Environmental Justice

环境正义
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:尽管有证据表明细颗粒物(PM2.5)与心脏代谢多重性(CMM)有关,其组成部分的影响尚不清楚。社会经济地位(SES)和地区差异可能会混淆它们的联系。我们旨在评估PM2.5成分与CMM之间的关联,并探讨社会经济地位和区域差异如何影响这些关系。
    方法:我们从中国东部十个城市招募了108,941名35-76岁的参与者。使用跟踪中国空气污染(TAP)数据评估个人暴露,包括PM2.5和五种成分:铵(NH4+),黑碳(BC),硝酸盐(NO3-),有机质(OM),和硫酸盐(SO42-)。采用广义线性模型和分位数g计算模型来量化PM2.5成分对CMM的影响并识别关键成分。进行了分层分析,以研究SES和区域差异的修改效果。
    结果:对于四分位数间距(IQR)的每增加,BC(赔率比[OR]1.37,95%CI1.29-1.47),OM(1.38,1.29-1.48),NH4+(1.31,1.21-1.40),NO3-(1.34,1.25-1.44),SO42-(1.28,1.20-1.38)与CMM呈正相关。5种成分的关节暴露与CMM呈显著正相关(OR:1.27,95%CI:1.21-1.33),SO42-具有最高的估计重量,其次是NO3-和BC。这些协会对来自低社会经济地位和贫困地区的参与者来说更加强大。
    结论:总之,我们发现PM2.5及其成分对CMM的危害作用更强,与那些患有CMD的人相比,特别是在社会经济地位低和贫困地区的参与者中。SO42-可能是PM2.5成分与CMM之间关联的主要贡献者。这些发现强调了在卫生政策中优先考虑CMM和针对SO42相关污染源的重要性,特别是在中国人口老龄化的背景下,减少环境健康不平等至关重要。
    BACKGROUND: Despite evidence linking fine particulate matter (PM2.5) to cardiometabolic multimorbidity (CMM), the impact of its components remains unclear. Socioeconomic status (SES) and regional disparities may confound their association. We aim to evaluate the associations between PM2.5 components and CMM and explore how socioeconomic status and regional disparities affect these relationships.
    METHODS: We recruited 108,941 participants aged 35-76 years from ten cities in eastern China. Individual exposure was assessed using Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP) data, including PM2.5 and five components: ammonium (NH4+), black carbon (BC), nitrates (NO3-), organic matter (OM), and sulfates (SO42-). Generalized linear models and quantile g-computation models were employed to quantify the effects of PM2.5 components on CMM and to identify key components. Stratified analyses were performed to investigate the modifying effect of SES and regional disparities.
    RESULTS: For each increase in interquartile range (IQR), BC (odds ratio [OR] 1.37, 95 % CI 1.29-1.47), OM (1.38, 1.29-1.48), NH4+ (1.31, 1.21-1.40), NO3- (1.34, 1.25-1.44), and SO42- (1.28, 1.20-1.38) were positively associated with CMM. Joint exposure to five components was significantly positively associated with CMM (OR: 1.27, 95 % CI: 1.21-1.33), with SO42- having the highest estimated weight, followed by NO3- and BC. These associations were stronger for participants from low socio-economic status and poor regions.
