■原发性中枢神经系统淋巴瘤(PCNSL)是一种结外非霍奇金淋巴瘤。虽然有广泛使用的预后评分,它们的准确性和实用性不足。因此,我们的研究为PCNSL患者的危险分层开发了一种新的预后预测模型.
■我们从2010年1月至2022年6月从中国两个医疗中心回顾性收集了122例PCNSL患者。其中,以72例患者为发展队列构建新模型,50名患者用于验证。然后,通过单因素和多因素Cox回归分析和Lasso分析,西京模型由四个变量组成,包括病变数量,β2-微球蛋白(β2-MG),全身炎症反应指数(SIRI)和Karnofsky表现状态(KPS)。最后,我们通过内部和外部验证对西京模型进行了评估。
■与原始预后评分相比,根据时间依赖性曲线下面积(AUC),西京模型在预测PCNSL预后方面具有整体改善,哈雷尔一致性指数(C指数),决策曲线分析(DCA),综合判别改进(IDI)和连续净重新分类指数(NRI)。对于总生存期(OS)和无进展生存期(PFS),西京模型可以将PCNSL患者分为三组,并显示出更准确的分层能力。此外,对于接受大剂量甲氨蝶呤(HD-MTX)或布鲁顿酪氨酸激酶抑制剂(BTKi)治疗的老年PCNSL患者,西京模型仍可同样更好地分层和预测预后.最后,外部验证证实了上述结果。
■综合四个预后因素,包括影像学检查结果,肿瘤负荷,全身炎症反应指数,综合身体状况,我们基于真实数据提供了一种新的PCNSL预后模型,并评估了其预测能力.
UNASSIGNED: Primary central nervous system lymphoma (
PCNSL) is a type of extranodal non-Hodgkin lymphoma. Although there are widely used prognostic scores, their accuracy and practicality are insufficient. Thus, a novel prognostic prediction model was developed for risk stratification of
PCNSL patients in our research.
UNASSIGNED: We retrospectively collected 122 patients with
PCNSL from two medical centers in
China from January 2010 to June 2022. Among them, 72 patients were used as the development cohort to construct a new model, and 50 patients were used for the validation. Then, by using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analsis and Lasso analysis, the Xijing model was developed and composed of four variables, including lesion number, β2-microglobulin (β2-MG), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) and Karnofsky performance status (KPS). Finally, we evaluated the Xijing model through internal and external validation.
UNASSIGNED: Compared with the original prognostic scores, the Xijing model has an overall improvement in predicting the prognosis of PCNSL according to the time-dependent area under the curve (AUC), Harrell\'s concordance index (C-index), decision curve analysis (DCA), integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) and continuous net reclassification index (NRI). For overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), the Xijing model can divide
PCNSL patients into three groups, and shows more accurate stratification ability. In addition, the Xijing model can still stratify and predict prognosis similarly better in the elderly with PCNSL and subgroups received high-dose methotrexate (HD-MTX) or Bruton\'s tyrosine kinase inhibitors (BTKi). Finally, external validation confirmed the above results.
UNASSIGNED: Integrating four prognostic factors, including imaging findings, tumor burden, systemic inflammation response index, and comprehensive physical condition, we provided a novel prognostic model for PCNSL based on real-world data and evaluated its predictive capacity.