necrotizing enterocolitis

坏死性小肠结肠炎
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:构建预测早产儿坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)的列线图。
    方法:这项回顾性多中心队列研究最初纳入了2019年4月至2020年9月期间在8家医院收治的4,724名早产儿。最后,根据7:3的比例将1,092例符合条件的病例分为训练集和测试集。进行单因素logistic回归分析以比较两组之间的变量。逐步向后回归,LASSO回归,和Boruta特征选择用于多变量分析以确定独立的危险因素。然后根据识别的风险因素构建列线图模型。
    结果:NEC的危险因素包括妊娠期糖尿病,胎龄,小于胎龄,动脉导管未闭,败血症,红细胞输血,静脉注射免疫球蛋白,严重的喂养不耐受,没有母乳喂养。基于这些因素开发的列线图模型显示出良好的判别能力。校准和决策曲线分析曲线证实了模型的良好一致性和临床实用性。
    结论:我们开发了一个具有很强判别能力的列线图模型,一致性,以及预测NEC的临床实用性。该模型对于早期预测有发生NEC风险的早产儿可能是有价值的。
    BACKGROUND: To construct a nomogram for predicting necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in preterm infants.
    METHODS: A total of 4,724 preterm infants who were admitted into 8 hospitals between April 2019 and September 2020 were initially enrolled this retrospective multicenter cohort study. Finally, 1,092 eligible cases were divided into training set and test set based on a 7:3 ratio. A univariate logistic regression analysis was performed to compare the variables between the two groups. Stepwise backward regression, LASSO regression, and Boruta feature selection were utilized in the multivariate analysis to identify independent risk factors. Then a nomogram model was constructed based on the identified risk factors.
    RESULTS: Risk factors for NEC included gestational diabetes mellitus, gestational age, small for gestational age, patent ductus arteriosus, septicemia, red blood cell transfusion, intravenous immunoglobulin, severe feeding intolerance, and absence of breastfeeding. The nomogram model developed based on these factors showed well discriminative ability. Calibration and decision curve analysis curves confirmed the good consistency and clinical utility of the model.
    CONCLUSIONS: We developed a nomogram model with strong discriminative ability, consistency, and clinical utility for predicting NEC. This model could be valuable for the early prediction of preterm infants at risk of developing NEC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:对于极早产儿,最佳氧饱和度目标仍然未知。
    方法:对2011年至2018年间出生的妊娠29周的合格早产儿进行队列分析,这些早产儿向加拿大新生儿网络(CNN)数据库提交数据。确定饱和目标的现场问卷,报警设置,和更改日期,允许将中心分配到中等(88-93%)或高(90-95%)饱和目标。将6个月的清除期应用于在研究期间转换目标的位点。我们的主要结果是无主要发病率的生存率。次要结果是死亡,坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC),支气管肺发育不良(BPD),治疗的早产儿视网膜病变,以及入院期间脑损伤的证据。应用广义估计方程来补偿人口统计学差异和现场实践。
    结果:在高(平均胎龄[GA]26±1.6周)中,有2,739名婴儿,在中等(平均GA26.2±1.6周)饱和目标组中,有6,813名婴儿。中间目标组的无发病率生存率较高(调整后比值比[aOR]1.59;95%CI:1.04,2.45)。组间死亡率无差异(aOR为0.81;95%CI:0.59,1.11),在NEC,治疗的视网膜病变,或脑损伤。关于子群分析,将数据限制在研究期间切换目标的地点,中等饱和度指标与较低的BPD发生率相关(aOR为0.45;95%CI:0.28,0.72).
    结论:对于妊娠29周的新生儿,与较高的氧饱和度目标相比,中等饱和度目标与较高的无主要发病率生存率相关.
    BACKGROUND: Optimal oxygen saturation targets remain unknown for extremely preterm infants.
    METHODS: Cohort analysis of eligible preterm infants born <29 weeks\' gestation admitted between 2011 and 2018 to centers submitting data to the Canadian Neonatal Network (CNN) database. Site questionnaires to determine saturation targets, alarm settings, and date of change, allowed assignation of centers to intermediate (88-93%) or high (90-95%) saturation targets. A 6-month washout period was applied to sites which switched targets during the study period. Our primary outcome was survival free of major morbidity. Secondary outcomes were death, necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC), bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD), treated retinopathy of prematurity, and evidence of brain injury during admission. Generalized estimating equations were applied to compensate for demographic differences and site practices.
