BACKGROUND: A variant can be pathogenic or benign with relation to a human disease. Current classification categories from benign to pathogenic reflect a probabilistic summary of the current understanding. A primary metric of clinical utility for multiplexed assays of variant effect (MAVE) is the number of variants that can be reclassified from uncertain significance (VUS). However, a gap in this measure of utility is that it underrepresents the information gained from MAVEs. The aim of this study was to develop an improved quantification metric for MAVE utility. We propose adopting an information content approach that includes data that does not reclassify variants will better reflect true information gain. We adopted an information content approach to evaluate the information gain, in bits, for MAVEs of BRCA1, PTEN, and TP53. Here, one bit represents the amount of information required to completely classify a single variant starting from no information.
RESULTS: BRCA1 MAVEs produced a total of 831.2 bits of information, 6.58% of the total missense information in BRCA1 and a 22-fold increase over the information that only contributed to VUS reclassification. PTEN MAVEs produced 2059.6 bits of information which represents 32.8% of the total missense information in PTEN and an 85-fold increase over the information that contributed to VUS reclassification. TP53 MAVEs produced 277.8 bits of information which represents 6.22% of the total missense information in TP53 and a 3.5-fold increase over the information that contributed to VUS reclassification.
CONCLUSIONS: An information content approach will more accurately portray information gained through MAVE mapping efforts than by counting the number of variants reclassified. This information content approach may also help define the impact of guideline changes that modify the information definitions used to classify groups of variants.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate how many novel pathogenic (P) and likely pathogenic (LP) nonprotein-truncating or noncanonical splicing variants would be classified as variants of unknown significance (VUS) if they were detected in fetuses without abnormalities.
METHODS: The study included 156 patients with neurodevelopmental disorders diagnosed through postnatal exome sequencing. Causative P/LP nonprotein-truncating and noncanonical splicing variants were retrospectively reclassified in cases without specific prenatal manifestations, disregarding postnatal symptoms.
RESULTS: Of the 156 patients, 72 had a nontruncating or noncanonical splicing variant. Six patients were excluded for having more than one possible causative variant. Twelve patients had prenatal malformations known to be associated with the diagnosed disorder; therefore, variant interpretation remained unchanged. In 33 of the 54 remaining cases, the variant had been previously reported as P/LP. Reclassification of the other 21 LP/P variants revealed that 16 would have been classified as VUS if detected prenatally.
CONCLUSIONS: In our cohort, ∼24% (16/66) of causative nonprotein-truncating/noncanonical splicing variants would have been classified as VUS if sequencing had been conducted during pregnancy. The potential for false-negative results, stemming from limitations in the phenotypic information available prenatally, should be discussed with prospective parents. The criteria for classifying and reporting variants in the prenatal setting may require adjustment.

Variants of talin-1 (TLN1) have recently been linked with spontaneous coronary artery dissection (SCAD) a condition where a tear can form in the wall of a heart artery necessitating immediate medical care. One talin-1 variant, A2013T, has an extensive familial pedigree of SCAD, which led to the screening for, and identification of, further talin-1 variants in SCAD patients. Here we evaluated these variants with commonly used pathogenicity prediction tools and found it challenging to reliably classify SCAD-associated variants, even A2013T where the evidence of a causal role is strong. Using biochemical and cell biological methods, we show that SCAD-associated variants in talin-1, which would typically be classified as non-pathogenic, still cause a measurable impact on protein structure and cell behaviour, including cell movement and wound healing capacity. Together, this indicates that even subtle variants in central mechanosensitive adapter proteins, can give rise to significant health impacts at the individual level, suggesting the need for a possible re-evaluation of the scoring criteria for pathogenicity prediction for talin variants.

Co-observation of a gene variant with a pathogenic variant in another gene that explains the disease presentation has been designated as evidence against pathogenicity for commonly used variant classification guidelines. Multiple variant curation expert panels have specified, from consensus opinion, that this evidence type is not applicable for the classification of breast cancer predisposition gene variants. Statistical analysis of sequence data for 55,815 individuals diagnosed with breast cancer from the BRIDGES sequencing project was undertaken to formally assess the utility of co-observation data for germline variant classification. Our analysis included expected loss-of-function variants in 11 breast cancer predisposition genes and pathogenic missense variants in BRCA1, BRCA2, and TP53. We assessed whether co-observation of pathogenic variants in two different genes occurred more or less often than expected under the assumption of independence. Co-observation of pathogenic variants in each of BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 with the remaining genes was less frequent than expected. This evidence for depletion remained after adjustment for age at diagnosis, study design (familial versus population-based), and country. Co-observation of a variant of uncertain significance in BRCA1, BRCA2, or PALB2 with a pathogenic variant in another breast cancer gene equated to supporting evidence against pathogenicity following criterion strength assignment based on the likelihood ratio and showed utility in reclassification of missense BRCA1 and BRCA2 variants identified in BRIDGES. Our approach has applicability for assessing the value of co-observation as a predictor of variant pathogenicity in other clinical contexts, including for gene-specific guidelines developed by ClinGen Variant Curation Expert Panels.

