BACKGROUND: Endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) plays an indispensable role in treating pancreato-biliary diseases but carries a risk of post-ERCP pancreatitis (PEP). Despite advances in the prevention strategies, prevention of PEP remains imperfect, necessitating more refined hydration methods. This study investigates the effectiveness of lactated Ringer\'s solution versus plasma solution in preventing PEP.
METHODS: This multicentre, double-blind, randomised controlled trial, will be initiated by the investigator-sponsor, and conducted in three tertiary centres in South Korea. The aim of this study is to assess the effectiveness of hydration in preventing PEP in patients with naïve papillae. It will target patients with naïve papillae, focusing on those at medium to high risk of PEP. Patients aged ≤18 years and those with serious comorbidities, acute/chronic pancreatitis and various other medical conditions will be excluded. Eligible participants will be randomly assigned into two arms in equal numbers: (1) PEP prevention using lactated Ringer\'s solution and (2) PEP prevention using plasma solution. The primary outcome of this study will be the occurrence of PEP, and secondary outcomes will be additional risk factors and potential adverse events related to ERCP. With a total enrolment of 844 patients, the study will be able to detect significant differences between the intervention arms.
BACKGROUND: Ethical approval is obtained from each institution (Asan Medical Centre, 2023-0382; Seoul National University Hospital, H-2302-05-1404; Samsung Medical Centre, SMC 2023-02-001-009). All participants provided informed consent following clear explanation of the study procedures. The results of the study will be disseminated in peer-reviewed journals and research conferences.
BACKGROUND: NCT05832047.
METHODS: Ver 4.1 (2023).

UNASSIGNED: The natural history of symptomatic uncomplicated gallstone disease is largely unknown. We examined the risk of progressing from symptomatic uncomplicated to complicated gallstone disease in a large regional cohort of patients, where disruptions in elective surgical capacities have led to the indefinite postponement of surgery for benign conditions, including cholecystectomies.
UNASSIGNED: Patients with radiologically diagnosed incident symptomatic and uncomplicated gallstone disease were identified from outpatient clinics and emergency departments on the Island of Funen, Denmark. The absolute risk of complications (cholecystitis, cholangitis, pancreatitis, acute cholecystectomy for unremitting pain) was calculated using death and elective cholecystectomies as competing risks using the Aalen-Johansen method. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis was used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) of gallstone complications associated with patient and gallstone characteristics.
UNASSIGNED: Two hundred eighty-six patients diagnosed with incident symptomatic, uncomplicated gallstone disease from 1 January 2020 to 1 July 2023 were identified. During 79,170 person-years of observation, 176 (61.5%) patients developed a gallstone-related complication. The 6-, 12- and 24-month risk of developing gallstone-related complications were 36%, 55% and 81%. The risk of developing complications related to common bile duct stones was lowest with larger stones (aHR per millimeter increase = 0.89 (0.82-0.97), p < 0.01), while no covariates were statistically significantly associated with the risk of cholecystitis. Eighty-five (30%) patients underwent elective laparoscopic cholecystectomy, with one patient (1.2%) developing a gallstone-related complication afterward.
UNASSIGNED: The risk of developing complications to symptomatic gallstones in a general Scandinavian population is high, and prophylactic cholecystectomy should be considered.

walled-off pancreatic necrosis (WOPN) is one of the complications of acute pancreatitis (AP) with high mortality. A method to predict the development of WOPN in AP patients admitted to the emergency department may guide life-saving practices such as early initiation of antibiotic therapy and, when necessary, referral of the patient to a center where necrosectomy can be performed. This study is a prospective observational study. One hundred eleven AP patients who applied to the emergency department were included in the study. The mean of QT interval (QT) dispersion, systemic immune-inflammation Index (SII), multi-inflammatory index-I (MII-1), multi-inflammatory index-II (MII-2), and multi-inflammatory index-III (MII-3) were compared between patients who developed WOPN and patients who did not develop WOPN during their hospitalization. In the study, the mean of QT dispersion, SII, MII-1, MII-2, and MII-3 were significantly lower in the patient group who developed WOPN compared to those who did not develop WOPN. In the receiver operating characteristic analysis, all methods except SII were found to be successful in predicting WOPN. QT dispersion, SII, MII-1, MII-2, and MII-3 are valuable tools that provide rapid results and successfully predict the development of WOPN in AP. However, MII-2 and QT dispersion appears to be slightly more successful than the others.

