Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome

严重急性呼吸系统综合症
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    肺部疾病具有复杂的发病机制和治疗挑战,每年的诊断率和死亡率都有明显增加。因此,从新的观点阐明其发病机制和治疗无效的机制是必要和紧迫的。甲基转移酶样3(METTL3)是一种新型的基因表达转录后调节因子,与肺部疾病的调节有关。包括在慢性疾病中观察到的,如肺纤维化(PF),肺动脉高压(PAH),和慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD),以及肺炎等急性疾病,严重急性呼吸道综合征冠状病毒2感染,和脓毒症引起的急性呼吸窘迫综合征。值得注意的是,对这些研究结果的全面总结和分析可能有助于从METTL3调节机制的新观点理解肺部疾病,然而,仍然缺乏这样的审查。因此,这篇综述旨在通过总结METTL3在肺部疾病中的作用来弥补这种短缺,建立他们的相互关系,并阐明了METTL3在诊断方面的潜在应用,治疗,和预后。分析共同表明METTL3有助于这些肺部疾病的发生和发展,从而将METTL3作为诊断的有价值的生物标志物,治疗,和预后。总之,这篇综述阐明了METTL3与肺部疾病在研究和临床环境中的相关性,并强调了探索METTL3在呼吸系统中作用的潜在途径.
    Lung diseases have complex pathogenesis and treatment challenges, showing an obvious increase in the rate of diagnosis and death every year. Therefore, elucidating the mechanism for their pathogenesis and treatment ineffective from novel views is essential and urgent. Methyltransferase-like 3 (METTL3) is a novel post-transcriptional regulator for gene expression that has been implicated in regulating lung diseases, including that observed in chronic conditions such as pulmonary fibrosis (PF), pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), as well as acute conditions such as pneumonia, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 infection, and sepsis-induced acute respiratory distress syndrome. Notably, a comprehensive summary and analysis of findings from these studies might help understand lung diseases from the novel view of METTL3-regulated mechanism, however, such a review is still lacking. Therefore, this review aims to bridge such shortage by summarising the roles of METTL3 in lung diseases, establishing their interrelationships, and elucidating the potential applications of METTL3 regarding diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis. The analysis collectively suggests METTL3 is contributable to the onset and progression of these lung diseases, thereby prospecting METTL3 as a valuable biomarker for their diagnosis, treatment, and prognosis. In conclusion, this review offers elucidation into the correlation between METTL3 and lung diseases in both research and clinical settings and highlights potential avenues for exploring the roles of METTL3 in the respiratory system.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Diquat (DQ) is a non-selective, foliage-applied herbicide that is known to cause liver and kidney damage, while the impact on the lungs is relatively mild. Current domestic and international reports on diquat poisoning primarily focus on liver and kidney injuries, with limited documentation of cases leading to acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) and lung damage. This paper presents a retrospective analysis of two documented cases of diquat poisoning, both exhibiting ARDS. In both cases, the condition rapidly progressed upon the onset of ARDS despite aggressive treatment, ultimately resulting in the death of the patients.
    敌草快(diquat,DQ)是一种非选择性、落叶型除草剂,其中毒往往引起肝肾功能损伤,而对肺的损伤较为轻微。目前国内外对于DQ中毒的报道多集中在肝肾损伤,而引起急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)及肺部损伤的报道较少。本文回顾分析了2例成分明确标注为敌草快中毒的病例,均表现出ARDS,且在出现ARDS时病情急剧进展,虽经积极救治,最终患者均死亡。.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:在过去的20年中,新型冠状病毒已经出现并引起了主要的流行病和大流行,包括SARS-CoV-1,MERS-CoV,和SARS-CoV-2,导致了当前的COVID-19大流行。这些冠状病毒的特点是它们有可能从超传播事件(SSE)产生不成比例的大传播簇。由于迅速采取行动对于遏制和缓解SSE至关重要,实时疫情规模估计可以表征传播异质性,并为及时实施控制措施提供信息。
    目的:本研究旨在评估SSE的流行程度,以提供有效的监测和快速的缓解反应。
    方法:我们开发了一个基于反算的统计框架,以估计正在进行的冠状病毒SSE的流行规模。我们首先在具有SARS流行病学特征的模拟情景中验证了该框架,MERS,和COVID-19SSEs。作为案例研究,我们回顾性地将该框架应用于2003年在香港的淘大花园SARS疫情,2015年在韩国发生的一系列院内MERS疫情,以及2020年2起源自香港餐馆的COVID-19疫情.
