的地区差异和城乡差异表明,需要更多针对具体环境的干预措施来预防和治疗贫血.研究发现,饮食因素是贫血的主要原因之一,含铁补充剂和营养咨询可以成为降低贫血患病率的有效干预措施,ID,和IDA在中国孕妇中。
    The systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted to ascertain the prevalence of anemia, iron deficiency (ID), and iron deficiency anemia (IDA) among Chinese pregnant women. A total of 722 articles on maternal anemia during pregnancy published between January 2010 and December 2020 were compiled, and a systematic review and meta-analysis were conducted on 57 eligible studies including 1,376,204 pregnant women to ascertain the prevalence of anemia and the prevalence in different subgroups. The results showed that the prevalence of anemia, ID, and IDA among pregnant women in China were 30.7% (95% CI: 26.6%, 34.7%), 45.6% (95% CI: 37.0%, 54.2%), and 17.3% (95% CI: 13.9%, 20.7%), respectively. All prevalence increased with the progression of the pregnancy. There were sizable regional variations in the prevalence of anemia, ID, and IDA. Generally, lower prevalence was observed in the economically more advanced eastern region of the country, while the prevalence of ID was higher in the eastern region than that in the western region. The prevalence of anemia and IDA in rural areas was higher than that in urban areas, but ID prevalence was higher in urban areas. In conclusion, the regional differences and urban-rural disparities in the prevalence of anemia indicate the need for more context-specific interventions to prevent and treat anemia. It was found that dietary factors were one of the major causes of anemia, and iron-containing supplements and nutrition counseling could be effective interventions to reduce the prevalence of anemia, ID, and IDA among Chinese pregnant women.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:随着快速城市化,大规模移民,以及非基于家庭的老年人护理,中国人照顾老人责任和孝道的观念正在转变。我们进行了年龄周期队列(APC)分析,以评估养老金覆盖的过渡,照顾老人的责任,使用中国综合社会调查(2006-2017)的数据,中国成年人的孝道概念及其城乡差异。
    方法:在2010年、2012年、2013年、2015年和2017年对老年养老金覆盖率(是/否)和初级老年护理责任(政府/子女/自我/分担)进行了调查。在2006年和2017年使用定制问卷评估了孝道。APC效应使用混合效应和广义累加模型进行估计。
    结果:在66,182名符合条件的参与者中(平均年龄:48.8岁,女性:51.7%)在六个波中,APC分析表明,养老金覆盖率随着年龄的增长和时间的推移而增加。跨队列组,随着该队列在城市居民中更年轻,但在农村居民中却有所下降。基于后代的概念(>50%)和政府/自我/后代共享的老年人护理(>30%)占主导地位。APC分析显示,基于后代的概念随着年龄的增长而下降(OR=0.81,95%CI:0.79-0.84),而基于政府(OR=1.37,95%CI:1.33-1.41)和基于自我(OR=1.55,95%CI:1.47-1.63)的概念随着年龄的增长而增加。1940年代左右出生的人有相对较高的可能性,认为主要的老年人护理责任应由政府和年长的父母承担。相比之下,出生在年轻群体中的人更有可能认为成年子女负责父母的初级老年护理。孝道评分随着年龄的增长而略有增加(β=0.18,SD:0.05),但随着出生队列的年轻而降低。此外,农村参与者更有可能感知到以后代为基础的照顾老人和保持孝道,老龄化加剧了相关的城乡差异。
    结论:老人照护完全依赖后代的传统观念已经转变为依赖多个实体,包括政府和自力更生。在年轻队列中出生的人中稀释的孝道需要加强。此外,未来的健康老龄化政策需要更多地关注城乡差距,以促进社会福利的公平。
    BACKGROUND: With rapid urbanization, massive migration, and non-family-based eldercare involvement, Chinese concepts of eldercare responsibility and filial piety are shifting. We performed age-period-cohort (APC) analyses to assess the transition of old-age pension coverage, eldercare responsibility, and filial piety concepts and its urban-rural differences among Chinese adults using data from the China General Social Survey (2006-2017).
