continuous outcome

连续结果
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    当研究使用不同的量表来衡量连续结果时,对数据进行荟萃分析需要标准化平均差(SMD)。然而,结局通常报告为终点或基线评分的变化.组合相应的SMD可能是有问题的,并且可用的指导建议反对这种做法。我们旨在研究将两种类型的SMD结合在抑郁症严重程度的荟萃分析中的影响。我们使用了药物干预的个体参与者数据(89项研究,27,409名参与者)和互联网提供的认知行为疗法(iCBT;61项研究,13,687名参与者)用于抑郁症,以比较研究水平的终点和基线SMD的变化。接下来,我们使用端点SMD进行了成对(PWMA)和网络荟萃分析(NMA),从基线SMD的变化,或者两者的混合物。从终点计算的特定研究SMD和基线数据的变化在很大程度上相似,尽管对于iCBT干预,3个月时25%的研究与研究特异性SMD之间的重要差异相关(中位数0.01,IQR-0.10,0.13),尤其是在基线失衡的较小试验中.然而,当汇集时,终点和变化SMD之间的差异可以忽略不计。仅合并两个SMD中更有利的部分不会对荟萃分析产生实质性影响,导致药理学和iCBT数据集中的合并SMD差异高达0.05和0.13,分别。我们的发现对抑郁症的荟萃分析有意义,其中我们表明,在估计SMD的终点和变化分数之间的选择对汇总荟萃分析估计没有实质性影响。未来的研究应该复制并将我们的分析扩展到抑郁症以外的领域。
    When studies use different scales to measure continuous outcomes, standardised mean differences (SMD) are required to meta-analyse the data. However, outcomes are often reported as endpoint or change from baseline scores. Combining corresponding SMDs can be problematic and available guidance advises against this practice. We aimed to examine the impact of combining the two types of SMD in meta-analyses of depression severity. We used individual participant data on pharmacological interventions (89 studies, 27,409 participants) and internet-delivered cognitive behavioural therapy (iCBT; 61 studies, 13,687 participants) for depression to compare endpoint and change from baseline SMDs at the study level. Next, we performed pairwise (PWMA) and network meta-analyses (NMA) using endpoint SMDs, change from baseline SMDs, or a mixture of the two. Study-specific SMDs calculated from endpoint and change from baseline data were largely similar, although for iCBT interventions 25% of the studies at 3 months were associated with important differences between study-specific SMDs (median 0.01, IQR -0.10, 0.13) especially in smaller trials with baseline imbalances. However, when pooled, the differences between endpoint and change SMDs were negligible. Pooling only the more favourable of the two SMDs did not materially affect meta-analyses, resulting in differences of pooled SMDs up to 0.05 and 0.13 in the pharmacological and iCBT datasets, respectively. Our findings have implications for meta-analyses in depression, where we showed that the choice between endpoint and change scores for estimating SMDs had immaterial impact on summary meta-analytic estimates. Future studies should replicate and extend our analyses to fields other than depression.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    自从循证医学时代以来,在临床研究中使用统计数据来创建客观证据已成为理所当然的事情。作为延伸,在临床研究中,在开始研究之前计算正确的样本量以证明临床上的显著差异已变得至关重要.此外,因为样本量计算方法因研究设计而异,没有适用于所有设计的样本量计算公式。了解这一点对我们来说非常重要。在这次审查中,使用R程序(RFoundationforStatisticalComputing)介绍了适用于各种研究设计的每种样本量计算方法。为了临床研究人员根据未来的研究直接利用它,我们提出了实践守则,输出结果,并解释每种情况的结果。
    Since the era of evidence-based medicine, it has become a matter of course to use statistics to create objective evidence in clinical research. As an extension of this, it has become essential in clinical research to calculate the correct sample size to demonstrate a clinically significant difference before starting the study. Also, because sample size calculation methods vary from study design to study design, there is no formula for sample size calculation that applies to all designs. It is very important for us to understand this. In this review, each sample size calculation method suitable for various study designs was introduced using the R program (R Foundation for Statistical Computing). In order for clinical researchers to directly utilize it according to future research, we presented practice codes, output results, and interpretation of results for each situation.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    网络荟萃分析方法,它们是标准成对合成框架的扩展,允许同时比较多种干预措施,并在单个统计模型中考虑整个证据。使用个体患者数据来执行网络荟萃分析具有公认的优势,并且已经针对二分和事件时间数据开发了用于个体患者数据的网络荟萃分析的方法。本文介绍了对连续结果的个体患者数据进行网络荟萃分析的适当方法。