OBJECTIVE: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease of the pancreas, and the prognosis of severe AP (SAP) is poor. The study aimed to identify promising biomarkers for predicting the occurrence and survival outcome of SAP patients.
METHODS: Two hundred and forty AP patients were retrospectively recruited, in which 72 cases with SAP. Blood test was done for collection of laboratory indicators. After treatment, the mortality of patients was recorded.
RESULTS: Patients in the SAP group had higher intensive care unit admissions and longer hospital stays (p < .001). Among laboratory parameters, significantly high values of C-reactive protein (CRP), triglycerides and glucose (TyG) index, Von willebrand factor antigen (vWF:Ag) and D-dimer were found in SAP groups relative to non-SAP ones. Receiver operating characteristic curve indicated the good performance of CRP, TyG index, vWF:Ag and D-dimer in SAP diagnosis. Among all SAP cases, 51 survived while 21 died. TyG index (odds ratio [OR] = 6.914, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.193-40.068, p = .028), vWF:Ag (OR = 7.441, 95% CI = 1.236-244.815, p = .028), and D-dimer (OR = 7.987, 95% CI = 1.251-50.997, p = .028) were significantly related to survival outcome of SAP patients by multiple logistic regression analysis. Both TyG index and vWF showed favorable efficiency in predicting overall prognosis. The area under the curve for the multivariate model (PRE = -35.908 + 2.764 × TyG + 0.021 × vWF:Ag) was 0.909 which was greater than 0.9, indicating its excellent performance in prognosis prediction.
CONCLUSIONS: CRP, TyG index, vWF:Ag, and D-dimer values on admission may be potential clinical predictors of the development of SAP. Moreover, TyG index and vWF:Ag may be helpful to predict survival outcome.

BACKGROUND Hemorrhagic cysts are rarely discussed subtypes of pancreatic pseudocysts that occur in about 10% of these cases. They are caused by erosion of the walls of neighboring vessels by extravasated proteolytic pancreatic enzymes. A retrospective analysis was performed to clinically characterize risk factors, treatment, and outcome in patients with hemorrhagic cysts of the pancreas. MATERIAL AND METHODS The retrospective study included patients from the Department of Digestive Tract Surgery in Katowice, Poland, who were treated surgically for a pancreatic hemorrhagic cyst from January 2016 to November 2022. We gathered and assessed data on cyst etiology, symptoms, imaging examinations, risk factors, time, type, and complications of surgery. RESULTS The main symptom was abdominal pain, noted in 5 (62.5%) patients. The most common etiology of cyst was acute pancreatitis, which occurred in 5 patients (62.5%). The most common localization was the tail of pancreas, found in 3 patients (36.5%). The largest dimension of the cyst was 98±68 (30-200) mm. Every patient needed surgical intervention. Patients underwent distal pancreatectomy (n=3) or marsupialization (n=5). One (12.5%) postoperative complication was observed, while mortality was 0%. CONCLUSIONS Hemorrhagic cyst is a life-threatening complication of pancreatitis requiring immediate treatment. In most cases, open surgery is the treatment of choice. Despite the continuous development of minimally invasive techniques, surgical treatment remains the only effective treatment method. Depending on the cyst localization and technical possibilities, pancreatectomy or marsupialization can be applied, and both of them have low complication and mortality rates.

