Hospital admission

入院
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:这项研究估计了在生命的第一年由于预防胃肠炎(GE)感染和下呼吸道感染(LRTI)而为政府节省的医疗费用,归因于香港4个月纯母乳喂养率的增加。
    方法:该模型使用了最佳的可用数据输入,使用概率敏感性分析考虑不确定性。我们还评估了新生儿黄疸(NNJ)对提高纯母乳喂养率的经济效益的影响。
    结果:在2010-2019年期间,如果4个月的纯母乳喂养率从实际水平(约15-30%)增加到50%,那么在出生后的第一年,每1000名婴儿中有5名GE入院和3名LRTI入院。导致每年节省医疗费用1.05美元(95%CI1.03-1.07)万/年。如果4个月的纯母乳喂养率增加到70%,则成本节省将达到USD1.89(95%CI1.86-1.92)万/年。然而,如果在7-90天内考虑与更多纯母乳喂养相关的更高的NNJ入院率,成本节省将减少60%。
    结论:我们的研究结果可以指导政策制定者为促进香港母乳喂养分配预算和资源。防止不必要的NNJ入院将最大限度地提高4个月纯母乳喂养的经济效益。
    OBJECTIVE: This study estimated the healthcare cost savings for the government due to the prevention of gastroenteritis (GE) infections and lower respiratory tract infections (LRTI) in the first year of life, attributed to an increase in the exclusive breastfeeding rate at 4 months in Hong Kong.
    METHODS: The model used the best available data inputs, with uncertainty considered using probabilistic sensitivity analysis. We additionally assessed the impact of neonatal jaundice (NNJ) on the economic benefits of increasing exclusive breastfeeding rates.
    RESULTS: During 2010-2019, five admissions for GE and three admissions for LRTI per 1000 births would have been prevented in the first year of life if the exclusive breastfeeding rate at 4 months increased from the actual levels (~15-30%) to 50%, resulting in annual healthcare cost savings of USD1.05 (95% CI 1.03-1.07) million/year. The cost saving would reach USD1.89 (95% CI 1.86-1.92) million/year if the exclusive breastfeeding rate at 4 months increase to 70%. However, if higher NNJ admissions during 7-90 days related to more exclusive breastfeeding are considered, the cost saving would reduce by 60%.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our findings can guide policymakers in allocating budget and resources for breastfeeding promotion in Hong Kong. The prevention of unnecessary NNJ admissions would maximise the economic benefits of exclusive breastfeeding at 4 months.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    关于特定化学成分对心血管住院的影响知之甚少。我们研究了184个中国城市的PM2.5化学成分与每日心血管疾病住院人数的关系。急性PM2.5化学成分暴露与同一天较高的心血管疾病住院率有关,并且心血管入院的百分比变化最高,为每四分位数范围增加1.76%(95%CI,1.36-2.16%),其次是SO42-1.07%(0.72-1.43%),NH4+为1.04%(0.63-1.46%),NO3-为0.99%(0.55-1.43%),OM为0.83%(0.50-1.17%),和0.80%(0.34%-1.26%)的Cl-。对于所有特定原因的主要心血管疾病都观察到了类似的发现,除了心律紊乱.短期暴露于PM2.5化学成分与更高的入院率有关,并对主要心血管疾病显示出不同的影响。
    Little is known about the impacts of specific chemical components on cardiovascular hospitalizations. We examined the relationships of PM2.5 chemical composition and daily hospitalizations for cardiovascular disease in 184 Chinese cities. Acute PM2.5 chemical composition exposures were linked to higher cardiovascular disease hospitalizations on the same day and the percentage change of cardiovascular admission was the highest at 1.76% (95% CI, 1.36-2.16%) per interquartile range increase in BC, followed by 1.07% (0.72-1.43%) for SO42-, 1.04% (0.63-1.46%) for NH4+, 0.99% (0.55-1.43%) for NO3-, 0.83% (0.50-1.17%) for OM, and 0.80% (0.34%-1.26%) for Cl-. Similar findings were observed for all cause-specific major cardiovascular diseases, except for heart rhythm disturbances. Short-term exposures to PM2.5 chemical composition were related to higher admissions and showed diverse impacts on major cardiovascular diseases.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    视在温度(AT)是一个综合指标,结合了环境温度,湿度,湿度风速和其他气象因素,并且比原始温度更准确地反映热感知。这是第一个调查酒泉和陇南农村地区AT和CVD之间关系的研究,甘肃省,中国。在这项研究中,使用分布滞后非线性模型(DLNM)检验AT与CVD入院21天相对风险(RR)之间的暴露-反应关系.结果表明,在寒冷效应的影响下,酒泉地区性别群体的暴露风险与陇南地区相反。在热效应的影响下,它对酒泉地区的所有群体都有保护作用,这对陇南地区的男性和成年人都是有害的。本研究的结果可以帮助地方政府制定公共政策。