    METHODS: Old-age pension coverage (yes/no) and primary eldercare responsibility (government/offspring/self/sharing) were investigated in 2010, 2012, 2013, 2015, and 2017. Filial piety was evaluated using customized questionnaires in 2006 and 2017. The APC effects were estimated using mixed effects and generalized additive models.
    RESULTS: Among 66,182 eligible participants (mean age: 48.8 years, females: 51.7%) in the six waves, APC analyses indicated that old-age pension coverage increased with aging and over time. Across cohort groups, it grew as the cohort was younger in urban residents but decreased in rural residents. The concept of offspring-based (> 50%) and government/self/offspring-shared eldercare (> 30%) predominated. APC analyses revealed that the offspring-based concept declined with aging (OR = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.79-0.84), whereas the government-based (OR = 1.37, 95% CI: 1.33-1.41) and self-based (OR = 1.55, 95% CI: 1.47-1.63) concepts increased with aging. People born around the 1940s have a comparatively higher possibility to perceive that the primary eldercare responsibility should be undertaken by the government and elder parents. In contrast, people born in the younger cohort were more likely to perceive that adult children are responsible for their parents\' primary eldercare. Filial piety score slightly increased with aging (β = 0.18, SD: 0.05) but decreased as the birth cohort was younger. In addition, rural participants were more likely to perceive offspring-based eldercare and maintain filial piety, and the related urban-rural difference was intensified by aging.
    CONCLUSIONS: The traditional concept that eldercare solely relies on offspring has changed to relying on multiple entities, including the government and self-reliance. Diluted filial piety in people born in the young cohort requires reinforcement. Moreover, future healthy aging policies need to focus more on urban-rural disparities to promote equity in social well-being.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在全球老龄化的背景下,促进老年人的健康已成为一个关键问题。然而,智慧城市的发展是否会影响老年人的健康还有待进一步验证。在本文中,基于中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)的面板数据,采用差异模型对智慧城市建设是否能提高该地区老年人的健康水平进行实证研究。结果表明,智慧城市建设提升了老年人的健康水平。具体来说,该建筑大大改善了不与子女生活在一起的老年人的身体健康。智慧城市对城市老年人的健康促进作用比对农村老年人更为显著。阐明的影响机制表明,智慧城市通过促进城市休闲基础设施,加强医疗服务提供,促进城市环境保护和促进城市信息和通信技术基础设施的发展。
    In the context of global aging, promoting the health of the elderly has become a critical issue. However, whether the development of smart cities can impact the health of older adults remains to be further validated. In this paper, based on panel data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS), a difference in difference model is used to empirically investigate whether smart city construction improves the health of older people in the region. The results show that smart city construction enhances the health of the elderly. Specifically, the construction achieved a significant improvement in the physical health of the elderly who did not live with their children. The health promotion effect of the smart city was more significant for the urban elderly than for the rural elderly. The elucidated mechanisms of influence suggest that smart cities bring about their effects through the promotion of urban leisure infrastructure, enhancement of medical service provision, advancement in urban environmental protection and stimulation of urban information and communication technology infrastructure development.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    白内障手术和激光周边虹膜切开术(LPI)是预防原发性闭角疾病(PACDs)的有效方法,以及急性主角闭合(APAC)。由于人群筛查的发展和白内障手术率的提高,本研究旨在研究中国城市人口中PACD入院率的趋势。
    这项横断面研究检查了因PACD入院的患者,接受白内障手术或LPI手术的人。数据来自2011年至2021年的鄞州区域卫生信息平台(YRHIP)。PACD和APAC的年入学率,白内障手术和LPI进行了分析,以病例数为分子,以鄞州区年常住人口为分母。
    共有2,979名PACD患者入院,1,023名APAC患者入院,包括53,635例接受白内障手术的患者和16,450例接受LPI的患者。PACD的年度入院人数从2011年的22例(1.6/100000)逐渐增加到2016年的387例(30.8/100000),之后在2019年减少到232例(16.2/100000),然后在2021年增加到505例(30.6/100000)。白内障手术数量从2011年的1728例(127.7/100000)逐渐增加到2021年的7002例(424.9/100000)。同样,LPI的数量从2011年的109(8.0/100000)逐渐增加到2021年的3704(224.8/100000)。
    在白内障手术率和LPI呈长期上升趋势之后,近年来中国城市人口PACD的入院率有所下降。然而,在COVID-19流行期间,它迅速增加。应进一步利用国家卫生数据库来调查PACD患病率的时间趋势。
    UNASSIGNED: Cataract surgery and laser peripheral iridotomy (LPI) are effective approaches for preventing primary angle closure diseases (PACDs), as well as acute primary angle closure (APAC). Due to the development of population screening and increases in cataract surgery rates, this study aimed to examine trends in the admission rates of PACD among the urban population in China.