    结果:观察时间越长,SSE规模越大,流行病学特征的先验信息越准确,SSE规模估计的准确性和精确度越高,例如潜伏期的分布和开始到确认延迟的分布。通过回顾性应用框架,我们发现,在香港淘大花园SARSSSE报告了37%的病例后,95%的可信区间包含了真实的流行病规模,在韩国的3个医院MERSSSE中观察到41%至62%的病例,76%至86%的病例在香港的2例COVID-19SSE中得到确认。
    结论:我们的框架可以很容易地整合到冠状病毒监测系统中,以增强对正在进行的SSE的情况认识。
    BACKGROUND: Novel coronaviruses have emerged and caused major epidemics and pandemics in the past 2 decades, including SARS-CoV-1, MERS-CoV, and SARS-CoV-2, which led to the current COVID-19 pandemic. These coronaviruses are marked by their potential to produce disproportionally large transmission clusters from superspreading events (SSEs). As prompt action is crucial to contain and mitigate SSEs, real-time epidemic size estimation could characterize the transmission heterogeneity and inform timely implementation of control measures.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to estimate the epidemic size of SSEs to inform effective surveillance and rapid mitigation responses.
    METHODS: We developed a statistical framework based on back-calculation to estimate the epidemic size of ongoing coronavirus SSEs. We first validated the framework in simulated scenarios with the epidemiological characteristics of SARS, MERS, and COVID-19 SSEs. As case studies, we retrospectively applied the framework to the Amoy Gardens SARS outbreak in Hong Kong in 2003, a series of nosocomial MERS outbreaks in South Korea in 2015, and 2 COVID-19 outbreaks originating from restaurants in Hong Kong in 2020.
    RESULTS: The accuracy and precision of the estimation of epidemic size of SSEs improved with longer observation time; larger SSE size; and more accurate prior information about the epidemiological characteristics, such as the distribution of the incubation period and the distribution of the onset-to-confirmation delay. By retrospectively applying the framework, we found that the 95% credible interval of the estimates contained the true epidemic size after 37% of cases were reported in the Amoy Garden SARS SSE in Hong Kong, 41% to 62% of cases were observed in the 3 nosocomial MERS SSEs in South Korea, and 76% to 86% of cases were confirmed in the 2 COVID-19 SSEs in Hong Kong.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our framework can be readily integrated into coronavirus surveillance systems to enhance situation awareness of ongoing SSEs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:关于肺活量测定法的中长期恢复差异知之甚少,COVID-19和SARS之间的6分钟步行距离(6MWD)和健康相关生活质量(HRQoL)。
    方法:我们对COVID-19幸存者进行了为期12个月的前瞻性研究。肺活量测定时动态肺容积的变化(%预测FEV1,%预测FVC),使用相同的研究方案,将1-3,6至12个月的6MWD和HRQoL与SARS幸存者的历史队列进行比较。COVID-19幸存者HRCT的残余放射学变化与其功能能力相关。
    结果:108名各种疾病严重程度的COVID-19幸存者(无症状的2.9%,轻度33.3%,适度47.2%,严重的8.3%,临界8.3%)被招募。与97名SARS幸存者相比,108名COVID-19幸存者年龄较大(48.1±16.4与36.1±9.5年,p<0.001),并且在住院期间需要较少的额外支持;动态肺容量较低,更短的6MWD和更好的物理组件得分。两组幸存者在随后的随访中这些参数的变化相当。COVID-19和SARS幸存者在6个月和12个月时的心理成分评分(MCS)相似。COVID-19幸存者最初经历较少(组间差异,-3.1,95%置信区间[CI]-5.5至-0.7,p=0.012),然后更多的改善(组间差异2.9,95%,CI0.8至5.1,p=0.007)分别在1-3至6个月和6至12个月的MCS中的SARS幸存者。91名COVID-19幸存者中有40人(44.0%)在12个月时在HRCT上有残留异常,实质改变的严重程度评分与6MWD呈负相关(r=-0.239,p<0.05)。
    结论:COVID-19幸存者在动态肺容量和运动能力方面表现出相似的恢复速度,但作为SARS幸存者的康复期,心理恢复的步伐不同。HRCT实质改变的严重程度与COVID-19幸存者的6MWD呈负相关。
    背景:这项前瞻性研究于2020年11月2日在ClinicalTrials.gov注册(标识符:NCT04611243)。
    BACKGROUND: Little is known about the differences in medium to long-term recovery on spirometry, 6-minute walking distance (6MWD) and health-related quality of life (HRQoL) between COVID-19 and SARS.