    Apparent temperature (AT) is a composite index that combines ambient temperature, humidity, wind speed and other meteorological factors, and reflects heat perception more accurately than raw temperature. This is the first study to investigate the association between AT and CVD in rural areas of Jiuquan and Longnan, Gansu Province, China. In this study, the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to examine the exposure-response relationship between AT and the 21 days relative risk (RR) of CVD admission. The results showed that the exposure risk of the gender group in Jiuquan was opposite to that of Longnan under the influence of cold effect. Under the influence of heat effect, it has a protective effect on all groups in Jiuquan area, which is harmful to males and adults in Longnan area. The results of this study can help local governments to formulate public policies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    环境颗粒物(PM)污染是全球范围内的主要环境健康威胁。空气动力学直径≤1.0μm的PM,也称为PM1,与几种心肺和脑血管疾病的发病率和死亡率有关。然而,以前的研究主要集中在分析与疾病指标相关的精细PM(PM2.5),如急诊科就诊和死亡率,而不是超细PM,包括PM1。本研究旨在评估短期PM1暴露与全因疾病住院(HAs)之间的关系。慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD),和呼吸道感染(RI),以及相关支出,以北京为例。这里,基于2015-2017年北京空气污染和住院数据,我们进行了时间序列分析和荟萃分析.研究发现,在2015年至2017年期间,北京PM1浓度增加10μg/m3会显着增加全因疾病HAs0.07%(95%置信区间(CI):[0,0.14%]),而COPD和RI相关的HAs与短期PM1暴露没有显着相关。同时,我们估计了与全因疾病相关的HAs和医院支出的可归属数量。这项研究表明,平均有6644例(95%CI:[351,12,917])的HAs病例归因于环境PM1,据估计,PM1与每年1.06亿元人民币的医院支出增加相关(95%CI:[5.6,207]),占年度总费用的0.32%(95%CI:[0.02,0.62%])。此处报告的调查结果强调了环境PM污染对健康风险和社会经济负担的潜在影响,并表明需要采取进一步的公共卫生政策行动。
    Ambient particulate matter (PM) pollution is a leading environmental health threat worldwide. PM with an aerodynamic diameter ≤ 1.0 μm, also known as PM1, has been implicated in the morbidity and mortality of several cardiorespiratory and cerebrovascular diseases. However, previous studies have mostly focused on analyzing fine PM (PM2.5) associated with disease metrics, such as emergency department visits and mortality, rather than ultrafine PM, including PM1. This study aimed to evaluate the association between short-term PM1 exposure and hospital admissions (HAs) for all-cause diseases, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and respiratory infections (RIs), as well as the associated expenditures, using Beijing as a case study. Here, based on air pollution and hospital admission data in Beijing from 2015 to 2017, we performed a time-series analysis and meta-analysis. It was found that a 10 μg/m3 increase in the PM1 concentration significantly increased all-cause disease HAs by 0.07% (95% Confidence Interval (CI): [0, 0.14%]) in Beijing between 2015 and 2017, while the COPD and RI-related HAs were not significantly associated with short-term PM1 exposure. Meanwhile, we estimated the attributable number of HAs and hospital expenditures related to all-cause diseases. This study revealed that an average of 6644 (95% CI: [351, 12,917]) cases of HAs were attributable to ambient PM1, which was estimated to be associated with a 106 million CNY increase in hospital expenditure annually (95% CI: [5.6, 207]), accounting for 0.32% (95% CI: [0.02, 0.62%]) of the annual total expenses. The findings reported here highlight the underlying impact of ambient PM pollution on health risks and economic burden to society and indicate the need for further policy actions on public health.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    背景:管理心力衰竭的现代模型已扩展到患者-家庭护理人员的双重背景。然而,该模型可以优化患者和护理人员的健康结果的关键特征仍有待研究.
