Pathways

通路
  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:在接受基于电子烟的戒烟干预措施后,从吸烟过渡到电子烟的途径已被最低限度地探索。
    目的:1)确定干预实施和最终随访之间的途径;2)描述与不同途径组的吸烟/吸烟行为相关的基线和干预后统计数据;3)探索定性参与者观点,将途径组情境化。
    方法:在急诊科(COSTED)随机对照试验中收集的戒烟试验数据的嵌入式混合方法分析。
    方法:在2022年1月至8月期间从6个急诊科(英格兰5个,苏格兰1个)招募。
    方法:366名成年吸烟者被随机分配接受COSTED干预,并在6个月随访时提供数据。随访后接受采访的24名参与者的定性子样本。
    方法:简短的戒烟建议,提供电子烟入门套件,并转介给当地的戒烟服务。
    方法:基线和6个月随访时已确定的途径和吸烟/吸烟行为的描述性统计报告。半结构化电话/视频访谈按主题进行分析。
    结果:13.4%(n=49)的参与者在接受干预后1个月内戒烟,19.1%(n=70)在1至6个月之间辞职,24.9%(n=91)每天减少香烟(CPD)至少50%,42.6%的人没有显著减少吸烟。大约三分之一的参与者在随访时报告没有吸烟。报告双重使用与CPD减少相关。几乎有三分之一的人报告了使用与作为干预措施一部分提供的设备不同的设备进行的实验。Quitters报告了对电子烟满意的主题,促进戒烟的环境变化和戒烟的动机。
    结论:香烟和电子烟的双重使用可以减少吸烟,并可能阻止戒烟。持续使用电子烟并不总是成功戒烟所必需的。成功取决于个人背景以及对电子烟的满意度。
    OBJECTIVE: Pathways of transitioning from tobacco smoking to vaping after receiving an e-cigarette-based smoking cessation intervention have been minimally explored.
    OBJECTIVE: 1) identify pathways between intervention delivery and final follow-up; 2) describe baseline and post-intervention statistical data in relation to smoking/vaping behaviour of the different pathway groups; 3) explore qualitative participant perspectives contextualising pathway groups.
    METHODS: Embedded mixed-methods analysis of data collected for the Cessation of Smoking Trial in the Emergency Department (COSTED) randomised controlled trial.
    METHODS: Recruitment from 6 Emergency Departments (5 in England and 1 in Scotland) between January and August 2022.
    METHODS: 366 adult smokers who were randomised to receive the COSTED intervention and provided data at 6-month follow-up. Qualitative subsample of 24 participants interviewed after follow-up.
    METHODS: Brief smoking cessation advice, provision of an e-cigarette starter kit and referral to the local Stop Smoking Service.
    METHODS: Descriptive statistical reporting of identified pathways and smoking/vaping behaviour at baseline and 6-month follow-up. Semi-structured phone/video interviews analysed thematically.
    RESULTS: 13.4% (n = 49) of participants quit smoking within 1 month of receiving the intervention, 19.1% (n = 70) quit between 1 and 6 months, 24.9% (n = 91) reduced cigarettes per day (CPD) by at least 50%, and 42.6% did not experience a significant smoking reduction. Approximately a third of participants who quit reported not vaping at follow-up. Reporting dual use was associated with a reduction in CPD. Appoximately a third reported experimenting with a different device to the one provided as part of the intervention. Quitters reported themes of satisfaction with vaping, changes in environment facilitating quitting and motivation to quit.