    本文介绍并描述了使用协方差分析框架的连续结果的个体患者数据模型的网络荟萃分析。在此方法与更改分数和仅最终分数方法之间进行比较,这是经常使用的,并已在方法论文献中提出。使用针灸治疗慢性疼痛的有效性的激励示例来证明该方法。综合了28项随机对照试验的个体患者数据。通过标准化和绘图练习获得了整个证据库终点的一致性。
    个人患者数据的可用性避免了使用非基线调整模型,允许应用协方差模型分析,从而提高治疗效果估计的精度,同时调整基线失衡。
    使用协方差分析方法对个体患者数据进行网络荟萃分析被认为是对连续结果进行网络荟萃分析的最合适的建模方法。特别是在存在基线失衡的情况下。需要进一步的方法开发,以应对在存在基线不平衡的情况下分析总体水平数据的挑战。
    Network meta-analysis methods, which are an extension of the standard pair-wise synthesis framework, allow for the simultaneous comparison of multiple interventions and consideration of the entire body of evidence in a single statistical model. There are well-established advantages to using individual patient data to perform network meta-analysis and methods for network meta-analysis of individual patient data have already been developed for dichotomous and time-to-event data. This paper describes appropriate methods for the network meta-analysis of individual patient data on continuous outcomes.
    This paper introduces and describes network meta-analysis of individual patient data models for continuous outcomes using the analysis of covariance framework. Comparisons are made between this approach and change score and final score only approaches, which are frequently used and have been proposed in the methodological literature. A motivating example on the effectiveness of acupuncture for chronic pain is used to demonstrate the methods. Individual patient data on 28 randomised controlled trials were synthesised. Consistency of endpoints across the evidence base was obtained through standardisation and mapping exercises.
    Individual patient data availability avoided the use of non-baseline-adjusted models, allowing instead for analysis of covariance models to be applied and thus improving the precision of treatment effect estimates while adjusting for baseline imbalance.
    The network meta-analysis of individual patient data using the analysis of covariance approach is advocated to be the most appropriate modelling approach for network meta-analysis of continuous outcomes, particularly in the presence of baseline imbalance. Further methods developments are required to address the challenge of analysing aggregate level data in the presence of baseline imbalance.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    Sample size justification is an important consideration when planning a clinical trial, not only for the main trial but also for any preliminary pilot trial. When the outcome is a continuous variable, the sample size calculation requires an accurate estimate of the standard deviation of the outcome measure. A pilot trial can be used to get an estimate of the standard deviation, which could then be used to anticipate what may be observed in the main trial. However, an important consideration is that pilot trials often estimate the standard deviation parameter imprecisely. This paper looks at how we can choose an external pilot trial sample size in order to minimise the sample size of the overall clinical trial programme, that is, the pilot and the main trial together. We produce a method of calculating the optimal solution to the required pilot trial sample size when the standardised effect size for the main trial is known. However, as it may not be possible to know the standardised effect size to be used prior to the pilot trial, approximate rules are also presented. For a main trial designed with 90% power and two-sided 5% significance, we recommend pilot trial sample sizes per treatment arm of 75, 25, 15 and 10 for standardised effect sizes that are extra small (≤0.1), small (0.2), medium (0.5) or large (0.8), respectively.
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