    目的:本研究旨在确定二重护理干预对行为的影响,健康,以及心力衰竭患者及其家庭护理人员的卫生服务利用结果,并探讨干预设计特征如何影响这些结果。
    方法:本研究包括系统综述,荟萃分析,和元回归技术。
    方法:我们进行了系统评价和荟萃分析,使用12个数据库对数据库开始至2022年12月31日期间以英文或中文发表的随机对照试验或准实验研究进行鉴定.考虑的干预措施包括针对心力衰竭患者及其家庭护理人员的干预措施,以加强疾病管理。对各种患者和护理人员相关结果进行数据综合。根据亚组分析的设计特征对确定的干预措施进行分类。进行荟萃回归以探讨护理分娩方式与其有效性之间的关系。
    结果:我们确定了48项研究,代表9171名患者-护理人员二分体。荟萃分析表明,二元护理干预对患者健康结果的积极影响[对冲(95%置信区间{CI}):心力衰竭知识=1.0(0.26,1.75),p=0.008;自我护理信心=0.45(0.08,0.83),p=0.02;自我护理维护=1.12(0.55,1.70),p<0.001;自我护理管理=1.01(0.54,1.49),p<0.001;焦虑=-0.18(-0.34,-0.02),p=0.03;与健康相关的生活质量=0.30(0.08,0.51),p<0.001;入院(风险比{95%CI}:入院=0.79(0.65,0.97),p=0.007;死亡率=0.58(0.36,0.93),p=0.02)]。二重护理干预也改善了护理人员的结果[对冲(95%CI):社会支持=0.67(0.01,1.32),p=0.05;感知负担=-1.43(-2.27,-0.59),p<0.001]。尽管已确定的护理干预措施的设计是异质的,核心护理组件包括促进和激励策略,以改善自我护理,促进护理二元体系内协作应对的措施,和护士-护理人员协作实践。合并前两个核心组成部分似乎可以增强患者的行为和健康结果,最后一个组成部分的添加减少了重新接纳。使患者和护理人员都参与提供护理的干预措施,提供给护士,和优化的护理连续性导致更好的患者结果。
    结论:这些研究结果表明,二重护理干预措施可以有效改善家庭环境下的疾病管理,为患者和护理人员带来更好的健康结果。此外,本研究为这些干预措施的更有效设计特征提供了重要见解.
    背景:审查方案已在PROSPERO国际前瞻性系统审查登记册(CRD42022322492)中注册。
    BACKGROUND: The contemporary model for managing heart failure has been extended to a patient-family caregiver dyadic context. However, the key characteristics of the model that can optimise health outcomes for both patients and caregivers remain to be investigated.
    OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to identify the effects of dyadic care interventions on the behavioural, health, and health-service utilisation outcomes of patients with heart failure and their family caregivers and to explore how the intervention design characteristics influence these outcomes.
    METHODS: This study involved systematic review, meta-analysis, and meta-regression techniques.
    METHODS: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis, using 12 databases to identify randomised controlled trials or quasi-experimental studies published in English or Chinese between database inception and 31 December 2022. The considered interventions included those targeting patients with heart failure and their family caregivers to enhance disease management. Data synthesis was performed on various patient- and caregiver-related outcomes. The identified interventions were categorised according to their design characteristics for subgroup analysis. Meta-regression was performed to explore the relationship between care delivery methods and their effectiveness.