    UNASSIGNED: This cross-sectional study examined patients who were admitted to a hospital for PACD, and who underwent cataract surgery or LPI operations. The data were obtained from the Yinzhou Regional Health Information Platform (YRHIP) from 2011 to 2021. The annual rates of PACD and APAC admissions, cataract surgery and LPI were analyzed, with the number of cases used as numerators and the annual resident population in Yinzhou district used as denominators.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 2,979 patients with PACD admissions, 1,023 patients with APAC admissions, 53,635 patients who underwent cataract surgery and 16,450 patients who underwent LPI were included. The number of annual admissions for PACD gradually increased from 22 cases (1.6/100000) in 2011 to 387 cases (30.8/100000) in 2016, after which it decreased to 232 cases (16.2/100000) in 2019 and then increased to 505 cases (30.6/100000) in 2021. The number of cataract surgeries gradually increased from 1728 (127.7/100000) in 2011 to 7002 (424.9/100000) in 2021. Similarly, the number of LPI gradually increased from 109 (8.0/100000) in 2011 to 3704 (224.8/100000) in 2021.
    UNASSIGNED: The admission rates of PACD for the urban population in China have declined in recent years after a long increasing trend in the rates of cataract surgery and LPI. However, it increased rapidly during the COVID-19 epidemic. The national health database should be further utilized to investigate temporal trends in the prevalence of PACD.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    Objective: To investigate the characteristics and trends of spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) in Shandong province. Methods: In this study, SAH incidence data of residents from 2012 to 2021 were collected from the chronic disease monitoring information management system of Shandong province, including the basic information of outpatient, emergency or inpatient cases and out-of-hospital deaths (name, gender, ID number, address, etc.) and disease diagnosis information (disease diagnosis, date of onset, date of diagnosis, etc.). The crude incidence rate and age-standardized incidence rate were used as indicators to describe the incidence of SAH in different gender, age groups and regions (urban and rural areas). Joinpoint regression was used to analyze the variation of incidence rate and age by year. The rate difference decomposition method was used to estimate the contribution of population aging to the increase of SAH incidence. Global and local spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed using DeoDa 1.12 software. Results: From 2012 to 2021, a total of 11 629 cases of SAH were reported from 19 provincial monitoring sites in Shandong province. Among them, 54.11% (6 293 cases) were female and 91.87% (10 684 cases) were≥45 years old. The reported crude incidence rate increased from 5.26/100 000 to 9.50/100 000, with an average annual increase of 7.75% (Ztrend=7.30, Ptrend<0.001), and the standardized incidence rate also showed an upward trend (Ztrend=3.92, Ptrend=0.004). The