    METHODS: We performed a 12-month prospective study on COVID-19 survivors. The changes in dynamic lung volumes at spirometry (%predicted FEV1, %predicted FVC), 6MWD and HRQoL at 1-3, 6 to 12 months were compared against a historical cohort of SARS survivors using the same study protocol. The residual radiological changes in HRCT in COVID-19 survivors were correlated with their functional capacity.
    RESULTS: 108 COVID-19 survivors of various disease severity (asymptomatic 2.9%, mild 33.3%, moderate 47.2%, severe 8.3%, critical 8.3%) were recruited. When compared with 97 SARS survivors, 108 COVID-19 survivors were older (48.1 ± 16.4 vs. 36.1 ± 9.5 years, p < 0.001) and required less additional support during hospitalization; with lower dynamic lung volumes, shorter 6MWD and better physical component score. Both groups of survivors had comparable changes in these parameters at subsequent follow-ups. Both COVID-19 and SARS survivors had similar mental component score (MCS) at 6 and 12 months. COVID-19 survivors initially experienced less (between-group difference, -3.1, 95% confidence interval [CI] -5.5 to -0.7, p = 0.012) and then more improvement (between-group difference 2.9, 95%, CI 0.8 to 5.1, p = 0.007) than SARS survivors in the MCS at 1-3 to 6 months and 6 to 12 months respectively. Forty (44.0%) out of 91 COVID-19 survivors had residual abnormalities on HRCT at 12 months, with a negative correlation between the severity scores of parenchymal changes and 6MWD (r=-0.239, p < 0.05).
    CONCLUSIONS: COVID-19 survivors demonstrated a similar recovery speed in dynamic lung volumes and exercise capacity, but different paces of psychological recovery as SARS survivors in the convalescent phase. The severity of parenchymal changes in HRCT is negatively correlated with the 6MWD of COVID-19 survivors.
    BACKGROUND: This prospective study was registered at ClinicalTrials.gov on 2 November 2020 (Identifier: NCT04611243).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:从2003年的严重急性呼吸系统综合症(SARS)爆发到2019年的COVID-19大流行,中国从中央到地方都出台了一系列卫生措施和政策。然而,没有研究构建了一个能够反映波动性的不确定性指数,风险,和卫生环境的政策特征。
    目的:对主流报纸进行文本挖掘分析,量化卫生政策报道量和新闻文章总量,构建一系列反映我国卫生政策不确定性的指标。
    方法:使用Wisenews数据库,选择了中国大陆最有影响力的11家报纸来获取样本文章。通过搜索包含指定关键字的文章并计算其频率,构建了2003年至2022年每个月的卫生政策不确定性(HPU)指数。通过相关性分析进行稳健性检验。HPU指数是使用STATA(版本16.0)绘制的,并对中美HPU指数进行了比较分析。
    结果:我们从11家报纸的749万篇新闻中检索了6482篇样本文章。构建了中国HPU指数,稳健性检验的相关系数大于0.74,表明具有良好的稳健性。关键的健康事件可能导致指数波动。在COVID-19(2020年5月)开始时,HPU指数攀升至502.0。2022年12月,中国HPU指数在“新十条”疫情防控政策发布后达到最高值613.8。在SARS和COVID-19期间,以及《平价医疗法案》期间,中美之间的HPU指数波动存在显着差异。
    结论:国家卫生政策是卫生发展的指南,卫生政策的不确定性不仅会影响管理者对政策的执行,还会影响人们的寻求健康行为。这里,我们得出结论,关键卫生政策的变化,重大的国家或国际事件,具有广泛影响的传染病会给中国的卫生政策带来很大的不确定性。由于政治制度和新闻环境的不同,中美两国卫生政策的不确定性差异较大。同样的是,COVID-19给两国带来了巨大的政策波动。据我们所知,我们的工作是在中国首次对HPU进行系统的文本挖掘研究。
    From the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) outbreak in 2003 to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2019, a series of health measures and policies have been introduced from the central to the local level in China. However, no study has constructed an uncertainty index that can reflect the volatility, risk, and policy characteristics of the health environment.
