poliovirus

脊髓灰质炎病毒
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    急性弛缓性麻痹(AFP)监测是全球根除脊髓灰质炎倡议(GPEI)的黄金标准,用于检测脊髓灰质炎病例和跟踪脊髓灰质炎病毒传播。尼日利亚的AFP监测绩效指标在世界卫生组织(世卫组织)非洲区域国家中名列前茅。主要AFP监测绩效指标是儿童非脊髓灰质炎AFP的发生率和及时、足够的标本收集。国家紧急行动中心的监视工作组评估了一些据报道表现良好的州的AFP监视数据的质量。
    我们对尼日利亚2010-2019年的AFP监测绩效指标进行了回顾性审查。我们还审查了2017年8月至2019年5月在16个主要AFP监测指标较高的州进行的四组监测同行评审和验证访问(由国内GPEI合作伙伴进行)的报告中的数据;验证访问审查了临床信息,标本收集日期和看护者瘫痪的发作。
    在2010-2016年期间,AFP监测主要绩效指标持续增长,随后在2017-2019年期间下降。从2017年8月至2019年5月进行同行评审的16个州的数据来看,同行评审调查中报告的和“真实”(验证)AFP指标数据的总体一致性差异很大。真正的AFP一致性在58%-100%之间,大便及时性一致性为56%-95%。报告的AFP病例不是真正的AFP的最常见临床原因是痉挛性瘫痪,疟疾,镰状细胞病,和营养不良。参与同行评审的所有州都根据发现的差距制定了监测改进计划。
    根据报告的主要AFP绩效指标,尼日利亚具有高度敏感的AFP监测。同行评审的结果表明,需要加强和监督AFP监测系统,以提高数据质量。
    UNASSIGNED: acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance is the gold standard of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) for detecting cases of poliomyelitis and tracking poliovirus transmission. Nigeria\'s AFP surveillance performance indicators are among the highest in countries of the World Health Organization (WHO) African Region. The primary AFP surveillance performance indicators are the rate of non-polio AFP among children and the proportion of timely, adequate specimen collection. The surveillance working group of the National Emergency Operations Centre assessed the quality of AFP surveillance data in some reportedly high-performing states.
    UNASSIGNED: we conducted a retrospective review of AFP surveillance performance indicators in Nigeria for 2010-2019. We also reviewed data in reports from four groups of surveillance peer reviews and validation visits (conducted by in-country GPEI partners) during August 2017-May 2019 in 16 states with high primary AFP surveillance indicators; the validation visits reviewed clinical information and the dates of specimen collection and onset of paralysis with caretakers.
    UNASSIGNED: there were consistently increasing AFP surveillance primary performance indicators during 2010-2016, followed by declines during 2017-2019. From the data for 16 states with peer reviews conducted from August 2017-May 2019, overall concordance of reported and \"true\" (validated) AFP indicator data in peer review investigations was highly variable. True AFP concordance ranged from 58%-100%, and stool timeliness concordance ranged from 56%-95%. The most common clinical causes of reported AFP cases that were not true AFP were spastic paralysis, malaria, sickle cell disease, and malnutrition. All the states that participated in peer reviews developed surveillance improvement plans based on the gaps identified.
    UNASSIGNED: Nigeria has highly sensitive AFP surveillance according to reported primary AFP performance indicators. The findings of peer reviews indicate that the AFP surveillance system needs to be strengthened and well-supervised to enhance data quality.
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  • 文章类型: Meta-Analysis
    背景:抗脊髓灰质炎疫苗的推出推动了全球根除野生脊髓灰质炎病毒的进展,世界卫生组织的千年目标。随着自1964年以来开展的疫苗接种运动,2002年意大利被认证为无脊髓灰质炎,考虑到自1983年以来没有记录到任何案件。然而,在低流行国家,确保高水平的免疫覆盖率至关重要,考虑到可以记录零星的小儿麻痹症病例。为了评估人群中易感受试者的存在,血清流行病学研究是关键行动。
    方法:我们对相关文献进行了系统回顾,以评估意大利人群中抗PV中和抗体的患病率。七项研究,在MEDLINE/PubMed中提供的科学文章中选择,包括2012年1月1日至2022年11月15日发布的ISIWebofKnowledge和Scopus。
    结果:没有PV1中和抗体的受试者的合并患病率为6.4%(95CI=0.5-16.9),对于PV2,它是5.3%(95CI=0.4-14.2),PV3为13.0%(95CI=4.0-25.7;I2=98.5%)。中和抗体的水平似乎随着年龄的增长而下降;这种下降是真正危险因素的代表,这是自上次疫苗剂量以来的时间。
    结论:公共卫生机构必须意识到在无脊髓灰质炎国家重新引入野生PV的风险,因此他们必须在人群中保持高水平的免疫接种并加强主动监测系统。
    The introduction of anti-poliomyelitis vaccines has driven progress toward the global eradication of wild polioviruses, a millennium goal of the World Health Organization. With the vaccination campaigns carried out since 1964, in 2002 Italy was certified polio-free, considering that no cases had been recorded since 1983. Nevertheless, it is crucial to guarantee high level of immunization coverage also in low-endemicity countries, considering that sporadic polio cases can be recorded. To evaluate the presence of susceptible subjects in the population, seroepidemiological studies are key actions.