    RESULTS: We identified 48 studies representing 9171 patient-caregiver dyads. Meta-analyses suggested the positive effects of dyadic care interventions on patients\' health outcomes [Hedges\' g (95 % confidence interval {CI}): heart failure knowledge = 1.0 (0.26, 1.75), p = 0.008; self-care confidence = 0.45 (0.08, 0.83), p = 0.02; self-care maintenance = 1.12 (0.55, 1.70), p < 0.001; self-care management = 1.01 (0.54, 1.49), p < 0.001; anxiety = -0.18 (-0.34, -0.02), p = 0.03; health-related quality of life = 0.30 (0.08, 0.51), p < 0.001; hospital admission (risk ratio {95 % CI}: hospital admission = 0.79 (0.65, 0.97), p = 0.007; and mortality = 0.58 (0.36, 0.93), p = 0.02)]. Dyadic care interventions also improved the caregivers\' outcomes [Hedges\' g (95 % CI): social support = 0.67 (0.01, 1.32), p = 0.05; perceived burden = -1.43 (-2.27, -0.59), p < 0.001]. Although the design of the identified care interventions was heterogeneous, the core care components included enabling and motivational strategies to improve self-care, measures to promote collaborative coping within the care dyads, and nurse-caregiver collaborative practice. Incorporating the first two core components appeared to enhance the behavioural and health outcomes of the patients, and the addition of the last component reduced readmission. Interventions that engaged both patients and caregivers in care provision, offered access to nurses, and optimised continuity of care led to better patient outcomes.
    CONCLUSIONS: These findings demonstrate that dyadic care interventions can effectively improve disease management in a family context, resulting in better health outcomes for both patients and caregivers. Additionally, this study provides important insights into the more-effective design characteristics of these interventions.
    BACKGROUND: The review protocol was registered in the PROSPERO International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42022322492).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    减少可避免的住院是全球医疗保健的优先事项,最佳初级保健被认为是实现这一目标的关键。然而,在开发像中国这样的系统时,初级保健在没有强制看门的情况下发展,患者感知的初级保健质量与医院利用率之间的关系仍未得到充分探索.
    本研究旨在探讨中国患者感知的初级保健质量与自我报告的医院利用率之间的关联。
    数据来自16个初级保健机构。患者感知的初级保健质量是使用初级保健评估调查量表在六个领域(首次接触护理,连续性,全面性,可访问性,协调,和以病人为中心)。医院利用率包括患者自我报告的门诊就诊,入院,和急诊科(ED)在过去六个月的访问。Logistic回归分析检查了自我报告的医院利用率与针对潜在混杂因素调整后的感知初级保健质量之间的关联。
    在招募的1,185名患者中,398(33.6%)报告了医院利用率。Logistic回归分析显示,患者感知的初级保健质量总分较高与医院利用率降低相关(调整比值比(AOR):0.417,95%置信区间(CI):0.308-0.565),门诊(AOR:0.394,95%CI:0.275-0.566)和住院(AOR:0.496,95%CI:0.276-0.891).然而,护理连续性与ED访视呈正相关(AOR:2.252,95%CI:1.051-4.825)。
    中国初级保健的患者感知质量的提高与自我报告的整体医院利用率的降低有关,包括门诊就诊和住院。然而,更好的护理连续性可能与增加急诊就诊有关.需要进一步的研究才能对这些发现进行精确的见解和验证。
    在中国,提高患者感知的初级保健质量与降低自我报告的医院利用率有关,包括门诊就诊和住院。更好的初级保健可及性与自我报告的急诊科就诊和门诊就诊减少有关。护理连续性与急诊科就诊呈正相关,保证进一步的研究。
    UNASSIGNED: Reducing avoidable hospital admissions is a global healthcare priority, with optimal primary care recognised as pivotal for achieving this objective. However, in developing systems like China, where primary care is evolving without compulsory gatekeeping, the relationship between patient-perceived primary care quality and hospital utilisation remains underexplored.
    UNASSIGNED: This study aimed to explore the association between patient-perceived primary care quality and self-reported hospital utilisation in China.
    UNASSIGNED: Data were collected from 16 primary care settings. Patient-perceived quality of primary care was measured using the Assessment Survey of Primary Care scale across six domains (first-contact care, continuity, comprehensiveness, accessibility, coordination, and patient-centredness). Hospital utilisation included patient self-reported outpatient visits, hospital admissions, and emergency department (ED) visits in the last six months. Logistic regression analyses were examined associations between self-reported hospital utilisation and perceived primary care quality adjusted for potential confounders.
    UNASSIGNED: Of 1,185 patients recruited, 398 (33.6%) reported hospital utilisation. Logistic regression analyses showed that higher total scores for patient-perceived quality of primary care were associated with decreased odds of hospital utilisation (adjusted odds ratio(AOR): 0.417, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.308-0.565), outpatient visits (AOR: 0.394, 95% CI: 0.275-0.566) and hospital admissions (AOR: 0.496, 95% CI: 0.276-0.891). However, continuity of care was positively associated with ED visits (AOR: 2.252, 95% CI: 1.051-4.825).