    We used text mining analysis on mainstream newspapers to quantify the volume of reports about health policy and the total number of news articles and to construct a series of indexes that could reflect the uncertainty of health policy in China.
    Using the Wisenews database, 11 of the most influential newspapers in mainland China were selected to obtain the sample articles. The health policy uncertainty (HPU) index for each month from 2003 to 2022 was constructed by searching articles containing the specified keywords and calculating their frequency. Robustness tests were conducted through correlation analysis. The HPU index was plotted using STATA (version 16.0), and a comparative analysis of the China and US HPU indexes was then performed.
    We retrieved 6482 sample articles from 7.49 million news articles in 11 newspapers. The China HPU index was constructed, and the robustness test showed a correlation coefficient greater than 0.74, which indicates good robustness. Key health events can cause index fluctuations. At the beginning of COVID-19 (May 2020), the HPU index climbed to 502.0. In December 2022, China\'s HPU index reached its highest value of 613.8 after the release of the \"New Ten Rules\" pandemic prevention and control policy. There were significant differences in HPU index fluctuations between China and the United States during SARS and COVID-19, as well as during the Affordable Care Act period.
    National health policy is a guide for health development, and uncertainty in health policy can affect not only the implementation of policy by managers but also the health-seeking behavior of the people. Here, we conclude that changes in critical health policies, major national or international events, and infectious diseases with widespread impact can create significant uncertainty in China\'s health policies. The uncertainty of health policies in China and the United States is quite different due to different political systems and news environments. What is the same is that COVID-19 has brought great policy volatility to both countries. To the best of our knowledge, our work is the first systematic text mining study of HPU in China.
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  • 文章类型: Dataset
    在自然条件下,非人类动物向人类传播的人畜共患病毒(SarbeCoV)导致了两次大规模的大流行,2003年的严重急性呼吸系统综合症(SARS)大流行和正在进行的COVID-19大流行。遗传多样性知识,地理分布,因此,SarbeCoV的宿主特异性对于SARS-CoV和SARS-CoV-2的大流行监测和起源追踪具有重要意义。这项研究提供了一个全面的公开可用的动物相关SarbeCoV存储库,涵盖了分布在全球43个国家/地区的63种动物物种中的1,535种病毒(截至2023年2月14日)。相关元信息,如寄主物种,采样时间和位置,手动策划并包含在数据集中,以促进对病毒多样性和生态特征的潜在模式的进一步研究。此外,该数据集还为科学界提供了完整注释的受体结合域(RBD)和受体结合基序(RBM)序列集,以突出成功跨物种传播的潜在决定因素,这些因素可能有助于风险估计和战略设计,用于未来新出现的传染病控制和预防.