    We conducted a systematic review of the relevant literature to evaluate the prevalence of anti-PV neutralizing antibodies in Italian population. Seven studies, selected among scientific articles available in MEDLINE/PubMed, ISI Web of Knowledge and Scopus and published from January 1, 2012, to November 15, 2022, were included.
    The pooled prevalence of subjects without PV1 neutralizing antibodies was 6.4% (95%CI = 0.5-16.9), for PV2 it was 5.3% (95%CI = 0.4-14.2), and for PV3 it was 13.0% (95%CI = 4.0-25.7; I2 = 98.5%). Levels of neutralizing antibodies appears to decrease with increasing age; this decline is a proxy for the real risk factor, which is the time since the last vaccine dose.
    Public health institutions must be aware of the risk of reintroduction of wild PV in polio-free countries and therefore they must keep high level of immunization in population and reinforce the active surveillance systems.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    多形性胶质母细胞瘤(GBM)是一种四级恶性神经胶质瘤,仍然是人类原发性恶性脑肿瘤相关死亡的主要原因。最普遍的原发性脑肿瘤是神经胶质瘤。这些肿瘤中最危险的,GBM,已被证明是最致命和最难治的肿瘤之一。对于那些被诊断为GBM的人来说,中位进展时间,根据磁共振成像确定,大约六个月,中位生存期约为一年。GBM对化疗等旧治疗方法的管理具有挑战性,肿瘤减瘤,和放射治疗。治疗效果不佳,由于这种影响,治疗达不到标准。由于使用特定靶向疗法的限制,GBM还显示出诊断复杂性。目前遵循的治疗方案完全集中在安全切除和放疗上。在恶性细胞中,蛋白质合成在生理上没有受到严格的调节,这促进了不受约束的增长和扩散。一个创新的,治疗癌症的实验技术使用已被遗传改变的脊髓灰质炎病毒来靶向癌症中令人着迷的翻译调节异常。这种方法能够基于众多变量的收敛实现精确和有效的癌细胞靶向。溶瘤病毒彻底改变了癌症治疗。然而,它们在胶质母细胞瘤中的有效性仍然受到限制,需要更多的改进。溶瘤脊髓灰质炎病毒在治疗GBM方面显示出巨大的潜力。像血脑屏障这样的因素,免疫抑制肿瘤微环境(TME),肿瘤异质性使恶性胶质瘤的治疗无效。在这次审查中,我们专注于溶瘤病毒,特别是溶瘤脊髓灰质炎病毒,我们探索恶性神经胶质瘤的治疗方法。我们还讨论了目前可用的恶性神经胶质瘤和其他脑肿瘤的常规治疗选择。
    Glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) is a fourth-grade malignant glioma that continues to be the main contributor to primary malignant brain tumour-related death in humans. The most prevalent primary brain tumours are gliomas. The most dangerous of these neoplasms, GBM, has been shown to be one of the most lethal and refractory tumours. For those who have been diagnosed with GBM, the median time to progression, as determined by magnetic resonance imaging, is roughly six months, and the median survival is approximately one year. GBM is challenging to manage with old treatments like chemotherapy, tumour debulking, and radiation therapy. Treatment outcomes are poor, and due to this effect, the treatment is not up to the mark. GBM also shows diagnostic complexity due to limitations in the use of specific targeted therapies. The treatment protocol followed currently has an entire focus on safe resection and radiotherapy. Protein synthesis is not tightly regulated physiologically in malignant cells, which promotes unchecked growth and proliferation. An innovative, experimental technique for treating cancer uses polioviruses that have been genetically altered to target a fascinating aberration of translation regulation in cancer. This approach enables precise and effective cancer cell targeting based on the