Source attribution

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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    沙门氏菌是人类食源性疾病的主要病因之一。它是全世界特有的,将不同的动物和动物食品作为感染的宿主和媒介。确定沙门氏菌的动物宿主和潜在的传播途径对于预防和控制至关重要。源归因有很多方法,每个都使用不同的统计模型和数据流。一些旨在识别动物水库,而其他人则旨在确定暴露发生的点。随着全基因组测序(WGS)技术的进步,新的来源归因模型将极大地受益于WGS获得的鉴别力。这篇综述讨论了一些关键的来源归因方法及其数学和统计工具。我们还重点介绍了利用WGS进行来源归因的最新研究,并讨论了开发新WGS方法的开放问题和挑战。我们的目标是更好地了解这些方法的现状,并应用于沙门氏菌和其他食源性病原体,这些病原体是家禽和人类部门的常见疾病来源。
    Salmonella is one of the main causes of human foodborne illness. It is endemic worldwide, with different animals and animal-based food products as reservoirs and vehicles of infection. Identifying animal reservoirs and potential transmission pathways of Salmonella is essential for prevention and control. There are many approaches for source attribution, each using different statistical models and data streams. Some aim to identify the animal reservoir, while others aim to determine the point at which exposure occurred. With the advance of whole-genome sequencing (WGS) technologies, new source attribution models will greatly benefit from the discriminating power gained with WGS. This review discusses some key source attribution methods and their mathematical and statistical tools. We also highlight recent studies utilizing WGS for source attribution and discuss open questions and challenges in developing new WGS methods. We aim to provide a better understanding of the current state of these methodologies with application to Salmonella and other foodborne pathogens that are common sources of illness in the poultry and human sectors.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    如今,在土壤中测定了大量不同理化性质的化合物。土壤污染物的环境行为和来源识别是土壤污染治理的基础。潜在污染源的识别和定量分析是其防治的前提。已经做出了许多努力来开发用于识别土壤污染物来源的方法。这些努力涉及源和受体参数的测量以及通过数字统计方法分析它们的关系。我们全面回顾了迄今为止在源分配方法开发方面取得的进展,并介绍了我们的综合。数值方法,如空间地统计分析,受体模型,和机器学习方法得到了深入的解决。在大多数情况下,然而,任何单一的源分配方法的有效性仍然有限。结合多种方法解决土壤质量问题可以减少土壤污染来源的不确定性。这篇综述还建设性地强调了将数学模型与化学概况评估相结合的关键策略,以提供更准确的来源归因。本综述旨在提供源分配方法的全面摘要,以帮助促进进一步的发展。
    Nowadays, a large number of compounds with different physical and chemical properties have been determined in soil. Environmental behaviors and source identification of pollutants in soil are the foundation of soil pollution control. Identification and quantitative analysis of potential pollution sources are the prerequisites for its prevention and control. Many efforts have made to develop methods for identifying the sources of soil pollutants. These efforts have involved the measurement of source and receptor parameters and the analysis of their relationships via numerical statistics methods. We have comprehensively reviewed the progress made in the development of source apportionment methodologies to date and present our synthesis. The numerical methods, such as spatial geostatistics analysis, receptor models, and machine learning methods are addressed in depth. In most cases, however, the effectiveness of any single approach for source apportionment remains limited. Combining multiple methods to address soil quality problems can reduce uncertainty about the sources of soil pollution. This review also constructively highlights the key strategies of combining mathematical models with the assessment of chemical profiles to provide more accurate source attribution. This review intends to provide a comprehensive summary of source apportionment methodologies to help promote further development.