    RESULTS: There were 2,739 infants in the high (mean gestational age [GA] 26 ± 1.6 weeks) and 6,813 infants in the intermediate (mean GA 26.2 ± 1.6 weeks) saturation target group. Survival without morbidity was higher in the intermediate target group (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.59; 95% CI: 1.04, 2.45). There was no difference in mortality between groups (aOR 0.81; 95% CI: 0.59, 1.11), in NEC, treated retinopathy, or brain injury. On subgroup analysis, restricting data to sites which switched targets during the study, intermediate saturation targets were associated with lower rates of BPD (aOR 0.45; 95% CI: 0.28, 0.72).
    CONCLUSIONS: For neonates <29 weeks\' gestation, intermediate saturation target was associated with higher odds of survival without major morbidity compared to higher oxygen saturation target.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是调查早产儿引入固体食物的年龄是否会影响出生后第一年的生长。这是一项针对极低出生体重婴儿的前瞻性观察性研究,根据个体断奶时间分层为早期(<17周校正年龄)或晚期(≥17周校正年龄)喂养组。总的来说,115名婴儿被分配到早期组,82人被分配到晚期组。两组之间的平均出生体重和胎龄相当(早期:926克,26+6周;晚期:881克,26+5周)。早期组的平均断奶年龄为13.2周校正年龄,晚期组的平均断奶年龄为20.4周校正年龄。在12个月校正年龄时,人体测量参数在组间没有显着差异(早期与迟到,平均长度75.0vs.74.1厘米,重量9.2与8.9kg,头围45.5vs.45.0厘米)。机器学习模型显示断奶时的年龄对12个月校正年龄时的长度和长度z分数没有影响。与没有合并症的婴儿相比,有合并症的婴儿的人体测量z评分显着降低。因此,不管增长考虑,我们建议早产儿根据他们的神经能力断奶。
    The aim of this study was to investigate whether age at introduction of solid foods in preterm infants influences growth in the first year of life. This was a prospective observational study in very low birth weight infants stratified to an early (<17 weeks corrected age) or a late (≥17 weeks corrected age) feeding group according to the individual timing of weaning. In total, 115 infants were assigned to the early group, and 82 were assigned to the late group. Mean birth weight and gestational age were comparable between groups (early: 926 g, 26 + 6 weeks; late: 881 g, 26 + 5 weeks). Mean age at weaning was 13.2 weeks corrected age in the early group and 20.4 weeks corrected age in the late group. At 12 months corrected age, anthropometric parameters showed no significant differences between groups (early vs. late, mean length 75.0 vs. 74.1 cm, weight 9.2 vs. 8.9 kg, head circumference 45.5 vs. 45.0 cm). A machine learning model showed no effect of age at weaning on length and length z-scores at 12 months corrected age. Infants with comorbidities had significantly lower anthropometric z-scores compared to infants without comorbidities. Therefore, regardless of growth considerations, we recommend weaning preterm infants according to their neurological abilities.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:主要目的是评估坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)和自发性肠穿孔(SIP)对32周(WG)之前出生的婴儿在2岁矫正年龄(CA)时的死亡率和神经发育结局的影响。
    方法:我们从EPIPAGE-2队列研究中研究了在32个WG之前出生的NEC或SIP婴儿在2岁时的神经发育。主要结果是死亡或存在中度至重度运动或感觉障碍,定义为中度至重度脑瘫或听力或视力障碍。次要结局是发育延迟,定义为年龄和阶段问卷五个领域中任何一个的得分低于平均值2个SDs。
    结果:在2年\'CA,46%的婴儿患有SIP,34%的NEC婴儿,14%的对照婴儿死亡或有中度至重度感觉运动功能障碍(p<0.01)。这种差异主要是由于SIP或NEC婴儿的住院死亡率增加。SIP婴儿在2岁时的发育延迟比对照组更频繁(70.8%vs44.0%,p=0.02),但NEC和对照组的婴儿相似(49.3%vs44.0%,p=0.5)。在多变量分析中,与对照组相比,发育迟缓的可能性与SIP相关(校正比值比=3.0,95%CI1.0-9.1),但与NEC无关.
    结论:NEC和SIP在2年时显著增加了死亡或感觉运动障碍的风险。SIP还与2年CA时发育迟缓的风险相关。
    OBJECTIVE: The primary objective was to evaluate the impact of necrotising enterocolitis (NEC) and spontaneous intestinal perforation (SIP) on mortality and neurodevelopmental outcomes at 2 years\' corrected age (CA) in infants born before 32 weeks\' gestation (WG).