convergence of numerous variables. Oncolytic viruses have revolutionised cancer treatment. However, their effectiveness in glioblastoma remains restricted, necessitating more improvement. Oncolytic poliovirus has shown great potential in the treatment of GBM. Factors like the blood-brain barrier, immunosuppressive tumour microenvironment (TME), and tumour heterogeneity make treatment for malignant gliomas ineffective. In this review, we have focused on oncolytic viruses, specifically oncolytic poliovirus, and we explore malignant glioma treatments. We have also discussed currently available conventional treatment options for malignant glioma and other brain tumours.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    癌症治疗的发展已经从放疗和化疗的一般目标发展到具有更具体作用机制的治疗,例如小分子激酶抑制剂。抗肿瘤抗原的单克隆抗体,或检查点抑制剂。最近,溶瘤病毒(OVs)已成为癌症免疫疗法的可行选择,特别是对于“冷”肿瘤,已知居住在免疫抑制肿瘤微环境中。病毒的期望特征是通过不受控制的毒力的遗传减毒来选择的,一些基因被那些增强肿瘤细胞内条件病毒复制的基因所取代。OVs治疗必须克服各种障碍,如宿主免疫系统的过早抑制病毒和致密的基质屏障。目前,临床研究调查OVs与各种抗癌疗法联合使用的功效,包括放射治疗,化疗,免疫检查点抑制剂,和单克隆抗体。因此,未来的研究应该探索癌症治疗如何与某些OV协同作用,以创造更有效的联合疗法并改善患者预后。
    The development of cancer therapeutics has evolved from general targets with radiation and chemotherapy and shifted toward treatments with a more specific mechanism of action such as small molecule kinase inhibitors, monoclonal antibodies against tumor antigens, or checkpoint inhibitors. Recently, oncolytic viruses (OVs) have come to the forefront as a viable option for cancer immunotherapy, especially for \"cold\" tumors, which are known to inhabit an immunologically suppressive tumor microenvironment. Desired characteristics of viruses are selected through genetic attenuation of uncontrolled virulence, and some genes are replaced with ones that enhance conditional viral replication within tumor cells. Treatment with OVs must overcome various hurdles such as premature viral suppression by the host\'s immune system and the dense stromal barrier. Currently, clinical studies investigate the efficacy of OVs in conjunction with various anti-cancer therapeutics, including radiotherapy, chemotherapy, immune checkpoint inhibitors, and monoclonal antibodies. Thus, future research should explore how cancer therapeutics work synergistically with certain OVs in order to create more effective combination therapies and improve patient outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Review
    已探索在运动中使用灭活的脊髓灰质炎病毒疫苗(IPV)和口服脊髓灰质炎病毒疫苗(OPV),以加速控制2型循环疫苗衍生的脊髓灰质炎病毒(cVDPV)暴发。对科学文献的回顾表明,在OPV失败患病率高的人群中,与额外剂量的三价OPV相比,在至少两剂OPV后加强IPV可能更有效地缩小剩余的体液和粘膜免疫缺口.然而,与单价和二价OPV相比,单独的IPV在体液免疫上表现出最小的优势,并且无法提供预防感染和传播给以前未接触过相同血清型活脊髓灰质炎病毒的个体的肠道免疫力(即2016年4月从三价OPV转换为二价OPV后出生的儿童的2型)。对脊髓灰质炎运动的业务数据的审查表明,增加IPV会增加运动的成本和后勤复杂性。因此,应对疫情的运动通常针对小区域。大型活动需要延迟,以确保IPV交付的物流到位,并且可能需要持续数周的分阶段实施。通过挨家挨户访问提供可注射疫苗的挑战也增加了错过更有可能从IPV中受益的儿童的风险:那些难以获得常规免疫和其他卫生服务的儿童。根据这些信息,免疫战略咨询专家小组(SAGE)于2020年10月推荐了以下策略:在常规免疫中提供第二剂IPV,以减少在有输入或新出现的危险的国家出现麻痹病例的风险和数量;在高质量的运动中使用2型OPV,以阻断传播并避免播种新的2型cVDPV暴发.