crude incidence rate of women was higher than that of men in all years (all P values<0.05), and the standardized incidence rate of women was higher than that of men in all years except in 2012 and 2021 (all P values<0.05). In 2012, the crude incidence and standardized incidence of urban residents were lower than those in rural areas (P<0.05); from 2013 to 2017, the urban incidence was higher than that in rural areas; and after 2018, the rural incidence exceeded the urban incidence again (all P values<0.05). The median age of onset of SAH increased from 61.9 years in 2012 to 67.2 years in 2021. The age of onset of SAH in men was lower than that in women in all years (all P<0.05), and there was no significant difference between urban and rural residents in most years (P>0.05). The incidence of SAH increased with age (Ptrend<0.001), with a low incidence reported in residents aged<45 years and a rapid increase in residents aged≥45 years. According to the seasonal decomposition, the incidence of SAH had three small peaks in January, March to May and October to November. From 2013 to 2021, the contribution of aging population to the increase of crude incidence of SAH increased from 27.86% to 43.68%. The global spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the incidence of SAH was in an obvious spatial aggregation distribution (Moran\'s I>0, P<0.05). Local spatial autocorrelation analysis showed that the counties with high incidence were mainly concentrated in Dezhou City in northwest Shandong Province and Heze city in southwest Shandong province. Conclusions: The crude incidence rate of SAH in Shandong province is increasing, with spatial clustering and seasonal clustering. Residents aged 45 years and older, female residents, and rural residents are at high risk of developing SAH, so targeted prevention and control measures should be taken for high-incidence seasons, high-risk groups, and high-incidence clustered areas.
    目的: 了解山东省居民原发性蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)发病特征和流行趋势。 方法: 本研究从山东省慢性病监测信息管理系统收集居民2012—2021年SAH发病数据,包括门诊、急诊或住院以及院外死亡病例基本信息和疾病诊断信息。以粗发病率和年龄标化发病率为指标描述不同性别、年龄组、地区(城市和农村)常住人口SAH发病水平,采用Joinpoint回归分析发病率和发病年龄随年份变化趋势。应用率的差别分解法估计人口老龄化对SAH发病率上升的贡献度。采用DeoDa 1.12软件进行全局和局部空间自相关分析。 结果: 2012—2021年,山东省19个省级监测点共报告SAH发病11 629例次;其中,女性占54.11%(6 293例次),≥45岁居民占91.87%(10 684例次)。报告粗发病率从5.26/10万上升至9.50/10万,年均上升7.75%(Z趋势=7.30,P趋势<0.001),标化发病率整体也呈现上升趋势(Z趋势=3.92,P趋势=0.004)。各年份女性报告粗发病率均高于男性(均P<0.05),除2012和2021年外,各年份女性标化发病率均高于男性(均P<0.05);2012年城市居民粗发病率和标化发病率低于农村(P<0.05),2013—2017年,城市高于农村,2018年以后,农村再次超过城市(均P<0.05)。SAH中位发病年龄从2012年的61.9岁上升至2021年的67.2岁,各年份男性发病年龄低于女性(均P<0.05),多数年份城市和农村居民发病年龄差异无统计学意义(均P>0.05)。SAH发病率随年龄增长呈上升趋势(P趋势<0.001),<45岁居民报告发病率较低,≥45岁发病率快速上升。经季节性分解,SAH发病在1、3—5、10—11月有3个小高峰。2013—2021年,人口老龄化对SAH粗发病率上升的贡献占比由27.86%上升至43.68%。全局空间自相关分析显示,SAH发病呈现明显的空间聚集性分布(Moran′s I>0,P<0.05);局部空间自相关分析发现,高发区县主要集中在鲁西北的德州市和鲁西南的菏泽市。 结论: 山东省居民SAH发病率呈上升趋势,且具有空间聚集性和季节聚集性,≥45岁居民、女性居民和农村居民是发病高危人群,应针对高发季节、高危人群和高发聚集区域采取重点防控措施。.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    快速城市化导致大都市地区人口大幅增长。然而,现有的城市人口变化研究主要借鉴行政层面的网格统计数据,俯瞰人口变化的城市内部多样化。特别是,对不同城市形态和功能的人口时空变化缺乏关注。因此,本文通过局部气候区(LCZ)方案和城乡梯度的方法,阐明了2000年至2020年粤港澳大湾区(GBA)人口增长的时空特征,填补了空白。结果表明:(1)在紧凑的高层(LCZ1)地区观察到高人口密度,沿城乡梯度明显下降。(2)GBA的城市中心经历了最显著的人口增长,而某些城市边缘和农村地区见证了显著的人口减少。(3)2010年后增长速度趋于放缓,但以人口为基础的城镇化发展不均衡现象也明显,随着城市化和工业化在GBA不同的LCZ类型和城市之间的变化。因此,本文通过澄清景观水平的时空变化,有助于更深入地了解人口变化和城市化。
