The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and the model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (INR) (MELD-XI) scores, which reflect dysfunction of liver and kidneys, have been reported to be related to the prognosis of patients with right-sided \"backward\" failure. However, the relationship between the MELD/MELD-XI score and the in-hospital adverse events in pulmonary embolism (PE) patients was unknown. Normotensive PE patients were retrospectively enrolled at China-Japan friendship hospital from January 2017 to February 2020. The primary outcome was defined as death and clinical deterioration during hospitalization. Multivariate logistic analysis was used to explore the association between the MELD and MELD-XI scores for in-hospital adverse events. We also compared the accuracy of the MELD, MELD-XI, and the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) score using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve and corresponding areas under the curve (AUC). A total of 222 PE patients were analyzed. Logistic regression analysis showed that the MELD score was independently associated with in-hospital adverse events (odds ratio = 1.115, 95% confidential interval = 1.022-1.217, P = .014). The MELD score has an AUC of 0.731 and was better than PESI (AUC of 0.629) in predicting in-hospital adverse events. Among PE patients with normal blood pressure on admission, the MELD score was associated with increased in-hospital adverse events.

UNASSIGNED: Acute decompensated cirrhosis (AD) is related to high medical costs and high mortality. We recently proposed a new score model to predict the outcome of AD patients and compared it with the common score model (CTP, MELD and CLIF-C AD score) in the training and validation sets.
UNASSIGNED: A total of 703 patients with AD were enrolled from The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University between December 2018 and May 2021. These patients were randomly assigned to the training set (n=528) and validation set (n=175). Risk factors affecting prognosis were identified by Cox regression analysis and then used to establish a new score model. The prognostic value was determined by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).
UNASSIGNED: A total of 192 (36.3%) patients in the training cohort and 51 (29.1%) patients in the validation cohort died over the course of 6 months. A new score model was developed with predictors including age, bilirubin, INR, WBC, albumin, ALT and BUN. The new prognostic score (0.022×Age + 0.003×TBil + 0.397×INR + 0.023×WBC- 0.07×albumin + 0.001×ALT + 0.038×BUN) for long-term mortality was superior to three other scores based on both training and internal validation studies.
UNASSIGNED: This new score model appears to be a valid tool for assessing the long-term survival of AD patients, improving the prognostic value compared with the CTP, MELD and CLIF-C AD scores.

OBJECTIVE: Early identification of non-response to steroids is critical in patients with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) causing acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). We assessed if this non-response can be accurately identified within first few days of treatment.
METHODS: Patients with AIH-ACLF without baseline infection/hepatic encephalopathy were identified from APASL ACLF research consortium (AARC) database. Diagnosis of AIH-ACLF was based mainly on histology. Those treated with steroids were assessed for non-response (defined as death or liver transplant at 90 days for present study). Laboratory parameters, AARC, and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) scores were assessed at baseline and day 3 to identify early non-response. Utility of dynamic SURFASA score [- 6.80 + 1.92*(D0-INR) + 1.94*(∆%3-INR) + 1.64*(∆%3-bilirubin)] was also evaluated. The performance of early predictors was compared with changes in MELD score at 2 weeks.
RESULTS: Fifty-five out of one hundred and sixty-five patients (age-38.2 ± 15.0 years, 67.2% females) with AIH-ACLF [median MELD 24 (IQR: 22-27); median AARC score 7 (6-9)] given oral prednisolone 40 (20-40) mg per day were analyzed. The 90 day transplant-free survival in this cohort was 45.7% with worse outcomes in those with incident infections (56% vs 28.0%, p = 0.03). The AUROC of pre-therapy AARC score [0.842 (95% CI 0.754-0.93)], MELD [0.837 (95% CI 0.733-0.94)] score and SURFASA score [0.795 (95% CI 0.678-0.911)] were as accurate as ∆MELD at 2 weeks [0.770 (95% CI 0.687-0.845), p = 0.526] and better than ∆MELD at 3 days [0.541 (95% CI 0.395, 0.687), p < 0.001] to predict non-response. Combination of AARC score > 6, MELD score > 24 with SURFASA score ≥ - 1.2, could identify non-responders at day 3 (concomitant- 75% vs either - 42%, p < 0.001).
CONCLUSIONS: Baseline AARC score, MELD score, and the dynamic SURFASA score on day 3 can accurately identify early non-response to steroids in AIH-ACLF.

