OBJECTIVE: This study aims to assess the predictive performance of published valproic acid (VPA) population pharmacokinetic (PPK) models using an external data set in Chinese adults with epilepsy or after neurosurgery.
METHODS: A total of 384 concentrations from 290 Chinese adults with epilepsy or after neurosurgery were used for external validation. Data on published VPA PPK models were extracted from the literature. Prediction-based diagnostics (such as F20 and F30), simulation-based diagnostics, and Bayesian forecasting were used to evaluate the predictability of models.
RESULTS: The results of prediction-based diagnostics of all models were unsatisfactory. Models B, F, and H showed the best prediction performance in simulation-based diagnostics and Bayesian forecasting, demonstrating superior precision and accuracy. Bayesian forecasting demonstrated significant improvements in the model predictability.
CONCLUSIONS: The published PPK models showed extensive variation in predictive performance for extrapolation among Chinese adults with epilepsy or after neurosurgery patients. Fixed parameters of Vd and Ka in the PPK modeling of VPA might be the reason for the unsatisfied predictive performance. Bayesian forecasting significantly improved model predictability and may help to individualize VPA dosing.

This study aimed to establish a population pharmacokinetic (PopPK) model using data from 2 clinical trials of zimberelimab, evaluate the pharmacokinetics (PKs) of zimberelimab, explore the feasibility of 360 mg once every 3 weeks (Q3W) and 480 mg once every 4 weeks (Q4W) as alternative dosage regimens, and analyze the exposure-response relationship of the efficacy and safety of zimberelimab for advanced tumors. The PKs of zimberelimab were described using the 2-compartment model with time-dependent nonlinear elimination. The prediction-corrected visual predictive check was used to evaluate the model\'s predictive value on blood drug concentrations. In total, 2165 PK observations from 321 participants were included. The PopPK model demonstrated a high level of concordance between the observed data and the predicted values, indicative of a robust fit to the PK data of zimberelimab. The PK variables were similar for the 240 mg once every 2 weeks, 360 mg Q3W, and 480 mg Q4W regimens. No covariates significantly affecting the PK variables in the final model were found. The exposure variables of zimberelimab have no obvious correlations with efficacy and safety, and 360 mg Q3W and 480 mg Q4W are worthy of further study. This study establishes a PopPK model and analyzes the exposure-response relationship of zimberelimab, which helps to explore the potential for alternative dosing regimens and offers a foundation for optimizing therapeutic strategies for advanced cancer patients through simulation-based methods.

The dosing of fluconazole for young infants remains empirical because of the limited pharmacokinetic (PK) data. We aimed to establish a population PK model and assess the systematic exposure-response of commonly used regimens of fluconazole in Chinese infants. We included infants with a postnatal age of less than 120 days and received intravenous fluconazole. Both scheduled and scavenged plasma samples were collected, and fluconzaole concentration was determined by a validated ultra-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry assay. Population PK analysis was conducted using Phoenix NLME, and then Monte Carlo simulation was conducted to predict the probability of target attainment (PTA) of empirically used regimens of both prophylactic and therapeutic purposes. Based on 304 plasma samples from 183 young infants, fluconazole concentration data was best described by a one-compartment model with first-order elimination. Gestational Age (GA), postnatal age (PNA), and body weight (BW) were included in the final model as CL = 0.02*(GA/214)2.77*(PNA/13)0.24*exp(nCL); V = 1.56*(BW/1435)0.90*exp(nV). Model validation revealed the final model had qualified stability and acceptable predictive properties. Monte Carlo simulation indicated that under the same minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) value and administration regimen, PTA decreased with GA and PNA. The commonly used prophylactic regimens can meet the clinical need, while higher doses might be needed for treatment of invasive candidiasis. This population PK model of fluconazole discriminated the impact of GA and PNA on CL and BW on V. Dosing adjustment was needed according to the GA and PNA of infants to achieve targeted exposures.

UNASSIGNED: The population pharmacokinetic (PPK) model-based machine learning (ML) approach offers a novel perspective on individual concentration prediction. This study aimed to establish a PPK-based ML model for predicting tacrolimus (TAC) concentrations in Chinese renal transplant recipients.
UNASSIGNED: Conventional TAC monitoring data from 127 Chinese renal transplant patients were divided into training (80%) and testing (20%) datasets. A PPK model was developed using the training group data. ML models were then established based on individual pharmacokinetic data derived from the PPK basic model. The prediction performances of the PPK-based ML model and Bayesian forecasting approach were compared using data from the test group.
UNASSIGNED: The final PPK model, incorporating hematocrit and CYP3A5 genotypes as covariates, was successfully established. Individual predictions of TAC using the PPK basic model, postoperative date, CYP3A5 genotype, and hematocrit showed improved rankings in ML model construction. XGBoost, based on the TAC PPK, exhibited the best prediction performance.
UNASSIGNED: The PPK-based machine learning approach emerges as a superior option for predicting TAC concentrations in Chinese renal transplant recipients.