    METHODS: We studied neurodevelopment at 2 years\' CA of infants with NEC or SIP who were born before 32 WG from the EPIPAGE-2 cohort study. The primary outcome was death or the presence of moderate-to-severe motor or sensory disability defined by moderate-to-severe cerebral palsy or hearing or visual disability. The secondary outcome was developmental delay defined by a score < 2 SDs below the mean for any of the five domains of the Ages and Stages Questionnaire.
    RESULTS: At 2 years\' CA, 46% of infants with SIP, 34% of infants with NEC, and 14% of control infants died or had a moderate-to-severe sensorimotor disability (p < 0.01). This difference was mainly due to an increase in in-hospital mortality in the infants with SIP or NEC. Developmental delay at 2 years\' CA was more frequent for infants with SIP than controls (70.8% vs 44.0%, p = 0.02) but was similar for infants with NEC and controls (49.3% vs 44.0%, p = 0.5). On multivariate analysis, the likelihood of developmental delay was associated with SIP (adjusted odds ratio = 3.0, 95% CI 1.0-9.1) but not NEC as compared with controls.
    CONCLUSIONS: NEC and SIP significantly increased the risk of death or sensorimotor disability at 2 years\' CA. SIP was also associated with risk of developmental delay at 2 years\' CA.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    这项研究的目的是开发一种基于人工智能的多模态模型,以协助临床医生早期诊断新生儿坏死性小肠结肠炎。
    这项研究是一项回顾性研究,收集了新生儿的初始实验室测试结果和腹部X射线图像数据(非NEC,NEC)于2022年1月至2024年1月入住我们医院。开发了多模态模型来区分多模态数据,在训练数据集上训练,并在验证数据集上进行评估。通过结合梯度加权类激活映射(GradCAM)分析来分析多模态模型的注意力机制,增强了可解释性,最后与临床医生在外部数据集上进行比较和评估。
    本研究构建的数据集包括408名儿童的11,016份实验室检查数据和408份图像数据。当应用于验证数据集时,曲线下面积为0.91,准确度为0.94.GradCAM分析表明,模型的注意力集中在固定扩张的肠褶皱,肠壁水肿,肠间气体,和门静脉气体。外部验证表明,多模式模型的准确性与具有10年临床经验的儿科医生相当。
    我们开发的多模态模型可以帮助医生对NEC进行早期准确的诊断,为欠发达医疗领域的辅助诊断提供了一种新的方法。
    UNASSIGNED: The purpose of this study is to develop a multimodal model based on artificial intelligence to assist clinical doctors in the early diagnosis of necrotizing enterocolitis in newborns.
    UNASSIGNED: This study is a retrospective study that collected the initial laboratory test results and abdominal x-ray image data of newborns (non-NEC, NEC) admitted to our hospital from January 2022 to January 2024.A multimodal model was developed to differentiate multimodal data, trained on the training dataset, and evaluated on the validation dataset. The interpretability was enhanced by incorporating the Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (GradCAM) analysis to analyze the attention mechanism of the multimodal model, and finally compared and evaluated with clinical doctors on external datasets.
    UNASSIGNED: The dataset constructed in this study included 11,016 laboratory examination data from 408 children and 408 image data. When applied to the validation dataset, the area under the curve was 0.91, and the accuracy was 0.94. The GradCAM analysis shows that the model\'s attention is focused on the fixed dilatation of the intestinal folds, intestinal wall edema, interintestinal gas, and portal venous gas. External validation demonstrated that the multimodal model had comparable accuracy to pediatric doctors with ten years of clinical experience in identification.