BACKGROUND: Interpreting the clinical consequences of genetic variants is the central problem in modern clinical genomics, for both hereditary diseases and oncology. However, clinical validation lags behind the pace of discovery, leading to distressing uncertainty for patients, physicians and researchers. This \"interpretation gap\" changes over time as evidence accumulates, and variants initially deemed of uncertain (VUS) significance may be subsequently reclassified in pathogenic/benign. We previously developed RENOVO, a random forest-based tool able to predict variant pathogenicity based on publicly available information from GnomAD and dbNFSP, and tested on variants that have changed their classification status over time. Here, we comprehensively evaluated the accuracy of RENOVO predictions on variants that have been reclassified over the last four years.
METHODS: we retrieved 16 retrospective instances of the ClinVar database, every 3 months since March 2020 to March 2024, and analyzed time trends of variant classifications. We identified variants that changed their status over time and compared RENOVO predictions generated in 2020 with the actual reclassifications.
RESULTS: VUS have become the most represented class in ClinVar (44.97% vs. 9.75% (likely) pathogenic and 40,33% (likely) benign). The rate of VUS reclassification is linear and slow compared to the rate of VUS reporting, exponential and currently ~ 30x faster, creating a growing divide between what can be sequenced vs. what can be interpreted. Out of 10,196 VUS variants in January 2020 that have undergone a clinically meaningful reclassification to march 2024, RENOVO correctly classified 82.6% in 2020. In addition, RENOVO correctly identified the majority of the few variants that switched clinically meaningful classes (e.g., from benign to pathogenic and vice versa). We highlight variant classes and clinically relevant genes for which RENOVO provides particularly accurate estimates. In particularly, genes characterized by large prevalence of high- or low-impact variants (e.g., POLE, NOTCH1, FANCM etc.). Suboptimal RENOVO predictions mostly concern genes validated through dedicated consortia (e.g., BRCA1/2), in which RENOVO would anyway have a limited impact.
CONCLUSIONS: Time trend analysis demonstrates that the current model of variant interpretation cannot keep up with variant discovery. Machine learning-based tools like RENOVO confirm high accuracy that can aid in clinical practice and research.

As the adoption and scope of genetic testing continue to expand, interpreting the clinical significance of DNA sequence variants at scale remains a formidable challenge, with a high proportion classified as variants of uncertain significance (VUSs). Genetic testing laboratories have historically relied, in part, on functional data from academic literature to support variant classification. High-throughput functional assays or multiplex assays of variant effect (MAVEs), designed to assess the effects of DNA variants on protein stability and function, represent an important and increasingly available source of evidence for variant classification, but their potential is just beginning to be realized in clinical lab settings. Here, we describe a framework for generating, validating and incorporating data from MAVEs into a semi-quantitative variant classification method applied to clinical genetic testing. Using single-cell gene expression measurements, cellular evidence models were built to assess the effects of DNA variation in 44 genes of clinical interest. This framework was also applied to models for an additional 22 genes with previously published MAVE datasets. In total, modeling data was incorporated from 24 genes into our variant classification method. These data contributed evidence for classifying 4043 observed variants in over 57,000 individuals. Genetic testing laboratories are uniquely positioned to generate, analyze, validate, and incorporate evidence from high-throughput functional data and ultimately enable the use of these data to provide definitive clinical variant classifications for more patients.

Pathogenic variants in the JAG1 gene are a primary cause of the multi-system disorder Alagille syndrome. Although variant detection rates are high for this disease, there is uncertainty associated with the classification of missense variants that leads to reduced diagnostic yield. Consequently, up to 85% of reported JAG1 missense variants have uncertain or conflicting classifications. We generated a library of 2,832 JAG1 nucleotide variants within exons 1-7, a region with a high number of reported missense variants, and designed a high-throughput assay to measure JAG1 membrane expression, a requirement for normal function. After calibration using a set of 175 known or predicted pathogenic and benign variants included within the variant library, 486 variants were characterized as functionally abnormal (n = 277 abnormal and n = 209 likely abnormal), of which 439 (90.3%) were missense. We identified divergent membrane expression occurring at specific residues, indicating that loss of the wild-type residue itself does not drive pathogenicity, a finding supported by structural modeling data and with broad implications for clinical variant classification both for Alagille syndrome and globally across other disease genes. Of 144 uncertain variants reported in patients undergoing clinical or research testing, 27 had functionally abnormal membrane expression, and inclusion of our data resulted in the reclassification of 26 to likely pathogenic. Functional evidence augments the classification of genomic variants, reducing uncertainty and improving diagnostics. Inclusion of this repository of functional evidence during JAG1 variant reclassification will significantly affect resolution of variant pathogenicity, making a critical impact on the molecular diagnosis of Alagille syndrome.