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  • 文章类型: Systematic Review
    细菌抗菌素耐药性(AMR)是本世纪主要的全球健康挑战之一。动物及其产品是已知的人类AMR负担的贡献者,但是这种贡献的程度尚不清楚。这篇系统的文献综述旨在确定调查动物来源直接影响的研究,定义为牲畜,水产养殖,宠物,以动物为基础的食物,关于人类AMR。我们搜索了四个科学数据库,确定了31个相关出版物,包括12项风险评估,16项来源归因研究,和其他三项研究。大多数研究发表在2012年至2022年之间,大部分来自欧洲和北美,但我们也确定了来自南亚和东南亚的五篇文章。这些研究在方法上有所不同,概念方法(自下而上,自上而下,和复杂),AMR危险和结果的定义,他们处理的来源的数量和类型,以及他们报告的结果指标。最常见的动物来源是鸡,其次是牛和猪。大多数研究调查了细菌抗性组合。总的来说,关于动物来源对AMR的直接贡献的研究很少,但正在增加。最近的出版物越来越多地针对整个AMR危害调整其方法,为未来的研究提供基础。
    Bacterial antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is among the leading global health challenges of the century. Animals and their products are known contributors to the human AMR burden, but the extent of this contribution is not clear. This systematic literature review aimed to identify studies investigating the direct impact of animal sources, defined as livestock, aquaculture, pets, and animal-based food, on human AMR. We searched four scientific databases and identified 31 relevant publications, including 12 risk assessments, 16 source attribution studies, and three other studies. Most studies were published between 2012 and 2022, and most came from Europe and North America, but we also identified five articles from South and South-East Asia. The studies differed in their methodologies, conceptual approaches (bottom-up, top-down, and complex), definitions of the AMR hazard and outcome, the number and type of sources they addressed, and the outcome measures they reported. The most frequently addressed animal source was chicken, followed by cattle and pigs. Most studies investigated bacteria-resistance combinations. Overall, studies on the direct contribution of animal sources of AMR are rare but increasing. More recent publications tailor their methodologies increasingly towards the AMR hazard as a whole, providing grounds for future research to build on.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    细菌性食源性病原体(FBP)是世界范围内食源性疾病或食源性疾病(FBD)的最常见原因。它们在整个食物链的任何阶段污染食物,从农场到餐桌。其中,腹泻性大肠杆菌(DEC),非伤寒沙门氏菌(NTS),志贺氏菌属。和弯曲杆菌。是造成很大一部分疾病的原因,死亡;和,特别是,作为急性腹泻病的病因。尽管现有研究表明,在埃塞俄比亚等发展中国家,这一问题可能很严重,证据通常基于个别研究的零散数据.对已发表和未发表的手稿进行了审查,以获取有关主要FBP的信息,并确定在跟踪其来源归因方面的差距,动物和环境界面。在将研究期限限制在2000年1月至2020年7月之后,最初共检索了1753篇文章。第二次筛选后,本综述仅包括51篇关于人类的文章和43篇基于环境样本的研究。在没有分组的情况下,我们分析了基于总体以及人类粪便和环境样本的FBP汇总患病率估计值.因为,预计会有很大的异质性,我们还对主要研究变量进行了亚组分析,以估计两种样本来源中不同流行病学环境下FBP的汇总患病率.FBP(沙门氏菌,致病性大肠杆菌(E.大肠杆菌),志贺氏菌和弯曲杆菌属。)为8%;95%CI:6.5-8.7,在环境样本(11%)中的估计值(P<0.01)高于人类粪便(6%)。亚组分析表明,沙门氏菌和致病性大肠杆菌分别占5.7%(95%CI:4.7-6.8)和11.6%(95%CI:8.8-15.1),埃塞俄比亚FBD总体汇总患病率估计。元回归结果显示,行政区国家,研究的地理区域,样本来源和分类样本量均显著影响沙门氏菌和致病性大肠杆菌的异质性。此外,多变量回归显示,2011年至2015年的实际研究年与基于环境样本的FBP患病率估计值显著相关.这项系统评价和荟萃分析描述了FBP在埃塞俄比亚很重要,尽管大多数研究是在人类中单独进行的,采用基于常规培养的诊断方法的动物或环境样品。因此,在人类的FBD进一步研究,需要采用先进的诊断方法来研究一种健康方法中FBD的来源归因。
    Bacterial Foodborne Pathogens (FBP) are the commonest cause of foodborne illness or foodborne diseases (FBD) worldwide. They contaminate food at any stages in the entire food chain, from farm to dining-table. Among these, the Diarrheagenic Escherichia coli (DEC), Non typhoidal Salmonella (NTS), Shigella spp. and Campylobacter spp. are responsible for a large proportion of illnesses, deaths; and, particularly, as causes of acute diarrheal diseases. Though existing studies indicate the problem may be severe in developing countries like Ethiopia, the evidence is commonly based on fragmented data from individual studies. A review of published and unpublished manuscripts was conducted to obtain information on major FBP and identify the gaps in tracking their source attributions at the human, animal and environmental interface. A total of 1753 articles were initially retrieved after restricting the study period to between January 2000 and July 2020. After the second screening, only 51 articles on the humans and 43 on the environmental sample based studies were included in this review. In the absence of subgroups, overall as well as human stool and environmental sample based pooled prevalence estimate of FBP were analyzed. Since, substantial heterogeneity is expected, we also performed a subgroup analyses for principal study variables to estimate pooled prevalence of FBP at different epidemiological settings in both sample sources. The overall random pooled prevalence estimate of FBP (Salmonella, pathogenic Escherichia coli (E. coli), Shigella and Campylobacter spp.) was 8%; 95% CI: 6.5-8.7, with statistically higher (P <  0.01) estimates in environmental samples (11%) than in human stool (6%). The subgroup analysis depicted that Salmonella and pathogenic E. coli contributed to 5.7% (95% CI: 4.7-6.8) and 11.6% (95% CI: 8.8-15.1) respectively, of the overall pooled prevalence estimates of FBD in Ethiopia. The result of meta-regression showed, administrative regional state, geographic area of the study, source of sample and categorized sample size all significantly contributed to the heterogeneity of Salmonella and pathogenic E. coli estimates. Besides, the multivariate meta- regression indicated the actual study year between 2011 and 2015 was significantly associated with the environmental sample-based prevalence estimates of these FBP. This systematic review and meta-analysis depicted FBP are important in Ethiopia though majority of the studies were conducted separately either in human, animal or environmental samples employing routine culture based diagnostic method. Thus, further FBD study at the human, animal and environmental interface employing advanced diagnostic methods is needed to investigate source attributions of FBD in one health approach.