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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:观察性队列研究用于评估乳房X线照相术在提供筛查的女性中的有效性。因为筛查乳房X线照相术对乳腺癌以外的死亡原因没有影响,队列研究应显示乳腺癌死亡风险的降低显著大于全因死亡风险的可能降低.我们评估了队列研究中报道的乳腺癌死亡和全因(或非乳腺癌)死亡与筛查乳房X线照相术相关的风险。
    方法:在PubMed中搜索了2002年至2022年发表的关于应邀进行乳房X线检查的女性的队列研究,WebofSciences,Scopus和评论文章。使用参加筛查的女性与未参加筛查的女性之间的相对死亡风险进行随机效应荟萃分析。
    结果:确定了18项队列研究,九只报告了乳腺癌死亡的相对风险,五个只报告了全因死亡的相对风险,四个报告了乳腺癌死亡和全因死亡的相对风险。后四项队列研究报告的全因死亡人数是乳腺癌死亡人数的12至76倍。筛查参与者与乳腺癌死亡率的随机效应汇总相对风险在13项队列研究中,未参加的患者为0.55(95%CI:0.50-0.60).在10项队列研究中,全因死亡率的总相对风险为0.54(0.50-0.58)。在评估这两种结果的四项队列研究中,乳腺癌死亡率和全因死亡率的总相对危险度分别为0.63(0.43~0.83)和0.54(0.44~0.64).
    结论:乳腺癌和全因(或非乳腺癌)死亡率的相似相对降低表明,筛查乳房X光检查的出勤率是与任何原因死亡风险较低相关的特征指标。包括乳腺癌,观察性研究错误地解释为筛查效应。
    OBJECTIVE: Observational cohort studies are used to evaluate the effectiveness of screening mammography in women offered screening. Because screening mammography has no effect on causes of death other than breast cancer (BC), cohort studies should show reductions in the risk of BC death substantially greater than possible reductions in the risk of all-cause death. We assessed the risk of BC deaths and of all-cause (or of nonBC) deaths associated with screening mammography attendance reported in cohort studies.
    METHODS: Cohort studies published from 2002 to 2022 on women invited to screening mammography were searched in PubMed, Web of Sciences, Scopus, and in review articles. Random effect meta-analyses were performed using relative risks (RRs) of death between women who attended screening compared to women who did not attend screening.
    RESULTS: Eighteen cohort studies were identified, nine that reported RRs of BC deaths only, five that reported RRs of all-cause deaths only, and four that reported RRs for both BC deaths and all-cause deaths. The latter four cohort studies reported 12-76 times more all-cause deaths than BC deaths. The random-effect summary of RR for BC mortality in screening attendees vs nonattendees was 0.55 (95% CI: 0.50-0.60) in 13 cohort studies. The summary of RR for all-cause mortality was 0.54 (0.50-0.58) in 10 cohort studies. In the four cohort studies that evaluated both outcomes, the summary of RRs were 0.63 (0.43-0.83) for BC mortality and of 0.54 (0.44-0.64) for all-cause mortality.
    CONCLUSIONS: The similar relative reductions in breast- and all-cause (or nonBC) mortality indicates that screening mammography attendance is an indicator of characteristics associated with a lower risk of dying from any cause, including from BC, which observational studies have falsely interpreted as a screening effect.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    慢性阻塞性肺疾病(COPD)住院后的再入院率惊人地高,频繁的再入院代表着更高的死亡风险和沉重的经济负担。然而,关于COPD患者全因再入院的信息有限.
    本研究旨在系统总结出院后30天和90天内全因COPD再入院率及其潜在危险因素。
    检索了8个电子数据库,以确定从开始到2022年8月1日关于COPD再入院的相关观察性研究。采用纽卡斯尔-渥太华量表进行方法学质量评价。我们采用随机效应模型或固定效应模型来估计合并的全因COPD再入院率和潜在危险因素。
    共纳入28项研究,其中27项和8项研究总结了30天和90天的全因再入院,分别。合并的30天和90天内的全因COPD再入院率分别为18%和31%。分别。世界卫生组织区域最初被认为是异质性的来源。我们确定了酒精的使用,排放目的地,前一年两次或两次以上住院,以及心力衰竭等合并症,糖尿病,慢性肾病,贫血,癌症,或肿瘤作为全因再入院的潜在危险因素,而女性和肥胖是保护因素。
    COPD患者的全因再入院率很高,我们还发现了一些潜在的风险因素。因此,迫切需要加强早期随访和有针对性的干预措施,出院后调整或避免危险因素,从而减轻因频繁再入院而造成的重大卫生经济负担。
    该系统评价和荟萃分析方案在PROSPERO进行了前瞻性注册(编号:CRD42022369894)。
    The readmission rate following hospitalization for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is surprisingly high, and frequent readmissions represent a higher risk of mortality and a heavy economic burden. However, information on all-cause readmissions in patients with COPD is limited.