    CONCLUSIONS: In summary, we found a stronger hazard effect of PM2.5 and its components on CMM, compared to those suffering from CMDs, particularly among participants with low socioeconomic status and in poor regions. SO42- may be a primary contributor to the association between PM2.5 components and CMM. These findings underscore the importance of prioritizing CMM and targeting SO42-related pollution sources in health policies, particularly amid China\'s aging population, reducing environmental health inequalities is critical.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    大多数分析空气污染对弱势群体影响的研究都使用地面空气质量测量。然而,地面站通常是有限的,近40%的国家没有官方的PM2.5监测站,不允许对世界上很大一部分人口进行空气质量分析。此外,有限的研究从地理人口的角度分析社区数据,换句话说,描绘社会人口统计学特征,并在地理上定位更多暴露于环境空气污染的社会经济群体。因此,一个重要的问题出现了:我们如何在缺乏空气质量地面数据的地区将脆弱社区追溯到空气污染?我们提出了一种新的方法来回答这个问题。我们使用NO2,SO2,CO,和来自Sentinel-5P的HCHO对流层柱空气质量数据,可操作地量化来自太空的大气物种浓度的卫星。我们将它们与人口普查和环境数据集成在一起,并应用局部模糊地理加权聚类空间机器学习方法进行分割分析。我们在巴厘岛的发现,印度尼西亚,为这种方法在追踪和描绘最暴露于空气污染的社区概况方面的益处提供定量证据。例如,结果表明,弱势群体的社区,如失业者(超过27.8%),受教育程度低(27.9%以上),和儿童(超过22.1%)(主要分布在巴厘岛南部和北部海岸旅游区附近),在所研究的污染物中表现出非常高的值(超过第75四分位数)。所提出的方法易于重现,快,以低成本,因为它是基于免费可用的卫星数据,而不是基于昂贵的地面站测量。这有望帮助决策者追踪最脆弱的亚群,即使在空气质量监测网络不足的地区,从而使全球各地的地方政府(即使是那些财政薄弱的地方政府)能够实现环境正义及其可持续发展目标。
    Most studies analyzing the effects of air pollution on disadvantaged populations use ground air quality measurements. However, ground stations are generally limited, with nearly 40% of countries having no official PM2.5 stations, not allowing air quality analysis for a significantly large share of the world\'s population. Furthermore, limited studies analyze community data from a geodemographic perspective, in other words, to delineate the sociodemographic profiles and geographically locate the socioeconomic groups more exposed to ambient air pollution. Therefore, a significant question arises: How can we trace vulnerable communities to air pollution in areas lacking air-quality ground data? Here, we propose a novel methodology to respond to this question. We use NO2, SO2, CO, and HCHO tropospheric column air-quality data from Sentinel-5P, a satellite that quantifies concentrations of atmospheric species from space operationally. We integrate them with census and environmental data and apply the local fuzzy geographically weighted clustering spatial machine learning method for segmentation analysis. Our findings for Bali, Indonesia, provide quantitative evidence for the benefits of this methodology in tracing and delineating the profiles of the communities most exposed to air pollution. For example, results show that communities with highly disadvantaged populations, such as unemployed (over 27.8%), low educated (over 27.9%), and children (over 22.1%) (mainly located around Bali\'s south and north coast touristic areas), exhibit very high values (over the 75th quartile) across the pollutants studied. The proposed method is reproducible easily, quickly, and at low cost, as it is based on freely available satellite data and not on costly ground station measurements. This will hopefully assist decision-makers in tracing the most vulnerable subpopulations, even in areas with inadequate air-quality monitoring networks, thus allowing local governments around the globe (even those that are financially weak) to achieve environmental justice and their sustainable development goals.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    空气污染对许多特大城市构成了严重的公共卫生威胁,但方式并不均衡。常规模型仅限于在特大城市的社区尺度上描述环境污染物暴露的高度空间和时间变化的模式。这里,我们开发了一种机器学习方法,该方法利用动态交通概况来连续估算洛杉矶社区水平的全年空气污染物浓度,美国我们发现,引入现实世界的动态交通数据显着提高了二氧化氮(NO2)的空间保真度,最大每日8小时平均臭氧(MDA8O3),和细颗粒物(PM2.5)模拟的47%,4%,15%,分别。我们成功地捕获了由于交通活动繁忙而超过限值的PM2.5水平,并提供了一个“超限地图”工具来识别高污染社区内的暴露差异。相比之下,没有真实动态交通数据的模型缺乏捕获交通引起的暴露差异的能力,并且显着低估了居民对PM2.5的暴露。对于黑人和低收入群体等弱势社区来说,这种低估更加严重,显示了将实时交通数据纳入暴露差异评估的重要性。