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景弯曲杆菌是细菌性肠胃炎的全球主要原因,激发研究以确定人类感染源。种群遗传学研究已越来越多地应用于此,主要采用多位点序列分型(MLST)数据。目的这篇综述旨在总结这些研究的方法和发现,并确定这种形式的基因组流行病学的最佳实践课程。方法我们系统地回顾了使用MLST数据将人类疾病分离株归因于来源的出版物。出版物是从2001年1月开始的,当时这种方法开始。搜索数据库包括Scopus,WebofScience和PubMed。使用的样品和隔离数据集的信息,以及所采用的MLST方案和归因算法,已获得。提取了主要发现,以及任何结果验证,随后对已识别的偏差进行校正。考虑到高度的异质性,没有荟萃分析的报道。结果在全球检索的2109项研究中,包括25个,家禽,特别是鸡,被确定为人类感染的主要来源。反刍动物(牛或羊)始终与相当大比例的病例有关。数据采样和分析方法各不相同,使用五种不同的归因算法。五篇出版物报道了诸如已知来源的分离株的自我归属等验证。没有出版物报告通过验证确定的偏见的调整。结论验证和调整中的共同差距突出了在未来基因组归因研究中产生改进估计的机会。鸡作为人类感染的主要来源的一致性,在高收入国家,尽管方法有所不同,强调了这一来源的公共卫生重要性。
    BackgroundCampylobacter is a leading global cause of bacterial gastroenteritis, motivating research to identify sources of human infection. Population genetic studies have been increasingly applied to this end, mainly using multilocus sequence typing (MLST) data.ObjectivesThis review aimed to summarise approaches and findings of these studies and identify best practice lessons for this form of genomic epidemiology.MethodsWe systematically reviewed publications using MLST data to attribute human disease isolates to source. Publications were from January 2001, when this type of approach began. Searched databases included Scopus, Web of Science and PubMed. Information on samples and isolate datasets used, as well as MLST schemes and attribution algorithms employed, was obtained. Main findings were extracted, as well as any results\' validation with subsequent correction for identified biases. Meta-analysis is not reported given high levels of heterogeneity.ResultsOf 2,109 studies retrieved worldwide, 25 were included, and poultry, specifically chickens, were identified as principal source of human infection. Ruminants (cattle or sheep) were consistently implicated in a substantial proportion of cases. Data sampling and analytical approaches varied, with five different attribution algorithms used. Validation such as self-attribution of isolates from known sources was reported in five publications. No publication reported adjustment for biases identified by validation.ConclusionsCommon gaps in validation and adjustment highlight opportunities to generate improved estimates in future genomic attribution studies. The consistency of chicken as the main source of human infection, across high income countries, and despite methodological variations, highlights the public health importance of this source.
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    文章类型: Journal Article
    对灰尘的分析可以推断对地理区域的暴露,环境,活动,和过程。这种推理来源归因的活动与比较来源归因的活动不同,其中重点是两个源与其他可能源之间的对应程度。对法医学和更广泛的科学文献中的来源归因努力的审查表明,大多数努力都限于四种主要方式中的一种或多种。分类为:(a)通过直接比较基于归因的方法;(b)基于封闭式项目分类的方法;(c)使用受限方法和特征的分析,和(D)大样本量的要求。这些限制为更广义的推理来源归属的要求提供了背景。很少发生,几乎只在法医文献中,是具有微观特征的单个来源归因病例报告,多学科视角。总的来说,这些都是潜力的一个很好的例证,它们的共同特征表明:(a)为了使来源归因成功,需要多样化的实验室专业知识和方法;(b)在不同的情况下需要应用不同的工具,(c)必须有一个程序,允许在这种多样化的工具中做出明智的选择,以回应特定的调查问题和可用样品的细节。考虑了其他协作机制,并为相关研究和计划应用提出了建议。
    The analysis of dust allows inference of exposures to geographical areas, environments, activities, and processes. This activity of inferential source attribution is distinguished from that of comparative source attribution, where the focus is on the degree of correspondence between two sources in relation to other possible sources. Review of source attribution efforts in the forensic and broader scientific literature shows that most efforts are limited in one or more of four principal ways, which are classified as: (a) methods based on attribution by direct comparison; (b) methods based on closed-set item classification; (c) analysis using restricted methods and characteristics, and (d) requirement of a large sample size. These limitations provide the context for the requirements of more generalized inferential source attribution. Occurring much more rarely, and almost exclusively in the forensic literature, are individual source attribution case reports that have a microscopical, multidisciplinary perspective. Collectively these are an excellent illustration of potential and their common features demonstrate that (a) a diversity of laboratory expertise and methodology is required in order for source attribution to be successful; (b) different tools need to be applied in different cases, and (c) a process must be in place that allows a facile choice among this diversity of tools, in response to the particular investigative problem and the specifics of the samples that are available. Alternative collaborative mechanisms are considered and recommendations are made for related research and programmatic application.
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