    Rapid urbanization has resulted in the substantial population growth in metropolitan areas. However, existing research on population change of the cities predominantly draws on grid statistical data at the administrative level, overlooking the intra-urban variegation of population change. Particularly, there is a lack of attention given to the spatio-temporal change of population across different urban forms and functions. This paper therefore fills in the lacuna by clarifying the spatio-temporal characteristics of population growth in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area (GBA) from 2000 to 2020 through the methods of local climate zone (LCZ) scheme and urban-rural gradients. The results showed that: (1) High population density was observed in the compact high-rise (LCZ 1) areas, with a noticeable decline along urban-rural gradients. (2) The city centers of GBA experienced the most significant population growth, while certain urban fringes and rural areas witnessed significant population shrinkage. (3) The rate of growth tended to slow down after 2010, but the uneven development of population-based urbanization was also noticeable, as urbanization and industrialization varied across different LCZ types and cities in GBA. This paper therefore contributes to a deeper understanding of population change and urbanization by clarifying their spatio-temporal contingences at landscape level.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    本研究旨在:1)探索城市社区中步行速度慢(SSWS)的老年人的行动体验;和2)调查他们的环境障碍和支持。
    对居住在重庆市市区的36个SSWS进行了访谈,中国。通过制图分析和专题分析揭示了影响其流动性的流动模式和建筑环境因素。
    SSWS主要将活动集中在其房屋半径400米的范围内。建筑环境主题包括地形,邻里服务,人行道,座位,交通安全,天气,绿化,和照明。重要的行动障碍包括长楼梯,陡坡,人行道上快速移动的物体,十字路口,和快速的交通。可用的扶手,附近的餐饮服务场所,充足的座位,绿化被确定为其流动性的支持因素。
    这项研究是第一个专门检查SSWS在建筑环境中的移动性的研究。我们建议在为通用设计框架建立基准时应考虑SSWS。这些改进不仅有助于慢步行者的流动性,而且对更广泛的人口产生积极影响。
    UNASSIGNED: This study aims to: 1) Explore the mobility experiences of seniors with slow walking speeds (SSWS) in urban neighborhoods; and 2) Investigate their environmental barriers and supports.
    UNASSIGNED: Go-along interviews were conducted with 36 SSWS residing in urban neighborhoods of Chongqing City, China. The mobility patterns and built environment factors influencing their mobility were revealed through cartographic analysis and thematic analysis.
    UNASSIGNED: SSWS primarily focused their activities within a 400-meter radius of their homes. Built environment themes included topography, neighborhood services, sidewalks, seating, traffic safety, weather, greenery, and lighting. Significant mobility barriers included long stairs, steep slopes, fast-moving objects on sidewalks, road crossings, and fast traffic. Available handrails, nearby food-service places, ample seating, and greenery were identified as supportive factors for their mobility.