    UNASSIGNED: The multimodal model we developed can assist doctors in early and accurate diagnosis of NEC, providing a new approach for assisting diagnosis in underdeveloped medical areas.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    先天性心脏病(CHD)和动脉导管未闭(PDA)是婴儿坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)的危险因素。然而,目前尚不清楚NEC的预后在有和无心脏病的极早产儿(VPIs)之间是否不同.这是一项观察性队列研究,纳入了2019年至2021年中国新生儿网络(CHNN)79个三级新生儿重症监护病房(NICU)的VPI(出生在24+0至31+6周之间)。暴露是冠心病或孤立的PDA,NEC的VPI分为三组:合并冠心病,用孤立的PDA,没有心脏病.主要结局是NEC相关的不良结局(死亡或宫外生长受限(EUGR))。使用Logistic回归模型来调整潜在的混杂因素,并计算每个结果的比值比(OR)和95%保密间隔(CI)。本研究共纳入了1335例NECVPI,包括65个带CHD的VPI和406个带隔离PDA的VPI。患有心脏病的VPI出生时的胎龄较小,体重较低,更多的产前类固醇的使用,并且在NEC发作之前需要强迫症。在遭受NEC之苦时,在患有冠心病(校正OR[aOR]:1.10;95%CI:0.41-2.50)或单独的PDA(aOR:1.25;95%CI0.82-1.87)的VPI中,NEC相关死亡的风险没有显着增加,在存活的CHD患者VPI(aOR:2.35;95%CI:1.31-4.20)或单独的PDA(aOR:1.53;95%CI:1.16-2.01)中,EUGR风险增加.在有CHD(aOR:2.07;95%置信区间[CI]:1.20-3.60)或孤立的PDA(aOR:1.51;95%CI:1.17-1.94)的VPI中,复合结局(死亡或EUGR)也更常见。冠心病或孤立性PDA的VPI与禁食持续时间显着延长有关,延长了实现完全肠内喂养的时间,较长的通气时间和住院时间。在具有隔离PDA的VPI中也看到了类似的特征,但冠心病患者VPI更有可能接受手术干预,并在NEC后保持长时间禁食。结论:在具有NEC的VPI中,冠心病和孤立的PDA与不良结局的风险增加有关。我们建议使用积极的治疗和营养策略来管理心脏NEC的VPI,以预防EUGR。已知:•CHD和PDA是婴儿NEC的危险因素,这可能导致死亡和EUGR等不良后果。•患有心脏病的婴儿的NEC在临床上与没有心脏病的婴儿的NEC不同,应被视为单独的疾病过程。新增内容:•CHD和孤立的PDA与NECVPI中EUGR的风险增加有关。•与VPI和心脏NEC相关的危险因素提示这些患者应采用积极的治疗和营养策略来控制不良结局。
    Congenital heart disease (CHD) and patent ductus arteriosus (PDA) are risk factors of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) in infants. However, it is unclear whether the prognosis of NEC is different between very preterm infants (VPIs) with and without heart diseases. This was an observational cohort study that enrolled VPIs (born between 24+0 and 31+6 weeks) admitted to 79 tertiary neonatal intensive care units (NICU) in the Chinese Neonatal Network (CHNN) between 2019 and 2021. The exposure was CHD or isolated PDA, and VPIs with NEC were divided into three groups: complicated with CHD, with isolated PDA, and without heart diseases. The primary outcomes were NEC-related adverse outcomes (death or extrauterine growth restriction (EUGR)). Logistic regression models were used to adjust potential confounders and calculate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidential intervals (CIs) for each outcome. A total of 1335 VPIs with NEC were enrolled in this study, including 65 VPIs with CHD and 406 VPIs with isolated PDA. The VPIs with heart diseases had smaller gestational ages and lower body weights at birth, more antenatal steroids use, and requiring inotrope prior to the onset of NEC. While suffering from NEC, there was no significant increased risks in NEC-related death in VPIs with either CHD (adjusted OR [aOR]: 1.10; 95% CI: 0.41-2.50) or isolated PDA (aOR: 1.25; 95% CI 0.82-1.87), and increased risks in EUGR were identified in either survival VPIs with CHD (aOR: 2.35; 95% CI: 1.31-4.20) or isolated PDA (aOR: 1.53; 95% CI: 1.16-2.01) in survivors. The composite outcome (death or EUGR) was also more often observed in VPIs with either CHD (aOR: 2.07; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-3.60) or isolated PDA (aOR: 1.51; 95% CI: 1.17-1.94) than that without heart diseases. VPIs with either CHD or isolated PDA were associated with significantly prolonged duration of fasting, extended time to achieve full enteral feeding, and longer ventilation duration and hospitalization duration. Similar characteristics were also seen in VPIs with isolated PDA, with the exception that VPIs with CHD are more likely to undergo surgical intervention and maintain a prolonged fast after NEC.     Conclusion: In VPIs with NEC, CHD and isolated PDA are associated with an increased risk in worse outcomes. We recommend that VPIs with cardiac NEC be managed with aggressive treatment and nutrition strategies to prevent EUGR. What is Known: • CHD and PDA are risk factors for NEC in infants, which can lead to adverse outcomes such as death and EUGR. • NEC in infants with heart disease differs clinically from that in infants without heart disease and should be recognized as a separate disease process. What is New: • CHD and isolated PDA are associated with increased risks of EUGR in VPIs with NEC. • Risk factors associated with VPIs with cardiac NEC suggested these patients should be managed with aggressive treatment and nutrition strategies to adverse outcomes.