    Zoonotic spillover of sarbecoviruses (SarbeCoVs) from non-human animals to humans under natural conditions has led to two large-scale pandemics, the severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) pandemic in 2003 and the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Knowledge of the genetic diversity, geographical distribution, and host specificity of SarbeCoVs is therefore of interest for pandemic surveillance and origin tracing of SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2. This study presents a comprehensive repository of publicly available animal-associated SarbeCoVs, covering 1,535 viruses identified from 63 animal species distributed in 43 countries worldwide (as of February 14,2023). Relevant meta-information, such as host species, sampling time and location, was manually curated and included in the dataset to facilitate further research on the potential patterns of viral diversity and ecological characteristics. In addition, the dataset also provides well-annotated sequence sets of receptor-binding domains (RBDs) and receptor-binding motifs (RBMs) for the scientific community to highlight the potential determinants of successful cross-species transmission that could be aid in risk estimation and strategic design for future emerging infectious disease control and prevention.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    蝙蝠携带遗传多样性的严重急性呼吸道综合征相关冠状病毒(SARSr-CoV)。其中一些人血管紧张素转换酶2(hACE2)作为受体,无法在野生型小鼠中有效复制。我们先前的研究表明,蝙蝠SARSr-CoVrRsSHC014S在hACE2转基因小鼠而不是野生型小鼠中诱导呼吸道感染和肺损伤。在这项研究中,我们产生了小鼠适应的rRsSHC014S品系,通过野生型病毒在BALB/c小鼠中的连续传代,我们将其命名为SMA1901。鼻内接种后,SMA1901在小鼠肺中显示出增加的感染性,并在年轻和老年小鼠中均引起间质性肺肺炎。基因组测序显示不仅在刺突蛋白中,而且在整个基因组中都发生了突变,这可能是SMA1901在野生型BALB/c小鼠中致病性增强的原因。SMA1901诱导的年龄相关死亡率与SARS和COVID-19中观察到的相似。使用抗体和抗病毒分子的药物测试表明,这种小鼠适应的病毒株可用于测试针对SARSr-CoV的预防性和治疗性候选药物。SARSr-CoV在野生动物中的遗传多样性及其跨物种感染的潜在风险凸显了开发强大的动物模型以评估抗体和抗病毒药物的重要性。通过在BALB/c小鼠中rRsSHC014S的自然连续传代,我们获得了适应小鼠的蝙蝠源冠状病毒SMA1901。鼻内接种后,SMA1901感染在年轻和老年BALB/c小鼠中均引起间质性肺炎和炎症免疫反应。我们的模型显示出与SARS和COVID-19相似的年龄相关死亡率。因此,我们的模型对于研究蝙蝠SARSr-CoV的发病机制具有很高的价值,并且可以作为预防和治疗候选物的前瞻性试验平台.
    Bats carry genetically diverse severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronaviruses (SARSr-CoVs). Some of them utilize human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (hACE2) as a receptor and cannot efficiently replicate in wild-type mice. Our previous study demonstrated that the bat SARSr-CoV rRsSHC014S induces respiratory infection and lung damage in hACE2 transgenic mice but not wild-type mice. In this study, we generated a mouse-adapted strain of rRsSHC014S, which we named SMA1901, by serial passaging of wild-type virus in BALB/c mice. SMA1901 showed increased infectivity in mouse lungs and induced interstitial lung pneumonia in both young and aged mice after intranasal inoculation. Genome sequencing revealed mutations in not only the spike protein but the whole genome, which may be responsible for the enhanced pathogenicity of SMA1901 in wild-type BALB/c mice. SMA1901 induced age-related mortality similar to that observed in SARS and COVID-19. Drug testing using antibodies and antiviral molecules indicated that this mouse-adapted virus strain can be used to test prophylactic and therapeutic drug candidates against SARSr-CoVs. IMPORTANCE The genetic diversity of SARSr-CoVs in wildlife and their potential risk of cross-species infection highlights the importance of developing a powerful animal model to evaluate the antibodies and antiviral drugs. We acquired the mouse-adapted strain of a bat-origin coronavirus named SMA1901 by natural serial passaging of rRsSHC014S in BALB/c mice. The SMA1901 infection caused interstitial pneumonia and inflammatory immune responses in both young and aged BALB/c mice after intranasal inoculation. Our model exhibited age-related mortality similar to SARS and COVID-19. Therefore, our model will be of high value for investigating the pathogenesis of bat SARSr-CoVs and could serve as a prospective test platform for prophylactic and therapeutic candidates.