    CONCLUSIONS: Dual use of cigarettes and e-cigarettes can result in a reduction of smoking and may preclude quitting smoking. Sustained e-cigarette use is not always necessary for quitting success. Success depends on personal context as well satisfaction with vaping.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    炎症是生物体内的正常免疫反应,但它经常引发慢性疾病,如结肠炎和关节炎。目前,最广泛使用的抗炎药是非甾体抗炎药,尽管它们伴有各种副作用,如高血压和肾功能不全。生物活性肽(BAP)为炎症提供治疗益处并减轻副作用。在这里,本文就不同BAP对机体不同部位炎症的治疗作用作一综述。重点放在BAP治疗炎症的免疫调节机制,如调节炎症介质的释放,调节MAPK和NF-κB信号通路,减少氧化应激反应进行免疫调节。这篇综述旨在为该功能提供参考,应用程序,和BAPs的抗炎机制。
    Inflammation is a normal immune response in organisms, but it often triggers chronic diseases such as colitis and arthritis. Currently, the most widely used anti-inflammatory drugs are non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, albeit they are accompanied by various adverse effects such as hypertension and renal dysfunction. Bioactive peptides (BAPs) provide therapeutic benefits for inflammation and mitigate side effects. Herein, this review focuses on the therapeutic effects of various BAPs on inflammation in different body parts. Emphasis is placed on the immunomodulatory mechanisms of BAPs in treating inflammation, such as regulating the release of inflammatory mediators, modulating MAPK and NF-κB signaling pathways, and reducing oxidative stress reactions for immunomodulation. This review aims to provide a reference for the function, application, and anti-inflammation mechanisms of BAPs.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    过氧化物酶(Prxs)是生命三个领域中每个生物所必需的抗氧化酶的成员,在控制细胞中的过氧化物水平中起着关键作用。这篇全面的文献综述旨在阐明Prxs的过氧化物酶活性,检查它们对各种分类单元中生物体的作用和意义。讽刺的是,Prxs的主要作用是过氧化物酶活性,它包括过氧化氢和其他有机氢过氧化物的还原,并降低细胞氧化损伤的风险。上述酶活性通过由活性位点中的半胱氨酸残基催化的可逆氧化-还原通过形成次磺酸和通过细胞内还原剂还原而发生。结构和功能,Prxs充当二聚体或十聚体,并根据其亚家族或细胞区室显示不同的催化模式。与Prxs的其他两个亚组的机制相比,包括2-CysPrxs和非典型Prxs,1-CysPrxs具有单体-二聚体开关折叠和催化活性。除了它们的过氧化物酶活性,这是众所周知的,Prxs被承认参与其他信令过程,包括氧化还原信号和细胞凋亡。这种对氧化应激和细胞氧化还原状态调节的厌恶将它们置于对环境变化或疾病表现的适应性细胞反应的核心。总之,基于获得的数据,并进一步了解Prxs的结构和功能,这些酶可能被归类为一个多样化但必需的蛋白质家族,可以有效地保护细胞免受过氧化物酶活性引起的氧化应激的不利影响。这表明二次互动,总结为过氧化物解毒或调节信号,并确定它们在多种生物途径中的适用性。这样的知识对于增强对基本细胞功能的一般理解和公开对由活性氧的产生增加引起的疾病的进一步治疗方法是有价值的。
    Peroxiredoxins (Prxs) are members of the antioxidant enzymes necessary for every living object in the three domains of life and play critical roles in controlling peroxide levels in cells. This comprehensive literature review aims to elucidate the peroxidase activity of Prxs, examining their roles and significance for organisms across various taxa. Ironically, the primary role of the Prxs is the peroxidase activity, which comprises the reduction of hydrogen peroxide and other organic hydroperoxides and decreases the risk of oxidative damage in the cells. The above enzymatic activity occurs through the reversible oxidation-reduction catalyzed by cysteine residues in the active site by forming sulfenic acid and reduction by intracellular reductants. Structurally and functionally, Prxs function as dimers or decamers and show different catalytic patterns according to their subfamilies or cellular compartments. Compared to the mechanisms of the other two subgroups of Prxs, including 2-Cys Prxs and atypical Prxs, the 1-Cys Prxs have monomer-dimer switch folding coupled