    Air pollution poses a critical public health threat around many megacities but in an uneven manner. Conventional models are limited to depict the highly spatial- and time-varying patterns of ambient pollutant exposures at the community scale for megacities. Here, we developed a machine-learning approach that leverages the dynamic traffic profiles to continuously estimate community-level year-long air pollutant concentrations in Los Angeles, U.S. We found the introduction of real-world dynamic traffic data significantly improved the spatial fidelity of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), maximum daily 8-h average ozone (MDA8 O3), and fine particulate matter (PM2.5) simulations by 47%, 4%, and 15%, respectively. We successfully captured PM2.5 levels exceeding limits due to heavy traffic activities and providing an \"out-of-limit map\" tool to identify exposure disparities within highly polluted communities. In contrast, the model without real-world dynamic traffic data lacks the ability to capture the traffic-induced exposure disparities and significantly underestimate residents\' exposure to PM2.5. The underestimations are more severe for disadvantaged communities such as black and low-income groups, showing the significance of incorporating real-time traffic data in exposure disparity assessment.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    近几十年来,中国自然生态系统的保护管理有了显著改善,从而有效保护野生动物和恢复栖息地。随着野生动物种群的快速增长和相应的范围扩大,中国各地的人与野生动物冲突事件显著增加。然而,只有少数研究对野生动物损害管理和补偿给予了足够的重视。在我们的审查中,我们专注于最重要的缓解措施,以对抗人类与野生动物的冲突,即,对野生动物造成的损害进行赔偿。我们对中国19个省和自治区的文献进行了问卷调查和深入回顾,共产生78个相关来源。首先介绍了我国野生动物损害赔偿的概念,其次是对中国野生动物损害赔偿立法和政策的回顾。我们编制了一份完整的令人讨厌的物种清单,我们展示了四个案例研究,其中我们示例性地描述了野生动物损害赔偿的现状。我们对困难和挑战进行了反思,例如延迟的损害评估或与当前市场价格不符的赔偿配额。由于地方立法往往不足或完全没有,我们就如何改善现有政策和补偿机制提出了建议。
    The conservation management of natural ecosystems in China has significantly improved in recent decades, resulting in the effective protection of wildlife and the restoration of habitats. With the rapid growth in wildlife populations and corresponding range expansions, incidents of human-wildlife conflict have notably increased across China. However, only a few studies have paid adequate attention to wildlife damage management and compensation. In our review, we focus on the foremost mitigation measure to combat human-wildlife conflict, i.e., compensation for damage caused by wildlife. We conducted a questionnaire survey and an in-depth review of the literature across 19 Chinese provinces and autonomous regions, resulting in a total of 78 relevant sources. We first introduce the concept of wildlife damage compensation in China, followed by a review of Chinese legislation and policies regarding wildlife damage compensation. We compiled a comprehensive list of nuisance species, and we showcase four case studies in which we exemplarily describe the current situation of wildlife damage compensation. We reflect on difficulties and challenges such as delayed damage assessments or compensation quotas that do not correspond to current market prices. Since local legislation is often insufficient or completely absent, we make suggestions on how to improve existing policies and compensation mechanisms.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    全球城市发展与热环境之间不断升级的矛盾日益明显,强调必须解决热暴露中的社会不平等问题,并倡导环境正义(EJ),以追求可持续的城市发展。为了弥合这一领域的研究差距,进行了一项全面的研究,以检验将热环境与中国城市的社会经济地位(SES)联系起来的相关机制,以杭州为代表案例-中国“四个火炉”中的一个关键城市。调查涉及分析2016年至2018年夏季(7月至9月)日地表温度(LST)的空间分布格局。对于SES表征,建立了一个整体指标。社区级LST变量来自通过Terra和Aqua卫星MODIS传感器获得的LST表面,以社区为基本分析单位。使用随机森林回归(RF)探索SES和LST之间的关系,极限梯度提升(XGBoost),和支持向量回归(SVR)来评估城市热区的社会经济不平等。研究结果表明:(1)RF具有最高的拟合精度,并巧妙地阐明了LST变量与SES之间的非线性关系和边际效应。(2)杭州都市圈社区SES表现出空间聚集性。(3)中低SES社区的居民经历了加剧的热不平等。(4)白天和夜间LST和SES之间存在复杂的非线性关系。在特定温度阈值内,城市热量的社会差异很大。在决定推进热环境正义的措施时,重要的是要优先考虑相对不利的群体和特定的温度间隔。这项研究背离了传统的方法,在精细尺度上探索SES与城市热力之间的非线性关系,从而帮助城市规划者制定有效的战略。