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  • 文章类型: Clinical Trial Protocol
    背景:极早产儿,定义为28周胎龄之前出生的人,是一个非常脆弱的患者群体,面临不良后果的高风险,如坏死性小肠结肠炎和死亡。坏死性小肠结肠炎是一种炎症性胃肠道疾病,在该队列中发病率很高,对发病率和死亡率有严重影响。先前的随机对照试验表明,补充益生菌后,年龄较大的早产儿坏死性小肠结肠炎的发生率降低。然而,这些试验对极度早产儿的作用不足,迄今为止,该人群补充益生菌的证据不足。
    方法:斯堪的纳维亚极端早产益生菌(PEPS)试验是一个多中心,双盲,在瑞典6个三级新生儿病房和丹麦4个新生儿病房出生的极早产儿(n=1620)中进行了安慰剂对照和基于注册的随机对照试验.登记的婴儿将被分配接受ProPrems®(婴儿双歧杆菌,乳酸双歧杆菌,和嗜热链球菌)在3mL母乳中稀释,或每天在3mL母乳中稀释的安慰剂(0.5g麦芽糊精粉),直至妊娠第34周。主要复合结局是坏死性小肠结肠炎的发生率和/或死亡率。次要结果包括迟发性败血症的发生率,住院时间,使用抗生素,喂养耐受性,增长,足月年龄和出院后3个月校正年龄时的身体成分。
    结论:由于缺乏证据,目前瑞典和丹麦对益生菌补充剂的建议并不包括极度早产儿。然而,这一年轻亚组尤其是出现不良结局的风险最大.该试验旨在研究补充益生菌对坏死性小肠结肠炎的影响,死亡,和其他相关结果,以提供足够的动力,高质量的证据为该人群的益生菌补充指南提供信息。结果可能对瑞典和丹麦以及全世界的临床实践产生影响。
    背景:(Clinicaltrials.gov):NCT05604846。
    BACKGROUND: Extremely preterm infants, defined as those born before 28 weeks\' gestational age, are a very vulnerable patient group at high risk for adverse outcomes, such as necrotizing enterocolitis and death. Necrotizing enterocolitis is an inflammatory gastrointestinal disease with high incidence in this cohort and has severe implications on morbidity and mortality. Previous randomized controlled trials have shown reduced incidence of necrotizing enterocolitis among older preterm infants following probiotic supplementation. However, these trials were underpowered for extremely preterm infants, rendering evidence for probiotic supplementation in this population insufficient to date.
    METHODS: The Probiotics in Extreme Prematurity in Scandinavia (PEPS) trial is a multicenter, double-blinded, placebo-controlled and registry-based randomized controlled trial conducted among extremely preterm infants (n = 1620) born at six tertiary neonatal units in Sweden and four units in Denmark. Enrolled infants will be allocated to receive either probiotic supplementation with ProPrems® (Bifidobacterium infantis, Bifidobacterium lactis, and Streptococcus thermophilus) diluted in 3 mL breastmilk or placebo (0.5 g maltodextrin powder) diluted in 3 mL breastmilk per day until gestational week 34. The primary composite outcome is incidence of necrotizing enterocolitis and/or mortality. Secondary outcomes include incidence of late-onset sepsis, length of hospitalization, use of antibiotics, feeding tolerance, growth, and body composition at age of full-term and 3 months corrected age after hospital discharge.
    CONCLUSIONS: Current recommendations for probiotic supplementation in Sweden and Denmark do not include extremely preterm infants due to lack of evidence in this population. However, this young subgroup is notably the most at risk for experiencing adverse outcomes. This trial aims to investigate the effects of probiotic supplementation on necrotizing enterocolitis, death, and other relevant outcomes to provide sufficiently powered, high-quality evidence to inform probiotic supplementation guidelines in this population. The results could have implications for clinical practice both in Sweden and Denmark and worldwide.