    UNASSIGNED: Enhanced patient-perceived quality of primary care in China is associated with a reduction in self-reported overall hospital utilisation, including outpatient visits and hospital admissions. However, better continuity of care may be associated with increased ED visits. Further research is warranted for precise insights and validation of these findings.
    Improved patient-perceived primary care quality in China was linked to lower self-reported hospital utilisation, including outpatient visits and hospital admissions.Better primary care accessibility was associated with decreased self-reported emergency department visits and outpatient visits.Continuity of care showed a positive association with emergency department visits, warranting further research.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:关于短期暴露于空气污染与心血管疾病(CVD)之间的关系以及潜在的改变因素的数据有限且不一致。
    目的:探讨短期暴露于空气污染与心血管疾病风险之间的关系,和潜在的修饰效应因素。
    方法:对襄阳市2015年至2019年因心血管疾病入院的52,991人进行了时间序列研究,中国。收集了四个国家固定监测站的空气污染数据,以估算襄阳市的暴露水平。采用包含分布滞后非线性模型的准泊松广义加性模型来评估空气污染与CVD风险之间的关联。性别的潜在修饰效应,年龄,对上述协会的季节也进行了评估。
    结果:CVD风险与空气污染呈正相关。对于空气动力学中≤10μm的颗粒物(PM10;RR:1.040,95%CI:0.996-1.087),观察到单滞后日结构的峰值关联,PM2.5(1.025,1.004-1.045),二氧化氮(NO2;1.074,1.039-1.111),和二氧化硫(SO2;1.079,1.019-1.141)在滞后0和臭氧(O3;1.018,1.004-1.031)在滞后4。在累积滞后日结构中,06滞后时的PM10最高RR为1.225(1.079,1.392),03滞后时的PM2.5为1.054(1.013,1.098),04滞后时的NO2为1.200(1.119,1.287),02滞后时的SO2为1.135(1.025,1.257)。此外,空气污染与CVD风险之间的关系因性别和年龄而异(P<0.05)。女性和年龄≤65岁的个体更容易受到NO2的影响,并且有更高的CVD风险。
    结论:短期暴露于空气污染与CVD风险呈正相关。此外,性别和年龄可以改变空气污染对心血管疾病风险的影响。女性和年龄≤65岁的个体具有较高的NO2暴露引起的CVD风险。
    BACKGROUND: Data on the relationship between short-term exposure to air pollution and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) and the potential modifying factors are limited and inconsistent.
    OBJECTIVE: To explore the relationship between short-term exposure to air pollution and CVD risk, and potential modification effect factors.
    METHODS: A time series study was conducted on 52,991 hospital admissions for CVD from 2015 to 2019 in Xiangyang City, China. Air pollution data from four national fixed monitoring stations were collected to estimate exposure level in Xiangyang City. A quasi-Poisson generalized additive model incorporating a distributed lag nonlinear model was applied to evaluate the association between air pollution and CVD risk. The potential modification effect of sex, age, and season on the above associations was also evaluated.
    RESULTS: CVD risk was positively associated with air pollution. Peak associations in single lag day structures were observed for particulate matter ≤10 μm in aerodynamic (PM10; RR: 1.040, 95 % CI: 0.996-1.087), PM2.5 (1.025, 1.004-1.045), nitrogen dioxide (NO2; 1.074, 1.039-1.111), and sulfur dioxide (SO2; 1.079, 1.019-1.141) at Lag 0 and ozone (O3; 1.018, 1.004-1.031) at Lag 4. In cumulative lag day structures, the highest RRs were 1.225 (1.079,1.392) for PM10 at Lag 06, 1.054 (1.013, 1.098) for PM2.5 at Lag 03, 1.200 (1.119, 1.287) for NO2 at Lag 04, and 1.135 (1.025, 1.257) for SO2 at Lag 02. Moreover, the association between air pollution and CVD risk was modified by sex and age (P < 0.05). Females and individuals aged ≤65 years were more vulnerable to NO2 and had a higher CVD risk.
    CONCLUSIONS: Short-term exposure to air pollution was positively associated with CVD risk. Moreover, sex and age could modify the effect of air pollution on CVD risk. Females and individuals aged ≤65 years had a higher NO2 exposure-induced CVD risk.