    The escalating contradiction between global urban development and thermal environments has become increasingly apparent, underscoring the imperative to address social inequality in heat exposure and advocate for environmental justice (EJ) in the pursuit of sustainable urban development. To bridge the research gap in this domain, a comprehensive study was conducted to examine the correlation mechanism linking the thermal environment with the socioeconomic status (SES) of Chinese cities, employing Hangzhou as a representative case-a pivotal city among China\'s \"four fire stoves\". The investigation involved analyzing the spatial distribution pattern of diurnal Land Surface Temperature (LST) during the summer months spanning 2016 to 2018 (July to September). For SES characterization, a holistic indicator was established. Community-level LST variables were derived from LST surfaces obtained through the Terra and Aqua satellite MODIS sensors, with the community serving as the fundamental unit of analysis. The relationship between SES and LST was explored using random forest regression (RF), eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and support vector regression (SVR) to assess socioeconomic inequality in urban heat. The findings reveal that (1) RF exhibits the highest fitting accuracy and adeptly elucidates the nonlinear relationship and marginal effects between LST variables and SES. (2) Community SES in the Hangzhou metropolitan area exhibits spatial clustering. (3) Residents of low and middle SES communities experience heightened heat inequality. (4) A complex nonlinear relationship exists between daytime and nighttime LST and SES, with significant social disparities in urban heat within specific temperature thresholds. When deciding on measures to advance thermal environmental justice, it is crucial to prioritize both relatively disadvantaged groups and specific temperature intervals. This study departs from conventional approaches, exploring the nonlinear relationship between SES and urban heat at a fine scale, thereby assisting urban planners in developing effective strategies.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确保在城市建成区公平使用绿色空间不仅对促进环境正义至关重要,而且符合联合国可持续发展目标(SDGs)。然而,目前关于小城市绿地的作用的研究存在明显差距,特别是从生态系统服务的角度来看它们的多功能性。以哈尔滨市城市建成区为例,本研究首先应用层次分析法将绿地的供需分为三种类型。然后,文章进一步分析了新增绿地的潜在功能定位,包括生态和社会功能,使用最小累积阻力和兴趣点。最后,利用多准则决策模型探索绿地的优先级和功能定位,构建多功能高效的小型城市绿地网络。结果表明,绿地供需存在显著失衡,严重和中等错配区域占30.17%和48.50%,分别。通过评估小型绿色空间的多功能性,我们提出的指导方针包括五种领域:集中发展(85.85平方公里,16.94%),备份开发(70.74km2,14.31%),维修(304.49km2,61.51%),防护(14.94km2,3.02%),和优化(20.89km2,4.22%)。最后,文章提出了一个277.60公里的多功能小型城市绿地网络。通过检查小城市绿地,这项研究为提高城市建筑环境中的绿色空间公平性奠定了关键框架,为政策制定者和城市规划者提供有价值的见解。该方法对于在不同的城市环境中开发多功能绿色网络具有重要意义,并为更广泛的应用提供了模型,作为全球发展中国家实现绿色空间公平的参考。
    Ensuring equitable access to green spaces in urban built-up areas is not only vital for fostering environmental justice but also aligns with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, there is a noticeable gap in the current body of research regarding the role of small urban green spaces, especially their multifunctionality from an ecosystem services perspective. Taking the urban built-up area of Harbin as an example, this study first applied the Analytic Hierarchy Process to classify the supply and demand of green space into three types. Then, the article further analyzes the potential functional positioning of the newly added green spaces, including ecological and