    Delivering inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) with oral poliovirus vaccine (OPV) in campaigns has been explored to accelerate the control of type 2 circulating vaccine-derived poliovirus (cVDPV) outbreaks. A review of scientific literature suggests that among populations with high prevalence of OPV failure, a booster with IPV after at least two doses of OPV may close remaining humoral and mucosal immunity gaps more effectively than an additional dose of trivalent OPV. However, IPV alone demonstrates minimal advantage on humoral immunity compared with monovalent and bivalent OPV, and cannot provide the intestinal immunity that prevents infection and spread to those individuals not previously exposed to live poliovirus of the same serotype (i.e. type 2 for children born after the switch from trivalent to bivalent OPV in April 2016). A review of operational data from polio campaigns shows that addition of IPV increases the cost and logistic complexity of campaigns. As a result, campaigns in response to an outbreak often target small areas. Large campaigns require a delay to ensure logistics are in place for IPV delivery, and may need implementation in phases that last several weeks. Challenges to delivery of injectable vaccines through house-to-house visits also increases the risk of missing the children who are more likely to benefit from IPV: those with difficult access to routine immunization and other health services. Based upon this information, the Strategic Advisory Group of Experts in immunization (SAGE) recommended in October 2020 the following strategies: provision of a second dose of IPV in routine immunization to reduce the risk and number of paralytic cases in countries at risk of importation or new emergences; and use of type 2 OPV in high-quality campaigns to interrupt transmission and avoid seeding new type 2 cVDPV outbreaks.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:近年来,爆发和白喉发病率上升,破伤风,百日咳也发生在亚洲,尤其是年龄较大的儿童。
    方法:从2000年1月至2020年10月对MEDLINE和Embase进行了系统搜索,以确定白喉的流行病学,破伤风,百日咳,亚洲儿童和青少年(3-18岁)的脊髓灰质炎。结果与疫苗接种时间表有关,助推器覆盖率,百日咳感染源,和加强免疫原性,通过务实的审查确定。国际前瞻性系统审查注册(PROSPERO)注册:#CRD42020222445。
    结果:本综述共纳入35项研究。关于白喉流行病学的报道数据有限,破伤风,百日咳,和脊髓灰质炎。报告白喉和百日咳发病率的研究数据证明了流行病学向年龄较大的儿童/青少年的转变。血清阳性率数据表明,在该人群中,对百日咳和白喉的免疫力低于几个亚洲国家的种群免疫力。
    结论:白喉的真正负担,百日咳,亚洲3-18岁儿童的破伤风是未知的,因为全国性的监测系统薄弱或缺乏。现有证据凸显了豁免权的不足,要么是由于推荐的差距,要么是次优的助推器覆盖率,支持这一人群的公共卫生需要加强疫苗接种。
    OBJECTIVE: In recent years, outbreaks and a rising incidence of diphtheria, tetanus, and pertussis have occurred in Asia, particularly in older children.
    METHODS: A systematic search of MEDLINE and Embase was conducted from January 2000 to October 2020 to identify the epidemiology of diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, and poliomyelitis in children and adolescents (aged 3-18 years) in Asia. The results were then related to vaccination schedules, booster coverage rates, pertussis source of infection, and booster immunogenicity, as identified by a pragmatic review. The International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (PROSPERO) registration: #CRD42020222445.
    RESULTS: A total of 35 studies were included in this review. Limited data were reported on the epidemiology of diphtheria, tetanus, pertussis, and poliomyelitis. Data from studies reporting the incidence of diphtheria and pertussis exemplify the shift in epidemiology to older children/adolescents. Seroprevalence data suggest that immunity to pertussis and diphtheria is below the level of herd immunity in several Asian countries in this population.