with catalytic activity. In addition to their peroxidase activity, which is widely known, Prxs are becoming acknowledged to be involved in other signaling processes, including redox signaling and apoptosis. This aversion to oxidative stress and regulation by the cellular redox state places them at the heart of adaptive cellular responses to changes in the environment or manifestations of diseases. In conclusion, based on the data obtained and on furthering the knowledge of Prxs\' structure and function, these enzymes may be classified as a diverse yet essential family of proteins that can effectively protect cells from the adverse effects of oxidative stress due to peroxidase activity. This indicates secondary interactions, summarized as peroxide detoxification or regulatory signaling, and identifies their applicability in multiple biological pathways. Such knowledge is valuable for enhancing the general comprehension of essential cellular functions and disclosing further therapeutic approaches to the diseases caused by the increased production of reactive oxygen species.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    背景:细胞衰老在人类心力衰竭(HF)中的作用尚不清楚。衰老相关分泌表型(SASP)由衰老细胞释放的蛋白质组成。我们使用血浆蛋白质组学方法评估了人类HF中与SASP相关的预后意义和生物学途径。
    结果:我们使用SOMAScanV4测定法在2248名PHFS(PennHF研究)参与者中测量了25种已知的SASP蛋白。我们提取了这些蛋白质的共同方差以生成SASP因子得分,并评估了这些SASP因子得分与(1)全因死亡和(2)死亡或HF住院的复合之间的关系。我们还评估了每个SASP因子与4746种其他蛋白质的关系,校正多重比较,其次是途径分析。确定了两个SASP因素。这两个因素都与年龄有关,较低的估计肾小球滤过率,和更先进的纽约心脏协会课程,在其他临床变量中。两种SASP因素均与死亡风险呈显著正相关,与慢性HF评分和NT-proBNP(N末端B型利钠肽前体)水平的全球组Meta分析无关。2个确定的SASP因子与1201和1554蛋白相关,分别,属于各种途径,包括凝血系统,互补系统,急性期反应信号,和调节细胞代谢的类视黄醇X受体相关途径。
    结论:SASP成分增加与HF的不良结局独立相关。与SASP相关的生物通路主要与凝血有关,炎症,和细胞代谢。
    BACKGROUND: The role of cellular senescence in human heart failure (HF) remains unclear. The senescence-associated secretory phenotype (SASP) is composed of proteins released by senescent cells. We assessed the prognostic significance and biologic pathways associated with the SASP in human HF using a plasma proteomics approach.
    RESULTS: We measured 25 known SASP proteins among 2248 PHFS (Penn HF Study) participants using the SOMAScan V4 assay. We extracted the common variance in these proteins to generate SASP factor scores and assessed the relationship between these SASP factor scores and (1) all-cause death and (2) the composite of death or HF hospital admission. We also assessed the relationship of each SASP factor to 4746 other proteins, correcting for multiple comparisons, followed by pathway analyses. Two SASP factors were identified. Both factors were associated with older age, lower estimated glomerular filtration rate, and more advanced New York Heart Association class, among other clinical variables. Both SASP factors exhibited a significant positive association with the risk of death independent of the Meta-Analysis of Global-Group in Chronic HF score and NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) levels. The 2 identified SASP factors were associated with 1201 and 1554 proteins, respectively, belonging to various pathways including the coagulation system, complement system, acute phase response signaling, and retinoid X receptor-related pathways that regulate cell metabolism.