    BACKGROUND: ( Clinicaltrials.gov ): NCT05604846.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:构建预测坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)患者手术风险的列线图。
    方法:这项回顾性队列研究招募了2013年至2023年在苏州大学儿童医院诊断为NEC的患者。将新生儿分为保守治疗组和手术治疗组。进行单因素和多因素logistic回归以确定影响手术风险的因素。并构建了预测模型。
    结果:本研究包括154例NEC,保守组103例(66.9%),手术组51例(33.1%)。多因素logistic回归分析显示血便增加[优势比(OR)5.066;95%置信区间(CI)1.7396-14.7532;p=0.0029),氧气吸入(OR1.8278;95%CI1.2113-2.7581;p=0.0041),使用血管收缩药(OR4.4446;95%CI1.7157-11.5137;p=0.0021),门静脉气体(OR4.5569;95%CI1.6324-12.7209;p=0.0038),血钠(OR0.8339;95%CI0.7477-0.9301;p=0.0011)是手术风险的独立因素。列线图的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线下面积为0.886。决策曲线分析(DCA)和校准曲线显示出列线图的良好预测性能。
    结论:列线图有效评估了NEC患者手术干预的风险,为诊断和治疗NEC提供新的见解和参考。
    OBJECTIVE: To construct a nomogram that predicts the risk of surgery in patients with necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC).
    METHODS: This retrospective cohort study recruited patients diagnosed with NEC at the Children\'s Hospital of Soochow University from 2013 to 2023. The neonates were divided into conservative and surgical-treatment groups. Univariate and multivariate logistic regressions were performed to identify factors influencing surgical risk, and a predictive model was constructed.
    RESULTS: This study comprised 154 cases of NEC, 103 cases (66.9%) in the conservative group and 51 cases (33.1%) in the surgical group. Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that increased bloody stools [odds ratio (OR) 5.066; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.7396-14.7532; p = 0.0029), oxygen inhalation (OR 1.8278; 95% CI 1.2113-2.7581; p = 0.0041), use of vasoconstrictors (OR 4.4446; 95% CI 1.7157-11.5137; p = 0.0021), portal venous gas (OR 4.5569; 95% CI 1.6324-12.7209; p = 0.0038), and blood sodium (OR 0.8339; 95% CI 0.7477-0.9301; p = 0.0011) were independent factors of surgical risk. The area under the nomogram\'s receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.886. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and calibration curves demonstrated good predictive performance for the nomogram.
    CONCLUSIONS: The nomogram effectively assessed the risk of surgical intervention in NEC patients, providing new insights and references for diagnosing and treating NEC.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    早期预测早产儿的外科坏死性小肠结肠炎(sNEC)很重要。然而,由于疾病的复杂性,很难确定NEC患儿的手术干预风险较高.我们开发了一种机器学习(ML)算法,使用从极低出生体重(VLBW)婴儿的国家队列注册获得的围产期因素来预测sNEC。数据是从在韩国新生儿网络(KNN)注册的16,385名VLBW婴儿的医疗记录中收集的。接受手术干预的婴儿被确定为sNEC,和接受治疗的婴儿,医疗NEC(mNEC)。我们使用了38个变量,包括产妇,产前,以及出生后1周内获得的出生后因素,用于训练。共有1085名患者患有NEC(654名患者患有sNEC,431名患者患有mNEC)。VLBW婴儿在较低的胎龄(GA)时显示出更高的sNEC发生率(p<0.001)。我们提出的集成模型显示,用于sNEC预测的接收器工作特性曲线下的面积为0.721。结论:提出的集成模型可能有助于预测哪些NEC婴儿可能发生sNEC。通过早期预测和及时干预,sNEC的预后可能得到改善。已知:•基于机器学习(ML)的技术已在NEC研究中用于预测,诊断,和预后,有希望的结果。•虽然大多数研究都利用腹部X光片和NEC的临床表现作为数据来源,并证明了它们的有用性,就早期预测而言,它们可能会很弱。我们分析了出生后7天内获得的VLBW婴儿的围产期因素,并使用基于ML的分析来确定哪些NEC婴儿容易发生临床恶化,并使用全国队列数据进行手术干预。
    Early prediction of surgical necrotizing enterocolitis (sNEC) in preterm infants is important. However, owing to the complexity of the disease, identifying infants with NEC at a high risk for surgical intervention is difficult. We developed a machine learning (ML) algorithm to predict sNEC using perinatal factors obtained from the national cohort registry of very low birth weight (VLBW) infants. Data were collected from the medical records of 16,385 VLBW infants registered in the Korean Neonatal Network (KNN). Infants who underwent surgical intervention were identified with sNEC, and infants who received medical treatment, with medical NEC (mNEC). We used 38 variables, including maternal, prenatal, and postnatal factors that were obtained within 1 week of birth, for training. A total of 1085 patients had NEC (654 with sNEC and 431 with mNEC). VLBW infants showed a higher incidence of sNEC at a lower gestational age (GA) (p < 0.001). Our proposed ensemble model showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.721 for sNEC prediction.    