UNASSIGNED: Lipid profile disorders frequently occur in patients with advanced liver diseases. High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels decrease rapidly during acute conditions of some diseases, and HDL-C levels may be related to mortality in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF).
UNASSIGNED: A retrospective cohort study was conducted on 200 subjects with HBV-ACLF. The patients were separated into non-survivors and survivors according to their 28-day outcome. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to identify predictors of mortality, and the performance of these predictors was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed to draw survival curves of HDL-C.
UNASSIGNED: The 28-day mortality in the cohort was 27.0%. HDL-C levels differed markedly between non-survivors and survivors. In the multivariate analysis, HDL-C, the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF II (COSSH-ACLF II) scores were identified as independent predictors for mortality (HR = 0.806, 95% CI: 0.724-0.898; HR = 1.424, 95% CI: 1.143-1.775; HR = 1.006, 95% CI: 1.002-1.007; and HR = 1.609, 95% CI: 1.005-2.575, respectively). Patients with lower HDL-C levels had a worse prognosis than those with higher HDL-C levels. In ROC analysis, the prognostic accuracy for mortality was similar between HDL-C (AUROC: 0.733) and the CTP, MELD, and COSSH-ACLF II scores (AUROC: 0.753; 0.674 and 0.770, respectively).
UNASSIGNED: The HDL-C level may serve as a potential indicator for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF and can be used as a simple marker for risk assessment and selection of therapeutic options.

BACKGROUND: Decompensated liver cirrhosis (DLC) is a stage in the progression of liver cirrhosis and has a high mortality.
OBJECTIVE: To establish and validate a novel and simple-to-use predictive nomogram for evaluating the prognosis of DLC patients.
METHODS: A total of 493 patients with confirmed DLC were enrolled from The First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University (Nanchang, Jiangxi Province, China) between December 2013 and August 2019. The patients were divided into two groups: a derivation group (n = 329) and a validation group (n = 164). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to assess prognostic factors. The performance of the nomogram was determined by its calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.
RESULTS: Age, mechanical ventilation application, model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, mean arterial blood pressure, and arterial oxygen partial pressure/inhaled oxygen concentration were used to construct the model. The C-indexes of the nomogram in the derivation and validation groups were 0.780 (95%CI: 0.670-0.889) and 0.792 (95%CI: 0.698-0.886), respectively. The calibration curve exhibited good consistency with the actual observation curve in both sets. In addition, decision curve analysis indicated that our nomogram was useful in clinical practice.
CONCLUSIONS: A simple-to-use novel nomogram based on a large Asian cohort was established and validated and exhibited improved performance compared with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh and MELD scores. For patients with DLC, the proposed nomogram may be helpful in guiding clinicians in treatment allocation and may assist in prognosis prediction.

OBJECTIVE: Mortality from hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is high. Severe infection is the most important complication that affects the outcomes of ACLF patients. Thymosin α1 (Tα1) can improve immune imbalance and this study aimed to investigate the safety and efficacy of Tα1 treatment for HBV-related ACLF.
METHODS: From 2017 to 2019, 120 patients with HBV-related ACLF were enrolled in this open-label, randomized, and controlled clinical trial (ClinicalTrial ID: NCT03082885). The control group (N = 58) was treated with standard medical therapy (SMT) only. The experimental group (N = 56) was subcutaneously injected with 1.6 mg of Tα1 once a day for the first week and then twice a week from week 2 to week 12.
RESULTS: The 90-day cumulated liver transplantation free survival rate of the Tα1 group was 75.0% (95% confidence interval 63.2-86.8%) versus 53.4% (95% confidence interval 39.7-67.1%) for the SMT group (p = 0.030). No significant difference was found in the survival using competitive risk analysis. The incidences of new infection and hepatic encephalopathy in the Tα1 group were much lower than those in the SMT group (32.1% vs 58.6%, p = 0.005; 8.9% vs 24.1%, p = 0.029, respectively). Mortality from severe infection in the SMT group was higher than in the Tα1 group (24.1% vs 8.9%, p = 0.029).
CONCLUSIONS: Tα1 is safe for patients with HBV-related ACLF and significantly improves the 90-day liver transplantation-free survival rate. There may be a subgroup which may benefit from Tα1 therapy by the mechanism of preventing infection.