    CONCLUSIONS: Increased SASP components are independently associated with adverse outcomes in HF. Biologic pathways associated with SASP are predominantly related to coagulation, inflammation, and cell metabolism.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    非洲猪瘟病毒(ASFV)一种高度传染性的病原体,其特征是复杂的结构和多种免疫抑制蛋白,导致出血,急性,和严重伤害猪肉产品和工业的侵袭性传染病。然而,没有有效的疫苗或治疗方法。主要原因不仅是导致免疫抑制的复杂机制,而且还包括各种蛋白质的未知功能。本文综述了ASFV与宿主免疫系统的相互作用,随着毒力相关基因和蛋白质的参与,以及ASFV免疫抑制的相应分子机制,包括cGAS-STING等途径,核因子κ-活化B细胞的轻链增强子(NF-κB),Janus激酶(JAK)和JAK信号转导和转录激活因子(STAT),凋亡,和其他调制。目的是总结ASFV感染和进入宿主细胞的动态过程,提供对疫苗开发的合理见解,并提供更清晰的ASFV如何影响主机的知识。
    African swine fever virus (ASFV), a highly contagious pathogen characterized by a complex structure and a variety of immunosuppression proteins, causes hemorrhagic, acute, and aggressive infectious disease that severely injures the pork products and industry. However, there is no effective vaccine or treatment. The main reasons are not only the complex mechanisms that lead to immunosuppression but also the unknown functions of various proteins. This review summarizes the interaction between ASFV and the host immune system, along with the involvement of virulence-related genes and proteins, as well as the corresponding molecular mechanism of immunosuppression of ASFV, encompassing pathways such as cGAS-STING, nuclear factor kappa-light-chain-enhancer of activated B cells (NF-κB), Janus Kinase (JAK) and JAK Signal Transducers and Activators of Transcription (STAT), apoptosis, and other modulation. The aim is to summarize the dynamic process during ASFV infection and entry into the host cell, provide a rational insight into development of a vaccine, and provide a better clear knowledge of how ASFV impacts the host.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:腹膜感染,由于吻合口漏,结直肠癌切除术后已被证明与癌症复发和死亡率增加有关,以及心田的发病率。循环蛋白质水平的改变可以帮助阐明潜在的机制,促使这项对64例结直肠癌吻合手术患者的探索性研究。
    方法:32例术后发生腹膜感染的患者与32例术后无并发症的对照组相匹配。使用邻近延伸测定法和酶联免疫吸附测定法分析了术后第一次就诊和手术后一年的血清样品中的蛋白质。多元投影方法,针对多次测试进行了调整,用于比较组间的水平,并进行了富集和网络分析。
    结果:77种蛋白质,在270个测试中,在术后41天的中位采样时间差异表达。这些蛋白质在手术后一年全部正常化。许多差异表达的顶级hub蛋白已知参与癌症进展,生存,侵袭和转移。过度表达的通路与心肌病有关,细胞粘附,细胞外基质,磷脂酰肌醇-3-激酶/Akt(PI3K-Akt)和转化生长因子β(TGF-β)信号传导。
    结论:这些受影响的蛋白质和途径可以提供有关腹膜感染患者为什么癌症复发增加的线索。死亡率和心血管发病率。
    OBJECTIVE: Peritoneal infection, due to anastomotic leakage, after resection for colorectal cancer have been shown to associate with increased cancer recurrence and mortality, as well as cardiovascsular morbidity. Alterations in circulating protein levels could help shed light on the underlying mechanisms, prompting this exploratory study of 64 patients operated for colorectal cancer with anastomosis.
    METHODS: Thirty-two cases who suffered a postoperative peritoneal infection were matched with 32 controls who had a complication-free postoperative stay. Proteins in serum samples at their first postoperative visit and at one year after surgery were analysed using proximity extension assays and enzyme-linked immunosorbent assays. Multivariate projection methods, adjusted for multiple testing, were used to compare levels between groups, and enrichment and network analyses were performed.
    RESULTS: Seventy-seven proteins, out of 270 tested, were differentially expressed at a median sampling time of 41 days postoperatively. These proteins were all normalised one year after surgery. Many of the differentially expressed top hub proteins have known involvement in cancer progression, survival, invasiveness and metastasis. Over-represented pathways were related to cardiomyopathy, cell-adhesion, extracellular matrix, phosphatidylinositol-3-kinase/Akt (PI3K-Akt) and transforming growth factor beta (TGF-β) signaling.