Background: Pancreatitis is characterized by inflammation of the pancreas and significantly affects quality of life. Less than 5% of pancreatitis cases are drug-induced, but recent evidence suggests a substantial risk associated with glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs). The aim of this study was to compare the risk of developing pancreatitis between those using GLP-1 RAs and those using sodium-glucose transport protein 2 (SGLT2) inhibitors and dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitors. Methods: This study was done using the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) database from 2019 to 2021. This database contains information from diverse submissions from healthcare providers, patients, and manufacturers. To ensure fairness and accuracy, the risk of pancreatitis associated with other hypoglycemic agents (SGLT2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors) was also investigated. Traditional and Bayesian statistical analysis methods were used to identify disproportionate statistics and included the reporting odds ratio (ROR), proportional reporting ratio (PRR), empirical Bayes geometric mean (EBGM), and information component (IC). A drug-adverse-event combination that met the criteria of all four indices was deemed a signal. Results: The analysis of 2,313 pancreatitis reports linked to hypoglycemic agents revealed a predominant association with GLP-1 RA (70.2%) compared to DPP-4 inhibitors (15%) and SGLT2 (14.7%). Most of these reports involved female patients (50.4%), and the highest incidence occurred in those over 50 years old (38.4%). Additionally, 17.7% of the reports were associated with serious events. The ROR was significant for the risk of pancreatitis when using DPP-4 (13.2, 95% confidence interval (CI) 11.84-14.70), while the ROR for GLP-1 was 9.65 (95% CI 9.17-10.16). The EBGM was highest with DPP-4 (12.25), followed by GLP-1 (8.64), while IC was highest with DPP-4 inhibitors (3.61). Liraglutide had the greatest association with pancreatitis among the GLP-1 RAs (ROR: 6.83, 95% CI 6.60-7.07). Conclusion: The findings show that pancreatitis has a strong link with DPP-4 inhibitors and GPL1 agonists, which pose a greater risk. Among the GLP-1 agonist medications, liraglutide has been found to have an association with pancreatitis.

Accumulating evidence has indicated an increased risk of acute pancreatitis in individuals with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD); however, the establishment of a clear and direct causal connection between IBD and acute pancreatitis remains uncertain. Utilizing genetic data from publicly accessible genome-wide association studies (GWAS), we conducted a 2-sample MR analysis to identify the associations between IBD, ulcerative colitis (UC), Crohn disease (CD), and acute pancreatitis risk. Rigorous quality control steps ensured the selection of eligible single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with strong associations to IBD. The primary estimation used the inverse-variance weighted method. We also assessed heterogeneity, potential pleiotropy, and conducted sensitivity analyses. The direction of causality was confirmed using the Steiger test. The MR analysis showed that IBD increased the risk of acute pancreatitis (IVW: OR = 1.032, 95% CI: 1.006-1.06, P = .015). Among the subgroup of IBD, CD (IVW: OR = 1.034, 95% CI: 1.008-1.06, P = .007) indicates a significant increase in the risk of acute pancreatitis compared to UC (IVW: OR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.99-1.051, P = .189). The MR analysis assessing the association between CD and acute pancreatitis showed no evidence of heterogeneity or horizontal pleiotropy. Likewise, the leave-one-out (LOO) method indicated no significant influence of any individual SNP on the overall findings. In addition, the Steiger direction test revealed that CD was the cause for increased risk of acute pancreatitis, but not vice versa. In summary, this research pioneers in proposing a causal relationship between CD and acute pancreatitis among the European population.

BACKGROUND: Post-ERCP pancreatitis is one of the most common adverse events in ERCP-related procedures. The purpose of this study is to construct an online model to predict the risk of post-ERCP pancreatitis in non-elderly patients with common bile duct stones through screening of relevant clinical parameters.
METHODS: A total of 919 cases were selected from 7154 cases from a major Chinese tertiary hospital. Multivariable logistic regression model was fitted using the variables selected by the LASSO regression from 28 potential predictor variables. The internal and external validation was assessed by evaluating the receiver operating characteristic curve and the area under curve. Restricted cubic spline modelling was used to explore non-linear associations. The interactive Web application developed for risk prediction was built using the R \"shiny\" package.
RESULTS: The incidence of post-ERCP pancreatitis was 5.22% (48/919) and significantly higher in non-elderly patients with female, high blood pressure, the history of pancreatitis, difficult intubation, endoscopic sphincterotomy, lower alkaline phosphatase and smaller diameter of common bile duct. The predictive performance in the test and external validation set was 0.915 (95% CI, 0.858-0.972) and 0.838 (95% CI, 0.689-0.986), respectively. The multivariate restricted cubic spline results showed that the incidence of pancreatitis was increased at 33-50 years old, neutrophil percentage > 58.90%, hemoglobin > 131 g/L, platelet < 203.04 or > 241.40 × 109/L, total bilirubin > 18.39 umol / L, aspartate amino transferase < 36.56 IU / L, alkaline phosphatase < 124.92 IU / L, Albumin < 42.21 g / L and common bile duct diameter between 7.25 and 10.02 mm. In addition, a web server was developed that supports query for immediate PEP risk.
CONCLUSIONS: The visualized networked version of the above model is able to most accurately predict the risk of PEP in non-elderly patients with choledocholithiasis and allows clinicians to assess the risk of PEP in real time and provide preventive treatment measures as early as possible.