BACKGROUND: Nowadays, liver transplantation has become a main therapy for end-stage liver disease. However, studies show that there are high mortality and severe complications after liver transplantation. Although gastrointestinal dysfunction is a common and major complication after liver transplantation, there was rarely relative research. This study aims to elucidate the factors about ileus after liver transplantation and patients\' survival.
METHODS: We collected and analyzed the data (n = 318, 2016-2019) from the First Affiliated Hospital of Xi\'an Jiaotong University. After excluding cases, a total of 293 patients were included for this study. The subjects were divided into a non-ileus group and an ileus group. We reviewed 38 variables (including preoperative, operative and postoperative relative factors). Additionally, other complications after liver transplantation and survival data were compared between two groups.
RESULTS: Of the 293 patients, 23.2% (n = 68) experienced postoperative ileus. Ileus patients were not different with non-ileus patients in preoperative, operative and postoperative factors. HBV-positive patients with ileus had a lower MELD score (P = 0.025), and lower postoperative total bilirubin was correlated with ileus (P = 0.049). Besides, Child-Pugh score of HCC patients with ileus was low (P = 0.029). The complications after liver transplantation were not different between two groups. Compared with the patients without ileus, the patients with ileus had a higher mortality rate.
CONCLUSIONS: According to our research, ileus-patients had a lower 1-year survival rates. The preoperative MELD score and postoperative total bilirubin of HBV-positive patients with ileus were lower, and Child-Pugh score of HCC patients with ileus was also lower.

Background: Mean corpuscular volume (MCV) is major used as an indicator for the differential diagnosis of anemia. Macrocytic anemia in decompensated cirrhosis is common. However, the relationship between macrocytic anemia and decompensated hepatitis B virus (HBV) associated cirrhosis has not been fully addressed. Methods: In this cross-sectional study, a total of 457 patients diagnosed decompensated HBV associated cirrhosis who met all inclusion criteria from 2011 to 2018 were analyzed. Association between macrocytic anemia and the liver damaged (Model for End Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score) were examined using multiple logistic regression analyses and identified using smooth curve fitting. Results: Compared with normocytic anemia, MCV and MELD are significantly positively correlated in macrocytic anemia (p < 0.001). A non-linear relationship of MCV and MELD association was found though the piecewise linear spline models in patients with decompensated HBV associated cirrhosis. MCV positive correlated with MELD when the MCV was greater than 98.2 fl (regression coefficient = 0.008, 95% CI 0.1, 0.4). Conclusion: Macrocytic anemia may be a reliable predictor for mortality because it is closely related to the degree of liver damage in patients with decompensated HBV associated cirrhosis.

The relationship between aseptic systemic inflammation and postoperative bacterial infection is unclear. We investigated the correlation of systemic inflammation biomarkers with 30-day clinically significant bacterial infections (CSI) after liver transplantation (LT). This retrospective study enrolled 940 patients who received LT and were followed for 30 days. The primary end point was 30-day CSI events. The cohort was divided into exploratory (n = 508) and validation (n = 432) sets according to different centers. Area under the receiver operated characteristic (AUROC) and Cox regression models were fitted to study the association between baseline systemic inflammation levels and CSI after LT. A total of 255 bacterial infectious events in 209 recipients occurred. Among systemic inflammation parameters, baseline C-reactive protein (CRP) was independently associated with 30-day CSI in the exploratory group. The combination of CRP and organ failure number showed a good discrimination for 30-day CSI (AUROC = 0.80, 95% CI, 0.76-0.84) and the results were confirmed in an external verification group. Additionally, CRP levels were correlated with bacterial product lipopolysaccharide. In conclusion, our study suggests that pre-transplantation CRP is independent of other prognostic factors for 30-day CSI post-LT, and can be integrated into tools for assessing the risk of bacterial infection post-LT or as a component of prognostic models.

Background: Soluble CD163 (sCD163) is a scavenger receptor membrane protein expressed almost exclusively on Kupffer cells and other macrophages. It was found to be associated with the severity of liver cirrhosis. The aim of the present study was to determine whether the novel biomarker sCD163 predicts outcomes in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Materials and Methods: A single-center, observational, prospective study with 345 decompensated cirrhosis patients was conducted in the Gastroenterology Department between January 2017 and December 2020. Their plasma samples were tested by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) for sCD163 within 24 hours of admission. These patients were followed up at 28 days, 3 months and 6 months. The independent risk factors were identified with uni- and multivariate logistic regression analyses. We evaluated the predictive performance of the new scoring system (including sCD163) and the original scoring system. Results: The sCD163 level was significantly higher in non-surviving patients than in surviving patients. Positive associations were found between sCD163 levels and the Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP), Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) scores. Logistic regression confirmed that sCD163 was an independent risk factor for 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of the use of sCD163 for the prediction of 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality were relatively higher (AUROCs: 0.856; 0.823 and 0.811, respectively). The AUROCs of the new scores obtained by adding sCD163 to the original scoring systems (CTP + sCD163, MELD + sCD163 and ALBI + sCD163) showed that the new scoring systems had better predictive performance than the original scoring systems at all time points (P < 0.001). Conclusion: sCD163 is a prognostic predictor of short-term and long-term outcomes in decompensated cirrhosis patients. Accordingly, the addition of sCD163 to the original clinical scoring systems improved their prognostic performance.