    CONCLUSIONS: These affected proteins and pathways could provide clues as to why patients with peritoneal infection might suffer increased cancer recurrence, mortality and cardiovascular morbidity.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    确定负责对热应激反应的分子机制对于增加产量至关重要,繁殖,健康,和福利。本研究旨在通过血浆蛋白质组学分析,确定热带适应肉牛对热应激和动物恢复的早期生物学反应和潜在生物标志物。
    根据湿球温度指数和直肠温度评估,在热应激高峰(HSP)期间和之后16小时(热应激恢复-HSR)从14名加拉州男性中收集血液样本。通过液相色谱-串联质谱法从血浆样品中研究蛋白质组,并使用DAVID工具通过功能富集分析评估差异调节的蛋白质。通过STRING工具评估蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用网络。
    在两个时间点共检测到1,550种蛋白质,其中84和65在高铁期间下调和上调,分别。在具有最高绝对对数倍数变化值的差异调节蛋白中,由GABBR1,EPHA2,DUSP5,MUC2,DGCR8,MAP2K7,ADRA1A,CXADR,TOPBP1和NEB基因被强调为潜在的生物标志物,因为它们在响应热应激中的作用。功能富集分析显示,65个基因本体术语和34个通路显著(P<0.05)。我们强调了可能与对热应激的反应有关的那些,比如与免疫系统有关的,互补系统,止血,钙,ECM-受体相互作用,以及PI3K-Akt和MAPK信号通路。此外,蛋白质-蛋白质相互作用网络分析显示,基于其中心性和边缘,几种补体和凝血蛋白以及急性期蛋白是重要的节点。
    识别差异调节蛋白及其关系,以及它们在关键途径中的作用有助于提高对自然适应的牛品种对热应激反应背后的机制的认识。此外,本文强调的蛋白质是参与热带适应肉牛的早期响应和热应激恢复的潜在生物标志物。
    UNASSIGNED: Identifying molecular mechanisms responsible for the response to heat stress is essential to increase production, reproduction, health, and welfare. This study aimed to identify early biological responses and potential biomarkers involved in the response to heat stress and animal\'s recovery in tropically adapted beef cattle through proteomic analysis of blood plasma.
    UNASSIGNED: Blood samples were collected from 14 Caracu males during the heat stress peak (HSP) and 16 h after it (heat stress recovery-HSR) assessed based on wet bulb globe temperature index and rectal temperature. Proteome was investigated by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry from plasma samples, and the differentially regulated proteins were evaluated by functional enrichment analysis using DAVID tool. The protein-protein interaction network was evaluated by STRING tool.
    UNASSIGNED: A total of 1,550 proteins were detected in both time points, of which 84 and 65 were downregulated and upregulated during HSR, respectively. Among the differentially regulated proteins with the highest absolute log-fold change values, those encoded by the GABBR1, EPHA2, DUSP5, MUC2, DGCR8, MAP2K7, ADRA1A, CXADR, TOPBP1, and NEB genes were highlighted as potential biomarkers because of their roles in response to heat stress. The functional enrichment analysis revealed that 65 Gene Ontology terms and 34 pathways were significant (P < 0.05). We highlighted those that could be associated with the response to heat stress, such as those related to the immune system, complement system, hemostasis, calcium, ECM-receptor interaction, and PI3K-Akt and MAPK signaling pathways. In addition, the protein-protein interaction network analysis revealed several complement and coagulation proteins and acute-phase proteins as important nodes based on their centrality and edges.