    CONCLUSIONS: The true burden of diphtheria, pertussis, and tetanus in children aged 3-18 years in Asia is unknown because of weak or absent nationwide surveillance systems. The available evidence highlights the inadequacies in immunity, either by gaps in a recommendation or suboptimal booster coverage, supporting the public health need for booster vaccinations in this population.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    如果监测系统薄弱且漏洞百出,在非洲之角已清除野生脊髓灰质炎病毒的地区,进口和重新引入野生脊髓灰质炎病毒的风险仍然存在。
    因此,内罗毕非洲之角小儿麻痹症协调办公室,与合作伙伴一起对非洲之角的一些国家进行了监测审查,尤其是埃塞俄比亚,肯尼亚和索马里确定脊髓灰质炎监测方面的差距,并提出改进监测的建议。结构化问卷收集了有关急性弛缓性麻痹(AFP)监测资源的信息,培训,数据监控,和省级监督,区,和卫生设施水平。收集的其他信息包括资源可用性,AFP监测的管理和监测。
    结果显示,尽管这些国家已经建立了AFP监视系统,存在一些差距和制约因素。在各级都观察到并报告了广泛的缺陷和低效的资源流动系统。还存在与提供者知识相关的缺陷,资金,培训,和监督,在医疗机构层面表现得尤为明显。脊髓灰质炎病毒在该地区的持续传播证实了这些弱点,监控系统不够灵敏,无法挑选病毒。
    审查小组提出了有益的建议,从而加强了这些国家的监测系统,包括在索马里南部和中部地区组建和使用乡村小儿麻痹症志愿者,那里的安全受到严重损害,监视人员无法定期进入社区。
    UNASSIGNED: The risk for importation and reintroduction wild poliovirus in areas that have been cleared of the wild poliovirus in the Horn of Africa will remain if the surveillance systems are weak and porous.
    UNASSIGNED: Consequently, the Horn of Africa Polio Coordinating Office in Nairobi, together with partners conducted surveillance reviews for some of the countries in the Horn of Africa, especially Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia to identify gaps in the polio surveillance and provided recommendations for improved surveillance. Structured questionnaires collected information about acute flaccid paralysis (AFP) surveillance resources, training, data monitoring, and supervision at provincial, district, and health facility levels. Other information collected included resource availability, management and monitoring of AFP surveillance.
    UNASSIGNED: The result revealed that although AFP surveillance systems were well established in these countries, a number of gaps and constraints existed. Widespread deficiencies and inefficient resource flow systems were observed and reported at all levels. There were also deficiencies related to provider knowledge, funding, training, and supervision, and were particularly evident at the health facility level. These weaknesses were corroborated with the sustained transmission of polioviruses in the region, where the surveillance systems were not sensitive enough to pick the viruses.
    UNASSIGNED: The review teams made useful recommendations that led to strengthening of the surveillance systems in these countries, including the formation and use of village polio volunteers in the south and central zones of Somalia, where security was heavily compromised and surveillance officers lacked regular access to the communities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Since WHO recommended introduction of at least a single dose of inactivated poliovirus vaccine (IPV) in routine immunisation schedules, there have been global IPV shortages. Fractional-dose IPV (fIPV) administration is one of the strategies to ensure IPV availability. We reviewed studies comparing the effects of fractional with full-dose IPV vaccination to determine when seroconversion proportions with each strategy become similar in children aged 5 years and younger.
    In this systematic review and meta-analysis, we searched 16 databases in July, 2019, for trials and observational studies, including ongoing studies that compare immunogenicity and adverse events of fractional-dose (0·1 mL) to full-dose (0·5 mL) IPV in healthy children aged 5 years or younger regardless of study design, number of doses, and route of administration. Screening, selection of articles, data extraction, and risk of bias assessment were done in duplicate, and conflicts were resolved by discussion or arbitration by a third author. We assessed immunogenicity, the main outcome, as proportion of seroconverted participants and changes in geometric mean titres of anti-poliovirus antibodies. Timepoints were eligible for analysis if measurements were done at least 4 weeks after vaccination. Summary estimates were pooled by use of random-effects meta-analysis. Analysis was stratified by study design, type of outcome measure, type of poliovirus, and number of doses given. We assessed heterogeneity using the χ2 test of homogeneity and quantified it using the I2 statistic. We assessed risk of bias using the Cochrane risk of bias tool, and the certainty of evidence using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation approach. The study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42018092647.
    860 records were screened for eligibility, of which 36 potentially eligible full-text articles were assessed and 14 articles were included in the final analysis: two ongoing trials and 12 articles reporting on ten completed studies. For poliovirus type 2, there were no significant differences in the proportions of seroconversions between fractional and full doses of IPV for two or three doses: the risk ratio for serconversion at one dose was 0·61 (95% CI 0·51-0·72), at two doses was 0·90 (0·82-1·00), and at three doses was 0·95 (0·91-1·00). Geometric mean titres (GMTs) for poliovirus type 2 were lower for fIPV than for full-dose IPV: -0·51 (95% CI -0·87 to -0·14) at one dose, -0·49 (-0·70 to -0·28) at two doses, and -0·98 (-1·46 to -0·51) at three doses. The seroconversion meta-analysis for the three-dose comparison was homogeneous (p=0·45; I2=0%), whereas heterogeneity was observed in the two-dose (p<0·00001; I2=88%) and one-dose (p=0·0004; I2=74%) comparisons. Heterogeneity was observed in meta-analyses of GMTs for one-dose (p<0·00001; I2=92%), two-dose (p=0·002; I2=80%), and three-dose (p<0·00001; I2=93%) comparisons. Findings for types 1 and 3 were similar to those for type 2. The certainty of the evidence was high for the three-dose comparisons and moderate for the rest of the comparisons.