    This study aimed to systematically summarize all-cause COPD readmission rates within 30 and 90 days after discharge and their underlying risk factors.
    Eight electronic databases were searched to identify relevant observational studies about COPD readmission from inception to 1 August 2022. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale was used for methodological quality assessment. We adopt a random effects model or a fixed effects model to estimate pooled all-cause COPD readmission rates and potential risk factors.
    A total of 28 studies were included, of which 27 and 8 studies summarized 30- and 90-day all-cause readmissions, respectively. The pooled all-cause COPD readmission rates within 30 and 90 days were 18% and 31%, respectively. The World Health Organization region was initially considered to be the source of heterogeneity. We identified alcohol use, discharge destination, two or more hospitalizations in the previous year, and comorbidities such as heart failure, diabetes, chronic kidney disease, anemia, cancer, or tumor as potential risk factors for all-cause readmission, whereas female and obesity were protective factors.
    Patients with COPD had a high all-cause readmission rate, and we also identified some potential risk factors. Therefore, it is urgent to strengthen early follow-up and targeted interventions, and adjust or avoid risk factors after discharge, so as to reduce the major health economic burden caused by frequent readmissions.
    This systematic review and meta-analysis protocol was prospectively registered with PROSPERO (no. CRD42022369894).
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    抑郁症是一种普遍和致残的精神障碍,经常与多种慢性疾病同时发生。有证据表明,抑郁症可能与不同环境和人群的全因死亡率过高有关,尽管这些关联的因果关系尚不清楚.
    我们对观察性研究的系统评价和荟萃分析进行了综述。PubMed,PsycINFO,和Embase电子数据库在2018年1月20日进行了搜索。选择了系统评价和荟萃分析,以调查抑郁症与全因和特定于原因的死亡率之间的关系。证据被评为令人信服,高度暗示性,暗示,或基于包括异质性评估在内的定量标准较弱,95%的预测间隔,小型研究效果,和过度显著性偏差。
    共有26篇参考文献提供了2篇系统评价,17篇荟萃分析估计数据符合纳入标准(其中19篇涉及全因死亡率);综合了来自246项独特研究(N=3,825,380)的数据。所有17个协会的随机效应汇总效应P<0.05,但他们都不符合令人信服的证据标准.急性心肌梗死后患者抑郁和全因死亡率的关系,在心力衰竭患者中,在癌症患者以及来自混合环境的样本中,均符合高暗示性证据的标准.然而,在考虑采用结构化诊断性访谈的研究的敏感性分析中,没有任何关联得到高度暗示性证据的支持.此外,在考虑了试图对潜在混杂因素进行校正的研究时,仅有提示性证据支持癌症和急性心肌梗死后样本中抑郁和全因死亡率的关联.
    尽管抑郁症和死亡率之间的关联在所有评估的环境和人群中都有名义上显著的结果,当专注于使用结构化访谈的研究和试图调整潜在混杂因素的研究时,证据变得较弱。抑郁症对全因死亡率和特定原因死亡率的因果影响仍未得到证实,因此,至少根据目前观察性研究的证据,针对抑郁症的干预措施预计不会降低死亡率.
    Depression is a prevalent and disabling mental disorder that frequently co-occurs with a wide range of chronic conditions. Evidence has suggested that depression could be associated with excess all-cause mortality across different settings and populations, although the causality of these associations remains unclear.
    We conducted an umbrella review of systematic reviews and meta-analyses of observational studies. PubMed, PsycINFO, and Embase electronic databases were searched through January 20, 2018. Systematic reviews and meta-analyses that investigated associations of depression and all-cause and cause-specific mortality were selected for the review. The evidence was graded as convincing, highly suggestive, suggestive, or weak based on quantitative criteria that included an assessment of heterogeneity, 95% prediction intervals, small-study effects, and excess significance bias.
    A total of 26 references providing 2 systematic reviews and data for 17 meta-analytic estimates met inclusion criteria (19 of them on all-cause mortality); data from 246 unique studies (N = 3,825,380) were synthesized. All 17 associations had P < 0.05 per random effects summary effects, but none of them met criteria for convincing evidence. Associations of depression and all-cause mortality in patients after acute myocardial infarction, in individuals with heart failure, in cancer patients as well as in samples from mixed settings met criteria for highly suggestive evidence. However, none of the associations remained supported by highly suggestive evidence in sensitivity analyses that considered studies employing structured diagnostic interviews. In addition, associations of depression and all-cause mortality in cancer and post-acute myocardial infarction samples were supported only by suggestive evidence when studies that tried to adjust for potential confounders were considered.
    Even though associations between depression and mortality have nominally significant results in all assessed settings and populations, the evidence becomes weaker when focusing on studies that used structured interviews and those that tried to adjust for potential confounders. A causal effect of depression on all-cause and cause-specific mortality remains unproven, and thus interventions targeting depression are not expected to result in lower mortality rates at least based on current evidence from observational studies.
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