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  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    谵妄是急性脑卒中患者常见的并发症。2011年的荟萃分析显示,卒中后12个月内住院死亡率和死亡率的风险增加,住院时间更长,并增加了中风后谵妄患者出院到疗养院的可能性。自发表以来,有必要对几项新研究进行更新的荟萃分析。筛选PubMed和Scopus数据库进行相关研究。纳入标准如下:回顾性或前瞻性研究报告伴随急性卒中谵妄对死亡率的影响,功能结果,住院时间和需要再次入院。关联强度表示为分类结果的合并调整相对风险(RR)和连续结果的加权平均差(WMD)。使用STATA版本16.0进行统计分析。荟萃分析包括22篇符合条件的文章。22项研究中有18项是前瞻性随访。纳入的研究质量很好。卒中后谵妄与院内死亡风险增加相关,以及卒中后12个月内的死亡率。谵妄患者住院时间增加,再次入院的风险更大,并显示功能不良结局的风险升高。与那些没有谵妄的人相比,出现谵妄的卒中患者出院的可能性降低了42%.急性中风患者谵妄的短期和长期预后不良的风险增加。需要更多的研究来确定管理此类患者并改善预后的最佳干预措施。
    Delirium is a common complication in acute stroke patients. A 2011 meta-analysis showed an increased risk of in-hospital mortality and mortality within 12 months post-stroke, longer hospitalization durations, and increased likelihood of being discharged to a nursing home for patients experiencing post-stroke delirium. There is a need for an updated meta-analysis with several new studies having been since published. The PubMed and Scopus databases were screened for relevant studies. Inclusion criteria were as follows: retrospective or prospective studies reporting on the effects of delirium accompanying acute stroke on mortality, functional outcomes, length of hospital stay and need for re-admission. Strength of association was presented as pooled adjusted relative risk (RR) for categorical outcomes and weighted mean difference (WMD) for continuous outcomes. Statistical analysis was done using STATA version 16.0. The meta-analysis included 22 eligible articles. Eighteen of the 22 studies were prospective follow ups. Included studies were of good quality. Post-stroke delirium was associated with increased risk of in-hospital mortality, as well as mortality within 12 months post-stroke. Patients with delirium experienced increased hospital stay durations, were at greater risk for hospital readmission, and showed elevated risk for poor functional outcome. Compared to those who did not have delirium, stroke patients with delirium were 42% less likely to be discharged to home. Acute stroke patients with delirium are at an increased risk for poor short- and long-term outcomes. More research is needed to identify the best set of interventions to manage such patients and improve outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    气候变化影响人类健康,近年来与几种传染病有关。然而,关于热浪和寒冷天气对肺炎风险的影响的评估有限。这项研究旨在研究中国168个城市的热浪和寒冷天气与每日肺炎住院的关系。2014年至2017年期间肺炎住院的数据是从2.8亿受益人的国家索赔数据库中提取的。我们考虑结合温度强度和持续时间来定义热浪和冷法术。使用准泊松广义线性模型和分布滞后非线性模型对这种关联进行了量化。还估计了暴露-响应曲线和潜在效应调节剂。我们发现,在相对温和的寒冷法术中观察到肺炎每日住院的寒冷法术的峰值相对风险(RR),阈值低于第2百分位数的3天(RR=1.69,95%CI:1.46-1.92)。热浪的风险随着阈值的增加而增加,在第98百分位数(RR=1.69,95%CI:1.46-1.92),发现4天的极端热浪期风险最大。热浪和寒冷的天气更有可能对女性产生不利影响。总之,我们的研究提供了新的强有力的证据,表明暴露于热浪和寒冷的天气与肺炎住院次数增加有关,尤其是女性。这是中国第一个全面评估热浪和寒冷天气对肺炎风险影响的全国性研究,这些发现可能为气候变化对公共卫生的影响提供有价值的见解。
    Climate change affects human health and has been linked to several infectious diseases in recent year. However, there is limited assessment on the impact of heat waves and cold spells on pneumonia risk. This study aims to examine the association of heat waves and cold spells with daily pneumonia hospitalizations in 168 cities in China. Data on pneumonia hospitalizations between 2014 and 2017 were extracted from a national claim database of 280 million beneficiaries. We consider combining temperature intensity and duration to define heat waves and cold spells.This association was quantified using a quasi-Poisson generalized linear model combined with a distributed lag nonlinear model. Exposure-response curves and potential effect modifiers were also estimated. We found that the peak relative