    UNASSIGNED: This study stands out as the first to specifically examine the mobility of SSWS within the built environment. We suggest that SSWS should be taken into account when establishing a benchmark for general design frameworks. These improvements not only contribute to the mobility of slow walkers but also have positive impacts on the broader population.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    Objective: The epidemiological characteristics of tuberculosis deaths among Chinese residents from 2006 to 2021 were analyzed, and the tuberculosis mortality rate from 2022 to 2027 was predicted to provide a reference for tuberculosis prevention and control in China. Methods: The data set of tuberculosis deaths from 2006 to 2021 was published regularly by the China CDC, and the crude mortality rate (CMR) and age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) were calculated according to the population structure of China in 2000. The distribution characteristics of age, sex, region, and time of tuberculosis deaths were analyzed, the Joinpoint regression analysis model was used to analyze the changing trend, and the grey model was applied to predict CMR and ASMR from 2022 to 2027. Results: From 2006 to 2021, the CMR and ASMR of tuberculosis showed a downward trend among males and females, urban and rural areas, and all age groups, in a word, all the Chinese residents. Except for the age group ≥85 years old, the mortality trend was insignificant. In the eastern, central, or western regions. CMR and ASMR were significantly higher in males than in females.CMR and ASMR were significantly lower in urban areas than in rural areas. In general, active tuberculosis patients present a higher mortality rate. The CMR and ASMR in the western region were higher than those in the eastern and central regions and lower in the eastern region than in the central region, but the differences were less obvious. The ASMR of the eastern cities was lower than that of the central and western regions, and the ASMR of the central cities was higher than that of the western region from 2006 to 2009 and 2012 and lower than that of the western region in other years. The ASMR in the western countryside was higher than that in the eastern and central regions and lower in the eastern part than in the central region, but the difference was not obvious. The grey model prediction results show that the CMR (/100 000) of Chinese residents from 2022 to 2027 is 1.585, 1.471, 1.360, 1.250, 1.143, and 1.038, and the ASMR (/100 000) is 0.779, 0.653, 0.531, 0.411, 0.295 and 0.181, respectively. Conclusions: The CMR and ASMR of tuberculosis will continue to decline, and extraordinary achievements have been made in tuberculosis prevention and control in Chinese residents from 2006 to 2021 and, presumably, from 2022 to 2027. However, tuberculosis screening and treatment programs in the western region, men, the elderly population, and rural areas should be further strengthened, and targeted prevention and control measures should be formulated to reduce mortality.