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  • 文章类型: English Abstract
    目的:探讨中、重度急性呼吸窘迫综合征(ARDS)患者体外循环(CPB)心脏手术后血清降钙素原(PCT)水平的变化。并试图找出PCT的最佳截止值,以预测中度和重度ARDS的进展。
    方法:回顾性分析2017年1月至2019年12月福建省立医院CPB心脏手术患者的病历资料。纳入在重症监护病房(ICU)住院超过1天并且在术后第一天有PCT值的成年患者。临床数据,如患者人口统计学,过去的历史,诊断,和纽约心脏协会(HYHA)分类,和操作模式,程序持续时间,CPB持续时间,主动脉钳夹持续时间,术中液体平衡,计算术后24小时液体平衡和血管活性-肌力评分(VIS);术后24小时C反应蛋白(CRP),收集N末端B型利钠肽前体(NT-proBNP)和PCT水平。两名临床医生根据柏林定义独立诊断ARDS,并且仅在诊断一致的患者中确定诊断。比较了中度至重度ARDS患者与无或轻度ARDS患者之间每个参数的差异。通过受试者操作特征曲线(ROC曲线)评估PCT预测中度至重度ARDS的能力。采用多因素Logistic回归分析确定中重度ARDS发生的危险因素。
    结果:最终纳入了108名患者,包括37例轻度ARDS患者(34.3%),35例中度ARDS患者(32.4%),2例严重ARDS患者(1.9%),34例无ARDS患者。与无或轻度ARDS患者相比,中度至重度ARDS患者年龄较大(年龄:58.5±11.1vs.52.8±14.8,P<0.05),合并高血压比例较高[45.9%(17/37)vs.25.4%(18/71),P<0.05],手术时间更长(分钟:363.2±120.6vs.313.5±97.6,P<0.05),和更高的死亡率(8.1%vs.0,P<0.05),但VIS评分没有差异,急性肾功能衰竭(ARF)的发病率,CPB持续时间,主动脉钳夹持续时间,术中出血,输血量,两组之间的液体平衡。中重度ARDS患者术后第1天血清PCT和NT-proBNP水平明显高于无或轻度ARDS患者[PCT(μg/L):16.33(6.96,32.56)vs.2.21(0.80,5.76),NT-proBNP(ng/L):2405.0(1543.0,6456.5)与1680.0(1388.0,4667.0),均P<0.05]。ROC曲线分析显示PCT预测中重度ARDS发生的曲线下面积(AUC)为0.827[95%可信区间(95CI)为0.739~0.915,P<0.05]。当PCT临界值为7.165μg/L时,敏感性为75.7%,特异性为84.5%,用于区分发生中度至重度ARDS的患者和未发生ARDS的患者。多因素Logistic回归分析显示,年龄和PCT浓度升高是发生中重度ARDS的独立危险因素[年龄:比值比(OR)=1.105,95CI为1.037~1.177,P=0.002;PCT:OR=48.286,95CI为10.282~226.753,P<0.001]。
    结论:接受CPB心脏手术的中度至重度ARDS患者的血清PCT浓度高于无ARDS或轻度ARDS患者。血清PCT水平可能是预测中度至重度ARDS发展的有希望的生物标志物。截止值为7.165μg/L
    OBJECTIVE: To explore the changes of serum procalcitonin (PCT) level in patients with moderate and severe acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS) after cardiac surgery under cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB), and try to find out the best cut-off of PCT to predict the progression to moderate and severe ARDS.
    METHODS: Medical records of patients undergoing cardiac surgery with CPB in Fujian Provincial Hospital from January 2017 to December 2019 were retrospectively analyzed. Adult patients who were admitted in intensive care unit (ICU) for more than 1 day and had PCT values on the first postoperative day were enrolled. Clinical data such as patient demographics, past history, diagnosis, and New York Heart Association (HYHA) classification, and the operation mode, procedure duration, CPB duration, aortic clamp duration, intraoperative fluid balance, calculation of 24 hours postoperative fluid balance and vasoactive-inotropic score (VIS); 24 hours postoperative C-reactive protein (CRP), N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide precursor (NT-proBNP) and PCT levels were collected. Two clinicians independently made the diagnosis of ARDS according to the Berlin definition, and the diagnosis was established only in patients with a consistent diagnosis. The differences in each parameter were compared between patients with moderate to severe ARDS and those without or with mild ARDS. Analysis of the ability of PCT to predict moderate to severe ARDS was evaluated by receiver operator characteristic curve (ROC curve). Multivariate Logistic regression was conducted to determine the risk factors of the development of moderate to severe ARDS.