    There is no substantial difference in seroconversion between three doses of fIPV and three doses of full-dose IPV, although the full dose gives higher titres of antibodies for poliovirus type 1, 2, and 3. Use of fractional IPV instead of the full dose can stretch supplies and possibly lower the cost of vaccination.
    South African Medical Research Council and the National Research Foundation of South Africa.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Patients with postpolio residual paralysis can develop disabling hip arthritis in paralytic as well as a nonparalytic limb, warranting total hip arthroplasty (THA). Limited literature is available on the results of THA among these patients in the form of small series or case reports. We have undertaken a systematic review to evaluate the clinical outcome of THA in patients with poliomyelitis with hip pathologies.
    A systematic search of electronic databases of PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science pertaining to English literature was undertaken from 1945 to August 2020 to assess the results of THA in patients with poliomyelitis. Information was gathered about demographics, indication, clinical course, complications, functional outcome, survival, and need for any revision surgery in these patients.
    The literature search revealed 81 articles. Finally, after deduplication and manual selection, 16 relevant articles (128 hips) were included for evaluation. There is a paucity of literature evaluating THA in patients with poliomyelitis over the last 2 decades. The principal reason for arthroplasty was osteoarthritis of the hip in the ipsilateral (paralyzed) limb. A combination of cemented, uncemented, and hybrid implant fixation system was found to be used by surgeons. Addressing instability and perioperative management of limb length discrepancy were found to be challenging propositions.
    THA remains an effective intervention to relieve pain and improve quality of life in patients of poliomyelitis afflicted with either primary or secondary arthritis of the hip. The use of uncemented nonconstrained hip implant designs appears to demonstrate better results than constrained implants.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    在过去的20年(2000-2019年)中,全球根除脊髓灰质炎倡议(GPEI)的合作伙伴投资于脊髓灰质炎病毒传播数学模型的开发和应用以及经济学。政策,以及脊髓灰质炎残局风险管理选择的风险分析,包括与脊髓灰质炎最后阶段使用脊髓灰质炎病毒疫苗有关的政策。
    这篇综述提供了主要完成这项工作的三个建模小组发表的脊髓灰质炎研究的历史记录。这篇综述还系统地评估了2000年至2019年在同行评审期刊上以英文发表的脊髓灰质炎传播和健康经济建模论文,强调了方法和方法的差异。显示了所执行的传输建模的地理覆盖范围,确定了共同的主题,并讨论类似或冲突的见解或建议的实例。
    过去20年进行的脊髓灰质炎建模对脊髓灰质炎疫苗选择产生了重大影响。免疫政策,以及根除脊髓灰质炎的途径。随着脊髓灰质炎结局的继续,国家对脊髓灰质炎疫苗配方和免疫策略的偏好可能会继续改变。未来的建模可能会提供有关其成本效益及其在控制脊髓灰质炎以及可能实现和维持根除方面的相对收益的重要见解。
    Over the last 20 years (2000-2019) the partners of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative (GPEI) invested in the development and application of mathematical models of poliovirus transmission as well as economics, policy, and risk analyses of polio endgame risk management options, including policies related to poliovirus vaccine use during the polio endgame.
    This review provides a historical record of the polio studies published by the three modeling groups that primarily performed the bulk of this work. This review also systematically evaluates the polio transmission and health economic modeling papers published in English in peer-reviewed journals from 2000 to 2019, highlights differences in approaches and methods, shows the geographic coverage of the transmission modeling performed, identified common themes, and discusses instances of similar or conflicting insights or recommendations.
    Polio modeling performed during the last 20 years substantially impacted polio vaccine choices, immunization policies, and the polio eradication pathway. As the polio endgame continues, national preferences for polio vaccine formulations and immunization strategies will likely continue to change. Future modeling will likely provide important insights about their cost-effectiveness and their relative benefits with respect to controlling polio and potentially achieving and maintaining eradication.
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