The use of next-generation sequencing (NGS) has dramatically improved the diagnosis of rare diseases. However, the analysis of genomic data has become complex with the increasing detection of variants by exome and genome sequencing. The American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics (ACMG) and the Association for Molecular Pathology (AMP) developed a 5-tier classification scheme in 2015 for variant interpretation, that has since been widely adopted. Despite efforts to minimise discrepancies in the application of these criteria, inconsistencies still occur. Further specifications for individual genes were developed by Variant Curation Expert Panels (VCEPs) of the Clinical Genome Resource (ClinGen) consortium, that also take into consideration gene or disease specific features. For instance, in disorders with a highly characerstic facial gestalt a \"phenotypic match\" (PP4) has higher pathogenic evidence than e.g. in a non-syndromic form of intellectual disability. With computational approaches for quantifying the similarity of dysmorphic features results of such analysis can now be used in a refined Bayesian framework for the ACMG/AMP criteria.

KCNE1 encodes a 129-residue cardiac potassium channel (IKs) subunit. KCNE1 variants are associated with long QT syndrome and atrial fibrillation. However, most variants have insufficient evidence of clinical consequences and thus limited clinical utility.
In this study, we leveraged the power of variant effect mapping, which couples saturation mutagenesis with high-throughput sequencing, to ascertain the function of thousands of protein-coding KCNE1 variants.
We comprehensively assayed KCNE1 variant cell surface expression (2554/2709 possible single-amino-acid variants) and function (2534 variants). Our study identified 470 loss- or partial loss-of-surface expression and 574 loss- or partial loss-of-function variants. Of the 574 loss- or partial loss-of-function variants, 152 (26.5%) had reduced cell surface expression, indicating that most functionally deleterious variants affect channel gating. Nonsense variants at residues 56-104 generally had WT-like trafficking scores but decreased functional scores, indicating that the latter half of the protein is dispensable for protein trafficking but essential for channel function. 22 of the 30 KCNE1 residues (73%) highly intolerant of variation (with > 70% loss-of-function variants) were in predicted close contact with binding partners KCNQ1 or calmodulin. Our functional assay data were consistent with gold standard electrophysiological data (ρ =  - 0.64), population and patient cohorts (32/38 presumed benign or pathogenic variants with consistent scores), and computational predictors (ρ =  - 0.62). Our data provide moderate-strength evidence for the American College of Medical Genetics/Association of Molecular Pathology functional criteria for benign and pathogenic variants.
Comprehensive variant effect maps of KCNE1 can both provide insight into I Ks channel biology and help reclassify variants of uncertain significance.

To date, clinical genetic testing for Mendelian disease variants has focused heavily on exonic coding and intronic gene regions. This multi-step study was undertaken to provide an evidence base for selecting and applying computational approaches for use in clinical classification of 5\' cis-regulatory region variants. Curated datasets of clinically reported disease-causing 5\' cis-regulatory region variants and variants from matched genomic regions in population controls were used to calibrate six bioinformatic tools as predictors of variant pathogenicity. Likelihood ratio estimates were aligned to code weights following ClinGen recommendations for application of the American College of Medical Genetics and Genomics and the Association for Molecular Pathology (ACMG/AMP) classification scheme. Considering code assignment across all reference dataset variants, performance was best for CADD (81.2%) and REMM (81.5%). Optimized thresholds provided moderate evidence toward pathogenicity (CADD, REMM) and moderate (CADD) or supporting (REMM) evidence against pathogenicity. Both sensitivity and specificity of prediction were improved when further categorizing variants based on location in an EPDnew-defined promoter region. Combining predictions (CADD, REMM, and location in a promoter region) increased specificity at the expense of sensitivity. Importantly, the optimal CADD thresholds for assigning ACMG/AMP codes PP3 (≥10) and BP4 (≤8) were vastly different from recommendations for protein-coding variants (PP3 ≥25.3; BP4 ≤22.7); CADD <22.7 would incorrectly assign BP4 for >90% of reported disease-causing cis-regulatory region variants. Our results demonstrate the need to consider a tiered approach and tailored score thresholds to optimize bioinformatic impact prediction for clinical classification of 5\' cis-regulatory region variants.