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a complex and unpredictable condition, of which hypertriglyceridemia (HTG) is the third most prevalent cause. This study aimed to conduct a retrospective analysis of clinical data from hospitalized AP patients to uncover a potential correlation between triglyceride (TG) levels and the necessity for intensive care unit (ICU) admission. This retrospective cohort study utilized the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV 2.2 (MIMIC-IV) critical care dataset, incorporating data from 698 patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis (HTG-AP). The analysis employed the RCS model along with univariate and multivariate logistic regression methods to affirm the association between triglyceride levels and ICU admission. Subgroup analysis was performed to investigate specific populations. The study included 698 patients with AP, 42.41% of whom experienced HTG during hospitalization. RCS analysis revealed a linear association between TG levels and risk of ICU admission (p for nonlinear = .219, p for overall = .009). Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated an increased risk of ICU admission in the TG range of 1.7-5.65 mmol/L (aOR = 1.83, 95% CI 1.12-2.99, P = .015) and TG >11.3 mmol/L (aOR = 5.69, 95% CI 2.36-13.74, P < .001) compared to the normal group. Similar results were observed across the various subgroups. As triglyceride levels increased, there was a corresponding increase in ICU admissions. Patients within the 1.7 to 5.65 mmol/L and > 11.3 mmol/L triglyceride groups exhibited higher rates of ICU admissions. Moreover, we observed a higher risk of ICU hospitalization even with mild TG elevation.

To construct and internally and externally validate a nomogram model for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) based on the CT severity index (CTSI).A retrospective analysis of clinical data from 200 AP patients diagnosed at the Hefei Third Clinical College of Anhui Medical University from June 2019 to June 2022 was conducted. Patients were classified into non-severe acute pancreatitis (NSAP, n = 135) and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP, n = 65) based on final clinical diagnosis. Differences in CTSI, general clinical features, and laboratory indicators between the two groups were compared. The LASSO regression model was used to select variables that might affect the severity of AP, and these variables were analyzed using multivariate logistic regression. A nomogram model was constructed using R software, and its AUC value was calculated. The accuracy and practicality of the model were evaluated using calibration curves, Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and decision curve analysis (DCA), with internal validation performed using the bootstrap method. Finally, 60 AP patients treated in the same hospital from July 2022 to December 2023 were selected for external validation.LASSO regression identified CTSI, BUN, D-D, NLR, and Ascites as five predictive factors. Unconditional binary logistic regression analysis showed that CTSI (OR = 2.141, 95%CI:1.369-3.504), BUN (OR = 1.378, 95%CI:1.026-1.959), NLR (OR = 1.370, 95%CI:1.016-1.906), D-D (OR = 1.500, 95%CI:1.112-2.110), and Ascites (OR = 5.517, 95%CI:1.217-2.993) were independent factors influencing SAP. The established prediction model had a C-index of 0.962, indicating high accuracy. Calibration curves demonstrated good consistency between predicted survival rates and actual survival rates. The C-indexes for internal and external validation were 0.935 and 0.901, respectively, with calibration curves close to the ideal line.The model based on CTSI and clinical indicators can effectively predict the severity of AP, providing a scientific basis for clinical decision-making by physicians.