    目的: 分析2006-2021年中国居民结核病死亡情况的流行病学特征,并对2022- 2027年的结核病死亡率进行预测,为开展我国结核病防控工作提供参考依据。 方法: 收集来自中国CDC定期公开发表的2006-2021年结核病死亡病例数据集,并依照中国2000年的人口结构进行年龄标化,计算结核病粗死亡率(CMR)和年龄标化死亡率(ASMR),分析结核病死亡病例年龄、性别、地区和时间的分布特征,采用Joinpoint回归分析模型分析变化趋势,并应用灰色模型预测2022-2027年的结核病CMR和ASMR。 结果: 中国居民总人群、男女性、城乡、各年龄段(除年龄≥85岁组死亡率下降趋势不显著外)、东中西部地区2006-2021年结核病CMR和ASMR均呈下降趋势。男性CMR和ASMR均高于女性。城市CMR和ASMR均低于农村。结核病患者年龄越大,死亡率越高。CMR和ASMR西部均高于东部和中部,东部低于中部,但差距较小。东部城市ASMR低于中部城市和西部城市,中部城市在2006-2009年和2012年高于西部城市,其他年份均低于西部城市;西部农村ASMR高于东部农村和中部农村,东部农村低于中部农村,但差距较小。灰色模型预测结果显示,中国居民2022-2027年结核病CMR(/10万)分别为1.585、1.471、1.360、1.250、1.143和1.038,ASMR(/10万)分别为0.779、0.653、0.531、0.411、0.295和0.181。 结论: 中国居民2006-2021年及预测2022-2027年结核病CMR和ASMR均持续下降,结核病防治取得了较大的成就。未来工作应重点加强农村、西部地区、男性、老年人口的结核病筛查和治疗,有针对性地制定防控措施,降低死亡率。.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

    求助全文

  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    中国母婴健康(MCH)的长期趋势以及可能与这些变化相关的国家级因素尚未得到充分探索。这项研究旨在评估全国和城乡地区的妇幼保健指标趋势,以及30年期间公共政策的影响。使用新生儿死亡率(NMR)的数据进行了生态研究,婴儿死亡率(IMR),五岁以下儿童死亡率(U5MR),从1991年到2020年,中国城市和农村地区的全国和孕产妇死亡率(MMR)。Joinpoint回归模型用于估计年度百分比变化(APC),具有95%置信区间(CI)的平均年度百分比变化(AAPC),城乡之间的死亡率差异。从1991年到2020年,中国的母婴死亡率逐渐下降(国家AAPC[95%CI]:NMR-7.7%[-8.6%,-6.8%],IMR-7.5%[-8.4%,-6.6%],U5MR-7.5%[-8.5%,-6.5%],MMR-5.0%[-5.7%,-4.4%])。然而,2005年后,全国儿童死亡率下降速度有所放缓,2013年后孕产妇死亡率下降速度有所放缓.对于所有指标,农村地区死亡率下降幅度大于城市地区。农村和城市地区的AAPC比率差异为NMR的8.5%,-IMR的8.6%,-U5MR为7.7%,和-9.6%的MMR。AAPC的比率(农村与城市)为NMR-1.2,-2.1对于IMR,-U5MR为1.7,MMR为-1.9。2010年后,MMR的城乡差距没有缩小,核磁共振,IMR,U5MR,它逐渐缩小,但仍然存在。妇幼保健指标在国家一级以及在城市和农村地区分别下降,但可能已经达到平稳状态。妇幼保健指标的城乡差距已经缩小,但仍然存在。有必要对妇幼保健的时间趋势进行定期分析,以评估及时调整措施的有效性。
    The long-term trends in maternal and child health (MCH) in China and the national-level factors that may be associated with these changes have been poorly explored. This study aimed to assess trends in MCH indicators nationally and separately in urban and rural areas and the impact of public policies over a 30‒year period. An ecological study was conducted using data on neonatal mortality rate (NMR), infant mortality rate (IMR), under-five mortality rate (U5MR), and maternal mortality ratio (MMR) nationally and separately in urban and rural areas in China from 1991 to 2020. Joinpoint regression models were used to estimate the annual percentage changes (APC), average annual percentage changes (AAPC) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs), and mortality differences between urban and rural areas. From 1991 to 2020, maternal and child mortalities in China gradually declined (national AAPC [95% CI]: NMRs - 7.7% [- 8.6%, - 6.8%], IMRs - 7.5% [- 8.4%, - 6.6%], U5MRs - 7.5% [- 8.5%, - 6.5%], MMRs - 5.0% [- 5.7%, - 4.4%]). However, the rate of decline nationally in child mortality slowed after 2005, and in maternal mortality after 2013. For all indicators, the decline in mortality was greater in rural areas than in urban areas. The AAPCs in rate differences between rural and urban areas were - 8.5% for NMRs, - 8.6% for IMRs, - 7.7% for U5MRs, and - 9.6% for MMRs. The AAPCs in rate ratios (rural vs. urban) were - 1.2 for NMRs, - 2.1 for IMRs, - 1.7 for U5MRs, and - 1.9 for MMRs. After 2010, urban‒rural disparity in MMR did not diminish and in NMR, IMR, and U5MR, it gradually narrowed but persisted. MCH indicators have declined at the national level as well as separately in urban and rural areas but may have reached a plateau. Urban‒rural disparities in MCH indicators have narrowed but still exist. Regular analyses of temporal trends in MCH are necessary to assess the effectiveness of measures for timely adjustments.
    导出

    更多引用

    收藏

    翻译标题摘要

    我要上传

       PDF(Pubmed)

公众号