social functions, using Minimum Cumulative Resistance and Point of Interest. Finally, multi-criteria decision models are used to explore the priority and functional positioning of green space and construct a multi-functional and highly-efficient small urban green space network. The results indicate a significant imbalance in green space supply and demand, with severe and medium mismatch areas accounting for 30.17 % and 48.50 %, respectively. By assessing the multifunctionality of small green spaces, we propose guidelines that include five types of areas: Concentrated Development (85.85 km2, 16.94 %), Backup Development (70.74 km2, 14.31 %), Maintenance (304.49 km2, 61.51 %), Protection (14.94 km2, 3.02 %), and Optimization (20.89 km2, 4.22 %). Finally, the article proposes a 277.60 km multifunctional small urban green space network. By examining small urban green spaces, this study crafts a pivotal framework for enhancing green space equity in urban built-up environments, providing valuable insights for policymakers and urban planners. The approach has significant implications for developing multifunctional green networks in varied urban contexts and offers a model for wider application, serving as a reference for achieving green space equity in developing countries globally.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    绿地提供的生态系统服务与人类健康密切相关,大力支持城市和领土的可持续发展。城市化不仅导致绿色空间的减少,而且还造成了暴露的不平等。不公平的绿色暴露造成居民获得绿色空间提供的生态系统服务的差距,并可能导致严重的健康不平等。在这种情况下,我们首先根据绿色曝光的特征分为主动和被动两种。第二,利用利益转移法和基尼系数,我们估计了2000年至2020年日本市政级别居民周围这些绿色暴露所提供的生态系统服务的价值和公平性,重点是对人类健康的影响。最后,我们探讨了社会经济学与生态系统服务不公平之间的潜在关系。我们的研究结果表明:1)人均生态系统服务价值和绿色暴露提供的公平性在各个城市之间存在显着差异;2)尽管大多数城市在住宅周围人均生态系统服务价值呈上升趋势,生态系统服务不平等显著增加;3)生态系统服务不平等与城市的社会经济因素有关,可能是非线性的。这项研究的结果表明,政府应在城市规划过程中采用与绿色暴露提供的生态系统服务相关的指标。在关注人均生态系统服务的同时,他们还应考虑生态系统服务的公平分配,以促进可持续的城市健康发展。
    Ecosystem services provided by green spaces are closely related to human health, strongly supporting sustainable urban and territorial development. Urbanization has not only resulted in the reduction of green spaces but has also created inequalities in exposure. Inequitable green exposure creates disparities in residents\' access to the ecosystem services provided by green spaces and can lead to significant health inequities. In this context, we first categorized green exposures into active and passive types based on their characteristics. Second, utilizing the benefit transfer method and Gini coefficient, we estimated the value and equity of ecosystem services offered by these green exposures around residences at the municipality level in Japan from 2000 to 2020, with a focus on human health implications. Finally, we explored the potential relationship between socioeconomics and ecosystem service inequity. Our findings reveal that: 1) ecosystem service value per capita and equity provided by green exposure are significantly different across municipalities; 2) although most municipalities show an upward trend in per capita ecosystem service value around residences, ecosystem service inequity increases significantly; and 3) ecosystem service inequity is related to the socioeconomic factors of municipalities and could be non-linear. The results of this study suggest that the government should adopt indicators related to the ecosystem services provided by green exposure during urban planning. While focusing on per-capita ecosystem services, they should also consider the equitable distribution of ecosystem services to promote sustainable urban health development.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    尘肺是中国最危险的职业病。根据非官方记录,2011年,近百万农民工受到尘肺病的影响,人数逐年增加。其中,大量患有尘肺病的农民工没有得到医学诊断。因此,基本问题仍然没有答案:接受尘肺诊断的工人的背景是什么,尘肺如何影响他们的未来和幸福?