The pharmacological activity of oxcarbazepine (OXC) is primarily exerted through its active 10-monohydroxy metabolite (MHD). Nonetheless, there is limited pharmacokinetic information available regarding paediatric patients with epilepsy treated with OXC, especially in infants and toddlers. Concurrently, this drug exhibits substantial variability in pharmacokinetics and therapeutic response across different individuals. We aimed to develop a model to quantitatively investigate factors that affect MHD pharmacokinetics to formulate a dosage guideline for OXC in Chinese paediatric patients. A total of 297 MHD trough concentrations were obtained from 287 epileptic children. Six body weight (BW)-based allometric models were used for population pharmacokinetic modelling, while investigating the impact of other covariates on the apparent clearance. The one-compartment model and age cut-off model for the apparent clearance (CL/F) were established to describe the pharmacokinetics of MHD. The probability to obtain target trough concentration ranges (TTCRs) of MHD between 3 and 35 mg/L was determined by Monte Carlo simulations for doses ranging from 8 to 90 mg/kg/day. A new dose optimization strategy combining the dosage guidelines and Bayesian method provides a tailored approach for Chinese paediatric epileptic patients based on their individual BW and desired TTCRs of MHD, and also supports current dose recommendations, with the exception of children weighing ≤5 kg.

OBJECTIVE: Methotrexate is widely utilized in the chemotherapy of malignant tumors and autoimmune diseases in the pediatric population, but dosing can be challenging. Several population pharmacokinetic models were developed to characterize factors influencing variability and improve individualization of dosing regimens. However, significant covariates included varied across studies. The primary objective of this review was to summarize and discuss population pharmacokinetic models of methotrexate and covariates that influence pharmacokinetic variability in pediatric patients.
METHODS: Systematic searches were conducted in the PubMed and EMBASE databases from inception to 7 July 2023. Reporting Quality was evaluated based on a checklist with 31 items. The characteristics of studies and information for model construction and validation were extracted, summarized, and discussed.
RESULTS: Eighteen studies (four prospective studies and fourteen retrospective studies with sample sizes of 14 to 772 patients and 2.7 to 93.1 samples per patient) were included in this study. Two-compartment models were the commonly used structural models for methotrexate, and the clearance range of methotrexate ranged from 2.32 to 19.03 L/h (median: 6.86 L/h). Body size and renal function were found to significantly affect the clearance of methotrexate for pediatric patients. There were limited reports on the role of other covariates, such as gene polymorphisms and co-medications, in the pharmacokinetic parameters of methotrexate pediatric patients. Internal and external evaluations were used to assess the performance of the population pharmacokinetic models.
CONCLUSIONS: A more rigorous external evaluation needs to be performed before routine clinical use to select the appropriate PopPK model. Further research is necessary to incorporate larger cohorts or pool analyses in specific susceptible pediatric populations to improve the understanding of predicted exposure profiles and covariate identification.

Imipenem is a broad-spectrum antibiotic that has been used in treating severe infections and exhibits a time-dependent PK/PD profile. Its dose should be adjusted based on renal function. However, there is little experience with imipenem dosing in obese adolescent patients with augmented renal clearance (ARC) and history of schizophrenia. This case reported successful dosing of imipenem in an obese adolescent patient with ARC based on therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) and model-informed precision dosing (MIPD). A 15-year-old male adolescent patient with history of schizophrenia was diagnosed with ventilator-associated pneumonia due to carbapenem-susceptible Klebsiella pneumoniae and received imipenem treatment (0.5 g every 8 hours with a 1-hour infusion). However, the exposure of imipenem was suboptimal due to ARC, and there is no available model for MIPD in this patient. Thus, we utilized prediction error to find a population pharmacokinetic model that fit this patient and ran Maximum a posteriori Bayesian estimation and Monte Carlo simulation based on screened models to predict changes in drug concentrations. The dose of imipenem was adjusted to 0.5 g every 6 hours with a 2-hour infusion, and subsequent TDM revealed that dosing adjustment was accurate and successful. Finally, the patient\'s status of infection improved. This study will be beneficial to imipenem dosing in similar cases in the future, thereby improving the safety and effectiveness of imipenem or other antibiotics.