    UNASSIGNED: Identifying differentially regulated proteins and their relationship, as well as their roles in key pathways contribute to improve the knowledge of the mechanisms behind the response to heat stress in naturally adapted cattle breeds. In addition, proteins highlighted herein are potential biomarkers involved in the early response and recovery from heat stress in tropically adapted beef cattle.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    代谢是维持细胞生命的化学反应网络。该代谢网络的部分被定义为包含特定生化反应的代谢途径。这些反应的产物和反应物称为代谢物,与某些人类定义的代谢途径有关。代谢知识库,如京都基因和基因组百科全书(KEGG)含有代谢物,reactions,和路径注释;然而,由于目前代谢知识的限制,这些资源是不完整的。要填写缺失的代谢物途径注释,过去的机器学习模型在根据代谢物的化学结构预测KEGGLevel2途径类别参与方面取得了一些成功.这里,我们提出了第一个机器学习模型来预测代谢物与更颗粒的KEGGLevel3代谢途径的关联。我们使用特征和数据集工程方法在用于训练单个二元分类器的数据集中生成超过一百万个代谢物途径条目。该方法在100次交叉验证迭代中产生0.806±0.017SD的平均马修斯相关系数(MCC)。预测172个3级途径,总MCC为0.726。此外,代谢物与12个2级途径类别的关联被预测为总体MCC为0.891,代表了从3级途径条目的显著迁移学习.这些是迄今为止在该领域发表的最佳代谢物途径预测结果。
    Metabolism is the network of chemical reactions that sustain cellular life. Parts of this metabolic network are defined as metabolic pathways containing specific biochemical reactions. Products and reactants of these reactions are called metabolites, which are associated with certain human-defined metabolic pathways. Metabolic knowledgebases, such as the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Gene and Genomes (KEGG) contain metabolites, reactions, and pathway annotations; however, such resources are incomplete due to current limits of metabolic knowledge. To fill in missing metabolite pathway annotations, past machine learning models showed some success at predicting KEGG Level 2 pathway category involvement of metabolites based on their chemical structure. Here, we present the first machine learning model to predict metabolite association to more granular KEGG Level 3 metabolic pathways. We used a feature and dataset engineering approach to generate over one million metabolite-pathway entries in the dataset used to train a single binary classifier. This approach produced a mean Matthews correlation coefficient (MCC) of 0.806 ± 0.017 SD across 100 cross-validations iterations. The 172 Level 3 pathways were predicted with an overall MCC of 0.726. Moreover, metabolite association with the 12 Level 2 pathway categories were predicted with an overall MCC of 0.891, representing significant transfer learning from the Level 3 pathway entries. These are the best metabolite-pathway prediction results published so far in the field.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    目的:肿瘤抑制因子PAX2的表达缺失和MMR缺陷(dMMR)在子宫内膜样腺癌(EEC)中常见。然而,PAX2表达与MMR状态之间的关系未知。
    结果:我们在180例EEC中研究了PAX2的表达,并在蛋白质和遗传水平上检查了其与MMR状态的关联。总的来说,发现PAX2表达的总损失约为70%,而保留的PAX2表达在30%的EEC中可见。在125例PAX2丢失的病例中,68.8%的病例发生在pMMR的EEC中,而31.2%的患者出现在dMMR患者中。在55例保留PAX2表达的EEC中,具有dMMR的EEC占92.7%,具有pMMR的EEC占7.3%(P<0.001)。虽然MLH1超甲基化的dMMR病例显示PAX2表达的保留或丢失几乎相等(52%对48%),具有遗传改变的dMMR保留的PAX2表达明显多于PAX2的丢失(92.3%对7.7%),无论体细胞或种系突变。与具有遗传改变的dMMR的2.7%相比,在MLH1超甲基化的dMMR中观察到PAX2丢失(P<0.001)。在保留PAX2表达的dMMR中,诸如较高的肿瘤等级(FIGO2-3)和晚期临床阶段(T2-T4)等侵袭性特征明显更常见。与PAX2表达缺失的pMMR进行比较。
    结论:我们的研究表明EEC中保留的PAX2表达与dMMR密切相关。EEC中这两种途径的分子机制和临床意义仍有待进一步研究。
    OBJECTIVE: Loss of expression of tumour suppressor PAX2 and MMR deficiency (dMMR) has been frequently seen in endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma (EEC). However, the relationship between PAX2 expression and MMR status is unknown.