    在这项研究中,我们确定并调查了1,134名尘肺病工人在中国七个选定的地区,尘肺病发病率相当高,采用组合整群抽样,方便采样,和滚雪球采样。我们用人口统计,medical,康复条件和福利问卷收集数据。
    这些发现强调了尘肺患者的社会经济状况。大多数尘肺病工人是没有受过高等教育的成年男子,住在农村家庭,受雇于采矿业或制造业。在这些工人中,52.8%的人在工作中暴露于灰尘超过10年,53.1%的人被诊断为II期或III期尘肺。超过一半的工人(569名工人,50.2%)未收到全面,常规治疗;33.4%(379名工人)在经历身体不适时就诊,6.6%(75名工人)从未接受过治疗。只有156名工人(13.8%)接受康复服务,而978名工人(86.2%)从未这样做。研究结果还揭示了尘肺病患者面临的严重财务困难。只有208名工人(18.3%)能享受工伤保险,尘肺病的治疗费用对668名工人(60.6%)来说是一个巨大的负担。
    在这项研究中,我们探索了中国尘肺病工人面临的现有健康和福利问题,并确定了这些工人所经历的社会不公正和健康差距。我们还澄清了实施安全的主要挑战,健康,以及这些工人和那些暴露在高风险环境中的人的福利政策,比如那些在采矿业工作的人。
    Pneumoconiosis is the most dangerous occupational disease in China. According to unofficial records, nearly million migrant workers were affected by pneumoconiosis in 2011, with the number increasing annually. Among them, a large number of migrant workers suffering from pneumoconiosis were not medically diagnosed. Therefore, fundamental questions remain unanswered: what is the background of workers who receive a diagnosis of pneumoconiosis, and how does pneumoconiosis affect their future and well-being?
    In this study, we identified and surveyed 1,134 workers with pneumoconiosis in seven selected regions in China with substantially high incidences of pneumoconiosis by using a combination of cluster sampling, convenience sampling, and snowball sampling. We used demographic, medical, and rehabilitation conditions and welfare questionnaires to collect the data.
    The findings highlighted the socioeconomic status of patients with pneumoconiosis. The majority of workers with pneumoconiosis were adult men who had received no higher education, who lived in rural households, and who were employed in mining or manufacturing industries. Among these workers, 52.8% had been exposed to dust at work for more than 10 years, and 53.1% received a diagnosis of stage II or III pneumoconiosis. More than half of the workers (569 workers, 50.2%) did not receive comprehensive, routine treatment; 33.4% (379 workers) visited a doctor when they experienced physical discomfort, and 6.6% (75 workers) never received treatment. Only 156 workers (13.8%) received rehabilitation services, whereas 978 workers (86.2%) never did. The study results also revealed the severe financial difficulties faced by patients with pneumoconiosis. Only 208 workers (18.3%) had access to work-related injury insurance, with the cost of pneumoconiosis treatment being a substantial burden for 668 workers (60.6%).