    RESULTS: 108 patients were finally enrolled, including 37 patients with mild ARDS (34.3%), 35 patients with moderate ARDS (32.4%), 2 patients with severe ARDS (1.9%), and 34 patients without ARDS. Compared with patients with no or mild ARDS, patients with moderate to severe ARDS were older (years old: 58.5±11.1 vs. 52.8±14.8, P < 0.05), with a higher proportion of combined hypertension [45.9% (17/37) vs. 25.4% (18/71), P < 0.05], longer operative time (minutes: 363.2±120.6 vs. 313.5±97.6, P < 0.05), and higher mortality (8.1% vs. 0, P < 0.05), but there were no differences in the VIS score, incidence of acute renal failure (ARF), CPB duration, aortic clamp duration, and intraoperative bleeding, transfusion volume, and fluid balance between the two groups. Serum PCT and NT-proBNP levels in patients with moderate to severe ARDS at postoperative day 1 were significantly higher than those in patients with no or mild ARDS [PCT (μg/L): 16.33 (6.96, 32.56) vs. 2.21 (0.80, 5.76), NT-proBNP (ng/L): 2 405.0 (1 543.0, 6 456.5) vs. 1 680.0 (1 388.0, 4 667.0), both P < 0.05]. ROC curve analysis showed that the area under the curve (AUC) for PCT to predict the occurrence of moderate to severe ARDS was 0.827 [95% confidence interval (95%CI) was 0.739-0.915, P < 0.05]. When PCT cut-off value was 7.165 μg/L, the sensitivity was 75.7% and the specificity was 84.5%, for differentiating patients who developed moderate to severe ARDS from who did not. Multivariate Logistic regression showed that age and the elevated PCT concentration were independent risk factors for the development of moderate to severe ARDS [age: odds ratio (OR) = 1.105, 95%CI was 1.037-1.177, P = 0.002; PCT: OR = 48.286, 95%CI was 10.282-226.753, P < 0.001].
    CONCLUSIONS: Patients with moderate to severe ARDS undergoing CPB cardiac surgery have a higher serum concentration of PCT than patients with no or mild ARDS. Serum PCT level may be a promising biomarker to predict the development of moderate to severe ARDS, the cut-off value is 7.165 μg/L.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Influenza is characterized by an acute viral infection, which can lead to severe conditions and death, especially in vulnerable populations, such as older adults. Therefore, we sought to analyze cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) due to influenza in older adults registered in Brazil and investigate the factors related to death due to this disease.
    This is a cross-sectional, population-based study that used secondary data from the Influenza Epidemiological Surveillance Information System (IESIS-Influenza). Older adults aged 60 years and above with laboratory diagnosis of influenza were included.
    A total of 3,547 older adults with SARS due to influenza were included, out of which 1,185 cases with death as the outcome were identified. Among older adults with death as the outcome, 87.4% were not vaccinated against influenza. The main risk factors for death were invasive ventilatory support use, intensive care unit admission, brown skin color and dyspnea (p < 0.001).
    This study described the profile of older adults with SARS due to influenza in Brazil. Factors associated with death in this population were identified. Moreover, the need to encourage compliance with vaccination among older adults is evident in order to prevent severe cases and unfavorable outcomes related to influenza.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究考察了大流行对关键人力资本决策的长期影响,即大学专业选择。使用中国2008-2016年全国高考(高考)专业入学成绩,我们发现,2003年的严重急性呼吸系统综合症(SARS)对童年经历大流行的高中毕业生选择医学专业具有实质性的威慑作用。在SARS影响强度较大的省份,随着注册学生的平均高考成绩下降,医学专业变得不那么受欢迎。来自全国代表性调查的进一步证据表明,SARS影响的强度显着降低了儿童追求医疗职业的愿望,但不影响父母对子女进入医疗行业的期望。我们对影响机制的讨论表明,SARS对医学专业普及的不利影响可能源于学生的童年经历。
    This study examines the long-term effect of a pandemic on a crucial human capital decision, namely college major choice. Using China\'s 2008-2016 major-level National College Entrance Examination (Gaokao) entry grades, we find that the 2003 severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS) had a substantial deterrent effect on the choice of majoring in medicine among high school graduates who experienced the pandemic in their childhood. In provinces with larger intensities of SARS impact, medical majors become less popular as the average Gaokao grades of enrolled students decline. Further evidence from a nationally representative survey shows that the intensity of the SARS impact significantly decreases children\'s aspirations to pursue medical occupations, but does not affect their parents\' expectations for their children to enter the medical profession. Our discussion on the effect mechanism suggests that the adverse influence of SARS on the popularity of medical majors likely originates from students\' childhood experiences.
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