This study delivers a comprehensive evaluation of the efficacy and pharmacokinetics of high-dose methotrexate (HDMTX) in a large cohort of Chinese paediatric acute lymphoblastic leukaemia patients. A total of 533 patients were included in the prognostic analysis. An association was observed between lower steady-state MTX concentrations (<56 μmol/L) and poorer outcomes in intermediate-/high-risk (IR/HR) patients. Subgroup analysis further revealed that this relationship between concentrations and prognosis was even more pronounced in patients with MLL rearrangements. In contrast, such an association did not emerge within the low-risk patient group. Additionally, utilizing population pharmacokinetic modelling (6051 concentrations from 815 patients), we identified the significant impact of physiological maturation, estimated glomerular filtration rate, sex and concurrent dasatinib administration on MTX pharmacokinetics. Simulation-based recommendations include a reduced dosage regimen for those with renal insufficiency and a specific 200 mg/kg dosage for infants under 1 year. The findings underscore the critical role of HDMTX in treating IR/HR populations and call for a reassessment of its application in lower-risk groups. An individualized pharmacokinetic dosage regimen could achieve the most optimal results, ensuring the largest proportion of steady-state concentrations within the optimal range.

Object: Sertraline is a first-line SSRI for the treatment of depression and has the same effectiveness along with a superior safety profile compared to other medications. There are few population pharmacokinetic (PPK) studies of sertraline and a lack of studies in the Chinese population. Therefore, we performed a PPK analysis of Chinese patients treated with sertraline to identify factors that can influence drug exposure. In addition, the dosing and discontinuation regimen of sertraline when applied to adolescents was explored. Methods: Sertraline serum drug concentration data were collected from 140 hospitalized patients to generate a sertraline PPK dataset, and data evaluation and examination of the effects of covariates on drug exposure in the final model were performed using nonlinear mixed-effects models (NONMEM) and first-order conditional estimation with interaction (FOCE-I). Examining rational medication administration and rational withdrawal of sertraline based on significant covariates and final modeling. Results: A one-compartment model with first-order absorption and elimination of sertraline was developed for Chinese patients with psychiatric disorders. Analysis of covariates revealed that age was a covariate that significantly affected sertraline CL/F (P < 0.01) and that sertraline clearance decreased progressively with aging, whereas other factors had no effect on CL/F and V/F of sertraline. In the age range of 11-79, there were 54 adolescent patients (about 1/3) aged 13-18 years, and the safe and effective optimal daily dose for adolescent patients based on the final model simulations was 50-250 mg/d. For adolescent patients, serum concentration fluctuations were moderate for OD doses of 50 mg and 100 mg, using a fixed dose-descent regimen. For patients with OD doses of 150-200 mg and BID doses of 100-200 mg, a more gradual decrease in serum concentration was achieved with a fixed dose interval of 7 or 14 days for 25 mg as the regimen of descent. Conclusions: To our knowledge, this may be the first PPK study of sertraline in Chinese patients. We found that age was an important factor affecting clearance in Chinese patients taking sertraline. Patients taking sertraline may be exposed to increased amounts of sertraline due to decreased clearance with increasing age. The rational dosing and safe discontinuation of sertraline in adolescent patients can be appropriately referenced to the results of the model simulation, thus providing assistance for individualized dosing in adolescents.

This study aims to investigate the effects on the pharmacokinetic (PK) of lacosamide (LCM), and to guide the individual dosing regimens for children and ones with poor medication adherence. Population PK research was performed based on 164 plasma samples of 113 pediatric patients aged from 1.75 to 14.42 years old. The PK characteristic of LCM was developed by a one-compartment model with first-order elimination. The typical value of apparent clearance (CL) and apparent volume of distribution (Vd) was 1.91 L·h-1 and 56.53 L respectively. In the final model, the variability of CL was significantly associated with the body surface area (BSA) and elevated uric acid (UA) level. In contrast, the impact of some prevalent anti-seizure medicines, such as valproic acid, levetiracetam, oxcarbazepine, lamotrigine, and perampanel, and gene polymorphisms of Cytochrome P450 (CYP)2C19, ATP-binding cassette (ABC)B1, and ABCC2 had no clinical significance on the PK parameters of LCM. BSA-based dosing regimen of LCM was provided according to Monte Carlo simulation approach; while the dosage should reduce half in patients with an UA level of more than 400 μmol·L-1 comparing with an UA level of 100 μmol·L-1. Individualize remedial doses of about 0.5- to 1.5-fold of regular doses were recommended in six common scenarios of missed or delayed doses, that depended on the delayed time. In current study, the population PK model of LCM in children with epilepsy was developed successfully. The BSA-based dosing regimen and individualized remedial strategy were recommended to guarantee the precise administration of LCM.