    RESULTS: We studied the PAX2 expression and examined its association with MMR status at the protein and genetic levels in 180 cases of EEC. Overall, total loss of PAX2 expression was found in about 70%, while retained PAX2 expression was seen in 30% of EEC. Among 125 cases with loss of PAX2, 68.8% were found in EECs with pMMR, while 31.2% were seen in those with dMMR. Among 55 cases of EECs with retained PAX2 expression, 92.7% were EECs with dMMR and 7.3% were those with pMMR (P < 0.001). While dMMR cases with MLH1 hypermethylation show almost equal retained or loss of PAX2 expression (52% versus 48%), dMMR with genetic alterations had significantly more retained PAX2 expression than loss of PAX2 (92.3% versus 7.7%), regardless of somatic or germline mutations. Loss of PAX2 was observed in 97.3% of dMMR with MLH1 hypermethylation compared to 2.7% of dMMR with genetic alterations (P < 0.001). Aggressive features such as higher tumour grades (FIGO 2-3) and advanced clinical stage (T2-T4) were significantly more frequently seen in dMMR with retained PAX2 expression, compared those to pMMR with loss of PAX2 expression.
    CONCLUSIONS: Our study demonstrates a close correlation between retained PAX2 expression and dMMR in EEC. The molecular mechanism and clinical significance linking these two pathways in EEC remains to be unravelled.
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  • 文章类型: Journal Article
    皮尤慈善信托基金会的2020年报告“打破塑料浪潮”,这表明,到2040年,现有技术可以支持塑料泄漏相对于正常业务减少80%。因此,南非成为第一个与皮尤慈善信托基金会和牛津大学合作测试和应用“Pathways”的国家,一个源于皮尤报告的建模框架和软件工具,在国家一级。该工具计算塑料在经济中的流动以及减少未来塑料污染的各种策略的影响。Pathways工具中的ScenarioBuilder允许用户优化塑料价值链中的流程,以满足一组定义的目标,从而实现最佳解决方案。在南非国家一级应用Pathways产生了三个主要发现。首先,如果不实施干预措施,到2040年塑料污染将几乎翻一番。其次,在2023-2040年期间,达到新的立法规定的延长生产者责任(EPR)目标可以避免33%的预计总污染。最后,在2023-2040年期间,最佳的系统变更可以避免63%的塑料污染。因此,事实证明,在南非国家一级应用途径是有价值的,它设定了一个可以衡量减少塑料污染进展的基线;确定随着时间的推移实现法定EPR目标的结果,并通过允许用户将不同的场景建模为最佳系统更改场景来告知策略决策。
    The Pew Charitable Trust\'s 2020 report \'Breaking the Plastic Wave\', indicates that existing technologies could support an 80% reduction in plastic leakage relative to business as usual by 2040. Therefore, South Africa became the first country to work with the Pew Charitable Trust and Oxford University to test and apply \'Pathways\', a modelling framework and software tool which stemmed and evolved from the Pew report, at country level. The tool calculates the flows of plastics in the economy and the impact of various strategies to reduce future plastic pollution. The Scenario Builder within the Pathways tool allows the user to optimise flows in the plastics value chain to satisfy a set of defined objectives in order to achieve an optimal solution. Three major findings have emerged from the application of Pathways at country level for South Africa. Firstly, plastic pollution is set to almost double by 2040 if no interventions are implemented. Secondly, meeting the newly legislated extended producer responsibility (EPR) targets set for plastic packaging can avoid 33% of projected total pollution over the period of 2023-2040. Lastly, an optimal system change can avoid 63% of total plastic pollution over the period 2023-2040. Thus, applying Pathways at country level in South Africa has proven to be valuable by setting a baseline against which progress towards reducing plastic pollution can be measured; determining the outcome of meeting the legislated EPR targets over time, and informing policy decisions by allowing users to model different scenarios towards an optimal system change scenario.
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