risk (RR) of cold spells on daily hospitalizations for pneumonia was observed in relatively mild cold spells with a threshold below the 3 days at the 2nd percentile (RR = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.46-1.92). The risk of heat waves increased with the thresholds, and the greatest risk was found for extremely heatwave period of 4 days at the 98th percentile (RR = 1.69, 95% CI: 1.46-1.92). Heat waves and cold spells are more likely to adversely affect women. In conclusion, our study provided novel and strong evidence that exposure to heat waves and cold spells was associate with increased hospital visits for pneumonia, especially in females. This is the first national study in China to comprehensively evaluate the influence of heat waves and cold spells on pneumonia risk, and the findings may offer valuable insights into the impact of climate change on public health.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    由于中国颗粒物(PM)暴露对神经系统影响的证据有限,特别是对于体积更小但毒性更大的PM1,我们使用因果推断方法进行了一项大型中国队列研究,以全面阐明这种影响.2015年在中国南方招募了36,271名参与者,并在2020年进行了随访。我们通过将队列数据与来自研究区域的418家医疗机构的电子报告联系起来,获得了神经科住院记录。通过使用基于卫星的时空模型和队列数据的高分辨率PM浓度,我们在因果假设下建立了边际结构Cox模型,以评估随时间变化的PM暴露与神经内科住院之间的潜在因果关系.我们的研究结果表明,PM1,PM2.5和PM10浓度增加1μg/mm3与较高的总体神经系统住院风险相关。风险比(HR)为1.10(95%置信区间(CI)1.04-1.16),1.09(95%CI1.04-1.14),和1.03(95%CI1.00-1.06),分别。PM1似乎对神经科住院有更强的影响,与PM2.5和PM10相比,影响分别高1%和7%。此外,PM1年浓度每增加1-μg/m3与缺血性卒中住院风险升高相关(HR:1.15;95%CI,1.06-1.26),其往往大于PM2.5(HR:1.13,95%CI,1.04-1.23)和PM10(HR:1.05,95%CI,1.00-1.09)的估计值。此外,从未结婚或女性的个人与他们的同龄人相比往往面临更大的风险。我们的研究提供了有关颗粒对健康影响的重要见解,特别是较小的颗粒,关于神经系统住院风险,并强调需要专门针对这些颗粒的清洁空气政策。
    With limited evidence on the neurological impact of particulate matter (PM) exposure in China, particularly for PM1 which is smaller but more toxic, we conducted a large Chinese cohort study using causal inference approaches to comprehensively clarify such impact. A total of 36,271 participants in southern China were recruited in 2015 and followed up through 2020. We obtained the neurological hospitalizations records by linking the cohort data to the electronic reports from 418 medical institutions across the study area. By using high-resolution PM concentrations from satellite-based spatiotemporal models and the cohort data, we performed marginal structural Cox models under causal assumptions to assess the potential causal links between time-varying PM exposure and neurological hospitalizations. Our findings indicated that increasing PM1, PM2.5, and PM10 concentrations by 1 μg/m³ were associated with higher overall neurological hospitalization risks, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.10 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.04-1.16), 1.09 (95% CI 1.04-1.14), and 1.03 (95% CI 1.00-1.06), respectively. PM1 appeared to have a stronger effect on neurological hospitalization, with a 1% and 7% higher impact compared to PM2.5 and PM10, respectively. Additionally, each 1-μg/m3 increase in the annual PM1 concentration was associated with an elevated risk of hospitalizations for ischemic stroke (HR: 1.15; 95% CI, 1.06-1.26), which tended to be larger than the estimates for PM2.5 (HR: 1.13, 95% CI, 1.04-1.23) and PM10 (HR: 1.05, 95% CI, 1.00-1.09). Furthermore, never-married or female individuals tended be at a greater risk compared with their counterparts. Our study provides important insights into the health impact of particles, particularly smaller particles, on neurological hospitalization risk and highlights the need for clean-air policies that specifically target these particles.
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