Conclusion: Proposed ensemble model may help predict which infants with NEC are likely to develop sNEC. Through early prediction and prompt intervention, prognosis of sNEC may be improved. What is Known: • Machine learning (ML)-based techniques have been employed in NEC research for prediction, diagnosis, and prognosis, with promising outcomes. • While most studies have utilized abdominal radiographs and clinical manifestations of NEC as data sources, and have demonstrated their usefulness, they may prove weak in terms of early prediction. What is New: • We analyzed the perinatal factors of VLBW infants acquired within 7 days of birth and used ML-based analysis to identify which infants with NEC are vulnerable to clinical deterioration and at high risk for surgical intervention using nationwide cohort data.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    坏死性小肠结肠炎(NEC)的发生是新生儿消化系统的常见且严重的疾病。这项研究旨在评估肠组织氧饱和度(rintSO2)与降钙素原(PCT)和平均血小板体积(MPV)水平在预测早产儿NEC严重程度中的价值。
    该实验是在儿科进行的回顾性队列研究,2017年1月至2022年7月,牡丹江医学院附属红旗医院。纳入NEC早产儿,按Bell分期分为轻中度NEC组和重度NEC组。一般信息数据,rintSO2和血液参数,如白细胞(WBC)计数,血小板计数(PLT),PCT,MPV,红细胞分布宽度(RDW),血红蛋白(Hb),比较两组患者的C反应蛋白(CRP)水平。
    共纳入122名患者,包括79个轻度-中度NEC和43个重度NEC。重度组rintSO2低于轻度-中度组(P=0.042),重症组PCT和MPV均高于轻-中度组(P=0.048,P=0.049)。logistic回归结果表明,rintSO2(OR=1.491,P=0.003),PCT(OR=3.071,P=0.001)和MPV(OR=4.027,P=0.015)是NEC严重程度的独立预测因素。rintSO2联合PCT和MPV的曲线下面积(AUC)对NEC的严重程度具有良好的诊断能力。
    rintSO2联合PCT和MPV可能被认为是NEC严重程度的早期生物标志物,有助于我们早期诊断病例,早期治疗,预后较好。
    UNASSIGNED: The occurrence of necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a common and severe disease of the digestive system in neonates. This study aims to assess the value of the intestinal tissue oxygen saturation (rintSO2) combined with the levels of procalcitonin (PCT) and mean platelet volume (MPV) in predicting the severity of NEC in preterm infants.
    UNASSIGNED: This experiment was a retrospective cohort study conducted in the Department of Pediatrics, Hongqi Hospital Affiliated to Mudanjiang Medical University between January 2017 and July 2022. Premature neonates with NEC were enrolled and divided into mild-moderate NEC group and severe NEC group according to Bell\'s stage. The general information data, rintSO2 and blood parameters such as the white blood cell (WBC) count, platelet count (PLT), PCT, MPV, red blood cell distribution width (RDW), hemoglobin (Hb), C-reactive protein (CRP) were compared between the two groups.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 122 patients were enrolled, including 79 mild-moderate NEC and 43 severe NEC. The rintSO2 was lower in severe group than in mild-moderate group (P = 0.042), the PCT and MPV were both higher in severe group than in mild-moderate group (P = 0.048, P = 0.049). The results of logistic regression suggested that the rintSO2 (OR = 1.491, P = 0.003), PCT (OR = 3.071, P = 0.001) and MPV (OR = 4.027, P = 0.015) were independent predictive factors for severity of NEC. The area under the curve (AUC) of the rintSO2 combined with PCT and MPV showed good diagnostic ability in the severity of NEC.
    UNASSIGNED: The rintSO2 combined with PCT and MPV may be considered as the early biomarkers in the severity of NEC and could help us to diagnose the case early with early treatment with better prognosis.
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