    In this study, we explored the existing health and welfare problems faced by workers with pneumoconiosis in China and identified the social injustice and health disparities that these workers experience. We also clarified the primary challenges in implementing safety, health, and welfare policies for these workers and those who are exposed to high-risk environments, such as those working in mining.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Urban green space equity focuses on whether different social groups can equally share the well-being from green space, which is an important issue in the realm of environmental justice. We systematically introduced the origin and development of green space equity, explored its multidimensional progress in conceptual connotation, measurement methodology, phenomenon, mechanism, and regulation, and proposed the enlightenment for deepening the related studies. The green space equity originated from environmental social movement and environmental justice studies, and experienced multilevel evolution in topic constriction and theoretical interpretation. Although the connotation of green space equity was interpreted from various perspectives, its core idea was distributional equality. There was a frequently-used framework for measurement methodology of green space equity, whose spatial scale issue was critical. Due to the differences of characteristics, developmental stages, and institutional backgrounds between Chinese and Western cities, the phenomena and driving mechanisms of green space equity were different. The regulation strategies of green space equity could be summarized into three types, including green distributional equitable strategy, social recognitional justice strategy, and procedural justice orientated strategy. Future studies should deepen the research from the hierarchical logics for practice management, the fine-scale measurement methodology, the interpretation of mechanism for green space inequity in Chinese context, and simulation of differentiated regulation strategies. Social development endows green space equity with more practical tasks and theoretical logics, which is urgent to clarify the research progress to support the future research.
    城市绿色空间公平聚焦不同社会群体能否平等共享绿色福祉,是环境正义领域的重要议题。本文系统梳理了绿色空间公平的起源和发展,探讨其概念内涵、测度技术、现象、机制和调控等多维进展,并提出研究深化的启示。绿色空间公平研究源于环保社会运动和环境正义研究,经历了话题收敛与理论演绎的多层次演进。绿色空间公平内涵多元,但分配平等是核心;绿色空间公平测度形成了成熟的技术框架,其空间尺度问题是关键;由于中西方城市特质、发展阶段、制度背景等差异,绿色空间公平现象特征和影响机制有所差异;对绿色空间公平的调控可归纳为绿色分配公平、社会承认正义、程序正义导向3类对策。未来可以从绿色空间公平的多层次实践逻辑、精细化测度技术、中国化机制解释、差异化对策仿真等方面深化研究。社会发展赋予绿色空间公平更多的现实任务与理论逻辑,迫切要求厘清绿色空间公平研究进展,支撑研究深化。.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    地球系统的稳定性和复原力与人类福祉有着不可分割的联系1-3,但它们之间的相互依存关系普遍被低估;因此,他们经常被独立对待4,5。这里,我们使用建模和文献评估来量化气候的安全和公正的地球系统边界(ESB),生物圈,水和营养循环,全球和次全球尺度的气溶胶。我们提出ESB,以维持地球系统的弹性和稳定性(安全ESB),并最大程度地减少地球系统变化对人类造成的重大伤害(正义的必要条件,但不是充分条件)4。更严格的安全或公正的界限设置了集成的安全和公正的ESB。我们的发现表明,正义考虑因素比气候和大气气溶胶负荷的安全考虑因素更能限制集成ESB。在全球一半以上的土地面积中,已经超过了8个全球量化安全和仅ESB中的7个,以及至少2个区域安全和仅ESB。我们建议,我们的评估为现在和将来保护所有人的全球公域提供了定量基础。
    The stability and resilience of the Earth system and human well-being are inseparably linked1-3, yet their interdependencies are generally under-recognized; consequently, they are often treated independently4,5. Here, we use modelling and literature assessment to quantify safe and just Earth system boundaries (ESBs) for climate, the biosphere, water and nutrient cycles, and aerosols at global and subglobal scales. We propose ESBs for maintaining the resilience and stability of the Earth system (safe ESBs) and minimizing exposure to significant harm to humans from Earth system change (a necessary but not sufficient condition for justice)4. The stricter of the safe or just boundaries sets the integrated safe and just ESB. Our findings show that justice considerations constrain the integrated ESBs more than safety considerations for climate and atmospheric aerosol loading. Seven of eight globally quantified safe and just ESBs and at least two regional safe and just ESBs in over half of global land area are already exceeded. We propose that our assessment provides a quantitative foundation for safeguarding the global commons for all people now and into the future.
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